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Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras (PBR)
NYSE:PBR

Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras (PBR) AI Stock Analysis

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PBR

Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras

(NYSE:PBR)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(10.82% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong margins, ROE, and revenue growth) and attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by technical conditions that are extremely overbought (very high RSI/Stoch), and by concerns in cash flow sustainability (negative free cash flow growth and only moderate FCF coverage).
Positive Factors
Pre-salt production leadership
Petrobras’ dominance in pre-salt (82% of output) reflects access to highly productive, low-decline reservoirs and scale advantages. This supports durable production growth, lower unit costs over time, and stronger reserve replacement, underpinning long-term cash generation and strategic positioning.
High profitability metrics
ROE of ~20% signals effective capital allocation and profitable operations. Coupled with high gross and net margins reported, this indicates the company can sustain earnings on invested capital long term, improving reinvestment capacity and resilience across oil-cycle volatility.
Long‑term commercial contracts
Multi‑year, sizeable feedstock deals with Braskem secure predictable volumes and benchmark-linked revenues. These contracts reduce commodity price exposure for a portion of output, support utilization of refining capacity, and provide steady cash flow visibility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow trend
Declining FCF growth (-10% TTM) and modest FCF-to-net-income coverage (0.52) weaken capacity to fund capex, debt maturities and shareholder payouts without drawing on balance sheet or asset sales. Sustained negative FCF trends could constrain strategic investment flexibility.
Recent sales revenue weakness
A notable decline in sales revenues signals exposure to lower domestic product demand and crude price pressures. If sustained, weaker top-line trends can compress operating leverage and slow margin recovery, increasing reliance on cost cuts or asset monetization to sustain cash returns.
Production concentration risk
Heavy concentration in pre-salt assets concentrates geological, operational and regulatory risk. Disruptions, cost overruns, or local regulatory changes in the Santos Basin would disproportionately affect output and cash flows, reducing diversification of the upstream portfolio over the medium term.

Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras (PBR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores for, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation and Marketing; Gas and Power; and Corporate and Other Businesses segments. It engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. The Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, marketing, and trading of crude oil and oil products; exportation of ethanol; and extraction and processing of shale, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Power segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of LNG; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; holding interests in transportation and distribution of natural gas; and fertilizer production and natural gas processing business. The Corporate and Other Businesses segment produces biodiesel and its co-products, and ethanol; and distributes oil products. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyPetrobras generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and refined products. The company’s upstream segment is its largest revenue contributor, where it earns money from the extraction of oil and gas, primarily from offshore fields in Brazil. The midstream segment contributes through the transportation and storage of hydrocarbons, while the downstream segment derives revenue from refining operations and the sale of petroleum products such as gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel. Additionally, Petrobras benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures with international oil companies, which provide access to technology and capital. The company also engages in exporting crude oil to global markets, which is influenced by fluctuating oil prices and demand, further impacting its earnings.

Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in production and CapEx execution, offsetting some of the negative impacts of falling oil prices. The company is on track with its production targets and has demonstrated operational efficiency and strategic planning. However, the decline in oil prices and its impact on financial results present ongoing challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Oil Production
In Q2 2025, Petrobras produced 2.3 million barrels of oil per day on average, a 5% increase compared to Q1 2025 and an 8% increase compared to the same period last year. In July 2025, production further increased to 2.47 million barrels per day.
CapEx Execution Success
Petrobras increased its CapEx in Q4 2024 to align with its guidance, resulting in a production ramp-up. In 2025, over 50 wells were linked by mid-year, surpassing the total number for the entire year of 2024.
Record Total Production
The company achieved a record total production of 4.2 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in Q2 2025.
Commercial Gas Production Growth
Petrobras increased its gas supply to the market by 15%, aided by the progress of the Rota 3 pipeline and the Boaventura gas processing unit.
Negative Updates
Falling Oil Prices Impact
In Q2 2025, the average oil price was $68 per barrel, a 10% decrease compared to the previous year, impacting financial results.
Operational Cash Flow Decline
Operating cash flow was $7.5 billion, a decline from the previous quarter, influenced by non-recurring events such as the absence of PIS/COFINS tax credits and higher selling expenses due to increased crude oil export volumes.
Company Guidance
During the Petrobras earnings call for the second quarter of 2025, several key metrics were highlighted. The company reported an impressive production increase, reaching 2.3 million barrels of oil per day on average, which is a 5% increase compared to the first quarter of 2025 and an 8% rise compared to the same period last year. This ramp-up was attributed to a strategic increase in CapEx during the fourth quarter of the previous year, which aligned with their production guidance. By July 2025, production further increased to 2.47 million barrels per day. Despite a 10% decline in Brent oil prices, from $75 to $67, Petrobras maintained a strong financial performance with a net income of $4.1 billion and an EBITDA of $10.2 billion, excluding one-off events. The company emphasized its commitment to cost reduction and efficient management, achieving a total production record of 4.2 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. Additionally, Petrobras increased its gas supply by 15%, thanks to the Rota 3 pipeline and Boaventura gas processing unit. The call also mentioned an investment plan of $18.5 billion for the year, with a focus on production efficiency and strategic project execution.

Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is strong (49.12% gross margin; 15.99% net margin) with healthy TTM revenue growth (12.9%) and solid ROE (20.18%). Offsetting factors include decreased EBIT/EBITDA margins versus historical highs and weaker cash flow trends (TTM free cash flow growth of -10.18% and moderate FCF-to-net income of 0.52).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Petrobras exhibits strong profitability with a solid gross profit margin of 49.12% and a net profit margin of 15.99% in the TTM. The company has shown a healthy revenue growth rate of 12.9% in the TTM, recovering from a decline in previous years. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to historical highs, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93, which is an improvement from previous years, indicating effective debt management. Return on equity stands at 20.18%, showcasing strong profitability. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Petrobras has a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.08, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -10.18% in the TTM, suggesting challenges in maintaining cash flow levels. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.52 indicates moderate cash flow coverage.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.40B91.42B105.54B124.47B83.97B53.68B
Gross Profit41.60B45.97B55.64B64.99B40.80B24.49B
EBITDA38.31B27.46B50.92B69.93B44.90B16.99B
Net Income13.96B7.53B25.69B36.62B19.88B1.14B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets227.89B181.65B217.07B187.19B174.35B190.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.66B7.53B15.55B10.77B11.12B12.37B
Total Debt70.71B60.31B62.60B53.80B58.74B75.54B
Total Liabilities147.99B122.30B138.09B117.36B104.54B130.13B
Stockholders Equity79.52B59.11B78.58B69.49B69.41B59.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.73B23.34B31.10B40.14B31.47B23.02B
Operating Cash Flow34.09B37.98B43.21B49.72B37.79B28.89B
Investing Cash Flow-12.36B-13.37B-7.96B-432.00M2.16B-4.51B
Financing Cash Flow-21.03B-33.09B-30.70B-51.45B-40.79B-19.26B

Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.34
Price Trends
50DMA
12.44
Positive
100DMA
12.25
Positive
200DMA
11.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Negative
RSI
85.12
Negative
STOCH
89.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PBR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.13, above the 50-day MA of 12.44, and above the 200-day MA of 11.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 85.12 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PBR.

Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$62.15B20.825.31%5.41%-3.84%15.75%
78
Outperform
$216.65B15.738.06%3.92%-6.96%0.03%
70
Outperform
$95.34B7.2418.20%14.10%-11.63%-15.67%
69
Neutral
$67.52B12.7313.49%7.43%1.53%-35.81%
68
Neutral
$97.69B62.722.52%5.62%-4.11%-37.59%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
15.34
2.36
18.19%
BP
BP
37.88
8.74
30.00%
E
Eni SPA
40.92
14.29
53.67%
SHEL
Shell
77.03
14.46
23.11%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
26.85
4.41
19.67%
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
72.40
17.96
33.00%

Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras Corporate Events

Petrobras Lifts 2025 Proved Reserves to 12.1 Billion Barrels of Oil Equivalent
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Petrobras reported that its proved reserves of oil, condensate and natural gas under SEC criteria reached 12.1 billion barrels of oil equivalent as of December 31, 2025, with oil and condensate accounting for 84% of the total and natural gas 16%. In 2025 the company added 1.7 billion boe of reserves, achieving a reserve replacement rate of 175% despite record annual production, and an estimated reserves-to-production ratio of 12.5 years, driven mainly by strong performance and new wells in key offshore fields such as Búzios, Tupi, Itapu, Mero, Marlim Sul and Jubarte, and by progress in developing the Budião cluster in deepwater Sergipe-Alagoas, underscoring the resilience of its portfolio and its emphasis on maximizing recovery and diversifying exploration to sustain long-term output. Petrobras also disclosed that 90% of its SEC proved reserves are certified by independent evaluator DeGolyer and MacNaughton, and that its proved reserves under Brazilian ANP/SPE definitions stood slightly higher at 12.5 billion boe at year-end 2025, mainly reflecting different economic assumptions and the inclusion of volumes expected beyond concession terms.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Sets Record 2025 Output, Beating Production Targets on Pre-Salt Strength
Jan 16, 2026

In 2025, Petrobras’ oil production averaged 2.40 million barrels per day, surpassing the upper limit of its 2025 guidance by 0.5 percentage points and marking an 11% increase on 2024 levels. Total oil and natural gas output reached 2.99 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, also 11% higher than in 2024, while commercial production rose to 2.62 million boed, with all three metrics setting new annual records in the company’s more than 70-year history. The company achieved record pre-salt volumes, with own production of 2.45 million boed and operated production of 3.70 million boed, so that pre-salt now accounts for 82% of total production. These results, disclosed on January 15, 2026, were driven by the start-up of two new FPSOs in the Santos Basin pre-salt (Almirante Tamandaré in Búzios and Alexandre de Gusmão in Mero), the production peak of FPSO Marechal Duque de Caxias, continued ramp-up of other FPSOs in Jubarte, Marlim and Voador, and higher operational efficiency across units. Petrobras also highlighted that operated production in the Búzios field reached 1 million barrels per day with only six platforms, underscoring the field’s high productivity and reinforcing the company’s strategic reliance on pre-salt assets for future growth and operational scale.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Sets Date for 2026 Annual General Meeting on April 16
Jan 14, 2026

On January 13, 2026, Petrobras announced that its 2026 Annual General Meeting is scheduled to be held on April 16, 2026, in line with the company’s Annual Corporate Events Calendar. The specific time, location, and format of the meeting will be disclosed at a later date, signaling the start of the formal governance and shareholder-engagement cycle for the year but without yet detailing agenda items or operational implications for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Ramps Up Pre-Salt Output as P-78 FPSO Starts Production in Búzios Field
Jan 2, 2026

On December 31, 2025, Petrobras started production from the FPSO P-78 in the Búzios field’s Búzios 6 project in the pre-salt Santos Basin, adding capacity of 180,000 barrels of oil per day and 7.2 million cubic meters of gas per day. The new unit, the seventh production system in Brazil’s largest field by reserves, lifts Búzios’ installed capacity to about 1.15 million barrels per day and will support gas exports to shore via the Rota 3 pipeline, potentially increasing Brazil’s gas supply by up to 3 million cubic meters per day. P-78 marks the debut of a new generation of Petrobras-designed FPSOs that incorporate lessons from earlier pre-salt units, tighter quality and efficiency standards for shipyards, and emissions-reducing technologies such as flare gas recovery and energy integration systems. The project involves 13 wells equipped with intelligent completions and a network of rigid and flexible pipelines using innovative mooring solutions to handle high production rates, underscoring Petrobras’s push to enhance operational efficiency and consolidate its leading role in Brazil’s ultra-deepwater oil and gas sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Seals Multi‑Billion‑Dollar Long‑Term Feedstock Supply Deals With Braskem
Dec 19, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Petrobras announced it had signed a series of new long‑term related‑party commercial contracts with petrochemical producer Braskem to replace expiring agreements and secure future supply arrangements. The deals include five‑year naphtha supply contracts for Braskem’s plants in São Paulo, Bahia and Rio Grande do Sul, worth an estimated US$11.3 billion and allowing deliveries of up to 4.116 million tons in 2026 and 4.316 million tons in 2030 starting January 1, 2026; an 11‑year, US$5.6 billion contract for ethane, propane and hydrogen to Braskem’s operations in Rio de Janeiro, maintaining current volumes through 2028 and increasing from 2029 to support a planned expansion; and five‑year propylene supply contracts from the Reduc, Recap and Refap refineries totaling an estimated US$940 million from May 18, 2026. Classified as related‑party transactions, the contracts were reviewed by Petrobras’ Statutory Audit Committee and are positioned as market‑based, commutative agreements, underscoring Petrobras’ strategy to lock in substantial, benchmark‑linked revenue streams while reinforcing its role as a critical feedstock supplier to Brazil’s petrochemical chain and providing Braskem with long‑term volume and pricing visibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Partners with Lightsource bp for Renewable Energy Expansion in Brazil
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Petrobras announced a strategic partnership with Lightsource bp to form a joint venture in Brazil’s onshore renewable energy sector. This collaboration involves Petrobras acquiring a 49.99% stake in Lightsource bp’s Brazilian subsidiaries, aiming to develop profitable renewable energy projects and strengthen their presence in the sector. This move marks a significant step for Petrobras into solar power generation, aligning with its Business Plan 2026-2030 to diversify its energy portfolio and commit to sustainability. The deal is pending regulatory approvals, and its financial impact on Petrobras is not considered materially significant at this stage.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Monitors Potential Braskem Share Transaction Amid Novonor Negotiations
Dec 16, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Petrobras announced it has been informed by Novonor S.A. and its subsidiary NSP Investimentos S.A. about an exclusivity agreement with Shine I Fundo de Investimento em Direitos Creditórios, managed by Vórtx Capital and advised by IG4 Sol. Ltda. This agreement grants a 60-day period for negotiating a potential transaction involving shares of Braskem S.A. held by NSP Inv. and credits against Novonor guaranteed by these shares. Petrobras, which holds preemptive and tag-along rights under Braskem’s shareholders’ agreement, will monitor the situation and evaluate whether to exercise these rights. The company is also considering a new shareholders’ agreement amid ongoing negotiations and emphasizes that any decisions will adhere to its governance practices and regulatory approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Announces Shareholder Remuneration for Q3 2025
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Petrobras announced the distribution of R$ 12.16 billion in shareholder remuneration for the third quarter of 2025, as approved by its Board of Directors on November 6, 2025. The payout will be divided into two installments, with the first installment paid on February 20, 2026, and the second on March 20, 2026. The payments will be adjusted by the Selic rate and subject to income tax on the interest portion. This move reflects Petrobras’ commitment to returning value to its shareholders and could impact its financial planning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Expands Stake in Mero and Atapu Units at PPSA Auction
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Petrobras announced its acquisition of additional rights in the Mero and Atapu units during the PPSA’s Non-Contracted Areas Auction. The company, in partnership with Shell, increased its stake in these shared reservoirs, aligning with its long-term strategy to replace oil and gas reserves with economic and environmental resilience. The acquisition, supported by recent legislative changes, involves a planned disbursement of R$ 6.97 billion by December 2025, with contracts expected to be signed by March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Increases Stake in Tupi Shared Reservoir
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Petrobras announced the approval of an addendum to the Production Individualization Agreement (AIP) for the Tupi Shared Reservoir in the Santos Basin, effective immediately. This approval by Brazil’s National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels (ANP) results in an increase in Petrobras’ participation in the reservoir to 67.457%. The change in participation shares necessitates financial compensation among the involved parties for past expenses and revenues, with Petrobras expecting to recognize these amounts in its financial statements for the fourth quarter of 2025 and receive cash inflows in the first quarter of 2026. This development strengthens Petrobras’ operational stake in a key asset, potentially enhancing its market positioning and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Unveils 2026-2030 Strategic Plan Amid Challenging Market Conditions
Nov 28, 2025

Petrobras has announced its strategic plan for 2026-2030, emphasizing a commitment to operational efficiency, capital discipline, and sustainable growth. The company aims to achieve operational net zero emissions and expand its industrial facilities to increase the supply of low-carbon products. Despite challenging market conditions in 2025, Petrobras projects a significant increase in oil production, with a forecast of 2.4 million barrels per day by the end of 2025. The plan also highlights investments in bioproducts, such as ethanol and biodiesel, to support Brazil’s energy transition and generate substantial economic benefits, including job creation and tax revenues.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras to Redeem $344 Million in Global Notes by Year-End
Nov 28, 2025

On November 28, 2025, Petrobras announced that its subsidiary, Petrobras Global Finance B.V., will redeem its 8.750% Global Notes due 2026, with a principal amount of $344,167,000. The redemption is scheduled for December 29, 2025, and will be funded with available cash. The move is part of Petrobras’s financial strategy to manage its debt obligations, potentially impacting its financial stability and investor relations. Upon redemption, the notes and related guarantees will be canceled, ceasing any further interest accrual.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Approves Ambitious 2026-2030 Business Plan
Nov 28, 2025

On November 27, 2025, Petrobras announced the approval of its Business Plan for 2026-2030, which aligns with its Strategic Plan 2050. The plan emphasizes value generation, sustainability, and financial resilience amid lower oil prices. Petrobras plans to invest $109 billion, focusing on operational efficiency and cost optimization, with $91 billion allocated to projects in the Implementation Portfolio. The company aims to maintain its share of Brazil’s energy supply and achieve operational emissions neutrality by 2050. The plan includes significant investments in exploration and production, particularly in the Pre-Salt fields, and aims to reduce the total cost of produced oil.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras to Unveil 2026-2030 Business Plan in Upcoming Webcast
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Petrobras announced an upcoming webcast scheduled for November 28, 2025, where the company’s Executive Board will present the new 2026-2030 Business Plan. This strategic plan, pending approval by the Board of Directors on November 27, 2025, aims to outline Petrobras’s future direction and goals. The webcast will be available in both Portuguese and English, reflecting Petrobras’s commitment to transparency and international engagement. This announcement could significantly impact Petrobras’s market positioning and stakeholder relations as it sets the company’s course for the next five years.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Initiates Shareholder Remuneration Payments
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Petrobras announced the payment of the first installment of shareholder remuneration based on the June 30, 2025 balance sheet. The distribution, amounting to R$ 0.33596205 per common and preferred share, is being processed by Banco Bradesco for shareholders with updated registrations. ADR holders on the NYSE will receive payments starting December 1, 2025. Unclaimed rights will expire after three years, reverting to the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Reports R$ 199.6 Billion Tax Contribution in 2025
Nov 17, 2025

In the first nine months of 2025, Petrobras contributed R$ 199.6 billion in taxes and government take to the Brazilian government, with R$ 132.3 billion from its operations and R$ 46.9 billion from government take. This contribution represents 5.5% of the federal tax collection, with a notable increase in state tax contributions due to higher sales of gasoline, diesel, and LPG. Petrobras’s tax payments highlight its significant role in Brazil’s economy, particularly in the collection of ICMS (VAT), where it accounts for more than 10% of the total in 20 states.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Reports Decline in Sales Revenue but Boost in Net Income for Jan-Sep 2025
Nov 17, 2025

Petrobras reported a 7.1% decline in sales revenues for the period January to September 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to decreased domestic oil product revenues and lower crude oil export prices. Despite the revenue drop, the company saw a substantial 62.3% increase in net income attributable to shareholders, highlighting improved profitability amid challenging market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Announces New Oil Discovery in Campos Basin
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Petrobras announced a new oil discovery in the Campos Basin, specifically in the Sudoeste de Tartaruga Verde block. The discovery was made in an exploratory well located 108 km from the shore of Campos dos Goytacazes-RJ city at a water depth of 734 meters. The well, identified as 4-BRSA-1403D-RJS, confirmed the presence of high-quality oil through various tests. This discovery, stemming from a block acquired in 2018, is expected to enhance Petrobras’s exploration capabilities and potentially strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Awaits Approval of 2026-2030 Business Plan
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Petrobras announced that its Business Plan for 2026-2030 is currently under review and pending approval by the Board of Directors. The plan is scheduled for evaluation on November 27, 2025, and will be disclosed to the market once finalized. This announcement highlights Petrobras’ ongoing strategic planning efforts, which could have implications for its future operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Reports Q3 2025 Financials: Asset Growth Amid Revenue Decline
Nov 7, 2025

Petrobras released its unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements as of September 30, 2025, showing a notable increase in total assets to $227,887 million from $181,645 million as of December 31, 2024. The financial report indicates a decrease in sales revenues for the nine-month period ending September 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, reflecting challenges in maintaining revenue levels. Despite the revenue decline, the company’s financial position has strengthened, with a significant rise in cash and cash equivalents and an increase in property, plant, and equipment, suggesting ongoing investment in infrastructure and potential future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Reports Decrease in Assets and Increase in Debt as of September 2025
Nov 7, 2025

Petrobras released its interim financial information for the period ending September 30, 2025, highlighting a decrease in total assets from December 31, 2024. The report indicates a shift in current assets and liabilities, with a notable reduction in cash and cash equivalents and an increase in current debt obligations. These financial changes could impact Petrobras’s operational strategies and stakeholder interests, as the company navigates its financial positioning in the volatile energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Announces R$ 12.16 Billion Interim Dividend for 2025
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Petrobras announced that its Board of Directors approved the payment of interim dividends totaling R$ 12.16 billion for the fiscal year 2025. This decision aligns with the company’s Shareholder Remuneration Policy, which mandates distributing 45% of free cash flow to shareholders under certain financial conditions. The dividends will be paid in two installments in February and March 2026, with the amounts subject to adjustment based on the Selic rate. This move underscores Petrobras’s commitment to maintaining financial sustainability while rewarding shareholders, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Achieves Record Production and Expands Strategic Initiatives in November 2025
Nov 7, 2025

In its latest announcement, Petrobras reported significant operational achievements and strategic developments. The company set new production records in oil and natural gas, with a notable increase in efficiency and the start-up of new systems. Petrobras also announced the arrival of the P-78 at the Búzios Field and the completion of mooring, with start-up expected in the fourth quarter of 2025. Additionally, Petrobras has signed contracts for new vessels and subsea projects, expanded its exploratory areas, and increased sales of oil products domestically and internationally. The company also highlighted its commitment to sustainability through initiatives like the CCS São Tomé Pilot Project and partnerships for decarbonization. Financially, Petrobras reported strong growth in its third-quarter results, with significant increases in net income, EBITDA, and dividends compared to the previous quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Achieves Record Oil Production and Strong Financial Results in Q3 2025
Nov 7, 2025

In its third-quarter 2025 performance report, Petrobras announced significant operational achievements, including a record oil production of over 2.5 million barrels per day and an 8% increase in oil, NGL, and natural gas production compared to the previous quarter. The company also highlighted the peak production of its FPSO Almirante Tamandaré platform in the Búzios field, which exceeded its nominal capacity. Financially, Petrobras reported an adjusted EBITDA of $12.0 billion and a net income of $5.2 billion, excluding one-off events, reflecting a 16.8% and 27.7% increase respectively from the previous quarter. The company also achieved a record in oil exports and signed contracts for the Boaventura Refining Project, aiming to modernize its refining system and enhance its product portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Announces Changes in Fiscal Council Following Ombudsman Appointment
Nov 6, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Petrobras announced the resignation of Ms. Cristina Bueno Camatta from her role as a full member of the company’s Fiscal Council, following her appointment as the Ombudsman of Petrobras. The company is set to undertake necessary measures to reconstitute the Fiscal Council in line with governance procedures, ensuring stakeholders and the market are kept informed of developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Wins Appeal in Billion-Dollar Legal Case
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Petrobras announced a favorable decision by the Superior Court of Justice regarding its legal case against Paragon Offshore Nederland B.V., a former supplier of oil and gas exploration rigs. The court upheld Petrobras’ appeal, overturning a previous decision and ordering a new trial in the Rio de Janeiro Court of Justice. The lawsuit is valued at approximately R$ 2.9 billion, with R$ 154 million already provisioned. This decision could have significant financial implications for Petrobras and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Petrobras Launches New Voluntary Severance Program
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Petrobras announced the approval of a new Voluntary Severance Program (PDV) aimed at employees who have retired under the Brazilian Social Security System before the enactment of Constitutional Amendment No. 103/2019. This initiative is part of Petrobras’s strategy to manage personnel effectively, ensuring operational continuity and knowledge transfer while facilitating workforce renewal. The program targets approximately 1,100 employees, with terminations expected throughout 2026, and its financial impact will be reflected in the company’s financial statements as participation is confirmed.

The most recent analyst rating on (PBR) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras stock, see the PBR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026