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Permian Resources (PR)
NYSE:PR

Permian Resources (PR) AI Stock Analysis

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PR

Permian Resources

(NYSE:PR)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(19.16% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/31/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong earnings/cash generation and improving leverage) and a constructive earnings-call outlook emphasizing capital efficiency and balance-sheet strength. Valuation is supportive due to a low P/E and a moderate dividend yield. The main offset is technical overbought risk despite a clear uptrend, plus some uncertainty from inconsistent latest annual revenue/margin data and free-cash-flow volatility.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained and scaled operating cash flow that materially exceeds net income provides durable internal funding for dividends, debt paydown, and opportunistic M&A. Repeated multi-year FCF growth strengthens financial flexibility and supports long-term capital allocation even through commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
Volatile free cash flow
Material year-to-year swings in free cash flow signal timing and operational volatility inherent in capital-intensive E&P. This variability complicates predictable capital allocation, raises risk to dividend and buyback sustainability, and can force reactive financing during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained and scaled operating cash flow that materially exceeds net income provides durable internal funding for dividends, debt paydown, and opportunistic M&A. Repeated multi-year FCF growth strengthens financial flexibility and supports long-term capital allocation even through commodity cycles.
Read all positive factors

Permian Resources (PR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Permian Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Permian Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the development of crude oil and related liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the United States. Its assets primarily focus on the Delaware Basin, a sub-basin of...
How the Company Makes Money
Permian Resources makes money primarily by producing and selling hydrocarbons—crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs—extracted from its Permian Basin wells. Revenue is recognized based on volumes sold and realized commodity prices, which are influenced ...

Permian Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was predominantly positive: the company reported record operational metrics, meaningful cost reductions, strong cash generation (adjusted operating cash flow $884M; adjusted free cash flow $403M), an 18% YoY increase in free cash flow per share to $1.94, a 7% dividend increase, and significant progress on gas marketing and inventory replenishment through M&A. Management is intentionally cautious on near-term growth due to macro and commodity uncertainties, and highlighted some areas of continued cost pressure (non-D&C CapEx, modest AR growth) and competitive dynamics in leases/M&A. Overall the operational and financial momentum and balance-sheet improvements outweigh the near-term macro and cost caveats.
Positive Updates
Record Q4 Operational Performance
Q4 oil production reached a record 188,600 barrels per day and total production was 401,500 BOE/day. Q4 drilling & completion (D&C) cost per foot improved to $700, supporting $481,000,000 of cash CapEx in the quarter and $1,970,000,000 for the full year 2025.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic and Gas Market Volatility
Management flagged a potentially bumpy 2026 driven by macro and commodity volatility, including near-term gas weakness. While company has materially reduced Waha exposure, the broader Permian gas takeaway and pricing environment could remain uncertain through 2026.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Q4 Operational Performance
Q4 oil production reached a record 188,600 barrels per day and total production was 401,500 BOE/day. Q4 drilling & completion (D&C) cost per foot improved to $700, supporting $481,000,000 of cash CapEx in the quarter and $1,970,000,000 for the full year 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided 2026 production of ~415,000 BOE/d (189,000 bbl/d of oil) on $1.85B of total CapEx (≈$400M non‑D&C), with D&C costs of about $675/ft (≈20% below 2024) and a plan that yields ~5% higher production on $120M less CapEx versus 2025; activity will be ~65% New Mexico and ~30% Texas Delaware, average lateral length ~11,000 ft, and average well productivity expected flat-to-slightly-better versus 2024–25. They expect to sell ~400 MMcf/d out of the basin in 2026 (rising to ~700 MMcf/d in 2027), reduce Waha exposure to ~10% of gas volumes in 2026, and now expect ~$0.50 premium to Waha (vs ~$0.40 discount in 2025); hedge targets remain ~30%/20%/10% year 1/2/3. Prior-year context: Q4 oil 188,600 bbl/d, total 401,500 BOE/d, Q4 D&C $700/ft, Q4 CapEx $481M, 2025 CapEx $1.97B, adjusted operating cash flow $884M, adjusted free cash flow $403M and FCF/sh $1.94 (up 18% YoY); quarterly base dividend was raised to $0.16/sh (7% increase) and cash taxes are not expected to be material until 2028 or beyond.

Permian Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong post-2020 profitability recovery and robust operating cash flow (often exceeding net income), alongside meaningful balance-sheet improvement and debt reduction. Offsets include volatile free cash flow in a capital-intensive business and an inconsistency in the latest annual revenue/margin data that reduces confidence in the most recent trend signals.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.07B5.00B3.12B2.13B1.03B
Gross Profit1.66B2.36B1.65B1.42B548.46M
EBITDA3.70B3.62B2.20B1.41B489.15M
Net Income935.17M984.70M476.31M515.04M138.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.24B16.90B14.97B8.49B3.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments153.69M479.34M73.29M59.55M9.38M
Total Debt3.70B4.31B3.91B2.21B842.98M
Total Liabilities6.70B6.38B5.74B2.84B1.05B
Stockholders Equity10.28B9.14B6.34B2.94B2.75B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow557.39M291.33M419.83M587.67M198.57M
Operating Cash Flow3.61B3.41B2.21B1.37B525.62M
Investing Cash Flow-2.87B-3.10B-1.58B-1.21B-226.48M
Financing Cash Flow-1.06B97.71M-631.19M-106.63M-297.55M

Permian Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.56
Price Trends
50DMA
18.50
Positive
100DMA
16.26
Positive
200DMA
14.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.80
Positive
RSI
56.79
Neutral
STOCH
55.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.39, above the 50-day MA of 18.50, and above the 200-day MA of 14.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PR.

Permian Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
10.749.56%4.27%7.55%-34.40%
74
Outperform
$16.09B8.1211.86%3.16%-8.07%-87.88%
74
Outperform
$12.08B16.828.63%17.05%1028.81%
72
Outperform
$13.69B6.1224.51%3.80%4.88%-41.34%
72
Outperform
$10.20B12.7515.87%1.00%23.88%20.55%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
$5.45B17.0416.88%35.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PR
Permian Resources
20.56
9.15
80.24%
APA
APA
38.75
22.86
143.89%
CRK
Comstock Resources
18.55
-0.63
-3.28%
OVV
Ovintiv
56.78
21.79
62.27%
RRC
Range Resources
43.33
9.10
26.59%
AR
Antero Resources
39.17
4.28
12.27%

Permian Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Permian Resources Posts Strong 2025 Results, Lifts Dividend
Positive
Feb 25, 2026
Permian Resources, a Delaware Basin-focused oil and gas producer, reported strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighted by average production of 401,500 Boe/d in the quarter and 392,600 Boe/d for the year, alongside a 14% year-ove...
Executive/Board Changes
Permian Resources announces routine board transition and retirement
Neutral
Jan 21, 2026
On January 16, 2026, Permian Resources Corporation announced that board member Robert J. Anderson will retire from the company’s Board of Directors, effective January 21, 2026, after serving as a director since November 2023. The company sta...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 31, 2026