Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.40B
• Dividend Yield: 8.88%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.45M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 87.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.21
• Revenue Growth: 49.18%
• EPS Growth: -87.20%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,143
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 66
• Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 123,739,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,248,099
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,446,664
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.52
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.83
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.15
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 9.39
• 1Y Price Target: $13.60
• Price Target Upside: 25.00% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: $11.50 ▲(5.70% Upside)

Atlas Energy Solutions' overall stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, though the dividend yield is attractive. Strategic growth initiatives and market share expansion provide some optimism, but short-term challenges in the Permian Basin and high costs weigh on the outlook.

Positive Factors

Efficient Operations

The Dune Express conveyor delivery system is a highly differentiated offering that enhances efficiency and supports margins.

Growth Opportunities

The company's power generation business, Moser, provides significant growth opportunities and is expected to drive long-term growth and margins.

Innovations and Cost Structure

Improvements in cost structure with innovations like autonomous trucking could benefit the company.

Negative Factors

Customer Deferrals and Supply Issues

Customer deferrals and excess supply present a challenging setup for Atlas Energy Solutions as projections look into 2026.

Market Challenges

Atlas Energy Solutions, Inc. faces a challenging environment in the US Land market due to oil prices remaining below $70 per barrel, driven by tariffs and OPEC+ production hikes.

Power Services Risks

There are risks to Power Services margins due to MW oversupply and potential lack of adoption of autonomous trucking and multi-trailers.

Atlas Energy Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) is a company operating in the energy sector, focusing primarily on providing solutions and services that support the oil and gas industry. The company specializes in offering high-quality proppant materials, which are essential components used in hydraulic fracturing to enhance oil and gas extraction. AESI is committed to delivering efficient, reliable, and innovative solutions that help optimize the performance and productivity of its clients in the energy sector.

How the Company Makes Money

Atlas Energy Solutions generates revenue primarily through the sale of proppant materials to oil and gas companies engaged in hydraulic fracturing operations. These materials are crucial for maintaining the integrity of fractures in the rock, allowing for the efficient extraction of hydrocarbons. AESI's revenue streams are heavily reliant on the demand for hydraulic fracturing services, which in turn is influenced by the global oil and gas market conditions. The company may also derive income from partnerships or long-term contracts with major energy producers, ensuring a steady and predictable revenue flow. Additionally, AESI might invest in research and development to innovate and improve its product offerings, thus enhancing its competitive edge in the market.

Atlas Energy Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Atlas Energy Solutions shows a mixed financial performance. While revenue growth is positive, declining profit margins and cash flow challenges raise concerns. The balance sheet shows improved leverage and a strong equity position, but the decrease in return on equity indicates reduced profitability.

Income Statement

Atlas Energy Solutions shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a modest revenue growth rate of 10%, which is a positive sign. However, the gross profit margin has decreased to 18% from 22% in the previous year, and the net profit margin has significantly dropped to 1.2% from 5.7%. This decline in profitability is concerning. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, indicating pressure on operating efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 in the TTM period, significantly improved from 0.51 in the previous year. This indicates a strong equity base and reduced leverage risk. However, the return on equity has decreased to 1.2%, suggesting lower profitability on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio remains healthy, indicating a solid asset base.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement highlights some challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth rate by 85% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests cash flow issues, potentially impacting future investments and liquidity.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.16B	1.06B	613.96M	482.72M	172.40M	111.77M
Gross Profit	209.58M	232.01M	313.77M	256.31M	64.07M	17.77M
EBITDA	226.55M	228.95M	307.19M	263.24M	71.89M	20.33M
Net Income	13.98M	59.94M	159.99M	217.01M	4.26M	-34.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.25B	1.97B	1.26B	751.00M	543.85M	521.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	78.81M	71.70M	210.17M	82.01M	40.40M	36.07M
Total Debt	552.47M	530.10M	177.99M	147.17M	175.58M	174.88M
Total Liabilities	976.44M	936.10M	393.86M	239.64M	205.15M	190.04M
Stockholders Equity	1.27B	1.04B	867.82M	511.36M	338.70M	331.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-18.13M	-117.52M	-66.46M	116.42M	1.99M	2.95M
Operating Cash Flow	237.23M	256.46M	299.03M	206.01M	21.36M	12.49M
Investing Cash Flow	-427.97M	-512.71M	-365.49M	-89.59M	-19.37M	-9.53M
Financing Cash Flow	164.82M	117.78M	194.62M	-74.81M	2.34M	11.83M

Atlas Energy Solutions Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 10.88
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AESI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.44, below the 50-day MA of 12.54, and below the 200-day MA of 16.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AESI.

Atlas Energy Solutions Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MRC	67 Neutral	$1.29B	41.18	5.66%	―	-9.81%	-124.43%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$15.26B	7.30	3.22%	5.27%	4.16%	-60.82%
SEI	64 Neutral	$2.02B	50.53	6.99%	1.81%	62.66%	-8.07%
LBRT	64 Neutral	$1.74B	8.00	10.92%	2.98%	-9.32%	-48.26%
WTTR	59 Neutral	$1.01B	25.99	4.18%	3.22%	-2.46%	-44.11%
AESI	56 Neutral	$1.40B	87.14	1.20%	8.88%	49.18%	-87.20%
ACDC	50 Neutral	$629.90M	―	-25.45%	―	-4.14%	-39.14%

Atlas Energy Solutions Corporate Events

Atlas Energy Reports Q2 Loss, Acquires PropFlow

On August 4, 2025, Atlas Energy Solutions reported its financial results for the second quarter ending June 30, 2025. The company experienced a net loss of $5.6 million, despite generating total sales of $288.7 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $70.5 million. Atlas maintained a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share and acquired PropFlow, a sand filtration system, to enhance its operations. The company highlighted its strong free cash flow and operational excellence, particularly in its new Power segment. Atlas aims to leverage its low-cost production and logistics network to gain market share in the challenging West Texas completions market, positioning itself for growth in 2026 and beyond.

Atlas Energy Acquires Propflow to Boost Proppant Tech

On July 29, 2025, Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. announced the acquisition of Propflow, LLC, a company known for its patented on-wellsite proppant filtration technology. This acquisition, completed on July 28, 2025, aims to enhance Atlas’ proppant handling capabilities and support its vision of mine-to-blender proppant logistics. The integration of PropFlow’s technology is expected to reduce frac equipment maintenance costs and downtime, facilitating continuous pumping operations and potentially surpassing historical benchmarks in well completion efficiencies. This move is part of Atlas’s broader strategy to drive better returns for its customers and shareholders.