Exxon Mobil (XOM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $503.07B
• Dividend Yield: 3.35%
• Average Volume (3M): 13.07M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.30
• Revenue Growth: -4.17%
• EPS Growth: -14.15%
• Country: US
• Employees: 61,000
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 1.88
• Shares Outstanding: 4,217,165,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 15,337,130
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 13,066,444
• PEG Ratio: -1.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.75
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.36
• P/FCF Ratio: 15.05
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.03
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.60
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.17
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.55
• 1Y Price Target: $129.64
• Price Target Upside: 8.68% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 16
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 75 Outperform
• Price Target: $128.00 ▲(7.30% Upside)

Exxon Mobil's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors contributing to its score. The company's robust production records and technological advancements highlight its operational strength. However, challenges in revenue growth and free cash flow, along with concerns over dividend growth, slightly temper the overall outlook.

Positive Factors

Technological Advancements

The development of the Discovery Six supercomputer enhances Exxon's exploration capabilities, potentially leading to more efficient resource discovery and extraction, which can improve long-term operational efficiency and profitability.

Cost Reductions

Significant cost reductions enhance Exxon's ability to maintain profitability even during periods of volatile oil prices, supporting financial stability and allowing for reinvestment in strategic growth areas.

Production Records

Record production levels in key regions like Guyana indicate strong operational execution and resource management, which can drive revenue growth and market share expansion over the long term.

Negative Factors

Revenue Growth Challenges

Negative revenue growth indicates potential difficulties in expanding market presence or adapting to changing market conditions, which could impact long-term financial performance and strategic objectives.

Free Cash Flow Decline

Declining free cash flow growth can limit Exxon's ability to invest in new projects, pay down debt, or return capital to shareholders, potentially affecting long-term financial flexibility and strategic initiatives.

EU Regulatory Challenges

Potential regulatory challenges in the EU could hinder Exxon's operations in a key market, impacting revenue and necessitating strategic adjustments to comply with sustainability requirements.

Exxon Mobil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is one of the world's largest publicly traded oil and gas companies, headquartered in Irving, Texas. The company operates in various segments, including upstream, downstream, and chemical sectors. The upstream segment involves the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, while the downstream segment focuses on refining, marketing, and distributing petroleum products. The chemical segment manufactures and sells petrochemicals, which are essential for various industrial applications. Exxon Mobil is committed to sustainable practices and innovation in energy solutions.

How the Company Makes Money

Exxon Mobil generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and petroleum products. Its upstream operations contribute significantly to its earnings by producing large volumes of oil and gas, which are sold on the global market. The downstream segment adds further revenue through the refining process, converting crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and other products that are then marketed and sold through a vast network of service stations and retail outlets. Additionally, the chemical segment generates income by producing and selling a variety of petrochemicals used in manufacturing and consumer products. Significant partnerships, including joint ventures and collaborations with other energy companies, also enhance Exxon Mobil's operational efficiency and revenue potential. Furthermore, fluctuations in global oil prices, regulatory environments, and geopolitical factors play a critical role in influencing the company's earnings.

Exxon Mobil Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Exxon Mobil demonstrates strong financial health with solid profitability margins and a robust balance sheet. However, recent declines in revenue growth and free cash flow highlight potential challenges in sustaining growth momentum. The company maintains a conservative leverage position, which supports financial stability amidst industry volatility.

Income Statement

Exxon Mobil's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 24.89% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 9.03% from 9.93% in the previous year, reflecting some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative recently, with a decline of 1.35% in TTM, suggesting challenges in maintaining top-line growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 11.42% for TTM, though it has decreased from 12.77% in the previous year, suggesting a slight dip in efficiency. The equity ratio remains strong, reflecting a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 18.36% in TTM, indicating potential cash generation challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, showing a moderate conversion of income to cash. Despite these challenges, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 0.54, suggesting decent cash profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	324.92B	339.25B	334.70B	398.68B	276.69B	178.57B
Gross Profit	72.36B	76.74B	84.14B	103.07B	64.89B	8.13B
EBITDA	68.77B	73.31B	74.27B	102.59B	52.79B	18.28B
Net Income	29.95B	33.68B	36.01B	55.74B	23.04B	-22.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	454.34B	453.48B	376.32B	369.07B	338.92B	332.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	13.87B	23.03B	31.54B	29.64B	6.80B	4.36B
Total Debt	67.14B	41.71B	41.57B	41.19B	47.70B	67.64B
Total Liabilities	186.12B	182.87B	163.78B	166.59B	163.24B	168.62B
Stockholders Equity	260.56B	263.70B	204.80B	195.05B	168.58B	157.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	23.77B	30.72B	33.45B	58.39B	36.05B	-2.61B
Operating Cash Flow	51.52B	55.02B	55.37B	76.80B	48.13B	14.67B
Investing Cash Flow	-23.38B	-19.94B	-20.04B	-14.74B	-10.23B	-18.46B
Financing Cash Flow	-41.16B	-42.79B	-33.53B	-39.11B	-35.42B	5.29B

Exxon Mobil Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 119.29
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 114.82, above the 50-day MA of 113.11, and above the 200-day MA of 108.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XOM.

Exxon Mobil Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SHEL	78 Outperform	$215.98B	15.38	8.06%	3.78%	-6.96%	0.03%
TTE	77 Outperform	$138.79B	10.03	12.27%	5.59%	-9.52%	-11.66%
PBR	77 Outperform	$80.67B	6.06	18.20%	12.65%	-11.63%	-15.67%
XOM	75 Outperform	$503.07B	17.33	11.32%	3.35%	-4.17%	-14.15%
CVX	74 Outperform	$317.37B	22.25	7.38%	4.29%	-3.44%	-22.05%
BP	68 Neutral	$94.35B	60.77	2.52%	5.32%	-4.11%	-37.59%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%

Exxon Mobil Corporate Events

Exxon Mobil Appoints Greg C. Garland as Director

On October 28, 2025, Exxon Mobil‘s Board of Directors elected Greg C. Garland as a new non-employee director, effective November 3, 2025. Mr. Garland will join the Audit and Finance Committees and receive an initial grant of 8,000 shares of restricted stock, aligning his compensation with other non-employee directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (XOM) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exxon Mobil stock, see the XOM Stock Forecast page.

Exxon Mobil’s Earnings Call: Record Production and Innovations

Exxon Mobil Corp’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, underscored by record-breaking production figures and technological advancements. The company demonstrated robust performance through significant cost reductions, although it faces challenges in the slower development of low carbon solutions and concerns regarding dividend growth.

Exxon Mobil Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings

Exxon Mobil reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings of $7.5 billion and cash flow from operations of $14.8 billion, with shareholder distributions totaling $9.4 billion. The company advanced its growth ambitions through acquisitions and technological investments, setting production records in Guyana and the Permian Basin. Exxon Mobil’s year-to-date earnings were $22.3 billion, impacted by weaker crude prices and strategic divestments, but offset by volume growth and cost savings. The company declared a fourth-quarter dividend increase and maintained a strong financial position with industry-leading debt ratios.

The most recent analyst rating on (XOM) stock is a Hold with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exxon Mobil stock, see the XOM Stock Forecast page.

Exxon Mobil’s Q3 2025 Earnings Considerations Highlighted

Exxon Mobil‘s earnings considerations for the third quarter of 2025 highlight several factors expected to impact results compared to the second quarter. These include changes in liquids and gas prices, industry margins, and timing effects related to derivatives and inventory accounting. Additionally, scheduled maintenance and restructuring costs are anticipated to influence the financial outcomes. The release emphasizes that these are estimates and may not encompass all adjustments needed for the final financial reporting.

The most recent analyst rating on (XOM) stock is a Buy with a $124.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exxon Mobil stock, see the XOM Stock Forecast page.