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Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)
NYSE:WTTR

Select Energy Services (WTTR) AI Stock Analysis

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WTTR

Select Energy Services

(NYSE:WTTR)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
â–²(29.81% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating TTM fundamentals (revenue/earnings pressure, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow). Offsetting that are supportive price momentum and a positive earnings-call outlook with clear growth targets and record adjusted EBITDA, while valuation remains a notable headwind due to a high P/E.
Positive Factors
High‑margin Water Infrastructure
Water Infrastructure's 54% gross margin and 20%–25% growth target indicate a durable, high‑return business line. Scalable recycling infrastructure supports strong EBITDA conversion and helps insulate consolidated profitability from upstream cyclical swings as volumes and fee-based contracts expand.
Long-term contracts and commercial backlog
Nearly 1M dedicated acres and ~11‑year average contract tenor create predictable, recurring cash flows that underwrite capital deployment. Multi‑year MVCs reduce exposure to short‑term drilling cycles, improve utilization of built infrastructure, and support steady revenue capture over multiple years.
Technology diversification and royalty potential
Lithium and other mineral extraction partnerships leverage existing water assets to create low‑capex, high‑margin royalty streams. Successful commercialization would diversify revenue away from pure oilfield activity and add durable, margin‑rich cash flow with limited incremental capital intensity.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Debt rising to roughly $353M and a higher debt/equity ratio (~0.44) reduces financial flexibility and increases fixed interest obligations. If earnings remain pressured, leverage constrains ability to fund growth internally, raises refinancing risk, and limits buffer against upstream cyclicality.
High near-term capital intensity
Consecutive years of large net CapEx consume cash and delay free cash flow normalization. Hundreds of millions in infrastructure spending require achieving utilization and contracted volumes to generate returns, exposing liquidity and earnings until assets ramp and start producing stable cash flows.
Regulatory and disposal constraints
Tighter regulation and reduced disposal availability in a core basin increase operational complexity and potential costs. These constraints can limit throughput, force accelerated recycling investments, and raise unit economics, making regional growth and margin sustainability more uncertain over the medium term.

Select Energy Services (WTTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Select Energy Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSelect Energy Services (WTTR) is a leading provider of water solutions for the oil and gas industry, specializing in water sourcing, transportation, treatment, and disposal. The company operates primarily in the upstream sector and offers a comprehensive suite of services that support exploration and production activities. Select Energy Services is committed to providing environmentally responsible water management solutions that enhance operational efficiency while minimizing environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneySelect Energy Services generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by offering water management services to oil and gas exploration and production companies. Their revenue model includes charging fees for water sourcing, transportation, and disposal services. Additionally, the company earns income from water treatment services, which involve the purification and recycling of produced water. Significant partnerships with major oil and gas operators enhance their service capabilities and market reach, contributing substantially to their earnings. The cyclical nature of the oil and gas industry also influences their financial performance, with revenues typically increasing in periods of high drilling activity and decreasing during downturns.

Select Energy Services Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
EBITDA by Segment
EBITDA by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Select Energy Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong positive operational and financial momentum — record consolidated revenue and adjusted EBITDA, robust growth and high margins in Water Infrastructure and Chemical Technologies, volume milestones, long-term contracts, and promising diversification initiatives (lithium and beneficial reuse). Offsetting risks include near-term project timing slippages, significant 2026 capital expenditures that will consume cash until assets mature, regulatory/disposal constraints in the Northern Delaware Basin, and some revenue decline in Water Services driven by divestments. On balance, the positives (record results, high-margin infrastructure, clear growth guidance and long-term contracts) outweigh the near-term execution and capital intensity risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Annual Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidated 2025 revenue of $1.4 billion and record adjusted EBITDA of $260 million; Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $64.2 million (above guidance of $60M–$64M) with Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $65M–$68M.
Water Infrastructure Volume and Milestones
Recycled produced water volumes grew 18% in 2025 to more than 330 million barrels; reached a milestone of 1 billion barrels recycled since 2021, supporting >800% water infrastructure revenue growth over the past five years.
Strong Water Infrastructure Profitability and Growth Outlook
Q4 Water Infrastructure gross profit before D&A increased 5% with gross margin of 54%; company targets 20%–25% year-over-year revenue growth for the segment in 2026 and expects the segment to reach >60% of consolidated gross profit within 24 months.
Chemical Technologies Momentum
Chemical Technologies delivered 19% revenue growth in 2025 and 45% growth in gross profit before D&A versus 2024; record Q4 revenue of $87 million (14% sequential) and Q4 gross margins ~20%; 2026 guidance calls for similar revenue with margins of 19%–20%.
Water Services Operational Improvement
Water Services Q4 revenue rose ~7% sequentially (offsetting expected seasonal decline) with gross margin improving ~2 percentage points to 20%; Q4 gross profit before D&A grew ~16% for the segment and 2026 margin guidance of 19%–21%.
Commercial Backlog and Long-Term Contracts
Added nearly 1 million dedicated acreage with an average contract term of 11 years and executed multiple MVCs; average contract tenor supports long-term predictable cash flow and underwriting of future infrastructure growth.
Technology Diversification and Low‑Cost Royalty Streams
Announced lithium extraction partnerships (Haynesville and Permian) expected to generate initial royalty revenues by early 2027; additional pilots and potential iodine/strontium-magnesium opportunities could add high-margin, low-capex royalty streams leveraging existing infrastructure.
Capital Deployment and Cost Discipline Targets
2025 net CapEx of $279 million (Q4 net CapEx $70M); 2026 net CapEx guidance $175M–$225M (including $10M–$15M expected asset sales); management targets a 5%–10% year-over-year reduction in SG&A and SG&A below 11% of revenue in 2026.
Negative Updates
Project Timing Slippage and Near‑Term Volume Variability
Late Q4 experienced modestly lighter-than-anticipated volume growth on fixed infrastructure due to customer schedule changes and right-of-way delays, creating temporary timing slippage that management expects to normalize in 2026.
High Near‑Term Capital Intensity
Infrastructure build-out requires substantial near-term investment: 2025 net CapEx of $279M and 2026 guidance of $175M–$225M, which will consume cash in the short term and weigh on free cash flow until projects mature.
Regulatory and Disposal Constraints in Northern Delaware
Management highlighted increasing regulatory scrutiny and decreasing disposal availability in the Northern Delaware Basin, creating operational complexity and the need for continued investment in recycling and alternative disposal/beneficial reuse solutions.
Water Services Year‑over‑Year Revenue Decline from Divestments
While Q4 Water Services performance improved sequentially, management expects Water Services revenues to be down year‑over‑year in 2026 primarily due to recent divestments accounting for over 80% of the decline.
SG&A and Ongoing Operational Costs
SG&A increased modestly to $43 million in Q4 2025; although management targets a 5%–10% reduction in SG&A in 2026, near-term elevated expenses were a drag on operating results.
Timing and Uncertainty Around New Revenue Streams
Lithium and other mineral extraction initiatives are promising but early-stage: royalty revenue is expected to begin by early 2027, so near-term financial impact is limited and dependent on technology commercialization and regulatory approvals.
Commodity Price Exposure
Company outlook assumes commodity prices roughly $55–$65/barrel for oil; continued sensitivity to oil and gas price movements could affect upstream activity levels and demand for services and infrastructure volumes.
Company Guidance
Select's guidance builds on a strong 2025 backdrop ($1.4B revenue, record $260M adjusted EBITDA, 330M+ barrels recycled in 2025 and >1 billion barrels recycled since 2021) and outlines specific near‑term and 2026 targets: Water Infrastructure is expected to grow 20%–25% year‑over‑year in 2026 (Q1 revenue and gross profit before D&A up 7%–10% vs. Q4’25) while maintaining roughly 54% gross margins; Water Services should hold relatively steady into Q1 with gross margin before D&A of 19%–21% (FY26 revenues down YoY largely due to divestments—>80% of the decline); Chemical Technologies is expected to deliver similar full‑year revenue in 2026 with 19%–20% gross margins (Q1 revenue in the high $70s–$80M range); consolidated adjusted EBITDA is guided to $65M–$68M for Q1 (Q4’25 was $64.2M, above prior $60M–$64M guidance). Financial and cash‑flow items include 2026 net CapEx of $175M–$225M (after $10M–$15M asset sales) with ~$50M–$60M of maintenance spend, Q1 D&A of $46M–$50M (trending to low‑$50Ms over 2026), interest expense of $5M–$7M/quarter, cash tax payments of $5M–$10M in 2026, and a targeted 5%–10% YoY reduction in SG&A (below 11% of revenue for FY26); operationally the company added 55,000 bpd of disposal capacity in Q4, executed multiple MVCs adding nearly 1M dedicated acres with an average contract term of 11 years, and remains on track to grow Water Infrastructure to >60% of consolidated gross profit within 24 months.

Select Energy Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: the company rebounded from 2020–2021 losses to solid profitability in 2022–2024, but the latest TTM weakened sharply with ~18% revenue decline, near-breakeven net income, higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.44), and free cash flow turning negative despite positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Results show a strong recovery from deep losses in 2020–2021 to solid profitability in 2022–2024, with healthy gross and EBITDA margins. However, the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period deteriorated sharply: revenue fell about 18% year over year and net income is nearly breakeven, indicating meaningful margin pressure and weaker operating leverage versus prior years.
Balance Sheet
61
Positive
The balance sheet is supported by a sizable equity base and, historically, modest leverage (low debt-to-equity in 2021–2024). That said, leverage stepped up materially in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with total debt rising to roughly $353M and debt-to-equity increasing to ~0.44, while returns on equity also softened—raising financial risk if earnings remain pressured.
Cash Flow
47
Neutral
Operating cash generation has generally been positive and sizable in 2023–TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), providing some buffer. The key weakness is volatility in free cash flow: it swung from strong positive in 2023 and 2024 to negative in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), suggesting heavier reinvestment and/or working-capital drag, and reducing near-term financial flexibility despite solid operating cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.41B1.45B1.59B1.39B764.62M
Gross Profit197.08M219.47M231.66M160.75M20.86M
EBITDA210.26M211.02M165.29M174.03M44.30M
Net Income21.22M30.64M74.40M48.28M-42.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.60B1.37B1.22B1.22B950.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.08M19.98M57.08M7.32M85.80M
Total Debt374.26M132.74M53.55M80.16M67.31M
Total Liabilities668.54M450.75M326.02M339.13M255.02M
Stockholders Equity805.62M793.52M772.49M765.98M592.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-79.89M61.73M149.49M-38.65M-56.24M
Operating Cash Flow214.67M234.89M285.36M33.23M-16.25M
Investing Cash Flow-402.09M-318.62M-137.17M-53.25M-64.46M
Financing Cash Flow185.51M46.64M-98.42M-58.45M-2.54M

Select Energy Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.17
Price Trends
50DMA
12.08
Positive
100DMA
11.40
Positive
200DMA
10.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Positive
RSI
60.90
Neutral
STOCH
52.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WTTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.21, below the 50-day MA of 12.08, and above the 200-day MA of 10.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WTTR.

Select Energy Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$2.05B17.147.06%3.40%11.39%13.86%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$1.85B50.492.48%2.62%-4.60%-67.28%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WTTR
Select Energy Services
14.03
4.16
42.19%
HTO
H2O America
56.50
3.88
7.37%
ARIS
Aris Mining
19.61
15.55
383.00%

Select Energy Services Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Select Water Solutions Completes Upsized Equity Offering
Positive
Feb 25, 2026

Select Water Solutions, Inc. completed an underwritten public offering of its Class A common stock, initially agreeing on February 19, 2026 to sell $175 million of shares through a syndicate led by J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and BofA Securities, Inc. The underwriters exercised in full a 30-day option on February 23, 2026 to purchase an additional $26.25 million of shares at $12.75 per share, with that issuance closing on February 25, 2026, bringing total gross proceeds of the equity raise to approximately $201.25 million and further bolstering the company’s capital position.

The completed stock sale expands Select Water Solutions’ financial flexibility, potentially enabling increased investment in its water infrastructure and service offerings within the energy sector. The successful full take-up of the underwriters’ option also signals solid demand from capital markets for the company’s equity, which may strengthen its standing with investors and support future strategic or operational initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (WTTR) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Energy Services stock, see the WTTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Select Energy Services Announces $175 Million Equity Offering
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

On February 19, 2026, Select Water Solutions announced it had priced an underwritten public offering of 13,725,491 shares of its Class A common stock at $12.75 per share, for gross proceeds of about $175 million and expected net proceeds of approximately $166.6 million. The company also granted underwriters a 30-day option to buy up to 2,058,824 additional shares, and plans to use the proceeds to purchase SES Holdings LLC units and fund general corporate purposes, including water infrastructure growth projects, potential acquisitions, and debt repayment under its sustainability-linked credit facility, in a move that strengthens its balance sheet and supports expansion of its energy-water infrastructure platform.

The offering, led by J.P. Morgan Securities and BofA Securities with a syndicate of additional banks, is expected to close on February 23, 2026, subject to customary conditions. The transaction underscores Select’s push to scale its sustainable water and chemical solutions footprint in the energy sector, potentially enhancing its competitive position while modestly diluting existing shareholders through the new equity issuance.

The most recent analyst rating on (WTTR) stock is a Hold with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Energy Services stock, see the WTTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Select Energy Services Announces $175 Million Equity Offering
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

On February 19, 2026, Select Water Solutions, Inc. announced it has launched an underwritten public offering of $175 million of its Class A common stock, under an effective shelf registration statement. The company also expects to grant underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional $26.25 million of shares, with J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and BofA Securities acting as lead bookrunners.

Select plans to use the net proceeds for general corporate purposes, including funding water infrastructure growth projects, potential acquisitions and possible repayment of borrowings under its sustainability-linked credit facility. The equity raise, which remains subject to market conditions and final terms, is aimed at strengthening the company’s balance sheet and supporting expansion in its core water and chemical solutions platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (WTTR) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Select Energy Services stock, see the WTTR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026