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Equinor (EQNR)
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Equinor ASA (EQNR) AI Stock Analysis

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EQNR

Equinor ASA

(NYSE:EQNR)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
â–²(13.99% Upside)
Equinor's overall stock score reflects strong valuation metrics and solid financial performance, despite some challenges in net profitability and cash flow efficiency. Technical analysis indicates mixed signals, while the earnings call reveals operational strengths but also financial and safety challenges. The high dividend yield and reasonable P/E ratio are significant positives.
Positive Factors
Renewable Energy Expansion
Equinor's focus on reducing costs in its renewables segment indicates a strategic shift towards sustainable energy, enhancing long-term growth prospects in a transitioning energy market.
Production Growth
The increase in production reflects operational efficiency and resource optimization, strengthening Equinor's market position and revenue potential in the energy sector.
Strategic Joint Ventures
The JV in lithium resources diversifies Equinor's portfolio, aligning with global energy trends and enhancing its strategic positioning in the critical minerals market.
Negative Factors
Net Profit Margin Decline
The decline in net profit margin suggests challenges in maintaining profitability, potentially impacting Equinor's ability to generate sustainable earnings over time.
Increased Leverage
Rising leverage can constrain financial flexibility, increasing risk and potentially affecting Equinor's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.
Safety Challenges
Safety incidents can lead to operational disruptions and regulatory scrutiny, impacting Equinor's reputation and operational efficiency in the long term.

Equinor ASA (EQNR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equinor ASA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquinor ASA (EQNR) is a Norwegian multinational energy company primarily engaged in oil and gas exploration, production, and renewable energy solutions. Established in 1972, Equinor is a significant player in the oil and gas sector, focusing on both conventional resources in the North Sea and emerging renewable markets, including offshore wind and solar energy. The company operates across various segments, including exploration and production, renewable energy, and midstream operations, with a commitment to sustainability and reducing carbon emissions.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquinor generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of oil and natural gas. The company earns money from the extraction and sale of hydrocarbons, which are sold on the global market at prevailing prices. Additionally, Equinor is investing heavily in renewable energy projects, particularly in offshore wind, which is expected to be a significant source of revenue as the world transitions to cleaner energy. The company also engages in midstream activities, including transportation and storage of oil and gas, which contribute to its revenue. Strategic partnerships, such as joint ventures with other energy companies, enhance its exploration capabilities and market reach, further solidifying its earnings potential.

Equinor ASA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive operational achievements, such as the launch of the Bacalhau project and production increases, balanced by financial challenges including negative net income and significant impairments. The company demonstrated strong cost management and maintained a robust capital distribution strategy, but faced setbacks in safety and unforeseen project risks.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Bacalhau Project Launch
Bacalhau, the first presalt project in Brazil by an international operator, started production in October with a capacity of 220,000 barrels per day. This marks a significant step in international growth.
Production Increase
Overall production increased by 7% from the third quarter of the previous year, with notable growth in NCS production at 9%.
Cost Management Success
Operating costs for the Renewables business decreased by around 50% compared to the previous year, with expectations for a 30% decrease annually.
Capital Distribution
Total capital distribution for the year is expected to be around $9 billion, including a cash dividend and a share buyback program.
Empire Wind Project Progress
The Empire Wind project in New York is progressing well with all 54 monopiles installed.
Negative Updates
Negative Net Income
The net income for the third quarter was negative $0.2 billion, impacted by net impairments due to a lower long-term oil price outlook.
Impairments
Net impairments totaled $754 million, driven by lower long-term oil price assumptions, significantly impacting E&P International and U.S. offshore assets.
Safety Incident
There was a tragic fatality at Mongstad, highlighting ongoing safety challenges.
Financial Item Losses
Adjusted earnings per share were $0.37, impacted by negative results from financial items and a one-off decommissioning effect.
Empire Wind Installation Vessel Issue
A contractual issue with Maersk regarding the wind turbine installation vessel for Empire Wind poses a potential risk to future development progress.
Company Guidance
In the Equinor Q3 analyst call, CFO Torgrim Reitan highlighted several key metrics and strategic actions. The company reported a 7% increase in production compared to the same quarter last year, producing 2,130,000 barrels per day, with significant contributions from the Johan Sverdrup and Johan Castberg fields. Adjusted operating income stood at $6.2 billion before tax, while net income was negative $0.2 billion due to net impairments linked to a lower long-term oil price outlook. Year-to-date cash flow from operations after tax was robust at $14.7 billion, and operating costs for the Renewables business decreased by around 50% from the previous year. The company maintained its guidance for 4% production growth and stable costs, reflecting strong operational performance and a disciplined approach to capital management. The Board declared an ordinary cash dividend of $0.37 per share, with a total capital distribution for the year estimated at around $9 billion. Additionally, the net debt-to-capital employed ratio decreased to 12.2%, with expectations to remain at the lower end of the 15% to 30% guided range by year-end.

Equinor ASA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equinor ASA demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability with solid gross and EBIT margins. However, challenges include declining net profit margins and reduced return on equity. The balance sheet remains stable, though leverage has increased slightly. Cash flow generation shows some pressure, with declining free cash flow growth. Overall, Equinor is performing well but should focus on improving net profitability and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Equinor ASA has shown strong revenue growth in the TTM period with a 49.9% increase, indicating a robust recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin of 38.9% and EBIT margin of 29.1% reflect solid profitability, although the net profit margin has decreased to 7.7% from 8.6% in the previous year, suggesting some pressure on net earnings. Overall, the income statement indicates a strong performance with some areas for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82 in the TTM period is manageable, showing a slight increase from the previous year, which may indicate rising leverage. The return on equity has decreased significantly to 5.4% from 20.8%, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating a balanced capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but shows signs of increased leverage and reduced return on equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Equinor's cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 13.1% in the TTM period, reflecting challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.55 indicates moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.37 suggests that a significant portion of earnings is being converted into free cash flow, albeit at a reduced rate compared to previous periods. Overall, the cash flow statement highlights some pressure on cash generation and efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue107.07B102.50B106.85B149.00B88.74B45.75B
Gross Profit40.24B42.63B48.04B88.81B41.87B9.53B
EBITDA40.34B41.95B49.59B86.27B44.07B11.96B
Net Income5.73B8.81B11.88B28.75B8.56B-5.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets135.85B131.14B143.58B158.02B147.12B124.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.39B23.45B38.87B39.31B33.28B18.62B
Total Debt30.95B30.09B31.80B32.17B36.24B38.12B
Total Liabilities95.25B88.76B95.08B104.03B108.10B90.92B
Stockholders Equity40.52B42.34B48.49B53.99B39.01B33.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.83B7.93B14.13B26.38B20.78B1.91B
Operating Cash Flow20.36B20.11B24.70B35.14B28.82B10.39B
Investing Cash Flow-6.09B-3.53B-12.41B-15.86B-16.21B-12.09B
Financing Cash Flow-11.94B-17.74B-18.14B-15.41B-4.84B2.99B

Equinor ASA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.81
Price Trends
50DMA
23.81
Negative
100DMA
24.17
Negative
200DMA
23.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
40.24
Neutral
STOCH
22.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQNR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.55, below the 50-day MA of 23.81, and below the 200-day MA of 23.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EQNR.

Equinor ASA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$57.16B18.775.31%5.90%-3.84%15.75%
78
Outperform
$211.82B15.098.06%3.87%-6.96%0.03%
77
Outperform
$142.02B10.2912.27%5.17%-9.52%-11.66%
77
Outperform
$78.24B5.8618.20%12.71%-11.63%-15.67%
69
Neutral
$58.20B10.8213.46%7.51%1.53%-35.81%
68
Neutral
$92.59B60.202.52%5.34%-4.11%-37.59%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQNR
Equinor ASA
22.79
0.18
0.80%
BP
BP
36.36
8.86
32.22%
E
Eni SPA
37.59
10.76
40.10%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
12.55
0.27
2.20%
SHEL
Shell
73.96
12.31
19.97%
TTE
TotalEnergies
65.63
11.61
21.49%

Equinor ASA Corporate Events

Equinor ASA Announces $1.5 Billion Fixed-Rate Notes Issuance
Nov 14, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Equinor ASA announced a pricing agreement to issue and sell $1.5 billion in fixed-rate notes with varying maturities, including $250 million due in 2028, $250 million due in 2030, and $1 billion due in 2035. This move is part of Equinor’s strategy to manage its debt portfolio and finance its operations, potentially impacting its financial stability and market positioning.

Equinor ASA Announces Ex-Dividend Trading on NYSE for Q2 2025
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Equinor ASA announced that its shares will be traded on the New York Stock Exchange without the second quarter 2025 cash dividend, which amounts to USD 0.37 per share. This move is part of the company’s compliance with the Continuing Obligations and the Norwegian Securities Trading Act, potentially impacting shareholder returns and market perceptions.

Equinor ASA Completes Fourth Tranche of 2025 Share Buy-Back Program
Nov 12, 2025

Equinor ASA announced the completion of the fourth tranche of its 2025 share buy-back program, purchasing a total of 1,497,755 shares between November 3 and November 7, 2025, at an average price of NOK 244.6686 per share. This tranche is part of a broader initiative to optimize the company’s capital structure and return value to shareholders, with the total buy-backs under this tranche accumulating to 2,099,507 shares, representing a significant investment in its own equity.

Equinor ASA Executes $1.5 Billion Debt Issuance to Boost Financial Flexibility
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Equinor ASA announced the execution of debt capital market transactions, issuing USD 1.5 billion in notes under its US Shelf Registration Statement. The proceeds from these transactions, which include notes due in 2028, 2030, and 2035, will be used for general corporate purposes, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility. This move is expected to strengthen Equinor’s position in the energy sector by providing additional resources for debt repayment and other strategic initiatives.

Equinor ASA Announces Board Changes Effective October 31, 2025
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Equinor ASA announced a change in its Board of Directors as Tone H. Bachke will step down to focus on her role as EVP and CFO at SHV Holding N.V. This move is part of Equinor’s ongoing efforts to streamline its leadership structure and ensure strategic alignment with its business objectives.

Equinor Completes Third Tranche of 2025 Share Buy-Back Program
Oct 7, 2025

Equinor ASA announced the completion of the third tranche of its 2025 share buy-back program, purchasing 1,327,337 shares between September 29 and October 3, 2025, at an average price of NOK 246.8926 per share. This tranche is part of a broader buy-back initiative aimed at enhancing shareholder value, with a total of 13,377,819 shares bought back under the tranche, reflecting Equinor’s strategic focus on optimizing its capital structure and returning value to shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025