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Weatherford International Plc (WFRD)
NASDAQ:WFRD

Weatherford International (WFRD) AI Stock Analysis

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WFRD

Weatherford International

(NASDAQ:WFRD)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$94.00
â–¼(-8.54% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/05/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (steady profitability, positive free cash flow, and deleveraging), supported by strong technical trend signals. It is held back by signs of softening operating momentum (TTM revenue decline/margin compression), overbought technical readings, and near-term risks highlighted on the earnings call (Mexico/working capital and softer 2026 activity outlook).
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistently positive free cash flow and a step-up in FCF versus 2024 provide durable internal funding for debt reduction, capex and dividends. Reliable cash conversion underpins financial flexibility through cycles and supports shareholder returns and reinvestment in high-return services.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline Trend
A multi-percent decline in TTM revenue signals deteriorating top-line momentum that can pressure sustainable margins and limit scale benefits. Prolonged revenue weakness risks underutilized fleet, less pricing power and slower recovery of aftermarket recurring revenues tied to installed base activity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistently positive free cash flow and a step-up in FCF versus 2024 provide durable internal funding for debt reduction, capex and dividends. Reliable cash conversion underpins financial flexibility through cycles and supports shareholder returns and reinvestment in high-return services.
Read all positive factors

Weatherford International (WFRD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Weatherford International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Weatherford International plc, an energy services company, provides equipment and services for the drilling, evaluation, completion, production, and intervention of oil, geothermal, and natural gas wells worldwide. The company operates in two segm...
How the Company Makes Money
Weatherford primarily makes money by selling oilfield services and equipment to oil and gas operators, generating revenue when customers contract for field execution, rent or purchase tools, and buy related consumables and replacement parts used i...

Weatherford International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted meaningful financial and operational progress: strong Q4 and full-year free cash flow, improved EBITDA margins (22.6% in Q4), a materially strengthened balance sheet (net leverage ~0.42x), active shareholder returns and targeted cost reductions. These positives were balanced against significant challenges — most notably a >50% YoY revenue decline in Mexico during 2025, elevated net working capital (28.9% of revenue), near-term revenue headwinds with expected mid-to-high single-digit North America declines, seasonality-driven softness in Q1 2026, and regional variability (EMEA/Russia softness and muted Saudi activity). Management expects international recovery in H2 2026 and a stronger 2027, but near-term execution remains dependent on payment cadence (Mexico) and activity recoveries. Overall, the favorable cash generation, margin resilience, deleveraging and strategic investments outweigh the key headwinds, resulting in a constructive outlook but with near-term risks to monitor.
Positive Updates
Sequential and Regional Revenue Growth
Q4 2025 revenue grew 5% sequentially, driven by Latin America (+16% sequential, led by Mexico and Brazil) and Middle East, North Africa & Asia (+4% sequential, led by Kuwait, Oman, UAE and Indonesia); North America grew modestly driven by Canada and U.S. offshore.
Negative Updates
Mexico Revenue Collapse and Payment Uncertainty (2025)
Mexico revenues declined a little over 50% year-over-year for full year 2025. While collections improved in H2 2025 and some large tranches were received in Q4, payment timing and remaining receivables continue to create working capital uncertainty.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Sequential and Regional Revenue Growth
Q4 2025 revenue grew 5% sequentially, driven by Latin America (+16% sequential, led by Mexico and Brazil) and Middle East, North Africa & Asia (+4% sequential, led by Kuwait, Oman, UAE and Indonesia); North America grew modestly driven by Canada and U.S. offshore.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Weatherford guided Q1 2026 revenue of $1.125–$1.165 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $230–$240 million and expects slightly positive adjusted free cash flow; for full‑year 2026 management expects revenue of $4.6–$5.05 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $980 million–$1.12 billion, adjusted free‑cash‑flow conversion in the low‑to‑mid‑40% range (against a 50%‑cycle target), CapEx of $190–$230 million (roughly 3–5% of revenue, midpoint down from 2025’s $226 million/4.6%), and an effective tax rate in the low‑to‑mid‑20% range; the Q1 guide reflects typical seasonality, some work pulled into Q4 and impacts from the Argentina divestiture/tariffs, and management reiterated a strong balance sheet (net leverage ~0.42x, ~$1.0 billion cash/restricted cash, $1.6 billion total liquidity) — for context Q4 2025 adjusted FCF was $222 million (76.3% conversion) and FY2025 adjusted FCF was $466 million (43.7% conversion).

Weatherford International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals reflect a sustained turnaround with solid TTM profitability and consistently positive free cash flow, supported by ongoing deleveraging and equity rebuild. Offsetting this, TTM revenue declined versus the prior year and margins have come off 2024 highs, suggesting softening momentum and potential cycle pressure.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.92B5.51B5.13B4.33B3.65B
Gross Profit1.07B1.91B1.74B1.31B929.00M
EBITDA970.00M1.24B1.01B697.00M357.00M
Net Income431.00M506.00M417.00M26.00M-450.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.20B5.16B5.07B4.72B4.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.04B916.00M958.00M910.00M951.00M
Total Debt1.75B1.79B2.06B2.41B2.62B
Total Liabilities3.50B3.88B4.15B4.17B4.28B
Stockholders Equity1.70B1.28B924.00M535.00M472.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow450.00M493.00M623.00M217.00M237.00M
Operating Cash Flow676.00M792.00M832.00M349.00M322.00M
Investing Cash Flow-145.00M-293.00M-289.00M-54.00M-83.00M
Financing Cash Flow-474.00M-511.00M-514.00M-248.00M-403.00M

Weatherford International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price102.78
Price Trends
50DMA
97.01
Positive
100DMA
88.62
Positive
200DMA
75.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.79
Negative
RSI
65.19
Neutral
STOCH
89.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WFRD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 102.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.48, above the 50-day MA of 97.01, and above the 200-day MA of 75.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WFRD.

Weatherford International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$29.52B19.3729.62%0.44%11.73%45.70%
74
Outperform
$77.94B17.6414.64%2.98%-2.13%-16.76%
69
Neutral
$7.37B13.1128.18%1.25%-10.19%-23.74%
69
Neutral
$62.09B17.3914.43%2.04%1.51%30.09%
66
Neutral
$31.57B18.4812.36%2.41%-4.06%-47.41%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
$7.02B40.102.26%3.24%-1.43%-63.13%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WFRD
Weatherford International
102.78
59.99
140.21%
BKR
Baker Hughes Company
62.83
25.77
69.54%
FTI
TechnipFMC
73.79
48.55
192.32%
HAL
Halliburton
37.59
16.91
81.75%
NOV
NOV
19.49
7.91
68.35%
SLB
Schlumberger
51.92
19.01
57.75%

Weatherford International Corporate Events

Dividends
Weatherford International Raises Quarterly Dividend, Signals Confidence
Positive
Jan 27, 2026
On January 27, 2026, Weatherford International plc announced that its Board of Directors approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.275 per ordinary share, a 10% increase from the previous quarterly payout, signaling confidence in the company’...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026