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Chord Energy (CHRD)
NASDAQ:CHRD
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Chord Energy
(NASDAQ:CHRD)
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Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$110.00
▲(14.69% Upside)
Chord Energy's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive technical analysis. Despite a high P/E ratio, the company's robust dividend yield and strategic initiatives support its valuation. Financial performance is stable, with low leverage and healthy cash flow conversion, despite revenue and profitability challenges.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency through faster cycle times and reduced downtime enhances production capabilities, supporting long-term growth.
Strategic Acquisitions
The XTO acquisition strengthens Chord's asset base, boosting production and supporting long-term strategic growth in the Williston Basin.
Financial Stability
Low leverage provides financial stability, allowing Chord to navigate industry challenges and invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth indicates challenges in sales expansion, potentially impacting long-term profitability and market position.
Profitability Challenges
Reduced profitability margins can hinder reinvestment in growth initiatives and affect shareholder returns over time.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow growth limits the company's ability to fund new projects and return capital to shareholders, affecting long-term financial health.
Chord Energy (CHRD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.45B
Dividend Yield5.73%
Average Volume (3M)649.20K
Price to Earnings (P/E)37.1
Beta (1Y)0.88
Revenue Growth8.43%
EPS Growth-86.63%
CountryUS
Employees762
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.35
Shares Outstanding56,865,300
10 Day Avg. Volume748,344
30 Day Avg. Volume649,198
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.21
Price to Book (P/B)0.70
Price to Sales (P/S)1.15
P/FCF Ratio6.60
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.21
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.27
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.27
Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.44
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$120.92Price Target Upside26.07% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering14
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Chord Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionChord Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company. It acquires, exploits, develops, and explores for crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Williston Basin. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyChord Energy generates revenue predominantly through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of hydrocarbons produced from its wells, including both oil and natural gas. Additionally, Chord Energy may engage in hedging activities to protect against price volatility in the commodities market, which can stabilize their revenue. The company also benefits from cost management strategies and operational efficiencies that enhance profitability. Strategic partnerships with service providers and industry collaborations can further contribute to its operational success and revenue generation.
Chord Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Chord Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong operational and financial performance by Chord, with significant improvements in free cash flow, operational efficiency, and strategic acquisitions. While there are challenges related to commodity price volatility and production integration, the company's proactive measures and successful execution of its strategic initiatives contribute to an overall positive sentiment.Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Chord delivered adjusted free cash flow of approximately $230 million for Q3 2025, returning 69% of this to shareholders. Since the Enerplus combination, diluted shares outstanding have been reduced by approximately 11%.
Operational Efficiency and Production Guidance
Chord raised oil volume guidance for the second time this year, attributed to faster cycle times, lower downtime, and strong well performance. The company is also making progress with its 4-mile well program, with expectations to increase 4-mile wells to up to 40% of the operated program in 2026.
Cost Structure Improvements
Chord expects savings of $30 million to $50 million annually through improved marketing cost structure, with half realized in 2025. Additionally, Chord drove $120 million of improvement in 2025 from controllable items.
Successful Integration of XTO Acquisition
Chord closed the XTO transaction on October 31, 2025, adjusting fourth quarter production up by 4,000 barrels of oil per day. The acquisition supports long lateral development in the Williston Basin.
Sustainability and Performance Metrics
Chord published its 2024 Sustainability Report, highlighting efforts on emissions reductions, workforce health and safety, and other corporate governance topics.
Negative Updates
Potential Challenges in Production and CapEx
While Chord has set preliminary expectations for 2026 production, there are concerns about the shape of production and the impact of integrating new assets like XTO into the production program.
Commodity Price Volatility
The company acknowledges high commodity volatility and maintains significant flexibility to reduce activity if macro conditions warrant.
Company Guidance
During the Chord Energy Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial and operational performance, with adjusted free cash flow for the third quarter reaching approximately $230 million. The company returned 69% of this free cash flow to shareholders, primarily through share repurchases following a base dividend of $1.30 per share. Chord has reduced diluted shares outstanding by about 11% since its merger with Enerplus. The company raised its oil volume guidance for the second time this year due to faster cycle times, lower downtime, and strong well performance. Chord plans to have 7 four-mile wells online by year-end, with expectations to increase this to 40% of their operated program in 2026. Year-to-date, Chord achieved $120 million in improvements from controllable items, including higher production and reduced costs. The acquisition of XTO assets, closed on October 31, adjusted fourth quarter production up by 4,000 barrels of oil per day. The company expects 2026 capital expenditures of roughly $1.4 billion, maintaining oil volumes of approximately 157,000 to 161,000 barrels per day while holding E&P capital flat from 2025.Chord Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Chord Energy demonstrates a mixed financial performance. The income statement reflects challenges with declining revenue and profitability margins, yet operational efficiency remains strong. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, providing financial stability. Cash flow metrics indicate a decrease in free cash flow growth, but cash conversion remains healthy. Overall, the company is navigating industry challenges with a stable financial foundation.Income Statement
Chord Energy's income statement shows a decline in revenue growth rate to -2.61% in the TTM period, indicating a contraction in sales. The gross profit margin has significantly decreased from previous years, now at 6.05% in TTM, reflecting increased cost pressures. Net profit margin also fell to 3.31%, suggesting reduced profitability. However, the company maintains a strong EBITDA margin of 34.72%, indicating efficient operational management despite revenue challenges.65
Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet remains robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 in the TTM period, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio stands at 61.64%, highlighting a strong equity base. Return on equity has decreased to 2.04%, reflecting the impact of lower net income on shareholder returns. Overall, the balance sheet shows financial stability with low leverage risk.75
Positive
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth rate to -10.07% in the TTM period, indicating reduced cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.44, suggesting good cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, showing a moderate level of cash available after capital expenditures. Despite the decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains healthy cash flow ratios.70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 5.16B | 5.25B | 3.90B | 3.65B | 1.58B | 1.08B |
| Gross Profit | 1.05B | 1.31B | 1.44B | 1.79B | 670.09M | 240.05M |
| EBITDA | 1.91B | 2.28B | 1.97B | 1.78B | 377.10M | -3.55B |
| Net Income | 170.64M | 848.63M | 1.02B | 1.86B | 319.60M | -3.69B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 13.10B | 13.03B | 6.93B | 6.63B | 3.03B | 2.16B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 629.21M | 36.95M | 318.00M | 593.15M | 172.11M | 10.71M |
| Total Debt | 1.63B | 1.04B | 535.43M | 491.13M | 436.62M | 281.93M |
| Total Liabilities | 5.02B | 4.33B | 1.85B | 1.95B | 1.81B | 1.15B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.07B | 8.70B | 5.08B | 4.68B | 1.03B | 915.94M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 864.79M | 918.15M | 914.18M | 1.39B | 698.39M | -43.62M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.21B | 2.10B | 1.82B | 1.92B | 914.14M | 298.19M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.32B | -1.75B | -1.43B | -682.56M | -920.77M | -102.28M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -314.88M | -624.46M | -664.70M | -823.10M | 161.19M | -195.70M |
Chord Energy Technical Analysis
Positive
95.91
Price Trends
93.24
Positive
94.09
Positive
95.54
Positive
Market Momentum
0.90
Negative
61.23
Neutral
82.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 95.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.09, above the 50-day MA of 93.24, and above the 200-day MA of 95.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHRD.
Chord Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
82 Outperform | $5.29B | 6.81 | 15.06% | 3.14% | 14.77% | -17.38% | |
76 Outperform | $5.45B | 37.12 | 2.02% | 5.73% | 8.43% | -86.63% | |
73 Outperform | $9.01B | 6.11 | 27.24% | 3.80% | 4.88% | -41.34% | |
71 Outperform | $8.69B | 15.41 | 14.18% | 1.00% | 23.88% | 20.55% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
65 Neutral | $4.60B | 13.56 | 17.51% | 2.74% | 0.68% | -11.13% | |
59 Neutral | $7.23B | 100.85 | 2.86% | ― | 35.41% | ― |
* Energy Sector Average
CHRD
Chord Energy
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.