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California Resources Corp (CRC)
NYSE:CRC

California Resources Corp (CRC) AI Stock Analysis

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CRC

California Resources Corp

(NYSE:CRC)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$58.00
▲(8.41% Upside)
California Resources Corp's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation metrics. The company's strategic initiatives, such as the merger with Berry Corporation and advancements in carbon capture, enhance its growth prospects. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and recent revenue declines pose a risk to future growth. The company's ability to navigate regulatory challenges will be crucial for sustaining its positive trajectory.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained positive free cash flow and strong operating cash conversion indicate the company can fund maintenance capex, service debt, and pursue strategic investments without relying on equity. This cash durability supports long-term financial flexibility and resilience through cycles.
Improved Decline Profile
A materially lower base decline rate reduces required reinvestment to sustain production, improving capital efficiency and long-term production stability. This structural improvement enhances future cash flow durability and lowers capital intensity per barrel produced.
Balance Sheet Strength & Liquidity
Low net leverage combined with >$1.1bn liquidity provides strategic optionality: funds for M&A integration, capital programs like CCS, and downside protection during price shocks. Strong liquidity supports multi‑year execution of growth and decarbonization plans.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue Weakness
Declining revenue trends can erode top-line scale and limit absolute cash flow even with solid margins. Over several quarters this can constrain reinvestment, slow debt reduction or integration benefits from acquisitions, and signal structural demand or production issues.
Permitting & Regulatory Constraints
Persistent permitting limits materially cap the company’s ability to drill and grow production in California. This regulatory friction increases execution risk, raises development lead times and costs, and can structurally compress long‑term reserve and production growth profiles.
Commodity Price Exposure
As an upstream producer, durable revenues depend on volatile oil and gas prices. While hedges mitigate swings, long‑run cash flow and reinvestment capacity remain exposed to commodity cycles, which can limit predictable growth and capital allocation over multiple quarters.

California Resources Corp (CRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

California Resources Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCalifornia Resources Corporation operates as an independent oil and natural gas company. The company explores for, produces, gathers, processes, and markets crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids for marketers, California refineries, and other purchasers that have access to transportation and storage facilities. As of December 31, 2021, it had interests in approximately 1.9 million net mineral acres with proved reserves totaled an estimated 480 million barrels of oil equivalent. The company also engages in the generation and sale of electricity to the local utility and the grid. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Santa Clarita, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCalifornia Resources Corporation generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company sells its products to a range of customers, including refiners, marketers, and utilities, at market prices, which can fluctuate based on global supply and demand dynamics. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Additionally, CRC may benefit from joint ventures and partnerships that allow for shared capital and operational expenses, thereby enhancing its profitability. The company also engages in hedging activities to manage price volatility, which can further stabilize its revenue. Other factors contributing to its earnings include cost management initiatives, technological advancements in extraction methods, and regulatory compliance that can impact operational efficiency and production costs.

California Resources Corp Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

California Resources Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance by CRC, marked by significant improvements in base decline rates, strategic mergers, and advancements in carbon capture projects. However, challenges related to regulatory approvals and permitting constraints are noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
CRC delivered a net production of 137,000 BOE per day and generated adjusted EBITDAX of $338 million with free cash flow before changes in working capital of $231 million.
Improved Base Decline Rate
CRC announced a reduction in their annual base decline assumption to 8% to 13% from 10% to 15%, enhancing cash flow generation and capital intensity.
Strategic Merger with Berry Corporation
CRC announced a merger agreement with Berry Corporation, adding assets adjacent to their current positions and creating meaningful synergies.
Carbon TerraVault Progress
CRC's first CCS project at Elk Hills is advancing, with construction underway and first CO2 injection expected in early 2026.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
CRC's net leverage is at 0.6x, with total liquidity exceeding $1.1 billion, including $196 million of cash and an undrawn revolver.
Positive Regulatory Environment
Recent legislation in California supports oil and gas permitting and extends the Cap-and-Invest program through 2045.
Negative Updates
Pending Regulatory Approvals
CRC's CCS project at Elk Hills is pending regulatory go-ahead, which is crucial for the project's timeline.
Permitting Constraints
CRC has been in a permitting constrained environment since the beginning of 2023, affecting new well bores.
Company Guidance
During the California Resources Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted a series of achievements and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing its operational and financial performance. Key metrics included a net production of 137,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with 78% of that being oil, and the company generated an adjusted EBITDAX of $338 million and free cash flow of $231 million. CRC's capital expenditures for the quarter were $91 million, in line with their plan, and they reported total liquidity of over $1.1 billion at the quarter's end. The company also outlined its preliminary 2026 plan, which assumes an average of four rigs, supported by a strong hedge position with Brent floor prices at $64 per barrel. CRC announced significant steps towards carbon management with the construction of California's first commercial-scale carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) project at Elk Hills, expected to begin CO2 injection in early 2026. Additionally, the company is advancing its power business by forming a new partnership with Capital Power to develop carbon management solutions for the La Paloma power facility, thereby enhancing its capacity to provide decarbonized power in California.

California Resources Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
California Resources Corp demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow management, with stable leverage and effective use of equity. However, recent revenue declines pose a risk to future growth. The company is well-positioned financially but should focus on reversing the negative revenue trend.
Income Statement
75
Positive
California Resources Corp shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 50% and a net profit margin around 16.65% in TTM. However, the revenue growth rate has been negative recently, indicating a decline in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations despite the revenue drop.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, suggesting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is solid at 19.05%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the balance sheet shows a stable financial position.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow growth is positive at 7.59%, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.84, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0 suggests efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.53B2.96B2.81B3.26B2.56B1.61B
Gross Profit1.34B1.20B1.33B1.74B1.25B403.00M
EBITDA1.26B1.08B1.07B1.05B546.00M2.45B
Net Income384.00M376.00M564.00M524.00M612.00M1.88B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.75B7.13B4.00B3.97B3.85B3.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments196.00M372.00M496.00M307.00M305.00M28.00M
Total Debt1.10B1.22B610.00M662.00M637.00M639.00M
Total Liabilities3.31B3.60B1.78B2.10B2.16B1.89B
Stockholders Equity3.44B3.54B2.22B1.86B1.69B1.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow545.00M350.00M460.00M311.00M466.00M59.00M
Operating Cash Flow835.00M605.00M645.00M690.00M660.00M106.00M
Investing Cash Flow-284.00M-1.08B-175.00M-317.00M-161.00M-39.00M
Financing Cash Flow-596.00M348.00M-281.00M-371.00M-222.00M-56.00M

California Resources Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price53.50
Price Trends
50DMA
46.89
Positive
100DMA
48.51
Positive
200DMA
46.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.59
Negative
RSI
73.52
Negative
STOCH
88.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 53.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.11, above the 50-day MA of 46.89, and above the 200-day MA of 46.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.52 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CRC.

California Resources Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.77B8.5037.10%50.79%32.97%
71
Outperform
$4.78B12.4411.06%3.56%33.85%-34.08%
66
Neutral
$5.23B10.5415.01%43.30%-43.07%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$4.81B14.1917.51%2.74%0.68%-11.13%
62
Neutral
$4.30B41.582.01%4.15%-13.92%-68.34%
59
Neutral
$7.14B109.292.86%35.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRC
California Resources Corp
53.50
6.63
14.15%
CRK
Comstock Resources
24.35
5.74
30.84%
CNX
CNX Resources
38.80
11.20
40.58%
MUR
Murphy Oil
30.09
5.55
22.62%
MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas
25.51
2.46
10.67%
VIST
Vista Oil & Gas SAB de CV
60.49
7.69
14.56%

California Resources Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
California Resources completes all-stock merger with Berry
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, California Resources Corporation completed its previously announced all-stock merger with Berry Corporation, making Berry a wholly owned subsidiary and issuing approximately 5.6 million CRC shares, valued at about $253 million based on CRC’s December 17, 2025 closing price, to Berry’s former equity holders at a fixed exchange ratio of 0.0718 CRC share per Berry share. To facilitate the deal, CRC executed an eighth amendment to its credit agreement on December 15, 2025, modestly increasing total elected lender commitments from $1.45 billion to $1.46 billion and adding a new lender, while Berry’s restricted stock units and performance-based awards were either cashed out or converted into CRC equity awards. The transaction expands CRC’s long-lived, low-decline conventional asset base in its core San Joaquin Basin and adds strategic optionality in Utah’s Uinta Basin, with management highlighting expected synergies, enhanced cash flow durability and operating efficiencies, and confirming that the combined company will remain headquartered in Long Beach and led by CRC’s existing executive team, with detailed 2026 guidance to follow alongside year-end 2025 results.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRC) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on California Resources Corp stock, see the CRC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
California Resources Awaits Final Approval for Berry Merger
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

The required waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act of 1976 expired on November 10, 2025, for the pending merger where Berry Corporation will become a wholly-owned subsidiary of California Resources Corporation. The completion of this merger is still subject to customary conditions, including Berry shareholder approval and authorization by the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, which could impact the company’s operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRC) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on California Resources Corp stock, see the CRC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
California Resources Corp Amends Credit Agreement
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 29, 2025, California Resources Corporation announced an amendment to its existing credit agreement, involving Citibank and other financial institutions. The amendment includes the addition of new lenders and an increase in the aggregate commitment amount from $1.15 billion to $1.45 billion, potentially enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and operational capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRC) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on California Resources Corp stock, see the CRC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025