Chord Energy (CHRD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $6.07B
• Dividend Yield: 4.93%
• Average Volume (3M): 738.40K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 27.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.87
• Revenue Growth: 19.55%
• EPS Growth: -81.10%
• Country: US
• Employees: 762
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 56
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 1.79
• Shares Outstanding: 57,258,102
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 759,899
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 738,398
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.07
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.23
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.06
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.34
• 1Y Price Target: $131.73
• Price Target Upside: 21.62% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 11

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: $116.00 ▲(7.10% Upside)

Chord Energy's overall stock score reflects its robust financial performance and strong earnings call outcomes, which are the most significant factors. While the technical analysis indicates some short-term weakness, the company's solid dividend yield and strategic initiatives, such as AI integration and successful synergy realization, support a positive outlook. The potential production trough and high P/E ratio are noted risks, but the company's strategic focus on shareholder returns and operational efficiency provides a balanced perspective.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

Adjusted EBITDA of $696 million was ahead of Consensus and BofAe estimates, primarily due to higher oil production.

Operational Performance

CHRD reported excellent results with a beat on all fronts.

Shareholder Returns

CHRD returned $299m to shareholders in 1Q, leaning heavily into buybacks, equating to a 17% return.

Negative Factors

Capital Expenditures

The continued acceleration in the 4-mile program adds downside risk to 2026 capex.

Market Conditions

There is a risk of delaying roughly 25% of gross TILs if low oil prices continue and the spot crew does not return.

Chord Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chord Energy (CHRD) is a prominent player in the energy sector, primarily focused on the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. The company is engaged in the extraction and development of hydrocarbon resources, leveraging advanced technological solutions to optimize production. Chord Energy operates in various key locations known for rich deposits, ensuring a steady supply of energy resources to meet market demands.

How the Company Makes Money

Chord Energy generates revenue through the exploration, extraction, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company capitalizes on its strategic locations and technological advancements to enhance production efficiency and output. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil and natural gas to refineries and other end-users. Additionally, Chord Energy may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other energy firms to optimize resource development and distribution. Market factors such as oil and gas prices, regulatory policies, and production costs significantly influence the company's earnings.

Chord Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Chord Energy exhibits a strong financial position with healthy revenue growth, substantial profitability, and solid cash flow generation. The company's low leverage and effective cash management contribute to financial stability. However, there is room for improvement in operational efficiency and returns on equity.

Income Statement

Chord Energy's income statement reflects a strong financial performance over the TTM period. The company has achieved a Gross Profit Margin of 46.47% and a Net Profit Margin of 16.16%, indicating efficient cost management and robust profitability. The Revenue Growth Rate of 34.73% from the previous year highlights significant expansion. However, a slight decline in EBIT Margin from 32.66% to 21.77% suggests some operational challenges. Overall, the company demonstrates healthy revenue growth and profitability, though attention to operational efficiency is warranted.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Chord Energy shows a solid financial foundation with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.10, reflecting low leverage and financial stability. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 9.75%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 66.76% suggests a strong reliance on equity financing, which enhances financial stability. While the company's low debt levels are a positive, the moderate ROE implies room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders.

Cash Flow

Chord Energy's cash flow statement is robust, with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 33.68%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.48 demonstrates efficient conversion of income to cash, supporting liquidity and operational resilience. Furthermore, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.44 highlights effective cash management. Despite strong cash flows, maintaining these levels while managing capital expenditures remains crucial.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.30B	5.25B	3.90B	3.65B	1.58B	1.08B
Gross Profit	647.67M	1.31B	1.44B	1.79B	670.09M	240.05M
EBITDA	1.95B	2.28B	1.97B	1.74B	123.44M	-3.77B
Net Income	265.85M	848.63M	1.02B	1.43B	188.96M	-3.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.55B	13.03B	6.93B	6.63B	3.03B	2.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	40.49M	36.95M	318.00M	593.15M	172.11M	15.86M
Total Debt	956.49M	900.70M	430.62M	417.42M	407.14M	733.60M
Total Liabilities	4.45B	4.33B	1.85B	1.95B	1.81B	1.15B
Stockholders Equity	8.10B	8.70B	5.08B	4.68B	1.03B	915.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.36B	918.15M	914.18M	1.39B	698.39M	-43.62M
Operating Cash Flow	2.31B	2.10B	1.82B	1.92B	914.14M	298.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-895.51M	-1.75B	-1.43B	-682.56M	-920.77M	-102.28M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.15B	-624.46M	-664.70M	-823.10M	161.19M	-195.70M

Chord Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 108.31
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 108.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.76, above the 50-day MA of 103.44, and above the 200-day MA of 104.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHRD.

Chord Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MTDR	81 Outperform	$6.06B	7.24	17.07%	2.38%	16.20%	-12.42%
MGY	79 Outperform	$4.61B	12.58	19.24%	2.34%	2.67%	-5.79%
CHRD	77 Outperform	$6.07B	27.14	3.13%	4.93%	19.55%	-81.10%
MUR	71 Outperform	$3.42B	12.43	5.42%	5.17%	-18.08%	-49.36%
CNX	67 Neutral	$4.13B	49.37	3.73%	―	38.21%	-67.24%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.26B	7.31	3.02%	5.32%	4.27%	-62.52%
CRK	44 Neutral	$4.65B	―	-3.18%	0.66%	17.60%	-385.47%

Chord Energy Corporate Events

Chord Energy Completes $750 Million Notes Offering

Chord Energy Corporation, on March 13, 2025, completed its offering of $750 million in senior unsecured notes due 2033, guaranteed by its subsidiaries. The proceeds were used to purchase and redeem existing notes, repay credit facility borrowings, and cover related expenses, impacting the company’s debt structure and financial strategy.