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Natural Gas Services Group (NGS)
NYSE:NGS
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Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) AI Stock Analysis

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NGS

Natural Gas Services Group

(NYSE:NGS)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(5.66% Upside)
Natural Gas Services Group's overall stock score of 74 reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's robust cash flow generation and strategic initiatives, such as dividends and share repurchases, highlight its solid market position. While the valuation is moderate, the technical indicators suggest a stable trend, supporting a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Dividends
NGS announced the company's first quarterly dividend of $0.10, equating to an annualized dividend yield of 1.6%.
Financial Guidance
Management raised 2025 EBITDA guidance to $76M–$80M, up 9.4%–15.1% year-over-year.
Negative Factors
Market Dependency
Demand for NGS’s compression services is closely linked to exploration and production activity levels and the price of natural gas.

Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Natural Gas Services Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNatural Gas Services Group (NGS) is a leading provider of natural gas services and equipment, primarily catering to the oil and gas industry. The company specializes in the rental and sale of natural gas compression equipment and related services, which are essential for the efficient transportation and processing of natural gas. NGS operates across various sectors within the energy industry, focusing on providing innovative solutions that enhance operational efficiency and reduce environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneyNGS generates revenue primarily through the rental and sale of natural gas compression equipment and services. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes long-term rentals, short-term rentals, and outright sales of equipment. Key revenue streams come from contracts with oil and gas producers and midstream companies that require compression services to move natural gas through pipelines. Additionally, NGS may engage in maintenance and support services for its equipment, which can provide recurring revenue. Strategic partnerships with energy companies and involvement in large-scale natural gas projects further enhance its earnings potential, as these collaborations can lead to long-term contracts and increased market share.

Natural Gas Services Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance and optimistic outlook for Natural Gas Services Group, with record metrics and increased guidance. Despite some challenges such as facility costs and a significant personnel transition, the overall sentiment is positive due to the company's robust growth, financial health, and strategic initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarter Performance
The company delivered a record quarter across several key metrics, driven by exceptional field service and the performance of the smart enabled large horsepower fleet. Rented horsepower ended the quarter at an all-time high, and rental revenue and gross margin were strong.
Increased 2025 EBITDA Guidance
Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was a record $19.7 million, with first half adjusted EBITDA at $39 million. The company raised its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $76 million to $80 million.
Inaugural Quarterly Dividend and Share Repurchase Program
In July, NGS initiated its inaugural quarterly dividend and authorized a share repurchase program, underscoring the durability of its cash generation and confidence in its outlook.
Strong Fleet Expansion and Utilization
Rented horsepower increased 10% year-on-year, with fleet utilization improving to 83.6%. Rental revenue per average horsepower per month increased by 2.7% year-over-year.
Improved Financial Metrics
Total revenue was $41.4 million, up 8% from the prior year quarter. Net income was $5.2 million, up $0.9 million year-over-year. The leverage ratio was 2.3%, the lowest among public comparables.
Negative Updates
Idle Facility Costs
Total adjusted gross margin was down $0.1 million sequentially, primarily reflecting idle facility costs related to the Midland closure.
Personnel Transition Due to Family Loss
Brian Tucker, President and COO, will transition out of his roles due to an unexpected family loss, which may pose challenges during the transition period.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call for Natural Gas Services Group, Inc., the company highlighted record performance across several key metrics. The company reported a record adjusted EBITDA of $19.7 million for the quarter and $39 million for the first half of the year. Rental revenue increased by 13% year-over-year to $39.6 million, driven by higher rented horsepower, a shift to larger horsepower units, and increased pricing. The company raised its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $76 million to $80 million. Furthermore, the rented horsepower reached an all-time high, and fleet utilization improved to 83.6%. The company initiated its first quarterly dividend and announced a share repurchase program, emphasizing strong cash generation and a favorable business outlook. Capital expenditures for the quarter totaled $25.8 million, and the company maintained a leverage ratio of 2.3%. Despite global market volatility, the company remains optimistic about continued momentum into 2026, supported by contracted growth and increasing demand for compression services.

Natural Gas Services Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Natural Gas Services Group demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and the company shows strong cash flow generation. While there are areas for improvement in profitability and operational efficiency, the overall financial position is positive, with a strong trajectory for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Natural Gas Services Group shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.79%. The gross profit margin has improved significantly to 53.14% in TTM, reflecting better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively stable at around 10.92%, indicating room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased slightly in TTM, suggesting potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.68, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity has improved to 6.94% in TTM, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio stands at 50.65%, reflecting a solid equity base. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a robust free cash flow growth of 50.15% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 2.73, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.46, which could indicate increased capital expenditures or other investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue164.11M156.74M121.17M84.83M72.42M68.06M
Gross Profit78.24M56.64M32.16M14.35M1.66M7.43M
EBITDA69.30M64.94M37.25M24.44M13.68M22.23M
Net Income17.92M17.23M4.75M-569.00K-9.18M1.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets525.53M492.53M478.73M328.25M298.51M306.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments325.00K2.14M2.75M3.37M22.94M28.93M
Total Debt182.16M170.15M164.00M25.35M285.00K900.00K
Total Liabilities259.31M237.47M242.84M98.17M62.60M55.26M
Stockholders Equity266.21M255.06M235.89M230.08M235.91M251.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.31M69.15M-135.91M-37.36M2.82M17.39M
Operating Cash Flow67.61M66.46M18.03M27.76M28.53M32.65M
Investing Cash Flow-88.52M-71.44M-153.89M-65.08M-25.66M-15.16M
Financing Cash Flow17.62M4.37M135.23M17.82M-8.85M-157.00K

Natural Gas Services Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.50
Price Trends
50DMA
25.01
Positive
100DMA
23.84
Positive
200DMA
24.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
57.13
Neutral
STOCH
77.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.67, above the 50-day MA of 25.01, and above the 200-day MA of 24.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NGS.

Natural Gas Services Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$635.74M5.5154.03%-3.23%1031.00%
74
Outperform
$339.90M18.437.00%0.37%14.77%34.74%
74
Outperform
$313.24M13.898.34%1.63%-3.22%55.46%
66
Neutral
$357.70M25.5315.85%21.72%98.73%
65
Neutral
$15.28B7.483.19%5.33%4.10%-60.58%
60
Neutral
$316.87M-28.21%3.86%-294.41%
53
Neutral
$348.41M49.070.95%-12.15%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
26.50
7.87
42.24%
FTK
Flotek
11.26
7.06
168.10%
FET
Forum Energy Tech
26.00
10.53
68.07%
OIS
Oil States International
5.51
0.90
19.52%
TTI
Tetra Technologies
4.69
1.88
66.90%
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services
14.15
2.70
23.58%

Natural Gas Services Group Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Natural Gas Services Group Initiates Dividend, Share Buyback
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Natural Gas Services Group reported a record second quarter in 2025, driven by exceptional field service and the performance of its smart-enabled large horsepower fleet. The company achieved an all-time high in rented horsepower, with strong rental revenue and gross margin. Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $19.7 million, contributing to a first-half adjusted EBITDA of $39 million. The company increased its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $76 to $80 million, supported by new large horsepower unit deployments. In July, NGS initiated its inaugural quarterly dividend and authorized a share repurchase program, highlighting its cash generation durability and confidence in its outlook. Despite ongoing market volatility, NGS remains optimistic about its growth prospects, driven by increasing demand for natural gas compression and a strong foundation for 2026.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Natural Gas Services Group Declares First Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. announced its Board of Directors declared the company’s first-ever quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share, amounting to $0.40 annually. This dividend, payable on August 22, 2025, signifies a milestone reflecting the company’s strong financial performance and commitment to shareholder value. The announcement also included the release schedule for the company’s second quarter 2025 financial results, set for August 11, 2025, with a conference call to follow on August 12, 2025.

Executive/Board Changes
Natural Gas Services Group Appoints New Chairman
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Natural Gas Services Group announced the transition of Stephen C. Taylor from Chairman of the Board to Chairman Emeritus, with Donald J. Tringali appointed as the new Chairman. Taylor, who has been instrumental in the company’s growth and transformation over the past two decades, will continue to serve as a director. His leadership saw the expansion of NGS into a national compression platform with significant growth in EBITDA. The transition marks a significant milestone, positioning NGS for continued success with Tringali bringing valuable corporate governance experience to his new role.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Natural Gas Services Group Holds Key Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Natural Gas Services Group held a shareholder meeting where several key proposals were voted on. The shareholders elected three directors for varying terms, approved executive compensation, amended the 2019 Equity Incentive Plan to increase shares and extend its term, and ratified the appointment of Ham, Langston & Brezina LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025