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EQT (EQT)
NYSE:EQT
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EQT (EQT) AI Stock Analysis

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EQT

EQT

(NYSE:EQT)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(11.00% Upside)
EQT's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including robust cash flow and strategic growth initiatives. Technical analysis and valuation present some concerns, with mixed signals and a relatively high P/E ratio. The recent executive resignation adds a minor risk factor.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
EQT reduced its overall operating cost guidance by 5.2% to $1.03-$1.17/Mcfe.
Financial Performance
EQT reported a strong quarter, beating production estimates by 1% and achieving a consolidated EBITDA beat of 7%.
Growth and Expansion
EQT remains well positioned to win further deals with datacenters, highlighting an idiosyncratic growth opportunity.
Negative Factors
Capital Expenditures
Guidance for 3Q25 shows higher production but requires increased capex and comes with wider natural gas differentials.
Free Cash Flow
Hold rating reaffirmed due to less attractive FCF yield compared to peers and a more expensive EV/EBITDA multiple.

EQT (EQT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EQT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEQT Corporation is a leading independent natural gas producer based in the United States, primarily focused on the exploration and production of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and crude oil. Operating primarily in the Appalachian Basin, EQT is involved in various stages of the natural gas supply chain, including drilling, completion, and production. The company is dedicated to advancing sustainable energy solutions and leveraging innovative technologies to optimize its operations and reduce environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneyEQT generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil produced from its extensive drilling operations. The company’s revenue model is largely dependent on the volume of hydrocarbons it extracts and the prevailing market prices for these commodities. Key revenue streams include direct sales agreements with utilities, industrial customers, and marketers, as well as long-term contracts that provide price stability. Additionally, EQT benefits from strategic partnerships with midstream operators for transportation and processing services, which enhances its market reach and operational efficiency. The company's emphasis on cost management and technological innovation also contributes to its profitability, enabling it to maintain a competitive edge in a fluctuating market.

EQT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong operational performance and strategic growth initiatives, with significant free cash flow generation and debt reduction. Despite the litigation settlement expense and near-term market headwinds, the overall outlook is positive with continued efficiency gains and integration of Olympus Energy.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Production and Efficiency Gains
Production was at the high end of guidance due to robust well productivity and outperformance from compression projects. Capital spending was approximately $50 million below the low end of guidance, driven by midstream spending optimization, improved completion efficiency, and lower well costs.
Significant Free Cash Flow Generation
Approximately $240 million of Q2 free cash flow was generated despite $134 million of net expense from a litigation settlement. Without this, free cash flow would have been $375 million, exceeding expectations.
Olympus Energy Acquisition
Acquisition of Olympus Energy was completed, funded with $475 million of cash on hand and issuance of approximately 25.2 million shares. The integration is progressing well, with operational integration expected to complete within 30 days.
Strategic Growth Projects
A pipeline of low-risk, high-return projects was discussed, including MVP Boost and Southgate projects, which are expected to enhance natural gas delivery and support coal replacement. Collectively, these projects represent a nearly $1 billion investment opportunity with an estimated free cash flow yield of approximately 25% once fully online.
Balance Sheet Strengthening
Net debt was reduced by approximately $350 million compared to Q1, totaling nearly $6 billion of debt reduction over the past 3 quarters. The company remains on track to achieve a year-end 2025 net debt target of $7.5 billion.
Negative Updates
Litigation Settlement Expense
A net expense of $134 million was incurred relating to a litigation settlement, which resolved outstanding securities class action litigation.
Near-term Natural Gas Market Headwinds
Near-term headwinds were identified due to production growth, with storage levels 6% above normal, posing challenges for natural gas prices.
Company Guidance
During the EQT Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance with several key metrics. Production was at the high end of guidance, aided by strong well productivity and outperforming compression projects, which are ahead of schedule and under budget. Capital spending came in approximately $50 million below the low end of guidance due to midstream spending optimization and efficiency improvements, resulting in about $240 million of Q2 free cash flow despite a $134 million litigation settlement expense. Without this expense, free cash flow would have totaled approximately $375 million, exceeding expectations. The company's year-to-date free cash flow generation was nearly $2 billion, despite natural gas prices averaging $3.30 per million Btu. EQT also acquired Olympus Energy, using $475 million of cash and issuing 25.2 million shares, adding 500 million cubic feet per day of net production. The company outlined a $1 billion organic investment opportunity, with projects expected to generate a 25% aggregate free cash flow yield and an additional $250 million of recurring free cash flow by 2029. EQT maintained its full-year capital guidance despite the Olympus acquisition. The company lowered its operating expense guidance by $0.06 per Mcfe while keeping price differential guidance unchanged. EQT intends to continue reducing its net debt, aiming for a maximum of $5 billion of net debt over the long term, and will focus on debt paydown, even after achieving the near-term target of $7.5 billion by year-end 2025.

EQT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EQT exhibits strong financial performance with a robust income statement showing significant revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is strong with manageable leverage and a solid equity position, though there are slight increases in liabilities. Cash flow generation is particularly strong, demonstrating excellent liquidity and financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
EQT's income statement reflects strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 55.0% and a net profit margin of 15.7%. The company demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 39.4% from the previous year. However, EBIT margin declined to 21.9% from its peak in 2022. Overall, the income statement shows a robust performance with positive growth trends, though some potential concerns around EBIT margin contraction.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39, suggesting manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 5.3%, while the equity ratio stands at 54.0%, reflecting a solid equity position. Despite these strengths, there is a slight increase in total liabilities over the periods reviewed, which merits monitoring for future risk management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
EQT's cash flow statement is noteworthy with a substantial free cash flow growth of 270.3%, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating efficient cash earnings conversion. Free cash flow to net income also improved significantly. This robust cash flow performance underlines the company's strong liquidity position and financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.00B5.22B5.07B12.14B6.84B2.66B
Gross Profit3.52B767.22M941.58M8.06B3.00B1.08B
EBITDA4.68B2.88B4.06B4.25B396.92M450.12M
Net Income1.14B230.58M1.74B1.77B-1.15B-967.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.67B39.83B25.29B22.67B21.61B18.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments555.49M202.09M80.98M1.46B113.96M18.21M
Total Debt8.32B9.37B5.84B5.71B5.51B4.95B
Total Liabilities14.57B15.55B10.50B11.46B11.56B8.85B
Stockholders Equity21.42B20.60B14.77B11.17B10.03B9.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.12B573.26M1.16B2.04B607.32M495.47M
Operating Cash Flow4.33B2.83B3.18B3.47B1.66B1.54B
Investing Cash Flow-1.90B-1.58B-4.31B-1.42B-2.07B-1.56B
Financing Cash Flow-1.91B-1.13B-242.86M-699.13M506.05M31.71M

EQT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price51.35
Price Trends
50DMA
54.44
Negative
100DMA
53.64
Negative
200DMA
50.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.61
Negative
RSI
44.37
Neutral
STOCH
64.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 51.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.74, below the 50-day MA of 54.44, and above the 200-day MA of 50.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EQT.

EQT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$22.36B8.0120.60%3.21%10.98%-19.25%
72
Outperform
$32.89B27.876.26%1.23%59.12%12.12%
72
Outperform
$8.09B16.8111.99%1.01%19.95%0.94%
69
Neutral
$18.24B11.4311.42%3.60%16.56%20.21%
67
Neutral
$9.62B21.696.31%11.65%415.90%
65
Neutral
$15.26B7.313.02%5.32%4.27%-62.52%
44
Neutral
$4.65B-3.18%0.66%17.60%-385.47%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQT
EQT
51.35
19.18
59.62%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
24.14
0.90
3.87%
CRK
Comstock Resources
15.77
5.57
54.61%
DVN
Devon Energy
35.56
-7.64
-17.69%
RRC
Range Resources
33.83
4.49
15.30%
AR
Antero Resources
31.30
4.75
17.89%

EQT Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
EQT CIO Announces Unpaid Sabbatical Leave
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 25, 2025, EQT Corporation announced that its Chief Information Officer, Richard A. Duran, will take an unpaid sabbatical leave starting September 2, 2025, until February 3, 2026. During this period, Mr. Duran will remain an employee and attend certain meetings, and be available for consultation in emergencies related to information security and cybersecurity.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
EQT Subsidiary Plans Full Note Redemption by July 31
Neutral
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, EQM Midstream Partners, LP, a subsidiary of EQT Corporation, announced its intention to fully redeem all outstanding series of notes, totaling various principal amounts, by July 31, 2025. This move will result in EQM having no outstanding notes, potentially impacting its financial structure and signaling a strategic shift in its debt management approach.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
EQT Completes Olympus Energy Acquisition with Stock Issuance
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On June 30, 2025, EQT Corporation secured an extension of its Revolving Credit Agreement’s maturity date from July 23, 2029, to July 23, 2030. This extension, effective July 23, 2025, was granted by the lenders involved in the agreement, which includes PNC Bank and other financial institutions. The terms of the agreement remain unchanged, and the lenders may continue to engage in various financial activities with EQT. On July 1, 2025, EQT issued 25,229,166 shares of its common stock as partial consideration for the Olympus Energy Acquisition. This acquisition involved purchasing oil and gas properties and related assets from Olympus Energy LLC and its affiliates, with the transaction also including approximately $440 million in cash.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
EQT Executive Vice President Resigns for New Role
Negative
Jun 4, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Robert R. Wingo informed EQT Corporation of his decision to resign as Executive Vice President Corporate Ventures & Midstream to pursue a position at another company. His resignation will be effective on June 20, 2025, potentially impacting EQT’s operations and strategic ventures in the corporate and midstream sectors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025