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Archrock, Inc. (AROC)
NYSE:AROC

Archrock (AROC) AI Stock Analysis

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AROC

Archrock

(NYSE:AROC)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
â–²(9.24% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/02/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (improving profitability and robust operating cash flow) and supportive earnings call takeaways (constructive 2026 guidance, contracted backlog, and improving leverage). Valuation is also favorable with a low P/E and moderate yield. Technicals are the main offset, reflecting mixed near-term momentum despite a broader uptrend.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Consistent, strengthening operating cash flow demonstrates durable cash conversion that funds growth CapEx, dividends and buybacks without relying on equity. Strong OCF coverage vs. net income (2.0–2.3x) improves financial flexibility and supports multi-year investment plans.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Material leverage historically increases financial risk in a cyclical services business, constraining flexibility if commodity-driven demand softens. Incomplete 2025 balance sheet detail adds uncertainty around current covenant headroom and true year-end leverage metrics.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Consistent, strengthening operating cash flow demonstrates durable cash conversion that funds growth CapEx, dividends and buybacks without relying on equity. Strong OCF coverage vs. net income (2.0–2.3x) improves financial flexibility and supports multi-year investment plans.
Read all positive factors

Archrock (AROC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Archrock Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Archrock, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Contract Operations and Aftermarket Services. The company engages in the designing, sourcing, owning, i...
How the Company Makes Money
Archrock primarily makes money by providing natural gas compression as a service under multi-year, fixed-fee contracts. Under these arrangements, Archrock installs its compression units at customer sites, operates and maintains the equipment, and ...

Archrock Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated strong operational and financial execution in 2025 — including substantial earnings growth, high contract margins, sustained >95% utilization, disciplined capital allocation, and a healthier leverage profile — while transparently noting discrete items that affect comparability, asset sales that reduce near-term EBITDA, extended supply-chain lead times and elevated maintenance CapEx. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance, a contracted backlog, and continued focus on returns, suggesting confidence in durable demand. The positive operating and financial momentum materially outweighs the identified, manageable challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
Adjusted EPS increased 68% year-over-year and adjusted EBITDA increased 51% year-over-year. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $269 million and full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA was $901 million (or $846 million excluding certain discrete items). Net income was $117 million in Q4 and $322 million for the full year.
Negative Updates
Discrete Items and Comparability Noise
2025 results included discrete benefits that impacted comparability: $23 million of prior‑period sales/use tax settlements and credits and $32 million of net gains on asset sales. Management notes these items create a ~$98 million impact when comparing 2025 to 2026 adjusted EBITDA and make year-over-year comparisons noisier.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Earnings Growth
Adjusted EPS increased 68% year-over-year and adjusted EBITDA increased 51% year-over-year. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $269 million and full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA was $901 million (or $846 million excluding certain discrete items). Net income was $117 million in Q4 and $322 million for the full year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Archrock guided 2026 to adjusted EBITDA of $865–$915 million (midpoint $890M), total CapEx of $400–$445 million comprising growth CapEx $250–$275 million (expected to add ~170,000 HP with ~60% of that starting up in H1), maintenance CapEx $125–$135 million and other CapEx $25–$35 million, with CapEx funded by operations (and potential modest support from nonstrategic asset sales); management expects to operate below 3.0x leverage (year‑end 2025 leverage 2.7x), exited 2025 with $2.4B total debt and $579M liquidity (pro forma >$1.3B after an $800M bond), an 85%‑contracted backlog (with 2027 bookings already), continued capital returns (Q4 dividend up to $0.22/share or $0.88 annualized with 4.9x quarterly coverage and $117.7M remaining repurchase authorization), and called out a $98M year‑over‑year bridge impact (including $47M of 2025 asset‑sale gains and ~ $33M of tax settlements), of which about $18M reduces 2026 EBITDA—while highlighting strong segment profitability (contract operations adjusted gross margin ~78% / underlying operating profitability ~71.5%; Aftermarket Services gross margin ~24%).

Archrock Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong operating trend and cash generation: 2022–2024 revenue rose consistently and profitability improved materially (2024 net margin ~14.9%, EBIT margin ~31.7%). Operating cash flow strengthened meaningfully through 2024 and exceeded net income in 2023–2024, supporting earnings quality. Offsets are elevated leverage in 2022–2024 and volatility/uncertainty in 2025 dataset completeness (several 2025 annual line items are missing/zeroed), which reduces confidence in latest-year trend verification.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.49B1.16B990.34M845.57M781.46M
Gross Profit723.63M699.09M541.32M426.08M422.54M
EBITDA850.41M559.97M424.68M308.90M315.38M
Net Income322.29M172.23M105.00M44.30M28.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.35B3.82B2.66B2.60B2.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.55M4.42M1.34M1.57M1.57M
Total Debt2.42B2.21B1.60B1.56B1.55B
Total Liabilities2.86B2.50B1.78B1.74B1.70B
Stockholders Equity1.49B1.32B871.02M860.69M891.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow119.64M70.56M11.55M-36.42M139.51M
Operating Cash Flow622.11M429.59M310.19M203.45M237.40M
Investing Cash Flow-606.90M-1.16B-232.49M-130.92M16.11M
Financing Cash Flow-18.07M733.55M-77.92M-72.54M-253.03M

Archrock Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.70
Price Trends
50DMA
33.90
Positive
100DMA
29.55
Positive
200DMA
26.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Positive
RSI
55.38
Neutral
STOCH
47.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AROC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.53, above the 50-day MA of 33.90, and above the 200-day MA of 26.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AROC.

Archrock Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.25B9.7022.73%3.08%31.94%64.74%
76
Outperform
$6.92B3.6238.72%―6.81%-61.94%
74
Outperform
$5.17B40.036.27%4.86%19.43%164.71%
70
Outperform
$480.97M21.177.43%0.63%9.53%15.48%
69
Neutral
$4.10B24.95-178.66%9.11%6.66%43.66%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
$6.90B40.102.26%3.24%-1.43%-63.13%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AROC
Archrock
35.87
14.27
66.06%
NOV
NOV
19.59
8.49
76.55%
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
38.22
20.20
112.14%
USAC
USA Compression
27.69
6.66
31.65%
VAL
Valaris
98.09
68.05
226.53%
KGS
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
60.23
29.59
96.59%

Archrock Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Archrock Redeems $800 Million Senior Notes, Streamlines Debt
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
On April 1, 2026, Archrock Partners, L.P., a wholly owned unit of Archrock Inc., redeemed the entire $800 million aggregate principal amount of its outstanding 6.25% senior notes due 2028. The transaction retires a significant slice of the partner...
Executive/Board Changes
Archrock Announces Planned CFO Retirement and Leadership Transition
Neutral
Mar 26, 2026
On March 25, 2026, Archrock announced that Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Douglas S. Aron has informed the company of his intention to retire by the end of 2026 or once a successor is appointed. The company has retained an execu...
Business Operations and Strategy
Archrock Announces Full Redemption of 2028 Senior Notes
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
On February 26, 2026, Archrock Inc. announced that its wholly owned subsidiary Archrock Partners, L.P. plans to redeem all $800 million of its outstanding 6.25% senior notes due 2028. The move affects notes co-issued by Archrock Partners Finance C...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Archrock Posts Strong Q4 2025 Results, Raises Dividend
Positive
Feb 25, 2026
Archrock reported strong fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 24, 2026, with revenue rising to $377.1 million for the quarter and $1.49 billion for the year, alongside net income of $116.8 million for the quarter and $322.3 millio...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Archrock Launches 2026 Executive Pay and Incentive Plan
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
On February 18, 2026, Archrock’s board compensation committee approved a new 2026 short-term incentive program that sets cash bonus targets for its named executive officers as a percentage of eligible earnings, ranging from 75% to 125%. Payo...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Archrock Completes $800 Million Senior Notes Private Placement
Positive
Jan 21, 2026
On January 21, 2026, Archrock Services, L.P. and its co-issuer Archrock Partners Finance Corp. completed a private placement of $800 million in 6.000% senior notes due 2034, fully and unconditionally guaranteed on a senior unsecured basis by Archr...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Archrock Prices Upsized 2034 Senior Notes Private Offering
Positive
Jan 7, 2026
On December 15, 2025, Archrock announced that its subsidiaries Archrock Services, L.P. and Archrock Partners Finance Corp. had priced an upsized $800 million private offering of 6.000% senior notes due 2034 at par, with the transaction documented ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Archrock Announces $500 Million Senior Notes Private Offering
Positive
Jan 6, 2026
On January 6, 2026, Archrock, Inc. announced that its wholly owned subsidiary Archrock Services, L.P., together with Archrock Partners Finance Corp. as co-issuer, plans to launch a private offering of $500 million in senior notes due 2034 to eligi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2026