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California Resources Corp (CRC)
NYSE:CRC
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California Resources Corp (CRC) AI Stock Analysis

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CRC

California Resources Corp

(NYSE:CRC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(10.46% Upside)
California Resources Corp's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and favorable valuation, supported by a positive earnings call highlighting strategic initiatives and operational achievements. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and recent revenue declines pose a risk to future growth.
Positive Factors
Carbon Capture Initiatives
The advancement of CRC's carbon capture project represents a strategic move towards sustainability, potentially reducing carbon emissions and aligning with regulatory trends, which could enhance the company's long-term market position and appeal to environmentally conscious investors.
Strong Balance Sheet
CRC's strong balance sheet and liquidity position provide financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather industry volatility, supporting long-term operational stability and strategic initiatives.
Strategic Merger
The merger with Berry Corporation enhances CRC's asset base and operational synergies, potentially leading to cost efficiencies and expanded market reach, strengthening its competitive position in the industry.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Recent revenue declines pose a risk to CRC's future growth, potentially impacting its ability to invest in new projects and maintain competitive positioning, necessitating strategic adjustments to reverse this trend.
Regulatory Approvals Pending
Pending regulatory approvals for the CCS project could delay its implementation, affecting CRC's strategic shift towards sustainability and potentially impacting its long-term growth and market perception.
Permitting Constraints
Permitting constraints limit CRC's ability to expand production capacity, potentially hindering growth and operational efficiency, necessitating strategic navigation of regulatory landscapes to sustain long-term development.

California Resources Corp (CRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

California Resources Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCalifornia Resources Corporation (CRC) is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company based in California. The company primarily focuses on the acquisition, development, and optimization of oil and natural gas reserves in the state, leveraging its extensive knowledge of the region's geology and production techniques. CRC operates in various sectors, including oil and gas production, midstream services, and environmental stewardship, aiming to provide sustainable energy solutions while maximizing resource recovery.
How the Company Makes MoneyCalifornia Resources Corporation generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company sells its products to a range of customers, including refiners, marketers, and utilities, at market prices, which can fluctuate based on global supply and demand dynamics. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Additionally, CRC may benefit from joint ventures and partnerships that allow for shared capital and operational expenses, thereby enhancing its profitability. The company also engages in hedging activities to manage price volatility, which can further stabilize its revenue. Other factors contributing to its earnings include cost management initiatives, technological advancements in extraction methods, and regulatory compliance that can impact operational efficiency and production costs.

California Resources Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance by CRC, marked by significant improvements in base decline rates, strategic mergers, and advancements in carbon capture projects. However, challenges related to regulatory approvals and permitting constraints are noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
CRC delivered a net production of 137,000 BOE per day and generated adjusted EBITDAX of $338 million with free cash flow before changes in working capital of $231 million.
Improved Base Decline Rate
CRC announced a reduction in their annual base decline assumption to 8% to 13% from 10% to 15%, enhancing cash flow generation and capital intensity.
Strategic Merger with Berry Corporation
CRC announced a merger agreement with Berry Corporation, adding assets adjacent to their current positions and creating meaningful synergies.
Carbon TerraVault Progress
CRC's first CCS project at Elk Hills is advancing, with construction underway and first CO2 injection expected in early 2026.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
CRC's net leverage is at 0.6x, with total liquidity exceeding $1.1 billion, including $196 million of cash and an undrawn revolver.
Positive Regulatory Environment
Recent legislation in California supports oil and gas permitting and extends the Cap-and-Invest program through 2045.
Negative Updates
Pending Regulatory Approvals
CRC's CCS project at Elk Hills is pending regulatory go-ahead, which is crucial for the project's timeline.
Permitting Constraints
CRC has been in a permitting constrained environment since the beginning of 2023, affecting new well bores.
Company Guidance
During the California Resources Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted a series of achievements and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing its operational and financial performance. Key metrics included a net production of 137,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with 78% of that being oil, and the company generated an adjusted EBITDAX of $338 million and free cash flow of $231 million. CRC's capital expenditures for the quarter were $91 million, in line with their plan, and they reported total liquidity of over $1.1 billion at the quarter's end. The company also outlined its preliminary 2026 plan, which assumes an average of four rigs, supported by a strong hedge position with Brent floor prices at $64 per barrel. CRC announced significant steps towards carbon management with the construction of California's first commercial-scale carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) project at Elk Hills, expected to begin CO2 injection in early 2026. Additionally, the company is advancing its power business by forming a new partnership with Capital Power to develop carbon management solutions for the La Paloma power facility, thereby enhancing its capacity to provide decarbonized power in California.

California Resources Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
California Resources Corp demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow management, with stable leverage and effective use of equity. However, recent revenue declines pose a risk to future growth. The company is well-positioned financially but should focus on reversing the negative revenue trend.
Income Statement
75
Positive
California Resources Corp shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 50% and a net profit margin around 16.65% in TTM. However, the revenue growth rate has been negative recently, indicating a decline in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations despite the revenue drop.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, suggesting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is solid at 19.05%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the balance sheet shows a stable financial position.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow growth is positive at 7.59%, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.84, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0 suggests efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.52B2.93B2.77B3.23B2.56B1.61B
Gross Profit2.57B2.25B1.40B1.80B1.35B308.00M
EBITDA1.16B991.00M1.03B1.01B496.00M2.45B
Net Income384.00M376.00M564.00M524.00M612.00M3.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.75B7.13B4.00B3.97B3.85B3.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments196.00M372.00M496.00M307.00M305.00M28.00M
Total Debt1.10B1.22B610.00M662.00M637.00M639.00M
Total Liabilities3.31B3.60B1.78B2.10B2.16B1.89B
Stockholders Equity3.44B3.54B2.22B1.86B1.69B1.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow557.00M355.00M468.00M678.00M466.00M59.00M
Operating Cash Flow836.00M610.00M653.00M690.00M660.00M106.00M
Investing Cash Flow-284.00M-1.08B-175.00M-317.00M-161.00M-39.00M
Financing Cash Flow-597.00M343.00M-289.00M-371.00M-222.00M-56.00M

California Resources Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price46.17
Price Trends
50DMA
50.78
Negative
100DMA
49.18
Negative
200DMA
45.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.25
Negative
RSI
35.45
Neutral
STOCH
26.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 46.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.22, below the 50-day MA of 50.78, and above the 200-day MA of 45.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRC.

California Resources Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.52B6.7637.10%50.79%32.97%
72
Outperform
$3.86B10.7311.06%3.32%33.85%-34.08%
69
Neutral
$4.74B24.536.98%43.30%-43.07%
66
Neutral
$4.06B28.982.76%4.48%-13.92%-68.34%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$4.14B12.2217.51%2.64%0.68%-11.13%
61
Neutral
$6.75B103.322.86%35.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRC
California Resources Corp
46.17
-11.15
-19.45%
CRK
Comstock Resources
23.02
8.78
61.66%
CNX
CNX Resources
35.13
-4.74
-11.89%
MUR
Murphy Oil
28.43
-3.49
-10.93%
MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas
21.96
-5.03
-18.64%
VIST
Vista Oil & Gas SAB de CV
48.10
0.78
1.65%

California Resources Corp Corporate Events

California Resources Corp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

California Resources Corporation (CRC) is an independent energy and carbon management company focused on providing responsibly sourced energy while advancing decarbonization projects in the energy sector. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, CRC announced a net income of $64 million and an adjusted net income of $123 million, alongside a 5% increase in its quarterly dividend, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns. The company also reported a significant free cash flow of $188 million and ended the quarter with $1,154 million in liquidity. Key strategic moves include the planned merger with Berry Corporation and the early redemption of its 2026 Senior Notes. CRC’s management remains optimistic about the future, emphasizing a strong balance sheet and robust liquidity, with plans to increase capital investments and continue exploring decarbonized power solutions in California.

California Resources Corp’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth
Nov 6, 2025

California Resources Corp (CRC) recently held its earnings call, revealing a robust financial and operational performance. The sentiment was largely positive, highlighting significant improvements in base decline rates, strategic mergers, and advancements in carbon capture projects. However, the company also acknowledged challenges related to regulatory approvals and permitting constraints.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
California Resources Corp Amends Credit Agreement
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 29, 2025, California Resources Corporation announced an amendment to its existing credit agreement, involving Citibank and other financial institutions. The amendment includes the addition of new lenders and an increase in the aggregate commitment amount from $1.15 billion to $1.45 billion, potentially enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and operational capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRC) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on California Resources Corp stock, see the CRC Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
California Resources Corp Completes $400M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 8, 2025

On October 8, 2025, California Resources Corporation completed a private offering of $400 million in senior notes due 2034, with interest accruing from the same date. The notes, which are unsecured and rank equally with other senior unsecured debt, are part of the company’s strategic financial maneuvers, including a pending merger with Berry Corporation. The notes are subject to mandatory redemption if the merger does not occur by March 14, 2026, or if the merger agreement is terminated.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRC) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on California Resources Corp stock, see the CRC Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
California Resources Corp Announces $400M Note Offering
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, California Resources Corporation announced the pricing of a private offering of $400 million in senior unsecured notes due 2034, with an interest rate of 7.000%. The proceeds from this offering, expected to be approximately $394 million, will be used to repay Berry Corporation’s existing debt as part of a pending merger between the two companies. This strategic financial move is anticipated to impact CRC’s operations by supporting the merger, which could enhance its industry positioning and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRC) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on California Resources Corp stock, see the CRC Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
California Resources Corp Announces $400M Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 22, 2025, California Resources Corporation amended its credit agreement to facilitate its pending merger with Berry Corporation. Additionally, on September 24, 2025, CRC announced a proposed private offering of $400 million in senior unsecured notes due 2034, with proceeds intended to repay Berry Corporation’s existing debt related to the merger. This strategic move aims to strengthen CRC’s financial position and support its merger with Berry, potentially impacting stakeholders by enhancing the company’s market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRC) stock is a Buy with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on California Resources Corp stock, see the CRC Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
California Resources Corp Announces Merger with Berry Corp
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On September 14, 2025, California Resources Corporation entered into a merger agreement with Berry Corporation, where Berry will merge with a wholly-owned subsidiary of CRC, becoming a direct subsidiary of CRC. The merger involves an exchange of shares and will result in Berry’s shares being converted into CRC’s shares at a specified exchange ratio. The agreement includes various conditions and representations, such as obtaining shareholder approval and regulatory clearances, and outlines termination rights and fees under specific circumstances.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRC) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on California Resources Corp stock, see the CRC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
California Resources Corp Announces Merger with Berry Corp
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, California Resources Corporation announced a merger with Berry Corporation in an all-stock transaction valuing Berry at approximately $717 million. This merger is expected to create a stronger energy leader in California, with significant operational synergies and financial benefits. The combined company will have enhanced capabilities in oil production and well services, maintaining a strong balance sheet and liquidity. The merger, approved by both companies’ boards, is anticipated to close in the first quarter of 2026, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRC) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on California Resources Corp stock, see the CRC Stock Forecast page.

California Resources Corp: Strong Earnings Call Highlights
Aug 8, 2025

The recent earnings call for California Resources Corp (CRC) painted a picture of robust financial health and strategic foresight, despite facing some regulatory hurdles. The overall sentiment was positive, with strong shareholder returns and operational performance taking center stage. The company demonstrated effective cost management and expressed confidence in its strategic initiatives, which are expected to drive future growth.

California Resources Corp Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

California Resources Corporation (CRC) is an independent energy and carbon management company focused on providing responsibly sourced energy and developing carbon capture and storage projects, primarily operating in the oil and gas sector in California.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025