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Permian Resources (PR)
NYSE:PR
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Permian Resources (PR) AI Stock Analysis

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PR

Permian Resources

(NYSE:PR)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(11.61% Upside)
Permian Resources demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the primary drivers of the overall score. The company's valuation is attractive, with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Technical analysis indicates some bearish trends, but the stock's fundamentals and strategic initiatives provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Reported adjusted EBITDA of $1.045B surpassed expectations, marking one of the larger earnings beats this quarter.
Financial Performance
The company generated a record $460 million in free cash flow, enabling debt reduction and cash balance growth.
Share Buybacks
Permian Resources successfully made money on buybacks, purchasing shares at a favorable price when many other companies did not.
Negative Factors
Commodity Prices
Lower commodity price realizations and higher operating expenses are assumed.
Operating Expenses
Higher operating expenses are assumed, impacting overall cost structure.

Permian Resources (PR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Permian Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPermian Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the development of crude oil and related liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the United States. Its assets primarily focus on the Delaware Basin, a sub-basin of the Permian Basin. The company's properties consist of acreage blocks primarily in Reeves County, West Texas and Lea County, New Mexico. As of December 31, 2021, it leased or acquired approximately 73,675 net acres; and owned 991 net mineral acres in the Delaware Basin. The company was formerly known as Centennial Resource Development, Inc. and changed its name to Permian Resources Corporation in September 2022. Permian Resources Corporation was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyPermian Resources generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company operates a portfolio of assets in the Permian Basin, which is one of the most prolific oil-producing regions in the country. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of produced hydrocarbons to refiners, marketers, and other customers, as well as potential revenue from midstream services such as transportation and storage. The company may also engage in hedging activities to manage price volatility and secure more stable cash flows. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other operators and service providers in the region can enhance operational efficiencies and reduce costs, further contributing to profitability.

Permian Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.03%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong operational performance with increased production and strategic acquisitions, bolstered by achieving an investment-grade rating. Despite some challenges with tariffs and market volatility, the company's execution on its downturn playbook and strategic marketing agreements highlight a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operational Excellence and Production Increase
Permian Resources delivered its 11th consecutive quarter of solid operational execution, with the fastest well drilled and the lowest completion cost per foot in company history. Production guidance for the full year was raised due to strong well performance, with total production reaching 385,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in Q2.
Strategic Acquisitions and Share Buybacks
Executed a $600 million acquisition of Apache assets at lower than mid-cycle commodity prices, which complements existing assets and offers strong free cash flow. Additionally, $43 million of shares were repurchased at an average price of $10.52 per share.
Investment-Grade Rating Achievement
Permian Resources received its first investment-grade rating from Fitch, enhancing its financial flexibility and outlook for future growth.
Improved Marketing Agreements
Entered into new transportation and marketing agreements to optimize pricing, expected to improve gas netbacks by $0.10 per Mcf and crude netbacks by $0.50 per barrel, resulting in a $50 million uplift to 2026 free cash flow.
Capital Efficiency and Lower CapEx
Announced a decrease in the capital budget by 2% while increasing production guidance by 3% for the full year 2025.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impact on Casing Costs
Increased tariffs on steel have caused a rise in casing costs, presenting a challenge to maintaining low well costs.
Volatile Market Conditions
The second quarter was marked by significant market volatility, which necessitated the activation of the downturn playbook.
Limited Well Cost Reduction
Despite operational efficiencies, the well costs on a per foot basis remained flattish compared to Q1 due to shorter lateral lengths and tariff impacts.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Permian Resources showcased strong operational execution, achieving its 11th consecutive quarter of robust performance. Key metrics included a record-setting well-drilling pace, the lowest completion cost per foot in company history, and a significant production output of 176.5 barrels of oil per day. The acquisition of Apache assets contributed approximately 900 barrels of oil per day, aligning with prior guidance and boosting total production to 385,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Financially, the company generated an adjusted operating cash flow of $817 million, with adjusted free cash flow standing at $312 million and cash CapEx at $505 million. Permian Resources also executed a $43 million share buyback and closed on a $600 million acquisition, maintaining a strong balance sheet with leverage around 1x and liquidity of approximately $3 billion. The company has increased its full-year production guidance by 3% while reducing its capital budget by 2%, reflecting operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions.

Permian Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Permian Resources exhibits strong financial health across its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. The company has shown impressive growth in revenue and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet and robust cash flow generation. While leverage is manageable, attention should be given to maintaining a balanced capital structure.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Permian Resources has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with total revenue increasing significantly over the past few years. The gross profit margin and net profit margin have both shown positive trends, indicating efficient cost management and strong profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting robust operational performance. Overall, the income statement highlights a strong growth trajectory and profitability for the company.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy financial position with a strong equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, indicating manageable leverage levels. The equity ratio is solid, reflecting a strong capital structure. Return on equity is impressive, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. However, the company should remain cautious about increasing debt levels to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reveals strong operating cash flow generation, supporting the company's financial health. Free cash flow growth has been robust, underscoring effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The company is well-positioned to fund its capital investments and manage financial obligations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.89B5.00B3.12B2.13B1.03B580.46M
Gross Profit1.79B2.36B1.65B1.42B548.46M41.31M
EBITDA3.58B3.63B2.22B1.41B489.15M-335.96M
Net Income1.14B984.70M476.31M749.84M138.18M-685.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.49B16.90B14.97B8.49B3.80B3.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments451.00M479.34M73.29M59.55M9.38M5.80M
Total Debt4.15B4.31B3.91B2.21B842.98M1.07B
Total Liabilities6.59B6.38B5.74B2.84B1.05B1.22B
Stockholders Equity9.46B9.14B6.34B2.94B2.75B2.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow283.24M291.33M419.83M587.67M198.57M-156.64M
Operating Cash Flow3.76B3.41B2.21B1.37B525.62M171.38M
Investing Cash Flow-3.29B-3.10B-1.58B-1.21B-226.48M-326.32M
Financing Cash Flow-65.72M97.71M-631.19M-106.63M-297.55M147.74M

Permian Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.44
Price Trends
50DMA
13.85
Negative
100DMA
13.13
Positive
200DMA
13.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
46.55
Neutral
STOCH
50.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.64, below the 50-day MA of 13.85, and below the 200-day MA of 13.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PR.

Permian Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (45)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$10.86B8.8212.86%4.91%16.37%21.22%
75
Outperform
$10.24B17.635.75%3.05%-12.92%-68.16%
72
Outperform
$8.16B17.2411.99%0.99%19.95%0.94%
71
Outperform
$7.33B6.8819.09%4.88%12.13%-67.53%
67
Neutral
$9.99B22.536.31%11.65%415.90%
45
Neutral
AU$1.35B-9.97-2.14%8.50%2.33%-32.99%
42
Neutral
$4.67B-3.18%0.66%17.60%-385.47%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PR
Permian Resources
13.44
-0.74
-5.22%
APA
APA
20.48
-7.40
-26.54%
CRK
Comstock Resources
15.94
4.96
45.17%
OVV
Ovintiv
39.40
-2.92
-6.90%
RRC
Range Resources
34.38
3.44
11.12%
AR
Antero Resources
32.00
3.22
11.19%

Permian Resources Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Permian Resources Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Permian Resources announced strong financial and operational results for the second quarter of 2025, with a reported total average production of 385.1 MBoe/d. The company increased its full-year production guidance and maintained a strong financial position, closing a bolt-on acquisition in New Mexico and achieving an investment-grade credit rating from Fitch. The company also executed a share repurchase program and entered into new transportation and marketing agreements to enhance netbacks, positioning itself well for future growth and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (PR) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Permian Resources stock, see the PR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Permian Resources Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Permian Resources Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several key proposals were voted on. Shareholders elected eleven directors to the board, approved the compensation of named executive officers through a non-binding advisory vote, and ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are expected to influence the company’s governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (PR) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Permian Resources stock, see the PR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025