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Usa Compression (USAC)
NYSE:USAC
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USA Compression (USAC) AI Stock Analysis

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USAC

USA Compression

(NYSE:USAC)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▼(-8.91% Downside)
USA Compression's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and robust cash flow generation. However, high leverage and negative equity pose significant financial risks, and technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. The attractive dividend yield partially offsets the high P/E ratio, providing some valuation support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for USAC's services and effective market penetration, supporting long-term business stability.
Operational Efficiency
Operational efficiency gains through cost savings enhance profitability and competitiveness, ensuring sustainable growth and margin improvement.
Successful Refinancing
Successful refinancing lowers interest expenses, enhancing financial flexibility and supporting long-term strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, affecting long-term stability.
Increased Lead Times
Long lead times can delay project execution and revenue realization, hindering growth and customer satisfaction in the long term.
Modest G&A Growth
Rising G&A expenses could pressure margins and profitability, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

USA Compression (USAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

USA Compression Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUSA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) is a leading provider of natural gas compression services in the United States. The company primarily operates in the midstream sector of the oil and gas industry, focusing on providing compression services to producers of natural gas and natural gas liquids. USAC offers a range of services, including the rental of compression equipment and related services, which are crucial for optimizing the transportation and processing of natural gas through pipelines.
How the Company Makes MoneyUSA Compression generates revenue primarily through the rental of its compression equipment and services. The company operates a large fleet of compression units, which are leased to customers under long-term contracts, providing a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include the rental fees for equipment, maintenance services, and additional products associated with compression services. USAC also benefits from its strategic partnerships with major oil and gas producers, enhancing its market presence and securing long-term contracts. Additionally, the company may experience revenue growth through expansions in its service offerings or by entering new geographical markets, leveraging the increasing demand for natural gas infrastructure.

USA Compression Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 16, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with increased guidance and successful refinancing efforts, though challenges include increased lead times for orders and expected modest growth in G&A expenses.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Revenues exceeded $250 million, adjusted EBITDA over $160 million, and distributable cash flow (DCF) approached $104 million. Leverage ratio improved to 3.9x and DCF coverage ratio stood at 1.6x.
Increased Guidance for 2025
The company increased its 2025 EBITDA guidance to a range of $610 million to $620 million and DCF guidance to $370 million to $380 million.
Pricing Improvements
Pricing reached an all-time high, averaging $21.46 per horsepower, a 1% increase sequentially and a 4% increase from the previous year.
Operational Efficiency Gains
Achieved $5 million in shared services annualized savings, with improvements from centralized IT efforts and economies of scale.
Successful Refinancing
Refinanced ABL and 2027 senior notes, reducing borrowing costs and improving strategic flexibility, leading to over $10 million annualized interest savings.
Negative Updates
Increased Lead Times for Orders
Lead times for larger orders have increased to more than 60 weeks, potentially impacting future deployments.
Anticipated Modest G&A Growth
General and administrative expenses are expected to grow modestly in 2026 due to wage inflation and new investments.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, USA Compression Partners reported strong financial performance with revenues exceeding $250 million, adjusted EBITDA over $160 million, and distributable cash flow (DCF) nearing $104 million. The company improved its leverage ratio to 3.9x and achieved a DCF coverage ratio of 1.6x. They increased their 2025 guidance for EBITDA and DCF, attributing this to effective cost management and operational discipline, which included realizing $5 million in shared services savings. New unit horsepower deployment is expected in Q4, setting up for continued growth in 2026. The company's active horsepower in the Northeast and Central regions is projected to grow by over 40,000 horsepower by year-end, contributing to a fleet size of approximately 3.6 million horsepower. Pricing improvements resulted in an all-time high of $21.46 per horsepower, while average utilization remained steady at 94%. The company also refinanced its ABL and 2027 senior notes, reducing borrowing costs and enhancing financial flexibility, with anticipated annualized interest savings of over $10 million.

USA Compression Financial Statement Overview

Summary
USA Compression shows strong revenue growth and profitability, but faces significant financial risks due to high leverage and negative equity. Cash flow generation is robust, yet the capital structure needs improvement for long-term stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
USA Compression has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a notable increase in revenue over the TTM period. The company maintains healthy gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. However, the slight decline in net profit margin from the previous year suggests some pressure on net income. Overall, the income statement reflects a solid financial performance with room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant leverage, with a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity in the TTM period. This poses a risk to financial stability. Despite this, the company has shown improvement in return on equity, indicating better utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is concerning, highlighting the need for strengthening the equity base to enhance financial resilience.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a robust growth in free cash flow, reflecting improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that a significant portion of cash flow is being reinvested or used for debt servicing, which could limit flexibility in capital allocation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue991.51M950.45M846.18M704.60M632.64M667.68M
Gross Profit672.76M641.72M565.20M473.90M441.85M465.19M
EBITDA605.72M567.49M489.60M408.98M382.17M401.76M
Net Income109.00M99.58M68.27M30.32M10.28M-594.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.66B2.75B2.74B2.67B2.77B2.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.0014.00K11.00K35.00K0.002.00K
Total Debt2.54B2.52B2.35B2.13B2.00B1.95B
Total Liabilities2.74B2.72B2.55B2.30B2.19B2.13B
Stockholders Equity-76.81M27.76M183.05M361.01M578.42M814.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow290.43M136.48M33.36M126.37M220.21M184.13M
Operating Cash Flow384.97M341.33M271.88M260.59M265.43M293.20M
Investing Cash Flow-90.70M-202.01M-232.65M-129.94M-39.19M-105.10M
Financing Cash Flow-294.35M-139.32M-39.26M-130.61M-226.24M-188.11M

USA Compression Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.25
Price Trends
50DMA
23.09
Positive
100DMA
23.24
Positive
200DMA
23.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
68.66
Neutral
STOCH
95.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.60, above the 50-day MA of 23.09, and above the 200-day MA of 23.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for USAC.

USA Compression Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.30B16.3319.33%3.26%31.94%64.74%
75
Outperform
$389.26M20.937.15%0.68%9.53%15.48%
68
Neutral
$2.87B15.769.21%1.80%-12.05%-46.45%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$3.28B52.599.45%0.89%92.33%116.22%
61
Neutral
$3.10B31.508.32%6.66%43.66%
61
Neutral
$3.05B44.555.86%5.11%19.43%164.71%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USAC
USA Compression
25.25
3.26
14.82%
AROC
Archrock
24.54
-0.04
-0.16%
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
30.97
3.27
11.81%
SEI
Solaris Energy Infrastructure
47.89
23.59
97.08%
LBRT
Liberty Oilfield Services
17.78
-0.34
-1.88%
KGS
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
35.20
-3.01
-7.88%

USA Compression Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
USA Compression Issues $750M Senior Notes for Refinancing
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 24, 2025, USA Compression Partners, LP and its subsidiary issued $750 million in senior notes due 2033, with a 6.250% interest rate, to refinance existing debt and cover related expenses. This move aims to optimize the company’s financial structure by redeeming higher-interest notes due in 2027, potentially improving its market position and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (USAC) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USA Compression stock, see the USAC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
USA Compression to Attend Barclays Energy Conference
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

USA Compression Partners, LP announced its participation in the Barclays 39th Annual Energy-Power Conference on September 3. The senior management will engage with the investment community, sharing insights and presentation materials on their website, potentially impacting investor relations and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (USAC) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USA Compression stock, see the USAC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
USA Compression Amends Credit Agreement for Flexibility
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, USA Compression Partners, LP amended and restated its credit agreement, now maturing on August 27, 2030, with specific conditions that could lead to earlier maturity dates in 2027 or 2028. The agreement includes a $1.75 billion asset-based revolving credit facility, secured by the company’s assets and guaranteed by its subsidiaries, allowing for increased financial flexibility and potential expansion of commitments by $300 million. This strategic financial move is designed to support the company’s operational needs, refinance existing debt, and enhance its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (USAC) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USA Compression stock, see the USAC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
USA Compression Engages at Citi Natural Resources Conference
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 12, members of USA Compression‘s senior management attended the Citi Natural Resources Conference, engaging with the investment community. Presentation materials from these meetings were made available on the company’s website, reflecting USA Compression’s ongoing commitment to investor relations and transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on (USAC) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USA Compression stock, see the USAC Stock Forecast page.

USA Compression Partners Reports Record Revenues and Strong Outlook
Aug 7, 2025

USA Compression Partners’ recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, underscored by record revenues and strong demand projections. Despite challenges such as flat horsepower growth and rising costs, the company remains optimistic, buoyed by operational efficiency gains and industry accolades.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025