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Usa Compression (USAC)
NYSE:USAC
US Market

USA Compression (USAC) AI Stock Analysis

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USAC

USA Compression

(NYSE:USAC)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(8.49% Upside)
The score is capped primarily by balance-sheet risk (very high debt and negative/near-zero equity) despite strong cash generation and improving profitability. Momentum and trend indicators are supportive, and the earnings call plus the J-W Power acquisition add positive catalysts, while the high P/E keeps valuation from scoring higher even with an elevated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of J-W Power expands USAC's fleet and geographic reach, enhancing market leadership and providing diversification benefits, which are expected to drive long-term growth and operational efficiency.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for USAC's services, supporting its market position and potential for future expansion, which is crucial for long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances USAC's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage debt, ensuring financial flexibility and supporting sustainable operations.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses a risk to financial stability, potentially limiting USAC's ability to respond to market changes and invest in growth, impacting long-term resilience.
Increased Lead Times
Extended lead times could delay deployments and affect service delivery, potentially impacting customer satisfaction and revenue growth in the long term.
Negative Equity
Negative equity highlights a weak capital structure, which can undermine financial stability and limit USAC's ability to secure favorable financing, affecting long-term growth prospects.

USA Compression (USAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

USA Compression Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUSA Compression Partners, LP, a growth-oriented Delaware limited partnership that provides natural gas compression services in terms of total compression fleet horsepower. The company offers compression services to oil companies and independent producers, processors, gatherers, and transporters of natural gas and crude oil, as well as operates stations. It primarily focuses on providing natural gas compression services to infrastructure applications, including centralized natural gas gathering systems and processing facilities. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyUSA Compression generates revenue primarily through the rental of its compression equipment and services. The company operates a large fleet of compression units, which are leased to customers under long-term contracts, providing a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include the rental fees for equipment, maintenance services, and additional products associated with compression services. USAC also benefits from its strategic partnerships with major oil and gas producers, enhancing its market presence and securing long-term contracts. Additionally, the company may experience revenue growth through expansions in its service offerings or by entering new geographical markets, leveraging the increasing demand for natural gas infrastructure.

USA Compression Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 16, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with increased guidance and successful refinancing efforts, though challenges include increased lead times for orders and expected modest growth in G&A expenses.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Revenues exceeded $250 million, adjusted EBITDA over $160 million, and distributable cash flow (DCF) approached $104 million. Leverage ratio improved to 3.9x and DCF coverage ratio stood at 1.6x.
Increased Guidance for 2025
The company increased its 2025 EBITDA guidance to a range of $610 million to $620 million and DCF guidance to $370 million to $380 million.
Pricing Improvements
Pricing reached an all-time high, averaging $21.46 per horsepower, a 1% increase sequentially and a 4% increase from the previous year.
Operational Efficiency Gains
Achieved $5 million in shared services annualized savings, with improvements from centralized IT efforts and economies of scale.
Successful Refinancing
Refinanced ABL and 2027 senior notes, reducing borrowing costs and improving strategic flexibility, leading to over $10 million annualized interest savings.
Negative Updates
Increased Lead Times for Orders
Lead times for larger orders have increased to more than 60 weeks, potentially impacting future deployments.
Anticipated Modest G&A Growth
General and administrative expenses are expected to grow modestly in 2026 due to wage inflation and new investments.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, USA Compression Partners reported strong financial performance with revenues exceeding $250 million, adjusted EBITDA over $160 million, and distributable cash flow (DCF) nearing $104 million. The company improved its leverage ratio to 3.9x and achieved a DCF coverage ratio of 1.6x. They increased their 2025 guidance for EBITDA and DCF, attributing this to effective cost management and operational discipline, which included realizing $5 million in shared services savings. New unit horsepower deployment is expected in Q4, setting up for continued growth in 2026. The company's active horsepower in the Northeast and Central regions is projected to grow by over 40,000 horsepower by year-end, contributing to a fleet size of approximately 3.6 million horsepower. Pricing improvements resulted in an all-time high of $21.46 per horsepower, while average utilization remained steady at 94%. The company also refinanced its ABL and 2027 senior notes, reducing borrowing costs and enhancing financial flexibility, with anticipated annualized interest savings of over $10 million.

USA Compression Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong operating results and cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$385M; free cash flow ~$290M; improving margins and net income), but the balance sheet is a major constraint with very high debt (~$2.54B) and a negative/near-zero equity base (equity ~-$77M TTM), reducing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is ~ $992M, up modestly versus 2024 (~$950M), extending a multi-year recovery from 2021–2022 levels. Profitability is strong for the period shown, with TTM gross margin (~68%), operating margin (~33%), and net margin (~11%) all improving versus prior years, and net income rising from ~$10M (2021) to ~$109M TTM. The key weakness is historical volatility (large losses in 2020), which highlights cyclicality and sensitivity to industry conditions even though recent execution has been solid.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
Leverage is the major overhang: total debt is very high at ~$2.54B TTM against a small/negative equity base (equity ~ -$77M TTM, ~+$28M in 2024), indicating a thin capital cushion and elevated balance-sheet risk. While total assets are sizable (~$2.66B TTM), the equity position has deteriorated from 2021–2023 levels, and returns on equity are distorted by the negative/near-zero equity base. The balance sheet is functional, but the capital structure is aggressive and leaves less flexibility if conditions weaken.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM operating cash flow is ~ $385M and free cash flow is ~ $290M, with a sharp improvement versus 2024 free cash flow (~$136M). Operating cash flow exceeds net income (TTM operating cash flow to net income ~2.1x), suggesting earnings are supported by cash conversion. The main weakness is that free cash flow relative to net income is not consistently high across years (notably weaker in 2023–2024), implying some variability in reinvestment needs and working-capital timing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue991.51M950.45M846.18M704.60M632.64M667.68M
Gross Profit672.76M641.72M565.20M473.90M441.85M465.19M
EBITDA605.72M567.49M489.60M408.98M382.17M401.76M
Net Income109.00M99.58M68.27M30.32M10.28M-594.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.66B2.75B2.74B2.67B2.77B2.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.0014.00K11.00K35.00K0.002.00K
Total Debt2.54B2.52B2.35B2.13B2.00B1.95B
Total Liabilities2.74B2.72B2.55B2.30B2.19B2.13B
Stockholders Equity-76.81M27.76M183.05M361.01M578.42M814.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow290.43M136.48M33.36M126.37M220.21M184.13M
Operating Cash Flow384.97M341.33M271.88M260.59M265.43M293.20M
Investing Cash Flow-90.70M-202.01M-232.65M-129.94M-39.19M-105.10M
Financing Cash Flow-294.35M-139.32M-39.26M-130.61M-226.24M-188.11M

USA Compression Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.81
Price Trends
50DMA
24.01
Positive
100DMA
23.27
Positive
200DMA
23.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.55
Negative
RSI
66.13
Neutral
STOCH
79.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.94, above the 50-day MA of 24.01, and above the 200-day MA of 23.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for USAC.

USA Compression Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.26B19.8519.33%3.08%31.94%64.74%
74
Outperform
$434.38M23.717.15%0.63%9.53%15.48%
67
Neutral
$3.17B31.859.11%6.66%43.66%
66
Neutral
$3.63B53.085.86%4.86%19.43%164.71%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$3.91B29.129.21%1.78%-12.05%-46.45%
64
Neutral
$3.31B62.159.45%1.07%92.33%116.22%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USAC
USA Compression
25.81
-0.21
-0.81%
AROC
Archrock
29.99
2.81
10.34%
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
34.56
8.67
33.49%
SEI
Solaris Energy Infrastructure
48.28
22.15
84.77%
LBRT
Liberty Oilfield Services
23.72
6.64
38.88%
KGS
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
47.31
3.18
7.21%

USA Compression Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
USA Compression Completes Transformative J-W Power Acquisition
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

On January 12, 2026, USA Compression Partners, LP closed its previously announced acquisition of J-W Power Company in a transaction valued at approximately $860 million, funded with about $430 million in cash drawn from its revolving credit facility and roughly 18.2 million common units issued to the seller. The deal adds more than 0.8 million active horsepower across regions including the Northeast, Mid-Continent, Rockies, Gulf Coast and Permian Basin, bringing USA Compression’s total active fleet to around 4.4 million horsepower, and introduces a diversified, high-quality customer base that bolsters its presence in mid‑to‑large horsepower compression. In connection with the closing, the seller received registration rights for the new common units, agreed to staggered lock-up periods on their sale, obtained a one-year non-voting board observer seat, and had affiliated entities joined as guarantors under USA Compression’s credit facility and senior notes, steps that collectively strengthen the partnership’s capital structure and governance framework while signaling an expansion-focused strategy for unitholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (USAC) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USA Compression stock, see the USAC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
USA Compression to Attend December Energy Conferences
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

USA Compression Partners, LP announced that its senior management will participate in the Mizuho Power, Energy & Infrastructure Conference on December 8 and the Wells Fargo 24th Annual Energy & Power Symposium on December 9. During these events, they will engage with the investment community, and relevant presentation materials will be available on their website. This engagement reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency and communication with investors, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (USAC) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USA Compression stock, see the USAC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
USA Compression Announces Strategic Acquisition of J-W Power
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On November 29, 2025, USA Compression Partners, LP announced a strategic acquisition of J-W Power Company for approximately $860 million, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026. This acquisition is set to expand USA Compression’s fleet to 4.4 million active horsepower and enhance its geographic diversification across key U.S. regions, strengthening its market leadership in mid-to-large horsepower compression services.

The most recent analyst rating on (USAC) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USA Compression stock, see the USAC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026