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Devon Energy (DVN)
NYSE:DVN

Devon Energy (DVN) AI Stock Analysis

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DVN

Devon Energy

(NYSE:DVN)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
â–²(20.38% Upside)
Devon Energy's strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust operational performance and strategic initiatives are offset by challenges in cash flow generation and macroeconomic headwinds. The valuation remains attractive, suggesting potential upside.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Devon's reduction in operating costs enhances its operational efficiency, leading to better margins and a stronger competitive position in the market.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt strengthens Devon's balance sheet, improving financial stability and flexibility for future investments and growth opportunities.
Free Cash Flow Generation
Strong free cash flow generation allows Devon to return capital to shareholders and invest in growth, supporting long-term financial health and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Decreasing profit margins may indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which could impact Devon's profitability and competitive edge over time.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth suggests potential liquidity issues, which could limit Devon's ability to fund operations and future projects without external financing.
Challenging Macro Environment
Macroeconomic challenges and a well-supplied market may pressure Devon's pricing power and demand, affecting revenue and growth prospects.

Devon Energy (DVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Devon Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDevon Energy Corporation is an independent energy company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company operates in two main segments: the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, with a focus on onshore resources in the U.S. Devon is known for its expertise in shale plays, particularly in the Delaware Basin and the Anadarko Basin. The company aims to create value through strategic asset management, operational efficiency, and sustainable practices in energy production.
How the Company Makes MoneyDevon Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company sells its production to various customers, including major oil companies and local utilities, primarily through long-term contracts and spot market transactions. Key revenue streams include the pricing of oil and gas, which can fluctuate based on market conditions, regional demand, and geopolitical factors. Additionally, Devon's strategic investments in high-quality assets and its focus on cost management contribute to its profitability. The company also benefits from partnerships and joint ventures that help to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its resource base.

Devon Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Oil Production
Total Oil Production
Measures the total volume of oil extracted, reflecting Devon Energy's operational scale and its ability to capitalize on market demand.
Chart InsightsDevon Energy's total oil production has seen a significant upward trend since mid-2024, peaking at the end of the year. This surge likely reflects strategic operational enhancements or new project completions. Despite a slight dip in early 2025, production remains robust, suggesting sustained operational efficiency. The absence of earnings call commentary leaves the reasons for this growth speculative, but the trend indicates strong production capabilities that could bolster future revenue and investor confidence.
Data provided by:The Fly

Devon Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Devon Energy delivered a strong third quarter, exceeding key metrics and advancing its business optimization plan significantly. The company demonstrated robust free cash flow generation, strong financial positioning, and effective portfolio optimization. Despite these achievements, the company acknowledged the challenging macro environment and market underappreciation of its business optimization efforts.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Guidance Across Key Metrics
Devon Energy exceeded the midpoint of guidance on every key metric, including production, operating costs, and capital. Production optimization led to oil production exceeding the midpoint of guidance by 3,000 barrels per day, and operating costs reduced by 5% compared to the start of the year.
Significant Free Cash Flow Generation
Devon reported robust free cash flow of $820 million in the third quarter, allowing the company to return over $400 million to shareholders and retire $485 million of debt.
Advancement in Business Optimization Plan
The company is on track to generate an incremental $1 billion of annual pretax free cash flow, having already achieved more than 60% of the target.
Strong Capital Efficiency and Production Optimization
Capital investment was 10% below the first half run rate, and the production optimization initiatives led to a sustainable increase in free cash flow of $150 million.
Portfolio Optimization Actions
Devon took several portfolio optimization actions, delivering an uplift of over $1 billion to enterprise NAV. These include dissolving a joint venture in the Eagle Ford and executing strategic gas marketing agreements.
Strong Financial Position and Debt Reduction
The company ended the quarter with $4.3 billion in total liquidity and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.9x. Devon also completed the retirement of $485 million in debt ahead of schedule.
Preliminary 2026 Outlook
Devon anticipates maintaining production around 845,000 BOE per day with capital investment of $3.5 billion to $3.7 billion, a reduction of $500 million compared to previous maintenance capital levels.
Negative Updates
Challenging Macro Environment
Despite achievements, the company faces persistent macro headwinds and an appearance of a well-supplied oil market, impacting the decision not to add incremental barrels to the market at this time.
Market Underappreciation of Business Optimization
The market has not immediately priced the aspirational $1 billion of incremental free cash flow in Devon's share price, indicating potential undervaluation.
Company Guidance
During Devon Energy's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted its strong performance by exceeding the midpoint of guidance on key metrics such as production, operating costs, and capital. The company generated $820 million in free cash flow, with oil production surpassing the midpoint of guidance by 3,000 barrels per day. Operating costs were reduced by 5% since the start of the year, and capital investment was 10% below the first half run rate. Devon returned over $400 million to shareholders and retired $485 million in debt. The company is on track to achieve an incremental $1 billion of annual pretax free cash flow by the end of 2025, having already captured more than 60% of this target. This optimization effort is enhancing margins and capital efficiency, positioning Devon well for continued strong performance into 2026.

Devon Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Devon Energy demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with solid margins and a balanced capital structure. However, declining profitability margins and negative free cash flow growth present challenges that need to be addressed to sustain long-term financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Devon Energy has shown strong revenue growth in the TTM period with a 72.8% increase, indicating robust performance in the oil and gas sector. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 25.77% and a net profit margin of 16.98%. However, these margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 25.19% and 46.62%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is solid at 19.49%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 49.16%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over the years could pose a risk if not addressed.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Devon Energy's cash flow statement reveals challenges in free cash flow generation, with a significant negative growth rate of -236.03% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.49, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.23 highlights potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.88B15.57B15.14B19.83B13.75B4.35B
Gross Profit3.92B4.27B5.20B8.97B5.21B-252.00M
EBITDA7.76B7.43B7.57B10.38B5.42B-1.36B
Net Income2.72B2.89B3.75B6.01B2.78B-2.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.22B30.49B24.49B23.72B21.02B9.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.28B846.00M875.00M1.45B2.10B2.05B
Total Debt8.55B9.20B6.45B6.70B6.73B4.54B
Total Liabilities15.87B15.79B12.27B12.43B11.63B6.89B
Stockholders Equity15.35B14.50B12.06B11.17B9.26B2.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.03B-853.00M2.60B3.40B2.89B193.00M
Operating Cash Flow6.84B6.60B6.54B8.53B4.90B1.35B
Investing Cash Flow-3.47B-7.33B-3.94B-5.12B-1.57B-646.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.77B706.00M-3.18B-4.21B-3.29B-306.00M

Devon Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price35.72
Price Trends
50DMA
34.50
Positive
100DMA
34.29
Positive
200DMA
33.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Positive
RSI
48.25
Neutral
STOCH
28.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 35.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.63, above the 50-day MA of 34.50, and above the 200-day MA of 33.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DVN.

Devon Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$33.92B18.558.19%1.17%64.84%219.47%
81
Outperform
$44.15B10.7110.92%2.60%60.29%-17.62%
79
Outperform
$23.18B8.6918.35%2.69%11.14%-21.32%
78
Outperform
$117.34B13.4315.37%3.35%8.41%-16.12%
73
Outperform
$19.73B11.9611.86%3.40%26.13%31.42%
67
Neutral
$40.03B29.575.82%2.36%-2.48%-65.26%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVN
Devon Energy
35.72
6.03
20.31%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
25.43
2.56
11.19%
COP
Conocophillips
92.23
-0.62
-0.67%
EQT
EQT
53.76
11.62
27.57%
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
39.73
-4.65
-10.48%
FANG
Diamondback
147.00
-1.83
-1.23%

Devon Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Devon Energy Appoints Brent Smolik to Board
Neutral
Oct 2, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Devon Energy Corporation appointed Brent J. Smolik to its Board of Directors. Mr. Smolik will serve on several key committees and has entered into the standard indemnity agreement for non-management directors. He will also receive compensation in line with other non-management directors, including an award of restricted stock valued at $154,384, which will vest immediately after the grant date.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025