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Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP)
NYSE:KRP
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Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) AI Stock Analysis

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KRP

Kimbell Royalty Partners

(NYSE:KRP)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(17.19% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/23/26
The score is driven primarily by strong cash generation and solid profitability, reinforced by a positive earnings update (beat/reaffirmed guidance, higher distribution, and repurchases). This is partially offset by moderate leverage and historical volatility, while technical indicators point to weaker near-term momentum despite an income-supportive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent operating and free cash flow in 2024–TTM that tracks reported earnings indicates high cash conversion. Durable FCF supports the partnership's distribution policy, unit repurchases, and acquisition funding without relying solely on capital markets, improving long-term financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Commodity price volatility
Royalty revenues are directly tied to commodity prices; elevated volatility complicates transaction pricing and planning. Price swings produce earnings and FCF variability (including a large negative FCF year in 2023), which can stress distributions and capital allocation in weaker cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent operating and free cash flow in 2024–TTM that tracks reported earnings indicates high cash conversion. Durable FCF supports the partnership's distribution policy, unit repurchases, and acquisition funding without relying solely on capital markets, improving long-term financial flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kimbell Royalty Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP) and its affiliates are dedicated to acquiring and owning mineral and royalty interests in crude oil and natural gas properties across the United States. As of December 31, 2021, its comprehensive portfolio includ...
How the Company Makes Money
KRP makes money primarily by receiving royalty and other mineral-related payments tied to hydrocarbon production from wells drilled and operated by third parties on acreage where KRP owns mineral and/or royalty interests. When oil, natural gas, or...

Kimbell Royalty Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a largely positive operational and financial picture: production exceeded guidance, revenues and adjusted EBITDA were strong, distributions were increased (up 11% QoQ) with favorable tax treatment for unitholders, repurchases were initiated, and leverage remains modest at ~1.6x net debt/TTM EBITDA with substantial undrawn capacity. Offset risks include commodity price volatility related to geopolitical events, temporary market valuation weakness in the stock, and uncertainty around timing and volume of M&A activity until volatility subsides. Management affirmed 2026 guidance and highlighted line-of-sight inventory and rig activity that could translate to further upside if commodity stability continues.
Positive Updates
Production Beat Guidance
Run-rate production of 25,522 BOE/day in Q1 2026, which exceeded the midpoint of company guidance, demonstrating resilience of a diversified, low-decline production base.
Negative Updates
Commodity Price Volatility and Macro Uncertainty
Management noted recent oil price volatility driven by Middle East conflict and macro uncertainty; while prices remain elevated versus history, volatility is working against stable transaction pricing and could pressure near-term planning.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Production Beat Guidance
Run-rate production of 25,522 BOE/day in Q1 2026, which exceeded the midpoint of company guidance, demonstrating resilience of a diversified, low-decline production base.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed its 2026 financial and operational guidance and highlighted that Q1 results beat the midpoint of guidance with oil, gas and NGL revenues of $82.9M, run‑rate production of 25,522 BOE/d, consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $68M, total G&A of $9.4M (cash G&A $5.3M or $2.31/BOE), and an active rig count of 85 rigs (16% U.S. land rigs); they said line‑of‑sight wells exceed maintenance well counts and that DUC-to-production timing has averaged ~6 months (permits to DUCs up to ~1 year). The company declared a Q1 distribution of $0.41 per common unit (up 11% QoQ), representing an approximate 11% annualized tax‑advantaged yield with ~72% of the distribution expected to be return of capital, and noted distributions equal 75% of cash available for distribution (the remaining 25% to pay down revolver); balance sheet metrics included $440.9M outstanding on the secured revolver (net debt / TTM consolidated adjusted EBITDA ~1.6x) and $184.1M of undrawn capacity, and management repurchased 500k units for ~$7.3M at an average $14.60 while reiterating expectations for a modest uptick in activity as commodity prices support acceleration.

Kimbell Royalty Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid overall, led by strong operating/free cash flow and good current profitability. Offsetting this are moderate leverage (debt roughly ~2/3 of equity) and a history of earnings/FCF volatility with slightly declining TTM revenue, which raises cyclicality risk.
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue327.79M333.83M310.65M273.18M285.04M178.41M
Gross Profit308.66M313.39M155.12M156.38M218.71M131.13M
EBITDA190.24M133.16M172.47M209.54M197.76M88.79M
Net Income74.42M90.95M12.25M66.45M111.93M33.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.19B1.23B1.12B1.34B1.08B601.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.16M43.98M34.17M30.99M24.64M7.05M
Total Debt445.23M450.98M242.72M296.09M235.25M219.68M
Total Liabilities464.87M456.18M256.42M309.32M263.34M252.64M
Stockholders Equity680.86M690.64M780.22M871.27M602.62M329.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow241.01M245.73M250.71M-316.54M25.18M35.37M
Operating Cash Flow241.74M246.46M250.92M174.27M166.64M91.44M
Investing Cash Flow-544.01K-223.48M-209.89K-246.68M-374.72M-55.57M
Financing Cash Flow-239.66M-13.17M-247.53M78.38M226.06M-38.62M

Kimbell Royalty Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.08
Price Trends
50DMA
15.00
Negative
100DMA
14.61
Negative
200DMA
13.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
40.90
Neutral
STOCH
14.54
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.93, below the 50-day MA of 15.00, and above the 200-day MA of 13.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KRP.

Kimbell Royalty Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.22B17.6221.80%12.53%-2.97%-33.78%
75
Outperform
$2.93B10.8826.86%9.94%54.86%37.42%
72
Outperform
$1.69B19.7810.68%13.84%0.87%770.57%
68
Neutral
$2.10B17.0313.10%17.48%22.47%-56.03%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$1.07B15.62959.49%7.51%-11.58%-12.24%
$54.45M11.0412.46%6.02%60.32%74.97%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KRP
Kimbell Royalty Partners
14.49
1.59
12.32%
DMLP
Dorchester Minerals
25.37
0.47
1.90%
SBR
Sabine Royalty
73.11
11.71
19.07%
PVL
Permianville Royalty
1.65
0.01
0.79%
BSM
Black Stone Minerals
13.79
1.72
14.22%
MNR
Mach Natural Resources LP
12.60
0.01
0.10%

Kimbell Royalty Partners Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Kimbell Royalty Expands Permian Footprint with Mesa Acquisition
Positive
Jun 23, 2026
On June 22, 2026, Kimbell Royalty Partners closed a $145.9 million acquisition of Permian Basin mineral and royalty interests from Mesa Royalties, a portfolio of NGP-managed funds, in a cash and equity deal that included $44 million in cash and ab...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Kimbell Royalty Partners Expands Permian Mineral Interests
Positive
May 19, 2026
On May 18, 2026, Kimbell Royalty Partners and its affiliate agreed to acquire mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin from Mesa Royalties in a cash-and-unit deal valued at about $147 million. The package spans roughly 711 net royalty ac...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Kimbell Royalty Partners Reports Strong First-Quarter 2026 Results
Positive
May 7, 2026
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP, based in Fort Worth, Texas, is a leading owner of oil and natural gas mineral and royalty interests, holding stakes in over 133,000 gross wells across 28 U.S. states. The partnership earns revenue from oil, natural ga...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 23, 2026