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Now (DNOW) AI Stock Analysis

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DNOW

Now

(NYSE:DNOW)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(11.75% Upside)
DNOW's overall stock score reflects its strong financial foundation and positive earnings call highlights, including revenue and EBITDA growth. However, technical analysis suggests caution due to bearish momentum, and valuation is moderate with no dividend yield. The strategic merger with MRC Global offers future growth potential.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Management
The significant increase in free cash flow reflects DNOW's robust cash generation ability, supporting future investments and financial stability.
Merger with MRC Global
The merger with MRC Global enhances DNOW's market position and operational efficiency, promising substantial cost synergies and growth opportunities.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides DNOW with financial flexibility and resilience against market fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability
The decline in profitability, as indicated by reduced net margins, may impact DNOW's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain competitive positioning.
Flat U.S. Revenue
Flat U.S. revenue growth amidst a competitive market environment suggests challenges in expanding market share and sustaining growth.
Hypercompetitive Environment
A hypercompetitive market environment pressures DNOW's margins and could hinder its ability to achieve pricing power and profitability.

Now (DNOW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Now Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDnow Inc. distributes downstream energy and industrial products for petroleum refining, chemical processing, LNG terminals, power generation utilities, and industrial manufacturing operations in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company offers its products under the DistributionNOW and DNOW brand names. It provides consumable maintenance, repair, and operating supplies; pipes, valves, fittings, flanges, gaskets, fasteners, electrical products, instrumentations, artificial lift, pumping solutions, valve actuation and modular process, and measurement and control equipment; and mill supplies, tools, safety supplies, and personal protective equipment, as well as applied products and applications, such as artificial lift systems, coatings, and miscellaneous expendable items. The company also offers original equipment manufacturer equipment, including pumps, generator sets, air and gas compressors, dryers, blowers, mixers, and valves; modular oil and gas tank battery solutions; and application systems, work processes, parts integration, optimization solutions, and after-sales support services. In addition, it provides supply chain and materials management solutions that include procurement, inventory planning and management, and warehouse management, as well as solutions for logistics, point-of-issue technology, project management, business process, and performance metrics reporting services. The company serves customers through a network of approximately 180 locations in the upstream, midstream, and downstream sectors of the energy industry, including drilling contractors, well-servicing companies, independent and national oil and gas companies, midstream operators, and refineries, as well as petrochemical, chemical, utilities, and other downstream energy processors; and industrial and manufacturing companies. NOW Inc. was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyDNOW generates revenue primarily through the sale of industrial products and services to the energy sector, including oil and gas companies. The company's revenue model is based on multiple key streams: direct sales of products such as pipes, valves, fittings, and other equipment, as well as service contracts for logistics, inventory management, and procurement solutions. Additionally, DNOW benefits from strong partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, allowing them to offer competitive pricing and a diverse product range. Seasonal fluctuations in oil and gas demand can impact revenue, but the company also seeks to diversify its earnings through strategic ventures and expansion into new markets.

Now Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, including strong revenue and EBITDA growth, successful inventory management, and high free cash flow. However, challenges such as flat U.S. revenue, lower Canadian rig counts, and a hypercompetitive market environment present notable concerns. The merger with MRC Global is seen as a promising future opportunity.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
The third quarter delivered the strongest revenue since Q4 2019 at $634 million, marking the highest revenue quarter in almost 6 years and representing the fifth consecutive year of revenue growth for DNOW.
Improvement in EBITDA
EBITDA for the third quarter was $51 million or 8% of revenue, reflecting continued earnings durability and a marked improvement year-over-year, with a significant increase from less than 1% of revenue to an average of 7.8% post-2020 transformation.
High Free Cash Flow
DNOW delivered $39 million in free cash flow for the third quarter, elevating year-to-date free cash flow to $58 million, with expectations to approach $150 million for the full year 2025.
Successful Inventory Management
DNOW improved inventory turn rates and days sales outstanding, demonstrating efficient use of its balance sheet, with an inventory turn rate of 5.2x, a record high since Q4 2021.
Merger with MRC Global
The announced merger with MRC Global has received shareholder and regulatory approvals, expected to generate $70 million of annual cost synergies within 3 years.
Negative Updates
Flat U.S. Revenue
U.S. revenue was $527 million, effectively flat sequentially despite a 5% sequential contraction in U.S. rig count and a 6% decline in U.S. completions in the third quarter.
Challenges in Canada
Third quarter Canada rig count was 15% lower year-over-year, leading to footprint optimization to improve cost structure despite opportunities for future growth.
Hypercompetitive Environment
The market is described as hypercompetitive, with strong competition focusing on price, presenting challenges for maintaining and growing gross margins.
Company Guidance
During the DNOW Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating strong performance and positive expectations for the remainder of the year. DNOW reported third-quarter revenue of $634 million, marking their highest revenue quarter since 2019, and achieved an EBITDA of $51 million or 8% of revenue. They highlighted a robust free cash flow of $39 million for the quarter and $58 million year-to-date, with expectations to approach $150 million for the full year 2025. The company projected mid-single-digit percentage growth in fourth-quarter revenue compared to Q4 2024 and anticipated full-year 2025 EBITDA to approach 8% of revenue. DNOW also discussed its strategic merger with MRC Global, aiming for $70 million in annual cost synergies within three years of closing. They emphasized opportunities in midstream and digital technology to drive future growth, alongside maintaining a strong balance sheet with $266 million in cash and zero debt.

Now Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DNOW's financial performance is characterized by stable revenue and excellent cash flow management, with a strong balance sheet featuring low leverage and high equity. However, profitability has declined, as evidenced by reduced net and EBIT margins.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company's gross profit margin remained stable at approximately 22.5%. The net profit margin decreased to 3.4% from 10.6%, primarily due to a significant drop in net income. Revenue growth was modest at 2.2%. EBIT margin dropped to 4.8% from 6.0%, indicating reduced operational efficiency. The EBITDA margin also decreased to 4.8% from 7.1%. Overall, the income statement shows stable revenue but declining profitability.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, indicating minimal leverage risk. Return on Equity (ROE) decreased to 7.2% from 23.3%, reflecting lower profitability. The equity ratio improved to 69.6%, showcasing a strong equity base relative to assets. Overall, the balance sheet is solid with low leverage and high equity stability.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
The company demonstrated strong cash flow with a significant increase in free cash flow to $289 million, up 69% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio increased to 3.68, indicating robust cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow to net income ratio also improved to 3.57. The cash flow statement reflects excellent cash management and growth in free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.43B2.37B2.32B2.14B1.63B1.62B
Gross Profit561.00M535.00M535.00M506.00M357.00M292.00M
EBITDA166.00M153.00M166.00M160.00M39.00M-71.00M
Net Income95.00M81.00M247.00M128.00M5.00M-427.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.66B1.62B1.53B1.32B1.10B1.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments266.00M256.00M299.00M212.00M313.00M387.00M
Total Debt38.00M42.00M41.00M38.00M32.00M47.00M
Total Liabilities475.00M493.00M466.00M476.00M392.00M309.00M
Stockholders Equity1.18B1.12B1.06B842.00M711.00M699.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow177.00M289.00M171.00M-9.00M25.00M181.00M
Operating Cash Flow194.00M298.00M188.00M0.0030.00M189.00M
Investing Cash Flow-133.00M-304.00M-48.00M-87.00M-96.00M22.00M
Financing Cash Flow-53.00M-33.00M-55.00M-10.00M-6.00M-8.00M

Now Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.87
Price Trends
50DMA
14.36
Negative
100DMA
14.75
Negative
200DMA
15.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Negative
RSI
52.98
Neutral
STOCH
91.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DNOW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.45, below the 50-day MA of 14.36, and below the 200-day MA of 15.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DNOW.

Now Risk Analysis

Now disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Now reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Now Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.58B15.868.10%3.18%-53.71%
76
Outperform
$1.56B23.304.60%-1.24%337.41%
68
Neutral
$2.87B15.769.21%1.80%-12.05%-46.45%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
$1.50B32.531.43%
45
Neutral
0.28%-10.96%-169.10%
45
Neutral
$1.03B-85.98-1.20%11.87%20.68%-112.42%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DNOW
Now
13.87
-1.31
-8.63%
MRC
MRC Global
13.78
-0.29
-2.06%
XPRO
Expro Group Holdings
13.77
-0.03
-0.22%
LBRT
Liberty Oilfield Services
17.73
-0.39
-2.15%
AESI
Atlas Energy Solutions
8.34
-13.92
-62.53%
FLOC
Flowco Holdings Inc Class A
16.75
-12.84
-43.39%

Now Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
DNOW Completes Acquisition of MRC Global
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, DNOW Inc. completed its acquisition of MRC Global Inc., creating a premier solutions provider in the energy and industrial markets. The merger, which converted MRC Global’s common stock into DNOW’s, is expected to enhance DNOW’s earnings durability, cash flow, and financial position. This strategic move expands DNOW’s geographic footprint and distribution presence across the U.S., Canada, and international markets, serving a broader customer base. The acquisition is anticipated to generate significant cost synergies and operational efficiencies, strengthening DNOW’s market position and offering compelling growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (DNOW) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Now stock, see the DNOW Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
DNOW Inc. Completes Merger with MRC Global
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On June 26, 2025, DNOW Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with MRC Global Inc., involving a series of mergers that will result in MRC Global becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of DNOW. The completion of these transactions is contingent upon regulatory approvals, including the expiration of the statutory waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act, which expired on October 6, 2025, and other customary closing conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (DNOW) stock is a Buy with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Now stock, see the DNOW Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
DNOW Faces Legal Challenges in MRC Global Merger
Negative
Aug 29, 2025

On June 26, 2025, DNOW Inc. entered into a merger agreement with MRC Global, involving a two-step merger process, with the goal of MRC Global becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of DNOW. The merger has faced legal challenges, with several shareholder complaints and demand letters alleging material omissions in the joint proxy statement/prospectus, potentially violating securities laws. Despite believing the allegations are without merit, DNOW is voluntarily providing supplemental disclosures to avoid delays and distractions in closing the merger.

The most recent analyst rating on (DNOW) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Now stock, see the DNOW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025