Black Stone Minerals (BSM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.83B
• Dividend Yield: 10.14%
• Average Volume (3M): 434.35K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.45
• Revenue Growth: -0.75%
• EPS Growth: -29.40%
• Country: US
• Employees: 115
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.40
• Shares Outstanding: 211,862,410
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 512,294
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 434,347
• PEG Ratio: -0.28
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.72
• Price to Sales (P/S): 7.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 7.99
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.12
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 7.85
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.19
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 9.87
• 1Y Price Target: $13.00
• Price Target Upside: -2.33% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: ―

Black Stone Minerals presents a mixed outlook. Strong cash flow and a solid balance sheet provide financial stability, while attractive valuation metrics and positive earnings guidance suggest potential upside. However, declining revenue and profitability, along with market volatility, pose challenges. The overall score reflects the balance between these strengths and risks.

Black Stone Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Black Stone Minerals, L.P., together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages oil and natural gas mineral interests. It owns mineral interests in approximately 16.8 million gross acres, nonparticipating royalty interests in 1.8 million gross acres, and overriding royalty interests in 1.7 million gross acres located in 41 states in the United States. As of December 31, 2021, the company had a total estimated proved oil and natural gas reserves of 59,824 barrels of oil equivalent. Black Stone Minerals, L.P. was founded in 1876 and is based in Houston, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Black Stone Minerals makes money through the collection of royalties and lease bonus payments from its mineral and royalty interests. The company earns revenues when it leases its mineral interests to oil and gas exploration and production companies, who then extract resources from the land. These leases typically include royalty agreements that entitle Black Stone Minerals to a percentage of the revenue from the produced oil and gas. Additionally, the company periodically receives lease bonus payments as upfront fees when new leases are signed. Black Stone Minerals benefits from a diversified asset base across various basins, reducing its reliance on any single resource play and enhancing its revenue stability. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with operators to optimize the development of its assets, further contributing to its earnings.

Black Stone Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Black Stone Minerals demonstrates strong cash flow and a solid balance sheet with no debt, enhancing financial stability. However, the decline in revenue and profitability in 2024 raises concerns about future growth prospects, despite strong cash management.

Income Statement

The income statement shows fluctuating revenue and profit margins over the years. Recent data indicates a decline in total revenue and net income from 2023 to 2024, leading to a negative revenue growth rate of -13.47%. The company's EBIT margin in 2024 is 62.99%, and its gross profit margin remains strong at 100% due to minimal cost of goods sold. However, the net profit margin for 2024 is 0% due to zero net income, reflecting potential issues in profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a strong equity position with no debt in 2024, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0 and an equity ratio of 68.01%, indicating financial stability. The company has improved its equity from the previous year, showcasing a solid balance sheet. However, historical data shows fluctuations in stockholders' equity, and the significant drop in equity in 2023 (to zero) highlights potential risks.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows robust operating cash flows, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio that implies strong cash generation ability even when net income is zero in 2024. Free Cash Flow remains positive, though it decreased from the previous year, indicating efficient cash management with a focus on generating and maintaining liquidity. The absence of debt further enhances financial flexibility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	404.15M	439.43M	501.10M	784.28M	505.73M	296.64M
Gross Profit	311.47M	334.95M	387.05M	657.87M	381.85M	157.13M
EBITDA	321.45M	319.63M	470.99M	530.57M	248.64M	215.38M
Net Income	274.05M	271.33M	422.55M	476.48M	181.99M	121.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.27B	1.22B	1.27B	1.27B	1.25B	1.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	6.17M	2.52M	70.28M	4.31M	8.88M	1.80M
Total Debt	95.00M	25.00M	0.00	10.00M	89.00M	121.00M
Total Liabilities	145.17M	89.47M	49.54M	61.27M	184.29M	185.01M
Stockholders Equity	1.13B	1.13B	1.22B	1.21B	1.06B	1.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	244.92M	384.83M	501.44M	412.42M	242.25M	276.99M
Operating Cash Flow	336.02M	389.04M	521.25M	424.98M	256.88M	281.81M
Investing Cash Flow	-111.40M	-112.24M	-19.74M	-1.22M	-14.32M	151.25M
Financing Cash Flow	-239.42M	-344.57M	-435.54M	-428.34M	-235.48M	-439.38M

Black Stone Minerals Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 13.31
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BSM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.68, above the 50-day MA of 12.59, and above the 200-day MA of 12.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BSM.

Black Stone Minerals Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SM	72 Outperform	$2.04B	2.82	16.58%	4.38%	34.93%	-11.85%
BSM	70 Outperform	$2.83B	11.62	23.90%	10.14%	-0.75%	-29.40%
CIVI	68 Neutral	$2.20B	3.27	11.31%	7.59%	0.24%	-9.19%
NOG	68 Neutral	$2.00B	3.38	7.95%	8.64%	1.51%	-78.38%
BKV	67 Neutral	$2.08B	―	-1.36%	―	13.20%	55.44%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
CRGY	64 Neutral	$2.06B	―	0.64%	5.66%	32.31%	-122.30%

Black Stone Minerals Corporate Events

Black Stone Minerals Reports 2024 Financial Results

Black Stone Minerals announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, reporting a slight decrease in production volumes due to lower natural gas prices. Despite these challenges, the company maintained a stable distribution to shareholders and reduced its total debt significantly by the end of February 2025. Looking forward, Black Stone anticipates a positive 2025 with increased activity on high-interest acreage and expects a 2% growth in production driven by strong natural gas prices. The company plans to continue its mineral acquisition program, which is expected to provide long-term benefits to shareholders.