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Expro Group Holdings (XPRO)
NYSE:XPRO
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Expro Group Holdings (XPRO) AI Stock Analysis

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XPRO

Expro Group Holdings

(NYSE:XPRO)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(19.62% Upside)
Expro Group Holdings is performing well, driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiments. Technical indicators suggest short-term bullish momentum, but caution remains for long-term trends. The stock is fairly valued, with no dividend yield, which could limit its appeal for income-focused investors.
Positive Factors
Market Position
XPRO operates a formidable niche of proprietary technology, with strong moats in well test services and tubular running services that represent strategic assets within the broader OFS ecosystem.
Valuation
Despite the challenging 3Q results, the stock is now trading at just ~3.8x below-consensus '25 EBITDA forecast, which is considered too low for a company with differentiated businesses in offshore TRS and well testing.
Negative Factors
Investor Sentiment
Investors appear to be losing patience with XPRO after its 3Q EBITDA miss, FY24 EBITDA guide-down, and more subdued outlook for next year.
Revenue Target
White space concerns may limit the ability to drive similar pricing improvements in 2025, which will likely lead to the company falling short of reaching its $2bn mid-term revenue target on a run-rate basis.

Expro Group Holdings (XPRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Expro Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExpro Group Holdings N.V. engages in the provision of energy services in North and Latin America, Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and North Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides well construction services, such as technology solutions in drilling, tubular running services, and cementing and tubulars; and well management services, including well flow management, subsea well access, and well intervention and integrity services. It serves exploration and production companies in onshore and offshore environments in approximately 60 countries with approximately 100 locations. The company was founded in 1938 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyExpro Group Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by providing specialized services and technologies to the oil and gas industry. Key revenue sources include well testing services, which assess the performance and viability of oil and gas wells; subsea services that support offshore operations; and enhanced oil recovery techniques that optimize production from existing wells. Additionally, the company may engage in long-term contracts with major oil and gas operators, providing a stable income base. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other industry players further enhance its market presence and contribute to revenue growth, while a focus on innovation and technology development allows Expro to differentiate its offerings and capture new business opportunities.

Expro Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Expro's Q2 2025 earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record-setting EBITDA margins, significant new order awards, and technological innovations. However, challenges such as volatility in commodity prices and a decline in subsea well access revenue were noted. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains positive due to the company's strong market position and outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Setting EBITDA Margin
Expro reported a third consecutive quarter of record-setting quarterly EBITDA margin at 22%, marking the best EBITDA margin quarterly results in the company's history.
Strong Revenue and Free Cash Flow
Revenue for Q2 2025 was reported at $423 million, with a robust $36 million in free cash flow on an adjusted basis, or 9% of revenue.
Significant New Order Awards
Expro secured new order awards of $595 million in Q2, marking the second highest quarter of new order intakes in the company's history.
Technological Innovation
Expro deployed three new industry-first technologies, including the BRUTE Armor Packer, Remote Clamp Installation System, and a fully remote five-plug cementing operation.
Positive Market Outlook
Despite market challenges, Expro maintains a positive multiyear perspective on the overall opportunity set and its relative market position.
Negative Updates
Volatility in Commodity Prices
The second quarter of 2025 was marked by significant commodity price fluctuations, with Brent crude trading within a $20 per barrel range.
Subsea Well Access Revenue Decline
Subsea well access revenue declined by 16% sequentially, with noted softness in Malaysia.
Caution in Short-Cycle Activities
There is observed caution from customers in pursuing short-cycle activities and incremental oil production opportunities.
Company Guidance
During the Expro Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance metrics for the fiscal year. Expro expects full-year revenue to reach approximately $1.7 billion, with EBITDA projected at least $350 million. The company anticipates generating about $110 million in adjusted free cash flow, maintaining a free cash flow conversion of approximately 7% of revenue. The guidance was reaffirmed despite market challenges, supported by a strong backlog of $2.3 billion and a steady demand for Expro’s services, particularly in international and offshore markets. The company also highlighted its Drive25 initiative, aiming for $30 million in annual run-rate cost savings, with at least 50% captured in the current year. Expro remains committed to shareholder returns, aiming to repurchase about $40 million in stock in 2025.

Expro Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Expro Group's financial performance is robust with strong revenue growth and profitability improvements. The company has managed its debt effectively, maintaining a strong balance sheet. While cash flow has turned positive, optimizing cash conversion could enhance financial performance further.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Expro Group has shown robust revenue growth, moving from $675 million in 2020 to $1.72 billion TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) in 2025, marking a significant upward trajectory. The gross profit margin has improved significantly from negative in 2020 to 15.5% TTM. Net profit margins have turned positive, reaching 3.99% TTM, indicating a successful turnaround in profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest room for improvement in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet exhibits strong equity growth with stockholders' equity increasing from $612 million in 2020 to approximately $1.5 billion in 2025 TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is favorably low at 0.05 TTM, highlighting prudent leverage management. However, the equity ratio remains stable but could improve to ensure financial stability under potential market fluctuations.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Expro's cash flow statements reveal a positive shift, with free cash flow turning positive from a deficit in 2020 to $35 million TTM. Operating cash flow has grown consistently, supporting ongoing capital expenditures. Although free cash flow growth is notable, enhancing the free cash flow to net income ratio would indicate better cash profitability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.71B1.51B1.28B825.76M675.03M
Gross Profit215.97M99.21M82.30M731.00K-5.54M
EBITDA273.95M197.15M161.11M17.04M84.34M
Net Income51.92M-23.36M-20.14M-131.89M-307.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33B2.01B1.94B1.85B1.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments183.04M151.74M214.79M235.39M116.92M
Total Debt203.05M110.88M94.72M110.30M90.84M
Total Liabilities842.06M717.13M651.26M557.07M427.77M
Stockholders Equity1.49B1.30B1.29B1.30B611.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.90M16.20M-9.70M-65.37M-42.00M
Operating Cash Flow169.48M138.31M80.17M16.14M70.39M
Investing Cash Flow-165.14M-148.23M-71.21M112.05M-96.77M
Financing Cash Flow29.57M-49.34M-25.61M-7.18M-625.00K

Expro Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.45
Price Trends
50DMA
9.39
Positive
100DMA
8.96
Positive
200DMA
10.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
55.53
Neutral
STOCH
52.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XPRO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.94, above the 50-day MA of 9.39, and below the 200-day MA of 10.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XPRO.

Expro Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (45)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.20B17.844.78%2.67%
76
Outperform
$2.24B11.2727.08%8.14%62.72%
69
Neutral
$977.33M17.814.92%3.47%-2.74%-54.52%
68
Neutral
$843.70M17.753.27%-8.19%
64
Neutral
$1.19B41.185.66%-9.81%-124.43%
59
Neutral
$995.59M25.494.18%3.36%-2.46%-44.11%
45
Neutral
AU$1.35B-9.94-2.14%8.50%2.33%-32.99%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XPRO
Expro Group Holdings
10.45
-10.65
-50.47%
HLX
Helix Energy
5.74
-5.02
-46.65%
MRC
MRC Global
13.99
1.53
12.28%
OII
Oceaneering International
22.34
-4.77
-17.59%
RES
RPC
4.43
-1.69
-27.61%
WTTR
Select Energy Services
8.21
-2.34
-22.18%

Expro Group Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Expro Group Holdings Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

Expro Group Holdings N.V. announced its second quarter 2025 financial results, reporting revenue of $423 million and a net income of $18 million, exceeding expectations. The company achieved a record Adjusted EBITDA margin of 22% and reaffirmed its full-year guidance, highlighting its commitment to shareholder returns. Expro’s strategic investments and operational execution have driven growth and expanded margins, with significant contract wins in regions like Guyana, Mexico, and the Middle East. The company introduced innovative technologies such as the BRUTE® Armor Packer and Remote Clamp Installation System, enhancing safety and efficiency in operations, and secured major contracts in various regions, reflecting its strong market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (XPRO) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expro Group Holdings stock, see the XPRO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Expro Group Holdings Appoints New CFO Sergio Maiworm
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Expro Group Holdings announced the appointment of Sergio Maiworm as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective June 30, 2025, succeeding Quinn Fanning. This leadership transition aligns with Expro’s evolving strategy and long-term growth objectives, aiming to deliver sustained value to shareholders, customers, and employees. Sergio Maiworm, joining from Talos Energy, brings over 20 years of experience in energy and finance, expected to support Expro’s next growth phase. The transition is not related to financial performance issues but is part of a broader strategic effort.

The most recent analyst rating on (XPRO) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expro Group Holdings stock, see the XPRO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025