Exxon Mobil (XOM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $447.19B
• Dividend Yield: 3.65%
• Average Volume (3M): 20.39M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.43
• Revenue Growth: 1.86%
• EPS Growth: -11.52%
• Country: US
• Employees: 61,000
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 47
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 1.67
• Shares Outstanding: 4,325,293,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 24,788,187
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 20,394,320
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.48
• Price to Cash Flow (P/CF): 10.30
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.10
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.13
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.60
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $127.45
• Price Target Upside: 20.00% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 12

Exxon Mobil's overall score reflects a strong financial foundation with robust profitability and strategic positioning for growth. The earnings call highlights positive guidance and investments in future growth avenues. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and valuation remains moderate. The company shows resilience despite market and policy challenges, positioning it well for long-term growth.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

Exxon Mobil has demonstrated strong earnings potential and emission-reduction goals while retaining a very competitive position in the energy industry.

Growth Strategy

Exxon Mobil plans to deliver 10 key projects, driving over $3 billion of incremental earnings.

Shareholder Returns

Management is committed to generating $165bn of surplus cash, supporting strong shareholder cash returns through dividend growth and buybacks.

Negative Factors

Earnings Outlook

1Q25 outlook suggests lower Product Solutions earnings with higher maintenance in this segment.

Market Risks

Exxon Mobil's global presence exposes it to significant macroeconomic risks, as earnings depend on the price volatility of crude oil, natural gas, and other refinery products.

Stock Valuation

The stock has derated by 9.7% compared to a slight increase in the XLE index.

Exxon Mobil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Exxon Mobil Corporation explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in the United States and internationally. It operates through Upstream, Downstream, and Chemical segments. The company is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; manufactures and sells petrochemicals, including olefins, polyolefins, aromatics, and various other petrochemicals; and captures and stores carbon, hydrogen, and biofuels. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 20,528 net operated wells with proved reserves. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Exxon Mobil makes money through its diversified operations in the oil and gas industry. The primary revenue streams include upstream activities, which involve the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas; downstream operations, which focus on refining and marketing petroleum products; and the chemical sector, which manufactures and sells petrochemicals. The company also engages in transportation and logistics of oil and gas products. Exxon Mobil's earnings are influenced by factors such as global energy demand, oil prices, refining margins, and efficiency in production and operations. Strategic partnerships and investments in technology development for sustainable energy solutions also contribute to the company's revenue.

Exxon Mobil Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Exxon Mobil shows a solid financial performance with a strong gross profit margin and stable EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational efficiency. However, negative revenue growth and a decline in net income are concerns. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage and high equity ratio, while cash flow management is efficient despite some decline.

Income Statement

Exxon Mobil shows a solid financial performance with a strong gross profit margin of 27.8% and a net profit margin of 9.7% for 2024. Despite a decrease in net income from 2023, the company has managed to maintain stable EBIT and EBITDA margins of 13.1% and 14.1% respectively, indicating operational efficiency. However, revenue growth has been negative over the past year, which is a concern.

Balance Sheet

Exxon Mobil maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25, reflecting strong capital management. The equity ratio stands at 59.7%, showing a robust equity position. However, slight increases in total debt pose a risk, though they are well-managed against the equity base.

Cash Flow

The company demonstrates efficient cash flow management with a free cash flow of $30.7 billion in 2024, although it represents a decline from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.63, indicating good cash-generating ability relative to net income. However, the decrease in free cash flow growth over the last year is a downside.

Breakdown
Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
339.25B	334.70B	398.68B	276.69B	178.57B
	Gross Profit
76.74B	84.14B	103.07B	64.89B	8.13B
	EBIT
39.65B	44.46B	64.03B	24.02B	-29.45B
	EBITDA
73.31B	74.27B	102.59B	52.79B	18.28B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
33.68B	36.01B	55.74B	23.04B	-22.44B
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
23.19B	31.54B	29.64B	6.80B	4.36B
	Total Assets
453.48B	376.32B	369.07B	338.92B	332.75B
	Total Debt
68.78B	47.71B	41.19B	47.70B	67.64B
	Net Debt
45.59B	16.14B	11.55B	40.90B	63.28B
	Total Liabilities
182.87B	163.78B	166.59B	163.24B	168.62B
	Stockholders Equity
270.61B	204.80B	195.05B	168.58B	157.15B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
30.72B	33.45B	58.39B	36.05B	-2.61B
	Operating Cash Flow
55.02B	55.37B	76.80B	48.13B	14.67B
	Investing Cash Flow
-19.94B	-20.04B	-14.74B	-10.23B	-18.46B
	Financing Cash Flow
-42.79B	-33.53B	-37.64B	-35.42B	5.29B

Exxon Mobil Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 106.21
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 106.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.37, below the 50-day MA of 109.75, and below the 200-day MA of 112.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XOM.

Exxon Mobil Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TTE	78 Outperform	$115.97B	8.20	11.75%	4.80%	-9.86%	-32.59%
CVX	75 Outperform	$236.91B	13.95	11.28%	4.76%	-1.90%	-14.56%
SHEL	74 Outperform	$180.57B	12.15	8.82%	4.17%	-5.74%	-11.09%
XOM	73 Outperform	$447.19B	13.19	14.38%	3.65%	1.86%	-11.52%
PBR	66 Neutral	$71.94B	11.03	10.52%	15.82%	-10.81%	-70.65%
BP	62 Neutral	$68.32B	186.20	-1.87%	6.60%	-7.70%	-113.83%
Sector *	56 Neutral	$6.99B	3.76	-4.38%	5.90%	-0.24%	-48.46%

Exxon Mobil Corporate Events

Exxon Mobil Reports Strong Q1 2025 Earnings

Exxon Mobil reported first-quarter 2025 earnings of $7.7 billion, driven by strategic cost reductions and operational optimizations, despite a decline in industry refining margins. The company distributed $9.1 billion to shareholders, including dividends and share repurchases, and commenced operations at new facilities in China and Baytown, reinforcing its competitive market position.

Spark’s Take on XOM Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, XOM is a Outperform.

Exxon Mobil scores well due to its solid financial performance, strategic growth focus, and significant achievements in production and low-carbon initiatives. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and valuation remains moderate. Earnings call insights highlight a positive outlook despite cost and legal challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on XOM stock, click here.

Exxon Mobil Previews Q1 2025 Financial Influences

Exxon Mobil’s management has provided insights into factors expected to impact the company’s first-quarter 2025 results compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. These factors include market dynamics, planned activities, and seasonal demand patterns, but do not encompass all changes or estimate the earnings for 1Q 2025. The company noted potential effects from changes in liquid and gas prices, industry margins, and timing effects, as well as scheduled maintenance and seasonal factors. The announcement aims to give stakeholders an understanding of anticipated influences on financial outcomes, although it does not account for all adjustments and charges related to industry conditions.

Exxon Mobil Announces Leadership Change with McKee’s Retirement

Karen T. McKee, president of ExxonMobil Product Solutions Company and vice president of Exxon Mobil Corporation, announced her retirement effective May 1, 2025. This leadership change may impact the company’s strategic direction and operations, influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relations.