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Range Resources Corp (RRC)
NYSE:RRC

Range Resources (RRC) AI Stock Analysis

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RRC

Range Resources

(NYSE:RRC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(4.17% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is driven primarily by strengthened fundamentals (strong current profitability, materially lower leverage, and positive cash generation) and a positive earnings outlook focused on disciplined capex and shareholder returns. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages, while valuation is only moderate due to a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Stronger Balance Sheet
Material deleveraging to ~0.29 D/E meaningfully reduces financial risk and increases flexibility. A stronger balance sheet supports disciplined capex, continued buybacks/dividends, and resilience through commodity downturns, improving multi‑quarter funding optionality and creditor confidence.
Consistent Cash Generation
Sustained operating cash flow and positive free cash flow enable self-funded growth and shareholder returns. Reliable cash generation supports debt paydown, buybacks, and dividends while allowing capital discipline across cycles, improving long-term capital allocation and downside protection.
Operational Efficiency & Inventory
High drilling/completion productivity and a >500k lateral‑feet inventory give low incremental cost growth optionality. This structural inventory and efficiency allow calibrated ramping, lower per‑unit D&C costs, and the ability to prioritize returns or growth without immediate large capital increases.
Negative Factors
Commodity Volatility
Revenue, margins and cash flow remain tightly linked to gas and NGL price cycles, limiting predictability. Even with hedging, price swings and seasonal dips (notably Q1) can materially alter multi‑quarter free cash flow and constrain consistent capital allocation or payout smoothing.
NGL/Petchem Weakness
Structural weak petchem margins and high NGL stocks can depress realizations for ethane/propane, reducing NGL contribution to overall margins. Given Range's NGL exposure, prolonged petchem weakness would sustainably lower blended prices and cash generation versus gas‑only scenarios.
Midstream Timing Risk
Planned H2 step‑up depends on midstream debottlenecking; delays or underperformance would postpone production growth and attendant cash flows. Reliance on third‑party infrastructure creates execution/timing risk that can shift expected FCF and returns across multiple quarters.

Range Resources (RRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Range Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRange Resources Corporation operates as an independent natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil company in the United States. The company engages in the exploration, development, and acquisition of natural gas and oil properties. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated 1,350 net producing wells and approximately 794,000 net acres under lease located in the Appalachian region of the northeastern United States. It markets and sells natural gas and NGLs to utilities, marketing and midstream companies, and industrial users; petrochemical end users, marketers/traders, and natural gas processors; and oil and condensate to crude oil processors, transporters, and refining and marketing companies. The company was formerly known as Lomak Petroleum, Inc. and changed its name to Range Resources Corporation in 1998. Range Resources Corporation was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyRange Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil. The company's revenue model is significantly driven by the production and sale of these hydrocarbons, with natural gas typically being the largest contributor to its earnings. The company operates under a cost-efficient production framework, which allows it to maintain profitability even in fluctuating market conditions. Additionally, Range Resources benefits from strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with various midstream companies, which facilitate the transportation and processing of its products. The company's revenue is also influenced by commodity price fluctuations, production volumes, and operational efficiency, as well as market demand for energy resources.

Range Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution, robust free cash flow generation, improved per-unit margins (≈20% increase), peer-leading completion/drilling efficiencies and a large, flexible inventory (500k+ lateral feet) that provides optionality. Management secured service pricing stability via RFP outcomes and multiyear agreements and continues disciplined capital allocation (dividends, buybacks, debt reduction). Key risks noted were commodity price volatility, seasonality that depresses Q1 volumes, elevated NGL stocks and limited further cost-down opportunities. Overall, positive operational and financial results and clear optionality outweigh the macro and timing risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow and Cash Generation
Generated cash flow from operations before working capital of $1.3 billion and over $650 million in free cash flow for 2025, enabling $86 million in dividends, $231 million in share repurchases and $186 million of net debt reduction.
Improved Per-Unit Margins and Realized Price Premium
Expanded per-unit cash margin by roughly 20% to $1.64 per Mcfe. Achieved an average hedged realized price of $3.60 per Mcfe vs NYMEX Henry Hub average of $3.43 in 2025, a $0.17 (≈5%) premium supported by commodity mix, hedging and diversified transportation/sales portfolio.
Operational Efficiency and Drilling/Completion Productivity
Q4 all-in capital of $183 million; full-year 2025 capital invested $674 million. Operated 2 horizontal rigs in Q4, drilling ~225,000 horizontal feet across 15 laterals (avg ~15,000 ft/well). For 2025 drilled 69 laterals (avg 14,800 ft) and exceeded 1 million lateral feet drilled. Completed ~1,200 frac stages in Q4 and nearly 3,800 stages in 2025 with completion efficiency of 9.7 stages/day (Q4 ≈10 stages/day/crew), setting a new yearly benchmark.
Large, Flexible Inventory to Support Optionality
Built a growth-focused inventory of more than 500,000 lateral feet (≈100,000 lateral feet more than previously discussed), providing flexibility to either produce ~2.6 Bcfe/d with < $600M annual D&C capex (sub $0.60/Mcfe) or spend $650–700M in 2027 for continued growth into 2028.
Export and Marketing Strength
Benefited from strong U.S. export demand: LNG exports averaged >17 Bcf/day in Q4 (up 10% sequentially); waterborne ethane exports estimated at 622,000 bpd in Q4 (up >40% YoY and 24% sequentially). Marketing optimized sales during winter storm Fern (redirected ~5 Bcf/day of LNG feed gas domestically) and captured strong midweek pricing (February settled > $7/MMBtu).
Service Cost Stability and Contracting Wins
Annual RFP for 2026 drilling and completions returned pricing flat to slightly lower vs 2025; multiple long-term agreements (including a 2-year base electric frac fleet agreement starting 1/1/2026) provide service pricing stability and support peer-leading well costs and capital efficiency.
Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns Framework
Purchased >33 million shares since 2019 (~$744 million invested); Board increased buyback capacity to $1.5 billion. Plan to increase quarterly dividend by $0.01 (≈11%) at next announcement; demonstrated balanced allocation between buybacks, dividends and debt reduction.
Safety and Environmental Actions
Delivered strong operational performance while achieving one of the best company safety performance levels; committing $15–25 million in 2026 for software and production facility upgrades and completing pneumatic retrofit project by year-end to reduce emissions.
Negative Updates
Commodity Price Volatility and Weaker Curve vs Prior Year
Management acknowledged recent weakness in gas price curves relative to a year ago and ongoing volatility. Guidance anticipates Q1 production down to ~2.2 Bcfe/d from Q4 2.3 Bcfe/d (seasonality), and overall commodity uncertainty remains a risk for timing of production turn-ins and monetization.
Elevated NGL Inventories and Petchem Margin Pressure
NGL stock levels were elevated through 2025; ethane and propane faced distinct demand/supply dynamics. Although ethane exports rose sharply, petchem margins remain at historical lows which pressures operating rates and contributed to weak propane demand in 2025.
Limited Further Op-Cost Downside
Management indicated service costs have likely approached an asymptotic bottom; only low- to mid-single-digit relief expected for 2026, and operating expense modeling is assumed flat, limiting additional margin gains from further cost reduction.
Reliance on Infrastructure Timing and Market Access
Material second-half production ramping is tied to mid-2026 commissioning of ~300 MMcf/d processing capacity and other debottlenecking; delays or underperformance in midstream infrastructure could postpone the expected step-up in production and related cash flow.
Unspecified Commercial Terms and Execution Risk
Certain commercial deals (e.g., long-term sales agreement to a Midwest power plant) were announced with attractive premiums but confidential pricing prevents full quantification; this creates some uncertainty about the magnitude and timing of contracted premium cash flows.
Company Guidance
Range guided 2026 all‑in capital of $650–700 million, comprised of about $500M maintenance D&C, $120–140M incremental D&C growth (primarily to fund a second completion crew), $15–35M of land and $15–25M for software/production‑facility upgrades and emissions work (pneumatic retrofit complete by year‑end); Q4 all‑in capex was $183M and FY2025 capex was $674M. Operationally, the plan runs a single full‑time super‑spec drilling rig with a second rig used in H2, a single full‑time electric frac crew plus a spot crew in Q2–Q3, expects to turn ~900,000 lateral feet to sales in 2026 and is supported by >500,000 lateral feet of growth inventory (≈100,000ft added vs prior); 2025 activity included 69 laterals / >1.0M lateral feet drilled (avg ~14,800–15,000 ft), ~3,800 frac stages and a 2025 frac efficiency ~9.7–10 stages/day per crew. Production guidance is 2.35–2.40 Bcfe/day for 2026 (Q1 ≈2.2 Bcfe/d, Q4 2025 ≈2.3 Bcfe/d), with ~300 MMcf/d of processing capacity online mid‑year driving a meaningful H2 step‑up to a year‑end target ≈2.5 Bcfe/d and optionality to produce ~2.6 Bcfe/d in 2027 with < $600M annual D&C (or < $0.60/Mcfe) — alternatively maintain $650–700M capex to grow into 2028; service pricing for 2026 is expected flat to slightly lower with multiple long‑term agreements (including a new 2‑year electric frac term starting 1/1/2026).

Range Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is currently strong (net margin ~21%, EBITDA margin ~39%) with revenue back to growth in the latest annual period, leverage has improved sharply (debt-to-equity down to ~0.29), and operating cash flow/free cash flow remain solid. The main offset is cyclicality and volatility in revenue, margins, and free cash flow (notably 2023–2024 softness and a sharp FCF drop versus the prior year).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability is strong in the most recent annual period, with net margin ~21% and EBITDA margin ~39%, and revenue returning to growth (+8.6%). However, results have been volatile across the cycle: revenue fell sharply in 2023 and declined again in 2024, and 2020 showed material losses. Margin history is uneven (very high in 2022–2023, then lower in 2024, rebounding in 2025), which raises durability risk typical of the industry.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully over time: debt-to-equity declined from ~1.93 (2020) and ~1.42 (2021) to ~0.29 (2025), while equity has grown. Returns on equity are solid in 2025 (~15%) and were very strong in 2022–2023, but profitability and equity returns have also been cyclical (negative in 2020). Overall, the balance sheet looks healthier and more resilient than earlier years, with reduced financial risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is generally supportive: operating cash flow is strong in 2025 (~$1.17B) and free cash flow remains positive (~$590M). That said, free cash flow dropped sharply versus the prior year (about -40% growth), and free cash flow conversion versus net income is moderate in 2025 (~50%), indicating earnings are not translating into free cash flow at peak levels seen in 2022. Coverage of net income by operating cash flow is strong in 2025 (~1.77x), but was weaker in 2024 (~0.74x), underscoring volatility.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.99B2.35B2.54B5.33B3.58B
Gross Profit1.02B574.75M778.14M3.22B1.60B
EBITDA1.34B727.72M1.57B1.93B993.93M
Net Income658.02M266.34M871.14M1.18B411.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.42B7.35B7.20B7.26B7.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments204.00K304.49M211.97M207.00K214.42M
Total Debt1.27B1.82B1.80B1.95B2.97B
Total Liabilities3.10B3.41B3.44B4.38B5.36B
Stockholders Equity4.32B3.94B3.77B2.88B2.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow589.84M315.93M371.66M1.38B375.51M
Operating Cash Flow1.17B944.51M977.89M1.86B792.95M
Investing Cash Flow-641.39M-623.83M-601.71M-489.83M-417.88M
Financing Cash Flow-834.22M-228.16M-164.42M-1.59B-161.10M

Range Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price41.28
Price Trends
50DMA
36.06
Positive
100DMA
36.79
Positive
200DMA
36.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.05
Negative
RSI
69.35
Neutral
STOCH
81.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RRC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.53, above the 50-day MA of 36.06, and above the 200-day MA of 36.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RRC.

Range Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$15.17B14.309.66%4.27%7.55%-34.40%
74
Outperform
$14.33B10.5811.54%3.16%-8.07%-87.88%
74
Outperform
$11.36B18.158.71%17.05%1028.81%
72
Outperform
$9.72B15.0715.91%1.00%23.88%20.55%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$4.73B45.812.01%4.15%-13.92%-68.34%
54
Neutral
$5.77B14.7216.07%35.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RRC
Range Resources
41.28
4.84
13.27%
CRK
Comstock Resources
19.61
1.61
8.94%
OVV
Ovintiv
50.59
12.09
31.40%
MUR
Murphy Oil
33.15
9.88
42.47%
AR
Antero Resources
36.81
0.66
1.83%
PR
Permian Resources
18.29
5.90
47.61%

Range Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Range Resources Expands Buyback Plan Amid Disciplined Growth
Positive
Feb 25, 2026

On February 24, 2026, Range’s board raised the capacity of its stock repurchase program to $1.5 billion and highlighted 2025 results marked by $1.2 billion in operating cash flow, $674 million in capital spending and production of 2.24 Bcfe per day, alongside continued debt reduction and Net Zero Scope 1 and 2 emissions. The company reported fourth-quarter 2025 GAAP net income of $179 million on $820 million in revenue, invested heavily in share buybacks and dividends, and set a 2026 capital budget of $650–$700 million tied to converting a large drilled but uncompleted inventory into higher output, targeting 2.35–2.40 Bcfe per day in 2026 and 2.6 Bcfe per day in 2027, underscoring a strategy of disciplined, cash-flow-focused growth and enhanced shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (RRC) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Range Resources stock, see the RRC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Range Resources to Redeem $600 Million Senior Notes
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On December 31, 2025, Range Resources Corporation announced it will fully redeem all $600 million of its 8.25% senior notes due 2029, in accordance with the governing indenture. The company set January 15, 2026 as the redemption date, after which no notes will remain outstanding, and will pay a redemption price of 101.375% of principal plus accrued and unpaid interest, funding the transaction through its existing revolving credit facility, which will retire this higher-cost debt and alter its capital structure going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (RRC) stock is a Hold with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Range Resources stock, see the RRC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026