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VDE - ETF AI Analysis
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Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown solid gains over the past month, three months, and year to date, indicating positive recent momentum in the energy sector.
Leading Energy Companies in Top Holdings
Many of the largest positions, including major integrated oil and gas firms and service providers, have delivered strong year-to-date results that support the fund’s overall performance.
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges a relatively low fee, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Negative Factors
High Concentration in a Few Stocks
A large portion of the portfolio is invested in just a handful of companies, which increases the impact if any of those stocks perform poorly.
Single-Sector Exposure
With almost all assets in the energy sector, the ETF is heavily exposed to swings in oil and gas prices and energy-specific risks.
Limited Geographic Diversification
The fund is overwhelmingly focused on U.S. companies, offering very little exposure to energy firms in other regions.
VDE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM8.79B
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.09%
Beta0.63
IssuerVanguard
Inception DateSep 23, 2004
Dividend Yield2.58%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedMSCI US IMI 25/50 Energy
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume955,293
30 Day Avg. Volume699,614
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
154.88Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering107
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
VDE Summary
Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) is a fund that tracks the MSCI US IMI 25/50 Energy Index, giving you broad exposure to U.S. energy companies. It mainly holds large oil and gas firms like Exxon Mobil and Chevron, along with other businesses involved in producing and transporting energy. Someone might invest in VDE if they want focused exposure to the energy sector, which can benefit from rising energy demand and prices, while getting diversification across many energy stocks in a single fund. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to the energy sector, which can be very volatile and move sharply with oil and gas prices.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) has an expense ratio of 0.09%, meaning you’ll pay $0.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it is a passively managed fund that tracks an energy sector index, keeping costs down for investors.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) could benefit from rising global energy demand, advancements in renewable energy technologies, and favorable oil and gas prices, which would support its top holdings like Exxon Mobil and Chevron. However, it may face challenges from regulatory changes targeting fossil fuels, geopolitical tensions affecting oil supply, or economic slowdowns reducing energy consumption. Its focus on U.S.-based energy companies makes it sensitive to domestic policies and market conditions.
VDE Top 10 Holdings
VDE is an all‑U.S. energy play, and its story starts with Exxon Mobil and Chevron, which dominate the portfolio and have been steadily rising, giving the fund a solid backbone as oil prices stay supportive. ConocoPhillips and EOG Resources add more upstream punch, contributing to gains but with a bit more day‑to‑day bumpiness. On the refining side, Phillips 66 and Valero have been climbing as well, helping rather than hurting. With such heavy concentration in traditional oil and gas, this ETF lives and dies by the fossil‑fuel cycle.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exxon Mobil | 22.87% | $2.00B | $632.28B | 38.52% | 74 Outperform | |
| Chevron | 15.02% | $1.31B | $367.27B | 17.42% | 71 Outperform | |
| Conocophillips | 5.88% | $512.50M | $136.95B | 15.14% | 78 Outperform | |
| Williams Co | 3.77% | $328.87M | $86.87B | 24.83% | 76 Outperform | |
| EOG Resources | 2.98% | $260.14M | $63.95B | -8.86% | 78 Outperform | |
| Kinder Morgan | 2.83% | $246.86M | $70.50B | 19.36% | 68 Neutral | |
| Phillips 66 | 2.71% | $236.33M | $62.96B | 22.04% | 73 Outperform | |
| Marathon Petroleum | 2.66% | $231.89M | $59.53B | 26.89% | 66 Neutral | |
| Valero Energy | 2.63% | $229.02M | $60.06B | 45.52% | 69 Neutral | |
| Schlumberger | 2.61% | $227.94M | $75.72B | 21.29% | 75 Outperform |
VDE Technical Analysis
Positive
―
Price Trends
134.35
Positive
129.33
Positive
123.78
Positive
Market Momentum
5.57
Negative
71.04
Negative
86.28
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VDE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 144.11, equal to the 50-day MA of 134.35, and equal to the 200-day MA of 123.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.04 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VDE.
VDE Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
VDE
Vanguard Energy ETF
152.95
29.01
23.41%
MLPX
Global X MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF
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―
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XOP
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
―
―
―
MLPA
Global X MLP ETF
―
―
―
FENY
Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF
―
―
―
IYE
iShares U.S. Energy ETF
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―
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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