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Liberty Oilfield Services (LBRT)
NYSE:LBRT
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Liberty Oilfield Services (LBRT) AI Stock Analysis

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LBRT

Liberty Oilfield Services

(NYSE:LBRT)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(5.70% Upside)
Liberty Oilfield Services' overall stock score is driven by financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and profitability margins. While the company shows potential undervaluation with a low P/E ratio and moderate dividend yield, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend. The earnings call provided mixed signals, with strong operational achievements but significant market headwinds and uncertainty about future performance.
Positive Factors
Technological Advancements
Liberty's focus on innovative technology, such as natural gas engines and sand slurry systems, enhances operational efficiency and sustainability, positioning the company to better compete in the evolving energy sector.
Strategic Alliances
Strategic alliances in power services and expanded credit facilities support Liberty's growth initiatives, providing a foundation for diversification and resilience against core market fluctuations.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Sequential growth in revenue and EBITDA indicates Liberty's ability to navigate industry challenges, reflecting strong operational capabilities and potential for sustained financial performance.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A significant decline in revenue growth suggests market demand challenges or pricing pressures, potentially impacting Liberty's long-term financial health and ability to invest in future opportunities.
Cash Flow Concerns
A sharp decline in free cash flow growth raises concerns about Liberty's liquidity and capacity to fund operations and investments, potentially affecting its strategic flexibility and financial stability.
Pricing Headwinds
Persistent pricing headwinds in the completions business could erode margins and profitability, challenging Liberty's ability to maintain competitive pricing and market share in the long term.

Liberty Oilfield Services (LBRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liberty Oilfield Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLiberty Energy Inc. provides hydraulic fracturing and wireline services, and related goods to onshore oil and natural gas exploration and production companies in North America. It also offers hydraulic fracturing pressure pumping services, including pressure pumping and pumpdown perforating services, as well wireline services, proppant delivery solutions, data analytics, related goods and technologies. In addition, the company owns operates two sand mines in the Permian Basin. As of December 31, 2021, it had a total of approximately 30 active frac fleets. The company offers its services primarily in the Permian Basin, the Eagle Ford Shale, the Denver-Julesburg Basin, the Williston Basin, and the Powder River Basin. The company was formerly known as Liberty Oilfield Services Inc. and changed its name to Liberty Energy Inc. in April 2022. Liberty Energy Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiberty Oilfield Services generates revenue primarily through its hydraulic fracturing services, which are billed based on the volume of sand and fluids used in the fracking process as well as the number of pumping hours. The company's revenue model is largely driven by contracts with exploration and production companies, which often involve long-term agreements that provide stability and predictability in revenue streams. Additionally, Liberty benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies, allowing it to offer competitive pricing while maintaining healthy margins. Key partnerships with major oil and gas companies and a strong focus on technological innovation, such as leveraging data analytics to optimize fracking operations, further contribute to its earnings. Market dynamics, including oil and gas prices and demand for natural resources, also play a significant role in influencing the company's financial performance.

Liberty Oilfield Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Liberty Energy's earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong financial performance and technological advancements being overshadowed by market challenges and pricing pressures. The company is strategically repositioning its assets and exploring growth opportunities in the power services sector, but faces headwinds in its core completions business.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Liberty Energy reported a 7% sequential increase in revenue and an 8% increase in adjusted EBITDA, despite industry-wide declines in frac activity.
Innovative Technology Deployment
Liberty Energy has successfully deployed two variable speed digiPrime units, completing over 1,700 hours of testing, increasing operational and capital efficiency with a 100% natural gas solution.
Strategic Alliances and Expansion
Liberty announced strategic alliances in power services, including partnerships in Pennsylvania and Colorado, and expanded its credit facility by $225 million to support strategic growth.
Successful Field Trial of Sand Slurry System
Completed a successful field trial of a last mile sand slurry system, expected to reduce costs, improve reliability, and decrease emissions and road maintenance.
Negative Updates
Pricing Headwinds in Completions
Liberty Energy experienced pricing challenges due to unconstructive responses from some service providers, leading to expected low single-digit pricing declines in the back half of 2025.
Reduction in Fleet Count
Due to market pressures and customer activity reductions, Liberty plans to modestly reduce its deployed fleet count, affecting utilization rates.
Withdrawal of Full Year EBITDA Target
Liberty Energy withdrew its full-year EBITDA target range due to recent macroeconomic developments and expected softness in the frac market.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Liberty Energy reported notable financial and operational achievements despite facing macroeconomic challenges and energy sector volatility. Revenue and adjusted EBITDA grew sequentially by 7% and 8%, respectively, reflecting the company's ability to overcome industry pricing pressures through increased efficiencies and utilization. Liberty's net income for the quarter was $71 million, with adjusted net income at $20 million, and adjusted EBITDA reaching $181 million, up from $168 million in the prior quarter. The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of $20 million and net debt of $140 million, having decreased net debt by $46 million from the previous quarter. Liberty's strategic initiatives included reducing its deployed fleet count to adapt to market conditions and reallocating resources to support expanded demand for simul-frac offerings. The company also highlighted its technological advancements, such as the deployment of variable speed natural gas reciprocating engines and a successful field trial of a sand slurry delivery system, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency and sustainability. Looking ahead, Liberty Energy anticipates a softening in third-quarter revenue and EBITDA due to persistent pricing headwinds and industry-wide activity declines, and it withdrew its full-year EBITDA target range provided earlier.

Liberty Oilfield Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Liberty Oilfield Services faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability margins, impacting its income statement. The balance sheet remains stable with conservative leverage, but reduced return on equity indicates pressure on shareholder returns. Cash flow concerns are evident with a significant drop in free cash flow growth, potentially affecting liquidity and investment capacity. The company needs to address revenue growth and improve cash generation to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Liberty Oilfield Services has shown a decline in revenue growth with a negative rate of -2.78% TTM, indicating potential challenges in market demand or pricing. The gross profit margin has decreased to 10.5% TTM from 14.1% in the previous year, reflecting increased cost pressures. Net profit margin also fell to 5.3% TTM from 7.3% annually, suggesting reduced profitability. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBITDA margin of 20.2% TTM, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is stable at 0.254 TTM, showing a conservative leverage position. Return on equity decreased to 10.9% TTM from 15.9% annually, indicating reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure with a good proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Liberty Oilfield Services experienced a significant decline in free cash flow growth by -35.6% TTM, which could impact future investments and liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating that operating cash flows are closely aligned with net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 18.2% TTM, suggesting limited cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.10B4.32B4.75B4.15B2.47B965.79M
Gross Profit430.72M609.61M977.04M677.16M-41.90M-72.28M
EBITDA829.46M941.01M1.19B748.99M100.57M3.32M
Net Income216.82M316.01M556.32M399.60M-179.24M-115.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.44B3.30B3.03B2.58B2.04B1.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.56M19.98M36.78M43.68M20.00M68.98M
Total Debt516.88M533.61M405.31M348.92M243.63M211.58M
Total Liabilities1.41B1.32B1.19B1.08B810.22M579.90M
Stockholders Equity2.03B1.98B1.84B1.50B1.21B1.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow142.97M178.34M411.29M71.04M-63.33M-18.21M
Operating Cash Flow784.49M829.37M1.01B530.36M135.47M85.42M
Investing Cash Flow-540.28M-643.11M-672.33M-450.66M-186.49M-100.27M
Financing Cash Flow-254.80M-202.71M-349.31M-55.77M2.06M-28.87M

Liberty Oilfield Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.88
Price Trends
50DMA
11.34
Negative
100DMA
11.68
Negative
200DMA
14.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
48.86
Neutral
STOCH
69.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LBRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.83, below the 50-day MA of 11.34, and below the 200-day MA of 14.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LBRT.

Liberty Oilfield Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
1.63B19.777.18%2.78%-63.09%
71
Outperform
1.01B18.494.93%3.51%-2.74%-54.52%
64
Neutral
$1.77B8.3710.92%2.94%-9.32%-48.26%
53
Neutral
345.98M50.85-1.65%-12.15%0.00%
50
Neutral
601.47M-2.13-28.93%-4.14%-39.14%
48
Neutral
495.93M-3.27-16.89%-10.91%-580.59%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LBRT
Liberty Oilfield Services
10.88
-9.70
-47.13%
OIS
Oil States International
5.71
0.78
15.82%
RES
RPC
4.56
-1.79
-28.19%
DNOW
Now
15.20
2.11
16.12%
PUMP
Propetro Holding
4.77
-3.46
-42.04%
ACDC
ProFrac Holding
3.71
-2.79
-42.92%

Liberty Oilfield Services Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Audrey Robertson Resigns from Liberty Energy Board
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 26, 2025, Audrey Robertson resigned from the Board of Directors of Liberty Energy Inc. to begin her role at the Department of Energy as the Assistant Secretary of Energy for Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. Her resignation was initially conditional upon Senate confirmation, but she decided to proceed with her DOE role while the confirmation is pending, making her resignation effective immediately.

The most recent analyst rating on (LBRT) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Oilfield Services stock, see the LBRT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 13, 2025