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EOG Resources (EOG)
NYSE:EOG

EOG Resources (EOG) AI Stock Analysis

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EO

EOG Resources

(NYSE:EOG)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$139.00
â–²(12.87%Upside)
EOG Resources demonstrates strong financial health, strategic acquisitions, and attractive valuation metrics, supporting its competitive position in the industry. The company's robust earnings and operational performance are offset by near-term market challenges and reduced capital investment, moderating the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
The acquisition of Encino is expected to improve historical well productivity, increase identified resources, and lower costs in emerging shale plays like the Utica Shale.
Dividend Strength
EOG's dividend, which has never been suspended in its 27-year public-company history, was recently increased and offers a yield above the peer group average.
Financial Performance
EOG Resources is well-positioned to aggressively repurchase shares following a 7% decline in the stock, supported by a best-in-class, under-levered balance sheet and projected free cash flow of ~$4 billion.
Negative Factors
Cash Balance Concerns
EOG's cash balance is to drop to $3.7bn, down from its historical $5-6bn target, due to the Encino acquisition.
Debt Levels
Total debt increases to $7.7 billion post-close, though net leverage remains within EOG's target.
Stock Valuation
The stock already trades at a premium, and more execution is needed to prove the Utica can stand alongside other foundational plays.

EOG Resources (EOG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EOG Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEOG Resources, Inc. is a leading American energy company engaged in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. With a strong operational presence across the United States, EOG Resources focuses on maximizing shareholder value through disciplined capital allocation and efficient resource management. The company leverages advanced technologies and innovative approaches to maintain a competitive edge in the energy sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyEOG Resources generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company's key revenue streams are derived from its extensive portfolio of assets in prolific shale plays, including the Eagle Ford, Delaware Basin, and the Bakken. EOG Resources sells its production to a variety of customers, including refiners, marketers, and end users, both domestically and internationally. The company's earnings are influenced by fluctuations in commodity prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures also play a role in enhancing EOG's capabilities and expanding its market reach.

EOG Resources Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Geography
Operating Income by Geography
Shows how much profit the company generates in different regions, highlighting areas of strong performance and potential challenges due to regional market conditions or operational efficiency.
Chart InsightsEOG Resources' operating income from the United States shows a declining trend since 2022, reflecting challenges from softened oil prices and reduced capital investments. Despite this, the company's strategic acquisition in the Eagle Ford and an oil discovery in Trinidad highlight its focus on enhancing asset quality and international exploration. The Trinidad segment, although volatile, benefits from this new discovery. EOG's strategic adjustments, including reduced capital spending and focus on high-return investments, aim to sustain growth amidst market uncertainties and tariff-related pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

EOG Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
EOG Resources demonstrated strong financial and operational performance in Q1 2025, with significant shareholder returns and strategic acquisitions. However, the company reduced its capital investment and faced softened oil prices due to tariff-related market uncertainties. Overall, EOG remains well-positioned for future growth and sustainability, despite some near-term challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
EOG reported $1.6 billion in adjusted net income and generated $1.3 billion in free cash flow in Q1 2025, returning $1.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Operational Excellence
EOG's production and total per unit cash operating costs exceeded targets, and the company maintained a low cost structure, enhancing its ability to flex activity across high-return investments.
Eagle Ford Acquisition
EOG completed a strategic bolt-on acquisition of approximately 30,000 net acres in the Eagle Ford, enhancing the quality and quantity of its inventory with high-return potential.
International Success
EOG announced an oil discovery in Trinidad, continuing its 30-year success in the region and plans to start drilling in Bahrain in the second half of 2025.
Natural Gas Growth
EOG plans for a 12% year-over-year growth in natural gas production, supported by a robust LNG and power demand outlook.
Sustainability Targets
EOG set new sustainability goals, including reducing GHG emissions intensity by 25% from 2019 levels by 2030 and maintaining near-zero methane emissions through 2030.
Negative Updates
Reduced Capital Investment
EOG reduced its 2025 capital investment by $200 million, citing potential impacts on global demand due to ongoing tariff discussions.
Softened Oil Prices
Near-term oil prices softened due to speculation on oil demand impacts associated with tariff announcements.
Infrastructure and Exploration Adjustments
EOG reduced activity in the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, and Powder River Basin, though maintained activity in the Utica and Dorado plays.
Company Guidance
During the EOG Resources First Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance that reflected its strong financial performance and strategic adjustments. EOG reported $1.6 billion in adjusted net income and generated $1.3 billion in free cash flow, returning $1.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. The company reduced its 2025 capital investment by $200 million, aiming to enhance free cash flow while maintaining 2% year-over-year oil growth. Operationally, EOG achieved a 12% increase in natural gas production, with a breakeven price of $1.40 per Mcf at its Dorado play. The company plans to maintain 2025 oil production levels throughout the year, with a projected total production growth of 5%. EOG's balance sheet remains strong with $6.6 billion in cash and $4.7 billion in long-term debt, following a $500 million debt repayment. Additionally, EOG announced a strategic bolt-on acquisition in the Eagle Ford, adding 30,000 net acres to its portfolio, and an oil discovery in Trinidad, which underscores its continued exploration success.

EOG Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EOG Resources demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profitability and a stable balance sheet. The low debt-to-equity ratio and high return on equity are significant strengths. While cash flow generation is solid, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern that needs monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
EOG Resources demonstrates strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 77.16% and a net profit margin of 25.95%. The company's revenue has remained stable with a slight TTM growth of 0.13% compared to the previous year. The EBIT margin of 33.16% and EBITDA margin of 59.50% indicate efficient operational performance. However, the decline in EBIT from 2024 suggests potential challenges in maintaining this efficiency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17, indicating conservative leverage. The TTM return on equity is strong at 20.58%, reflecting effective utilization of shareholders' equity. An equity ratio of 62.84% suggests solid financial stability. Despite these strengths, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over recent periods warrants attention.
Cash Flow
79
Positive
EOG Resources shows robust cash flow generation with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.90. However, the free cash flow growth rate shows a decline of 17.37%, highlighting potential challenges in sustaining free cash flow levels. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.92, indicating the company's ability to convert net income into cash effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.41B23.38B23.27B29.49B19.67B9.87B
Gross Profit16.21B17.70B14.49B24.00B14.32B4.95B
EBITDA12.05B12.54B13.46B13.87B10.14B3.87B
Net Income6.08B6.40B7.59B7.76B4.66B-604.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.98B47.19B43.86B41.37B38.24B35.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.60B7.09B5.28B5.97B5.21B3.33B
Total Debt5.06B5.07B4.80B5.37B5.35B6.11B
Total Liabilities17.47B17.84B15.77B16.59B16.06B15.50B
Stockholders Equity29.52B29.35B28.09B24.78B22.18B20.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.61B6.79B5.16B2.15B4.94B1.54B
Operating Cash Flow11.53B12.14B11.34B3.17B8.79B5.01B
Investing Cash Flow-5.80B-5.97B-6.34B-837.00M-3.42B-3.35B
Financing Cash Flow-4.42B-4.36B-5.69B-1.41B-3.49B-359.02M

EOG Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price123.15
Price Trends
50DMA
115.34
Positive
100DMA
118.56
Positive
200DMA
122.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.02
Positive
RSI
60.44
Neutral
STOCH
44.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EOG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 123.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 120.56, above the 50-day MA of 115.34, and above the 200-day MA of 122.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EOG.

EOG Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
COCOP
80
Outperform
$118.26B11.8916.61%3.33%4.01%-10.91%
EOEOG
80
Outperform
$67.21B11.4320.90%3.17%-0.23%-14.82%
HEHES
77
Outperform
$44.54B19.9520.82%1.39%8.08%10.59%
DVDVN
75
Outperform
$21.34B7.5620.88%2.89%12.06%-16.37%
OXOXY
75
Outperform
$43.11B17.739.43%2.19%1.35%-33.30%
71
Outperform
$41.17B8.6214.26%2.84%47.89%-7.87%
71
Outperform
$41.17B8.6214.26%2.84%47.89%-7.87%
68
Neutral
$15.14B9.956.38%5.21%4.16%-67.19%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EOG
EOG Resources
123.15
1.27
1.04%
COP
Conocophillips
93.68
-15.15
-13.92%
DVN
Devon Energy
33.23
-11.84
-26.27%
HES
Hess
144.03
-0.51
-0.35%
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
43.80
-15.98
-26.73%
FANG
Diamondback
140.90
-56.26
-28.54%
FANG
Diamondback
140.90
-56.26
-28.54%

EOG Resources Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
EOG Resources Completes $3.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, EOG Resources, Inc. completed a $3.5 billion public offering of senior notes, which includes various maturities and interest rates. This strategic financial move aims to bolster EOG’s capital structure, potentially enhancing its market position by providing additional liquidity and financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOG) stock is a Hold with a $147.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EOG Resources stock, see the EOG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
EOG Resources Enters $3.5 Billion Underwriting Agreement
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On June 16, 2025, EOG Resources, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with several financial institutions for the sale of senior notes totaling $3.5 billion, with varying maturity dates between 2028 and 2055. The transaction, expected to close on July 1, 2025, involves customary indemnification and contribution provisions, and highlights EOG’s ongoing financial strategies and relationships with major underwriters, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOG) stock is a Buy with a $146.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EOG Resources stock, see the EOG Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
EOG Resources Announces $5.6 Billion Acquisition Deal
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On May 30, 2025, EOG Resources, Inc. announced an agreement to acquire all outstanding equity interests in Encino Acquisition Partners, LLC for $5.6 billion in cash. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance EOG’s operational capabilities and strengthen its market position, subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOG) stock is a Buy with a $161.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EOG Resources stock, see the EOG Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividends
EOG Resources Announces $5.6 Billion Acquisition Deal
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, EOG Resources announced a definitive agreement to acquire Encino Acquisition Partners for $5.6 billion, enhancing its position in the Utica shale play. This acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive to EOG’s financial metrics, expanding its multi-basin portfolio and increasing its production capacity, while also supporting a 5% increase in regular dividends.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOG) stock is a Buy with a $146.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EOG Resources stock, see the EOG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
EOG Resources Stockholders Approve Directors and Auditors
Positive
May 27, 2025

On May 21, 2025, EOG Resources, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders via webcast, where eight directors were elected, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as auditors, and executive compensation was approved. The election results showed strong support for the nominees, with each receiving over 94% of the votes, and the ratification of auditors and executive compensation also received overwhelming approval, indicating solid backing from the stockholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOG) stock is a Buy with a $146.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EOG Resources stock, see the EOG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
EOG Resources Secures New Abu Dhabi Oil Concession
Positive
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, EOG Resources announced it was awarded a new oil exploration concession for Unconventional Onshore Block 3 by Abu Dhabi’s Supreme Council for Financial and Economic Affairs. The concession covers 3,609 square kilometers in the Al Dhafra region of Abu Dhabi, where EOG holds 100 percent equity and operatorship. In collaboration with Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, EOG plans to explore and appraise unconventional oil, with drilling expected to start in the second half of 2025. This strategic move could enhance EOG’s industry positioning by expanding its resource potential in a hydrocarbon-rich basin.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOG) stock is a Buy with a $146.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EOG Resources stock, see the EOG Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
EOG Resources Releases Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 1, 2025

EOG Resources, Inc. has released its first quarter 2025 financial and operational results, along with forecasts for the second quarter and full year 2025. The announcement provides insights into the company’s performance, including operating revenues and expenses, which are crucial for stakeholders to assess EOG’s market positioning and financial health.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025