Strong Free Cash Flow and Capital Returns
Adjusted free cash flow for Q4 2025 was $175,000,000, substantially exceeding expectations; approximately 50% of that amount was returned to shareholders (base dividend $0.30 per share and the remainder via share repurchases). Since 2021 the company has returned $6.7 billion to shareholders (noted as higher than current market cap).
2026 Guidance: Healthy FCF at Moderate Activity
2026 plan targets average oil volumes of 157,000–161,000 barrels per day with capital of $1,400,000,000. At benchmark prices of $64/bbl oil and $3.75/MMBtu gas, Chord expects approximately $700,000,000 of free cash flow for 2026.
Operational Efficiency and Inventory Improvements
Achieved the 2025 goal of converting 80% of inventory to long laterals (four-mile) by year-end ahead of schedule. The company lowered the weighted-average breakeven of its inventory by more than 10% and reported program-level capital efficiency improvements versus prior years.
Material Run-Rate FCF Improvements
Chord drove $160,000,000 of free cash flow improvement in 2025 from controllable items (less capital, lower LOE, lower production taxes, lower G&A, improved marketing). Management says the $160,000,000 represents ~23% of estimated 2026 free cash flow and is largely run-rate.
Capital Discipline Since Enerplus Combination
Since combining with Enerplus in 2024, capital spending has been lowered nearly $100,000,000 while delivering ~6,000 barrels per day more oil production. In 2025 overall capital came in approximately $60,000,000 lower than expectations.
Lower F&D and Per-Foot Costs
Company-level future F&D costs have trended ~22% lower over the past few years; per-foot drilling and completion costs have decreased due to longer laterals and improved execution, improving capital efficiency (volume delivered relative to capital spent is more efficient for 2026 vs. 2025).
Marketing / Midstream Savings Opportunity
Management highlighted $30,000,000–$50,000,000 of annual run-rate savings potential from marketing/midstream contract renegotiations and optimization (oil, gas and water) as legacy contracts come up for renewal in a more competitive cost environment.
Execution Resilience and Weather Recovery
Despite severe weather (Winter Storm Fern) activity and production impacts were limited; management reported quick recovery and that first-quarter 2026 program remains in line with previous expectations. The company is running five rigs (mix of 3- and 4-mile wells) and one full-time frac crew, with ~80% of TILs expected to be longer laterals.
Technology Trials and Production Optimization
Chord has pumped 19 chemical/surfactant treatments to date for production improvements and is studying results; management indicated potential to apply successful treatments across a large base (nearly 5,000 PDP wells).