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Natural Gas Services (NGS)
:NGS

Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) AI Stock Analysis

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Natural Gas Services Group

(NYSE:NGS)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(9.33%Upside)
Natural Gas Services Group shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. Technical indicators suggest upward momentum, although caution is advised due to overbought signals. The stock is fairly valued, albeit without a dividend. Positive earnings call and corporate events further bolster the company's outlook. Overall, NGS is well-positioned for continued success in the oil and gas equipment and services sector.
Positive Factors
Earnings
NGS reported 1Q25 results above expectations and slightly increased the midpoint of 2025 EBITDA guidance.
Financial Performance
NGS ended 4Q24 with a leverage ratio well below the covenant, indicating strong financial health.
Growth Expectations
NGS introduced 2025 EBITDA guidance of $74M-$78M, which is higher than the previous year, indicating positive growth expectations.
Negative Factors
Market Dependency
Demand for NGS’s compression services is closely linked to exploration and production activity levels and the price of natural gas.

Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Natural Gas Services Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNatural Gas Services Group, Inc. provides natural gas compression services and equipment to the energy industry in the United States. It fabricates, manufactures, rents, and sells natural gas compressors and related equipment. The company primarily engages in the rental of compression units that provide small, medium, and large horsepower applications for unconventional oil and natural gas production. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 2,023 natural gas compression units in its rental fleet with 418,041 horsepower. The company also engages in the design, fabrication, and assembly of compressor components into compressor units for rental or sale; engineers and fabricates natural gas compressors; and designs and manufactures a line of reciprocating compressor frames, cylinders, and parts. In addition, it is involved in the design, fabrication, sale, installation, and service of flare stacks and related ignition and control devices for the onshore and offshore incineration of gas compounds, such as hydrogen sulfide, carbon dioxide, natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gases. Further, the company offers customer support services for its compressor and flare sales business; and exchange and rebuild program for small horsepower screw compressors. Its primary customers are exploration and production(E&P) companies that utilize compressor units for artificial lift applications; E&P companies that focuses on natural gas-weighted production; and midstream companies. Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyNatural Gas Services Group primarily makes money through the rental and sales of natural gas compression equipment. The company's revenue model is based on long-term rental agreements with clients, providing a stable and recurring revenue stream. Additionally, NGS earns revenue from the sales of its compression units and related aftermarket services, such as maintenance and repair. Key factors contributing to its earnings include the demand for natural gas, advancements in extraction technologies, and its ability to maintain strong relationships with key players in the energy sector.

Natural Gas Services Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record rental revenue, improved gross margins, and a solid balance sheet. However, concerns were noted regarding market volatility and increased SG&A expenses. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains optimistic due to the company's strategic initiatives and financial resilience.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Rental Revenue
Rental revenue hit a quarterly record of $38.9 million, a 15% increase compared to the prior year quarter and 2% sequentially.
Adjusted EBITDA Achievement
Adjusted EBITDA of $19.3 million in the quarter, marking a record number.
Strong Balance Sheet
Finished the quarter at 2.18x leverage with significant margin of safety and organic growth potential.
High Adjusted Gross Margin
Adjusted rental gross margin of 61.9%, one of the highest levels achieved in the past decade.
Improved Days Receivable
Days receivable improved from 118 days a year ago to 35 days, maintaining this progress.
Expanded Credit Facility
In April, expanded revolving facility from $300 million to $400 million with improved terms.
Negative Updates
Volatile Commodity Markets
Market volatility observed with WTI prices fluctuating, creating potential uncertainty.
Net Income Decrease Year-over-Year
Net income for the quarter was $4.9 million, down from $5.1 million in the prior year period.
SG&A Expenses Increase
SG&A expenses rose by $0.7 million year-on-year to $5.4 million.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter 2025 earnings call for Natural Gas Services Group, guidance was provided indicating strong financial performance despite market volatility. Rental revenue reached a quarterly record of $38.9 million, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase. The adjusted rental gross margin was 61.9%, while adjusted EBITDA was a record $19.3 million. The company maintained a leverage ratio of 2.18x, with significant available credit following the expansion of their revolving facility to $400 million. The CEO emphasized the continuation of robust market demand for compression, with 2025 unit deliveries on target and further growth expected in 2026. The company is focusing on asset utilization, fleet expansion, and M&A, with expectations for sustained performance and strategic investments in technology and partnerships to drive value creation.

Natural Gas Services Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Natural Gas Services Group demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue and profitability growth. The income statement shows impressive performance, the balance sheet is healthy with moderate leverage, and cash flows are robust, reflecting excellent cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company shows strong revenue growth, with a significant increase from $68.06M in 2020 to $161.22M in TTM. The gross profit margin improved to 47.3% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin is healthy at 10.5% TTM, showcasing profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 20.8% and 35.5% respectively, illustrating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with an equity ratio of 51.9% TTM, indicating a strong equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio at 0.65 is moderate, suggesting controlled leverage. Return on equity is a decent 6.5% TTM, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The balance sheet strength is supported by a consistent increase in stockholders' equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 4.78 TTM, indicating strong cash flow generation compared to net income. Free cash flow grew significantly to $20.80M TTM from negative figures, reflecting improved cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.22 TTM further supports the company's strong cash flow position.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
161.22M156.74M121.17M84.83M72.42M68.06M
Gross Profit
76.28M56.64M32.16M14.35M1.66M7.43M
EBIT
33.51M33.33M10.46M431.00K-8.63M-2.68M
EBITDA
57.24M64.94M37.25M24.44M13.68M22.23M
Net Income Common Stockholders
16.98M17.23M4.75M-569.00K-9.18M1.81M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.15M2.14M2.75M3.37M22.94M28.93M
Total Assets
501.69M492.53M478.73M328.25M298.51M306.80M
Total Debt
168.00M170.15M164.00M25.35M285.00K900.00K
Net Debt
165.85M168.01M161.25M21.98M-22.66M-28.02M
Total Liabilities
241.43M237.47M242.84M98.17M62.60M55.26M
Stockholders Equity
260.26M255.06M235.89M230.08M235.91M251.54M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
20.80M69.15M-135.91M-37.36M2.82M17.39M
Operating Cash Flow
81.24M66.46M18.03M27.76M28.53M32.65M
Investing Cash Flow
-79.75M-71.44M-153.89M-65.08M-25.66M-15.16M
Financing Cash Flow
-5.46M4.37M135.23M17.82M-8.85M-157.00K

Natural Gas Services Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.61
Price Trends
50DMA
21.65
Positive
100DMA
23.17
Positive
200DMA
23.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.92
Positive
RSI
66.48
Neutral
STOCH
82.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.71, above the 50-day MA of 21.65, and above the 200-day MA of 23.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NGS.

Natural Gas Services Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NGNGS
76
Outperform
$320.64M18.926.77%22.64%78.46%
FTFTK
72
Outperform
$494.05M35.8712.80%11.97%188.31%
TTTTI
72
Outperform
$477.73M4.1555.55%-4.08%429.70%
72
Outperform
$290.90M14.767.41%1.88%-7.56%30.51%
OIOIS
63
Neutral
$321.10M59.280.75%-9.04%
FEFET
58
Neutral
$235.02M-32.34%7.31%-326.94%
58
Neutral
$7.47B3.50-4.45%10.05%0.81%-49.42%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
25.61
6.69
35.36%
FTK
Flotek
15.97
11.52
258.88%
FET
Forum Energy Tech
19.46
2.23
12.94%
OIS
Oil States International
5.29
1.33
33.59%
TTI
Tetra Technologies
3.48
0.26
8.07%
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services
12.85
3.22
33.44%

Natural Gas Services Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Natural Gas Services Group Holds Key Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Natural Gas Services Group held a shareholder meeting where several key proposals were voted on. The shareholders elected three directors for varying terms, approved executive compensation, amended the 2019 Equity Incentive Plan to increase shares and extend its term, and ratified the appointment of Ham, Langston & Brezina LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGS) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natural Gas Services Group stock, see the NGS Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Natural Gas Services Group Reports Record Q1 Rental Revenue
Positive
May 14, 2025

Natural Gas Services Group reported a strong start to 2025, achieving record rental revenue of $38.9 million for the first quarter, a 15% increase from the previous year. The company maintained a robust competitive position despite market volatility, with all 2025 unit deliveries under long-term contracts and continued growth discussions for 2026. The company is focused on asset utilization, fleet expansion, and M&A to drive growth, with plans to monetize significant non-cash assets and expand its fleet with large horsepower units. Customer diversification remains a priority, with the largest customer accounting for 46% of revenue, down from 54% in 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGS) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natural Gas Services Group stock, see the NGS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Natural Gas Services Group Appoints New Board Member
Positive
Apr 3, 2025

On April 1, 2025, Natural Gas Services Group appointed J. Anthony Gallegos, Jr. to its Board of Directors, filling the vacancy left by David Bradshaw’s retirement in December 2024. Mr. Gallegos, with over 30 years of experience in the drilling industry, brings significant expertise to the Board, serving on the Audit and Safety & Sustainability Committees. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s strategic direction and shareholder value as NGS continues to focus on growth and innovation in the natural gas compression sector.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Natural Gas Services Group Reports Strong 2024 Financials
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

Natural Gas Services Group reported strong financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, with significant growth in revenue, net cash from operations, and adjusted EBITDA. The company achieved a 17% increase in rented horsepower compared to the previous year and a 55% increase over two years, reflecting a strategic focus on large horsepower compression. Rental revenue rose by 36% from 2023 and 94% from 2022, driven by an upgraded fleet and higher pricing. The company also improved its asset utilization, reducing accounts receivable and increasing cash flow to fund growth. Looking ahead, Natural Gas Services Group anticipates continued growth in 2025 and 2026, with plans to expand its large horsepower rented fleet and capitalize on market opportunities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.