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Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP)
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Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) AI Stock Analysis

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KRP

Kimbell Royalty Partners

(NYSE:KRP)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(10.21% Upside)
Kimbell Royalty Partners' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. While the technical analysis and valuation present some concerns, the company's strategic initiatives and robust dividend yield provide a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Management
Kimbell's ability to generate strong cash flow and strategically reduce debt enhances financial stability and supports sustainable distributions.
Increased Rig Activity
Increased rig activity in key basins like Permian and Haynesville suggests potential for higher production and revenue growth.
Improved Cost Efficiency
Lower G&A costs per BOE indicate improved operational efficiency, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Decline in U.S. Land Rig Count
A declining U.S. land rig count may signal reduced future production potential, impacting revenue and growth prospects.
Mid-Con Drilling Activity Decline
Decreased drilling activity in the Mid-Con region could limit resource development and revenue generation from this area.
Challenges in Natural Gas Acquisitions
Challenges in acquiring natural gas assets may hinder Kimbell's ability to expand its portfolio and capitalize on market opportunities.

Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kimbell Royalty Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKimbell Royalty Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, acquires and owns mineral and royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties in the United States. As of December 31, 2021, it owned mineral and royalty interests in approximately 11.4 million gross acres and overriding royalty interests in approximately 4.7 million gross acres. The company's mineral and royalty interests are located in 28 states and include ownership in approximately 122,000 gross wells, including approximately 46,000 wells in the Permian Basin. It serves as the general partner of the company. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Fort Worth, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyKimbell Royalty Partners generates revenue primarily through the collection of royalty payments from oil and gas companies that operate on the mineral rights it owns. The revenue model is based on a percentage of the production revenue from wells drilled on its properties, commonly referred to as 'royalty income.' Additionally, KRP may earn revenues from lease bonuses and other ancillary income linked to land leases. The company benefits from a diversified asset base, which allows it to mitigate risks associated with fluctuations in commodity prices. Strategic partnerships with exploration and production companies enhance KRP's earnings potential, as these collaborations often lead to increased production activities on its leased lands, thereby generating higher royalty revenues. Market conditions, such as oil and gas prices, directly influence KRP's revenue streams and overall financial performance.

Kimbell Royalty Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment with strong financial performance, strategic debt reduction, and increased rig activity in key basins outweighing the challenges of a declining U.S. land rig count and acquisition difficulties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
Kimbell reported strong cash flow, continued debt paydown, and a $0.38 distribution per common unit. Approximately 75% of cash available for distribution was paid to unitholders, with the remainder used to reduce outstanding borrowings.
Increased Rig Count in Key Basins
Despite a 7% drop in the overall U.S. land rig count, Kimbell's rig count only dropped by 2%, with increases in the Permian Basin (4 rigs) and Haynesville (5 rigs).
Improved G&A Cost Efficiency
Cash G&A cost per BOE came in below the low end of guidance at $2.36 per BOE, reflecting positive operating leverage and cost efficiency.
Enhanced Liquidity and Capital Structure
The borrowing base and aggregate commitments on the secured revolving credit facility were increased from $550 million to $625 million. Additionally, 50% of the outstanding Series A cumulative convertible preferred units were redeemed.
Strong Financial Position and Guidance Affirmation
With a net debt to trailing 12-month consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately 1.6x, Kimbell maintains a conservative balance sheet. The company affirmed its financial and operational guidance for 2025.
Negative Updates
Overall U.S. Land Rig Count Decline
The overall U.S. land rig count dropped by 7% quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to a slowdown in drilling activity in the Permian.
Mid-Con Drilling Activity Decline
The Mid-Con region experienced a decline in drilling activity, contrasting with increases in other key basins.
Challenges in Natural Gas Acquisitions
Kimbell faced difficulties in acquiring natural gas assets, with some packages in the Haynesville being priced at levels considered unattractive.
Company Guidance
During the Kimbell Royalty Partners' second quarter earnings call for the fiscal year 2025, management emphasized several key financial and operational metrics. The company reported total revenues of $75 million and a run rate production of 25,355 BOE per day. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $63.8 million, while cash G&A expenses were $5.4 million, or $2.36 per BOE, which came in below the low end of their guidance. The company announced a cash distribution of $0.38 per common unit, equating to 75% of cash available for distribution, with the remaining 25% used to reduce outstanding debt. As of June 30, 2025, Kimbell had $462 million in debt under their secured revolving credit facility, with a net debt to trailing 12-month consolidated adjusted EBITDA ratio of approximately 1.6x. The company also highlighted a robust rig count, maintaining 88 rigs, with a notable increase in rig activity in the Permian and Haynesville regions, despite a 7% drop in the overall U.S. land rig count. Management reaffirmed their financial and operational guidance for 2025, expressing optimism about continued growth and asset expansion.

Kimbell Royalty Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kimbell Royalty Partners demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and cash flow metrics. The company shows positive revenue growth and maintains a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage. While profitability margins have fluctuated, the company remains well-positioned in the oil and gas industry. Continued focus on improving return on equity and free cash flow conversion will further strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Kimbell Royalty Partners shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 75.18% and a net profit margin of 11.94% for TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 2.77% TTM, indicating a stable upward trend. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown some volatility, with the TTM EBIT margin at 20.18% and EBITDA margin at 48.42%, reflecting a decrease from previous periods.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65 TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. Return on equity is relatively low at 4.87% TTM, indicating limited efficiency in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio stands at 55.65%, showing a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Kimbell Royalty Partners exhibits strong cash flow management with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 73.11% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 15.17, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 9.14%, suggesting room for improvement in converting income to free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue331.46M310.65M273.18M285.04M178.41M92.93M
Gross Profit249.18M155.12M156.38M218.71M131.13M38.55M
EBITDA160.50M172.47M209.54M197.76M88.79M-202.28M
Net Income39.58M12.25M66.45M111.93M33.86M-159.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.28B1.12B1.34B1.08B601.49M564.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.52M34.17M30.99M24.64M7.05M9.80M
Total Debt466.67M242.72M296.09M235.25M219.68M174.40M
Total Liabilities483.53M256.42M309.32M263.34M252.64M186.33M
Stockholders Equity715.03M780.22M871.27M602.62M329.60M301.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.44M250.71M-316.54M25.18M35.37M-26.35M
Operating Cash Flow245.46M250.92M174.27M166.64M91.44M62.25M
Investing Cash Flow-223.37M-210.00K-246.68M-374.72M-55.57M-90.83M
Financing Cash Flow-18.51M-247.53M78.38M226.06M-38.62M24.18M

Kimbell Royalty Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.61
Price Trends
50DMA
13.89
Negative
100DMA
13.56
Positive
200DMA
13.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
53.76
Neutral
STOCH
66.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.61, below the 50-day MA of 13.89, and above the 200-day MA of 13.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KRP.

Kimbell Royalty Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
1.58B6.7824.04%17.05%11.56%
75
Outperform
1.24B14.5224.51%11.79%4.58%-32.82%
70
Outperform
2.83B11.4910.66%-8.06%-22.61%
69
Neutral
$1.70B45.094.52%12.20%-2.89%-107.61%
66
Neutral
1.20B16.186.70%-16.05%-17.58%
54
Neutral
60.80M20.003.48%45.14%-59.41%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KRP
Kimbell Royalty Partners
13.87
-0.27
-1.91%
DMLP
Dorchester Minerals
26.13
-0.83
-3.08%
SBR
Sabine Royalty
82.12
25.24
44.37%
PVL
Permianville Royalty
1.84
0.28
17.95%
BSM
Black Stone Minerals
13.37
-0.18
-1.33%
MNR
Mach Natural Resources LP
13.31
-0.74
-5.27%

Kimbell Royalty Partners Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Kimbell Royalty Partners Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Kimbell Royalty Partners announced its financial and operational results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a run-rate daily production of 25,355 Boe/d and revenues of $74.7 million. The company declared a cash distribution of $0.38 per common unit and plans to use 25% of its cash available for distribution to reduce outstanding borrowings. Kimbell’s active rig count remained strong, representing 17% of the U.S. land rig market share, despite a general slowdown in drilling activity. The company also highlighted operational discipline with cash G&A per BOE below guidance, and an increase in net DUCs, particularly in the Permian Basin, which supports future production resilience.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRP) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kimbell Royalty Partners stock, see the KRP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2025