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Weatherford International (WFRD)
NASDAQ:WFRD

Weatherford International (WFRD) AI Stock Analysis

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Weatherford International

(NASDAQ:WFRD)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:―
Weatherford International's overall stock score reflects a solid financial foundation with strong profitability and efficient cash management. However, technical indicators reveal bearish sentiment, and the earnings call highlighted significant challenges, including revenue declines and market uncertainties. Despite these headwinds, the company's attractive valuation and strategic initiatives offer some optimism for long-term performance.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Weatherford International's 4Q adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow exceeded consensus expectations, indicating strong financial performance in the quarter.
Shareholder Returns
Shareholder distributions are expected to exceed $200mn or 41% of FCF, driven by an expected increase in share repurchase activity.
Valuation
Valuation on updated estimates remains compelling in both absolute and relative terms to its larger peers.
Negative Factors
EBITDA Guidance
The company's 1Q adjusted EBITDA guidance is below consensus, suggesting a challenging start to the year.
Market Exposure
Weatherford’s weakness tied to outsized Mexico exposure continues to plague near-term results as Pemex activity has declined by more than originally expected.
Revenue Forecast
With the declines intensifying beyond expectations, the revenue forecast for WFRD has been reduced by 2%.

Weatherford International (WFRD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Weatherford International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWeatherford International plc, an energy services company, provides equipment and services for the drilling, evaluation, completion, production, and intervention of oil, geothermal, and natural gas wells worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Western Hemisphere and Eastern Hemisphere. It offers artificial lift systems, including reciprocating rod, progressing cavity pumping, gas, hydraulic, plunger, and hybrid lift systems, as well as related automation and control systems; pressure pumping and reservoir stimulation services, such as acidizing, fracturing, cementing, and coiled-tubing intervention; and drill stem test tools, surface well testing, and multiphase flow measurement services. The company also provides safety, downhole reservoir monitoring, flow control, and multistage fracturing systems, as well as sand-control technologies, and production and isolation packers; liner hangers to suspend a casing string in high-temperature and high-pressure wells; cementing products, including plugs, float and stage equipment, and torque-and-drag reduction technology for zonal isolation; and pre-job planning and installation services. In addition, it offers directional drilling services, and logging and measurement services while drilling; services related to rotary-steerable systems, high-temperature and high-pressure sensors, drilling reamers, and circulation subs; rotating control devices and advanced automated control systems, as well as closed-loop drilling, air drilling, managed-pressure drilling, and underbalanced drilling services; open hole and cased-hole logging services; and intervention and remediation services. Further, the company provides tubular handling, management, and connection services; and re-entry, fishing, wellbore cleaning, and well abandonment services, as well as patented bottom hole, tubularhandling equipment, pressure-control equipment, and drill pipe and collars. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyWeatherford International generates revenue through a diversified portfolio of products and services tailored to the needs of the oil and gas industry. The company earns money by providing drilling services, well construction, and completion solutions, which are critical for the exploration and development of oil and gas reserves. Additionally, Weatherford offers production optimization technologies and reservoir evaluation services, which help clients maximize the output and efficiency of their existing assets. Key revenue streams include service contracts, equipment sales, and maintenance agreements. Strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with major oil and gas companies also play a significant role in driving the company's earnings.

Weatherford International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weatherford International exhibits a solid financial recovery and operational efficiency. The income statement reflects strong profitability and growth, while the balance sheet shows improved leverage and equity strength. Cash flow metrics indicate robust cash generation capabilities, although there are signs of slowing revenue growth. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory, with a need to ensure sustained revenue and equity growth to mitigate potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Weatherford International has demonstrated a strong recovery in its income statement, with a significant improvement in profitability and revenue growth. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is robust at 48.36%, and the Net Profit Margin is healthy at 8.79%. Revenue growth from 2022 to 2023 was 18.54%, showcasing a positive trend. EBIT and EBITDA Margins are also solid, indicating efficient cost management. However, the slight decline in revenue from 2024 to 2025 suggests potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strengthening financial position, with a reduction in total debt and an increase in stockholders' equity, leading to a lower Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.16 in TTM. The Return on Equity for the TTM period is impressive at 34.56%, indicative of effective capital utilization. The Equity Ratio of 31.23% suggests moderate financial leverage, but the industry-standard could be higher for stability. Continued improvement in equity levels would enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Weatherford's cash flow shows healthy operational cash generation with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.71 in TTM, indicating strong cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.20 suggests solid free cash flow generation. While the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is negative due to a decrease from the prior year, the company still maintains a positive free cash flow, which is crucial for reinvestment and debt reduction.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.35B5.51B5.13B4.33B3.65B3.69B
Gross Profit
1.77B1.91B1.74B1.31B929.00M878.00M
EBIT
850.00M938.00M820.00M317.00M-83.00M-1.55B
EBITDA
1.08B1.24B1.01B761.00M357.00M-1.04B
Net Income Common Stockholders
470.00M506.00M417.00M51.00M-429.00M-1.90B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
873.00M916.00M958.00M910.00M951.00M1.12B
Total Assets
5.05B5.16B5.07B4.72B4.77B5.43B
Total Debt
1.76B1.79B2.06B2.41B2.62B2.86B
Net Debt
886.00M872.00M1.10B1.50B1.66B1.74B
Total Liabilities
3.69B3.88B4.15B4.17B4.28B4.50B
Stockholders Equity
1.35B1.28B924.00M551.00M496.00M937.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
486.00M493.00M623.00M217.00M237.00M56.00M
Operating Cash Flow
803.00M792.00M832.00M349.00M322.00M210.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-318.00M-293.00M-289.00M-54.00M-83.00M-75.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-457.00M-511.00M-514.00M-248.00M-403.00M348.00M

Weatherford International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price45.46
Price Trends
50DMA
47.18
Negative
100DMA
56.61
Negative
200DMA
72.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
47.12
Neutral
STOCH
35.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WFRD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.21, below the 50-day MA of 47.18, and below the 200-day MA of 72.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WFRD.

Weatherford International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FTFTI
77
Outperform
$13.08B16.1827.24%0.64%14.26%294.37%
BKBKR
74
Outperform
$36.99B12.7518.04%2.30%6.22%62.58%
HAHAL
73
Outperform
$17.61B8.5820.99%3.32%-2.54%-17.53%
SLSLB
72
Outperform
$47.02B11.7320.82%3.21%5.83%-2.03%
NONOV
71
Outperform
$4.72B8.389.29%2.39%0.54%-39.88%
67
Neutral
$3.42B7.5038.48%1.59%0.77%1.69%
57
Neutral
$7.14B3.33-3.45%5.75%0.66%-50.76%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WFRD
Weatherford International
45.46
-67.67
-59.82%
BKR
Baker Hughes Company
36.65
5.56
17.88%
FTI
TechnipFMC
29.88
4.47
17.59%
HAL
Halliburton
19.90
-15.26
-43.40%
NOV
NOV
12.19
-5.71
-31.90%
SLB
Schlumberger
33.87
-11.25
-24.93%

Weatherford International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive achievements, such as strong free cash flow and successful technology deployments, alongside significant challenges, including revenue declines in key regions and market uncertainties due to global trade tensions. The call highlighted Weatherford's strategic portfolio optimization and strong capital return program, offset by cautious outlooks and restructuring efforts.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow
Weatherford reported adjusted free cash flow of $66 million for Q1 2025, with a free cash flow conversion rate of 26.1% compared to 24.4% in Q1 2024, driven by strong collections.
Middle East and Asia Growth
Year-on-year growth in the Middle East and Asia regions demonstrated resilience and stability, contributing positively to Weatherford's performance.
Successful Technology Deployments
Weatherford achieved advancements in technology adoption, including the installation of the first OptiROSS RFID Multi-Cycle Sliding Sleeve Valve for Petrobras in Brazil and strong uptake of the ForeSite Power Regenerative variable speed drive in North America.
Portfolio Optimization
Strategic divestitures in Argentina, including the Pressure Pumping and Wireline businesses, are expected to improve portfolio quality and focus on differentiated product lines.
Capital Return Program
Weatherford has paid three quarterly dividends of $0.25 per share and repurchased approximately $152 million worth of shares over the past three quarters.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline in Key Regions
Activity levels in Mexico dropped around 60% year-over-year, North America continued its downward trend by 4% sequentially, and Europe softened due to operator cutbacks in the UK amidst an unfavorable policy environment.
Uncertain Market Outlook
The overall international market has softened, with substantial drops in Mexico and reduced U.S. land activity levels, leading to a cautious outlook due to lower commodity prices and increased global trade uncertainties.
Impact of Divestitures
The divestiture of Argentina's Pressure Pumping and Wireline businesses, while improving portfolio quality, results in revenue and EBITDA reductions in Weatherford's results.
Potential Global Trade and Tariff Impacts
Recent U.S. tariffs and retaliatory tariffs have added significant uncertainty to the market, potentially causing demand destruction in the short- to mid-term.
Headcount Reductions and Restructuring Charges
Weatherford reduced headcount by over 1,000 since Q3 2024, with additional restructuring and severance charges of $29 million in Q1 2025.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Weatherford International's financial guidance reflected a cautious outlook amid market uncertainties. The company reported an adjusted free cash flow of $66 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins of 21.2%, impacted by lower revenues and project startup costs. Weatherford's dividend payments totaled $0.25 per share, and the company repurchased approximately $152 million worth of shares over the past three quarters, including $53 million in Q1. The guidance for Q2 anticipates revenues between $1.165 billion and $1.195 billion, with adjusted EBITDA ranging from $245 million to $265 million. For the full year, revenues are expected to be between $4.6 billion and $5 billion, with adjusted EBITDA between $975 million and $1.1 billion. The company also plans to maintain a free cash flow conversion increase of 100 to 200 basis points year-on-year.

Weatherford International Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Weatherford International Appoints New CFO Anuj Dhruv
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Weatherford International plc has announced the appointment of Anuj Dhruv as its new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective April 21, 2025. Mr. Dhruv, who brings over 20 years of experience in global finance and strategy, previously held leadership roles at LyondellBasell, Schlumberger, and Microsoft. His compensation package includes a base salary, participation in incentive plans, and severance benefits. Concurrently, Arunava Mitra has departed from the company, effective the same date, with entitlement to certain benefits under existing compensation plans.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.