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Expro Group Holdings (XPRO)
NYSE:XPRO

Expro Group Holdings (XPRO) AI Stock Analysis

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Expro Group Holdings

(NYSE:XPRO)

68Neutral
Expro Group Holdings' overall score reflects its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, which position it well for long-term growth. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and market uncertainties present challenges. Valuation is reasonable, but the lack of a dividend yield may deter income-focused investors. The company is well-positioned within its sector, but operational efficiency and market conditions should be watched closely.
Positive Factors
Market Position
XPRO operates a formidable niche of proprietary technology, with strong moats in well test services and tubular running services that represent strategic assets within the broader OFS ecosystem.
Valuation
Despite the challenging 3Q results, the stock is now trading at just ~3.8x below-consensus '25 EBITDA forecast, which is considered too low for a company with differentiated businesses in offshore TRS and well testing.
Negative Factors
Investor Sentiment
Investors appear to be losing patience with XPRO after its 3Q EBITDA miss, FY24 EBITDA guide-down, and more subdued outlook for next year.
Revenue Target
White space concerns may limit the ability to drive similar pricing improvements in 2025, which will likely lead to the company falling short of reaching its $2bn mid-term revenue target on a run-rate basis.

Expro Group Holdings (XPRO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Expro Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExpro Group Holdings N.V. engages in the provision of energy services in North and Latin America, Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and North Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides well construction services, such as technology solutions in drilling, tubular running services, and cementing and tubulars; and well management services, including well flow management, subsea well access, and well intervention and integrity services. It serves exploration and production companies in onshore and offshore environments in approximately 60 countries with approximately 100 locations. The company was founded in 1938 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyExpro Group Holdings generates revenue primarily through the provision of specialized energy services to oil and gas companies. The company's key revenue streams include contracts for well construction services, where they assist in the drilling and completion of wells, and well flow management, which involves optimizing the production and flow of oil and gas from reservoirs. Additionally, Expro provides subsea well access services, ensuring safe and efficient intervention in offshore wells, and production services, which include data collection and analysis to optimize production operations. Significant partnerships with major oil and gas operators and technological innovation also play a crucial role in driving Expro's earnings by enhancing service effectiveness and expanding their client base.

Expro Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Expro Group Holdings shows strong revenue and profit growth, supported by effective financial management and a solid balance sheet. While cash flow generation is improving, high capital expenditures remain a challenge. The company is positioned well within its industry, but operational efficiency and cash flow management should be monitored closely.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Expro Group Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the past few years, with a significant increase from $675M in 2020 to $1.7B in 2024. The gross profit margin improved substantially, reflecting effective cost management. The net profit margin turned positive in 2024, indicating improved profitability. However, the negative EBITDA in 2024 is a concern, suggesting potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy equity ratio with equity representing a significant portion of total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating strong leverage management. Return on equity has improved, reflecting better profitability. The overall asset base has grown steadily, supporting the company's expansion.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow has increased, showcasing improved cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow growth has been positive, although still modest, indicating room for improvement. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, demonstrating the company's ability to convert earnings into cash. However, the capital expenditure remains high, which could pressure free cash flow in the long term.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.71B1.51B1.28B825.76M675.03M
Gross Profit
215.97M99.21M82.30M731.00K-5.54M
EBIT
94.17M10.80M45.35M-18.73M-322.29M
EBITDA
-94.44M197.15M166.41M17.04M88.12M
Net Income Common Stockholders
51.92M-23.36M-20.14M-131.89M-307.05M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
183.04M151.74M214.79M235.39M116.92M
Total Assets
2.33B2.01B1.94B1.85B1.04B
Total Debt
81.98M110.88M94.72M110.30M90.84M
Net Debt
-101.06M-40.86M-120.06M-125.09M-26.09M
Total Liabilities
842.06M717.13M651.26M557.07M427.77M
Stockholders Equity
1.49B1.30B1.29B1.30B611.98M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
25.90M16.20M-9.70M-65.37M-42.00M
Operating Cash Flow
169.48M138.31M80.17M16.14M70.39M
Investing Cash Flow
-165.14M-148.23M-71.21M112.05M-96.77M
Financing Cash Flow
29.57M-49.34M-25.61M-7.18M-625.00K

Expro Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.33
Price Trends
50DMA
9.92
Negative
100DMA
11.39
Negative
200DMA
14.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Negative
RSI
42.94
Neutral
STOCH
27.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XPRO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.20, below the 50-day MA of 9.92, and below the 200-day MA of 14.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XPRO.

Expro Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RERES
73
Outperform
$1.07B13.807.06%3.38%-9.78%-49.45%
OIOII
69
Neutral
$1.79B9.9326.17%10.04%68.14%
68
Neutral
$961.21M18.883.73%13.22%
MRMRC
68
Neutral
$1.00B39.2910.01%-9.17%-71.36%
HLHLX
66
Neutral
$950.10M11.425.64%0.34%
63
Neutral
$1.04B28.953.91%3.05%-8.41%-58.49%
56
Neutral
$6.92B3.31-4.49%6.03%-0.35%-47.83%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XPRO
Expro Group Holdings
8.33
-11.11
-57.15%
HLX
Helix Energy
6.27
-4.68
-42.74%
MRC
MRC Global
11.69
0.18
1.56%
OII
Oceaneering International
18.65
-4.24
-18.52%
RES
RPC
4.86
-1.74
-26.36%
WTTR
Select Energy Services
8.72
-0.28
-3.11%

Expro Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.61%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Expro's earnings call reflected a mix of strong first quarter performance and new contract awards, but also highlighted significant market uncertainties due to tariffs and geopolitical factors. While long-term prospects remain positive, near-term challenges such as market volatility and potential project delays contribute to a cautious outlook for 2025.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Performance
Expro's Q1 2025 revenue was $391 million with an adjusted EBITDA of $76 million or 20% of revenue, marking the highest first quarter performance in adjusted EBITDA and margin since the merger with Frank in October 2021.
Strong Contract Awards
Expro secured $272 million in new contract awards in the first quarter across various regions including the U.S., Brazil, and Indonesia, contributing to a healthy backlog of approximately $2.2 billion.
MENA Region Performance
The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region delivered another excellent quarter with Q1 revenue of $94 million and an EBITDA margin of 37%, driven by higher well intervention integrity revenue in Qatar and higher production solutions revenue in Algeria.
Successful Cost Optimization
Expro's Drive 25 efficiency campaign identified over $30 million in run rate support cost savings, aiming to reduce support costs to around 19% of revenue.
Positive Long-term Outlook
Despite short-term uncertainties, Expro remains bullish on long-term demand for oil and gas, with expectations of a transition year in 2025 leading to a healthy level of sanctioning activity in 2026 and beyond.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility and Tariff Impact
Tariff announcements and OPEC+ production increases have introduced significant near-term uncertainty and volatility, potentially impacting Expro's activity and financial performance.
Challenges in Mexico and Offshore Saudi
Expro anticipates contractions in the U.S. land, Mexico, and offshore Saudi markets in 2025, which could affect overall activity levels.
Potential Delays in Offshore FID Approvals
The approval of offshore projects, particularly in West Africa, may be postponed to 2026 or 2027 due to current market conditions and customer caution.
Flat Revenue Expectation for 2025
Expro expects 2025 revenue to be generally flat relative to 2024 due to market uncertainties and potential delays in project approvals.
Company Guidance
During Expro's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance for the upcoming quarters and the full fiscal year. Expro reported revenue of $391 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $76 million, continuing a trend of margin improvement. The company secured $272 million in new contract awards, with a backlog of approximately $2.2 billion at quarter-end. For Q2 2025, Expro anticipates low to mid-single-digit sequential revenue growth and modest EBITDA margin expansion, with full-year revenue expected to be flat compared to 2024, but with stable or modestly improved margins. The guidance reflects a cautious outlook due to macroeconomic uncertainties, including global trade tensions and potential tariff impacts, but underscores Expro's resilience owing to its international and offshore market exposure. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on operational efficiency, cost control, and leveraging its zero net debt balance sheet for financial flexibility.

Expro Group Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Expro Group Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financials
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Expro Group Holdings N.V. reported a solid financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, with revenue of $391 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $76 million, marking the highest first quarter adjusted EBITDA since its merger with Frank’s in 2021. Despite a decrease in revenue due to lower activity in several regions, the company achieved a net income of $14 million and continued to expand its adjusted EBITDA margin. Expro secured significant contracts, including a $50 million TRS contract in the Gulf of America and a $15 million intervention services contract in Indonesia, underscoring its commitment to delivering cost-effective, technology-driven solutions. The company remains optimistic about its medium- to long-term prospects, despite near-term uncertainties in the energy services industry.

Spark’s Take on XPRO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, XPRO is a Neutral.

Expro Group Holdings demonstrates robust financial growth and a strong balance sheet. The earnings call highlighted strategic initiatives and contract wins, boosting sentiment. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and high capital expenditures may pressure cash flows. Valuation is reasonable, but the lack of a dividend yield is a consideration for income-focused investors. Overall, Expro is positioned for growth but faces challenges in operational efficiency and market conditions.

To see Spark’s full report on XPRO stock, click here.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Expro Group Holdings Reports Strong 2024 Financial Performance
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

Expro Group Holdings reported a strong financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, with a 13% increase in annual revenue to $1,713 million and a 40% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $347 million. The company achieved significant contract wins, including projects in the Gulf of Mexico and the Norwegian Continental Shelf, and resolved issues related to its Congo production solutions project, contributing to improved margins and positioning for future growth. Expro also extended its $100 million stock repurchase program and anticipates stable to modestly increasing revenues in 2025, with a focus on operational efficiency and margin expansion.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.