Chord Energy (CHRD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.86B
• Dividend Yield: 5.07%
• Average Volume (3M): 852.44K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 26.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.84
• Revenue Growth: 19.55%
• EPS Growth: -81.10%
• Country: US
• Employees: 762
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 1.79
• Shares Outstanding: 57,258,102
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 939,233
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 852,436
• PEG Ratio: -0.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.70
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.15
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.60
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.11
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.23
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.06
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.34
• 1Y Price Target: $130.92
• Price Target Upside: 24.27% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 13

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: $118.00 ▲(12.01% Upside)

Chord Energy's strong cash flow generation and operational efficiencies are significant strengths, supported by a positive earnings call. However, challenges in revenue growth and profitability, along with a high P/E ratio, weigh on the overall score.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

Chord's ability to reduce capital expenditure while exceeding production targets demonstrates strong operational efficiency, which can enhance profitability and provide a competitive edge in the long term.

Cash Flow Generation

Strong free cash flow generation and high shareholder returns indicate robust financial health, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and providing a buffer against market volatility.

Technological Advancements

The use of AI and data analytics to enhance operational efficiency positions Chord as an innovative leader in the industry, potentially leading to sustained cost reductions and improved production outcomes.

Negative Factors

Declining Profitability Margins

Decreasing profitability margins suggest increased cost pressures and challenges in maintaining earnings, which could impact long-term financial performance and shareholder value.

Revenue Growth Challenges

Negative revenue growth indicates potential difficulties in expanding market share or product demand, which could hinder future growth prospects and financial stability.

Higher Lease Operating Expenses

Increased lease operating expenses can strain profitability and cash flow, posing a risk to the company's ability to maintain cost efficiency and competitive pricing in the long term.

Chord Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chord Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company. It acquires, exploits, develops, and explores for crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Williston Basin. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Chord Energy generates revenue predominantly through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of hydrocarbons produced from its wells, including both oil and natural gas. Additionally, Chord Energy may engage in hedging activities to protect against price volatility in the commodities market, which can stabilize their revenue. The company also benefits from cost management strategies and operational efficiencies that enhance profitability. Strategic partnerships with service providers and industry collaborations can further contribute to its operational success and revenue generation.

Chord Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Chord Energy shows strong cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet with low leverage, indicating financial health. However, declining revenue growth and profitability margins highlight challenges in maintaining operational performance.

Income Statement

Chord Energy's income statement shows a decline in revenue growth with a negative rate of -1.49% in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from 24.86% in 2024 to 12.22% in the TTM period, suggesting increased cost pressures. Net profit margin also declined from 16.16% to 5.02%, reflecting reduced profitability. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBITDA margin of 36.74%, indicating operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity has decreased from 9.75% in 2024 to 3.11% in the TTM period, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains robust, highlighting a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Chord Energy's cash flow statement shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 25.47% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.46 suggests efficient cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.59 reflects a solid ability to generate cash relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.30B	5.25B	3.90B	3.65B	1.58B	1.08B
Gross Profit	647.67M	1.31B	1.44B	1.79B	670.09M	240.05M
EBITDA	1.95B	2.28B	1.97B	1.74B	123.44M	-3.77B
Net Income	265.85M	848.63M	1.02B	1.43B	188.96M	-3.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.55B	13.03B	6.93B	6.63B	3.03B	2.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	40.49M	36.95M	318.00M	593.15M	172.11M	15.86M
Total Debt	956.49M	900.70M	430.62M	417.42M	407.14M	733.60M
Total Liabilities	4.45B	4.33B	1.85B	1.95B	1.81B	1.15B
Stockholders Equity	8.10B	8.70B	5.08B	4.68B	1.03B	915.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.36B	918.15M	914.18M	1.39B	698.39M	-43.62M
Operating Cash Flow	2.31B	2.10B	1.82B	1.92B	914.14M	298.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.28B	-1.75B	-1.43B	-682.56M	-920.77M	-102.28M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.18B	-624.46M	-664.70M	-823.10M	161.19M	-195.70M

Chord Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 105.35
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 105.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.76, above the 50-day MA of 104.95, and above the 200-day MA of 103.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHRD.

Chord Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
APA	78 Outperform	8.64B	8.22	9.64%	4.14%	12.13%	-67.53%
MGY	77 Outperform	4.71B	12.82	18.87%	2.35%	2.67%	-5.79%
RRC	74 Outperform	8.47B	18.07	11.63%	0.98%	19.95%	0.94%
MTDR	73 Outperform	5.91B	7.04	15.90%	2.50%	16.20%	-12.42%
CHRD	72 Outperform	$5.86B	26.20	3.13%	5.07%	19.55%	-81.10%
CRK	47 Neutral	5.03B	-67.04	-3.23%	―	17.60%	-385.47%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%

Chord Energy Corporate Events

Chord Energy Announces $500M Senior Notes Offering

On September 16, 2025, Chord Energy Corporation announced the commencement of a $500 million offering of senior unsecured notes due 2030 in a private placement. The proceeds from this offering are intended to fund the acquisition of oil and gas assets in the Williston Basin from XTO Energy, Inc. and cover related expenses. If the acquisition does not occur by June 30, 2026, the notes will be subject to a special mandatory redemption. This move is part of Chord Energy’s strategy to enhance its asset base and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRD) stock is a Buy with a $142.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chord Energy stock, see the CHRD Stock Forecast page.