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VDE - ETF AI Analysis

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VDE

Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$136.00
The Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) has a solid overall rating, driven primarily by its top holdings in Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX). Both companies contribute positively with strong financial performance, robust production records, and strategic initiatives, although minor concerns about valuation and cash flow growth slightly temper their outlooks. However, weaker holdings like Williams Co (WMB) and Kinder Morgan (KMI), which face challenges such as high leverage and bearish market momentum, may have held back the fund’s rating. Investors should also note the ETF's concentration in the energy sector, which could increase exposure to industry-specific risks.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several major holdings, such as Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and Marathon Petroleum, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting the fund's overall returns.
Low Expense Ratio
The ETF has a very low expense ratio, making it a cost-effective choice compared to similar funds.
Focused Sector Exposure
The ETF's heavy focus on the energy sector allows investors to benefit from potential growth in this industry.
Negative Factors
Over-Concentration in Energy
With over 98% of its holdings in the energy sector, the ETF is highly exposed to sector-specific risks like fluctuating oil prices.
Underperforming Holdings
Some key holdings, such as ConocoPhillips and EOG Resources, have shown weak year-to-date performance, which could drag on overall returns.
Limited Geographic Diversification
The ETF is heavily concentrated in U.S. companies, with minimal exposure to international markets, which limits global diversification.

VDE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VDE Summary

The Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) is a fund that focuses on the energy sector, including companies involved in oil, gas, and renewable energy. It follows the MSCI US IMI 25/50 Energy Index and includes major players like Exxon Mobil and Chevron. This ETF is a good choice for investors looking to benefit from the growth and transformation of the energy industry while diversifying their portfolio. However, new investors should be aware that the fund’s performance is closely tied to the energy market, which can be volatile and influenced by global events.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) has an expense ratio of 0.09%, meaning you’ll pay $0.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it is a passively managed fund that tracks an energy sector index, keeping costs down for investors.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) could benefit from rising global energy demand, advancements in renewable energy technologies, and favorable oil and gas prices, which would support its top holdings like Exxon Mobil and Chevron. However, it may face challenges from regulatory changes targeting fossil fuels, geopolitical tensions affecting oil supply, or economic slowdowns reducing energy consumption. Its focus on U.S.-based energy companies makes it sensitive to domestic policies and market conditions.

VDE Top 10 Holdings

The Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) is riding the wave of strong performance from names like Valero Energy and Marathon Petroleum, which are benefiting from operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives. Exxon Mobil is steady, providing stability to the fund, while Chevron and ConocoPhillips are lagging, weighed down by bearish momentum and valuation concerns. With nearly all its holdings concentrated in the U.S. energy sector, the fund leans heavily on traditional oil and gas giants, leaving little room for diversification outside this niche. Overall, it’s a high-stakes bet on energy’s ups and downs.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Exxon Mobil23.01%$2.00B$489.06B-3.33%
75
Outperform
Chevron15.79%$1.37B$301.52B-6.62%
74
Outperform
Conocophillips5.52%$479.85M$108.20B-17.47%
75
Outperform
Williams Co3.67%$318.64M$72.58B2.13%
68
Neutral
Marathon Petroleum3.24%$281.91M$57.17B21.52%
70
Outperform
EOG Resources3.06%$265.99M$57.84B-19.24%
74
Outperform
Phillips 662.91%$252.91M$53.67B-0.06%
73
Outperform
Valero Energy2.79%$241.97M$53.18B24.71%
75
Outperform
Kinder Morgan2.72%$236.54M$59.67B-3.70%
68
Neutral
Schlumberger2.51%$217.73M$53.35B-18.38%
75
Outperform

VDE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
125.14
Positive
100DMA
123.29
Positive
200DMA
120.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.57
Positive
RSI
49.99
Neutral
STOCH
22.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VDE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 125.84, equal to the 50-day MA of 125.14, and equal to the 200-day MA of 120.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VDE.

VDE Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$7.05B0.09%
71
Outperform
$2.49B0.45%
69
Neutral
$1.79B0.45%
70
Neutral
$1.62B0.35%
69
Neutral
$1.29B0.08%
72
Outperform
$1.11B0.38%
73
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VDE
Vanguard Energy ETF
125.67
-3.91
-3.02%
MLPX
Global X MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF
MLPA
Global X MLP ETF
XOP
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
FENY
Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF
IYE
iShares U.S. Energy ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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