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Expro Group Holdings (XPRO)
NYSE:XPRO
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Expro Group Holdings (XPRO) AI Stock Analysis

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XPRO

Expro Group Holdings

(NYSE:XPRO)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$18.00
▲(10.63% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
XPRO scores well on improving financial performance (especially balance-sheet strength) and positive technical trend/momentum. The main offsets are a less-attractive valuation (P/E ~30) and an earnings outlook that targets margin/FCF gains but with a flat 2026 revenue profile and some regional/seasonal softness.
Positive Factors
Low leverage & strong balance sheet
Expro's very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.06) and sizable equity provide durable financial flexibility in a cyclical oilfield services market. This reduces refinancing and covenant risk, supports capital allocation (capex, selective M&A, buybacks) and sustains investment in its equipment fleet.
Negative Factors
Flat revenue guidance for 2026
Management's flat‑revenue outlook for 2026 limits organic growth prospects and forces reliance on margin expansion and backlog conversion to drive earnings. In a cyclical services sector, lack of top‑line growth reduces operating leverage upside and heightens sensitivity to regional downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage & strong balance sheet
Expro's very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.06) and sizable equity provide durable financial flexibility in a cyclical oilfield services market. This reduces refinancing and covenant risk, supports capital allocation (capex, selective M&A, buybacks) and sustains investment in its equipment fleet.
Read all positive factors

Expro Group Holdings (XPRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Expro Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Expro Group Holdings N.V. engages in the provision of energy services in North and Latin America, Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and North Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides well construction services, such as techn...
How the Company Makes Money
Expro primarily makes money by providing oilfield services and renting/supplying specialized equipment used during the lifecycle of an oil and gas well. Its revenue model is largely project- and activity-based: customers (typically exploration & p...

Expro Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution, margin expansion (annual margin +170 bps YoY), a meaningful increase in free cash flow (more than doubled YoY), a growing backlog ($2.5B, +$196M Q4), major contract wins (4-year $380M) and continued technology and safety achievements. Offsetting these positives were a flat revenue outlook for 2026, expected Q1 seasonality weakness, sequential revenue softness in several regions (notably APAC margin down ~400 bps), and a slight shortfall on planned share repurchases. On balance, tangible improvements in margins, cash flow, backlog and balance sheet strength materially outweigh the near-term top-line and regional softness, supporting a constructive outlook.
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue and Margin Expansion
2025 revenue of just over $1.6 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $353 million, representing a 22% margin (annual margin up ~170 basis points year-over-year). Financial performance was within guidance ranges.
Negative Updates
Flat Top-Line Outlook for 2026
Guidance for 2026 projects revenue at similar levels to 2025 (flat), indicating limited top-line growth in the near term despite margin and cash-flow improvements.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Full-Year Revenue and Margin Expansion
2025 revenue of just over $1.6 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $353 million, representing a 22% margin (annual margin up ~170 basis points year-over-year). Financial performance was within guidance ranges.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Expro's 2026 guidance calls for revenue roughly flat to 2025 (2025 revenue just over $1.6B) while prioritizing margin and cash‑flow improvement: 2025 adjusted EBITDA was $353M (22% margin) with Q4 revenue $382M and Q4 adjusted EBITDA ~$88M (~23% / 23.1% per management), and 2025 adjusted free cash flow was $127M (more than double 2024) with Q4 FCF $28M (7% of revenue). Backlog provides visibility at $2.5B (up $196M in Q4) including a 4‑year $380M award; management expects 2026 CapEx roughly in line with 2025 and a sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA, EBITDA margins (toward a longer‑term ~25% goal) and free cash flow, noting a seasonal Q1 dip and stronger back half into 2027. Liquidity stood at $551M (cash $198M) after a $20M voluntary revolver paydown (drawn balance $79M), and capital allocation targets returning at least one‑third of FCF (just under 32% returned in 2025).

Expro Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials show a recovery with profitability turning positive and a notably strong, low-leverage balance sheet. Offsets include 2025 revenue contraction and mixed earnings-quality/cash-conversion signals (weaker 2025 free-cash-flow momentum and a mismatch between positive net income and weaker underlying profitability indicators in the provided statements).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.61B1.71B1.51B1.28B825.76M
Gross Profit205.22M233.17M110.61M82.29M731.00K
EBITDA292.73M273.95M197.15M161.11M17.04M
Net Income51.69M51.92M-23.36M-20.14M-131.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.35B2.41B2.07B1.96B1.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments197.47M184.66M153.17M218.46M239.85M
Total Debt224.62M203.05M110.88M94.72M110.30M
Total Liabilities814.17M916.47M769.74M678.54M626.11M
Stockholders Equity1.53B1.49B1.30B1.29B1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow97.78M25.90M16.20M-1.74M-65.37M
Operating Cash Flow210.17M169.48M138.31M80.17M16.14M
Investing Cash Flow-107.39M-165.14M-148.23M-71.21M112.05M
Financing Cash Flow-96.72M29.57M-49.34M-25.61M-7.18M

Expro Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price16.27
Price Trends
50DMA
16.91
Negative
100DMA
15.75
Positive
200DMA
13.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
44.48
Neutral
STOCH
20.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XPRO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 16.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.01, below the 50-day MA of 16.91, and above the 200-day MA of 13.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XPRO.

Expro Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.74B24.4434.53%2.39%88.22%
74
Outperform
$2.51B30.155.41%1.72%-34.89%
73
Outperform
$2.06B29.703.41%-6.17%0.81%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$5.51B51.727.39%1.78%-4.02%-39.84%
54
Neutral
$2.51B-3.49-5.25%18.84%-137.86%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XPRO
Expro Group Holdings
18.21
9.88
118.61%
OII
Oceaneering International
37.54
18.89
101.29%
DNOW
Now
13.49
-2.60
-16.16%
LBRT
Liberty Energy
33.79
22.16
190.64%
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited
24.94
18.63
295.25%

Expro Group Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Expro Group Releases Strong Q4 2025 Results, Updates Outlook
Positive
Feb 19, 2026
Expro Group Holdings reported its financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year ended Dec. 31, 2025 on Feb. 19, 2026, highlighting revenue of $382 million for the quarter and $1.61 billion for the year, with net income of ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026