Chord Energy (CHRD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.54B
• Dividend Yield: 5.34%
• Average Volume (3M): 712.00K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 37.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.90
• Revenue Growth: 8.43%
• EPS Growth: -86.63%
• Country: US
• Employees: 762
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 2.35
• Shares Outstanding: 56,865,300
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 602,212
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 712,002
• PEG Ratio: -0.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.70
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.15
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.60
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.18
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.27
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.25
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.43
• 1Y Price Target: $130.64
• Price Target Upside: 34.18% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15
• EPS Forecast (FY): 9.81
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $4.85B

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: $110.00 ▲(12.98% Upside)

Chord Energy's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive technical analysis. Despite a high P/E ratio, the company's robust dividend yield and strategic initiatives support its valuation. Financial performance is stable, with low leverage and healthy cash flow conversion, despite revenue and profitability challenges.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

Improved operational efficiency through faster cycle times and reduced downtime enhances production capabilities, supporting long-term growth.

Strategic Acquisitions

The XTO acquisition strengthens Chord's asset base, boosting production and supporting long-term strategic growth in the Williston Basin.

Financial Stability

Low leverage provides financial stability, allowing Chord to navigate industry challenges and invest in growth opportunities.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue Growth

A decline in revenue growth indicates challenges in sales expansion, potentially impacting long-term profitability and market position.

Profitability Challenges

Reduced profitability margins can hinder reinvestment in growth initiatives and affect shareholder returns over time.

Free Cash Flow Decline

A decline in free cash flow growth limits the company's ability to fund new projects and return capital to shareholders, affecting long-term financial health.

Chord Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chord Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company. It acquires, exploits, develops, and explores for crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Williston Basin. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Chord Energy generates revenue predominantly through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of hydrocarbons produced from its wells, including both oil and natural gas. Additionally, Chord Energy may engage in hedging activities to protect against price volatility in the commodities market, which can stabilize their revenue. The company also benefits from cost management strategies and operational efficiencies that enhance profitability. Strategic partnerships with service providers and industry collaborations can further contribute to its operational success and revenue generation.

Chord Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Chord Energy demonstrates strong cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet with low leverage, which are positive indicators of financial health. However, declining revenue growth and profitability margins in the TTM period highlight potential challenges in maintaining operational performance.

Income Statement

Chord Energy's income statement shows a decline in revenue growth with a negative rate of -1.49% in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from 24.86% in 2024 to 12.22% in the TTM period, suggesting increased cost pressures. Net profit margin also declined from 16.16% to 5.02%, reflecting reduced profitability. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBITDA margin of 36.74%, indicating operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity has decreased from 9.75% in 2024 to 3.11% in the TTM period, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains robust, highlighting a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Chord Energy's cash flow statement shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 25.47% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.46 suggests efficient cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.59 reflects a solid ability to generate cash relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.16B	5.25B	3.90B	3.65B	1.58B	1.08B
Gross Profit	1.05B	1.31B	1.44B	1.79B	670.09M	240.05M
EBITDA	1.91B	2.28B	1.97B	1.78B	377.10M	-3.55B
Net Income	170.64M	848.63M	1.02B	1.86B	319.60M	-3.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	13.10B	13.03B	6.93B	6.63B	3.03B	2.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	629.21M	36.95M	318.00M	593.15M	172.11M	10.71M
Total Debt	1.51B	1.04B	535.43M	491.13M	436.62M	281.93M
Total Liabilities	5.02B	4.33B	1.85B	1.95B	1.81B	1.15B
Stockholders Equity	8.07B	8.70B	5.08B	4.68B	1.03B	915.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	864.79M	918.15M	914.18M	1.39B	698.39M	-43.62M
Operating Cash Flow	2.21B	2.10B	1.82B	1.92B	914.14M	298.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.32B	-1.75B	-1.43B	-682.56M	-920.77M	-102.28M
Financing Cash Flow	-314.88M	-624.46M	-664.70M	-823.10M	161.19M	-195.70M

Chord Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 97.36
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 97.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.53, above the 50-day MA of 91.74, and above the 200-day MA of 96.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHRD.

Chord Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MTDR	82 Outperform	$5.50B	7.08	15.06%	3.04%	14.77%	-17.38%
RRC	78 Outperform	$8.63B	15.29	14.18%	1.01%	23.88%	20.55%
CHRD	76 Outperform	$5.54B	37.68	2.02%	5.34%	8.43%	-86.63%
APA	73 Outperform	$9.20B	6.24	27.24%	3.80%	4.88%	-41.34%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
MGY	65 Neutral	$4.30B	12.68	17.51%	2.69%	0.68%	-11.13%
CRK	59 Neutral	$6.35B	97.35	2.86%	―	35.41%	―

Chord Energy Corporate Events

Chord Energy Completes $750M Senior Notes Offering

On September 30, 2025, Chord Energy Corporation completed its offering of $750 million in 6.000% senior unsecured notes due 2030, guaranteed by its subsidiaries. The proceeds are intended for asset acquisition in the Williston Basin, related costs, and general corporate purposes. The notes include redemption provisions and covenants affecting the company’s financial operations, with potential impacts on its debt structure and strategic acquisitions.

Chord Energy Upsizes $750M Notes Offering

On September 16, 2025, Chord Energy Corporation announced the upsizing and pricing of its Notes Offering to $750 million in senior unsecured notes due 2030. The proceeds will fund the XTO Acquisition, pay related costs, and address general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. The offering is expected to close on September 30, 2025, with provisions for special mandatory redemption if the acquisition does not occur by the specified date.

Chord Energy Announces $500M Senior Notes Offering

On September 16, 2025, Chord Energy Corporation announced the commencement of a $500 million offering of senior unsecured notes due 2030 in a private placement. The proceeds from this offering are intended to fund the acquisition of oil and gas assets in the Williston Basin from XTO Energy, Inc. and cover related expenses. If the acquisition does not occur by June 30, 2026, the notes will be subject to a special mandatory redemption. This move is part of Chord Energy’s strategy to enhance its asset base and operational capabilities.