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Eni SPA (E)
NYSE:E
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Eni SPA (E) AI Stock Analysis

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E

Eni SPA

(NYSE:E)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$54.00
▲(6.66% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/29/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but cooling financial performance (margin/FCF compression) offset by a very strong earnings-call update with upgraded guidance, higher cash flow expectations, and increased buybacks alongside improved gearing. Technicals are mixed (near-term bounce but below key mid-term averages), and valuation is supported by the dividend but tempered by a high P/E.
Positive Factors
Upgraded guidance and strong operating delivery
Management reported materially stronger H1 results and raised full‑year guidance, signalling durable operational execution across upstream, midstream and transition businesses. Upgraded guidance implies sustainable cash generation expectations and improved planning visibility for 2–4 quarters and beyond.
Negative Factors
Margin compression and lower profitability
Multi‑year margin compression reduces earnings resilience to commodity swings and increases reliance on higher volumes or high‑margin projects to restore returns. Persistently lower margins constrain retained earnings and the ability to self‑fund investments over a full commodity cycle.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Upgraded guidance and strong operating delivery
Management reported materially stronger H1 results and raised full‑year guidance, signalling durable operational execution across upstream, midstream and transition businesses. Upgraded guidance implies sustainable cash generation expectations and improved planning visibility for 2–4 quarters and beyond.
Read all positive factors

Eni SPA (E) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eni SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Eni S.p.A. is an international energy company primarily engaged in the discovery, development, and extraction of crude oil and natural gas resources. Its operations are organized into distinct divisions: Exploration & Production; Global Gas & LNG ...
How the Company Makes Money
Eni primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons and energy products, complemented by midstream gas activities and downstream manufacturing/retail operations. 1) Upstream (Exploration & Production): A major portion of Eni’s earning...

Eni SPA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong, broad‑based financial and operational outperformance: double‑digit improvements in EBIT and cash flow, upgraded guidance across upstream and transition businesses, major exploration gains and a clear pipeline of 54 organic projects. Management highlighted robust balance sheet metrics (pro forma gearing 10%), higher shareholder returns (EUR 3.4bn buyback) and continued capital discipline (net CapEx below EUR 5bn). Lowlights principally reflect external risks — geopolitical volatility (Hormuz/Middle East), an ongoing legal dispute in Kazakhstan, remaining recovery needs in chemicals/Versalis, and limits in fully capturing downstream margin spikes due to logistics and hedging. Overall, positive operating execution and upgraded guidance materially outweigh the challenges, though key macro and legal risks require monitoring.
Positive Updates
Strong Q2 and H1 Financial Performance
Q2 pro forma EBIT of EUR 5.4 billion and net income of EUR 2.3 billion (both doubled year‑on‑year); cash flow from operations (CFFO) of EUR 4.5 billion in Q2, up over 60% YoY; first half pro forma EBIT up ~40% YoY.
Negative Updates
Heightened Geopolitical Volatility
A new crisis in the Gulf and Hormuz disruptions created extraordinary market volatility and fragile gas market dynamics; company notes potential upside to prices but also increased uncertainty and supply/replenishment delays in Europe.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Q2 and H1 Financial Performance
Q2 pro forma EBIT of EUR 5.4 billion and net income of EUR 2.3 billion (both doubled year‑on‑year); cash flow from operations (CFFO) of EUR 4.5 billion in Q2, up over 60% YoY; first half pro forma EBIT up ~40% YoY.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Eni raised guidance across the board and gave a metric‑heavy update: Q2 delivered EUR 5.4bn pro‑forma EBIT, EUR 2.3bn net income and EUR 4.5bn cash flow from operations (up >60% y/y), H1 pro‑forma EBIT was +40% y/y, Q2 upstream production rose 8% y/y (11% H1 underlying) and exploration added >1bn barrels; pro‑forma gearing fell to 10% (expect reported gearing to converge by year‑end); CapEx was EUR 1.8bn in Q2 with full‑year gross CapEx ~EUR 7bn (net <EUR 5bn); CFFO guidance was raised to EUR 15bn at $85/bl Brent enabling a EUR 3.4bn buyback (vs. initial EUR 1.5bn) and a potential special dividend if Brent > $90/bl; Plenitude/Enilive posted EUR 670m pro‑forma EBITDA in Q2 (EUR 1.13bn H1), Plenitude FY guide raised to EUR 2.6bn and Enilive adj. EBITDA revised to EUR 1.3bn (+18%); GGP pro‑forma EBIT raised to >EUR 1.4bn (+40%); Eni reiterated ~4% CAGR production to 2030 (with underlying oil & gas growth now seen materially above prior ranges), targets >50% growth in upstream free cash flow per barrel by 2030, and highlighted Searah (>300kbd initial, 3bn bbl upside, path to ~800kbd by 2030), Argentina 25 Tcf (~4.3bn boe) +500m bbl condensate (4.8bn bbl) and Venezuela >5.5bn bbl recoverable.

Eni SPA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show stability but a clear normalization from the 2022 peak: TTM margins and returns are materially lower (gross ~9%, net ~3%, ROE ~5%), and free cash flow has weakened sharply (~3.0B, ~-35% YoY) despite solid operating cash flow (~12.4B). Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.74), but reduced cash conversion increases sensitivity to commodity-cycle volatility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue79.33B82.15B88.80B93.72B132.51B76.58B
Gross Profit4.46B7.75B11.54B13.47B26.92B14.85B
EBITDA14.64B21.30B15.63B19.09B30.36B18.77B
Net Income2.51B2.61B2.62B4.77B13.89B5.82B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets147.71B139.20B150.08B146.37B156.35B143.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.78B15.09B14.98B16.98B18.41B14.55B
Total Debt36.57B39.20B41.84B39.14B36.87B38.13B
Total Liabilities93.42B91.41B99.43B97.80B106.12B104.08B
Stockholders Equity49.19B42.94B47.78B48.10B49.76B39.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.00B4.63B5.09B6.38B9.76B7.91B
Operating Cash Flow12.38B13.33B13.09B15.12B17.46B12.86B
Investing Cash Flow-9.97B-8.59B-9.23B-9.38B-6.93B-12.02B
Financing Cash Flow-2.54B-4.30B-5.97B-5.65B-8.63B-2.04B

Eni SPA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price50.63
Price Trends
50DMA
50.90
Positive
100DMA
52.48
Positive
200DMA
45.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
62.87
Neutral
STOCH
95.20
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For E, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 50.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.30, below the 50-day MA of 50.90, and above the 200-day MA of 45.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.20 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for E.

Eni SPA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$239.36B13.4310.58%3.35%-5.34%47.93%
72
Outperform
$110.02B6.1527.02%6.18%3.35%133.76%
67
Neutral
$73.75B27.525.25%4.66%-3.06%9.20%
66
Neutral
$93.99B10.6221.61%3.72%6.81%21.88%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$108.48B35.895.52%4.56%4.29%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
E
Eni SPA
53.81
20.82
63.13%
BP
BP
43.32
12.80
41.94%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
18.59
6.67
55.90%
SHEL
Shell
88.34
18.80
27.04%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
40.95
16.22
65.62%
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
86.75
29.97
52.79%

Eni SPA Corporate Events

Eni Advances May 2026 Treasury Share Buyback for Long-Term Incentive Plan
May 20, 2026
On 11 May 2026, Eni bought 861,111 of its own shares on Euronext Milan, equal to 0.03% of its share capital, at a weighted average price of &#8364;23.2258 per share for a total outlay of about &#8364;20 million. The purchases form part of the firs...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2026