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Chevron Corp (CVX)
NYSE:CVX
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Chevron (CVX) AI Stock Analysis

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CVX

Chevron

(NYSE:CVX)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$177.00
â–˛(15.39% Upside)
Chevron's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record production and successful strategic integrations. However, concerns about valuation and recent declines in cash flow metrics slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Production and Cash Generation
Chevron's record production and strong cash generation indicate robust operational efficiency and market demand, supporting long-term growth.
Hess Integration Success
Successful integration of Hess assets enhances Chevron's operational scale and efficiency, contributing positively to its competitive position.
ACES Green Hydrogen Project
The launch of the ACES project positions Chevron in the renewable energy sector, diversifying its portfolio and aligning with industry trends.
Negative Factors
Decreased Adjusted Earnings
The decline in adjusted earnings reflects challenges in maintaining profitability amidst fluctuating market conditions, impacting long-term financial performance.
Challenges in Other Segments
Increased expenses and unfavorable tax effects in other segments could strain resources and limit Chevron's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth suggests potential market challenges and operational inefficiencies, which could hinder Chevron's long-term expansion plans.

Chevron (CVX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chevron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChevron Corporation (CVX) is a global energy company headquartered in San Ramon, California. It operates in various sectors of the energy industry, including oil and gas exploration and production, refining, and marketing. Chevron is involved in the development of renewable energy sources and technologies, alongside its traditional operations. The company's core products and services encompass crude oil, natural gas, refined petroleum products, and petrochemicals, positioning it as one of the largest integrated energy companies worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyChevron generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's upstream segment focuses on finding and extracting oil and gas resources, which are then sold in global markets. The downstream segment encompasses refining operations, where crude oil is transformed into consumable products, including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, which are sold through retail and commercial channels. Additionally, Chevron's chemicals segment produces and sells petrochemicals, enhancing its revenue base. Significant partnerships, joint ventures, and strategic alliances with other industry players and governments also contribute to Chevron's financial performance, allowing the company to expand its operational capabilities and access new markets. Furthermore, fluctuations in commodity prices, efficient cost management, and investments in technology and renewable energy sources play crucial roles in driving the company's profitability.

Chevron Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Oil Production by Geography
Net Oil Production by Geography
Tracks oil output across various regions, indicating Chevron’s production capabilities, regional growth opportunities, and potential geopolitical risks.
Chart InsightsChevron's U.S. oil production has surged, driven by strategic moves like the Hess merger and Permian Basin expansion, resulting in a 60% increase over two years. This aligns with Chevron's record-setting production achievements and operational efficiencies. Despite international production remaining relatively stable, the U.S. growth underscores Chevron's focus on domestic expansion and high-margin opportunities. The earnings call highlights further growth prospects, with Chevron aiming for the upper end of its production guidance range, signaling strong future performance potential.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Chevron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Chevron's strong production and financial performance, successful integration of Hess, and advancements in projects like the ACES green hydrogen project. However, there were challenges such as the El Segundo refinery fire and decreased earnings compared to last year. Despite these challenges, the positive aspects were more prominent.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production and Strong Cash Generation
Chevron delivered record production exceeding 4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, driven by strong growth and high reliability across the upstream segment.
Hess Integration Success
Hess integration is on track with synergies being realized and asset performance exceeding expectations, contributing $150 million in the quarter.
ACES Green Hydrogen Project Launch
Chevron achieved first production at the ACES green hydrogen project in Utah.
Strong Financial Performance
Chevron reported earnings of $3.5 billion, or $1.82 per share, with adjusted earnings of $3.6 billion, or $1.85 per share. Cash flow from operations was $9.9 billion, a 20% increase compared to the same quarter last year.
Successful Permian Basin Operations
Chevron's production in the Permian Basin was up 60,000 barrels a day, highlighting efficiency gains and strong performance with fewer rigs.
Strong Cash Returns to Shareholders
Cash returned to shareholders totaled $6 billion, covered by adjusted free cash flow.
Negative Updates
El Segundo Refinery Fire
A fire occurred at the El Segundo refinery. However, there were no serious injuries, and supply commitments were met.
Decreased Adjusted Earnings Compared to Last Year
Adjusted third quarter earnings were down $900 million compared to the previous year, due to lower liquids realizations and higher DD&A from increased production.
Challenges in Other Segments
Other segment earnings decreased due to higher interest expense, corporate charges, and unfavorable tax effects.
Company Guidance
During Chevron's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic updates were highlighted. Worldwide production exceeded 4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, with significant contributions from legacy Hess assets. Chevron reported earnings of $3.5 billion, or $1.82 per share, with adjusted earnings at $3.6 billion, or $1.85 per share. Organic capital expenditures (CapEx) for the quarter were $4.4 billion, aligning with the full-year guidance of $17 to $17.5 billion. Adjusted upstream earnings increased, driven by higher liftings, though offset by higher depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&A). Adjusted downstream earnings rose due to improved refining volumes and chemical margins. Cash flow from operations, excluding working capital, was $9.9 billion, representing a 20% year-on-year increase. Adjusted free cash flow stood at $7 billion, and cash returned to shareholders totaled $6 billion. The company anticipates continued strong cash generation, supported by capital efficiency and growth in high-margin assets, with production growth expected at the top end of the 6% to 8% guidance range, excluding legacy Hess contributions.

Chevron Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chevron demonstrates financial stability with strong profitability and a solid balance sheet. However, recent declines in revenue growth and cash flow metrics highlight potential areas of concern. The company remains well-positioned in the industry but should address operational efficiencies to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Chevron's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin and consistent profitability, although recent revenue growth has been negative. The TTM data indicates a decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting potential challenges in operational efficiency. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a solid net profit margin.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Chevron's balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity remains healthy, although it has decreased over the past year. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a stable financial position.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, which could be a concern. However, the company maintains a reasonable free cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. Operating cash flow has decreased, impacting overall cash flow health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue188.49B193.41B196.91B235.72B155.61B94.47B
Gross Profit35.42B56.93B60.39B65.59B45.43B22.82B
EBITDA41.71B45.81B47.81B67.00B39.36B10.44B
Net Income12.78B17.66B21.37B35.47B15.63B-5.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets326.50B256.94B261.63B257.71B239.53B239.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.54B6.79B8.22B17.90B5.67B5.63B
Total Debt41.54B24.54B20.84B23.34B31.37B44.31B
Total Liabilities136.66B103.78B99.70B97.47B99.59B107.06B
Stockholders Equity189.84B152.32B160.96B159.28B139.07B131.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.16B15.04B19.78B37.63B21.09B1.68B
Operating Cash Flow31.70B31.49B35.61B49.60B29.19B10.58B
Investing Cash Flow-8.33B-8.94B-15.23B-12.11B-5.87B-6.96B
Financing Cash Flow-20.48B-23.47B-30.11B-24.98B-23.11B-3.74B

Chevron Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price153.39
Price Trends
50DMA
155.74
Negative
100DMA
152.94
Negative
200DMA
148.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
45.18
Neutral
STOCH
12.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 153.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 153.68, below the 50-day MA of 155.74, and above the 200-day MA of 148.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CVX.

Chevron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$132.87B9.6012.27%5.99%-9.52%-11.66%
78
Outperform
$212.53B14.978.06%3.79%-6.96%0.03%
75
Outperform
$481.35B16.5811.32%3.46%-4.17%-14.15%
74
Outperform
$314.05B21.667.38%4.29%-3.48%-22.05%
73
Outperform
$74.02B5.5719.48%13.74%-13.68%-13.96%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$90.56B148.812.52%5.48%-4.11%-37.59%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVX
Chevron
152.66
2.69
1.79%
BP
BP
35.68
7.15
25.06%
XOM
Exxon Mobil
113.68
-3.24
-2.77%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
12.14
0.34
2.88%
SHEL
Shell
74.61
8.81
13.39%
TTE
TotalEnergies
60.99
1.21
2.02%

Chevron Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Chevron Announces Upcoming Controller Transition
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Chevron announced that Alana K. Knowles will resign as Controller, effective February 28, 2026, in anticipation of her retirement in April 2026. The Board of Directors has appointed Amit R. Ghai as the new Controller, effective March 1, 2026, who has been with Chevron since 2004 and has extensive experience in finance, accounting, and treasury.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVX) stock is a Buy with a $176.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chevron stock, see the CVX Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Chevron Reveals Q3 2025 Financial Impact from Hess Deal
Negative
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Chevron Corporation announced preliminary financial estimates for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting the impact of its acquisition of Hess Corporation. The acquisition is expected to result in a loss of $200 to $400 million, although adjusted earnings excluding transaction costs are estimated to be between $50 and $150 million. The company anticipates realizing synergies from the Hess transaction in future earnings, with significant cash outflows related to severance and transaction costs occurring in the third quarter. Chevron also expects a working capital outflow of $0.5 to $1.5 billion during this period.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVX) stock is a Buy with a $191.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chevron stock, see the CVX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Chevron Issues $5.5 Billion in Notes for Funding
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Chevron U.S.A. Inc., a subsidiary of Chevron Corporation, issued a series of notes totaling $5.5 billion with varying maturity dates ranging from 2027 to 2035. This issuance, guaranteed by Chevron Corporation, aims to strengthen the company’s financial position by securing long-term funding through both fixed and floating rate notes, potentially impacting its debt structure and market standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVX) stock is a Buy with a $169.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chevron stock, see the CVX Stock Forecast page.

Chevron’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

Chevron’s recent earnings call painted a largely positive picture, highlighting the company’s robust operational performance and strategic accomplishments. Despite facing challenges such as a drop in adjusted earnings and negative foreign currency impacts, Chevron’s significant achievements and strategic advancements took center stage, leading to an overall positive sentiment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025