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Liberty Oilfield Services (LBRT)
NYSE:LBRT
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Liberty Oilfield Services (LBRT) AI Stock Analysis

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LBRT

Liberty Oilfield Services

(NYSE:LBRT)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▼(-0.29% Downside)
Liberty Oilfield Services' overall score reflects a mix of strong technical indicators and strategic advancements, offset by financial challenges and market uncertainties. The company's technological innovations and expansion plans are promising, but declining financial performance and cash flow issues need to be addressed to improve the outlook.
Positive Factors
Technological Advancements
The integration of AI-driven software enhances operational efficiency, reducing time for fluid injection and improving hydraulic efficiency, which can lead to sustained cost savings and competitive advantage.
Expansion in Power Generation
Expanding into power generation diversifies revenue streams and capitalizes on growing demand from data centers and industrial applications, supporting long-term growth.
Strong Customer Engagement
The doubling of the sales pipeline indicates robust demand and strong customer relationships, which can drive future revenue growth and market positioning.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue reflects market challenges and pricing pressures, which can impact profitability and necessitate strategic adjustments to sustain growth.
Decreased Net Income
Falling net income indicates reduced profitability, which can strain financial resources and limit investment in growth initiatives, affecting long-term performance.
Increased Net Debt
Rising net debt levels can constrain financial flexibility and increase interest obligations, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in strategic opportunities.

Liberty Oilfield Services (LBRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liberty Oilfield Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLiberty Energy Inc. provides hydraulic fracturing and wireline services, and related goods to onshore oil and natural gas exploration and production companies in North America. It also offers hydraulic fracturing pressure pumping services, including pressure pumping and pumpdown perforating services, as well wireline services, proppant delivery solutions, data analytics, related goods and technologies. In addition, the company owns operates two sand mines in the Permian Basin. As of December 31, 2021, it had a total of approximately 30 active frac fleets. The company offers its services primarily in the Permian Basin, the Eagle Ford Shale, the Denver-Julesburg Basin, the Williston Basin, and the Powder River Basin. The company was formerly known as Liberty Oilfield Services Inc. and changed its name to Liberty Energy Inc. in April 2022. Liberty Energy Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiberty Oilfield Services generates revenue primarily through its hydraulic fracturing services, which are billed based on the volume of sand and fluids used in the fracking process as well as the number of pumping hours. The company's revenue model is largely driven by contracts with exploration and production companies, which often involve long-term agreements that provide stability and predictability in revenue streams. Additionally, Liberty benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies, allowing it to offer competitive pricing while maintaining healthy margins. Key partnerships with major oil and gas companies and a strong focus on technological innovation, such as leveraging data analytics to optimize fracking operations, further contribute to its earnings. Market dynamics, including oil and gas prices and demand for natural resources, also play a significant role in influencing the company's financial performance.

Liberty Oilfield Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 16, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant technological advancements and expansion in the power generation business, reflecting strong strategic positioning and customer engagement. However, it also noted challenges such as revenue decline, decreased net income, and macroeconomic uncertainties affecting the industry. Despite these challenges, the company shows confidence in future growth, as evidenced by the dividend increase.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Operational Efficiency
Liberty achieved the highest combined average daily pumping efficiency and safety performance in the company's history, despite a slowdown in industry completions activity.
Technological Advancements
Liberty's Digi Prime fleets and AI-driven software, StimCommander, are driving significant operational efficiencies. The AI-driven system has led to a 65% reduction in time to deliver desired fluid injection rates and a 5% to 10% improvement in hydraulic efficiency.
Expansion in Power Generation
Liberty is expanding its power business with plans to secure over one gigawatt of capacity by 2027, capitalizing on strong demand from data centers and large-scale industrial applications.
Strong Customer Engagement
Liberty's sales pipeline for power generation has more than doubled in the last ninety days, with increasing urgency from potential customers.
Dividend Increase
Liberty increased its quarterly cash dividend by 13%, reflecting confidence in future growth and commitment to delivering long-term value to shareholders.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Third-quarter revenue decreased by 9% sequentially to $947 million from $1 billion in the prior quarter due to softened activity and market-driven pricing headwinds.
Decreased Net Income
Third-quarter net income fell to $43 million from $71 million in the prior quarter, with an adjusted net loss of $10 million.
Underutilized Frac Fleets
Lower industry activity and underutilized fleets are driving pricing pressure in the frac markets, impacting profitability.
Increased Net Debt
Net debt increased by $99 million from the prior quarter, resulting in a total net debt of $240 million.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and industry-wide activity reductions are impacting market conditions, leading to a cautious outlook for the near term.
Company Guidance
During the Liberty Energy third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reflecting both operational achievements and financial metrics. Liberty reported a revenue of $947 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $128 million, despite industry challenges such as a slowdown in completions activity and pricing pressures. The company highlighted their technological advancements, including the Digi Prime fleets and AI-driven software, which contributed to record-breaking performance metrics and a 65% reduction in time to achieve desired fluid injection rates. Liberty's focus on power generation opportunities was also emphasized, with plans to increase power capacity to over one gigawatt by 2027. Financially, they ended the quarter with a cash balance of $13 million and net debt of $240 million, and they forecasted capital expenditures for 2025 to be approximately $525 million to $550 million. The call also noted a 13% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, reflecting confidence in future growth and shareholder value.

Liberty Oilfield Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Liberty Oilfield Services faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability margins, impacting its income statement. The balance sheet remains stable with conservative leverage, but reduced return on equity indicates pressure on shareholder returns. Cash flow concerns are evident with a significant drop in free cash flow growth, potentially affecting liquidity and investment capacity.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Liberty Oilfield Services has shown a decline in revenue growth with a negative rate of -2.78% TTM, indicating potential challenges in market demand or pricing. The gross profit margin has decreased to 10.5% TTM from 14.1% in the previous year, reflecting increased cost pressures. Net profit margin also fell to 5.3% TTM from 7.3% annually, suggesting reduced profitability. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBITDA margin of 20.2% TTM, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is stable at 0.254 TTM, showing a conservative leverage position. Return on equity decreased to 10.9% TTM from 15.9% annually, indicating reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure with a good proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Liberty Oilfield Services experienced a significant decline in free cash flow growth by -35.6% TTM, which could impact future investments and liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating that operating cash flows are closely aligned with net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 18.2% TTM, suggesting limited cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.91B4.32B4.75B4.15B2.47B965.79M
Gross Profit313.46M609.61M977.04M677.16M-41.90M-72.28M
EBITDA787.43M941.01M1.19B745.25M100.57M3.32M
Net Income186.07M316.01M556.32M399.60M-179.24M-115.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.50B3.30B3.03B2.58B2.04B1.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.45M19.98M36.78M43.68M20.00M68.98M
Total Debt625.98M533.61M405.31M348.92M243.63M211.58M
Total Liabilities1.43B1.32B1.19B1.08B810.22M579.90M
Stockholders Equity2.07B1.98B1.84B1.50B1.21B1.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.14M178.34M411.29M71.04M-63.33M-18.21M
Operating Cash Flow591.46M829.37M1.01B530.36M135.47M85.42M
Investing Cash Flow-490.48M-643.11M-672.33M-450.66M-186.49M-100.27M
Financing Cash Flow-110.49M-202.71M-349.31M-55.77M2.06M-28.87M

Liberty Oilfield Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.05
Price Trends
50DMA
12.30
Positive
100DMA
12.15
Positive
200DMA
13.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.27
Negative
RSI
75.89
Negative
STOCH
87.26
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LBRT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.97, above the 50-day MA of 12.30, and above the 200-day MA of 13.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.89 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LBRT.

Liberty Oilfield Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.58B19.147.29%2.78%-63.09%
$2.76B15.169.21%1.88%-12.05%-46.45%
$1.06B19.334.92%3.33%-2.74%-54.52%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$758.96M-16.86%-10.91%-580.59%
$402.94M58.950.95%-12.15%
$660.18M-25.45%-4.14%-39.14%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LBRT
Liberty Oilfield Services
17.05
0.37
2.22%
OIS
Oil States International
6.57
1.93
41.59%
RES
RPC
4.81
-0.76
-13.64%
DNOW
Now
14.72
3.08
26.46%
PUMP
Propetro Holding
7.30
0.09
1.25%
ACDC
ProFrac Holding
4.35
-1.78
-29.04%

Liberty Oilfield Services Corporate Events

Liberty Oilfield Services’ Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 21, 2025

Liberty Oilfield Services Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment among its stakeholders. The company showcased significant technological advancements and expansion in its power generation business, indicating strong strategic positioning and robust customer engagement. However, the call also highlighted challenges such as a decline in revenue and net income, coupled with macroeconomic uncertainties affecting the industry. Despite these hurdles, Liberty expressed confidence in its future growth potential, as evidenced by an increase in its dividend.

Liberty Energy Reports Q3 2025 Earnings Amid Market Challenges
Oct 18, 2025

Liberty Energy Inc., a leading energy services company, provides completion services and technologies to oil, natural gas, and geothermal energy producers in North America, and operates Liberty Power Innovations LLC, offering advanced power and energy storage solutions. In its third quarter of 2025 earnings report, Liberty Energy Inc. announced a revenue of $947 million, marking a 9% decrease from the previous quarter, alongside a net income of $43 million. The company also reported an Adjusted EBITDA of $128 million and highlighted operational achievements such as record pumping efficiency and the launch of its large language model, Forge. Key financial metrics showed a decline compared to previous periods, with revenue and net income both decreasing year-over-year. Despite these challenges, Liberty increased its quarterly cash dividend by 13% and continued to invest in technology and power generation capacity. Looking ahead, Liberty’s management remains optimistic about the long-term demand for its advanced energy solutions, despite current market headwinds, and is focused on leveraging its technological innovations to maintain a competitive edge.

Executive/Board Changes
Audrey Robertson Resigns from Liberty Energy Board
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 26, 2025, Audrey Robertson resigned from the Board of Directors of Liberty Energy Inc. to begin her role at the Department of Energy as the Assistant Secretary of Energy for Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. Her resignation was initially conditional upon Senate confirmation, but she decided to proceed with her DOE role while the confirmation is pending, making her resignation effective immediately.

The most recent analyst rating on (LBRT) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Oilfield Services stock, see the LBRT Stock Forecast page.

Liberty Oilfield Services Inc. Resilient in Earnings Call
Jul 29, 2025

Liberty Oilfield Services Inc. Shows Resilience Amid Challenges

Liberty Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 26, 2025

Liberty Energy Inc., a prominent energy services company, specializes in providing completion services and technologies to onshore oil, natural gas, and enhanced geothermal energy producers across North America. In its latest earnings report, Liberty Energy Inc. announced a revenue of $1.0 billion for the second quarter of 2025, marking a 7% increase from the previous quarter. The company reported a net income of $71 million, translating to $0.43 per diluted share, and an adjusted EBITDA of $181 million, reflecting an 8% sequential growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025