Chord Energy (CHRD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.18B
• Dividend Yield: 5.9%
• Average Volume (3M): 794.43K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 23.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.91
• Revenue Growth: 19.55%
• EPS Growth: -81.10%
• Country: US
• Employees: 762
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 1.79
• Shares Outstanding: 57,258,102
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 625,536
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 794,434
• PEG Ratio: -0.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.70
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.15
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.60
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.26
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.23
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.06
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.34
• 1Y Price Target: $128.73
• Price Target Upside: 42.34% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: $97.00 ▲(7.25% Upside)

Chord Energy's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including operational efficiencies and shareholder returns. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and declining revenue growth poses challenges. The attractive dividend yield supports the valuation score.

Positive Factors

Strong Cash Flow Generation

Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and shareholder returns, supporting long-term stability.

Operational Efficiency Gains

Operational efficiency gains through cost reductions and exceeding production targets improve profitability and competitiveness, sustaining long-term growth.

AI and Data Analytics

The use of AI and data analytics enhances operational efficiency and decision-making, providing a competitive edge and supporting sustainable growth.

Negative Factors

Declining Profitability Margins

Declining profitability margins indicate cost pressures and reduced earnings, which could challenge the company's ability to sustain high returns over time.

Higher Lease Operating Expenses

Higher operating expenses can erode profit margins and affect cash flow, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and return value to shareholders.

Potential Production Trough

An anticipated production trough may temporarily affect revenue and cash flow, posing a risk to short-term financial performance and investor confidence.

Chord Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company headquartered in the United States. The company primarily operates in the Williston Basin, focusing on the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas resources. Chord Energy is committed to implementing advanced technologies and sustainable practices to enhance its operational efficiency and reduce environmental impact, while delivering value to its shareholders and stakeholders.

How the Company Makes Money

Chord Energy generates revenue predominantly through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of hydrocarbons produced from its wells, including both oil and natural gas. Additionally, Chord Energy may engage in hedging activities to protect against price volatility in the commodities market, which can stabilize their revenue. The company also benefits from cost management strategies and operational efficiencies that enhance profitability. Strategic partnerships with service providers and industry collaborations can further contribute to its operational success and revenue generation.

Chord Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Chord Energy shows strong cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet with low leverage, indicating financial health. However, declining revenue growth and profitability margins highlight challenges in maintaining operational performance.

Income Statement

Chord Energy's income statement shows a decline in revenue growth with a negative rate of -1.49% in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from 24.86% in 2024 to 12.22% in the TTM period, suggesting increased cost pressures. Net profit margin also declined from 16.16% to 5.02%, reflecting reduced profitability. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBITDA margin of 36.74%, indicating operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity has decreased from 9.75% in 2024 to 3.11% in the TTM period, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains robust, highlighting a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Chord Energy's cash flow statement shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 25.47% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.46 suggests efficient cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.59 reflects a solid ability to generate cash relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.30B	5.25B	3.90B	3.65B	1.58B	1.08B
Gross Profit	647.67M	1.31B	1.44B	1.79B	670.09M	240.05M
EBITDA	1.95B	2.28B	1.97B	1.74B	123.44M	-3.77B
Net Income	265.85M	848.63M	1.02B	1.43B	188.96M	-3.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.55B	13.03B	6.93B	6.63B	3.03B	2.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	40.49M	36.95M	318.00M	593.15M	172.11M	15.86M
Total Debt	956.49M	900.70M	430.62M	417.42M	407.14M	733.60M
Total Liabilities	4.45B	4.33B	1.85B	1.95B	1.81B	1.15B
Stockholders Equity	8.10B	8.70B	5.08B	4.68B	1.03B	915.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.36B	918.15M	914.18M	1.39B	698.39M	-43.62M
Operating Cash Flow	2.31B	2.10B	1.82B	1.92B	914.14M	298.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.28B	-1.75B	-1.43B	-682.56M	-920.77M	-102.28M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.18B	-624.46M	-664.70M	-823.10M	161.19M	-195.70M

Chord Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 90.44
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 90.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.56, below the 50-day MA of 100.14, and below the 200-day MA of 101.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHRD.

Chord Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MTDR	―	$4.87B	6.27	15.06%	3.03%	14.77%	-17.38%
RRC	―	$8.81B	18.61	11.99%	0.94%	19.95%	0.94%
MGY	―	$4.45B	12.14	19.24%	2.55%	2.67%	-5.79%
APA	―	$8.13B	7.63	19.09%	4.40%	12.13%	-67.53%
CHRD	―	$5.18B	23.16	3.13%	5.90%	19.55%	-81.10%
Sector *	―	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
CRK	―	$5.24B	―	-3.18%	―	17.60%	-385.47%

Chord Energy Corporate Events

Chord Energy Completes $750M Senior Notes Offering

On September 30, 2025, Chord Energy Corporation completed its offering of $750 million in 6.000% senior unsecured notes due 2030, guaranteed by its subsidiaries. The proceeds are intended for asset acquisition in the Williston Basin, related costs, and general corporate purposes. The notes include redemption provisions and covenants affecting the company’s financial operations, with potential impacts on its debt structure and strategic acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRD) stock is a Buy with a $112.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chord Energy stock, see the CHRD Stock Forecast page.

Chord Energy Upsizes $750M Notes Offering

On September 16, 2025, Chord Energy Corporation announced the upsizing and pricing of its Notes Offering to $750 million in senior unsecured notes due 2030. The proceeds will fund the XTO Acquisition, pay related costs, and address general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. The offering is expected to close on September 30, 2025, with provisions for special mandatory redemption if the acquisition does not occur by the specified date.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRD) stock is a Buy with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chord Energy stock, see the CHRD Stock Forecast page.

Chord Energy Announces $500M Senior Notes Offering

On September 16, 2025, Chord Energy Corporation announced the commencement of a $500 million offering of senior unsecured notes due 2030 in a private placement. The proceeds from this offering are intended to fund the acquisition of oil and gas assets in the Williston Basin from XTO Energy, Inc. and cover related expenses. If the acquisition does not occur by June 30, 2026, the notes will be subject to a special mandatory redemption. This move is part of Chord Energy’s strategy to enhance its asset base and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRD) stock is a Buy with a $142.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chord Energy stock, see the CHRD Stock Forecast page.

Chord Energy’s Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights

Chord Energy’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust operational performance and strategic financial management. The company demonstrated significant free cash flow and shareholder returns, alongside successful cost-saving measures and technological advancements. Despite these positive strides, Chord Energy faces challenges in managing operational expenses and commodity price realizations.

Chord Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance

Chord Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company focused on developing unconventional oil-rich resources in the Williston Basin, known for its disciplined capital allocation and operational efficiency. In its second-quarter 2025 earnings report, Chord Energy showcased strong financial and operational performance, exceeding expectations in cash flow and production volumes, while also announcing a base dividend and share repurchase program. The company reported net cash provided by operating activities of $419.8 million and an adjusted free cash flow of $140.8 million, with significant shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks. Despite a net loss of $389.9 million due to a non-cash impairment charge, Chord Energy improved its full-year oil production guidance and reduced capital expenditure forecasts, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and asset performance. Looking ahead, Chord Energy remains focused on optimizing capital allocation and maintaining its strong position in the market, with plans to increase production and continue returning value to shareholders.

Chord Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Shareholder Returns

Chord Energy Corporation announced its second-quarter 2025 financial and operational results, highlighting operational excellence with net cash and adjusted free cash flow exceeding expectations. The company returned over 90% of adjusted free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, reducing its share count by 10% since the Enerplus closing. The results underscore Chord Energy’s strong asset performance and efficient execution, positioning it favorably within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRD) stock is a Buy with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chord Energy stock, see the CHRD Stock Forecast page.