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Expro Group Holdings (XPRO)
NYSE:XPRO
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Expro Group Holdings (XPRO) AI Stock Analysis

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XPRO

Expro Group Holdings

(NYSE:XPRO)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(26.66% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/30/26
The score is supported primarily by improved operating and free-cash-flow performance and a strong, low-leverage balance sheet, alongside constructive guidance and accretive M&A/cost-savings initiatives. Offsetting these positives are weak technicals (price below major moving averages) and a high P/E valuation, plus near-term cash-flow and geopolitical/seasonality headwinds highlighted on the call.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Cash Recovery
Strong trailing revenue growth and materially higher operating and free cash flow indicate improved demand, execution, and cash generation. Sustained positive cash flow also gives Expro greater capacity to fund investment, acquisitions, and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Thin Profit Conversion
Expro’s improved operating performance has not yet translated into robust bottom-line returns. Thin net margins and low ROE leave limited protection against cost inflation, execution issues, financing costs, or weaker pricing across the cycle.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Cash Recovery
Strong trailing revenue growth and materially higher operating and free cash flow indicate improved demand, execution, and cash generation. Sustained positive cash flow also gives Expro greater capacity to fund investment, acquisitions, and shareholder returns.
Read all positive factors

Expro Group Holdings (XPRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Expro Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Expro Group Holdings N.V. is a global provider of specialized energy services, operating across North and Latin America, Europe, Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, North Africa, and the Asia-Pacific regions. The company delivers solutions crucia...
How the Company Makes Money
Expro makes money by contracting with oil and gas operators (and, in some cases, other service companies) to deliver specialized well services and equipment on a project or campaign basis across the well lifecycle. Revenue is primarily generated f...

Expro Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a constructive and strategic tone: management reported solid core results despite seasonal headwinds and a modest working-capital-driven cash-flow shortfall, highlighted meaningful operational and technological achievements, and announced a strategically significant and accretive acquisition (Enhanced Drilling) expected to add >$50M of annual EBITDA and >$275M backlog. While near-term risks include seasonality, a ~$10–$15M Q2 revenue impact from the Middle East conflict with elevated EBITDA decrementals, and a Q1 working capital hit that reduced adjusted free cash flow to $3M, the company’s strong liquidity, net cash position, substantial Drive 25 cost savings (~$40M), clear M&A playbook, and unchanged full-year guidance underpin a positive outlook for H2 2026 and into 2027.
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA
Q1 2026 revenue of $368 million and adjusted EBITDA of $63 million, representing a 17.1% adjusted EBITDA margin.
Negative Updates
Weak Adjusted Free Cash Flow in Q1
Adjusted free cash flow of only $3 million in Q1 2026, below management expectations; driven primarily by adverse working capital movements (roughly $20 million worse than expected).
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Quarterly Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA
Q1 2026 revenue of $368 million and adjusted EBITDA of $63 million, representing a 17.1% adjusted EBITDA margin.
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Company Guidance
Expro maintained its 2026 guidance unchanged and expects sequential quarterly improvement with a stronger second half, after reporting Q1 revenue of $368M, adjusted EBITDA of $63M (17.1% margin) and adjusted free cash flow of $3M (adversely affected by roughly $20M of working capital timing); Q1 regional revenues were NLA $128M (20% margin), ESSA $114M (28%), MENA $82M (29%) and APAC $44M (16%). Management expects the Middle East conflict to subtract about $10–15M of revenue in Q2 (Q1+projected Q2 impact ≈1% of full‑year revenue) with elevated decrementals to EBITDA, and foresees activity and margin expansion into H2. The company announced the NOK 2.0B (~$215M) Enhanced Drilling acquisition (adds >$275M backlog), expected to close in Q3, funded with cash and revolver borrowings, and to add >$50M to annual run‑rate adjusted EBITDA with >30% margins. Balance‑sheet metrics: total liquidity $517M (cash $171M), $79M revolver drawn, ~ $92M net cash and net debt substantially less than 1x adjusted EBITDA; capital allocation priorities include returning at least one‑third of free cash flow (Q1 buybacks: ~1.2M shares for $20M) and realizing Drive 25 cost savings of roughly $40M to help reach >25% adjusted EBITDA margin medium‑term.

Expro Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a multi-year recovery with strong TTM revenue growth (+24.8%) and materially improved cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$275M; free cash flow ~$139M; FCF growth +56.6%). Balance sheet strength is a key support with low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.11) and solid equity base, but profitability and efficiency remain mixed (TTM net margin ~2.3% and ROE ~1.4%), and cash conversion is still somewhat volatile (OCF and FCF not particularly high relative to net income).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.98B1.61B1.71B1.51B1.28B825.76M
Gross Profit226.05M205.22M233.17M110.61M82.29M731.00K
EBITDA346.12M292.73M273.95M197.15M161.11M17.04M
Net Income38.73M51.69M51.92M-23.36M-20.14M-131.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.26B2.35B2.41B2.07B1.96B1.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments199.57M197.47M184.66M153.17M218.46M239.85M
Total Debt171.31M224.62M203.05M110.88M94.72M110.30M
Total Liabilities754.79M814.17M916.47M769.74M678.54M626.11M
Stockholders Equity1.51B1.53B1.49B1.30B1.29B1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow139.19M97.78M25.90M16.20M-1.74M-65.37M
Operating Cash Flow275.41M210.17M169.48M138.31M80.17M16.14M
Investing Cash Flow-131.22M-107.39M-165.14M-148.23M-71.21M112.05M
Financing Cash Flow-126.76M-96.72M29.57M-49.34M-25.61M-7.18M

Expro Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.79
Price Trends
50DMA
15.94
Positive
100DMA
16.20
Positive
200DMA
15.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.79
Negative
RSI
60.82
Neutral
STOCH
58.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XPRO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.22, below the 50-day MA of 15.94, and above the 200-day MA of 15.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XPRO.

Expro Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
87
Outperform
$5.22B15.2332.92%3.84%75.32%
72
Outperform
$3.30B35.249.43%23.55%21.73%
69
Neutral
$2.07B101.451.37%-7.11%-70.32%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
55
Neutral
$2.81B-14.65-9.76%69.84%-238.39%
55
Neutral
$3.14B25.666.08%2.02%2.29%-43.28%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XPRO
Expro Group Holdings
18.22
5.80
46.70%
OII
Oceaneering International
53.00
28.96
120.47%
DNOW
Now
15.68
0.02
0.13%
LBRT
Liberty Energy
19.36
8.30
75.01%
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited
33.03
24.42
283.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2026