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Natural Gas Services Group (NGS)
NYSE:NGS

Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) AI Stock Analysis

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NGS

Natural Gas Services Group

(NYSE:NGS)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(10.84% Upside)
Natural Gas Services Group is demonstrating strong financial performance and positive technical indicators, supported by a robust earnings call that highlighted record-breaking metrics and increased guidance. The valuation is moderate, with a recent dividend introduction indicating confidence in future cash flows. Overall, the stock shows a strong potential for growth, driven by strategic investments and market share gains.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth in rental services indicates strong demand and market position, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Market Share Gains
Gaining market share with large horsepower contracts strengthens competitive position and ensures stable future revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Supply Chain Constraints
Extended lead times could hinder the ability to meet customer demand, potentially impacting revenue and customer satisfaction.
Operational Efficiency
Decreasing margins suggest potential inefficiencies, which could affect profitability if not addressed through operational improvements.
Income Tax Receivable Delays
Delays in tax receivable could impact short-term cash flow, affecting liquidity and financial planning if prolonged.

Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Natural Gas Services Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNatural Gas Services Group, Inc. provides natural gas compression services and equipment to the energy industry in the United States. It fabricates, manufactures, rents, and sells natural gas compressors and related equipment. The company primarily engages in the rental of compression units that provide small, medium, and large horsepower applications for unconventional oil and natural gas production. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 2,023 natural gas compression units in its rental fleet with 418,041 horsepower. The company also engages in the design, fabrication, and assembly of compressor components into compressor units for rental or sale; engineers and fabricates natural gas compressors; and designs and manufactures a line of reciprocating compressor frames, cylinders, and parts. In addition, it is involved in the design, fabrication, sale, installation, and service of flare stacks and related ignition and control devices for the onshore and offshore incineration of gas compounds, such as hydrogen sulfide, carbon dioxide, natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gases. Further, the company offers customer support services for its compressor and flare sales business; and exchange and rebuild program for small horsepower screw compressors. Its primary customers are exploration and production(E&P) companies that utilize compressor units for artificial lift applications; E&P companies that focuses on natural gas-weighted production; and midstream companies. Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyNatural Gas Services Group generates revenue through multiple streams. Primarily, the company earns money by selling and renting natural gas compression equipment, which is essential for the processing and transportation of natural gas. Additional revenue comes from providing aftermarket services, which include maintenance, repairs, and replacement parts for their equipment. NGS also engages in engineering and consulting services, which further contribute to its income. Strategic partnerships with major energy companies enhance its market presence and create opportunities for long-term contracts, thereby stabilizing and increasing revenue. The demand for natural gas and the ongoing need for efficient energy solutions support NGS's earnings potential.

Natural Gas Services Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive performance by NGS, with record-breaking metrics in several areas and successful market share gains. Despite challenges such as supply chain constraints and delays in tax receivable, the company's growth outlook remains robust, supported by strategic investments and technology leadership.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Quarter Across Key Metrics
NGS delivered a record quarter in total rented horsepower, horsepower utilization, adjusted EBITDA, and earnings per share driven by strong field service execution and technology-enabled uptime.
Significant Increase in Rented Horsepower
Rented horsepower increased by 27,000 during the quarter, with all new sets being large horsepower under long-term contracts, reflecting a strong market share gain.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth and Guidance Raise
Adjusted EBITDA reached $20.8 million, up 15% year-over-year, allowing NGS to raise full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $78 million to $81 million.
Introduction and Increase of Quarterly Dividend
NGS paid its inaugural quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share and announced a 10% increase for the fourth quarter to $0.11 per share.
Strong Rental Revenue Growth
Total rental revenue grew 11.1% year-over-year and 4.9% sequentially to $41.5 million.
Fleet Utilization and Efficiency Improvements
Fleet utilization reached a record 84.1%, with rental adjusted gross margin percentage improving by 19 basis points year-over-year.
Market Share Gains and Technology Leadership
NGS is taking market share with new technology and service excellence, reflected in the company's growth capital to EBITDA ratio being higher than competitors.
Negative Updates
Supply Chain Constraints
Lead times for new unit fabrication are approaching 60 weeks, which could impact the ability to meet customer demand in the first half of 2026.
Income Tax Receivable Delays
The income tax receivable is pending due to the federal government shutdown, delaying expected cash inflow.
Company Guidance
During the third-quarter earnings call, Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. provided guidance for fiscal year 2025, highlighting their record performance across multiple metrics. The company achieved a record in total rented horsepower, horsepower utilization, adjusted EBITDA, and earnings per share. Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $20.8 million, marking a year-over-year increase of approximately 15% and a sequential rise of 6%. Consequently, the company raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $78 million to $81 million, up from the previous $76 million to $80 million. Additionally, the company announced an inaugural quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share and plans to increase the fourth-quarter dividend by 10% to $0.11 per share. Looking forward to 2026, the company anticipates growth CapEx between $50 million to $70 million, driven by continued demand for compression services and significant contracted large horsepower units. The company's strong performance and robust market position allow them to balance growth investments with shareholder returns.

Natural Gas Services Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Natural Gas Services Group demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and the company shows strong cash flow generation. While there are areas for improvement in profitability and operational efficiency, the overall financial position is positive, with a strong trajectory for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Natural Gas Services Group shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.79%. The gross profit margin has improved significantly to 53.14% in TTM, reflecting better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively stable at around 10.92%, indicating room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased slightly in TTM, suggesting potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.68, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity has improved to 6.94% in TTM, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio stands at 50.65%, reflecting a solid equity base. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a robust free cash flow growth of 50.15% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 2.73, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.46, which could indicate increased capital expenditures or other investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue166.82M156.74M121.17M84.83M72.42M68.06M
Gross Profit79.85M56.64M32.16M14.35M1.66M7.43M
EBITDA72.00M64.94M37.25M24.44M13.68M22.23M
Net Income18.69M17.23M4.75M-569.00K-9.18M1.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets562.31M492.53M478.73M328.25M306.49M306.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.002.14M2.75M3.37M22.94M28.93M
Total Debt208.00M170.15M165.26M25.35M285.00K900.00K
Total Liabilities290.89M237.47M242.84M98.17M70.58M55.26M
Stockholders Equity271.42M255.06M235.89M230.08M235.91M251.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-44.26M-6.39M-135.91M-37.36M2.58M17.39M
Operating Cash Flow57.21M65.50M18.03M27.76M28.29M32.65M
Investing Cash Flow-101.58M-71.44M-153.89M-65.08M-25.66M-15.16M
Financing Cash Flow43.96M5.33M135.23M17.75M-8.61M-157.00K

Natural Gas Services Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.48
Price Trends
50DMA
29.63
Positive
100DMA
27.90
Positive
200DMA
25.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.83
Positive
RSI
58.18
Neutral
STOCH
29.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.01, above the 50-day MA of 29.63, and above the 200-day MA of 25.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NGS.

Natural Gas Services Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$408.24M21.957.15%0.65%9.53%15.48%
76
Outperform
$488.74M18.2129.09%23.56%242.78%
71
Outperform
$410.45M18.323.31%-11.02%
70
Neutral
$298.70M21.095.54%1.74%-5.47%2.24%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$405.97M-3.77-31.11%-1.29%-123.25%
61
Neutral
$195.13M-19.95-7.48%-18.29%-43.05%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
32.68
7.30
28.76%
FTK
Flotek
17.79
9.44
113.05%
FET
Forum Energy Tech
36.38
21.39
142.70%
OIS
Oil States International
6.87
2.10
44.03%
GEOS
Geospace Technologies
15.22
5.05
49.66%
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services
13.82
-0.36
-2.54%

Natural Gas Services Group Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Natural Gas Services Group Reports Record Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Natural Gas Services Group reported record results for the third quarter of 2025, driven by strong field service execution and technology-enabled uptime. The company achieved significant increases in total rented horsepower, horsepower utilization, adjusted EBITDA, and earnings per share. This performance allowed NGS to raise its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance and announce an inaugural quarterly dividend. The company continues to expand its market share in large-horsepower compression and is optimistic about future growth opportunities, supported by strong demand for compression in oil production and rising electricity demand.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Natural Gas Services Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Natural Gas Services Group announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a strong performance with a 11.1% year-over-year increase in rental revenue and a 14.6% rise in Adjusted EBITDA. The company raised its full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $78 – $81 million, reflecting continued business strength and increased demand for its large horsepower compression units. Additionally, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.11 per share, payable on December 3, 2025, indicating confidence in cash generation and a disciplined capital allocation strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025