Exxon Mobil (XOM)
NYSE:XOM
Top Page
Exxon Mobil
(NYSE:XOM)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$173.00
â–²(13.44% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/09/26
Overall score reflects strong balance-sheet quality and a positive earnings-call outlook centered on execution, advantaged-asset growth, and disciplined shareholder returns, partially offset by down-cycle financial momentum (revenue and free-cash-flow compression with higher debt) and only mixed near-term technicals. Valuation is reasonable but not compelling for the current cycle.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A low debt-to-equity ratio and a very large equity and asset base provide durable financial flexibility. This supports multi-year funding for mega projects, LNG/CCS buildouts and shareholder returns while lowering refinancing and solvency risk through commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
Cycle-Driven Revenue & FCF Decline
Sharp revenue and free-cash-flow contraction reflect commodity sensitivity and weaker realizations. Prolonged soft pricing or margin pressure would materially constrain reinvestment, slow asset high-grading and reduce discretionary returns, stressing medium-term growth plans.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A low debt-to-equity ratio and a very large equity and asset base provide durable financial flexibility. This supports multi-year funding for mega projects, LNG/CCS buildouts and shareholder returns while lowering refinancing and solvency risk through commodity cycles.
Read all positive factors
Exxon Mobil (XOM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$635.47B
Dividend Yield3.35%
Average Volume (3M)24.42M
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.1
Beta (1Y)0.15
Revenue Growth-4.17%
EPS Growth-14.15%
CountryUS
Employees61,000
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Integrated
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.71
Shares Outstanding4,166,763,700
10 Day Avg. Volume24,491,310
30 Day Avg. Volume24,420,998
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.20
Price to Book (P/B)2.01
Price to Sales (P/S)1.61
P/FCF Ratio22.07
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.09
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.14
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit9.88
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.23
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$164.57Price Target Upside7.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering21
EPS Forecast (FY)9.34
Revenue Forecast (FY)$363.30B
Exxon Mobil Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Exxon Mobil Corporation explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in the United States and internationally. It operates through Upstream, Downstream, and Chemical segments. The company is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transpor...
How the Company Makes Money
Exxon Mobil makes money primarily by selling energy and chemical products produced through its integrated operations. (1) Upstream (oil and gas production): Exxon Mobil generates revenue from producing and selling crude oil, natural gas, and natur...
Exxon Mobil Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Net Oil-Equivalent Production
Measures the total volume of oil and gas produced, providing insight into resource extraction efficiency, reserve management, and the company's capacity to generate revenue from its core operations.
Measures the total volume of oil and gas produced, providing insight into resource extraction efficiency, reserve management, and the company's capacity to generate revenue from its core operations.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyExxon Mobil Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution, material emissions reductions, technology-driven growth, sizeable shareholder returns, and meaningful structural cost savings — with multiple advantaged growth engines (Guyana, Permian, LNG) and technology successes (Proxima, battery anodes, CCS). Headwinds include continued margin pressure in Chemicals from new supply, geopolitical/license uncertainty (notably parts of Guyana and Venezuela), and the need to scale new technologies commercially. On balance, positive operational and financial progress materially outweigh the noted risks and uncertainties.Positive Updates
Significant Emissions Reductions
As of 2025 Exxon has reduced corporate GHG intensity by more than 20%, upstream GHG intensity by more than 40%, and corporate flaring intensity by more than 60%; methane intensity reductions targeted to be met by year-end.
Negative Updates
Chemicals Segment Margin Pressure
Base Chemicals facing a tough environment: demand is robust but margins compressed due to new supply/capacity additions globally, weighing on segment profitability.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Significant Emissions Reductions
As of 2025 Exxon has reduced corporate GHG intensity by more than 20%, upstream GHG intensity by more than 40%, and corporate flaring intensity by more than 60%; methane intensity reductions targeted to be met by year-end.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The call reiterated strong execution and quantified targets: Exxon said it has already met its 2030 GHG and flaring plans (corporate GHG intensity down >20%, upstream GHG intensity down >40%, corporate flaring intensity down >60%, and methane‑intensity reductions expected by year‑end), reported 2025 upstream production averaging 4.7 million boe/d (Q4 Permian record 1.8 million boe/d) and expects advantaged assets to be ~65% of production by 2030 with the Permian to exceed 2.5 million boe/d beyond 2030; the company delivered all 10 key 2025 projects, expects Golden Pass first LNG in early March, sees product‑solutions projects driving earnings growth through 2030 with ~60% of that growth from assets already online, tripled Proxima capacity this year, deployed lightweight proppant in ~25% of wells in 2025 (target ~50% of new wells by year‑end), advanced CCS to roughly 9 million t/yr contracted capacity (including a first third‑party project able to store up to 2 million t/yr), captured ~$15 billion of structural cost savings through 2025, completed $20 billion of share repurchases in 2025 (retiring one‑third of Pioneer issuance), returned $150 billion to shareholders over five years with a 29% annualized return, and emphasized project execution advantages (about 3× as many mega‑projects as the nearest competitor at up to 20% lower cost and 20% faster delivery).Exxon Mobil Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 323.90B | 339.25B | 334.70B | 398.68B | 276.69B |
| Gross Profit | 70.23B | 76.74B | 84.14B | 103.07B | 64.89B |
| EBITDA | 67.86B | 73.31B | 74.27B | 102.59B | 52.79B |
| Net Income | 28.84B | 33.68B | 36.01B | 55.74B | 23.04B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 448.98B | 453.48B | 376.32B | 369.07B | 338.92B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 10.68B | 23.03B | 31.54B | 29.64B | 6.80B |
| Total Debt | 43.54B | 41.71B | 41.57B | 41.19B | 47.70B |
| Total Liabilities | 182.35B | 182.87B | 163.78B | 166.59B | 163.24B |
| Stockholders Equity | 259.39B | 263.70B | 204.80B | 195.05B | 168.58B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 23.61B | 30.72B | 33.45B | 58.39B | 36.05B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 51.97B | 55.02B | 55.37B | 76.80B | 48.13B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -26.54B | -19.94B | -20.04B | -14.74B | -10.23B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -38.47B | -42.79B | -33.53B | -39.11B | -35.42B |
Exxon Mobil Technical Analysis
Neutral
152.51
Price Trends
153.76
Negative
137.30
Positive
123.65
Positive
Market Momentum
1.49
Positive
41.69
Neutral
14.20
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 152.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 161.37, below the 50-day MA of 153.76, and above the 200-day MA of 123.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.20 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XOM.
Exxon Mobil Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $376.23B | 22.91 | 7.32% | 4.54% | -3.44% | -22.05% | |
73 Outperform | $57.17B | 16.93 | 6.43% | 2.39% | -2.48% | -65.26% | |
72 Outperform | $635.47B | 18.07 | 11.04% | 3.35% | -4.17% | -14.15% | |
71 Outperform | $256.97B | 12.77 | 10.06% | 3.92% | -6.96% | 0.03% | |
69 Neutral | $71.41B | 10.87 | 9.88% | 2.74% | -8.48% | -56.92% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
60 Neutral | $118.87B | 1,640.39 | 0.10% | 5.62% | -4.11% | -37.59% |
* Energy Sector Average
XOM
Exxon Mobil
152.51
52.55
52.58%
BP
BP
46.44
21.01
82.64%
CVX
Chevron
188.55
59.06
45.61%
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
57.97
20.87
56.27%
SHEL
Shell
92.21
32.08
53.36%
VLO
Valero Energy
238.82
131.64
122.82%
Exxon Mobil Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Exxon Mobil Updates Q1 2026 Outlook Amid Disruptions
Negative
Apr 8, 2026
Exxon Mobil outlined factors expected to affect its first-quarter 2026 results versus the fourth quarter of 2025, starting from a 4Q25 GAAP profit of $6.5 billion, or $7.3 billion excluding identified items, across its major business segments. Man...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Exxon Mobil Issues New Long-Dated Floating Rate Notes
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
On March 26, 2026, Exxon Mobil Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate led by RBC Capital Markets, J.P. Morgan Securities and UBS Securities to issue and sell $169.3 million in aggregate principal amount of floating rat...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Exxon Mobil Director Jeffrey Ubben to Exit Board
Neutral
Feb 20, 2026
On February 18, 2026, Exxon Mobil announced that director Jeffrey W. Ubben will not stand for re-election at the company’s annual shareholders’ meeting scheduled for May 27, 2026, for reasons the company said are unrelated to Exxon Mob...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Exxon Mobil Posts Strong 2025 Results, Highlights Shareholder Returns
Positive
Jan 30, 2026
On January 30, 2026, Exxon Mobil reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings of $6.5 billion and full-year 2025 earnings of $28.8 billion, with cash flow from operations of $52.0 billion and free cash flow of $26.1 billion. Despite lower crude prices, w...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.