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Devon Energy (DVN)
NYSE:DVN

Devon Energy (DVN) AI Stock Analysis

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Devon Energy

(NYSE:DVN)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
â–²(11.49%Upside)
Devon Energy's overall score is driven by strong financial and operational performance, as evidenced by solid earnings and efficient capital management. The valuation metrics are favorable, indicating potential undervaluation. However, technical indicators suggest a cautious outlook, and liquidity concerns due to high capital expenditures should be monitored.
Positive Factors
Business Optimization
Devon Energy introduced a business optimization plan that will save $1 billion by the end of 2026 and expects to achieve 40% of the goal this year.
Debt Reduction
Devon Energy sold their stake in Matterhorn Pipeline for $375 million, with proceeds going towards short-term debt reduction.
Oil Production Guidance
The 2Q25 oil production guidance likely surpassed investor expectations, which is reassuring given the uncertainty around the level of lost volumes from the BPX partnership dissolution.
Negative Factors
Commodity Prices
The market would still like to hear a Plan B if commodity prices fall from current levels.
Market Expectations
Despite improvements in guidance and outlook, the update is viewed as mixed relative to market expectations, indicating potential near-term pressure on the stock.

Devon Energy (DVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Devon Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDevon Energy Corporation is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Based in the United States, the company operates primarily in onshore areas across several major oil and gas basins. Devon Energy is known for its disciplined capital allocation, technological innovation, and commitment to safety and environmental stewardship.
How the Company Makes MoneyDevon Energy makes money primarily through the production and sale of oil, natural gas, and NGLs. The company's revenue model revolves around the extraction of these resources from its owned or leased properties, which are then sold in the global commodities markets. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs. Devon Energy also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by commodity prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. Additionally, Devon Energy employs hedging strategies to manage price volatility and secure stable cash flows.

Devon Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.56%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Devon Energy had a strong first quarter with significant free cash flow generation, operational improvements, and increased shareholder returns. However, they remain cautious about the macroeconomic environment and have higher capital expenditure in certain areas. Overall, the company is well-positioned to handle market challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Devon Energy generated $1 billion of free cash flow in Q1 2025, marking the highest level since Q3 2022. This was driven by exceeding oil production guidance and disciplined capital investment, achieving a 50% reinvestment rate.
Improved Operational Efficiencies
Significant operational improvements were achieved, including a 12% increase in completion efficiencies through Simulfrac, a 7% increase in drilling speeds, and a 40% increase in drilling speeds for Devon-operated pads post-BPX partnership dissolution.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Devon Energy distributed $464 million through dividends and share repurchases in Q1 2025, hitting the upper end of their target buyback range and bringing the total value of their buyback program to $3.6 billion.
Successful Partnership Dissolution
The partnership with BPX in the Blackhawk field was successfully dissolved, allowing Devon to assume operations and achieve significant drilling improvements and cost reductions.
Robust Financial Performance
Devon reported core earnings of $779 million or $1.21 per share, with EBITDAX at $2.1 billion and operating cash flow of $1.9 billion, exceeding consensus estimates.
Negative Updates
Potential Macroeconomic Challenges
The macroeconomic environment remains challenging with flat oil price futures around $60. Devon is closely monitoring the situation and prepared to take action if prices fall to the low $50s.
Higher Capital Expenditure in the Rockies
The Rockies program, particularly the Powder River Basin, has higher capital expenditure due to its early development stage and focus on the Niobrara, which could affect corporate capital efficiency.
Company Guidance
During Devon Energy's First Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and future strategies. Devon reported oil production that exceeded the upper limit of their guidance, reaching 388,000 barrels per day, and generated $1 billion in free cash flow for the quarter. The company plans to deliver an additional $1 billion in annual free cash flow by the end of 2026 through business optimization efforts. These efforts include reducing 2025 full-year capital by $100 million while maintaining productive capacity. Devon's capital allocation strategy resulted in $464 million returned to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. For the remainder of 2025, Devon expects to produce between 382,000 and 388,000 barrels of oil per day and maintain a capital investment range of $3.7 billion to $3.9 billion. The company is focused on operational excellence, with improvements in drilling speeds and completion efficiencies contributing to their performance. Additionally, Devon plans to use excess free cash flow to enhance liquidity and reduce debt, with a business optimization initiative expected to yield $1 billion in pre-tax free cash flow improvements by 2027.

Devon Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Devon Energy demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with solid EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, a declining net profit margin and increasing leverage from a moderate debt-to-equity ratio present cautionary notes. The company maintains effective cash flow management, supporting investment and operations, but must focus on profitability margins and debt levels for long-term stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Devon Energy has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2023 to 2024. The company boasts a high gross profit margin, indicative of good production efficiency. However, the net profit margin has seen a decline, suggesting rising costs or other financial pressures. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting operational efficiency despite fluctuating net income.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has increased slightly, potentially indicating growing leverage risks. The return on equity is positive, suggesting effective utilization of equity capital. However, the equity ratio indicates a balanced but not overly conservative capital structure, with room for improvement in equity financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Devon Energy has shown consistent free cash flow generation, with a positive growth rate over the recent period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating effective cash conversion from profits. While the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash management, ongoing capital expenditures may affect future cash flows.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
15.94B15.14B19.17B12.21B4.83B
Gross Profit
15.94B5.20B8.37B3.68B392.00M
EBIT
10.70B2.34B8.07B3.31B-90.00M
EBITDA
7.37B7.57B10.38B5.42B-1.36B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.89B3.75B6.01B2.81B-2.54B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
846.00M875.00M1.45B2.27B2.24B
Total Assets
30.49B24.49B23.72B21.02B9.91B
Total Debt
9.20B6.48B6.70B6.73B4.54B
Net Debt
8.36B5.58B5.24B4.46B2.31B
Total Liabilities
15.79B12.27B12.43B11.63B6.89B
Stockholders Equity
14.50B12.06B11.17B9.26B2.88B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.96B2.60B3.40B2.89B193.00M
Operating Cash Flow
6.60B6.54B8.53B4.90B1.35B
Investing Cash Flow
-7.33B-3.94B-5.12B-1.57B-646.00M
Financing Cash Flow
706.00M-3.18B-4.21B-3.29B-306.00M

Devon Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.29
Price Trends
50DMA
31.68
Positive
100DMA
33.49
Negative
200DMA
35.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
53.68
Neutral
STOCH
67.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.08, above the 50-day MA of 31.68, and below the 200-day MA of 35.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DVN.

Devon Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
WDWDS
78
Outperform
$28.27B7.9810.23%7.84%-0.93%115.30%
ECEC
77
Outperform
$18.43B5.4418.64%11.05%-2.26%-20.04%
77
Outperform
$18.95B14.499.40%3.36%10.33%-0.13%
DVDVN
73
Outperform
$20.17B7.1520.88%3.87%12.06%-16.37%
HAHAL
73
Outperform
$17.64B8.6020.99%3.31%-2.54%-17.53%
VLVLO
70
Neutral
$39.74B44.733.73%3.43%-8.44%-85.95%
57
Neutral
$7.22B3.16-4.49%5.63%0.82%-49.15%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVN
Devon Energy
32.29
-13.33
-29.22%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
25.58
-1.60
-5.89%
EC
Ecopetrol SA
8.97
-1.30
-12.66%
HAL
Halliburton
20.52
-13.09
-38.95%
VLO
Valero Energy
128.35
-21.55
-14.38%
WDS
Woodside Energy Group
15.05
-1.90
-11.21%

Devon Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Devon Energy Elects Board at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

At Devon Energy‘s Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 4, 2025, all ten nominees for the Board were elected for a one-year term. Additionally, the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for 2025 was ratified, and the advisory vote on executive compensation was approved. However, a stockholder proposal to change the holding requirement for calling a special meeting was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (DVN) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Devon Energy stock, see the DVN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.