ProFrac Holding (ACDC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $998.41M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.51M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.07
• Revenue Growth: -11.92%
• EPS Growth: -53.72%
• Country: US
• Employees: 3,077
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.55
• Shares Outstanding: 180,871,190
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,376,700
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,505,996
• PEG Ratio: -0.08
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.23
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.57
• P/FCF Ratio: 11.06
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.11
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.08
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 27.33
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 8.09
• 1Y Price Target: $3.50
• Price Target Upside: -34.09% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: $5.50 ▲(3.58% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/03/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/03/26

Overall score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, losses, high leverage, and deteriorating free cash flow). Technicals provide a moderate offset with an improving uptrend and positive momentum, though indicators look extended. Valuation is constrained by unprofitability, while the earnings call was mixed—credible cost-savings guidance but recent operational and cash flow setbacks.

Positive Factors

Positive EBITDA margin

A sustained positive EBITDA margin (11.34%) indicates core pressure-pumping operations can generate operating profit before non-cash and financing items. This operational profitability provides resilience through cycles, supports cost-savings leverage, and is a foundation for restoring net income and cash generation as volumes recover.

Technology & service enhancements

Rolling out ProPilot 2.0 and partnering with Seismos signals durable productivity and execution improvements. Enhanced frac automation and monitoring can lower per-job costs, improve uptime, and differentiate service quality, supporting higher fleet utilization and margin sustainability across future cycles.

Near-term debt flexibility

Amending the Alpine term loan to cut amortization and defer covenant testing materially eases near-term cash burdens. This structural relief expands runway to execute $100M cost-savings, invest selectively in fleet, and reduces immediate refinancing pressure, improving the odds of operational turnaround.

Negative Factors

Declining revenue and losses

Persistent revenue decline and sizeable net losses undermine scale economics and long-term profitability. Shrinking top-line reduces ability to spread fixed costs across fleets, pressures margins, and makes recovery dependent on stronger commodity-driven demand or sustained market share gains to restore financial self-sufficiency.

High leverage

A debt-to-equity ratio around 1.4 signals significant leverage for a cyclical services provider. Elevated debt amplifies cash flow volatility risk, limits capital allocation for fleet upgrades, and raises refinancing and covenant sensitivity, which can constrain strategic flexibility if commodity demand softens.

Weak free cash flow conversion

Very weak free cash flow and poor cash conversion versus earnings indicate structural cash-generation issues. Limited internal cash undermines ability to deleverage, fund capex or weather downturns, forcing reliance on external financing and dilutive equity or secured debt to sustain operations and invest in efficiency initiatives.

ProFrac Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ProFrac Holding Corp., a vertically integrated and energy services company, provides hydraulic fracturing, completion, and other products and services to upstream oil and gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of North American unconventional oil and natural gas resources. It operates through three segments: Stimulation Services, Manufacturing, and Proppant Production. The company also manufactures and sells high horsepower pumps, valves, piping, swivels, large-bore manifold systems, seats, and fluid ends. ProFrac Holding Corp. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Willow Park, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

ProFrac generates revenue primarily through its hydraulic fracturing services, which include pressure pumping and related services to exploration and production companies in the oil and gas sector. The company's revenue model is significantly driven by the volume of fracturing services provided on a contract basis, often involving long-term agreements with major oil and gas operators. Key revenue streams include service fees from hydraulic fracturing projects, equipment rentals, and the sale of proprietary technology and additives used in the fracturing process. Additionally, strategic partnerships with oil and gas companies enhance ProFrac's market reach and operational efficiency, contributing to stable earnings. The company also benefits from the increasing demand for energy, particularly from unconventional resources, which drives growth in its service offerings.

ProFrac Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak fundamentals: revenue declining (-8.08% TTM) with sizable losses (net margin -16.87%), high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.40), and sharply lower free cash flow (-75.49% TTM). A positive EBITDA margin (11.34%) is a partial offset but overall financial health remains pressured.

Income Statement

ProFrac Holding's income statement reveals a challenging environment with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data shows a negative revenue growth rate of -8.08% and a net profit margin of -16.87%, indicating significant losses. Gross profit margin has also decreased over time, reflecting pressure on cost management. However, EBITDA margin remains positive at 11.34%, suggesting some operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.40, indicating significant leverage. Stockholders' equity has decreased, and return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is relatively stable, but the high debt levels pose a risk to financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates a decline in free cash flow growth by -75.49% in the TTM period, highlighting cash generation challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, suggesting that cash flow from operations is not sufficient to cover net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but low, at 0.26.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.96B	2.19B	2.63B	2.43B	768.40M	547.70M
Gross Profit	77.20M	253.60M	451.50M	701.50M	57.60M	-30.00M
EBITDA	260.70M	384.00M	535.30M	678.60M	122.80M	56.00M
Net Income	-329.30M	-215.10M	-97.70M	91.50M	0.00	-2.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.74B	2.99B	3.07B	2.93B	664.60M	577.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	58.00M	14.80M	25.30M	35.10M	5.40M	2.95M
Total Debt	1.21B	1.27B	1.16B	1.04B	301.60M	275.71M
Total Liabilities	1.79B	1.91B	1.74B	1.58B	516.50M	400.46M
Stockholders Equity	862.00M	1.01B	1.27B	-1.18B	147.10M	176.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	20.00M	112.30M	286.50M	59.00M	-43.50M	-2.90M
Operating Cash Flow	216.50M	367.30M	553.50M	415.20M	43.90M	45.10M
Investing Cash Flow	-148.50M	-372.30M	-715.80M	-1.03B	-78.40M	-44.60M
Financing Cash Flow	-35.50M	-5.50M	149.70M	645.90M	36.90M	-15.30M

ProFrac Holding Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.31
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACDC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.29, above the 50-day MA of 4.63, and below the 200-day MA of 5.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ACDC.

ProFrac Holding Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TTI	75 Outperform	$1.49B	12.23	53.71%	―	0.17%	7307.20%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
CLB	65 Neutral	$860.03M	27.16	12.31%	0.24%	-1.02%	6.34%
FTK	63 Neutral	$522.71M	19.51	29.09%	―	23.56%	242.78%
RES	61 Neutral	$1.31B	40.77	4.31%	2.94%	4.20%	-59.96%
PUMP	61 Neutral	$1.34B	1,716.42	-2.05%	―	-11.65%	87.57%
ACDC	52 Neutral	$998.41M	-2.74	-31.46%	―	-11.92%	-53.72%

ProFrac Holding Corporate Events

ProFrac Holding Subsidiary Issues Additional Secured Notes

On January 7, 2026, ProFrac Holdings II, LLC, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of ProFrac Holding Corp., privately issued $25 million of Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2029 to Beal Bank USA, structured as additional notes under an existing indenture and treated as part of the same series as previously issued notes. The net proceeds are earmarked primarily for capital expenditures, with any remaining funds for general corporate purposes, reinforcing ProFrac’s capital structure with secured debt backed by the same collateral package as its existing notes and supporting continued investment in its operations and asset base.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACDC) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ProFrac Holding stock, see the ACDC Stock Forecast page.

ProFrac Holding appoints Matthew Rinaldi to board

On December 17, 2025, ProFrac Holding Corp.’s Board of Directors appointed Matthew Rinaldi as a non-independent member of the Board, with his term running until the company’s 2026 annual meeting of stockholders or until a successor is elected and qualified. Rinaldi, who was designated to the Board by the Farris Parties under an existing stockholders’ agreement, will receive the standard compensation for non-employee directors but is not expected to serve on any Board committees at this time, underscoring the continuing influence of key shareholder groups in ProFrac’s governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACDC) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ProFrac Holding stock, see the ACDC Stock Forecast page.

ProFrac Holding Amends Debt Terms to Boost Flexibility

On December 19, 2025, ProFrac Holding’s affiliates amended their Alpine Term Loan Credit Agreement, reducing required quarterly amortization payments for PF Proppant Holding, LLC from $15 million to $7.5 million for the quarters ending March 31 and June 30, 2026, and deferring total net leverage ratio testing by one year to March 31, 2028, moves that ease near-term debt service and covenant pressure and provide additional financial flexibility. Separately, as part of a previously disclosed $60 million Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2029 issuance, an aggregate $40 million of these notes was purchased on December 15, 2025 by Wilks Brothers, LLC and Beal Bank USA in a private placement, with the proceeds earmarked for capital expenditures and general corporate purposes and the new securities forming a single secured series with ProFrac’s existing notes, further bolstering the company’s liquidity and reinforcing support from key affiliated and institutional lenders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACDC) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ProFrac Holding stock, see the ACDC Stock Forecast page.