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EQT (EQT)
NYSE:EQT
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EQT (EQT) AI Stock Analysis

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EQT

EQT

(NYSE:EQT)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(8.90%Upside)
EQT's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors, highlighting its robust cash flow and strategic initiatives. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and the company's valuation is moderate. The recent executive resignation is a concern, but its impact is less significant compared to the company's overall solid financial standing.
Positive Factors
Earnings
EQT reported a strong quarter, beating production estimates by 1% and achieving a consolidated EBITDA beat of 7%.
Free Cash Flow
EQT's adjusted free cash flow exceeded consensus, reflecting lighter capital expenditures.
Growth Projects
EQT outlined a robust set of strategic projects to support the natural gas-fired power generation buildout.
Negative Factors
Capital Expenditures
Guidance for 3Q25 shows higher production but requires increased capex and comes with wider natural gas differentials.
Free Cash Flow Yield
Hold rating reaffirmed due to less attractive FCF yield compared to peers and a more expensive EV/EBITDA multiple.
Natural Gas Differentials
Guidance for 3Q25 shows higher production but requires increased capex and comes with wider natural gas differentials.

EQT (EQT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EQT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEQT Corporation is a leading independent natural gas production company in the United States. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, EQT is one of the largest producers of natural gas in the Appalachian Basin, with operations primarily focused on the Marcellus and Utica Shales. The company is committed to being a low-cost operator and delivering sustainable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyEQT makes money primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of natural gas. The company generates revenue by extracting natural gas from its extensive reserves in the Appalachian Basin and selling it to utilities, industrial users, and other energy companies. EQT's business model focuses on maintaining operational efficiency and reducing production costs to maximize profit margins. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic pipeline infrastructure that facilitates the efficient transportation of natural gas to market. EQT also engages in hedging strategies to manage price volatility and secure stable cash flows. Revenue growth is supported by factors such as increasing demand for natural gas, advances in drilling technology, and strategic acquisitions that expand its asset base.

EQT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, with significant achievements in production efficiency, free cash flow generation, strategic acquisitions, and debt reduction. While there were some challenges, particularly in the form of a litigation settlement impacting free cash flow and near-term market headwinds, the highlights significantly outweigh these lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Production and Capital Efficiency
Production was at the high end of guidance due to robust well productivity and compression project outperformance. Capital spending was approximately $50 million below the low end of guidance.
Record Free Cash Flow
Despite a $134 million net expense from a litigation settlement, Q2 free cash flow attributable to EQT was approximately $240 million. Without the legal expense, it would have totaled $375 million, materially exceeding expectations.
Olympus Energy Acquisition
Closed acquisition of Olympus Energy on July 1, funding it with $475 million of cash on hand plus 25.2 million shares. The acquisition includes a vertically integrated 90,000 net acre position with 500 million cubic feet per day of production.
Strategic Growth Projects
Several low-risk, high-return projects are underway, including MVP Boost and Southgate, expected to begin service in 2028 and 2029, adding significant capacity and enhancing reliability of natural gas delivery.
Debt Reduction
Exited the quarter with $7.8 billion of net debt, down approximately $350 million from Q1, marking nearly $6 billion of debt reduction over the past 3 quarters.
CapEx and Guidance Update
Despite Olympus acquisition, maintained full-year capital guidance of $2.3 billion to $2.45 billion. Production guidance increased to 2,300 to 2,400 Bcfe.
Negative Updates
Litigation Settlement Impact
Incurred a $134 million net expense related to a litigation settlement, which impacted the free cash flow for Q2.
Near-term Natural Gas Market Challenges
The natural gas market faces near-term headwinds due to production growth, with storage levels 6% above normal.
Company Guidance
During EQT's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted strong operational and financial performance, with production hitting the high end of guidance due to well productivity and compression project outperformance. Capital spending was approximately $50 million below the low end of guidance, leading to $240 million in Q2 free cash flow despite a $134 million litigation settlement expense. Without this expense, free cash flow would have been around $375 million. EQT's free cash flow generation over the past three quarters totaled nearly $2 billion, with natural gas prices averaging $3.30 per million Btu, demonstrating EQT's low-cost platform. The company also detailed strategic growth opportunities, including the acquisition of Olympus Energy, representing a vertically integrated 90,000 net acre position with 500 million cubic feet per day of production. Additionally, various midstream projects, such as MVP Boost and MVP Southgate, are expected to enhance natural gas delivery capacity, with projected service commencements in 2028 and 2029. The company expects these growth projects to generate an aggregate free cash flow yield of approximately 25% once fully online, with nearly $1 billion of organic investment opportunity.

EQT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EQT exhibits strong financial performance with a robust income statement showing significant revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is strong with manageable leverage and a solid equity position, though there are slight increases in liabilities. Cash flow generation is particularly strong, demonstrating excellent liquidity and financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
EQT's income statement reflects strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 55.0% and a net profit margin of 15.7%. The company demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 39.4% from the previous year. However, EBIT margin declined to 21.9% from its peak in 2022. Overall, the income statement shows a robust performance with positive growth trends, though some potential concerns around EBIT margin contraction.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39, suggesting manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 5.3%, while the equity ratio stands at 54.0%, reflecting a solid equity position. Despite these strengths, there is a slight increase in total liabilities over the periods reviewed, which merits monitoring for future risk management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
EQT's cash flow statement is noteworthy with a substantial free cash flow growth of 270.3%, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating efficient cash earnings conversion. Free cash flow to net income also improved significantly. This robust cash flow performance underlines the company's strong liquidity position and financial health.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.22B5.07B12.14B6.84B2.66B
Gross Profit2.68B3.08B8.06B3.00B-626.98M
EBITDA2.88B4.06B4.25B396.92M450.12M
Net Income230.58M1.74B1.77B-1.15B-967.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.83B25.29B22.67B21.61B18.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments202.09M80.98M1.46B113.96M18.21M
Total Debt9.37B5.84B5.71B5.51B4.95B
Total Liabilities15.55B10.50B11.46B11.56B8.85B
Stockholders Equity20.60B14.77B11.17B10.03B9.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow573.26M1.16B2.04B607.32M495.47M
Operating Cash Flow2.83B3.18B3.47B1.66B1.54B
Investing Cash Flow-1.58B-4.31B-1.42B-2.07B-1.56B
Financing Cash Flow-1.13B-242.86M-699.13M506.05M31.71M

EQT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price52.34
Price Trends
50DMA
55.96
Negative
100DMA
53.92
Negative
200DMA
49.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.11
Positive
RSI
40.11
Neutral
STOCH
32.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 52.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.78, below the 50-day MA of 55.96, and above the 200-day MA of 49.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EQT.

EQT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$18.09B13.839.40%3.63%10.33%-0.13%
72
Outperform
$20.64B7.3120.88%3.55%12.06%-16.37%
70
Outperform
$32.66B28.156.26%1.20%59.12%12.12%
68
Neutral
$8.48B17.9311.99%0.95%19.95%0.94%
67
Neutral
$10.40B23.466.31%6.67%240.70%
67
Neutral
$15.01B9.775.95%5.64%4.51%-61.80%
42
Neutral
$4.81B-3.18%0.66%17.60%-385.47%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQT
EQT
52.34
22.59
75.93%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
23.93
1.46
6.50%
CRK
Comstock Resources
16.21
8.07
99.14%
DVN
Devon Energy
32.14
-8.05
-20.03%
RRC
Range Resources
35.61
7.54
26.86%
AR
Antero Resources
33.67
8.47
33.61%

EQT Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
EQT Subsidiary Plans Full Note Redemption by July 31
Neutral
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, EQM Midstream Partners, LP, a subsidiary of EQT Corporation, announced its intention to fully redeem all outstanding series of notes, totaling various principal amounts, by July 31, 2025. This move will result in EQM having no outstanding notes, potentially impacting its financial structure and signaling a strategic shift in its debt management approach.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQT) stock is a Hold with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EQT stock, see the EQT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
EQT Completes Olympus Energy Acquisition with Stock Issuance
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On June 30, 2025, EQT Corporation secured an extension of its Revolving Credit Agreement’s maturity date from July 23, 2029, to July 23, 2030. This extension, effective July 23, 2025, was granted by the lenders involved in the agreement, which includes PNC Bank and other financial institutions. The terms of the agreement remain unchanged, and the lenders may continue to engage in various financial activities with EQT. On July 1, 2025, EQT issued 25,229,166 shares of its common stock as partial consideration for the Olympus Energy Acquisition. This acquisition involved purchasing oil and gas properties and related assets from Olympus Energy LLC and its affiliates, with the transaction also including approximately $440 million in cash.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQT) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EQT stock, see the EQT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
EQT Executive Vice President Resigns for New Role
Negative
Jun 4, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Robert R. Wingo informed EQT Corporation of his decision to resign as Executive Vice President Corporate Ventures & Midstream to pursue a position at another company. His resignation will be effective on June 20, 2025, potentially impacting EQT’s operations and strategic ventures in the corporate and midstream sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQT) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EQT stock, see the EQT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025