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Permian Resources (PR)
NYSE:PR

Permian Resources (PR) AI Stock Analysis

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PR

Permian Resources

(NYSE:PR)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(13.48% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (exceptional cash flow generation and very low leverage) and a constructive earnings-call backdrop (record free cash flow, production/cost execution, and debt reduction). Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and ~4.3% yield. Technicals are the main offset, showing neutral-to-soft near-term momentum despite longer-term moving-average support.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and debt reduction, supporting long-term growth.
Debt Reduction
Debt reduction and improved credit ratings strengthen the balance sheet, reducing financial risk and interest expenses, enhancing long-term stability.
Corporate Reorganization
Reorganization simplifies the share structure, aligning management's interests with shareholders, potentially improving governance and decision-making.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Decline
Declining gross margins suggest rising costs or pricing pressures, which could impact profitability if not managed effectively.
Delayed Guidance
Delayed guidance creates uncertainty about future plans, potentially impacting investor confidence and strategic planning.
Commodity Price Sensitivity
Exposure to volatile commodity prices can affect revenue stability and capital allocation, posing risks to financial performance.

Permian Resources (PR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Permian Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPermian Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the development of crude oil and related liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the United States. Its assets primarily focus on the Delaware Basin, a sub-basin of the Permian Basin. The company's properties consist of acreage blocks primarily in Reeves County, West Texas and Lea County, New Mexico. As of December 31, 2021, it leased or acquired approximately 73,675 net acres; and owned 991 net mineral acres in the Delaware Basin. The company was formerly known as Centennial Resource Development, Inc. and changed its name to Permian Resources Corporation in September 2022. Permian Resources Corporation was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyPermian Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas produced from its exploration and production activities. The company earns money by selling these commodities at market prices, which can fluctuate based on global supply and demand dynamics. Key revenue streams include direct sales to refineries, gas processing plants, and other energy companies. Additionally, Permian Resources may engage in hedging strategies to stabilize revenue against price volatility. Strategic partnerships with logistics and transportation companies also enhance its operational efficiency, enabling timely delivery of products to market and optimizing profit margins.

Permian Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, with significant achievements in free cash flow, production outperformance, cost reductions, and successful acquisition strategies. However, there were some uncertainties about future guidance and potential impacts of lower commodity prices.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Free Cash Flow
Highest quarterly free cash flow per share since inception, despite a suppressed commodity environment, with adjusted operating cash flow of $949 million and record adjusted free cash flow of $469 million.
Production Outperformance
Oil production exceeded expectations with 187,000 barrels per day, up 6% from Q2, and total production of 410,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
Cost Reductions
Reduced controllable cash costs by 6% quarter-over-quarter, with LOE reduced to $5.07 per Boe and D&C costs averaging $7.25 per foot.
Debt Reduction and Credit Upgrade
Reduced outstanding debt by over $450 million and received a positive credit outlook upgrade from Moody's, along with an investment-grade credit rating from Fitch.
Successful Acquisition Strategy
Closed 250 deals primarily in New Mexico, adding 5,500 net leasehold acres and 2,400 net royalty acres for approximately $180 million.
Gas Marketing Agreements
Agreements to sell approximately 330 million cubic feet per day out of the basin in 2026, increasing to 700 million cubic feet per day in 2028, expected to realize $1 per Mcf higher pricing.
Negative Updates
Delayed 2026 Guidance
Decision to wait until February to provide 2026 guidance, leaving investors uncertain about future production and CapEx plans.
Potential for Lower Commodity Prices
Acknowledgment of potential for oil prices to fall to $40, impacting dividend sustainability and capital allocation strategies.
Company Guidance
During the Permian Resources third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported its highest quarterly free cash flow per share since inception, driven by strong operational performance, including oil production of 187,000 barrels per day, a 6% increase from the previous quarter, and total production of 410,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. The company achieved a 6% reduction in controllable cash costs, lowering LOE to $5.07 per Boe and D&C costs by 3% to $7.25 per foot. Adjusted operating cash flow reached $949 million, with a record adjusted free cash flow of $469 million and cash CapEx of $480 million. The company reduced outstanding debt by over $450 million, supported by improved credit ratings, and increased its full-year production guidance to 181,500 barrels of oil per day while maintaining CapEx guidance. Permian Resources also emphasized its strategic flexibility in capital allocation and successful acquisition strategy, completing 250 deals in Q3 and adding significant leasehold and royalty acreage. The company plans to continue leveraging its technical expertise and cost structure to drive long-term value and expects 2026 to be a capital-efficient year with improved gas marketing agreements enhancing netbacks.

Permian Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Permian Resources shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.09% and consistent profitability, evidenced by a solid net profit margin of 15.65% and an impressive EBITDA margin of 68.68%. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, indicating potential cost pressures. The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.014, reflecting strong financial stability. Robust cash flow performance with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 970.95% TTM enhances financial flexibility.
Income Statement
Permian Resources shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.09% and consistent profitability, evidenced by a solid net profit margin of 15.65% and an impressive EBITDA margin of 68.68%. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.014, reflecting strong financial stability. Return on equity is moderate at 8.55%, suggesting efficient use of equity. However, the equity ratio is not provided, limiting a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
Permian Resources demonstrates robust cash flow performance with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 970.95% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.61 indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings, enhancing financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.19B5.00B3.12B2.13B1.03B580.46M
Gross Profit2.14B2.36B1.65B1.42B548.46M41.31M
EBITDA3.57B3.62B2.20B1.41B489.15M-342.58M
Net Income812.32M984.70M476.31M515.04M138.18M-682.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.33B16.90B14.97B8.49B3.80B3.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments111.81M479.34M73.29M59.55M9.38M5.80M
Total Debt3.71B4.31B3.91B2.21B842.98M1.07B
Total Liabilities6.05B6.38B5.74B2.84B1.05B1.22B
Stockholders Equity10.03B9.14B6.34B2.94B2.75B2.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.03B291.33M419.83M587.67M198.57M-156.64M
Operating Cash Flow3.57B3.41B2.21B1.37B525.62M171.38M
Investing Cash Flow-2.69B-3.10B-1.58B-1.21B-226.48M-326.32M
Financing Cash Flow-1.05B97.71M-631.19M-106.63M-297.55M147.74M

Permian Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.10
Price Trends
50DMA
13.72
Positive
100DMA
13.38
Positive
200DMA
13.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
52.23
Neutral
STOCH
28.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.06, above the 50-day MA of 13.72, and above the 200-day MA of 13.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PR.

Permian Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$11.70B12.828.58%4.27%7.55%-34.40%
73
Outperform
$9.00B6.0627.24%3.80%4.88%-41.34%
71
Outperform
$8.03B14.0514.18%1.00%23.88%20.55%
67
Neutral
$9.93B18.437.65%17.05%1028.81%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
60
Neutral
$9.80B42.372.26%3.16%-8.07%-87.88%
59
Neutral
$6.30B96.542.86%35.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PR
Permian Resources
14.10
-0.64
-4.32%
APA
APA
25.37
2.21
9.54%
CRK
Comstock Resources
21.51
1.52
7.60%
OVV
Ovintiv
38.68
-4.61
-10.65%
RRC
Range Resources
33.90
-4.22
-11.07%
AR
Antero Resources
32.18
-6.12
-15.98%

Permian Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Permian Resources Announces Corporate Reorganization and Share Shift
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Permian Resources announced a corporate reorganization under which management team members and other long-term holders exchanged their Class C shares for Class A shares, while the company reorganized under a new public holding company that will retain the Permian Resources Corporation name and NYSE ticker. The move, unanimously approved by the board and audit committee, keeps the overall share count and proportionate economic and voting interests of existing equity holders unchanged, but shifts the mix from 744.9 million to 793.8 million Class A shares and from 84.4 million down to 35.5 million Class C shares, with an additional 48.9 million new Class A shares issued privately to contributing members under exemptions from SEC registration. The transaction is designed to better align management with public shareholders—given management’s more than 6% ownership stake and equity-heavy pay structures—advance the simplification of the company’s Up-C structure toward a single share class by an anticipated 2027 timeline, and reduce administrative complexity and costs without altering public investors’ trading dynamics or overall ownership in the business.

The most recent analyst rating on (PR) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Permian Resources stock, see the PR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Permian Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Permian Resources announced strong financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant increases in production and reductions in costs. The company reported a total average production of 410.2 MBoe/d and reduced drilling and completion costs by 11% compared to 2024. It also strengthened its balance sheet by reducing debt and increasing liquidity, while enhancing its acquisition strategy with the addition of 5,500 net acres. The company raised its full-year production guidance and improved its natural gas marketing portfolio, positioning itself for better pricing and increased cash flow.

The most recent analyst rating on (PR) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Permian Resources stock, see the PR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Permian Resources Amends Credit Agreement in October 2025
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

Permian Resources Corporation announced a significant amendment to its credit agreement on October 24, 2025. This move is likely to impact the company’s financial operations and could influence its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PR) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Permian Resources stock, see the PR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025