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Devon Energy (DVN)
NYSE:DVN
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Devon Energy (DVN) AI Stock Analysis

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DVN

Devon Energy

(NYSE:DVN)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
â–²(11.18% Upside)
Devon Energy's strong earnings call and attractive valuation are the most significant factors driving the score. Financial performance is solid, but cash flow concerns and mixed technical signals slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Business Optimization
Devon Energy introduced a business optimization plan that will save $1 billion by the end of 2026 and expects to achieve 40% of the goal this year.
Financial Performance
Analyst maintains a Buy rating on Devon Energy due to its discounted valuation and peer-leading capital returns.
Operational Efficiency
Devon Energy provided a more efficient 2025 outlook with increased production guidance due to strong operational results.
Negative Factors
Commodity Price Risk
The market would still like to hear a Plan B if commodity prices fall from current levels.
Market Expectations
Despite improvements in guidance and outlook, the update is viewed as mixed relative to market expectations, indicating potential near-term pressure on the stock.
Regional Production Challenges
Volumes in the Eagle Ford region were reset lower following the BPX joint venture dissolution, but are expected to rise in the second half of the year.

Devon Energy (DVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Devon Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDevon Energy Corporation, an independent energy company, primarily engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. It operates approximately 5,134 gross wells. Devon Energy Corporation was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyDevon Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company earns money by extracting hydrocarbons from its various production sites and selling them in the open market. Key revenue streams include the sale of produced oil and gas, which are influenced by market prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. Additionally, Devon engages in hedging strategies to manage price volatility and protect its revenue. The company also benefits from partnerships and joint ventures with other energy firms, enabling shared resources and enhanced production capabilities. Factors such as geopolitical events, changes in regulatory policies, and market demand for energy commodities further impact Devon's earnings.

Devon Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Oil Production
Total Oil Production
Measures the total volume of oil extracted, reflecting Devon Energy's operational scale and its ability to capitalize on market demand.
Chart InsightsDevon Energy's oil production has shown a significant upward trend, culminating in a record high at the end of 2024. This aligns with their recent earnings call, where they exceeded production guidance and reported strong free cash flow. Operational efficiencies and strategic capital allocation are driving this growth, despite macroeconomic challenges and higher capital expenditures in certain areas. The dissolution of the BPX partnership has further enhanced their operational capabilities. Devon's focus on optimizing operations and shareholder returns positions them well to navigate potential market fluctuations.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Devon Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Devon Energy had a strong first quarter with significant free cash flow generation, operational improvements, and increased shareholder returns. However, they remain cautious about the macroeconomic environment and have higher capital expenditure in certain areas. Overall, the company is well-positioned to handle market challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Devon Energy generated $1 billion of free cash flow in Q1 2025, marking the highest level since Q3 2022. This was driven by exceeding oil production guidance and disciplined capital investment, achieving a 50% reinvestment rate.
Improved Operational Efficiencies
Significant operational improvements were achieved, including a 12% increase in completion efficiencies through Simulfrac, a 7% increase in drilling speeds, and a 40% increase in drilling speeds for Devon-operated pads post-BPX partnership dissolution.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Devon Energy distributed $464 million through dividends and share repurchases in Q1 2025, hitting the upper end of their target buyback range and bringing the total value of their buyback program to $3.6 billion.
Successful Partnership Dissolution
The partnership with BPX in the Blackhawk field was successfully dissolved, allowing Devon to assume operations and achieve significant drilling improvements and cost reductions.
Robust Financial Performance
Devon reported core earnings of $779 million or $1.21 per share, with EBITDAX at $2.1 billion and operating cash flow of $1.9 billion, exceeding consensus estimates.
Negative Updates
Potential Macroeconomic Challenges
The macroeconomic environment remains challenging with flat oil price futures around $60. Devon is closely monitoring the situation and prepared to take action if prices fall to the low $50s.
Higher Capital Expenditure in the Rockies
The Rockies program, particularly the Powder River Basin, has higher capital expenditure due to its early development stage and focus on the Niobrara, which could affect corporate capital efficiency.
Company Guidance
During Devon Energy's First Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and future strategies. Devon reported oil production that exceeded the upper limit of their guidance, reaching 388,000 barrels per day, and generated $1 billion in free cash flow for the quarter. The company plans to deliver an additional $1 billion in annual free cash flow by the end of 2026 through business optimization efforts. These efforts include reducing 2025 full-year capital by $100 million while maintaining productive capacity. Devon's capital allocation strategy resulted in $464 million returned to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. For the remainder of 2025, Devon expects to produce between 382,000 and 388,000 barrels of oil per day and maintain a capital investment range of $3.7 billion to $3.9 billion. The company is focused on operational excellence, with improvements in drilling speeds and completion efficiencies contributing to their performance. Additionally, Devon plans to use excess free cash flow to enhance liquidity and reduce debt, with a business optimization initiative expected to yield $1 billion in pre-tax free cash flow improvements by 2027.

Devon Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Devon Energy demonstrates strong profitability and operational management, with a solid income statement and stable balance sheet. However, cash flow challenges due to high capital expenditures could impact liquidity.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Devon Energy's income statement shows a strong recovery trajectory with a notable revenue growth from 2020 to TTM. The gross profit margin for TTM is 26.36%, and the net profit margin is 16.98%, reflecting solid profitability. However, the revenue growth rate has seen fluctuations, with a decrease in 2025 TTM compared to 2024. The EBIT margin of 24.12% and EBITDA margin of 45.63% indicate efficient operational management despite the revenue fluctuations.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a robust financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 in TTM, showing manageable leverage. The equity ratio is 47.01%, indicating a healthy proportion of equity in the asset base. ROE stands at 19.17%, showcasing effective utilization of equity. However, total liabilities have increased over time, which could pose potential risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a mixed picture. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.45 for TTM, suggesting good cash generation from operations. However, free cash flow is negative, indicating high capital expenditures, which might impact liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -0.24, highlighting a potential area of concern if this trend persists.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.40B15.94B15.14B19.17B12.21B4.35B
Gross Profit8.39B9.50B9.78B14.15B7.92B-252.00M
EBITDA5.59B7.37B7.57B10.40B5.45B-1.36B
Net Income1.95B2.89B3.75B6.01B2.81B-2.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.39M30.49B24.49B23.72B21.02B9.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.76M811.00M875.00M1.45B2.27B2.05B
Total Debt8.99M9.20B6.48B6.70B6.73B4.54B
Total Liabilities16.10M15.79B12.27B12.43B11.63B6.89B
Stockholders Equity15.06M14.50B12.06B11.17B9.26B2.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.19B-853.00M2.60B3.40B2.89B193.00M
Operating Cash Flow5.27B6.60B6.54B8.53B4.90B1.35B
Investing Cash Flow-6.19B-7.33B-3.94B-5.12B-1.57B-646.00M
Financing Cash Flow989.58M706.00M-3.18B-4.21B-3.29B-306.00M

Devon Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.28
Price Trends
50DMA
32.91
Positive
100DMA
32.53
Positive
200DMA
33.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
52.79
Neutral
STOCH
39.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.86, above the 50-day MA of 32.91, and below the 200-day MA of 33.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DVN.

Devon Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$117.29B12.6015.88%3.32%2.45%-17.08%
76
Outperform
$41.12B10.1013.55%3.69%51.78%-27.29%
73
Outperform
$21.13B7.4520.60%3.43%10.98%-19.25%
73
Outperform
$18.33B11.5111.42%3.58%16.56%20.21%
73
Outperform
$43.63B26.046.98%2.08%-1.66%-58.96%
70
Outperform
$32.01B27.596.26%1.23%59.12%12.12%
66
Neutral
$14.89B8.876.31%5.50%3.48%-73.68%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVN
Devon Energy
33.28
-10.64
-24.23%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
24.02
0.49
2.08%
COP
Conocophillips
93.91
-13.56
-12.62%
EQT
EQT
51.29
19.45
61.09%
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
44.32
-13.53
-23.39%
FANG
Diamondback
142.03
-53.14
-27.23%

Devon Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Devon Energy Elects Board at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

At Devon Energy‘s Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 4, 2025, all ten nominees for the Board were elected for a one-year term. Additionally, the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for 2025 was ratified, and the advisory vote on executive compensation was approved. However, a stockholder proposal to change the holding requirement for calling a special meeting was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (DVN) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Devon Energy stock, see the DVN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2025