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Natural Gas Services Group (NGS)
NYSE:NGS
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Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) AI Stock Analysis

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NGS

Natural Gas Services Group

(NYSE:NGS)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(18.76% Upside)
Natural Gas Services Group shows strong financial performance and positive technical indicators, supported by strategic corporate actions like dividend initiation and share buybacks. While valuation metrics suggest fair pricing, the company's growth prospects and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation for future performance.
Positive Factors
Earnings
NGS reported 1Q25 results above expectations and slightly increased the midpoint of 2025 EBITDA guidance.
Financial Health
NGS ended 4Q24 with a leverage ratio well below the covenant, indicating strong financial health.
Financial Performance
The higher adjusted gross margin led to 4Q24 EBITDA exceeding estimates, showing strong operational performance.
Negative Factors
Market Dependence
Demand for NGS’s compression services is closely linked to exploration and production activity levels and the price of natural gas.

Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Natural Gas Services Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNatural Gas Services Group, Inc. provides natural gas compression services and equipment to the energy industry in the United States. It fabricates, manufactures, rents, and sells natural gas compressors and related equipment. The company primarily engages in the rental of compression units that provide small, medium, and large horsepower applications for unconventional oil and natural gas production. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 2,023 natural gas compression units in its rental fleet with 418,041 horsepower. The company also engages in the design, fabrication, and assembly of compressor components into compressor units for rental or sale; engineers and fabricates natural gas compressors; and designs and manufactures a line of reciprocating compressor frames, cylinders, and parts. In addition, it is involved in the design, fabrication, sale, installation, and service of flare stacks and related ignition and control devices for the onshore and offshore incineration of gas compounds, such as hydrogen sulfide, carbon dioxide, natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gases. Further, the company offers customer support services for its compressor and flare sales business; and exchange and rebuild program for small horsepower screw compressors. Its primary customers are exploration and production(E&P) companies that utilize compressor units for artificial lift applications; E&P companies that focuses on natural gas-weighted production; and midstream companies. Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyNGS generates revenue primarily through the rental and sale of natural gas compression equipment and services. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes long-term rentals, short-term rentals, and outright sales of equipment. Key revenue streams come from contracts with oil and gas producers and midstream companies that require compression services to move natural gas through pipelines. Additionally, NGS may engage in maintenance and support services for its equipment, which can provide recurring revenue. Strategic partnerships with energy companies and involvement in large-scale natural gas projects further enhance its earnings potential, as these collaborations can lead to long-term contracts and increased market share.

Natural Gas Services Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record rental revenue, improved gross margins, and a solid balance sheet. However, concerns were noted regarding market volatility and increased SG&A expenses. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains optimistic due to the company's strategic initiatives and financial resilience.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Rental Revenue
Rental revenue hit a quarterly record of $38.9 million, a 15% increase compared to the prior year quarter and 2% sequentially.
Adjusted EBITDA Achievement
Adjusted EBITDA of $19.3 million in the quarter, marking a record number.
Strong Balance Sheet
Finished the quarter at 2.18x leverage with significant margin of safety and organic growth potential.
High Adjusted Gross Margin
Adjusted rental gross margin of 61.9%, one of the highest levels achieved in the past decade.
Improved Days Receivable
Days receivable improved from 118 days a year ago to 35 days, maintaining this progress.
Expanded Credit Facility
In April, expanded revolving facility from $300 million to $400 million with improved terms.
Negative Updates
Volatile Commodity Markets
Market volatility observed with WTI prices fluctuating, creating potential uncertainty.
Net Income Decrease Year-over-Year
Net income for the quarter was $4.9 million, down from $5.1 million in the prior year period.
SG&A Expenses Increase
SG&A expenses rose by $0.7 million year-on-year to $5.4 million.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter 2025 earnings call for Natural Gas Services Group, guidance was provided indicating strong financial performance despite market volatility. Rental revenue reached a quarterly record of $38.9 million, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase. The adjusted rental gross margin was 61.9%, while adjusted EBITDA was a record $19.3 million. The company maintained a leverage ratio of 2.18x, with significant available credit following the expansion of their revolving facility to $400 million. The CEO emphasized the continuation of robust market demand for compression, with 2025 unit deliveries on target and further growth expected in 2026. The company is focusing on asset utilization, fleet expansion, and M&A, with expectations for sustained performance and strategic investments in technology and partnerships to drive value creation.

Natural Gas Services Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Natural Gas Services Group demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and the company shows strong cash flow generation. While there are areas for improvement in profitability and operational efficiency, the overall financial position is positive, with a strong trajectory for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Natural Gas Services Group shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.79%. The gross profit margin has improved significantly to 53.14% in TTM, reflecting better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively stable at around 10.92%, indicating room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased slightly in TTM, suggesting potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.68, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity has improved to 6.94% in TTM, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio stands at 50.65%, reflecting a solid equity base. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a robust free cash flow growth of 50.15% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 2.73, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.46, which could indicate increased capital expenditures or other investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue164.11M156.74M121.17M84.83M72.42M68.06M
Gross Profit78.24M56.64M32.16M14.35M1.66M7.43M
EBITDA69.30M64.94M37.25M24.44M13.68M22.23M
Net Income17.92M17.23M4.75M-569.00K-9.18M1.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets525.53M492.53M478.73M328.25M298.51M306.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments325.00K2.14M2.75M3.37M22.94M28.93M
Total Debt182.16M170.15M164.00M25.35M285.00K900.00K
Total Liabilities259.31M237.47M242.84M98.17M62.60M55.26M
Stockholders Equity266.21M255.06M235.89M230.08M235.91M251.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.31M69.15M-135.91M-37.36M2.82M17.39M
Operating Cash Flow67.61M66.46M18.03M27.76M28.53M32.65M
Investing Cash Flow-88.52M-71.44M-153.89M-65.08M-25.66M-15.16M
Financing Cash Flow17.62M4.37M135.23M17.82M-8.85M-157.00K

Natural Gas Services Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.42
Price Trends
50DMA
24.94
Negative
100DMA
23.04
Positive
200DMA
24.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
49.03
Neutral
STOCH
58.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.33, below the 50-day MA of 24.94, and above the 200-day MA of 24.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NGS.

Natural Gas Services Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$527.79M4.5754.03%-3.23%1031.00%
74
Outperform
$305.53M17.157.00%0.41%14.77%34.74%
73
Outperform
$278.72M12.928.34%1.80%-3.22%55.46%
65
Neutral
$14.84B8.622.77%5.45%4.51%-62.52%
65
Neutral
$358.59M27.0515.85%21.72%98.73%
52
Neutral
$305.39M44.430.95%-12.15%
50
Neutral
$275.32M-28.21%3.86%-294.41%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
24.42
2.34
10.60%
FTK
Flotek
11.93
7.68
180.71%
FET
Forum Energy Tech
23.48
6.95
42.04%
OIS
Oil States International
4.99
-0.16
-3.11%
TTI
Tetra Technologies
3.92
0.74
23.27%
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services
12.58
1.18
10.35%

Natural Gas Services Group Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Natural Gas Services Group Initiates Dividend, Share Buyback
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Natural Gas Services Group reported a record second quarter in 2025, driven by exceptional field service and the performance of its smart-enabled large horsepower fleet. The company achieved an all-time high in rented horsepower, with strong rental revenue and gross margin. Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $19.7 million, contributing to a first-half adjusted EBITDA of $39 million. The company increased its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $76 to $80 million, supported by new large horsepower unit deployments. In July, NGS initiated its inaugural quarterly dividend and authorized a share repurchase program, highlighting its cash generation durability and confidence in its outlook. Despite ongoing market volatility, NGS remains optimistic about its growth prospects, driven by increasing demand for natural gas compression and a strong foundation for 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGS) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natural Gas Services Group stock, see the NGS Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Natural Gas Services Group Declares First Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. announced its Board of Directors declared the company’s first-ever quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share, amounting to $0.40 annually. This dividend, payable on August 22, 2025, signifies a milestone reflecting the company’s strong financial performance and commitment to shareholder value. The announcement also included the release schedule for the company’s second quarter 2025 financial results, set for August 11, 2025, with a conference call to follow on August 12, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGS) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natural Gas Services Group stock, see the NGS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Natural Gas Services Group Appoints New Chairman
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Natural Gas Services Group announced the transition of Stephen C. Taylor from Chairman of the Board to Chairman Emeritus, with Donald J. Tringali appointed as the new Chairman. Taylor, who has been instrumental in the company’s growth and transformation over the past two decades, will continue to serve as a director. His leadership saw the expansion of NGS into a national compression platform with significant growth in EBITDA. The transition marks a significant milestone, positioning NGS for continued success with Tringali bringing valuable corporate governance experience to his new role.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGS) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natural Gas Services Group stock, see the NGS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Natural Gas Services Group Holds Key Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Natural Gas Services Group held a shareholder meeting where several key proposals were voted on. The shareholders elected three directors for varying terms, approved executive compensation, amended the 2019 Equity Incentive Plan to increase shares and extend its term, and ratified the appointment of Ham, Langston & Brezina LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (NGS) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natural Gas Services Group stock, see the NGS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025