tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Permian Resources (PR)
NYSE:PR
Advertisement

Permian Resources (PR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,700 Followers

Top Page

PR

Permian Resources

(NYSE:PR)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(18.88% Upside)
Permian Resources scores well due to strong operational execution and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. The stock's attractive valuation and positive technical indicators further support its potential. However, challenges in revenue growth and free cash flow conversion slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
Permian Resources has completed at least four accretive acquisitions since the merger, replacing more than 100% of drilled inventory with high-return assets.
Financial Performance
Permian Resources generated a record $460 million in free cash flow, enabling debt reduction and cash balance growth.
Operational Efficiency
Permian Resources has among the lowest breakeven and highest free cash flow per barrel.
Negative Factors
Commodity Prices
Lower commodity price realizations and higher operating expenses are assumed.
Market Conditions
Management acknowledged uncertainty around the oil commodity price due to potential incremental OPEC+ supply additions and unclear demand outlook.
Valuation Concerns
Permian Resources shares trade at a notable premium multiple versus similarly sized peers due to its stature as a smidcap exploration and production leader with industry-high margins.

Permian Resources (PR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Permian Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPermian Resources (PR) is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused primarily on the Permian Basin in the United States. The company operates in the energy sector, specializing in the extraction and production of hydrocarbons, leveraging advanced technologies and operational efficiencies to optimize resource recovery. Permian Resources is committed to responsible energy development and aims to meet the growing global energy demands while maintaining environmental stewardship.
How the Company Makes MoneyPermian Resources generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company operates a portfolio of assets in the Permian Basin, which is one of the most prolific oil-producing regions in the country. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of produced hydrocarbons to refiners, marketers, and other customers, as well as potential revenue from midstream services such as transportation and storage. The company may also engage in hedging activities to manage price volatility and secure more stable cash flows. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other operators and service providers in the region can enhance operational efficiencies and reduce costs, further contributing to profitability.

Permian Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in operational execution, strategic acquisitions, improved marketing strategies, and financial strength. Despite minor concerns over increased casing costs due to tariffs, the company's strong performance, liquidity position, and investment-grade rating suggest a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Operational Execution
Achieved the fastest well drilled, most drilled feet per day, and lowest completion cost per foot in the company's history, resulting in raised full-year production guidance with lowered CapEx.
Strategic Acquisition and Share Buyback
Executed a $600 million Apache acquisition at favorable commodity prices and repurchased $43 million of shares at an average price of $10.52, showcasing effective use of downturn playbook.
Positive Free Cash Flow and Liquidity
Generated $817 million in adjusted operating cash flow and $312 million in adjusted free cash flow, maintaining leverage at approximately 1x and liquidity of approximately $3 billion.
First Investment-Grade Rating
Received first investment-grade rating from Fitch, highlighting strong credit metrics and financial strategy.
Improved Marketing Strategy
Entered into new transportation and marketing agreements, expected to improve gas netbacks by over $0.10 per Mcf and crude netbacks by over $0.50 per barrel, contributing to an expected $50 million uplift in 2026 free cash flow.
Increased Production Guidance
Increased full-year 2025 production guidance by 3% while lowering the capital budget by 2%.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Casing costs are up due to tariffs, partially offsetting cost savings and efficiencies.
Company Guidance
During the Permian Resources second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company outlined several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The operations team achieved their 11th consecutive quarter of strong execution, with a record in fastest well drilled, most drilled feet per day, and lowest completion cost per foot in company history. This led to an increase in full-year production guidance while reducing CapEx from February's initial projection. The quarter featured a $600 million acquisition of Apache assets and $43 million in share repurchases, maintaining a leverage of approximately 1x and $3 billion in liquidity. Production exceeded expectations, with total production at 385,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, including 176.5 barrels of oil per day from the Apache acquisition. The company's adjusted operating cash flow was $817 million, with adjusted free cash flow at $312 million and $505 million in cash CapEx. Permian Resources also highlighted their marketing strategy evolution, with new agreements improving gas netbacks by over $0.10 per Mcf and crude netbacks by over $0.50 per barrel, resulting in a projected $50 million uplift to 2026 free cash flow. Additionally, the company increased its 2025 production guidance by 3% while lowering the capital budget by 2%.

Permian Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Permian Resources demonstrates solid profitability with high EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, challenges include negative revenue growth and declining free cash flow, indicating potential issues in sales and cash conversion.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Permian Resources shows strong profitability with a high EBIT margin of 38.77% and a robust EBITDA margin of 76.51% in the TTM. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -0.94%, indicating a decline in sales compared to the previous period. The gross profit margin has decreased from 47.10% in 2024 to 42.03% in the TTM, which may suggest increasing cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is healthy at 12.33%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio stands at 54.05%, suggesting a moderate level of financial stability with room for improvement in asset management.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a coverage ratio of 2.06, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -54.56%, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 7.53%, highlighting potential challenges in converting profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.09B5.00B3.12B2.13B1.03B580.46M
Gross Profit2.24B2.36B1.65B1.42B548.46M41.31M
EBITDA3.89B3.62B2.20B1.41B489.15M-342.58M
Net Income1.14B984.70M476.31M515.04M138.18M-682.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.49B16.90B14.97B8.49B3.80B3.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments451.00M479.34M73.29M59.55M9.38M5.80M
Total Debt4.15B4.31B3.91B2.21B842.98M1.07B
Total Liabilities6.59B6.38B5.74B2.84B1.05B1.22B
Stockholders Equity9.46B9.14B6.34B2.94B2.75B2.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow283.24M291.33M419.83M587.67M198.57M-156.64M
Operating Cash Flow3.76B3.41B2.21B1.37B525.62M171.38M
Investing Cash Flow-3.29B-3.10B-1.58B-1.21B-226.48M-326.32M
Financing Cash Flow-65.72M97.71M-631.19M-106.63M-297.55M147.74M

Permian Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.88
Price Trends
50DMA
13.77
Positive
100DMA
13.33
Positive
200DMA
13.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Negative
RSI
50.57
Neutral
STOCH
55.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.71, above the 50-day MA of 13.77, and above the 200-day MA of 13.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PR.

Permian Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$11.49B8.9912.86%4.76%16.37%21.22%
78
Outperform
$8.39B7.6119.09%4.40%12.13%-67.53%
72
Outperform
$8.32B17.2911.99%0.97%19.95%0.94%
70
Outperform
$10.95B18.855.75%2.92%-12.92%-68.16%
67
Neutral
$10.03B22.736.31%11.65%415.90%
65
Neutral
$15.28B7.483.19%5.33%4.10%-60.58%
44
Neutral
$4.69B-3.18%0.66%17.60%-385.47%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PR
Permian Resources
13.88
1.15
9.03%
APA
APA
22.75
-0.95
-4.01%
CRK
Comstock Resources
15.90
6.63
71.52%
OVV
Ovintiv
41.09
2.00
5.12%
RRC
Range Resources
34.70
7.07
25.59%
AR
Antero Resources
32.62
7.45
29.60%

Permian Resources Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Permian Resources Registers Shares for Exchangeable Notes
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On March 19, 2021, Permian Resources Operating, LLC issued 3.25% exchangeable senior notes due 2028, which can be exchanged for shares of the company’s Class A Common Stock. These shares have been registered with the SEC, with relevant documentation filed in 2024 and 2025, indicating a strategic financial move to potentially enhance liquidity and shareholder value.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Permian Resources Announces Redemption of Senior Notes
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Permian Resources Operating, LLC, a subsidiary of Permian Resources Corporation, announced the redemption of its 3.25% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2028. The redemption process allows noteholders to exchange their notes for shares of the company’s common stock at an increased exchange rate until September 10, 2025, before the notes are repurchased for cash on September 12, 2025. This move is part of the company’s financial strategy to manage its debt obligations and could impact stakeholders by altering the company’s capital structure and potentially affecting stock value.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Permian Resources Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Permian Resources announced strong financial and operational results for the second quarter of 2025, with a reported total average production of 385.1 MBoe/d. The company increased its full-year production guidance and maintained a strong financial position, closing a bolt-on acquisition in New Mexico and achieving an investment-grade credit rating from Fitch. The company also executed a share repurchase program and entered into new transportation and marketing agreements to enhance netbacks, positioning itself well for future growth and shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025