Chord Energy (CHRD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.30B
• Dividend Yield: 5.58%
• Average Volume (3M): 750.50K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 36.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.91
• Revenue Growth: 8.43%
• EPS Growth: -86.63%
• Country: US
• Employees: 762
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 2.35
• Shares Outstanding: 56,865,300
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 805,331
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 750,505
• PEG Ratio: -0.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.70
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.15
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.60
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.24
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.27
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.25
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.43
• 1Y Price Target: $129.36
• Price Target Upside: 38.69% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15
• EPS Forecast (FY): 9.8
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $4.81B

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: $98.00 ▲(5.07% Upside)

Chord Energy's overall stock score of 68 reflects a stable financial foundation with strong operational efficiency and positive earnings call sentiment. However, the high P/E ratio and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The company's attractive dividend yield and strategic initiatives provide additional support to the score.

Positive Factors

Strong Free Cash Flow

Strong free cash flow generation enables Chord Energy to reinvest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders, supporting long-term financial health.

Operational Efficiency

Improved operational efficiency and increased oil volume guidance reflect Chord's ability to optimize production processes, enhancing competitive positioning.

Successful Acquisition Integration

The successful integration of XTO assets enhances Chord's production capacity and strategic positioning in the Williston Basin, supporting long-term growth.

Negative Factors

Declining Profit Margins

Decreasing profit margins indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which could impact Chord's ability to sustain profitability over the long term.

Revenue Growth Challenges

Negative revenue growth suggests potential difficulties in maintaining sales momentum, which could hinder Chord's ability to expand its market share.

Commodity Price Volatility

Commodity price volatility poses a risk to Chord's revenue stability and profitability, requiring adaptive strategies to mitigate potential financial impacts.

Chord Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company headquartered in the United States. The company primarily operates in the Williston Basin, focusing on the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas resources. Chord Energy is committed to implementing advanced technologies and sustainable practices to enhance its operational efficiency and reduce environmental impact, while delivering value to its shareholders and stakeholders.

How the Company Makes Money

Chord Energy generates revenue predominantly through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of hydrocarbons produced from its wells, including both oil and natural gas. Additionally, Chord Energy may engage in hedging activities to protect against price volatility in the commodities market, which can stabilize their revenue. The company also benefits from cost management strategies and operational efficiencies that enhance profitability. Strategic partnerships with service providers and industry collaborations can further contribute to its operational success and revenue generation.

Chord Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Chord Energy demonstrates strong cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet with low leverage, which are positive indicators of financial health. However, declining revenue growth and profitability margins in the TTM period highlight potential challenges in maintaining operational performance.

Income Statement

Chord Energy's income statement shows a decline in revenue growth with a negative rate of -1.49% in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from 24.86% in 2024 to 12.22% in the TTM period, suggesting increased cost pressures. Net profit margin also declined from 16.16% to 5.02%, reflecting reduced profitability. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBITDA margin of 36.74%, indicating operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity has decreased from 9.75% in 2024 to 3.11% in the TTM period, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains robust, highlighting a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Chord Energy's cash flow statement shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 25.47% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.46 suggests efficient cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.59 reflects a solid ability to generate cash relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.16B	5.25B	3.90B	3.65B	1.58B	1.08B
Gross Profit	1.05B	1.31B	1.44B	1.79B	670.09M	240.05M
EBITDA	1.91B	2.28B	1.97B	1.78B	377.10M	-3.55B
Net Income	170.64M	848.63M	1.02B	1.86B	319.60M	-3.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	13.10B	13.03B	6.93B	6.63B	3.03B	2.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	629.21M	36.95M	318.00M	593.15M	172.11M	10.71M
Total Debt	1.51B	1.04B	535.43M	491.13M	436.62M	281.93M
Total Liabilities	5.02B	4.33B	1.85B	1.95B	1.81B	1.15B
Stockholders Equity	8.07B	8.70B	5.08B	4.68B	1.03B	915.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	864.79M	918.15M	914.18M	1.39B	698.39M	-43.62M
Operating Cash Flow	2.21B	2.10B	1.82B	1.92B	914.14M	298.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.32B	-1.75B	-1.43B	-682.56M	-920.77M	-102.28M
Financing Cash Flow	-314.88M	-624.46M	-664.70M	-823.10M	161.19M	-195.70M

Chord Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 93.27
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 93.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.03, above the 50-day MA of 93.04, and below the 200-day MA of 97.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHRD.

Chord Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
RRC	78 Outperform	$9.06B	16.06	14.18%	0.92%	23.88%	20.55%
MTDR	76 Outperform	$5.13B	6.61	15.06%	3.18%	14.77%	-17.38%
APA	73 Outperform	$8.66B	5.87	27.24%	4.10%	4.88%	-41.34%
CHRD	68 Neutral	$5.30B	36.10	2.02%	5.58%	8.43%	-86.63%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
MGY	65 Neutral	$4.35B	12.84	17.51%	2.60%	0.68%	-11.13%
CRK	59 Neutral	$7.38B	113.02	2.86%	―	35.41%	―

Chord Energy Corporate Events

Chord Energy’s Strong Q3 Results and Strategic Moves

Chord Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company primarily operating in the Williston Basin, focusing on developing unconventional onshore oil-rich resources in the continental United States. In its third quarter of 2025, Chord Energy reported strong operational and financial results, exceeding oil volume guidance and maintaining capital expenditure efficiency. The company also completed the acquisition of Williston Basin assets from XTO Energy, enhancing its inventory and capital efficiency.

Chord Energy’s Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights

Chord Energy Corporation’s latest earnings call reflects a robust operational and financial performance, marked by significant improvements in free cash flow, operational efficiency, and strategic acquisitions. Despite facing challenges such as commodity price volatility and production integration, the company’s proactive measures and successful execution of strategic initiatives have contributed to an overall positive sentiment.

Chord Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Updates Outlook

Chord Energy Corporation reported strong financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, with oil volumes exceeding guidance and capital expenditures remaining below expectations. The company raised its oil volume guidance for the full year while maintaining capital expenditure forecasts, excluding impacts from XTO. Chord Energy also highlighted shareholder returns, with 69% of adjusted free cash flow returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, and announced marketing optimizations expected to save $30 million to $50 million in annualized free cash flow.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRD) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chord Energy stock, see the CHRD Stock Forecast page.

Chord Energy Completes $750M Senior Notes Offering

On September 30, 2025, Chord Energy Corporation completed its offering of $750 million in 6.000% senior unsecured notes due 2030, guaranteed by its subsidiaries. The proceeds are intended for asset acquisition in the Williston Basin, related costs, and general corporate purposes. The notes include redemption provisions and covenants affecting the company’s financial operations, with potential impacts on its debt structure and strategic acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRD) stock is a Buy with a $112.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chord Energy stock, see the CHRD Stock Forecast page.

Chord Energy Upsizes $750M Notes Offering

On September 16, 2025, Chord Energy Corporation announced the upsizing and pricing of its Notes Offering to $750 million in senior unsecured notes due 2030. The proceeds will fund the XTO Acquisition, pay related costs, and address general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. The offering is expected to close on September 30, 2025, with provisions for special mandatory redemption if the acquisition does not occur by the specified date.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRD) stock is a Buy with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chord Energy stock, see the CHRD Stock Forecast page.

Chord Energy Announces $500M Senior Notes Offering

On September 16, 2025, Chord Energy Corporation announced the commencement of a $500 million offering of senior unsecured notes due 2030 in a private placement. The proceeds from this offering are intended to fund the acquisition of oil and gas assets in the Williston Basin from XTO Energy, Inc. and cover related expenses. If the acquisition does not occur by June 30, 2026, the notes will be subject to a special mandatory redemption. This move is part of Chord Energy’s strategy to enhance its asset base and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRD) stock is a Buy with a $142.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chord Energy stock, see the CHRD Stock Forecast page.