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CNX Resources (CNX)
NYSE:CNX

CNX Resources (CNX) AI Stock Analysis

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CNX

CNX Resources

(NYSE:CNX)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$42.00
▲(13.30% Upside)
CNX Resources' overall score is driven by strong technical indicators and operational efficiencies highlighted in the earnings call. However, concerns about cash flow management and valuation weigh on the score. The stock's bullish momentum is tempered by overbought signals, and regulatory uncertainties present risks.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
The reduction in drilling costs reflects CNX's commitment to operational efficiency, which can improve margins and competitive positioning over time.
Debt Optimization
Optimizing debt structure through convertible notes exchange enhances CNX's financial flexibility and reduces interest burden, supporting long-term stability.
Leadership Transition
The appointment of a new CFO and CEO indicates a strategic leadership transition, potentially bringing fresh perspectives and strategies to drive future growth.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow challenges could limit CNX's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage debt, impacting long-term financial health.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Regulatory uncertainties can affect CNX's strategic planning and financial projections, posing risks to operational and financial performance.
Infrastructure Needs
Ongoing infrastructure investment needs could strain CNX's capital resources and delay project timelines, affecting long-term growth prospects.

CNX Resources (CNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CNX Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCNX Resources Corporation, an independent natural gas and midstream company, acquires, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas properties in the Appalachian Basin. The company operates in two segments, Shale and Coalbed Methane. It produces and sells pipeline quality natural gas primarily for gas wholesalers. The company owns rights to extract natural gas in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ohio from approximately 526,000 net Marcellus Shale acres; and approximately 610,000 net acres of Utica Shale, as well as rights to extract natural gas from other shale and shallow oil and gas positions from approximately 1,006,000 net acres in Illinois, Indiana, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia. It also owns rights to extract coalbed methane (CBM) in Virginia from approximately 282,000 net CBM acres in Central Appalachia, as well as 1,733,000 net CBM acres in West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Indiana, and New Mexico. In addition, the company designs, builds, and operates natural gas gathering systems to move gas from the wellhead to interstate pipelines or other local sales points; owns and operates approximately 2,600 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines, as well as various natural gas processing facilities. It also offers turn-key solutions for water sourcing, delivery, and disposal for its natural gas operations and for third parties. The company was formerly known as CONSOL Energy Inc. and changed its name to CNX Resources Corporation in November 2017. CNX Resources Corporation was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyCNX Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas and natural gas liquids produced from its extensive reserves in the Appalachian Basin. The company employs a revenue model that includes both spot market sales and long-term contracts with utilities, industrial customers, and other energy companies. Key revenue streams include the sale of produced natural gas, which is influenced by market prices and demand, as well as the monetization of its assets through joint ventures and partnerships. Additionally, CNX may benefit from hedging strategies that protect against price volatility. The company’s strategic alliances and collaborations with other energy firms further enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, contributing significantly to its earnings.

CNX Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational efficiencies and strategic acquisitions that enhance CNX's asset base and production capabilities. However, the call also revealed substantial challenges, including regulatory uncertainties, infrastructure investment needs, and a conservative production outlook. These factors contribute to a balanced sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Buyback Activity
The company executed a sizable stock buyback during the third quarter, marking the highest level since Q4 2022, driven by significant free cash flow generation.
Utica Acquisition Completion
CNX acquired the remaining unleased Utica rights for Apex's footprint, aligning with their infrastructure leverage strategy.
Drilling Efficiency Improvements
Drilling costs for Utica wells have decreased by nearly 20%, from $2,200 per foot to $1,750 per foot, showcasing enhanced operational efficiency.
Well Outperformance
The company observed outperformance in the Apex assets, leading to strong production results.
Negative Updates
Flat Production Outlook
The company plans to maintain a 'maintenance mode' production strategy, with no significant increase in production expected for 2026.
Infrastructure Investment Required
Despite progress, additional infrastructure will be required for the Central PA Utica development, reflecting ongoing capital needs.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Awaiting final rule-making on 45Z, which impacts future financial planning and projections.
Pipeline Infrastructure Needs
Highlighted a critical need for additional pipeline infrastructure to facilitate broader distribution of natural gas.
Company Guidance
During CNX Resources' Third Quarter 2025 Q&A Conference Call, key guidance metrics were discussed, including a significant focus on free cash flow generation, which supported a substantial increase in stock buybacks, marking the highest since Q4 2022. The company maintained a free cash flow guidance of $575 million pre-asset sale, despite fluctuations in adjusted EBITDAX and CapEx. Attention was also given to the Utica acquisition, where CNX acquired additional Utica rights, facilitating future development plans. The firm highlighted ongoing efforts to reduce well costs, achieving a reduction from $2,200 to $1,750 per foot in Utica drilling costs. CNX reiterated their maintenance mode strategy for production in 2026 and anticipated the final rule-making on 45Z tax credits, aiming for a $30 million per year run rate.

CNX Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CNX Resources shows strong revenue growth and profitability, with a stable balance sheet. However, cash flow management is a concern due to recent negative free cash flow growth, which needs improvement to support growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
CNX Resources shows a strong revenue growth rate of 13.04% in the TTM period, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin of 42.43% and net profit margin of 13.56% reflect solid profitability. However, the company has experienced fluctuations in net income in previous years, which could pose a risk.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.68 indicates moderate leverage, which is manageable. The return on equity (ROE) of 7.27% in the TTM period shows a reasonable return for shareholders, although it has been volatile in previous years. The equity ratio of 46.22% suggests a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.25 in the TTM period is relatively low, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The negative free cash flow growth rate of -132.90% is concerning, highlighting cash flow management issues. However, the company has shown positive free cash flow in prior periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.06B1.35B1.46B3.92B2.38B1.09B
Gross Profit1.34B806.18M913.53M3.26B1.87B634.50M
EBITDA1.06B489.50M2.67B399.37M31.26M597.64M
Net Income292.29M-90.49M1.72B-142.08M-498.64M-483.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.90B8.51B8.63B8.52B8.10B8.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.74M17.20M443.00K21.32M3.56M15.62M
Total Debt2.80B2.29B2.37B2.39B2.27B2.54B
Total Liabilities4.79B4.41B4.27B5.57B4.40B3.62B
Stockholders Equity4.12B4.10B4.36B2.95B3.70B4.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow574.64M275.45M135.18M669.26M460.50M307.78M
Operating Cash Flow1.00B815.78M814.59M1.24B926.36M795.07M
Investing Cash Flow-806.49M-484.47M-509.38M-528.29M-420.61M-438.97M
Financing Cash Flow-178.19M-276.68M-326.09M-688.96M-523.78M-350.79M

CNX Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price37.07
Price Trends
50DMA
35.89
Positive
100DMA
33.00
Positive
200DMA
32.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Positive
RSI
44.89
Neutral
STOCH
12.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 37.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.89, above the 50-day MA of 35.89, and above the 200-day MA of 32.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CNX.

CNX Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.33B6.5137.10%50.79%32.97%
76
Outperform
$5.33B36.292.02%5.77%8.43%-86.63%
71
Outperform
$3.81B10.5811.06%3.55%33.85%-34.08%
70
Outperform
$5.17B25.896.98%43.30%-43.07%
68
Neutral
$4.60B32.882.76%4.19%-13.92%-68.34%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$4.16B12.2717.51%2.72%0.68%-11.13%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNX
CNX Resources
37.07
1.73
4.90%
MUR
Murphy Oil
31.04
4.01
14.84%
MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas
21.67
-0.86
-3.82%
VIST
Vista Oil & Gas SAB de CV
46.32
-7.60
-14.09%
CRC
California Resources Corp
44.13
-5.10
-10.36%
CHRD
Chord Energy
90.19
-14.48
-13.83%

CNX Resources Corporate Events

CNX Resources Balances Growth and Challenges in Q3 Earnings Call
Nov 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for CNX Resources painted a picture of balanced sentiment, highlighting both strong operational efficiencies and strategic acquisitions, while also acknowledging significant challenges. The company showcased its ability to enhance its asset base and production capabilities, yet faced hurdles such as regulatory uncertainties and infrastructure investment needs. This duality contributed to a balanced outlook for the company.

CNX Resources Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and Outlook
Oct 31, 2025

CNX Resources is a natural gas company operating in the energy sector, known for its focus on the exploration and production of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil. The company is primarily engaged in the development of shale gas resources in the Appalachian Basin.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 28, 2025