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Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
NYSE:OXY

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) AI Stock Analysis

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OXY

Occidental Petroleum

(NYSE:OXY)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$45.00
â–²(9.57% Upside)
Occidental Petroleum's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with strong operational efficiency and strategic moves to reduce debt. However, the high P/E ratio and bearish technical indicators suggest caution. The earnings call provided positive insights into operational performance and strategic initiatives, which are key strengths.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt enhances financial flexibility and resilience, allowing for more strategic investments and improving long-term stability.
Operational Efficiency
Strong cash flow generation indicates efficient operations and the ability to fund future growth and debt reduction efforts.
Strategic Asset Sale
The sale of OxyChem allows Occidental to focus on core operations and significantly reduce debt, strengthening its financial position.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth suggests challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, potentially impacting future profitability.
OxyChem Underperformance
Underperformance in the OxyChem segment reflects market challenges, affecting overall profitability and strategic focus.
International Production Challenges
Challenges in international production can limit growth potential and expose the company to geopolitical and operational risks.

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Occidental Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOccidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. It operates through three segments: Oil and Gas, Chemical, and Midstream and Marketing. The company's Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. Its Chemical segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals, including chlorine, caustic soda, chlorinated organics, potassium chemicals, ethylene dichloride, chlorinated isocyanurates, sodium silicates, and calcium chloride; vinyls comprising vinyl chloride monomer, polyvinyl chloride, and ethylene. The Midstream and Marketing segment gathers, processes, transports, stores, purchases, and markets oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. This segment also trades around its assets consisting of transportation and storage capacity; and invests in entities. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyOccidental Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company's revenue model relies heavily on the market prices of these commodities, which can be volatile. Key revenue streams include the sale of oil and gas from its wells, as well as revenues from its chemical manufacturing operations, which produce products such as polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and other petrochemicals. Additionally, Occidental has established strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational efficiency and expand its reach in various markets. Factors contributing to its earnings include the company's ability to manage production costs, its investment in technology to enhance recovery rates, and its focus on sustainable practices that align with evolving market demands.

Occidental Petroleum Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Provides a breakdown of operating income across different business segments, revealing which areas are most profitable and where the company might focus its strategic efforts.
Chart InsightsOccidental Petroleum's Oil & Gas segment shows a recovery in operating income, despite lower oil prices, supported by strong production in the Rockies and Oman. The Midstream & Marketing segment outperformed expectations due to improved crude marketing margins. However, the Chemical segment underperformed, aligning with earnings call concerns over weaker pricing. The company's strategic focus on debt reduction and carbon capture initiatives, including the STRATOS project, indicates a shift towards sustainability and financial stability, which could mitigate risks associated with market volatility and production challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Occidental Petroleum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call primarily highlighted Occidental's strong operational performance, with record production levels and significant cost savings. The company's strategic sale of OxyChem is set to further strengthen its financial position by reducing debt. However, challenges in international production and underperformance in the OxyChem segment were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production in Permian Basin
The Permian Basin contributed 800,000 BOE per day, marking the highest quarterly Permian production in Oxy's history.
Strong Operational Performance
Generated $3.2 billion in operating cash flow and $1.5 billion in free cash flow before working capital.
Debt Reduction and Financial Resilience
Repayment of $1.3 billion of debt, reducing Occidental's principal debt balance to $20.8 billion. The sale of OxyChem will accelerate debt reduction to below $15 billion.
Midstream and Marketing Segment Success
The segment generated positive adjusted earnings of $153 million, surpassing guidance due to strategic gas marketing and higher sulfur prices.
Expanded Permian Resource Base
Expanded Permian resource base by 2.5 billion BOE, now representing approximately 70% of Oxy's total resources.
Cost Efficiency Achievements
Reduced capital expenditures by $300 million and operating costs by $170 million, achieving $2 billion in annualized cost savings since 2023.
Negative Updates
OxyChem Performance Below Expectations
Due to continued softness in the global chlorovinyl market, OxyChem pretax income came in below guidance at $197 million.
International Production Challenges
International assets had slightly lower-than-expected production, partially offset by strong U.S. performance.
Company Guidance
During Occidental's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a strong operational performance with significant financial metrics. They reported generating $3.2 billion in operating cash flow and $1.5 billion in free cash flow before working capital for the third quarter. The company also achieved a record production of approximately 1.47 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, surpassing the high end of their guidance range. In particular, the Permian Basin reached its highest production level at 800,000 BOE per day. Occidental plans to use the proceeds from the sale of OxyChem to strengthen its balance sheet by reducing its principal debt to less than $15 billion, thereby enhancing financial flexibility and return on capital. They aim to maintain a capital expenditure range between $6.3 billion and $6.7 billion for 2026, with a focus on high-return projects and operational efficiency, targeting a $55 to $60 WTI oil price scenario.

Occidental Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Occidental Petroleum demonstrates a stable financial position with strong operational efficiency, evidenced by a robust EBITDA margin and low leverage. However, challenges include declining revenue and profit margins, as well as reduced cash flow generation.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Occidental Petroleum's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin is 25.50%, which is a decline from the previous year, indicating pressure on profitability. The net profit margin has also decreased to 7.09% from 11.23% in the previous year, reflecting reduced net income. Revenue growth is negative at -1.7%, showing a contraction in sales. However, the company maintains a healthy EBITDA margin of 42.28%, suggesting strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.056 in the TTM, significantly improved from previous years, indicating reduced leverage. The return on equity is 5.39%, which is lower than the previous year, suggesting a decrease in profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 43.43%, indicating a stable capital structure with a good proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth at -20.85% in the TTM, indicating challenges in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.19, suggesting adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.34, reflecting a moderate conversion of net income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue66.80B27.10B28.33B36.25B25.96B17.14B
Gross Profit22.30B9.65B9.74B17.05B7.60B441.00M
EBITDA31.29B12.72B14.54B22.16B13.89B-6.14B
Net Income5.79B3.04B4.67B13.22B2.31B-14.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets83.47B85.44B74.01B72.61B75.04B80.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.16B2.13B1.43B984.00M2.76B2.01B
Total Debt22.88B27.10B20.91B20.77B30.39B37.30B
Total Liabilities46.71B50.97B43.66B42.52B54.71B61.49B
Stockholders Equity36.26B34.16B30.25B30.09B20.33B18.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.64B4.42B6.06B12.46B7.56B1.42B
Operating Cash Flow28.09B11.44B12.31B16.81B10.43B3.96B
Investing Cash Flow-14.08B-14.59B-6.98B-4.87B-1.25B-819.00M
Financing Cash Flow-13.53B3.84B-4.89B-13.71B-8.57B-4.52B

Occidental Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price41.07
Price Trends
50DMA
41.70
Negative
100DMA
43.42
Negative
200DMA
43.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
44.93
Neutral
STOCH
17.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OXY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 41.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.60, below the 50-day MA of 41.70, and below the 200-day MA of 43.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OXY.

Occidental Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$44.89B10.8910.92%2.55%60.29%-17.62%
79
Outperform
$23.54B8.8218.35%2.56%11.14%-21.32%
78
Outperform
$58.61B10.7518.48%3.65%-5.15%-19.06%
74
Outperform
$31.26B10.448.33%6.54%15.31%58.83%
73
Outperform
$20.00B12.1211.86%3.35%26.13%31.42%
67
Neutral
$40.46B29.895.82%2.34%-2.48%-65.26%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
41.07
-4.53
-9.93%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
26.27
2.38
9.96%
DVN
Devon Energy
37.52
5.61
17.58%
EOG
EOG Resources
108.01
-12.44
-10.33%
WDS
Woodside Energy Group
16.22
2.18
15.53%
FANG
Diamondback
156.68
2.14
1.38%

Occidental Petroleum Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Occidental Petroleum Appoints Richard Jackson as COO
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Occidental Petroleum promoted Richard A. Jackson to Chief Operating Officer, where he will oversee global oil and gas operations, low-carbon technologies, and other key functions. Jackson, who has been with Occidental since 2003, has a proven track record in leadership roles and is expected to enhance shareholder value through his focus on operational and technological advancements.

M&A Transactions
Occidental Sells OxyChem to Berkshire Hathaway
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Occidental Petroleum‘s subsidiaries, Occidental Chemical Holding, LLC and Environmental Resource Holdings, LLC, entered into an agreement to sell Occidental Chemical Corporation (OxyChem) to Berkshire Hathaway for $9.7 billion in an all-cash transaction. The deal, which includes customary adjustments and conditions, will see Berkshire Hathaway acquire all equity interests in OxyChem, with Occidental retaining certain environmental liabilities. The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals and other closing conditions, with a potential closing deadline of March 30, 2026, extendable by 90 days if necessary.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Occidental Petroleum Sells OxyChem to Berkshire Hathaway
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Occidental Petroleum announced a definitive agreement for Berkshire Hathaway to acquire its chemical business, OxyChem, for $9.7 billion in an all-cash transaction. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Occidental’s financial position by reducing debt and focusing on its core oil and gas operations, while Berkshire Hathaway gains a robust portfolio of chemical assets. The transaction is anticipated to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending regulatory approvals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025