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BP plc. (BP)
NYSE:BP

BP (BP) AI Stock Analysis

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BP

BP

(NYSE:BP)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(7.05% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/12/26
The score is mainly held back by weaker financial performance (near break-even reported earnings and higher leverage despite solid cash flow). Technical trends are supportive with strong momentum and price above key moving averages, while valuation is a drag due to the very high P/E despite an attractive dividend. The latest earnings call was moderately positive on execution, cost reduction and balance-sheet priorities, but impairments and the buyback suspension temper confidence.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, dividends and debt reduction without reliance on capital markets. Over 2–6 months this underpins balance-sheet repair, funds the $20bn divestment plan execution and supports disciplined reinvestment in high-return upstream projects.
Project execution and reserves replacement
Reliable project delivery and a marked improvement in organic reserves replacement demonstrate sustainable production growth potential. Successful start-ups and near-term production additions (≈150k of 250k boe/d) strengthen the upstream reserve base and support medium-term cash generation and ROACE targets through 2027.
Distinctive supply, trading & shipping edge
A multi-year, structurally advantaged trading and logistics franchise provides recurring margin enhancement and downside protection versus purely production-focused peers. This capability smooths group earnings, aids working-capital management and complements upstream cash generation through cycles, supporting long-term returns.
Negative Factors
Higher leverage and weakened equity
Elevated leverage and a smaller equity cushion reduce financial flexibility in a cyclical industry, increasing refinancing and rating risk. With cash flow covering ~30% of debt in 2025, higher leverage constrains discretionary investment and leaves less margin for operational shocks or slower-than-expected divestment proceeds.
Large impairments in transition businesses
Material writedowns in transition assets signal prior capital allocation that failed to meet return expectations and reduce book value available to support future investments. These impairments constrain near-term investor confidence in the growth trajectory of low-carbon businesses and force more selective, value-focused deployment of future capex.
Volatile reported profitability and near‑break‑even earnings
Sharp deterioration in reported profitability increases reliance on adjusted metrics and divestments to hit financial targets. Persistent bottom-line volatility undermines return-on-equity recovery and makes delivering consistent shareholder returns harder, heightening the importance of execution on divestments and cost programs to stabilize earnings.

BP (BP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBP p.l.c. provides carbon products and services. The company operates through Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products segments. It engages in the production of natural gas, and integrated gas and power; trading of gas; operation of onshore and offshore wind power, as well as hydrogen and carbon capture and storage facilities; trading and marketing of renewable and non-renewable power; and production of crude oil. In addition, the company involved in convenience and retail fuel, EV charging, Castrol lubricant, aviation, B2B, and midstream businesses; refining and oil trading; and bioenergy business. The company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyBP generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, which are sold to various markets globally. The company's upstream segment focuses on the extraction of crude oil and natural gas, contributing significantly to its earnings. The downstream segment, which includes refining and marketing operations, generates revenue from the sale of refined products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, as well as petrochemicals. Additionally, BP has been investing in renewable energy projects, which are expected to become a more substantial revenue stream in the future. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other oil and gas companies, enhancing its operational capabilities and market reach. Factors such as global oil prices, demand for energy, and regulatory policies significantly impact BP's revenue and profitability.

BP Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product
Revenue by Product
Breaks down sales by product type, revealing which offerings are most popular and where there might be opportunities for expansion or risk of decline.
Chart InsightsBP's revenue from oil products remains robust, reflecting strong downstream performance and refining margins, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, crude oil revenue continues to decline, possibly due to market volatility and strategic shifts. The earnings call underscores BP's focus on upstream production growth and exploration successes, which may offset challenges in the trading segment. The company's disciplined capital investment and divestment strategy aim to enhance cash flow and shareholder returns, despite uncertainties in LNG arbitration and exploration budget sustainability.
Data provided by:The Fly

BP Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed clear operational and financial progress in 2025 — strong project execution, substantial cost reductions, improved ROACE and marked emissions and reliability gains — alongside a disciplined focus on strengthening the balance sheet and high‑grading the portfolio. Material positives (adjusted free cash flow growth of ~55%, reserves replacement improvement to 90%, record reliability and emissions reductions) outweigh sizable negatives (four fatalities, ~$4 billion of impairments, suspension of buybacks and remaining net debt/divestment timing risks). Management emphasized execution, capital discipline and selective investment in a deep resource hopper while acknowledging there is more to do.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted Free Cash Flow Growth
Generated around $13 billion of adjusted free cash flow in 2025 (reported and price-adjusted), representing ~55% growth year-over-year on a price-adjusted basis versus 2024 and ahead of the >20% CAGR through 2027 target trajectory.
Stronger Profitability and Operating Cash Flow
Underlying replacement cost profit (net income) of $7.5 billion for 2025 and operating cash flow of $24.5 billion for the year (including a $2.9 billion working capital build).
Balance Sheet Progress
Net debt reduced to $22.2 billion at year-end (down $800 million versus end of 2024) with clear line of sight to the $14–18 billion net debt target by end-2027; operating cash flow plus divestment proceeds totaled $30.4 billion in 2025.
Project execution and Production Delivery
Started up 7 major projects in 2025 (5 ahead of schedule); achieved ~150,000 of the 250,000 boe/d net peak production expected online by 2027; managed base decline kept comfortably within the 3–5% range.
Reserves and Exploration Success
Organic reserves replacement ratio increased to 90% in 2025 (up from ~50% average over prior two years); 12 exploration discoveries in 2025 including Brazil, Namibia and the Gulf of America; Bumerangue initial in‑situ estimate ~8 billion barrels liquids in place (high uncertainty).
Operational Reliability and Emissions Improvements
Record upstream plant reliability and refinery availability both above 96% for the year; wells reliability ~98%; provisional operational emissions down ~37% versus 2019 (well above 20% target); methane intensity fell to ~0.04% (well below 0.2% 2025 target).
Cost Reduction and Productivity Gains
Delivered $2.8 billion of structural cost reductions since program start (including ~$2 billion in 2025); achieved ~60% of the original $4–5 billion target and increased target to $5.5–6.5 billion (includes expected Castrol-related reductions). Underlying operating expenditure reduced by >$700 million since 2023.
Supply, Trading & Shipping Competitive Advantage
Supply, trading and shipping delivered an average ~4% uplift to BP's returns over the past six years, cited as a distinctive competitive advantage supporting group returns.
Portfolio Simplification and Divestments
Completed/announced over $11 billion of the $20 billion divestment program in one year; received $5.3 billion of divestment proceeds in 2025; Castrol transaction agreed (65% sale with 35% retained), underpinning ~$6 billion of anticipated proceeds toward targets.
Return on Average Capital Employed (ROACE)
Return on average capital employed increased to around 14% in 2025 (price-adjusted), up from ~12% in 2024, with a target to exceed 16% by 2027.
Negative Updates
Workplace Fatalities
Four colleagues tragically died in 2025 while working in BP's U.S. retail business (struck by passing vehicles during roadside assistance). BP has permanently stopped roadside assistance next to active traffic lanes in response.
Significant Impairments in Transition Businesses
Recognized impairments of around $4 billion after tax in Q4, largely related to transition businesses including biogas and renewables, reflecting a high‑grading of the portfolio and slower pace of growth in those areas.
Suspension of Share Buybacks
Board suspended share buybacks to fully allocate excess cash to strengthening the balance sheet. While intended to support long‑term optionality, the suspension reduces near‑term share‑count returns for investors (dividend retained as first financial priority with at least 4% p.a. growth).
Net Debt Still Above Target
Net debt remains $22.2 billion at year-end 2025 (only $800 million reduction vs. 2024) and above the stated $14–18 billion target for end‑2027, requiring continued divestment and cash generation to reach goal.
Working Capital and One‑off Uses of Cash
Adjusted working capital build of $2.9 billion in 2025; paid $1.2 billion toward the Gulf of America settlement and redeemed $1.2 billion of hybrids—these cash uses constrained free cash flow deployment.
Not All Business Areas Top Quartile on Costs
Some regions and functions are not yet top quartile: customers business benchmarked middle-to-lower quartile over four years (targets set to improve cash cost to gross margin ratio by >10 percentage points by 2027), and group central functions need further improvement despite an 8% cost reduction in 2025.
Refining Breakeven and Cost Challenges
Refining target to sustainably lower cash breakeven by $3 per barrel by 2027 (c.$1.5 billion of cash flow)—around 80% of that target was delivered in 2025 but further reductions and structural actions remain necessary.
Divestment Timing and Execution Risk
Of the remaining $15 billion of the $20 billion divestment program, proceeds are expected to be heavily weighted to H2 2026 and beyond, creating timing risk for balance sheet repair and debt reduction plans.
Impairments Underscore Past Capital Allocation Issues
The Q4 impairments, while non-cash, highlight prior capital deployments that did not meet return expectations and reinforce the need for stricter capital discipline going forward.
Company Guidance
Management reiterated a disciplined, cash‑and‑returns‑first plan: 2025 underlying replacement cost profit was $7.5bn and adjusted free cash flow ≈$13bn (price‑adjusted, ~55% y/y on a $70/bbl basis), operating cash flow $24.5bn (and $30.4bn including divestment proceeds), net debt $22.2bn (down $0.8bn vs 2024) with a target range of $14–18bn by end‑2027, and the Board has suspended buybacks to fully allocate excess cash to the balance sheet; 2025 CapEx was $14.5bn (organic $13.6bn) and 2026 CapEx is guided to $13–13.5bn, dividends remain the first priority (DPS $0.0832, at least +4% p.a.), and divestments are on track for $20bn (≈$11bn completed/announced, $5.3bn received in 2025, $6bn expected from Castrol, and $3–4bn expected in 2026 H2‑weighted). Operational and cost targets include >20% CAGR in adjusted FCF through 2027, ROACE ~14% in 2025 with a >16% price‑adjusted target for 2027, $2.8bn of structural cost reductions delivered to date (~$2bn in 2025) with the target raised to $5.5–6.5bn by 2027 and a plan to reduce underlying Opex to ~$19–20bn by 2027; other metrics: unit production cost ≈$6/boe (4‑yr avg), refinery/plant availability >96%, wells reliability ~98%, methane intensity ~0.04% (target 0.2%), operational emissions down 37% vs 2019, 2025 organic reserve replacement ratio 90% (100% by 2027 goal), 2026 production (ex‑divestments) ~2.3mboe/d, 7 major project start‑ups in 2025 (≈150k of 250k boe/d net peak online toward 2027), and ~$4bn of impairments taken in Q4 largely in transition businesses.

BP Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: cash generation remains a clear strength (positive free cash flow in 2025 and solid operating cash flow), but reported profitability deteriorated sharply versus 2023 with net income near break-even in 2025. Balance-sheet risk also increased as leverage rose and equity declined, reducing financial flexibility in a cyclical industry.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Revenue has been volatile (down in 2023–2024, essentially flat in 2025), reflecting a cyclical backdrop. Profitability has deteriorated sharply versus 2023: net margin fell from ~7.3% (2023) to ~0.03% (2025), with net income near break-even in 2025 despite still-positive gross and operating margins. The positive is that the core business remains profitable at the operating level (EBIT margin ~6.5% in 2025), but the very weak bottom-line results in 2024–2025 meaningfully weigh on the score.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Leverage has increased and balance sheet cushion has weakened: debt-to-equity rose from ~0.90 (2023) to ~1.59 (2025), alongside a decline in equity from ~$70.3B (2023) to ~$53.1B (2025). Returns to shareholders also compressed materially (ROE ~21.7% in 2023 to ~0.1% in 2025), indicating far less earnings support for the current capital structure. While total assets are relatively stable, the higher leverage profile is a key risk factor.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation remains a relative strength: operating cash flow stayed solid at ~$24.6B in 2025 (though down from ~$32.0B in 2023), and free cash flow was positive at ~$11.3B in 2025. Free cash flow growth rebounded strongly in 2025 versus 2024, supporting resilience even as accounting earnings were very low. A watch item is that cash flow covers only about 30% of total debt in 2025 (down from ~37% in 2023), implying reduced balance-sheet flexibility if conditions weaken.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue189.34B189.19B210.13B241.39B157.74B
Gross Profit33.53B30.24B48.07B55.10B22.86B
EBITDA31.07B28.74B43.50B32.35B32.55B
Net Income55.00M381.00M15.24B-2.49B7.57B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets278.53B282.23B280.29B288.12B287.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.71B34.52B28.59B23.91B26.22B
Total Debt84.27B71.55B63.08B55.49B69.79B
Total Liabilities204.53B203.91B194.80B205.13B196.83B
Stockholders Equity53.05B59.25B70.28B67.55B75.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.30B12.00B17.75B28.86B12.72B
Operating Cash Flow24.55B27.30B32.04B40.93B23.61B
Investing Cash Flow-9.05B-13.25B-14.87B-13.71B-5.69B
Financing Cash Flow-18.39B-7.30B-13.36B-28.02B-18.08B

BP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.30
Price Trends
50DMA
35.79
Positive
100DMA
35.15
Positive
200DMA
33.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.65
Positive
RSI
57.27
Neutral
STOCH
60.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.77, above the 50-day MA of 35.79, and above the 200-day MA of 33.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BP.

BP Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$373.19B27.897.26%4.54%-3.44%-22.05%
73
Outperform
$621.93B22.5011.03%3.35%-4.17%-14.15%
71
Outperform
$226.50B13.1710.13%3.92%-6.96%0.03%
70
Outperform
$102.42B7.5318.20%14.10%-11.63%-15.67%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
60
Neutral
$97.83B1,846.630.13%5.62%-4.11%-37.59%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BP
BP
38.30
7.42
24.03%
CVX
Chevron
185.34
36.88
24.84%
XOM
Exxon Mobil
149.26
43.44
41.05%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
16.54
3.47
26.55%
SHEL
Shell
80.78
15.98
24.66%
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
79.11
21.79
38.01%

BP Corporate Events

BP posts strong 2025 underlying results, suspends buybacks to strengthen balance sheet
Feb 10, 2026

BP reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on 10 February 2026, showing underlying replacement cost profit of $7.5 billion for the year and $1.5 billion for the quarter, supported by $24.5 billion in operating cash flow despite lower oil prices and a quarterly reported loss of $3.4 billion driven by impairments and inventory effects. Operationally, BP posted record upstream plant reliability of 96.1%, record refining availability of 96.3%, broadly flat underlying production, seven major project start-ups, and a reserves replacement ratio of 90%, while its customer businesses delivered their strongest underlying earnings since 2019.

Strategically, BP advanced its divestment program with expected proceeds from completed and announced asset sales now above $11 billion, including an agreement to sell a 65% stake in Castrol and the disposal of Netherlands retail, U.S. onshore wind and certain U.S. midstream interests, and it raised its structural cost-reduction target to $5.5–6.5 billion by end-2027. The board moved to suspend share buybacks and channel all excess cash into debt reduction to reinforce the balance sheet and fund a pipeline of upstream oil and gas opportunities, as interim CEO Carol Howle highlighted the Bumerangue discovery in Brazil and flagged leadership transition with Meg O’Neill set to become CEO in April, framing these steps as positioning BP for long-term value growth and improved shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP posts volatile 2025 results as Form 6-K shows Q4 loss and slim full-year profit
Feb 10, 2026

BP has filed a Form 6-K for the period ended 31 December 2025, providing management’s discussion and analysis, consolidated financial statements, details of legal proceedings, and capitalization and indebtedness for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. The filing shows that in the fourth quarter of 2025 BP recorded a loss attributable to shareholders of $3.4 billion but nonetheless ended the full year 2025 marginally profitable with $55 million attributable to shareholders, signalling operational resilience but continued earnings volatility that will be closely watched by investors and creditors.

The report, which covers performance over January–December 2025, highlights that non-controlling interests absorbed a substantial share of profits and that inventory holding gains and losses materially affected reported earnings. By incorporating this Form 6-K into a wide range of existing shelf and employee share-plan registration statements, BP is ensuring its latest financial and legal disclosures flow through to current and potential security holders, reinforcing transparency while underscoring the importance of 2025 results for the company’s funding flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP Updates Total Voting Rights and Share Capital as of 31 January 2026
Feb 2, 2026

On 2 February 2026, BP disclosed that as of 31 January 2026 its issued share capital comprised 15,719,635,323 ordinary shares (excluding treasury shares) with one vote per share and 12,706,252 preference shares with enhanced voting rights, resulting in a total of 15,724,717,823 voting rights. The company also reported holding 766,677,671 ordinary shares in treasury, which are excluded from dividend entitlements and voting at shareholder meetings, and indicated that the updated voting rights figure should be used by investors to assess whether they must report holdings or changes in holdings under UK transparency rules, clarifying BP’s current capital and governance structure for market participants.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP Expands January 2026 Buybacks and Discloses Norges Bank Holding Change
Feb 2, 2026

In January 2026, BP reported a series of transactions in its own shares under the share buyback programme launched on 4 November 2025 and authorized by shareholders at the 2025 annual general meeting. On 5 January 2026, the company repurchased 3,056,563 ordinary shares across the London Stock Exchange and Cboe UK venues, followed by a further 3,019,322 shares on 6 January 2026, with the bought-back stock to be transferred into treasury, increasing treasury holdings to over 863 million shares and reducing the number of ordinary shares in issue. The filing also detailed a major shareholding notification from Norges Bank, which crossed a disclosure threshold in BP on 2 January 2026, highlighting ongoing adjustments in the company’s investor base alongside BP’s continued capital-return activity to shareholders through buybacks.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP Signals Flat Q4 2025 Output, Heavy Transition Impairments and Lower Net Debt
Jan 14, 2026

On 14 January 2026, BP issued a trading statement outlining its current estimates for fourth-quarter 2025 performance, ahead of publishing full results on 10 February 2026. The company expects reported upstream production in the quarter to be broadly flat versus the third quarter, with oil production & operations steady but lower output in gas & low carbon energy. Segment results are set to reflect softer realizations in both gas & low carbon energy and oil production & operations, seasonally lower customer volumes, stronger refining margins offset by higher turnaround activity and temporary reduced capacity following a fire at the Whiting refinery, and a weak oil trading result. BP flagged significant post-tax impairments of $4–5 billion, primarily in its transition businesses within the gas & low carbon energy segment, which will be excluded from underlying replacement cost profit. Net debt is expected to fall sharply to $22–23 billion from $26.1 billion, helped by about $3.5 billion of fourth-quarter divestment proceeds, lifting 2025 divestments to $5.3 billion. The company also raised its expected underlying effective tax rate for 2025 to around 42% due to a shift in the geographical mix of profits, while operating conditions in the quarter included lower average Brent crude prices and slightly higher US Henry Hub gas prices compared with the prior quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Buy with a $41.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP Updates Share Capital After Large Treasury Share Transfer for Employee Schemes
Jan 13, 2026

On 13 January 2026, BP p.l.c. transferred 145,012,557 ordinary shares out of treasury to satisfy distributions under certain employee share schemes, reducing its treasury stock and marginally increasing the free float. Following this transaction, BP’s issued share capital consists of 15,758,828,976 ordinary shares (excluding treasury shares), 12,706,252 preference shares, and 727,484,018 ordinary shares held in treasury—now representing 4.61% of total voting rights—with aggregate voting rights standing at 15,763,911,476, information that is relevant for investors monitoring disclosure thresholds and corporate governance under UK listing and transparency rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Hold with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP Reports Total Voting Rights and Share Capital as of 31 December 2025
Jan 2, 2026

As at 31 December 2025, BP p.l.c.’s issued share capital consisted of 15,628,880,285 ordinary shares (excluding treasury shares), each carrying one vote, and 12,706,252 preference shares, each carrying two votes for every £5 of nominal capital held, with 857,432,709 ordinary shares held in treasury and therefore excluded from dividend payments and voting at shareholder meetings. The company reported a total of 15,633,962,785 voting rights, a disclosure made on 2 January 2026 in line with UK Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, providing shareholders and investors with the necessary data to assess whether they must report holdings or changes in their interest in BP, and underlining the company’s ongoing compliance with regulatory transparency requirements around its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Hold with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP Steps Up December 2025 Share Buybacks Under Ongoing Capital-Return Programme
Jan 2, 2026

In December 2025, BP p.l.c. continued executing the share buyback programme it announced on 4 November 2025, repurchasing around 1.49 million of its $0.25 ordinary shares on each of 1, 2 and 3 December across the London Stock Exchange and Cboe (UK) venues. The company stated that these shares will be transferred into treasury under existing shareholder authority from the 2025 AGM, incrementally increasing its treasury stock position to more than 841 million ordinary shares while reducing the number of shares in issue, a move that underscores BP’s ongoing capital-return strategy and has implications for earnings per share and the ownership stakes of remaining shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Hold with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP to Sell 65% of Castrol to Stonepeak in $10 Billion Deal to Accelerate Debt Reduction
Dec 29, 2025

On 24 December 2025, BP agreed to sell a 65% shareholding in its Castrol lubricants business to infrastructure investor Stonepeak at an enterprise value of about $10.1 billion, implying an EV/LTM EBITDA multiple of roughly 8.6 times and valuing Castrol’s equity at around $8 billion after deducting minority interests and debt-like obligations. BP expects roughly $6 billion in net proceeds, including accelerated dividend prepayments on its retained 35% stake, and plans to use all of the cash to cut net debt as part of its $20 billion divestment programme, which this deal lifts to about $11 billion of completed and announced disposals; the transaction, which will create a new joint venture 65% owned by Stonepeak and 35% by BP, is intended to simplify BP’s portfolio, sharpen its downstream focus and strengthen its balance sheet while preserving future upside from Castrol’s growth trajectory, particularly in high-growth markets where Castrol holds major minority interests such as India, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia and Thailand.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Hold with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP Names Woodside’s Meg O’Neill as Next CEO in Major Leadership Shake-Up
Dec 18, 2025

On 17 December 2025, BP announced a major leadership transition, appointing Meg O’Neill, currently CEO of Woodside Energy, as its next chief executive officer effective 1 April 2026. Incumbent CEO Murray Auchincloss will step down as CEO and board director with effect from 18 December 2025, remaining in an advisory role until December 2026, while Carol Howle, executive vice president for supply, trading and shipping, will serve as interim CEO to ensure continuity. The board, led by chair Albert Manifold, framed the move as the outcome of a long-term succession process aimed at accelerating BP’s strategic drive to become a simpler, leaner and more profitable company, leveraging O’Neill’s track record in transformative deals, disciplined capital allocation and business improvement to reestablish market leadership and enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP Announces Total Voting Rights and Share Capital as of November 2025
Dec 1, 2025

As of November 30, 2025, BP p.l.c. announced its total voting rights and share capital, revealing that the company has 15,652,322,669 ordinary shares and 12,706,252 preference shares. The total number of voting rights stands at 15,657,405,169, which is crucial for shareholders in determining their reporting obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Hold with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

BP Launches $750 Million Share Buyback Program
Dec 1, 2025

BP p.l.c. announced the commencement of a share buyback program on November 4, 2025, intending to repurchase ordinary shares worth up to $750 million by February 6, 2026. This program aims to reduce the company’s issued share capital and is conducted on the London Stock Exchange and Cboe (UK). The buyback is part of BP’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and optimize its capital structure, reflecting confidence in its financial position and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (BP) stock is a Hold with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BP stock, see the BP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026