Exxon Mobil (XOM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $502.77B
• Dividend Yield: 3.35%
• Average Volume (3M): 15.71M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.29
• Revenue Growth: -4.17%
• EPS Growth: -14.15%
• Country: US
• Employees: 61,000
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated
• EPS (TTM): 1.88
• Shares Outstanding: 4,217,165,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 18,504,066
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 15,712,116
• PEG Ratio: -1.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.75
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.36
• P/FCF Ratio: 15.05
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.08
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.67
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.48
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.88
• 1Y Price Target: $132.33
• Price Target Upside: 11.00% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 19
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: $130.00 ▲(9.04% Upside)

Exxon Mobil's strong financial health and robust earnings call performance are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic advancements in production and technology, along with cost reductions, bolster its position. However, challenges in revenue growth, free cash flow, and dividend concerns slightly temper the overall outlook.

Positive Factors

Technological Advancements

Technological advancements like Proxima-based products enhance operational efficiency, potentially leading to cost savings and competitive advantage.

Production Records

Achieving production records in key regions strengthens Exxon's market position and supports long-term revenue growth.

Corporate Plan Update

The updated corporate plan outlines significant growth targets, indicating strategic focus on sustainable long-term profitability and cash flow.

Negative Factors

Revenue Growth Challenges

Declining revenue growth and free cash flow highlight potential difficulties in maintaining growth momentum, impacting future financial performance.

Dividend Growth Concerns

Modest dividend growth may affect investor sentiment and indicate potential constraints in capital allocation strategies.

Low Carbon Solutions Development

Lagging development in low carbon solutions could hinder Exxon's ability to adapt to industry shifts towards sustainability and regulatory changes.

Exxon Mobil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Exxon Mobil Corporation explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in the United States and internationally. It operates through Upstream, Downstream, and Chemical segments. The company is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; manufactures and sells petrochemicals, including olefins, polyolefins, aromatics, and various other petrochemicals; and captures and stores carbon, hydrogen, and biofuels. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 20,528 net operated wells with proved reserves. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Exxon Mobil generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, refined petroleum products, and petrochemicals. The Upstream segment contributes significantly to its earnings through the extraction and sale of oil and gas, which are influenced by global commodity prices. The Downstream segment earns revenue by refining crude oil into various products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, and by selling these products through a vast network of retail stations and wholesale markets. Additionally, the Chemical segment provides a stable revenue stream through the manufacture of chemical products that are essential for various industries. Exxon Mobil also benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with other energy companies and governments, optimizing its production capabilities and market access. Factors such as fluctuations in oil prices, regulatory changes, and geopolitical events can also impact its earnings.

Exxon Mobil Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Exxon Mobil demonstrates strong financial health with solid profitability margins and a robust balance sheet. However, recent declines in revenue growth and free cash flow highlight potential challenges in sustaining growth momentum. The company maintains a conservative leverage position, which supports financial stability amidst industry volatility.

Income Statement

Exxon Mobil's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 24.89% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 9.03% from 9.93% in the previous year, reflecting some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative recently, with a decline of 1.35% in TTM, suggesting challenges in maintaining top-line growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 11.42% for TTM, though it has decreased from 12.77% in the previous year, suggesting a slight dip in efficiency. The equity ratio remains strong, reflecting a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 18.36% in TTM, indicating potential cash generation challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, showing a moderate conversion of income to cash. Despite these challenges, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 0.54, suggesting decent cash profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	324.92B	339.25B	334.70B	398.68B	276.69B	178.57B
Gross Profit	72.36B	76.74B	84.14B	103.07B	64.89B	8.13B
EBITDA	68.77B	73.31B	74.27B	102.59B	52.79B	18.28B
Net Income	29.95B	33.68B	36.01B	55.74B	23.04B	-22.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	454.34B	453.48B	376.32B	369.07B	338.92B	332.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	13.81B	23.03B	31.54B	29.64B	6.80B	4.36B
Total Debt	42.04B	41.71B	41.57B	41.19B	47.70B	67.64B
Total Liabilities	186.12B	182.87B	163.78B	166.59B	163.24B	168.62B
Stockholders Equity	260.56B	263.70B	204.80B	195.05B	168.58B	157.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	23.77B	30.72B	33.45B	58.39B	36.05B	-2.61B
Operating Cash Flow	51.52B	55.02B	55.37B	76.80B	48.13B	14.67B
Investing Cash Flow	-23.38B	-19.94B	-20.04B	-14.74B	-10.23B	-18.46B
Financing Cash Flow	-41.16B	-42.79B	-33.53B	-39.11B	-35.42B	5.29B

Exxon Mobil Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 119.22
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 117.31, above the 50-day MA of 115.86, and above the 200-day MA of 109.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XOM.

Exxon Mobil Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SHEL	78 Outperform	$207.77B	14.79	8.06%	3.92%	-6.96%	0.03%
XOM	74 Outperform	$502.77B	17.32	11.32%	3.35%	-4.17%	-14.15%
CVX	71 Outperform	$303.04B	21.25	7.38%	4.54%	-3.44%	-22.05%
VLO	69 Neutral	$50.16B	34.24	6.07%	2.74%	-8.48%	-56.92%
BP	68 Neutral	$88.02B	56.57	2.52%	5.62%	-4.11%	-37.59%
OXY	67 Neutral	$39.41B	29.11	5.82%	2.39%	-2.48%	-65.26%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%

Exxon Mobil Corporate Events

Exxon Mobil Announces CFO Retirement and Successor

On December 8, 2025, Exxon Mobil announced that Kathryn A. Mikells, the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will retire effective February 1, 2026, to focus on her health recovery. Neil A. Hansen has been elected to succeed her, bringing extensive experience from his previous roles within the company, including his recent position as President of ExxonMobil Global Business Solutions.

ExxonMobil to Unveil Corporate Plan on Dec 9

ExxonMobil announced plans to release details of its Corporate Plan, including capital plans up to 2030, on December 9, 2025. The release will be available on the company’s website, accompanied by a live broadcast and Q&A session with analysts, potentially impacting stakeholders by providing insights into the company’s future strategies.

Exxon Mobil Issues Floating Rate Notes for 2075

On November 7, 2025, Exxon Mobil Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement for the issuance and sale of $111,949,000 in Floating Rate Notes due 2075. This financial move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to manage its long-term debt and strengthen its financial position, potentially impacting its market standing and stakeholder interests.

Exxon Mobil Appoints Greg C. Garland as Director

On October 28, 2025, Exxon Mobil‘s Board of Directors elected Greg C. Garland as a new non-employee director, effective November 3, 2025. Mr. Garland will join the Audit and Finance Committees and receive an initial grant of 8,000 shares of restricted stock, aligning his compensation with other non-employee directors.

Exxon Mobil Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings

Exxon Mobil reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings of $7.5 billion and cash flow from operations of $14.8 billion, with shareholder distributions totaling $9.4 billion. The company advanced its growth ambitions through acquisitions and technological investments, setting production records in Guyana and the Permian Basin. Exxon Mobil’s year-to-date earnings were $22.3 billion, impacted by weaker crude prices and strategic divestments, but offset by volume growth and cost savings. The company declared a fourth-quarter dividend increase and maintained a strong financial position with industry-leading debt ratios.

Exxon Mobil’s Q3 2025 Earnings Considerations Highlighted

Exxon Mobil‘s earnings considerations for the third quarter of 2025 highlight several factors expected to impact results compared to the second quarter. These include changes in liquids and gas prices, industry margins, and timing effects related to derivatives and inventory accounting. Additionally, scheduled maintenance and restructuring costs are anticipated to influence the financial outcomes. The release emphasizes that these are estimates and may not encompass all adjustments needed for the final financial reporting.