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Comstock Resources (CRK)
NYSE:CRK
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Comstock Resources (CRK) AI Stock Analysis

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CRK

Comstock Resources

(NYSE:CRK)

Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▼(-8.63% Downside)
Comstock Resources' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and poor technical indicators, which suggest significant challenges ahead. While the earnings call and corporate events provide some positive outlook, they are not enough to offset the financial and technical weaknesses.
Positive Factors
Carbon Capture Collaboration
Collaboration with BKV to implement carbon capture technology could make Comstock's natural gas more attractive to industrial customers.
Exploration Success
Successful early results on the Olajuwon Pickens #1 well should improve investors' confidence across a larger area of its Western Haynesville position.
Strategic Partnership
CRK announced a collaboration with NextEra Energy, Inc. to explore potential development of power generation assets, which could be positive in accelerating the massive NAV potential from its deep Haynesville inventory.
Negative Factors
Gas Price Risk
Potential downside exists from a fall in gas prices, creating higher risk due to CRK's leverage and low free cash flow.
Production Guidance
CRK reduced its full year production guidance by 5.6% due to ongoing issues and delays spilling into the second half of the year.
Valuation Concerns
CRK's valuation has expanded to a significant premium compared to its peers, which is seen as stretched without improvement in fundamentals like debt levels and free cash flow generation.

Comstock Resources (CRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comstock Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComstock Resources, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas primarily in North Louisiana and East Texas, the United States. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 6.1 trillion cubic feet of the natural gas equivalent of proved reserves. It also owns interests in 2,557 producing oil and natural gas wells. The company was incorporated in 1919 and is headquartered in Frisco, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyComstock Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids extracted from its properties. The company earns money by producing these resources and selling them at market prices, which can fluctuate based on supply and demand dynamics in the energy markets. Key revenue streams include direct sales to refineries, utilities, and other energy companies, as well as contracts for the transportation and processing of its products. Additionally, Comstock may engage in hedging strategies to manage price volatility and secure more predictable revenue. Strategic partnerships with other companies for joint ventures or resource sharing can also enhance production capabilities and contribute to earnings.

Comstock Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view of Comstock's performance with significant achievements in expanding and innovating within their Western Haynesville operations, alongside financial improvements. However, there are challenges with production declines, higher drilling costs in some areas, and delays in well turn-ins.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Western Haynesville
Comstock has expanded its Western Haynesville footprint to nearly 525,000 net acres and has drilled 29 wells, with 24 currently producing. The Western Haynesville wells were drilled at a lower cost of $2,647 per completed lateral foot compared to previous years.
Financial Improvement
Natural gas and oil sales increased by 24% to $344 million in Q2 2025. The company reported $210 million in operating cash flow and an adjusted net income of $40 million, showing a positive turnaround from a loss in the previous year.
Strategic Collaboration with NextEra
Comstock is collaborating with NextEra Energy to explore the development of gas-fired power generation assets near the Western Haynesville area, which is considered ideal for data center development.
Successful Drilling Innovations
The company has introduced the horseshoe lateral concept, realizing a 35% savings in drilling costs. Comstock plans to drill 9 horseshoe wells in 2025 and 10 in 2026.
Negative Updates
Production Decline
Production in Q2 averaged 1.23 Bcfe per day, a 14% decrease from the second quarter of 2024, due to reduced rig activity in early 2024 and deferred completion activity.
Higher Drilling Costs in Western Haynesville
Drilling costs in the Western Haynesville increased by 36% compared to Q1 2025, primarily due to shorter laterals and operational challenges.
Delayed Well Turn-Ins
The company reduced its guidance for well turn-ins from 17 to 13 in the Western Haynesville for 2025 due to unforeseen issues and midstream delays.
Company Guidance
During Comstock Resources' second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided comprehensive guidance that included several key metrics. Comstock's Western Haynesville footprint has expanded to nearly 525,000 net acres, with 29 wells drilled and 24 currently producing. In the second quarter, the company turned five new Western Haynesville wells to sales, achieving an all-in cost of $2,647 per completed lateral foot, significantly lower than in previous years. Production averaged 1.23 Bcfe per day, a 14% decline from the previous year due to reduced rig activity. Despite this, improved natural gas prices led to a 24% increase in oil and gas sales, totaling $344 million, and generated $210 million in operating cash flow. Comstock reported an adjusted net income of $40 million, or $0.13 per share. The company is also working with NextEra Energy to explore gas-fired power generation assets near Western Haynesville, aiming to support potential data center developments. With a strong financial position, Comstock plans further drilling in both the Western and Legacy Haynesville areas, expecting to turn a total of 45 wells to sales by year-end 2025.

Comstock Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comstock Resources faces significant financial challenges. The income statement reveals declining revenues and profitability issues, with negative net income and margins. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, posing financial risk, though operating cash flow offers some stability.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Comstock Resources has struggled with profitability, as evidenced by negative net income in recent periods. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a significant drop in total revenue compared to previous years, leading to negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a decline in sales performance. Margins have also contracted significantly, pointing to operational inefficiencies or market challenges.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting significant leverage which could pose financial risks, especially in volatile markets. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but return on equity has been negative, indicating that equity is not generating adequate returns due to net losses.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has been relatively stable, providing some financial cushion for operations. However, free cash flow has been negative, raising concerns about the company's ability to fund its capital expenditures without additional financing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.65B1.25B1.57B3.63B1.85B858.20M
Gross Profit524.36M-130.06M266.24M2.33B1.10B195.08M
EBITDA684.05M638.19M1.02B2.06B457.55M590.31M
Net Income-72.56M-218.75M211.57M1.14B-241.72M-52.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.69B6.42B6.25B5.69B4.67B4.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.86M6.80M16.67M54.65M30.66M30.27M
Total Debt3.11B3.03B2.71B2.24B2.62B2.52B
Total Liabilities4.26B4.05B3.87B3.42B3.48B3.18B
Stockholders Equity2.24B2.24B2.36B2.28B1.19B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.00M-477.14M-408.24M630.59M169.79M66.01M
Operating Cash Flow887.53M620.34M1.02B1.70B859.00M575.70M
Investing Cash Flow-806.81M-1.08B-1.42B-1.10B-550.82M-511.20M
Financing Cash Flow280.45M454.07M362.97M-576.72M-307.80M-52.76M

Comstock Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.87
Price Trends
50DMA
21.26
Negative
100DMA
21.43
Negative
200DMA
19.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.51
Negative
RSI
34.78
Neutral
STOCH
49.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.12, below the 50-day MA of 21.26, and below the 200-day MA of 19.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRK.

Comstock Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$6.15B7.0917.07%2.44%16.20%-12.42%
78
Outperform
$8.00B7.2619.09%4.52%12.13%-67.53%
77
Outperform
$6.13B27.123.13%5.04%19.55%-81.10%
72
Outperform
$7.96B16.7911.99%1.00%19.95%0.94%
67
Neutral
$4.13B49.373.73%38.21%-67.24%
65
Neutral
$15.25B7.273.02%5.36%4.27%-62.52%
44
Neutral
$4.48B-3.18%0.66%17.60%-385.47%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRK
Comstock Resources
15.87
5.67
55.59%
APA
APA
22.12
-5.04
-18.56%
CNX
CNX Resources
29.19
1.63
5.91%
MTDR
Matador Resources
48.70
-7.26
-12.97%
RRC
Range Resources
33.97
4.63
15.78%
CHRD
Chord Energy
105.99
-33.68
-24.11%

Comstock Resources Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Comstock Resources Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Comstock Resources held its annual stockholders meeting where several key proposals were approved. The stockholders voted to amend the 2019 Long-term Incentive Plan by increasing available shares, extending its term, and expanding eligibility to all employees and non-employee directors. Additionally, the re-election of five board members and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for 2025 were confirmed, indicating strong shareholder support and a strategic focus on long-term growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025