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EOG Resources (EOG)
NYSE:EOG

EOG Resources (EOG) AI Stock Analysis

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EO

EOG Resources

(NYSE:EOG)

81Outperform
EOG Resources achieves a strong overall stock score, driven by its solid financial performance and effective strategic adjustments highlighted during the earnings call. The company benefits from a healthy balance sheet, efficient operations, and attractive valuation metrics. While technical indicators show mixed signals, EOG's strategic acquisitions and sustainability initiatives enhance its future growth prospects despite some near-term challenges in oil prices.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
EOG posted strong results exceeding expectations across production, DCFPS, EBITDA, and FCF on lower capital expenditures.
Shareholder Returns
The company continues to execute on capital returns with nearly 100% of its free cash flow returned to shareholders via dividends and buybacks.
Negative Factors
Operational Adjustments
EOG is cutting one rig from the 16 rig program it has run consistently since 2023, with net completions cut from 375 to 360, and full year oil production lowered.
Profitability Concerns
Concerns are raised about the aggregate cash margin for EOG Resources, which may give bears a reason to question longer-term returns.

EOG Resources (EOG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

EOG Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEOG Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, and natural gas and natural gas liquids. Its principal producing areas are in New Mexico and Texas in the United States; and the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago. As of December 31, 2021, it had total estimated net proved reserves of 3,747 million barrels of oil equivalent, including 1,548 million barrels (MMBbl) of crude oil and condensate reserves; 829 MMBbl of natural gas liquid reserves; and 8,222 billion cubic feet of natural gas reserves. The company was formerly known as Enron Oil & Gas Company. EOG Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyEOG Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company's revenue model is largely driven by production volumes, commodity prices, and operational efficiencies. EOG focuses on low-cost, high-return drilling projects, leveraging its technological expertise and vast acreage in key resource plays such as the Eagle Ford, Permian Basin, and Bakken. The company's earnings are influenced by global energy demand, market prices for hydrocarbons, and its ability to manage costs effectively. EOG also benefits from strategic partnerships and agreements that enhance its market reach and operational capabilities.

EOG Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EOG Resources presents a strong financial profile characterized by solid profitability, efficient operations, and a stable balance sheet. The company's low leverage and high return on equity are significant strengths. While cash flow generation is robust, declining free cash flow growth requires monitoring. Overall, EOG Resources is well-positioned within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry, with a focus on maintaining operational efficiency and financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
EOG Resources demonstrates strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 77.16% and a net profit margin of 25.95%. The company's revenue has remained stable with a slight TTM growth of 0.13% compared to the previous year. The EBIT margin of 33.16% and EBITDA margin of 59.50% indicate efficient operational performance. However, the decline in EBIT from 2024 suggests potential challenges in maintaining this efficiency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17, indicating conservative leverage. The TTM return on equity is strong at 20.58%, reflecting effective utilization of shareholders' equity. An equity ratio of 62.84% suggests solid financial stability. Despite these strengths, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over recent periods warrants attention.
Cash Flow
79
Positive
EOG Resources shows robust cash flow generation with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.90. However, the free cash flow growth rate shows a decline of 17.37%, highlighting potential challenges in sustaining free cash flow levels. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.92, indicating the company's ability to convert net income into cash effectively.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
23.38B23.27B29.49B19.67B9.87B
Gross Profit
17.70B14.49B24.00B14.32B4.95B
EBIT
8.08B9.60B14.37B6.10B468.14M
EBITDA
12.54B13.46B13.87B10.14B3.87B
Net Income Common Stockholders
6.40B7.59B7.76B4.66B-604.57M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.09B5.28B5.97B5.21B3.33B
Total Assets
47.19B43.86B41.37B38.24B35.80B
Total Debt
5.07B4.80B5.37B5.35B6.11B
Net Debt
-2.02B-478.00M-598.00M140.00M2.78B
Total Liabilities
17.84B15.77B16.59B16.06B15.50B
Stockholders Equity
29.35B28.09B24.78B22.18B20.30B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.79B5.16B2.15B4.94B1.54B
Operating Cash Flow
12.14B11.34B3.17B8.79B5.01B
Investing Cash Flow
-5.97B-6.34B-837.00M-3.42B-3.35B
Financing Cash Flow
-4.36B-5.69B-1.41B-3.49B-359.02M

EOG Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price110.86
Price Trends
50DMA
118.90
Negative
100DMA
122.73
Negative
200DMA
123.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.03
Negative
RSI
44.44
Neutral
STOCH
48.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EOG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 110.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 109.81, below the 50-day MA of 118.90, and below the 200-day MA of 123.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EOG.

EOG Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
EOEOG
81
Outperform
$61.60B9.9222.29%3.38%0.88%-13.66%
COCOP
77
Outperform
$109.21B11.0716.16%3.44%-2.57%-14.01%
DVDVN
76
Outperform
$20.23B6.8921.77%4.01%3.00%-21.63%
74
Outperform
$37.94B8.3112.20%4.61%31.55%-9.00%
HEHES
71
Outperform
$40.92B14.7320.82%1.49%8.08%
OXOXY
68
Neutral
$38.16B16.618.88%2.23%-4.35%-37.69%
56
Neutral
$6.99B3.72-4.39%5.96%-0.24%-48.44%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EOG
EOG Resources
110.86
-15.72
-12.42%
COP
Conocophillips
91.41
-28.66
-23.87%
DVN
Devon Energy
31.44
-17.80
-36.15%
HES
Hess
132.31
-24.89
-15.83%
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
40.61
-23.28
-36.44%
FANG
Diamondback
136.81
-60.59
-30.69%

EOG Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
EOG Resources demonstrated strong financial and operational performance in Q1 2025, with significant shareholder returns and strategic acquisitions. However, the company reduced its capital investment and faced softened oil prices due to tariff-related market uncertainties. Overall, EOG remains well-positioned for future growth and sustainability, despite some near-term challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
EOG reported $1.6 billion in adjusted net income and generated $1.3 billion in free cash flow in Q1 2025, returning $1.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Operational Excellence
EOG's production and total per unit cash operating costs exceeded targets, and the company maintained a low cost structure, enhancing its ability to flex activity across high-return investments.
Eagle Ford Acquisition
EOG completed a strategic bolt-on acquisition of approximately 30,000 net acres in the Eagle Ford, enhancing the quality and quantity of its inventory with high-return potential.
International Success
EOG announced an oil discovery in Trinidad, continuing its 30-year success in the region and plans to start drilling in Bahrain in the second half of 2025.
Natural Gas Growth
EOG plans for a 12% year-over-year growth in natural gas production, supported by a robust LNG and power demand outlook.
Sustainability Targets
EOG set new sustainability goals, including reducing GHG emissions intensity by 25% from 2019 levels by 2030 and maintaining near-zero methane emissions through 2030.
Negative Updates
Reduced Capital Investment
EOG reduced its 2025 capital investment by $200 million, citing potential impacts on global demand due to ongoing tariff discussions.
Softened Oil Prices
Near-term oil prices softened due to speculation on oil demand impacts associated with tariff announcements.
Infrastructure and Exploration Adjustments
EOG reduced activity in the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, and Powder River Basin, though maintained activity in the Utica and Dorado plays.
Company Guidance
During the EOG Resources First Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance that reflected its strong financial performance and strategic adjustments. EOG reported $1.6 billion in adjusted net income and generated $1.3 billion in free cash flow, returning $1.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. The company reduced its 2025 capital investment by $200 million, aiming to enhance free cash flow while maintaining 2% year-over-year oil growth. Operationally, EOG achieved a 12% increase in natural gas production, with a breakeven price of $1.40 per Mcf at its Dorado play. The company plans to maintain 2025 oil production levels throughout the year, with a projected total production growth of 5%. EOG's balance sheet remains strong with $6.6 billion in cash and $4.7 billion in long-term debt, following a $500 million debt repayment. Additionally, EOG announced a strategic bolt-on acquisition in the Eagle Ford, adding 30,000 net acres to its portfolio, and an oil discovery in Trinidad, which underscores its continued exploration success.

EOG Resources Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
EOG Resources Releases Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 1, 2025

EOG Resources, Inc. has released its first quarter 2025 financial and operational results, along with forecasts for the second quarter and full year 2025. The announcement provides insights into the company’s performance, including operating revenues and expenses, which are crucial for stakeholders to assess EOG’s market positioning and financial health.

Spark’s Take on EOG Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, EOG is a Outperform.

EOG Resources demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and a solid balance sheet. The company’s strategic growth initiatives and shareholder returns are notable positives. However, technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and upcoming challenges such as increased operating expenses and wider natural gas differentials pose risks. The valuation remains attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, contributing positively to the overall outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on EOG stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
EOG Resources Announces Q4 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

EOG Resources released its fourth quarter 2024 financial and operational results, along with forecasts for the first quarter and full year 2025. The announcement provides insights into the company’s financial performance and operational strategies, which are critical for stakeholders assessing EOG’s market positioning and future prospects.

Executive/Board Changes
EOG Resources Board Member Donald Textor to Retire
Neutral
Feb 11, 2025

On February 7, 2025, Donald F. Textor announced his decision to retire from the Board of Directors of EOG Resources, Inc. at the end of his current term, choosing not to stand for re-election at the 2025 annual stockholders meeting. Textor, who has served on the board since 2001, played a crucial role in EOG’s growth from a small exploration and production company to a major independent player in the oil and gas sector, contributing significantly to its successful navigation through various commodity price cycles.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.