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Torrid Holdings (CURV)
NYSE:CURV
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Torrid Holdings (CURV) AI Stock Analysis

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CURV

Torrid Holdings

(NYSE:CURV)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(11.11% Upside)
Torrid Holdings' overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and declining profitability. While strategic initiatives in digital sales and store optimization are promising, bearish technical indicators and moderate valuation limit upside potential. The stock repurchase agreement and liquidity position provide some support.
Positive Factors
Business Improvements
Efforts to reset and enhance the business are showing signs of bearing fruit, including success in reducing promo reliance, an improved supply chain, and assortment enhancements resonating with a broader audience.
Cost Optimization
Management expects to fully offset tariff pressure through cost optimization efforts and re-prioritization of expenses.
Market Position
Torrid is the dominant player in the large and growing plus-size apparel market, with further share consolidation opportunity as competitors retreat.
Negative Factors
Growth Challenges
Growth has sputtered in recent years with three consecutive years of negative growth and margins sit below historical levels.
Macro and Execution Risks
Torrid faces potential macro and execution risks, as the company accelerates store closures and deals with a selective consumer as it navigates higher tariffs.
Valuation Concerns
FY profitability guidance could prove optimistic, reinforcing apprehension of potential valuation de-rating.

Torrid Holdings (CURV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Torrid Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTorrid Holdings Inc. operates in women's plus-size apparel and intimates market in North America. The company designs, develops, and merchandises its products under the Torrid and Torrid Curve brand names. It is involved in the sale of tops, bottoms, dresses, denims, activewear, intimates, sleep wear, swim wear, and outerwear products; and non-apparel products comprising accessories, footwear, and beauty products. The company sells its products directly to consumers through its e-commerce platform and its physical stores. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 624 stores in 50 U.S. states, Puerto Rico, and Canada. Torrid Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in City of Industry, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTorrid Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its plus-size fashion products. The company's revenue streams are driven by its network of retail stores and e-commerce platform, which together offer an integrated shopping experience for customers. Torrid's physical stores serve as both sales channels and brand touchpoints, enhancing customer engagement and loyalty, while its online platform expands its market reach beyond geographic limitations. Additionally, Torrid benefits from strategic marketing initiatives and loyalty programs that encourage repeat purchases. The company's focus on a specific demographic allows it to maintain a dedicated customer base, which is essential for its sustained revenue growth. Furthermore, Torrid may engage in partnerships or collaborations with fashion influencers and designers to boost brand visibility and attract new customers.

Torrid Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -54.82%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with strategic advancements in digital sales, sub-brand success, and store optimization. However, these are balanced by challenges in physical sales, gross margin declines, and the temporary pause of the footwear segment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sub-Brand Success
The sub-brands Festi, Belle Isle, Nightfall, and Retro Chic have outperformed expectations, attracting new clientele and increasing spending. They are planned for expansion, growing from 10% to up to 30% of the portfolio by 2026.
Online Sales Growth
Online sales are approaching 70% of total sales and expected to reach a low to mid-70% penetration by 2026. The digital channel continues to outperform physical stores.
Store Optimization Strategy
A plan to close approximately 180 stores in 2025 is expected to have a negligible impact on net sales, with a projected benefit of 150 to 250 basis points of EBITDA margin expansion.
Reduced China Sourcing
Exposure to China-sourced goods has reduced from mid-teens to low single digits.
Strong Liquidity Position
The company ended the quarter with $23.7 million in cash and $117.3 million available in the revolving credit facility.
Negative Updates
Comparable Store Sales Decline
Comparable store sales declined by 3.5%, reflecting continued pressure in physical retail locations.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased by 320 basis points to 38.1% due to promotional initiatives aimed at improving conversion rates.
Impact of Store Closures
Approximately 180 stores are targeted for closure in 2025, with a focus on underperforming locations.
Pausing Footwear Business
The strategic decision to pause the shoe offerings, which are 100% sourced from China, will result in a $40 to $45 million revenue loss for the year.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, Torrid Holdings Inc. delivered results aligned with expectations, achieving net sales of $266 million and an EBITDA of $27.1 million. The company's strategic focus on expanding its sub-brands such as Festi, Belle Isle, Nightfall, and Retro Chic proved successful, exceeding expectations by two to six times in performance. These sub-brands contributed to attracting new and younger customers, with plans to increase their penetration from approximately 10% to up to 30% by 2026. Torrid's online demand is growing, nearing 70% of total sales, with expectations to reach mid-70% penetration by 2026. The company is also optimizing its retail footprint, targeting the closure of 180 stores by the end of the year, while maintaining a high customer retention rate of 60% post-closure. For fiscal 2025, Torrid anticipates net sales between $1.03 billion and $1.055 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA forecasted at $95 million to $105 million. The company remains financially robust, ending the quarter with $23.7 million in cash and access to $117.3 million in additional liquidity.

Torrid Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Torrid Holdings is facing financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and negative equity. The income statement shows weak profitability, and the balance sheet reflects financial instability with negative equity. However, the company consistently generates positive operating cash flow, which is a positive aspect amidst financial difficulties.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement indicates declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 36.65% and a net profit margin of 0.92%, both of which are relatively low. Revenue has decreased over the years, with a negative growth trend from 2022 to 2025. However, the company maintains a positive EBIT margin of 4.32% in TTM, which is a positive aspect, but overall profitability remains weak.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects financial instability with a negative stockholders' equity of -$183.82 million in TTM, indicating more liabilities than assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative, highlighting high leverage. The equity ratio is also negative at -40.73%, indicating significant financial risk and lack of equity support. Despite these challenges, the total assets are slightly stable.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows some resilience, with positive free cash flow of $21.82 million in TTM and a reasonable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.15. However, the free cash flow has decreased compared to previous periods, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The company has been able to generate positive cash flow from operations consistently, which is a positive indicator.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.10B1.15B1.29B1.28B973.51M
Gross Profit413.47M405.98M459.54M518.97M330.30M
EBITDA57.21M92.05M181.06M123.78M131.76M
Net Income16.32M11.62M50.21M-29.94M24.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets488.44M476.95M527.26M578.50M648.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.52M11.73M13.57M29.02M122.95M
Total Debt466.63M311.97M546.33M599.17M502.37M
Total Liabilities679.53M688.66M757.49M836.82M711.38M
Stockholders Equity-191.09M-211.72M-230.22M-258.32M-63.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.00M16.77M29.94M103.67M140.25M
Operating Cash Flow77.39M42.77M53.31M121.22M151.82M
Investing Cash Flow-14.39M-26.00M-23.37M-17.55M-11.57M
Financing Cash Flow-24.50M-18.52M-45.12M-197.81M-45.92M

Torrid Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.25
Price Trends
50DMA
3.04
Negative
100DMA
4.24
Negative
200DMA
4.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
33.51
Neutral
STOCH
55.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CURV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.33, below the 50-day MA of 3.04, and below the 200-day MA of 4.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CURV.

Torrid Holdings Risk Analysis

Torrid Holdings disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Torrid Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Torrid Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
¥284.31B15.326.82%2.48%5.05%-19.67%
67
Neutral
$244.53M7.1341.77%1.87%-2.24%-33.43%
60
Neutral
$279.60M-3.07%1.85%22.34%
59
Neutral
$280.78M1,423.640.23%3.01%
52
Neutral
$268.98M-29.52%1.85%-337.77%
50
Neutral
$233.26M23.52
-4.21%-16.35%
47
Neutral
$45.83M-47.54%-8.79%-15.17%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CURV
Torrid Holdings
2.25
-4.54
-66.86%
CTRN
Citi Trends
32.02
16.07
100.75%
GCO
Genesco
27.03
-4.16
-13.34%
TLYS
Tilly's
1.53
-4.37
-74.07%
ZUMZ
Zumiez
15.60
-13.51
-46.41%
JILL
JJill
16.17
-17.42
-51.86%

Torrid Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Torrid Holdings Extends Credit Facility Maturity Date
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Torrid LLC, a California-based company, executed a Fifth Amendment to its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America, extending the maturity date of its credit facility. The amendment extends the maturity date from June 14, 2026, to the earlier of August 1, 2030, or 91 days prior to the maturity of any material indebtedness, with no other significant changes to the terms.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Torrid Holdings Completes Stock Repurchase and Underwriting Agreement
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Torrid Holdings Inc. entered into an Underwriting Agreement with certain stockholders and underwriters for the sale of 10,000,000 shares of common stock at $3.50 per share, closing on June 26, 2025. The company did not sell any securities in this offering and will not receive proceeds from the sale. Additionally, on June 23, 2025, Torrid Holdings agreed to repurchase $20 million of its common stock from Sycamore Partners Torrid, L.L.C., which was completed on June 26, 2025, with the shares held as treasury stock.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Torrid Holdings Announces $20M Stock Repurchase Agreement
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 23, 2025, Torrid Holdings Inc. announced a $20 million stock repurchase agreement with Sycamore Partners Torrid, L.L.C. The transaction, approved by the board, aims to purchase shares at the offering price, with the repurchased shares held as treasury stock. Additionally, Torrid filed a preliminary prospectus supplement for a public offering of common stock on June 24, 2025. The company is also implementing a retail optimization strategy, planning to close up to 180 stores by the end of fiscal year 2025 to enhance customer experience and improve financial efficiency. This move is expected to increase profitability and support long-term growth.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Torrid Holdings Elects New Board Members at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Torrid Holdings Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders. During the meeting, Lisa M. Harper and Stefan L. Kaluzny were elected to the Board of Directors as Class I Directors until 2028. Additionally, stockholders approved the compensation for the company’s named executive officers and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025