Exxon Mobil (XOM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $474.41B
• Dividend Yield: 3.56%
• Average Volume (3M): 15.48M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.32
• Revenue Growth: -3.79%
• EPS Growth: -15.46%
• Country: US
• Employees: 61,000
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 56
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 1.64
• Shares Outstanding: 4,263,247,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 15,249,283
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 15,478,157
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.05
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.46
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.52
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.78
• 1Y Price Target: $125.32
• Price Target Upside: 12.15% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 19

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: $123.00 ▲(10.08% Upside)

Exxon Mobil's strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in high-return assets, are the primary drivers of its score. The company's fair valuation and positive earnings call further support its investment appeal, despite mixed technical signals and some operational challenges.

Positive Factors

Earnings

Exxon Mobil's results beat expectations with the help of potential non-repeatable items.

Investment Opportunity

XOM's stock trades at a significant discount to the broader market, making it an attractive investment opportunity.

Operational Performance

Permian production surpassed the fiscal year guidance, showcasing strong operational performance.

Negative Factors

Cost Management

Corporate expense was at the high end of Q2's guidance range, indicating higher costs.

Oil Prices

Caution on near-term oil price as Saudi barrels come to market keeps the stock rating at Neutral.

Project Timing

Questions remain around the potential timing of future projects, specifically in low carbon solutions.

Exxon Mobil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is one of the world's largest publicly traded oil and gas companies, headquartered in Irving, Texas. The company operates in various segments, including upstream, downstream, and chemical sectors. The upstream segment involves the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, while the downstream segment focuses on refining, marketing, and distributing petroleum products. The chemical segment manufactures and sells petrochemicals, which are essential for various industrial applications. Exxon Mobil is committed to sustainable practices and innovation in energy solutions.

How the Company Makes Money

Exxon Mobil generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and petroleum products. Its upstream operations contribute significantly to its earnings by producing large volumes of oil and gas, which are sold on the global market. The downstream segment adds further revenue through the refining process, converting crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and other products that are then marketed and sold through a vast network of service stations and retail outlets. Additionally, the chemical segment generates income by producing and selling a variety of petrochemicals used in manufacturing and consumer products. Significant partnerships, including joint ventures and collaborations with other energy companies, also enhance Exxon Mobil's operational efficiency and revenue potential. Furthermore, fluctuations in global oil prices, regulatory environments, and geopolitical factors play a critical role in influencing the company's earnings.

Exxon Mobil Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Exxon Mobil demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profit margins and solid profitability. Despite modest revenue growth and recent volatility in free cash flow, the company maintains a healthy financial position supported by efficient operations and conservative leverage.

Income Statement

Exxon Mobil shows a strong financial performance with robust profit margins. The TTM Gross Profit Margin stands at 24.6%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin at 9.7% reflects solid profitability. Revenue growth is modest at 0.8%, but consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins of 8.7% and 21.5% respectively highlight stable operational efficiency. Despite slight revenue fluctuations, the company maintains healthy margins.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is solid with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.24, showcasing conservative leverage. A strong Return on Equity of 12.3% indicates effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 59.7% suggests a stable capital structure with significant equity backing. Overall, the company maintains a well-balanced financial position with manageable debt levels.

Cash Flow

Exxon Mobil's cash flow is robust, with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.61, indicating strong cash generation relative to net earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.85 shows a healthy conversion of earnings into cash. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate, however, is -8.3%, reflecting a recent decline, albeit from strong previous levels. Overall, cash flows remain strong with slight recent volatility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	339.89B	339.25B	334.70B	398.68B	276.69B	178.57B
Gross Profit	76.32B	76.74B	84.14B	103.07B	64.89B	8.13B
EBITDA	73.42B	73.31B	74.27B	102.59B	52.79B	18.28B
Net Income	33.17B	33.68B	36.01B	55.74B	23.04B	-22.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	451.91B	453.48B	376.32B	369.07B	338.92B	332.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	17.04B	23.03B	31.54B	29.64B	6.80B	4.36B
Total Debt	37.55B	41.71B	41.57B	41.19B	47.70B	67.64B
Total Liabilities	182.10B	182.87B	163.78B	166.59B	163.24B	168.62B
Stockholders Equity	262.72B	263.70B	204.80B	195.05B	168.58B	157.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	28.18B	30.72B	33.45B	58.39B	36.05B	-2.61B
Operating Cash Flow	53.31B	55.02B	55.37B	76.80B	48.13B	14.67B
Investing Cash Flow	-19.49B	-19.94B	-20.04B	-14.74B	-10.23B	-18.46B
Financing Cash Flow	-48.40B	-42.79B	-33.53B	-39.11B	-35.42B	5.29B

Exxon Mobil Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 111.74
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 111.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 107.77, above the 50-day MA of 109.32, and above the 200-day MA of 108.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XOM.

Exxon Mobil Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TTE	78 Outperform	$142.60B	11.25	10.96%	5.52%	-10.73%	-36.76%
XOM	76 Outperform	$474.41B	15.78	11.68%	3.56%	-3.79%	-15.46%
CVX	76 Outperform	$323.86B	20.42	8.97%	4.27%	-5.02%	-23.13%
SHEL	74 Outperform	$211.83B	14.35	7.40%	3.87%	―	―
PBR	66 Neutral	$75.17B	5.81	19.48%	13.52%	-13.68%	-13.96%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.29B	7.24	2.92%	5.33%	4.27%	-62.52%
BP	65 Neutral	$87.88B	147.20	0.95%	5.54%	-7.40%	-90.89%

Exxon Mobil Corporate Events

Exxon Mobil Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings

Exxon Mobil announced its second-quarter 2025 results, reporting earnings of $7.1 billion and cash flow from operations of $11.5 billion. The company returned $9.2 billion to shareholders and repurchased approximately 40% of shares issued to acquire Pioneer Natural Resources. Exxon Mobil achieved its highest second-quarter upstream production since the Exxon and Mobil merger, and started operations on key projects expected to enhance earnings by over $3 billion in 2026. Despite a decline in year-to-date earnings compared to 2024, the company generated strong cash flow and maintained industry-leading shareholder distributions. Exxon Mobil’s structural cost savings since 2019 exceed those of other international oil companies, and it plans to continue its strategic growth and cost-saving initiatives.

Exxon Mobil’s 2Q 2025 Earnings Considerations Overview

Exxon Mobil‘s 2Q 2025 earnings considerations highlight various factors expected to impact their financial results compared to 1Q 2025. The company anticipates changes due to market dynamics, planned activities, and seasonal demand patterns, with specific attention to fluctuations in liquid and gas prices, industry margins, and scheduled maintenance. These insights provide a perspective on potential impacts on Exxon Mobil’s operations and market positioning, although they do not encompass all possible changes or estimate the exact earnings for the quarter.

Exxon Mobil Shareholders Back Leadership at Annual Meeting

On May 28, 2025, Exxon Mobil held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where key proposals were voted on. The election of directors saw all twelve nominees elected with strong support, and the ratification of independent auditors and approval of executive compensation both received significant backing. These outcomes reflect shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.