Conocophillips (COP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $120.40B
• Dividend Yield: 3.27%
• Average Volume (3M): 8.61M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 12.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.62
• Revenue Growth: 4.01%
• EPS Growth: -10.91%
• Country: US
• Employees: 11,800
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 57
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 2.09
• Shares Outstanding: 1,262,410,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,837,745
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 8,605,200
• PEG Ratio: 14.05
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.83
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.81
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.13
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.61
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.90
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.34
• 1Y Price Target: $114.11
• Price Target Upside: 19.35% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 18

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: $106.00 ▲(10.87%Upside)

ConocoPhillips' overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic management, leading to robust operational results and shareholder returns. The company's valuation is attractive, and while technical indicators are neutral, the focus on capital efficiency and resilience in a challenging macro environment supports a positive outlook.

Positive Factors

Earnings

COP reported solid 1Q results, with adjusted EPS exceeding expectations, driven by strong price realizations and total production surpassing consensus estimates.

Growth Potential

A projected 6% cash flow and 13% free cash flow compound annual growth rate from 2025-2029 suggests strong long-term growth potential.

Shareholder Returns

ConocoPhillips is committed to delivering even higher shareholder returns of USD10bn.

Negative Factors

Cash Flow

Higher cash taxes relative to expectations resulted in modestly lighter cash flow per share results.

Share Buybacks

Management indicated a potential slowdown in share buybacks due to declining commodity prices, which may impact returns to shareholders in the upcoming period.

Tax Impact

Cash flow from operations in Q2'25 is expected to be impacted by a significant tax headwind.

Conocophillips Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ConocoPhillips is a leading global energy company engaged in the exploration, production, transportation, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Operating across various sectors within the energy industry, ConocoPhillips focuses on the efficient and safe extraction of energy resources, utilizing advanced technologies and sustainable practices. The company's core products and services are centered around the upstream segment of the oil and gas industry, with a significant presence in key regions such as North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

ConocoPhillips generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. As an upstream company, it focuses on finding and extracting these resources from the ground, subsequently selling them to refineries and other buyers in the energy market. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) at market prices, which can fluctuate based on global supply and demand dynamics. Additionally, ConocoPhillips leverages strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its exploration and production capabilities, optimize costs, and gain access to new resources and markets. Factors such as commodity prices, operational efficiency, and geopolitical developments significantly impact the company's earnings.

Conocophillips Financial Statement Overview

Summary

ConocoPhillips demonstrates robust financial health with strong revenue growth, healthy profit margins, and efficient cash flow management. The company's moderate leverage and strong equity position support its growth potential despite the volatile industry environment.

Income Statement

ConocoPhillips shows strong financial performance with a consistent revenue growth trend from $45.83B in 2021 to $58.53B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The Gross Profit Margin is robust at 40.1% TTM, and the Net Profit Margin is impressive at 16.3% TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 36.6% and 43.6% respectively, indicating efficient operational management. Although there was a slight revenue decline in 2023, the overall trajectory remains positive.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial position with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.36 TTM, demonstrating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity stands at 14.6% TTM, indicating good profitability on shareholders' investments. The Equity Ratio is solid at 52.5% TTM, showing a stable capital structure. However, a consistent increase in total assets is slightly offset by increasing liabilities.

Cash Flow

ConocoPhillips exhibits strong cash flow generation with a Free Cash Flow of $12.05B TTM, a significant increase from $8.01B in 2024. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is 2.23 TTM, suggesting efficient cash utilization. However, there is a need to monitor capital expenditures, which have fluctuated significantly over the periods.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	57.41B	54.74B	57.86B	78.49B	45.83B	18.78B
Gross Profit	17.17B	16.38B	28.19B	30.01B	14.77B	841.00M
EBITDA	25.67B	24.43B	25.78B	37.13B	21.09B	4.52B
Net Income	9.54B	9.24B	10.96B	18.68B	8.08B	-2.65B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	124.25B	122.78B	95.92B	93.83B	90.66B	62.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.24B	6.11B	6.61B	9.24B	6.59B	7.86B
Total Debt	23.78B	24.32B	19.63B	16.64B	19.93B	15.37B
Total Liabilities	59.02B	57.98B	46.65B	45.83B	45.26B	32.77B
Stockholders Equity	65.24B	64.80B	49.28B	48.00B	45.41B	29.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	12.05B	8.01B	8.72B	18.16B	11.67B	87.00M
Operating Cash Flow	21.25B	20.12B	19.96B	28.31B	17.00B	4.80B
Investing Cash Flow	-8.18B	-11.15B	-12.00B	-8.74B	-8.54B	-4.12B
Financing Cash Flow	-9.15B	-8.84B	-8.66B	-18.05B	-6.33B	-2.71B

Conocophillips Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 95.61
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 95.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.28, above the 50-day MA of 90.34, and below the 200-day MA of 97.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COP.

Conocophillips Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EOG	82 Outperform	$66.44B	11.30	20.90%	3.20%	-0.23%	-14.82%
COP	80 Outperform	$120.40B	12.11	16.61%	3.27%	4.01%	-10.91%
DVN	79 Outperform	$22.21B	7.73	20.88%	2.83%	12.06%	-16.37%
OXY	75 Outperform	$45.12B	18.56	9.43%	2.09%	1.35%	-33.30%
FANG	75 Outperform	$41.52B	8.75	14.26%	2.80%	47.89%	-7.87%
HES	74 Outperform	$46.66B	21.06	20.82%	1.31%	8.08%	10.59%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$15.33B	10.06	6.34%	5.18%	4.06%	-67.04%

Conocophillips Corporate Events

ConocoPhillips Expands Board with New Appointment

On July 1, 2025, ConocoPhillips announced the appointment of Kathleen McGinty to its Board of Directors, expanding the board from 12 to 13 members. McGinty, who brings extensive experience in sustainability and leadership roles in both the private and public sectors, will serve on the Audit and Finance Committee and the Public Policy and Sustainability Committee. Her appointment is expected to enhance the board’s perspective on sustainability as ConocoPhillips continues to focus on its returns-focused value proposition.

The most recent analyst rating on (COP) stock is a Buy with a $131.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conocophillips stock, see the COP Stock Forecast page.

ConocoPhillips Annual Meeting Elects Directors, Approves Auditor

On May 13, 2025, ConocoPhillips held its annual stockholders meeting, where all 12 nominated directors were elected for a one-year term, and Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025. The advisory vote on executive compensation was approved, but a proposal to eliminate supermajority voting provisions and a stockholder proposal to remove emissions reduction targets were not passed.

The most recent analyst rating on (COP) stock is a Buy with a $151.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conocophillips stock, see the COP Stock Forecast page.