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Archrock, Inc. (AROC)
NYSE:AROC

Archrock (AROC) AI Stock Analysis

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AROC

Archrock

(NYSE:AROC)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(14.44% Upside)
Archrock's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company shows robust revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow generation, supported by a strong operational outlook. Technical analysis indicates a positive trend, although nearing overbought conditions. Valuation is reasonable, with an attractive dividend yield. Challenges include commodity price volatility and extended equipment lead times.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, supporting operational needs and potential strategic investments.
High Fleet Utilization
High fleet utilization indicates efficient asset use and strong demand for services, supporting sustained revenue and profitability.
Negative Factors
Commodity Price Volatility
Volatile commodity prices can impact revenue stability and profitability, posing risks to long-term financial performance.
Extended Equipment Lead Times
Extended lead times can hinder the company's ability to meet market demands promptly, affecting growth and customer satisfaction.
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Archrock (AROC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Archrock Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArchrock, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Contract Operations and Aftermarket Services. The company engages in the designing, sourcing, owning, installing, operating, servicing, repairing, and maintaining its owned fleet of natural gas compression equipment to provide natural gas compression services to customers in the oil and natural gas industry. It also offers various aftermarket services, such as sale of parts and components; and provision of operation, maintenance, overhaul, and reconfiguration services to customers who own compression equipment. The company was formerly known as Exterran Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Archrock, Inc. in November 2015. Archrock, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyArchrock generates revenue primarily through its Contract Compression Services, which involves leasing and maintaining natural gas compressors for customers in the oil and gas sector. This segment provides a steady stream of income through long-term contracts that ensure consistent cash flow. Additionally, the Parts & Service segment contributes to revenue by offering maintenance services, spare parts, and customer support, further enhancing the company's profitability. Strategic partnerships with major energy companies and a focus on operational efficiency also play significant roles in driving earnings, as they enable Archrock to secure long-term contracts and optimize service delivery.

Archrock Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Archrock reported strong financial and operational performance with significant increases in adjusted EPS and EBITDA, a robust dividend and share repurchase program, and high fleet utilization. The company also has a positive outlook on natural gas demand driven by LNG exports and AI power generation. However, challenges include commodity price volatility, extended equipment lead times, and slight declines in revenue per average operating horsepower.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Adjusted EPS and EBITDA
Compared to the third quarter of 2024, Archrock increased its adjusted EPS by 50% and adjusted EBITDA by more than 46%, showcasing strong operational and financial performance.
Strong Dividend and Share Repurchase Program
Archrock's quarterly dividend per share was up 20% compared to a year ago, with a robust dividend coverage of 3.7x. The company has repurchased more than 3.9 million shares since April 2023.
High Utilization and Fleet Performance
The company's fleet utilization remained at a high rate of 96% for the quarter, maintaining utilization in the mid-90s range for the past 12 quarters.
Positive Outlook on Natural Gas Demand
Archrock expects natural gas demand growth driven by LNG exports and AI-driven power generation, with an expected call on U.S. natural gas production of an incremental 20 to 25 Bcf a day by 2030.
Reduction in Leverage Ratio
The company's leverage ratio at quarter-end was 3.1x, down from 3.3x at the end of the second quarter of 2025, indicating stronger financial stability.
Negative Updates
Commodity Price Volatility and Oil Rig Count Declines
The current environment is characterized by commodity price volatility, oil rig count declines, and the possibility that oil volumes could flatten or even decline slightly in 2026.
Slight Decline in Revenue Per Average Operating Horsepower
Third quarter 2025 revenue per average operating horsepower per month declined slightly compared to the second quarter of 2025 due to the sale of high-pressure gas lift units and the impact of the NGCSI fleet acquisition.
Extended Lead Times for Equipment
Lead times for Caterpillar engines have extended to 60 weeks, impacting the company's ability to rapidly respond to market demands.
Company Guidance
During the Archrock Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company highlighted its robust performance and provided updated guidance for the year. Archrock reported a 50% increase in adjusted EPS and a 46% rise in adjusted EBITDA compared to Q3 2024. The company maintained a sector-leading leverage ratio of 3.1x and a dividend coverage of 3.7x, with a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend per share year-over-year. Since the launch of its share repurchase program in April 2023, Archrock has bought back over 3.9 million shares at an average price of $20.21. The company raised its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $835 million-$850 million and reported a net income of $71 million for the quarter. Growth CapEx guidance for 2026 is set at not less than $250 million, aligning with levels since 2023, while the company continues to anticipate positive free cash flow. Archrock’s fleet utilization remained high at 96%, with stop activity at historically low levels and an average compressor time on location exceeding six years, reflecting strong market dynamics and operational efficiency.

Archrock Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Archrock demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow generation. The company effectively manages its operations, as evidenced by healthy margins and a robust ROE. While leverage remains a consideration, the consistent equity base and improved cash flow position mitigate associated risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Archrock's income statement shows strong performance with a consistent upward trajectory in revenue and profitability. The TTM data reveals a gross profit margin of 34.02% and a net profit margin of 18.43%, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. Revenue growth has been robust, with a 6.69% increase in the latest period, reflecting strong market demand. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 35.76% and 52.92%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin compared to the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81, which is relatively high but manageable within the industry context. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 19.28%, indicating effective use of equity capital to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 32.26%, suggesting a balanced approach to financing with a reasonable level of equity supporting the asset base. While leverage is on the higher side, the company has maintained a consistent equity base, mitigating some risk.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Archrock's cash flow statement highlights significant improvement in free cash flow, with an impressive growth rate of 822.81% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.59, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 29.02% suggests that a substantial portion of earnings is being converted into free cash flow, enhancing financial flexibility. Despite past volatility, the recent trends in cash flow are positive and support the company's operational needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.44B1.16B990.34M845.57M781.46M874.97M
Gross Profit921.13M699.09M541.32M426.08M422.54M497.78M
EBITDA760.48M559.97M424.68M308.90M315.38M392.68M
Net Income265.28M172.23M105.00M44.30M28.22M-68.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.41B3.82B2.66B2.60B2.59B2.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.08M4.42M1.34M1.57M1.57M1.10M
Total Debt2.57B2.21B1.60B1.56B1.55B1.71B
Total Liabilities2.99B2.50B1.78B1.74B1.70B1.84B
Stockholders Equity1.42B1.32B871.02M860.69M891.44M935.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.31M70.56M11.55M-36.42M139.51M194.98M
Operating Cash Flow531.97M429.59M310.19M203.45M237.40M335.28M
Investing Cash Flow-647.78M-1.16B-232.49M-130.92M16.11M-85.03M
Financing Cash Flow116.14M733.55M-77.92M-72.54M-253.03M-252.84M

Archrock Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.34
Price Trends
50DMA
24.63
Positive
100DMA
24.45
Positive
200DMA
24.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
54.24
Neutral
STOCH
42.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AROC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.92, above the 50-day MA of 24.63, and above the 200-day MA of 24.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AROC.

Archrock Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.44B16.8619.33%3.16%31.94%64.74%
78
Outperform
$408.24M21.957.15%0.65%9.53%15.48%
76
Outperform
$3.44B8.8317.49%6.81%-61.94%
72
Outperform
$5.72B15.655.93%3.25%-1.43%-63.13%
70
Outperform
$2.78B28.269.27%6.66%43.66%
68
Neutral
$3.11B45.965.86%4.96%19.43%164.71%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AROC
Archrock
25.34
1.59
6.69%
NOV
NOV
15.67
1.90
13.80%
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
32.48
7.96
32.46%
USAC
USA Compression
22.65
1.97
9.53%
VAL
Valaris
49.51
8.54
20.84%
KGS
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
36.31
-1.81
-4.75%

Archrock Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Archrock Shifts to Online Platform for Updates
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Archrock, Inc. released an investor presentation on its website, indicating a shift towards using its online platform for future updates, potentially impacting how investors access company information.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Archrock Plans Redemption of Senior Notes
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Archrock Inc. announced that its subsidiary, Archrock Partners, L.P., plans to redeem all $300 million of its outstanding 6.875% senior notes due in 2027. The redemption is scheduled for November 17, 2025, and will be executed at the principal amount plus accrued interest. This move may impact Archrock’s financial structure and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025