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Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
NYSE:OXY
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Occidental Petroleum (OXY) AI Stock Analysis

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OXY

Occidental Petroleum

(NYSE:OXY)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$44.00
▲(8.43% Upside)
Occidental Petroleum's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, tempered by bearish technical indicators and a high valuation. The company's strategic focus on debt reduction and sustainability initiatives provides a solid foundation for future growth, but current market conditions and valuation concerns present challenges.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Significant debt reduction enhances financial stability and reduces interest expenses, improving long-term financial flexibility and resilience.
Carbon Capture Initiatives
Advancements in carbon capture align with sustainability trends, potentially opening new revenue streams and enhancing the company's ESG profile.
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency in well costs enhances profitability and competitiveness, supporting sustainable margin improvements.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue growth can indicate challenges in market expansion or product demand, potentially impacting long-term earnings potential.
OxyChem Segment Underperformance
Underperformance in the OxyChem segment suggests potential issues in pricing power or market demand, which could affect overall profitability.
Production Challenges
Production challenges can disrupt supply and revenue streams, potentially leading to missed targets and affecting investor confidence.

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Occidental Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOccidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is a global oil and gas exploration and production company headquartered in Houston, Texas. It operates across various segments, including oil and gas exploration, production, and marketing, as well as chemicals and midstream services. The company's core products consist of crude oil, natural gas, and petrochemicals, with a significant focus on sustainable practices and carbon management initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneyOccidental Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company sells its products to refiners, marketers, and other industrial consumers, which constitutes a major revenue stream. Additionally, Occidental has a chemicals segment that produces and sells a variety of chemical products, contributing to its earnings. Key partnerships, such as joint ventures with other energy companies, further enhance its operational efficiency and market reach. The company also engages in midstream activities, including transportation and storage of oil and gas, which provide additional income. Factors such as global oil prices, production levels, and operational costs significantly influence its profitability.

Occidental Petroleum Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Provides a breakdown of operating income across different business segments, revealing which areas are most profitable and where the company might focus its strategic efforts.
Chart InsightsOccidental Petroleum's Oil & Gas segment shows a recovery in operating income, despite lower oil prices, supported by strong production in the Rockies and Oman. The Midstream & Marketing segment outperformed expectations due to improved crude marketing margins. However, the Chemical segment underperformed, aligning with earnings call concerns over weaker pricing. The company's strategic focus on debt reduction and carbon capture initiatives, including the STRATOS project, indicates a shift towards sustainability and financial stability, which could mitigate risks associated with market volatility and production challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Occidental Petroleum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operating cash flow, significant debt reduction, and advancements in their carbon capture initiatives. However, there were challenges with lower oil prices, underperformance in the OxyChem segment, and production issues in the Gulf of America.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operating Cash Flow
Occidental delivered $2.6 billion of operating cash flow in the second quarter, exceeding last year's performance despite lower oil prices.
Significant Debt Reduction
Repayment of $7.5 billion of debt, achieving a 70% reduction of the debt raised for the CrownRock acquisition, well ahead of target.
STRATOS Milestone
STRATOS achieved a significant milestone with Trains 1 & 2 moving to operations, on track to start capturing CO2 this year.
Cost Management
Operating cost reductions offset costs associated with increased production, maintaining absolute operating costs despite increased production.
Midstream & Marketing Segment Outperformance
Generated positive earnings on an adjusted basis, outperforming guidance due to improved crude marketing margins and gas marketing optimization.
Additional Commercial Agreements
Signed agreements for carbon removal sales with JPMorgan and Palo Alto Networks, with majority volumes through 2030 now contracted.
Negative Updates
Lower Realized Oil Prices
Realized oil prices were lower, impacting profitability and contributing to market volatility.
OxyChem Segment Underperformance
OxyChem pre-tax income came in below guidance due to weaker-than-anticipated pricing for caustic and PVC.
Production Challenges in the Gulf of America
Lower-than-expected production due to third-party constraints and curtailments, impacting the overall production guidance.
Increased Tax Rate
Effective tax rate increased due to a shift in the jurisdictional mix of income driven by lower anticipated full-year oil prices.
Company Guidance
In Occidental's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating strong operational performance with several key metrics. The company reported $2.6 billion in operating cash flow for the quarter, which contributed to more operating cash flow in the first half of 2025 than in the same period of 2024, despite a $11 per barrel decrease in WTI oil prices. Occidental achieved a significant milestone with its STRATOS project, set to start capturing CO2 within the year, which aligns with the growing interest in Direct Air Capture. The oil and gas production exceeded expectations at 1.4 million BOE per day, with particular strength in the Rockies and Oman. The company also highlighted a 13% reduction in Permian unconventional well costs compared to 2024, driven by operational efficiencies, and announced $950 million in additional divestitures, bringing total announced divestitures to nearly $4 billion since January 2024. This, along with cash flow, enabled Occidental to repay $7.5 billion of debt since the CrownRock acquisition. For the third quarter, the company expects total production to range between 1.42 million and 1.46 million BOE per day. The guidance also included a revised OxyChem full-year guidance range and an update on the Midstream & Marketing segment, which outperformed expectations.

Occidental Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Occidental Petroleum maintains a robust financial position with strong profitability and cash flow metrics. Despite a slight revenue contraction, the company shows effective cost management and solid returns on equity. The balance sheet is stable but could benefit from further debt optimization.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Occidental Petroleum demonstrates strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 36.9% and a net profit margin of 11.3% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, revenue growth is challenged with a decline of 2.5% year-over-year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.75, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is solid at 8.9%, indicating efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is at 40.9%, suggesting a balanced asset financing structure but with room for improvement in reducing liabilities.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Free cash flow growth is stable at 0.9% annually, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.7 indicates strong cash generation capability relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.4 further supports healthy cash conversion from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.24B27.10B28.33B36.25B25.96B17.14B
Gross Profit9.43B9.65B9.74B17.05B7.60B441.00M
EBITDA12.48B12.72B14.54B22.16B13.89B-6.14B
Net Income2.37B3.04B4.67B13.22B2.31B-14.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets84.36B85.44B74.01B72.61B75.04B80.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.34B2.13B1.43B984.00M2.76B2.01B
Total Debt24.17B27.10B20.91B20.77B30.39B37.30B
Total Liabilities48.18B50.97B43.66B42.52B54.71B61.49B
Stockholders Equity35.72B34.16B30.25B30.09B20.33B18.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.80B4.42B6.06B12.46B7.56B1.42B
Operating Cash Flow12.15B11.44B12.31B16.81B10.43B3.96B
Investing Cash Flow-13.64B-14.59B-6.98B-4.87B-1.25B-819.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.96B3.84B-4.89B-13.71B-8.57B-4.52B

Occidental Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price40.58
Price Trends
50DMA
44.89
Negative
100DMA
44.39
Negative
200DMA
44.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.12
Positive
RSI
34.49
Neutral
STOCH
26.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OXY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 40.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.64, below the 50-day MA of 44.89, and below the 200-day MA of 44.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OXY.

Occidental Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$57.88B10.3019.63%3.72%-5.42%-20.52%
$30.20B10.218.33%6.64%15.31%58.83%
$41.58B10.0313.55%2.72%51.78%-27.29%
$20.32B7.1720.60%2.93%10.98%-19.25%
$17.81B11.2011.42%3.73%16.56%20.21%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$39.95B23.996.98%2.32%-1.66%-58.96%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
40.58
-8.51
-17.34%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
23.34
0.23
1.00%
DVN
Devon Energy
32.05
-5.58
-14.83%
EOG
EOG Resources
106.00
-11.88
-10.08%
WDS
Woodside Energy Group
15.97
1.19
8.05%
FANG
Diamondback
143.63
-28.59
-16.60%

Occidental Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Occidental Petroleum Appoints Richard Jackson as COO
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Occidental Petroleum promoted Richard A. Jackson to Chief Operating Officer, where he will oversee global oil and gas operations, low-carbon technologies, and other key functions. Jackson, who has been with Occidental since 2003, has a proven track record in leadership roles and is expected to enhance shareholder value through his focus on operational and technological advancements.

The most recent analyst rating on (OXY) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Occidental Petroleum stock, see the OXY Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Occidental Sells OxyChem to Berkshire Hathaway
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Occidental Petroleum‘s subsidiaries, Occidental Chemical Holding, LLC and Environmental Resource Holdings, LLC, entered into an agreement to sell Occidental Chemical Corporation (OxyChem) to Berkshire Hathaway for $9.7 billion in an all-cash transaction. The deal, which includes customary adjustments and conditions, will see Berkshire Hathaway acquire all equity interests in OxyChem, with Occidental retaining certain environmental liabilities. The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals and other closing conditions, with a potential closing deadline of March 30, 2026, extendable by 90 days if necessary.

The most recent analyst rating on (OXY) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Occidental Petroleum stock, see the OXY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Occidental Petroleum Sells OxyChem to Berkshire Hathaway
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Occidental Petroleum announced a definitive agreement for Berkshire Hathaway to acquire its chemical business, OxyChem, for $9.7 billion in an all-cash transaction. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Occidental’s financial position by reducing debt and focusing on its core oil and gas operations, while Berkshire Hathaway gains a robust portfolio of chemical assets. The transaction is anticipated to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending regulatory approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (OXY) stock is a Hold with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Occidental Petroleum stock, see the OXY Stock Forecast page.

Occidental Petroleum’s Resilient Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 12, 2025

Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s recent earnings call painted a picture of resilience and strategic advancement, despite facing challenges from lower oil prices and oversupply issues in its OxyChem segment. The company emphasized its strong operational performance, significant debt reduction, and progress in low carbon ventures, showcasing its preparedness for future growth.

Occidental Petroleum Reports Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 8, 2025

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is a prominent player in the energy sector, primarily engaged in the exploration and production of oil and gas, as well as chemical manufacturing. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company is known for its strategic acquisitions and focus on sustainable energy solutions.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Occidental Petroleum Completes Acquisition of CrownRock
Neutral
Jul 28, 2025

On August 1, 2024, Occidental Petroleum Corporation completed the acquisition of CrownRock, L.P. for approximately $12.4 billion. This strategic move, involving cash, stock, and debt assumption, aims to enhance Occidental’s operational capabilities and market presence. The pro forma financial statements, prepared to illustrate the impact of the acquisition, show adjustments to Occidental’s historical financial data, reflecting the expected ongoing influence on the company’s results. However, these statements do not account for potential cost savings or synergies from the integration.

The most recent analyst rating on (OXY) stock is a Hold with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Occidental Petroleum stock, see the OXY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2025