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Comstock Resources (CRK)
NYSE:CRK

Comstock Resources (CRK) AI Stock Analysis

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CRK

Comstock Resources

(NYSE:CRK)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$21.50
▼(-3.72% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/12/26
The score is driven primarily by improving but still risk-leaning fundamentals: a TTM earnings rebound and solid operating cash flow are tempered by elevated leverage and negative/free-cash-flow inconsistency. Technicals are weak with the stock trading below key moving averages, and valuation looks stretched with a very high P/E. The latest earnings call adds some support via liquidity/leverage progress and flexible 2026 plans, but near-term production and commodity-price risks remain.
Positive Factors
Cash generation & EBITDAX
Sustained 2025 operating cash flow ($861M) and strong EBITDAX ($1.10B) provide durable internal funding for drilling, efficiency projects and debt reduction. Over the next several quarters this reduces reliance on external capital, supports activity flexibility and underpins deleveraging plans.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Debt near 1.36x equity and prior inconsistent free cash flow constrain financial flexibility in a cyclical E&P business. Over the next 2–6 months leverage limits ability to scale activity without reliance on asset sales or sustained high cash generation, raising refinancing and execution risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation & EBITDAX
Sustained 2025 operating cash flow ($861M) and strong EBITDAX ($1.10B) provide durable internal funding for drilling, efficiency projects and debt reduction. Over the next several quarters this reduces reliance on external capital, supports activity flexibility and underpins deleveraging plans.
Read all positive factors

Comstock Resources (CRK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comstock Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Comstock Resources, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas primarily in North Louisiana and East Texas, the United States. As of December 31, 2021, the compa...
How the Company Makes Money
Comstock Resources makes money primarily by producing and selling natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) from its operated and non-operated wells. Revenue is recognized from hydrocarbon sales volumes multiplied by realized prices, ...

Comstock Resources Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments. This insight helps assess the company's diversification and resilience in different market conditions.
Chart InsightsComstock Resources' revenue from natural gas sales shows a recovery in 2025 after a decline in 2024, supported by strategic expansion in Western Haynesville and record LNG exports. Despite lower realized gas prices and increased completion costs, the company’s focus on operational efficiency and asset divestitures is enhancing liquidity and reducing leverage. The 10% increase in oil and gas sales and strong cash flow indicate resilience and potential for growth, as Comstock plans to ramp up drilling activities in its expanded acreage.
Data provided by:The Fly

Comstock Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call highlighted strong financial and operational progress: robust cash flow and EBITDAX, substantial reserve additions at a low finding cost, successful asset sales that materially improved liquidity and leverage, and strategic initiatives (NextEra data center JV and Pinnacle recapitalization) that support long-term growth. Key challenges include a meaningful production decline in 2025 (-14% YoY), some Q4 drilling/ completion cost increases and localized well underperformance (water handling), and near-term timing volatility tied to weather and gas prices. Management emphasized flexibility to scale activity with prices and multiple initiatives to lower future D&C costs, which supports a constructive outlook despite near-term operational headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong cash generation and profitability (Q4 and 2025)
Q4 oil & gas sales grew to ~$365M and operating cash flow was $222M ($0.75/share). Adjusted EBITDAX for Q4 was $277M and adjusted net income was $46M ($0.16/share). For full-year 2025, oil & gas sales rose 15% to $1.40B, EBITDAX totaled $1.10B and operating cash flow was $861M.
Negative Updates
Production decline (2025)
Average production for 2025 and Q4 was ~1.2 Bcfe/d, representing a 14% decline year-over-year versus 2024. Management expects production to be down in early 1Q 2026 with recovery and growth later in the year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong cash generation and profitability (Q4 and 2025)
Q4 oil & gas sales grew to ~$365M and operating cash flow was $222M ($0.75/share). Adjusted EBITDAX for Q4 was $277M and adjusted net income was $46M ($0.16/share). For full-year 2025, oil & gas sales rose 15% to $1.40B, EBITDAX totaled $1.10B and operating cash flow was $861M.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Comstock’s 2026 guidance centers on a nine‑rig program (four operated rigs in the Western Haynesville and five in the legacy Haynesville) to drill ~66 wells (19 Western, 47 legacy) and turn ~72 wells to sales (24 Western, 48 legacy), pacing roughly two Western wells and four legacy wells per month with production and EBITDAX growth skewed to the back half of the year; the company highlights financial flexibility with ~ $1.3B liquidity, $260M revolver borrowings outstanding, a $2.0B borrowing base ( $1.5B committed) and a LTM leverage of 2.6x that it expects to improve. It plans to commercialize the NextEra data‑center project in 2026 (initial 2 GW, expandable to 8 GW), recapitalize Pinnacle Gas Services with a new bank facility and an equity sale to redeem preferred units, run three full‑time frac fleets in the legacy play, upgrade a Western rig to 10,000‑psi by late summer and a frac fleet to 20,000‑psi, deploy rotary‑steerable tools, target drill‑time reductions of ~2 weeks and incremental drilling‑cost savings of ~$300/ft, and retain the ability to flex activity (can idle up to ~4 rigs on short notice) if gas prices or conditions change.

Comstock Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has rebounded in the TTM with revenue up ~24% and a return to positive operating profit/net income, supported by operating cash flow exceeding net income. Offsetting this, leverage remains elevated (~1.36x debt/equity) with low ROE (~3%), and free cash flow is negative and inconsistent, which increases funding and cyclical risk.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.91B1.25B1.57B3.63B1.85B
Gross Profit411.54M-130.06M266.24M2.33B1.10B
EBITDA1.37B638.19M1.02B2.06B457.55M
Net Income395.61M-218.75M211.89M1.14B-241.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.01B6.38B6.25B5.69B4.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.93M6.80M16.67M54.65M30.66M
Total Debt2.95B3.03B2.71B2.25B2.62B
Total Liabilities4.04B4.05B3.87B3.42B3.48B
Stockholders Equity2.65B2.24B2.36B2.28B1.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-449.67M-477.14M-408.24M630.59M169.79M
Operating Cash Flow899.61M620.34M1.02B1.70B859.00M
Investing Cash Flow-915.41M-1.08B-1.42B-1.10B-550.82M
Financing Cash Flow32.93M454.07M362.97M-576.72M-307.80M

Comstock Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.33
Price Trends
50DMA
21.06
Positive
100DMA
22.23
Positive
200DMA
21.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
61.28
Neutral
STOCH
71.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.87, above the 50-day MA of 21.06, and above the 200-day MA of 21.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CRK.

Comstock Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.98B6.9613.92%3.14%14.77%-17.38%
73
Outperform
$8.18B120.540.54%5.73%8.43%-86.63%
72
Outperform
$15.12B6.1224.51%3.80%4.88%-41.34%
72
Outperform
$11.02B12.7515.87%1.00%23.88%20.55%
66
Neutral
$5.70B6.3515.52%43.30%-43.07%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
$6.57B17.0416.88%35.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRK
Comstock Resources
22.33
2.50
12.61%
APA
APA
42.80
22.64
112.32%
CNX
CNX Resources
40.01
8.53
27.10%
MTDR
Matador Resources
64.20
14.28
28.60%
RRC
Range Resources
46.83
8.41
21.90%
CHRD
Chord Energy
143.95
37.41
35.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026