Exxon Mobil (XOM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $495.31B
• Dividend Yield: 3.43%
• Average Volume (3M): 18.33M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.30
• Revenue Growth: 2.36%
• EPS Growth: -7.18%
• Country: US
• Employees: 61,000
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 55
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 1.76
• Shares Outstanding: 4,309,638,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 13,873,900
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 18,326,182
• PEG Ratio: -4.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.95
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 17.54
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.04
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.38
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.75
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.74
• 1Y Price Target: $124.80
• Price Target Upside: 8.12% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: $124.00 ▲(7.42%Upside)

Exxon Mobil's overall stock score is bolstered by its strong financial performance and strategic advancements highlighted in the earnings call. The robust guidance and strategic focus on cost efficiency and low carbon solutions underscore its potential for long-term growth. The valuation is fair, with an attractive dividend yield, though technical analysis reveals some resistance. Market and policy uncertainties pose risks but are countered by the company's resilience and strategic initiatives.

Positive Factors

Earnings Growth

XOM remains a top pick given clear earnings growth from advantaged projects supporting stable and growing cash returns in a variety of price environments.

Shareholder Returns

Reiterated target for $20 billion of planned share repurchases in 2025, implying an approximately 8% shareholder return yield from dividends and buybacks.

Negative Factors

Corporate Expenses

Corporate expense was at the high end of Q2's guidance range, indicating higher costs.

Earnings Performance

The revised lower Q2'25 EPS estimate mainly reflects downwardly revised Upstream, Chemicals, and corporate forecasts.

Exxon Mobil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is one of the world's largest publicly traded international oil and gas companies. Headquartered in Irving, Texas, ExxonMobil operates across all sectors of the oil and gas industry, including exploration, production, refining, and distribution. The company is engaged in the production of crude oil and natural gas, the manufacture of petroleum products, and the marketing of its products. It also has interests in chemical manufacturing and electric power generation. ExxonMobil's core products include fuels, lubricants, and petrochemicals, serving a diverse customer base worldwide.

How the Company Makes Money

ExxonMobil generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. This upstream segment involves locating oil and gas reserves, drilling wells, and extracting resources. The downstream segment, which includes refining and marketing, involves processing crude oil into petroleum products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, and then distributing these products to consumers and businesses. ExxonMobil also has a significant chemical division that produces and sells petrochemicals such as olefins, aromatics, polyethylene, and specialty products. The company's revenue is influenced by global oil and gas prices, production volumes, refining margins, and chemical product demand. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures also play a role in ExxonMobil's earnings, allowing the company to expand its reach and capabilities in key markets worldwide.

Exxon Mobil Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Exxon Mobil demonstrates a strong financial position with robust profit margins and efficient cost management. Solid profitability is highlighted by a net profit margin of 9.7% and stable operational efficiency with consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins. While revenue growth is modest and recent free cash flow has seen a decline, the overall financial health remains strong, supported by significant equity and cash flow generation capabilities.

Income Statement

Exxon Mobil shows a strong financial performance with robust profit margins. The TTM Gross Profit Margin stands at 24.6%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin at 9.7% reflects solid profitability. Revenue growth is modest at 0.8%, but consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins of 8.7% and 21.5% respectively highlight stable operational efficiency. Despite slight revenue fluctuations, the company maintains healthy margins.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is solid with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.24, showcasing conservative leverage. A strong Return on Equity of 12.3% indicates effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 59.7% suggests a stable capital structure with significant equity backing. Overall, the company maintains a well-balanced financial position with manageable debt levels.

Cash Flow

Exxon Mobil's cash flow is robust, with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.61, indicating strong cash generation relative to net earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.85 shows a healthy conversion of earnings into cash. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate, however, is -8.3%, reflecting a recent decline, albeit from strong previous levels. Overall, cash flows remain strong with slight recent volatility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	339.89B	339.25B	334.70B	398.68B	276.69B	178.57B
Gross Profit	76.32B	76.74B	84.14B	103.07B	64.89B	8.13B
EBITDA	73.42B	73.31B	74.27B	102.59B	52.79B	18.28B
Net Income	33.17B	33.68B	36.01B	55.74B	23.04B	-22.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	451.91B	453.48B	376.32B	369.07B	338.92B	332.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	17.04B	23.19B	31.54B	29.64B	6.80B	4.36B
Total Debt	37.55B	68.78B	47.71B	41.19B	47.70B	67.64B
Total Liabilities	182.10B	182.87B	163.78B	166.59B	163.24B	168.62B
Stockholders Equity	262.72B	270.61B	204.80B	195.05B	168.58B	157.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	28.18B	30.72B	33.45B	58.39B	36.05B	-2.61B
Operating Cash Flow	53.31B	55.02B	55.37B	76.80B	48.13B	14.67B
Investing Cash Flow	-19.49B	-19.94B	-20.04B	-14.74B	-10.23B	-18.46B
Financing Cash Flow	-48.08B	-42.79B	-33.53B	-37.64B	-35.42B	5.29B

Exxon Mobil Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 115.43
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 115.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.69, above the 50-day MA of 107.58, and above the 200-day MA of 110.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.32 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XOM.

Exxon Mobil Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CVX	82 Outperform	$269.24B	17.68	10.11%	4.40%	-1.05%	-19.71%
TTE	78 Outperform	$139.58B	10.27	11.75%	4.51%	-9.86%	-32.59%
XOM	77 Outperform	$495.31B	15.21	14.18%	3.43%	2.36%	-7.18%
SHEL	76 Outperform	$211.92B	14.15	7.40%	3.96%	―	―
PBR	75 Outperform	$78.62B	9.75	11.25%	26.26%	-10.84%	-61.73%
BP	71 Outperform	$84.31B	186.20	-1.84%	5.82%	-7.91%	-113.62%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$15.42B	10.07	6.34%	5.16%	4.06%	-67.04%

Exxon Mobil Corporate Events

Exxon Mobil’s 2Q 2025 Earnings Considerations Overview

Exxon Mobil‘s 2Q 2025 earnings considerations highlight various factors expected to impact their financial results compared to 1Q 2025. The company anticipates changes due to market dynamics, planned activities, and seasonal demand patterns, with specific attention to fluctuations in liquid and gas prices, industry margins, and scheduled maintenance. These insights provide a perspective on potential impacts on Exxon Mobil’s operations and market positioning, although they do not encompass all possible changes or estimate the exact earnings for the quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (XOM) stock is a Buy with a $139.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exxon Mobil stock, see the XOM Stock Forecast page.

Exxon Mobil Shareholders Back Leadership at Annual Meeting

On May 28, 2025, Exxon Mobil held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where key proposals were voted on. The election of directors saw all twelve nominees elected with strong support, and the ratification of independent auditors and approval of executive compensation both received significant backing. These outcomes reflect shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (XOM) stock is a Buy with a $139.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exxon Mobil stock, see the XOM Stock Forecast page.

Exxon Mobil Reports Strong Q1 2025 Earnings

Exxon Mobil reported first-quarter 2025 earnings of $7.7 billion, driven by strategic cost reductions and operational optimizations, despite a decline in industry refining margins. The company distributed $9.1 billion to shareholders, including dividends and share repurchases, and commenced operations at new facilities in China and Baytown, reinforcing its competitive market position.