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Devon Energy (DVN)
NYSE:DVN
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Devon Energy (DVN) AI Stock Analysis

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DVN

Devon Energy

(NYSE:DVN)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$52.00
â–²(17.57% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/22/26
The score is supported primarily by strong earnings-call execution and shareholder-return/synergy catalysts, alongside generally solid profitability and manageable leverage. Offsetting these positives are uneven free-cash-flow consistency and a very high P/E, while technicals are neutral with near-term softness but longer-term trend support.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent quarterly free cash flow and below-guidance capex demonstrate durable capital efficiency. Sustained OCF supports reinvestment, debt management and shareholder returns; hitting the $1.0B optimization target early shows structural improvements that can raise medium-term cash conversion and financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Choppy free cash flow
Volatile FCF undermines the predictability of reinvestment and shareholder returns. Even with recent strong quarters, multi-year FCF swings and FCF below net income increase the risk that capital allocation (buybacks/dividends/debt paydown) will vary materially with commodity cycles and working-capital timing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent quarterly free cash flow and below-guidance capex demonstrate durable capital efficiency. Sustained OCF supports reinvestment, debt management and shareholder returns; hitting the $1.0B optimization target early shows structural improvements that can raise medium-term cash conversion and financial flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Devon Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Highlights earnings from different business areas, indicating which segments drive growth and profitability for Devon Energy.
Chart InsightsDevon’s core oil, gas and NGL sales have cooled from the 2022 peak and remain cyclically lower into late‑2025, while Marketing & Midstream has steadily grown and now provides a more stable, rising revenue base. Reported quarter‑to‑quarter swings are amplified by volatile derivatives mark‑to‑market (recently positive), so normalize out derivatives to assess real cash resilience. If commodity prices stay soft, midstream strength will determine free‑cash‑flow stability and capacity for buybacks/dividends.
Data provided by:The Fly

Devon Energy (DVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Devon Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Devon Energy Corporation, an independent energy company, primarily engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. It operates approximately 5,134 gross wells. Devon Energy...
How the Company Makes Money
Devon Energy makes money primarily by producing and selling hydrocarbons—crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs—from its operated and non-operated wells. Revenue is largely generated through: (1) commodity sales: the sale of produced oil, gas, and NGLs ...

Devon Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive operational and financial message: beat production and capital targets, generated $816M of free cash flow, achieved a $1B business optimization goal early, secured shareholder approval to close the Cotera merger (with a $1B synergy floor and 156 identified opportunities), and highlighted scalable AI-driven production gains (850+ wells automated). Manageable near-term challenges were discussed — Waha pricing headwinds, some Q1 realization/tax noise, and potential tax impacts from future asset sales — but these are framed as addressable via commercial fixes, hedging, tax-aware structuring, and integration-driven efficiencies. Overall, the positives materially outweigh the negatives, driven by strong cash generation, merger upside, and technology-led productivity improvements.
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Q1 production of 387,000 barrels of oil per day (top end of guidance), capital spending 6% below the midpoint of guidance, and $816 million of free cash flow for the quarter — demonstrating capital efficiency and operational execution.
Negative Updates
Negative Waha Prices and Gas Realizations
Persistently weak Waha hub pricing created pressure on Permian gas realizations; management has had to curtail higher gas-oil-ratio production and rely on commercial fixes (pipeline participation and hedging) — residual exposure remains until infrastructure additions fully come online.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Q1 production of 387,000 barrels of oil per day (top end of guidance), capital spending 6% below the midpoint of guidance, and $816 million of free cash flow for the quarter — demonstrating capital efficiency and operational execution.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that Q1 production delivered oil of 387 Mbbl/d (top of range) with capital spending 6% below midpoint, generating $816 million of free cash flow and positioning stand‑alone Devon to hit its $1.0 billion business‑optimization target well ahead of schedule; management reiterated a $1.0 billion synergy target (the floor) for the Cotera merger with 156 identified value‑capture opportunities, expects to provide combined full‑year guidance in mid‑June, plans a >30% per‑share dividend increase starting in Q2 (subject to board approval), will resume and expand buybacks at close, and noted operational metrics including >850 wells on autonomous artificial‑lift optimization (targeting ~1,500 wells), Smart Gas Lift pilot uplifts of ~2–3% (with current uplifts higher), pro‑forma Waha exposure of ~10–15% once Blackcomb is online, Q1 acquisition capital of ~$150 million (90% Delaware), and a third‑party estimate of 10+ years of inventory at current development pace.

Devon Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and returns remain solid with moderate leverage, but results show clear commodity-cycle sensitivity. The key drag is cash-flow quality: free cash flow has been choppy (including a negative 2024) and TTM FCF is down versus the prior period and well below net income, raising reinvestment/working-capital volatility risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.54B17.19B15.94B15.26B19.17B12.21B
Gross Profit3.66B4.39B4.71B5.37B8.37B3.68B
EBITDA7.06B7.56B7.37B7.55B10.37B5.44B
Net Income2.27B2.64B2.89B3.75B6.01B2.81B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.54B31.60B30.49B24.49B23.72B21.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.81B1.43B846.00M875.00M1.45B2.10B
Total Debt8.59B8.78B9.20B6.45B6.70B6.73B
Total Liabilities17.11B16.07B15.79B12.27B12.43B11.63B
Stockholders Equity15.43B15.53B14.50B12.06B11.17B9.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.69B3.12B-853.00M2.60B3.40B2.89B
Operating Cash Flow6.47B6.71B6.60B6.54B8.53B4.90B
Investing Cash Flow-3.66B-3.39B-7.33B-3.94B-5.12B-1.57B
Financing Cash Flow-2.23B-2.73B706.00M-3.18B-4.21B-3.29B

Devon Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.23
Price Trends
50DMA
48.26
Negative
100DMA
44.51
Positive
200DMA
39.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
46.59
Neutral
STOCH
38.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.49, below the 50-day MA of 48.26, and above the 200-day MA of 39.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DVN.

Devon Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$36.12B6.4014.34%1.17%50.77%800.70%
70
Outperform
$56.54B97.111.06%2.70%18.09%-94.57%
69
Neutral
$54.32B65.1014.78%2.64%1.96%-18.06%
69
Neutral
$146.87B18.5011.29%3.43%1.02%-25.38%
69
Neutral
$58.51B4.7412.82%2.39%-15.17%-66.00%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVN
Devon Energy
47.22
16.85
55.47%
COP
Conocophillips
120.46
38.00
46.09%
EQT
EQT
57.92
2.95
5.37%
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
58.81
18.40
45.52%
FANG
Diamondback
200.71
68.27
51.55%

Devon Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Devon Energy Expands Delaware Basin Position With Major Acquisition
Positive
May 21, 2026
On May 20, 2026, Devon Energy completed the $2.6 billion acquisition of 16,300 net undeveloped acres in the core of the Delaware Basin in Lea and Eddy counties, New Mexico, via a federal Bureau of Land Management oil and gas lease sale. The purcha...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Devon Energy Completes Transformative All-Stock Merger with Coterra
Positive
May 7, 2026
On May 7, 2026, Devon Energy and Coterra Energy completed their previously announced all-stock merger, creating a large-cap shale operator anchored by a leading position in the core of the Delaware Basin and broad exposure to key U.S. basins. The ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Devon Shareholders Approve Key Steps for Coterra Merger
Positive
May 5, 2026
On May 4, 2026, Devon Energy held a virtual special meeting at which stockholders overwhelmingly approved the issuance of new common shares to Coterra Energy stockholders under a previously announced merger agreement, with more than 470 million vo...
Legal ProceedingsM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Devon Energy Supplements Coterra Merger Disclosures Amid Lawsuits
Negative
Apr 24, 2026
Devon Energy and Coterra Energy, both U.S. oil and gas producers, entered into a merger agreement on February 1, 2026 under which a Devon subsidiary will merge into Coterra, leaving Coterra as a wholly owned Devon unit. The companies filed an S-4 ...
Financial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Devon Energy Details Pro Forma Impact of Coterra Merger
Neutral
Apr 10, 2026
Devon Energy has filed unaudited pro forma combined financial statements tied to its proposed merger with Coterra Energy, under which each Coterra share would be exchanged for 0.70 shares of Devon common stock. The documents include a pro forma ba...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Devon Energy Clears Antitrust Hurdle in Coterra Merger
Positive
Apr 2, 2026
Devon Energy said that on February 1, 2026 it entered into a merger agreement under which its wholly owned subsidiary will merge with Coterra Energy Inc., leaving Coterra as a wholly owned subsidiary of Devon. The deal is expected to strengthen De...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Devon Energy Extends Revolving Credit Facility Maturity
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
On March 24, 2026, Devon Energy Corporation amended its existing revolving credit facility, extending the maturity by one year from March 24, 2030 to March 24, 2031 and renewing its option to seek up to three additional one-year extensions, subjec...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2026