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Propetro Holding (PUMP)
NYSE:PUMP

Propetro Holding (PUMP) AI Stock Analysis

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PUMP

Propetro Holding

(NYSE:PUMP)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▼(-7.02% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (losses and declining revenue) and loss-driven valuation (negative P/E). Offsetting these are constructive technical momentum and earnings-call signals of improving cash generation and PROPWR growth, though near-term completions activity headwinds remain a key risk.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / solid balance sheet
A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 provides durable financial flexibility in a cyclical oilfield services market. Low leverage reduces bankruptcy risk, preserves borrowing capacity for equipment financing or lease structures, and allows management to allocate capital between completions and PROPWR expansion.
Improving free cash flow generation
Sustained free cash flow growth and a strong operating-cash-flow-to-net-income ratio indicate the business can generate cash despite revenue pressure. This supports organic reinvestment, funds capital-light growth initiatives, and lowers dependence on costly external financing over the medium term.
Rapidly scaling PROPWR power business
Building a multi‑hundred MW contracted and on‑order power platform diversifies revenue away from volatile completions. Multi‑year contracts and targeted buildout create recurring cash streams, enhance customer stickiness in the Permian, and position ProPetro as an integrated power provider with durable competitive advantages.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and negative net margins
Persistent revenue declines and a negative net margin erode retained earnings and limit reinvestment capacity. Even with positive EBITDA margin, net losses and negative ROE signal insufficient bottom‑line recovery, risking slower deleveraging and constrained funding for strategic initiatives if top‑line trends persist.
Completions market headwinds and idled fleets
Idled fleets reflect structural weakness in completions demand, reducing utilization and increasing per‑unit costs. Prolonged low activity compresses margins, delays returns on fleet investments, and limits the company's ability to redeploy assets or scale operations profitably during the recovery window.
Equity dilution and reliance on external capital
A large public offering to fund PROPWR expansion highlights reliance on external equity rather than internal cash. While proceeds accelerate growth, dilution reduces per‑share economics and signals that existing cash flow may not fully support capex needs, creating risk of repeated capital raises or higher financing costs.

Propetro Holding (PUMP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Propetro Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProPetro Holding Corp., an oilfield services company, provides hydraulic fracturing and other related services. The company operates through Pressure Pumping and All Other segments. It offers cementing, acidizing, and coiled tubing services. The company serves oil and gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of North American oil and natural gas resources. As of December 31, 2021, its fleet comprised 12 hydraulic fracturing units with 1,423,000 hydraulic horsepower. ProPetro Holding Corp. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyPropetro generates revenue primarily through its hydraulic fracturing services, which involve the high-pressure injection of fluid into subterranean rock formations to stimulate oil and gas production. Its key revenue streams include contracts for pressure pumping services, which are typically structured as fee-for-service agreements based on the volume of work performed. Additionally, Propetro provides integrated logistics and water management services, which also contribute to its earnings. The company's revenue is influenced by factors such as the demand for oil and gas, the pricing environment, and the number of active drilling rigs in the regions it serves. Strategic partnerships with major exploration and production companies further bolster its revenue potential, as these collaborations often lead to long-term contracts and increased service demand.

Propetro Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
ProPetro demonstrated resilience by generating free cash flow in a challenging market and made significant progress in its PROPWR segment with new contracts and secured financing. However, the company faced revenue and EBITDA declines, as well as activity headwinds in the completions market leading to idled fleets.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sustainable Free Cash Flow
ProPetro achieved another quarter of free cash flow generation in the completions business despite a challenging market.
Growth in PROPWR Segment
Significant progress in the PROPWR business, including securing a long-term contract for 60 megawatts to support a hyperscaler data center and another contract for a Permian E&P customer.
Strong Financial Position
Total liquidity at the end of the third quarter was $158 million, which includes cash and available capacity under the ABL credit facility.
Strategic Capital Allocation
Approximately 75% of ProPetro's fleet now consists of next-generation gas burning equipment, with plans to increase investments in FORCE electric equipment.
Secured Financing for Growth
Executed a letter of intent for a $350 million leasing facility to fund PROPWR business growth.
Negative Updates
Decreased Revenue and EBITDA
Total revenue decreased by 10% to $294 million compared to the prior quarter. Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 29% compared to the prior quarter.
Challenges in Completions Market
Activity headwinds led to idling three fleets from the second quarter. Market conditions are expected to remain challenging into 2026.
Net Loss Reported
Reported a net loss of $2 million or $0.02 loss per diluted share compared to a net loss of $7 million or $0.07 loss per diluted share in the second quarter.
Company Guidance
During the ProPetro Holdings Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting resilience amid challenging energy market conditions. The company highlighted the operation of approximately 70 full-time frac fleets in the Permian Basin, a decline from 90 to 100 at the year's start, indicating a broader market slowdown. ProPetro continues to focus on capital-light investments and cost reductions, achieving another quarter of free cash flow generation. The PROPWR segment is a key growth area, with 150 megawatts contracted and an expectation to reach 220 megawatts by year-end. The company plans to expand to 750 megawatts by 2028. ProPetro also secured a $350 million leasing facility to support growth, highlighting the importance of the completions business in generating sustainable cash flow. Despite a 10% revenue decrease to $294 million, the company maintained strong free cash flow, with adjusted EBITDA at $35 million. Looking ahead, ProPetro anticipates maintaining 10 to 11 active fleets in the fourth quarter, with a focus on sustaining frac activity into 2026, while further investing in the PROPWR business.

Propetro Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: declining revenue and negative net margin with losses pressure the score, but low leverage (D/E 0.14) and improving free cash flow support financial resilience.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Propetro Holding's income statement shows a challenging environment with declining revenues and negative profit margins. The TTM data indicates a revenue decline of 4.9% and a negative net profit margin of -1.69%. The company has struggled with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and net income figures. Despite these challenges, the EBITDA margin remains positive at 17.03%, suggesting some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -2.06%, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with a 10.3% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.74, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.20, reflecting challenges in converting earnings into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.30B1.44B1.63B1.28B874.51M789.23M
Gross Profit121.68M167.04M317.71M268.77M78.87M51.66M
EBITDA171.35M50.30M301.70M137.10M65.55M21.17M
Net Income-16.98M-137.86M85.63M2.03M-54.19M-107.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.28B1.22B1.48B1.34B1.06B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments76.67M58.29M41.10M99.14M111.92M68.77M
Total Debt202.00M175.42M148.58M33.16M466.00K799.00K
Total Liabilities453.40M407.37M481.92M381.75M234.93M179.97M
Stockholders Equity826.21M816.27M998.39M954.03M826.30M870.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.49M112.00M3.87M-19.25M11.19M38.52M
Operating Cash Flow188.43M252.29M374.74M300.43M154.71M139.12M
Investing Cash Flow-135.52M-155.10M-384.13M-349.75M-104.29M-94.22M
Financing Cash Flow-32.93M-80.11M-46.12M26.26M-7.28M-125.17M

Propetro Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.83
Price Trends
50DMA
10.04
Positive
100DMA
8.43
Positive
200DMA
7.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Negative
RSI
67.88
Neutral
STOCH
64.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PUMP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.34, above the 50-day MA of 10.04, and above the 200-day MA of 7.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PUMP.

Propetro Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$435.39M23.417.15%0.63%9.53%15.48%
74
Outperform
$1.98B28.657.67%0.31%33.08%
71
Outperform
$101.33M8.6311.89%16.61%-72.29%
67
Neutral
$506.04M22.623.31%-11.02%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$3.99B27.709.21%1.78%-12.05%-46.45%
58
Neutral
$1.19B-71.27-2.05%-11.65%87.57%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PUMP
Propetro Holding
11.83
3.02
34.28%
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
34.47
8.46
32.53%
OIS
Oil States International
8.48
3.51
70.62%
NCSM
Ncs Multistage Holdings
39.16
10.17
35.08%
LBRT
Liberty Oilfield Services
26.09
8.50
48.32%
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited
20.56
11.31
122.27%

Propetro Holding Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ProPetro Holding Prices Upsized Public Equity Offering
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 27, 2026, ProPetro Holding Corp. priced an upsized underwritten public offering of 15,000,000 shares of common stock at $10.00 per share, an increase from the originally proposed 12,500,000 shares, under an effective shelf registration. The company expects to receive approximately $141.9 million in net proceeds from the base offering, with an additional approximately $21.4 million anticipated after underwriters exercised in full a 30-day option to purchase 2,250,000 extra shares on January 27, 2026, with closing expected around January 28, 2026. ProPetro plans to use the capital for general corporate purposes, notably to fund growth investments in additional power generation equipment, a move that should bolster its capacity to serve upstream oil and gas clients and potentially strengthen its competitive position in North American unconventional resource development, while existing shareholders face equity dilution and the company agrees to a 60-day lock-up on further share sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (PUMP) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propetro Holding stock, see the PUMP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ProPetro Launches Public Offering to Fuel Power Expansion
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, ProPetro announced an underwritten public offering of 12,500,000 shares of common stock, with a planned 30-day option for underwriters to buy up to an additional 1,875,000 shares, with proceeds earmarked for general corporate purposes, including funding growth capital for additional power generation equipment, in a move that could dilute existing shareholders but bolster the company’s balance sheet and expansion capacity. In operational updates provided the same day, ProPetro highlighted the rapid build-out of its PROPWR power business, launched in December 2024, including a December 11, 2025 power supply contract with Coterra Energy for distributed microgrids in the New Mexico Permian, a second power contract signed after December 12, 2025, and, as of January 26, 2026, approximately 230 MW of committed capacity under multi‑year contracts and about 550 MW of delivered or on‑order generation capacity—70% high‑efficiency reciprocating engine generators and 30% low‑emissions modular turbines—positioning the company as a growing integrated power provider to the basin’s expanding energy infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (PUMP) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propetro Holding stock, see the PUMP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ProPetro Establishes $350 Million Power Equipment Leasing Facility
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

Effective December 26, 2025, ProPetro Holding Corp. amended its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement to increase the permitted amount of capital leases, purchase money debt and similar financing facilities to $425 million, expanding its capacity to use lease and equipment financing in its capital structure. On December 29, 2025, its subsidiary ProPetro Energy Solutions, LLC entered into an Interim Funding Agreement and Master Lease Agreement with Stonebriar Commercial Finance LLC, giving it the right to finance up to $350 million in power generator equipment purchases through an 84‑month leasing structure, a move that enhances the company’s ability to fund critical power infrastructure while managing upfront cash outlays and retaining options to acquire full ownership of the equipment over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (PUMP) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propetro Holding stock, see the PUMP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
ProPetro’s PROPWR Secures New Power Supply Contract
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, ProPetro Holding Corp.’s subsidiary, PROPWR, announced a contract to supply power to a subsidiary of Coterra Energy Inc. in the New Mexico portion of the Permian Basin, with operations set to begin in early 2026. This agreement, along with new equipment orders totaling 190 megawatts, highlights PROPWR’s growth and strategic positioning in the power solutions market, aiming for significant expansion by 2030. The company’s capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to increase, reflecting its commitment to expanding its commercial pipeline and securing its position as a leading provider of innovative power solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (PUMP) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propetro Holding stock, see the PUMP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026