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Sitio Royalties Corp. (STR)
NYSE:STR
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Sitio Royalties (STR) AI Stock Analysis

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STR

Sitio Royalties

(NYSE:STR)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(10.38% Upside)
Sitio Royalties' overall stock score reflects a strong financial foundation and positive earnings call sentiment, supported by strategic acquisitions and high margins. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and legal challenges related to the merger introduce risks. Technical indicators are mixed, indicating no clear trend direction.

Sitio Royalties (STR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sitio Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSitio Royalties (STR) is a leading company in the energy sector, primarily focused on the acquisition and management of mineral rights and royalties related to oil and natural gas production. The company operates predominantly in the United States, leveraging its extensive portfolio of royalty interests to provide investors with a unique opportunity to benefit from the ongoing development of energy resources without the operational risks associated with direct production. STR offers investors a means to gain exposure to the energy market through a diversified range of royalty assets.
How the Company Makes MoneySitio Royalties generates revenue primarily through the collection of royalty payments from oil and gas producers operating on its leased mineral rights. The company does not engage in the exploration or production of oil and gas; instead, it earns income by receiving a percentage of the production revenue from wells drilled on its properties. Key revenue streams include traditional royalties from oil and gas extraction, as well as lease payments from energy companies who wish to explore or produce resources on Sitio’s lands. Additionally, STR may benefit from partnerships with major energy companies, which can provide stable and predictable cash flows. The company's financial performance is influenced by commodity prices, production levels, and the overall demand for energy resources, making its revenue model closely tied to the health of the energy market.

Sitio Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial and operational performance with record production and strategic acquisitions. The expansion of the share buyback program and strong asset positioning were notable positives. However, there is some uncertainty regarding commodity prices and potential operational slowdowns, although the company is confident in its resilience and strategic positioning.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production and Acquisitions
The first quarter of 2025 marked another record quarter of production for Sitio, with net wells turned in line up 34% from 4Q 2024 and total production up 3% quarter-over-quarter, averaging over 42,000 BOE per day. Additionally, $20 million of acquisitions added 1,315 net royalty acres.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $142 million, reflecting a 1% increase from the prior quarter. Net income rose by 36% over the same period, beating consensus estimates. The company declared a cash dividend of $0.35 per share.
Share Buyback Program Expansion
The Board extended the buyback plan, authorizing an additional $300 million of share repurchases, with $350 million remaining buyback capacity. In Q1, 1.1 million shares were repurchased for $22 million.
Competitive Asset Positioning
The company has increased its inventory estimate by 40 additional net normalized locations, representing a 10% quarter-over-quarter increase. This shows strong asset quality and operator strength.
Negative Updates
Uncertain Commodity Price Environment
There is uncertainty due to actions from Washington and OPEC, along with lower anticipated commodity prices, leading to a $5 million reduction in estimated cash taxes for 2025.
Potential Operational Slowdowns
Concerns were raised about the potential slowdown in production due to declining commodity prices, although Sitio's assets are well-positioned to compete for capital in any price environment.
Company Guidance
During the Sitio Royalties First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, management provided detailed guidance and performance metrics. The company reported a record quarter of production with total production up 3% from the previous quarter, averaging over 42,000 BOE per day. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $142 million, a 1% increase from the prior quarter. Net income rose to $26 million, marking a 36% increase. The company also closed over $20 million in acquisitions, adding 1,315 net royalty acres, and repurchased 1.1 million shares for $22 million. A cash dividend of $0.35 per share was declared, and the buyback plan was extended with an additional $300 million authorization. The balance sheet shows $1.1 billion in debt with $439 million available under a revolving credit facility, and the adjusted net debt to free cash flow was about half of the peer group average. Additionally, cash taxes guidance for 2025 was updated to $23 million at the midpoint, reflecting a $5 million reduction due to lower anticipated commodity prices.

Sitio Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sitio Royalties demonstrates a solid financial foundation with strong operational efficiency and cash flow generation. However, declining revenue growth and low return on equity are areas of concern. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with moderate leverage, positioning it well for future growth opportunities.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Sitio Royalties shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 3.6%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a strong EBIT margin of 31.9% and an impressive EBITDA margin of 82.8%, indicating efficient operations. The net profit margin is relatively low at 6.1%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 in the TTM period, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is low at 1.95%, suggesting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall leverage appears manageable.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 147.8% in the TTM period, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 12.99, indicating robust cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.65 suggests good cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue613.65M624.41M593.36M369.61M120.59M45.70M
Gross Profit242.94M257.73M423.27M265.10M79.68M13.65M
EBITDA507.82M518.40M323.75M354.24M90.78M7.98M
Net Income37.16M40.95M-15.54M184.18M47.49M-14.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.61B4.74B4.76B5.17B1.20B275.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments383.00K3.29M15.20M18.82M12.38M2.72M
Total Debt1.09B1.09B872.46M945.76M134.00M39.80M
Total Liabilities1.37B1.39B1.16B1.28B139.71M47.33M
Stockholders Equity1.40B1.47B1.61B1.72B560.62M139.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow281.11M132.54M316.95M-393.45M27.19M-9.82M
Operating Cash Flow433.35M462.43M487.50M164.96M65.93M26.02M
Investing Cash Flow-174.93M-329.96M-59.73M-558.10M-38.74M-21.56M
Financing Cash Flow-274.38M-144.37M-431.40M399.20M-22.34M-15.06M

Sitio Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price18.12
Price Trends
50DMA
18.31
Negative
100DMA
17.68
Positive
200DMA
18.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
50.53
Neutral
STOCH
39.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 18.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.03, below the 50-day MA of 18.31, and below the 200-day MA of 18.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for STR.

Sitio Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
2.43B153.280.94%0.45%5.55%-79.38%
67
Neutral
$2.74B40.992.55%7.73%-1.97%
60
Neutral
11.83B-116.55-10.03%39.42%-172.40%
50
Neutral
767.03M-7.54-12.87%1.28%-8.59%-256.43%
48
Neutral
674.11M-7.15-10.19%2.06%8.66%66.06%
42
Neutral
2.23B-15.170.00%0.00%-9.91%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STR
Sitio Royalties
18.12
-1.91
-9.54%
MTRN
Materion
120.49
14.24
13.40%
GSM
Ferroglobe
4.19
>-0.01
-0.24%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
4.96
-1.62
-24.62%
MP
MP Materials
73.22
58.99
414.55%
TMC
TMC the metals company Inc.
5.79
4.74
451.43%

Sitio Royalties Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Sitio Royalties Completes Mergers, Becomes Viper Energy
Neutral
Aug 19, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Sitio Royalties completed a series of mergers, resulting in the full repayment and termination of its revolving credit facility and the discharge of associated guarantees and liens. The mergers led to the consolidation of Sitio’s shares into New Viper shares, with Sitio stockholders owning approximately 20% and Viper stockholders 80% of the new entity, which now operates as Viper Energy, Inc. The mergers also resulted in the redemption of $600 million in senior notes and significant changes in the company’s board and executive team.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Sitio Royalties Approves Merger with Viper Energy
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Sitio Royalties Corp. held a special meeting where stockholders approved a merger with Viper Energy, Inc., anticipated to close on August 19, 2025. The merger will result in Sitio stockholders receiving shares and units in the new entity, New Viper, while Sitio’s Class A common stock will be suspended from trading. This merger is expected to enhance Sitio’s market position and operational synergies, though it carries risks related to integration and regulatory approvals.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsLegal Proceedings
Sitio Royalties Faces Legal Challenges Post-Merger
Negative
Aug 8, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Sitio Royalties Corp. entered into a merger agreement with Viper Energy, resulting in Sitio becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of a new parent company and ceasing to be publicly traded. Legal proceedings have been initiated by stockholders seeking additional disclosures related to the merger, prompting Sitio to voluntarily supplement its proxy statement to address these concerns.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sitio Royalties Appoints Ward Bass as Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Sitio Royalties Corp. appointed Ward Bass as Chief Accounting Officer, effective immediately. Mr. Bass, who has extensive experience in accounting and financial reporting, previously served as the Company’s Controller and has worked with various energy companies in accounting roles. This appointment signifies a strategic move for Sitio Royalties Corp. as Mr. Bass takes over from Ms. Carrie Osicka, who remains the Chief Financial Officer. The transition is expected to enhance the company’s financial operations, given Mr. Bass’s expertise and background.

M&A Transactions
Sitio Royalties Announces Merger with Viper Energy
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Sitio Royalties Corp. and Viper Energy, Inc. entered into a merger agreement where Viper will acquire Sitio in an all-equity transaction. The merger will result in Sitio becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of a new entity, New Cobra Pubco, Inc., which will operate under the name Viper Energy, Inc. Post-merger, Sitio stockholders will own approximately 20% of the new entity, while Viper stockholders will own about 80%. The merger is subject to customary closing conditions, including stockholder approvals and regulatory clearances. Sitio’s Board of Directors has unanimously approved the merger, deeming it fair and in the best interests of its stockholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sitio Royalties Announces Merger with Viper Energy
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Sitio Royalties Corp. and Viper Energy, Inc. announced a merger agreement in which Viper will acquire Sitio in an all-equity transaction valued at approximately $4.1 billion. The merger, expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, will result in former Viper and Sitio stockholders owning about 80% and 20% of the new parent company, respectively. This strategic move is anticipated to enhance Viper’s production profile, cash flow growth, and financial accretion, while also providing significant synergies and access to investment-grade capital. The merger positions the combined entity as a leader in the mineral and royalty interests sector, particularly in the Permian Basin, with improved scale and competitive advantage.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025