Chord Energy (CHRD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.53B
• Dividend Yield: 5.51%
• Average Volume (3M): 737.89K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.88
• Revenue Growth: 31.71%
• EPS Growth: -32.13%
• Country: US
• Employees: 762
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 43
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 4.04
• Shares Outstanding: 57,754,753
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 645,226
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 737,889
• PEG Ratio: -0.35
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.65
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.01
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.18
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.35
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.05
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 0.79
• 1Y Price Target: $130.50
• Price Target Upside: 41.85% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 12

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: $105.00 ▲(14.13%Upside)

Chord Energy's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are significant strengths, supporting a positive outlook. However, technical analysis presents mixed signals, and challenges discussed in the earnings call, such as pricing pressures and potential production declines, temper the overall score.

Positive Factors

Capital Returns

Chord Energy repurchased 2 million shares, allocating virtually all post-dividend free cash flow to the buyback.

Financial Performance

CHRD reported excellent results with a beat on all fronts.

Operational Efficiency

Improving capital efficiency differentiates Chord Energy Corporation, leading to an upgrade to Buy rating.

Negative Factors

Oil Market Risks

Weakening near-term oil macro risks may lead to decreased activity to preserve Chord Energy Corporation's strong balance.

Operating Costs

Per unit LOE may temporarily increase to over $10/boe in Q2'25, due to higher workover activity following winter downtime.

Production Risks

There is a risk of delaying roughly 25% of gross TILs if low oil prices continue and the spot crew does not return.

Chord Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chord Energy (CHRD) is a prominent player in the energy sector, primarily focused on the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. The company is engaged in the extraction and development of hydrocarbon resources, leveraging advanced technological solutions to optimize production. Chord Energy operates in various key locations known for rich deposits, ensuring a steady supply of energy resources to meet market demands.

How the Company Makes Money

Chord Energy generates revenue through the exploration, extraction, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company capitalizes on its strategic locations and technological advancements to enhance production efficiency and output. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil and natural gas to refineries and other end-users. Additionally, Chord Energy may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other energy firms to optimize resource development and distribution. Market factors such as oil and gas prices, regulatory policies, and production costs significantly influence the company's earnings.

Chord Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Chord Energy exhibits a strong financial position with healthy revenue growth of 34.73%, substantial profitability, and solid cash flow generation. The company's low leverage with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.10 and effective cash management contribute to financial stability. However, there is room for improvement in operational efficiency and returns on equity.

Income Statement

Chord Energy's income statement reflects a strong financial performance over the TTM period. The company has achieved a Gross Profit Margin of 46.47% and a Net Profit Margin of 16.16%, indicating efficient cost management and robust profitability. The Revenue Growth Rate of 34.73% from the previous year highlights significant expansion. However, a slight decline in EBIT Margin from 32.66% to 21.77% suggests some operational challenges. Overall, the company demonstrates healthy revenue growth and profitability, though attention to operational efficiency is warranted.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Chord Energy shows a solid financial foundation with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.10, reflecting low leverage and financial stability. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 9.75%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 66.76% suggests a strong reliance on equity financing, which enhances financial stability. While the company's low debt levels are a positive, the moderate ROE implies room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders.

Cash Flow

Chord Energy's cash flow statement is robust, with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 33.68%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.48 demonstrates efficient conversion of income to cash, supporting liquidity and operational resilience. Furthermore, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.44 highlights effective cash management. Despite strong cash flows, maintaining these levels while managing capital expenditures remains crucial.

Breakdown
Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
5.25B	3.90B	3.65B	1.58B	1.08B
	Gross Profit
1.31B	1.44B	1.79B	670.09M	240.05M
	EBIT
1.10B	1.27B	1.58B	571.90M	70.68M
	EBITDA
2.28B	1.97B	1.74B	123.44M	-3.77B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
848.63M	1.02B	1.43B	188.96M	-3.77B
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
36.95M	318.00M	593.15M	172.11M	15.86M
	Total Assets
13.03B	6.93B	6.63B	3.03B	2.16B
	Total Debt
1.04B	430.62M	417.42M	407.14M	733.60M
	Net Debt
1.01B	112.63M	-175.74M	235.03M	717.75M
	Total Liabilities
4.33B	1.85B	1.95B	1.81B	1.15B
	Stockholders Equity
8.70B	5.08B	4.68B	1.03B	915.94M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
918.15M	914.18M	1.39B	698.39M	-43.62M
	Operating Cash Flow
2.10B	1.82B	1.92B	914.14M	298.19M
	Investing Cash Flow
-1.75B	-1.43B	-682.56M	-920.77M	-102.28M
	Financing Cash Flow
-624.46M	-664.70M	-823.10M	161.19M	-195.70M

Chord Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 92.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.84, below the 50-day MA of 93.72, and below the 200-day MA of 113.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHRD.

Chord Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MTDR	82 Outperform	$5.73B	6.15	19.20%	2.39%	21.73%	1.48%
CHRD	76 Outperform	$5.53B	6.41	12.64%	5.51%	31.71%	-32.13%
MUR	75 Outperform	$3.09B	8.27	7.54%	5.77%	-14.90%	-27.53%
MGY	74 Outperform	$4.32B	11.12	20.85%	2.51%	8.78%	0.56%
CNX	64 Neutral	$4.52B	9.01	-7.30%	―	22.23%	-130.65%
Sector *	57 Neutral	$7.16B	3.10	-4.49%	5.66%	0.82%	-49.15%
CRK	52 Neutral	$6.98B	―	-14.17%	0.66%	-1.73%	-608.98%

Chord Energy Corporate Events

Chord Energy Completes $750 Million Notes Offering

Chord Energy Corporation, on March 13, 2025, completed its offering of $750 million in senior unsecured notes due 2033, guaranteed by its subsidiaries. The proceeds were used to purchase and redeem existing notes, repay credit facility borrowings, and cover related expenses, impacting the company’s debt structure and financial strategy.