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ProFrac Holding (ACDC)
NASDAQ:ACDC
US Market

ProFrac Holding (ACDC) AI Stock Analysis

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ACDC

ProFrac Holding

(NASDAQ:ACDC)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-7.41% Downside)
ProFrac Holding's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage, which are the most impactful factors. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are weak due to ongoing losses. While recent corporate events provide some financial flexibility, and earnings call initiatives show potential for future improvement, these are outweighed by current financial and operational difficulties.
Positive Factors
Cost Savings Initiatives
The planned cost savings initiatives will enhance operational efficiency and improve profitability, positioning ProFrac for long-term financial stability.
Technological Advancements
Technological advancements like ProPilot 2.0 enhance operational efficiency, providing a competitive edge and supporting sustainable growth.
Debt Terms Amendment
Amending debt terms improves financial flexibility, reducing immediate cash flow pressures and supporting long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue indicates market challenges and potential loss of market share, impacting long-term growth prospects.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting future investment opportunities and affecting financial stability.
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow highlights cash generation issues, which can hinder the company's ability to invest in growth and manage debt.

ProFrac Holding (ACDC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ProFrac Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProFrac Holding Corp., a vertically integrated and energy services company, provides hydraulic fracturing, completion, and other products and services to upstream oil and gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of North American unconventional oil and natural gas resources. It operates through three segments: Stimulation Services, Manufacturing, and Proppant Production. The company also manufactures and sells high horsepower pumps, valves, piping, swivels, large-bore manifold systems, seats, and fluid ends. ProFrac Holding Corp. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Willow Park, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyProFrac generates revenue primarily through its hydraulic fracturing services, which include pressure pumping and related services to exploration and production companies in the oil and gas sector. The company's revenue model is significantly driven by the volume of fracturing services provided on a contract basis, often involving long-term agreements with major oil and gas operators. Key revenue streams include service fees from hydraulic fracturing projects, equipment rentals, and the sale of proprietary technology and additives used in the fracturing process. Additionally, strategic partnerships with oil and gas companies enhance ProFrac's market reach and operational efficiency, contributing to stable earnings. The company also benefits from the increasing demand for energy, particularly from unconventional resources, which drives growth in its service offerings.

ProFrac Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant cost-saving initiatives and strategic financial maneuvers that position ProFrac for potential future success. However, the current quarter faced substantial challenges with revenue and EBITDA declines, operational inefficiencies, and negative free cash flow. The company's optimism for 2026 hinges on improved market conditions, particularly in the natural gas and LNG sectors.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operational Enhancements and Cost Savings Initiatives
ProFrac has identified initial COGS, SG&A, and capital expenditure savings of $100 million annually by the end of Q2 2026. This includes $35 million to $45 million from labor reductions and $30 million to $40 million from non-labor items.
Strategic Financial Maneuvers
Completed an equity offering netting nearly $80 million and executed the sale of the $40 million Flotek seller note, enhancing financial flexibility.
Potential for Market Recovery
Despite current challenges, ProFrac is optimistic about future demand driven by expanding LNG export capacity and rising power demand, expecting improvement in 2026.
Technological Advancements
Introduction of ProPilot 2.0 and collaboration with Seismos for advanced fracturing capabilities, improving operational efficiency and cost savings.
Negative Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Decline
Q3 revenues declined to $403 million from $502 million in Q2, and adjusted EBITDA fell to $41 million from $79 million, indicating significant market volatility and challenges.
Market Volatility and Operational Inefficiencies
September saw sharp deterioration due to customer program deferrals, resulting in increased white space and operational inefficiencies.
Free Cash Flow Challenges
ProFrac reported a negative free cash flow of $29 million in Q3 compared to $54 million positive in Q2, impacted by market conditions and operational disruptions.
Company Guidance
During the ProFrac Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, management provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. The company aims to achieve $100 million in cost savings by the end of Q2 2026, with $35 million to $45 million from COGS and SG&A labor reductions, $30 million to $40 million from non-labor expense cuts, and $20 million to $30 million by optimizing capital expenditures. ProFrac plans to raise up to $200 million in additional capital, including $40 million from senior secured notes and $79 million from a recent equity offering. The company reported Q3 revenues of $403 million and adjusted EBITDA of $41 million, a decrease from $502 million and $79 million, respectively, in Q2, primarily due to market volatility and operational inefficiencies. Going forward, ProFrac is focusing on optimizing its strategy by prioritizing dedicated fleets, enhancing operational efficiency, and leveraging its vertically integrated platform to navigate market challenges.

ProFrac Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ProFrac Holding faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, high leverage, and negative profitability. While there are some operational efficiencies, as indicated by the positive EBITDA margin, the overall financial health is concerning due to high debt levels and cash flow constraints. Strategic improvements in revenue generation and cost management are essential for financial recovery.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
ProFrac Holding's income statement reveals a challenging environment with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data shows a negative revenue growth rate of -8.08% and a net profit margin of -16.87%, indicating significant losses. Gross profit margin has also decreased over time, reflecting pressure on cost management. However, EBITDA margin remains positive at 11.34%, suggesting some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.40, indicating significant leverage. Stockholders' equity has decreased, and return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is relatively stable, but the high debt levels pose a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates a decline in free cash flow growth by -75.49% in the TTM period, highlighting cash generation challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, suggesting that cash flow from operations is not sufficient to cover net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but low, at 0.26.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.96B2.19B2.63B2.43B768.40M547.70M
Gross Profit77.20M253.60M451.50M701.50M57.60M-30.00M
EBITDA260.70M384.00M535.30M678.60M122.80M56.00M
Net Income-329.30M-215.10M-97.70M91.50M0.00-2.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.74B2.99B3.07B2.93B664.60M577.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments58.00M14.80M25.30M35.10M5.40M2.95M
Total Debt1.21B1.27B1.16B1.04B301.60M275.71M
Total Liabilities1.79B1.91B1.74B1.58B516.50M400.46M
Stockholders Equity862.00M1.01B1.27B-1.18B147.10M176.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.00M112.30M286.50M59.00M-43.50M-2.90M
Operating Cash Flow216.50M367.30M553.50M415.20M43.90M45.10M
Investing Cash Flow-148.50M-372.30M-715.80M-1.03B-78.40M-44.60M
Financing Cash Flow-35.50M-5.50M149.70M645.90M36.90M-15.30M

ProFrac Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.78
Price Trends
50DMA
4.12
Negative
100DMA
4.10
Negative
200DMA
5.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
43.12
Neutral
STOCH
10.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACDC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.01, below the 50-day MA of 4.12, and below the 200-day MA of 5.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACDC.

ProFrac Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.25B10.1653.71%0.17%7307.20%
76
Outperform
$541.34M19.6729.09%23.56%242.78%
72
Outperform
$769.69M23.9312.31%0.24%-1.02%6.34%
68
Neutral
$1.20B24.814.31%2.94%4.20%-59.96%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$972.23M-55.78-2.05%-11.65%87.57%
45
Neutral
$683.69M-1.83-31.46%-11.92%-53.72%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACDC
ProFrac Holding
3.75
-3.58
-48.84%
CLB
Core Laboratories
16.53
-0.16
-0.96%
FTK
Flotek
17.56
7.94
82.54%
RES
RPC
5.46
-0.14
-2.50%
TTI
Tetra Technologies
9.37
5.92
171.59%
PUMP
Propetro Holding
9.35
0.31
3.43%

ProFrac Holding Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
ProFrac Holding Amends Debt Terms to Boost Flexibility
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, ProFrac Holding’s affiliates amended their Alpine Term Loan Credit Agreement, reducing required quarterly amortization payments for PF Proppant Holding, LLC from $15 million to $7.5 million for the quarters ending March 31 and June 30, 2026, and deferring total net leverage ratio testing by one year to March 31, 2028, moves that ease near-term debt service and covenant pressure and provide additional financial flexibility. Separately, as part of a previously disclosed $60 million Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2029 issuance, an aggregate $40 million of these notes was purchased on December 15, 2025 by Wilks Brothers, LLC and Beal Bank USA in a private placement, with the proceeds earmarked for capital expenditures and general corporate purposes and the new securities forming a single secured series with ProFrac’s existing notes, further bolstering the company’s liquidity and reinforcing support from key affiliated and institutional lenders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025