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EQT (EQT)
NYSE:EQT

EQT (EQT) AI Stock Analysis

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EQT

EQT

(NYSE:EQT)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$68.00
▲(26.49% Upside)
EQT's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight operational efficiency and strategic achievements. The technical analysis suggests a bullish trend, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation is fair, with a moderate P/E ratio and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
EQT's record-setting operational efficiency demonstrates its ability to optimize production processes, reducing costs and enhancing profitability, which supports sustainable long-term growth.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation indicates EQT's robust business model and financial health, providing the company with flexibility for investments and debt reduction.
Strategic Expansion
The successful MVP boost expansion reflects strong market demand and EQT's strategic positioning to capitalize on infrastructure investments, enhancing long-term growth potential.
Negative Factors
High Debt Level
EQT's high debt level poses a risk to its financial stability, potentially limiting its ability to invest in growth opportunities and increasing vulnerability to market fluctuations.
Local Pricing Volatility
Volatile local pricing can disrupt EQT's revenue predictability and operational planning, requiring careful management to mitigate impacts on financial performance.
Revenue Growth Volatility
Historical revenue growth volatility suggests potential challenges in maintaining consistent financial performance, which could affect investor confidence and strategic planning.

EQT (EQT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EQT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEQT Corporation is a leading independent natural gas production company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and natural gas liquids. With a strong focus on the Appalachian Basin, particularly the Marcellus and Utica Shales, EQT operates in the energy sector, providing critical resources to meet domestic and global energy needs. The company also emphasizes sustainable and responsible practices in its operations, aiming to minimize environmental impacts while maximizing efficiency and output.
How the Company Makes MoneyEQT generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and other hydrocarbon products extracted from its extensive reserves. The company employs a revenue model that includes direct sales to utility companies, industrial users, and through the spot market. Key revenue streams include long-term supply contracts, which provide consistent cash flow, and spot market transactions that capitalize on fluctuating prices. Additionally, EQT may engage in joint ventures and partnerships with other energy companies to expand its operational capabilities and market reach, enhancing its overall profitability. Factors contributing to its earnings include market demand for natural gas, pricing trends in the energy sector, and the company's ability to efficiently manage production costs and optimize its asset portfolio.

EQT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong operational and financial performance with record-setting achievements and strategic successes, particularly in free cash flow, operational efficiency, and strategic project execution. However, challenges such as local pricing volatility and a high debt level were also noted. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow
Generated $484 million of free cash flow, with cumulative free cash flow over the past four quarters exceeding $2.3 billion, highlighting EQT's low-cost, integrated business model.
Operational Efficiency Records
Set multiple EQT and basin-wide records, including highest pumping hours and fastest quarterly completion pace, emphasizing operational excellence.
Successful Olympus Integration
Completed the integration of Olympus Energy in just 34 days, achieving significant operational improvements, including 30% faster drilling pace in the Deep Utica.
MVP Boost Expansion Success
Completed an oversubscribed open season for MVP boost expansion, increasing capacity by 20% to over 600,000 dekatherms per day, highlighting strong demand.
Increased Dividend
Increased base dividend by 5%, to $0.66 per share annually, reflecting confidence in sustainable business and cost structure improvements.
LNG Strategy Execution
Signed offtake agreements with multiple LNG projects, positioning EQT for international market exposure post-2027, with favorable credit terms and geographic diversification.
Negative Updates
Local Pricing Volatility
Faced price-related curtailments due to volatile local pricing, necessitating a tactical approach to volume management.
High Debt Level
Net debt balance ended the quarter just under $8 billion, highlighting ongoing leverage challenges, despite targeting a maximum of $5 billion.
Company Guidance
During the EQT Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance underscoring its operational and financial achievements. EQT reported $484 million in free cash flow, despite incurring $21 million in one-time costs from the Olympus transaction. The company achieved a cumulative free cash flow of over $2.3 billion in the past four quarters with an average natural gas price of $3.25 per million BTU. Production was near the high end of guidance, supported by well productivity and compression project outperformance. EQT's tactical volume curtailments led to a corporate differential $0.12 tighter than mid-guidance. Operating costs were lower than expected, and capital spending was approximately $70 million below the midpoint of guidance. The company set multiple operational records, and the Olympus Energy acquisition was fully integrated within 34 days. Additionally, the MVP boost expansion project was upsized by 20% due to high demand, with the capacity reaching over 600,000 dekatherms per day, supported by 20-year contracts. EQT also discussed plans for sustained growth through 2026, leveraging infrastructure investments and strategic acquisitions to drive long-term shareholder value.

EQT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EQT exhibits strong financial health with improved profitability, efficient capital structure, and robust cash flow generation. The company has shown resilience in enhancing its margins and reducing leverage. Continued focus on revenue growth and maintaining operational efficiency will be essential to sustain its positive financial trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
EQT's income statement shows strong performance with a significant improvement in gross profit and net profit margins in the TTM period. The gross profit margin increased to 47.49%, and the net profit margin rose to 20.69%, indicating enhanced profitability. Revenue growth rate of 7.57% in the TTM period reflects positive growth momentum. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also improved, showcasing operational efficiency. However, past volatility in revenue growth and profitability should be monitored.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of EQT is solid with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34 in the TTM period, reflecting a stable capital structure. Return on equity improved to 8.29%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 56.21%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. While the company has reduced its debt levels over time, maintaining this trend is crucial to mitigate financial risks.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
EQT's cash flow statement demonstrates robust cash generation capabilities with a 17.33% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.17 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.52 suggests a healthy conversion of earnings into cash. Continued focus on cash flow management will be key to sustaining financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.61B5.22B5.07B12.14B6.84B2.66B
Gross Profit4.09B767.22M941.58M8.06B3.00B1.08B
EBITDA5.67B2.88B4.06B4.25B429.09M450.12M
Net Income1.78B230.58M1.74B1.77B-1.14B-958.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.20B39.83B25.29B22.67B22.75B18.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments235.74M202.09M80.98M1.46B113.96M18.21M
Total Debt7.94B9.37B5.84B5.71B5.64B4.95B
Total Liabilities14.40B15.55B10.50B11.46B12.78B8.85B
Stockholders Equity23.15B20.60B14.77B11.17B9.95B9.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.49B573.26M1.16B2.07B607.32M495.47M
Operating Cash Flow4.76B2.83B3.18B3.47B1.66B1.54B
Investing Cash Flow-1.64B-1.58B-4.31B-1.42B-2.07B-1.56B
Financing Cash Flow-2.97B-1.13B-242.86M-699.13M506.05M31.71M

EQT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price53.76
Price Trends
50DMA
56.44
Negative
100DMA
54.26
Negative
200DMA
53.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.76
Positive
RSI
38.52
Neutral
STOCH
12.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 53.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.56, below the 50-day MA of 56.44, and below the 200-day MA of 53.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EQT.

EQT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$33.92B18.558.19%1.17%64.84%219.47%
79
Outperform
$23.18B8.6918.35%2.69%11.14%-21.32%
78
Outperform
$8.39B14.8714.18%1.02%23.88%20.55%
73
Outperform
$19.73B11.9611.86%3.40%26.13%31.42%
67
Neutral
$10.58B19.207.65%17.05%1028.81%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
59
Neutral
$6.47B94.392.86%35.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQT
EQT
53.76
11.28
26.55%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
25.43
2.55
11.15%
CRK
Comstock Resources
21.03
5.21
32.93%
DVN
Devon Energy
35.72
5.78
19.31%
RRC
Range Resources
34.36
1.50
4.56%
AR
Antero Resources
33.53
2.60
8.41%

EQT Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
EQT Removes Age Limit for Directors
Neutral
Oct 20, 2025

On October 16, 2025, EQT Corporation’s Board of Directors approved an amendment to the company’s bylaws, removing the age limit for directors, which previously restricted service after the annual meeting following their 74th birthday. Additionally, the Board decided to relocate the corporate headquarters to Canonsburg, Pennsylvania, effective July 1, 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025