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RPC Inc (RES)
NYSE:RES

RPC (RES) AI Stock Analysis

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RES

RPC

(NYSE:RES)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(1.01% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/04/26
RES scores mid-range primarily due to strong balance-sheet flexibility that offsets weaker recent operating trends. The score is held back by margin and free-cash-flow deterioration, cautious near-term earnings-call tone (weather impacts, idled fleet, limited visibility), and a demanding valuation (high P/E), while technicals also remain weak with the stock below key short-term averages.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet strength
Consistently low leverage and rising equity provide durable financial flexibility through oilfield cycles. That capitalization supports maintenance capex, dividend continuity, selective M&A or buybacks, and absorbs short-term revenue volatility without forcing distress-driven asset sales or emergency financing.
Strong operating cash generation
Material operating cash flow and a healthy cash balance underpin reinvestment capacity and capital-return optionality. Positive OCF supports maintenance capex and dividends while preserving optionality for disciplined M&A or buybacks, reducing liquidity risk in cyclical slowdowns.
Product innovation & share gains
New technologies (A-10, Metal Max, UnPlug) strengthen differentiation and expand addressable markets, supporting sustainable revenue growth and modest pricing power. Product-driven share gains reduce reliance on commodity-driven volume swings and can raise long-term service margins as adoption scales.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
A multi-point decline in net margin signals lasting pressure on pricing, cost structure, or mix. Persistently lower margins reduce return on capital, slow equity growth, and limit the firm's ability to self-fund growth or restore payout levels without meaningful operational improvements or higher end-market activity.
Weakened free cash flow momentum
A near-30% drop in FCF erodes reinvestment and capital-return flexibility over the medium term. Even with positive OCF, declining FCF raises sensitivity to higher capex or working-capital needs, and constrains optionality for buybacks or acquisitions during slower demand periods.
Operational disruptions and idled fleet
Idled pressure-pumping equipment and weather-related lost days highlight structural exposure to seasonality and activity cycles. Prolonged idling increases unit-level fixed cost absorption and delays revenue recovery, making returns contingent on sustained demand improvement rather than near-term operational tweaks.

RPC (RES) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RPC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRPC, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides a range of oilfield services and equipment for the oil and gas companies involved in the exploration, production, and development of oil and gas properties. The company operates through Technical Services and Support Services segments. The Technical Services segment offers pressure pumping, fracturing, acidizing, cementing, downhole tools, coiled tubing, snubbing, nitrogen, well control, wireline, pump down, and fishing services that are used in the completion, production, and maintenance of oil and gas wells. The Support Services segment provides a range of rental tools for onshore and offshore oil and gas well drilling, completion, and workover activities. This segment also offers oilfield pipe inspection, and pipe management and storage services, as well as well control training and consulting services. The company operates in the United States, Africa, Canada, Argentina, China, Mexico, Eastern Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and internationally. RPC, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRPC (RES) generates revenue primarily through its service contracts with clients in the oil and gas industry. Key revenue streams include fees for drilling services, equipment rentals, and maintenance contracts. The company may also earn income from the sale of specialized drilling tools and technology solutions. Significant partnerships with major oil and gas firms enhance its market position and provide a steady stream of contracts. Additionally, RPC (RES) benefits from fluctuations in oil prices, as increased exploration activities during price booms often lead to higher demand for its services.

RPC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call reported meaningful operational and seasonal headwinds: sequential revenue declines across most service lines, margin compression (adjusted EBITDA decline and a 230 bp margin contraction), higher SG&A as a percent of revenue, an accounting change increasing cost of revenues, and lost activity from winter storms and idled fleets. Offsetting factors include a strong balance sheet (≈$210M cash, no revolver borrowings), positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, ongoing product innovation (A-10 motor, Metal Max, UnPlug) driving share gains, and selective service-line strength (snubbing +13%, Cudd Pressure Control +1%). Overall, negatives around revenue, margins and near-term activity visibility outweigh the positives from liquidity, product wins and disciplined capital allocation.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong liquidity and cash generation
Quarter-end cash of approximately $210 million, no borrowings on $100 million revolver, $50 million seller-finance note payable; operating cash flow of $201.3 million and free cash flow of $52.9 million in FY2025; continued dividend payments totaling $35.1 million YTD (including $8.8 million in Q4).
Product innovation and market share gains in Thru Tubing
Successful rollout of A-10 downhole motor and ongoing expansion of Metal Max power section have driven incremental share gains and allowed expansion into new markets; UnPlug technology adoption steadily increasing, reducing need for bridge plugs and improving drill-out times.
Selective service-line outperformance
Cudd Pressure Control revenues up 1% sequentially with snubbing up 13% and coiled-tubing new 2 7/8-inch unit well utilized; increases in Spinnaker cementing and Patterson Tubular Services storage & inspection businesses noted.
Positive adjusted profitability despite headwinds
Adjusted EBITDA remained positive at $55.1 million and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.04 for the quarter, demonstrating ongoing underlying profitability even with sequential declines.
Balance-sheet flexibility and disciplined capital allocation
Full-year capex of $148 million focused on maintenance and selective investments; change in wireline accounting reduced reported CapEx; 2026 capex guidance of $150–$180 million with management emphasizing scrutiny and the ability to adjust spend based on activity; M&A and buybacks remain optional uses of capital.
Negative Updates
Sequential revenue decline
Total revenues decreased 5% sequentially to $426 million; majority of service lines and months (December) showed weakness versus Q3 2025.
Segment and service-line contractions
Technical Services (95% of revenue) down 4% sequentially; Support Services down 18%; key service lines: Thru Tubing (down 9% sequential), pressure pumping (down 6%), Pintail wireline (down 3%), coiled tubing (down 2%).
Margin compression and lower adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA fell to $55.1 million from $67.8 million (down ~18.7% sequentially) and adjusted EBITDA margin contracted by 230 basis points to 12.9%.
Rising operating costs and SG&A pressures
Cost of revenues excluding D&A increased to $337 million from $335 million; SG&A rose to $48 million from $45 million and SG&A as a percent of revenue increased 120 basis points to 11.2%, driven by employee incentives and related employment costs.
Accounting change and tax impact reduced near-term earnings
Change to expense wireline cables (due to shorter useful life) increased cost of revenues and reduced capital expenditures; adjustments to EPS ($0.06) and an unusually high effective tax rate due to liquidation of company-owned life insurance and nondeductible acquisition-related employment costs materially increased tax expense.
Operational disruptions and fleet idling
December weakness and early-Q1 winter storms caused lost operating days that are not fully recoverable; a pressure-pumping fleet idled in October will remain idle until returns improve, limiting near-term revenue upside.
Geographic weakness and limited international near-term visibility
Weakness in international (notably the Middle East) and Rocky Mountain regions; Western Mid‑Con flat; management is cautious on Q1 visibility and notes reliance on higher oil and gas prices to spur material activity improvements.
Company Guidance
RPC did not give specific Q1 revenue guidance but provided clear forward-looking parameters: full-year 2026 capital expenditures are expected to be $150–180 million (after $148 million in FY2025 CapEx and approximately $15 million of spend delayed into 2026), and management will adjust spend based on activity levels; they reiterated they will not reactivate idled pressure‑pumping fleets until returns meaningfully improve and warned that winter storms early in Q1 caused lost operating days that are not fully recoverable and will pressure near‑term profitability. Key liquidity and cash‑return metrics cited include approximately $210 million of cash on hand, a $50 million seller‑financed note payable, no borrowings on the $100 million revolver, $201.3 million of operating cash flow to date, $148.4 million of CapEx in Q4/FY25, and $52.9 million of free cash flow; dividends totaled $35.1 million year‑to‑date (including $8.8 million in Q4), buybacks remain a potential but non‑immediate option, and management emphasized maintaining financial flexibility while pursuing selective M&A and less capital‑intensive growth.

RPC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is supported by a strong balance sheet (low leverage, growing equity), but operating performance is mixed: 2025 revenue improved while profitability stepped down sharply (net margin ~2% vs ~6% in 2024) and free cash flow weakened (~30% YoY decline), reducing near-term earnings quality and cash-flow momentum.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue has been volatile but improved in 2025 (about +5.9% year over year) after a down 2024, highlighting the cyclical nature of the business. Profitability peaked in 2022–2023 (healthy gross and net margins), but 2025 saw a sharp step-down in margins and earnings (net margin down to ~2% vs ~6% in 2024), indicating pressure on pricing and/or costs. The company has recovered materially from 2020’s loss period, but the recent margin compression keeps the income statement quality in the mid-range.
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: leverage is low across the period, and equity has grown over time, supporting a solid capitalization profile. Total debt remains modest relative to the company’s equity base even after rising in 2025, providing flexibility through industry cycles. A key watch item is that returns on equity have cooled meaningfully since the 2022–2023 peak as profitability normalized, but overall financial risk from leverage appears limited.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Operating cash flow remains positive and sizeable (2025 operating cash flow of ~$201M), supporting liquidity and reinvestment capacity. However, free cash flow has weakened recently (2025 free cash flow down ~29.8% year over year), pointing to either higher capital spending needs and/or softer cash conversion. The company has improved significantly versus 2021’s negative free cash flow, but the downshift in 2024–2025 reduces cash flow momentum and predictability.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.63B1.41B1.62B1.60B864.93M
Gross Profit232.49M378.35M527.96M513.65M201.67M
EBITDA220.77M221.91M362.01M365.07M78.09M
Net Income32.08M91.44M195.11M218.36M7.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.47B1.39B1.31B1.13B898.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments209.97M325.98M223.31M126.42M82.43M
Total Debt95.15M32.91M27.16M30.25M46.30M
Total Liabilities369.21M308.20M292.01M271.28M256.84M
Stockholders Equity1.10B1.08B1.02B857.74M641.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.92M129.46M213.76M61.73M-19.93M
Operating Cash Flow201.33M349.39M394.76M201.29M47.72M
Investing Cash Flow-273.70M-201.55M-241.71M-123.72M-47.63M
Financing Cash Flow-43.63M-45.17M-56.16M-33.58M-2.15M

RPC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.94
Price Trends
50DMA
5.84
Positive
100DMA
5.42
Positive
200DMA
5.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
54.72
Neutral
STOCH
93.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RES, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.99, above the 50-day MA of 5.84, and above the 200-day MA of 5.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RES.

RPC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.49B46.945.45%0.31%33.08%
75
Outperform
$1.49B12.2353.71%0.17%7307.20%
69
Neutral
$1.26B32.222.71%-1.95%530.91%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$1.31B40.774.31%2.94%4.20%-59.96%
47
Neutral
$123.72M-4.39-21.55%-18.29%-43.05%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RES
RPC
5.94
0.21
3.74%
HLX
Helix Energy
9.07
1.22
15.54%
GEOS
Geospace Technologies
9.25
0.85
10.12%
TTI
Tetra Technologies
11.01
6.87
165.94%
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited
26.05
17.14
192.37%

RPC Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividends
RPC Board Director Plans Exit as Dividend Declared
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 27, 2026, RPC, Inc. director Jerry W. Nix informed the board that he will not stand for reelection at the company’s 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, though he will continue to serve through the meeting as Lead Independent Director, chairman of the Human Capital Management and Compensation Committee and the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, and as a member of the Audit Committee; the company emphasized that his decision was not due to any disagreement over its operations, policies or practices, signaling an orderly board transition rather than governance turmoil. On January 28, 2026, RPC announced that its board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.04 per share, payable on March 10, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 10, 2026, underscoring the company’s continuing capital return to investors and suggesting confidence in its ongoing financial position within the oilfield services sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (RES) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RPC stock, see the RES Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026