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Propetro Holding (PUMP)
NYSE:PUMP

Propetro Holding (PUMP) AI Stock Analysis

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PUMP

Propetro Holding

(NYSE:PUMP)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(6.76% Upside)
The score is driven most by solid cash generation and improved liquidity/progress on PROPWR, which support financial resilience despite cyclical earnings volatility. The biggest offset is valuation risk from an extremely high P/E and the capital-intensive growth plan amid a slowing completions market; technicals are moderately constructive but not strongly trending.
Positive Factors
Consistent operating cash generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow and strong completions FCF provide durable internal funding for maintenance capex and strategic investments. This reduces reliance on external financing, supports margin resilience through cycles, and underpins the company’s ability to fund PROPWR scale-up over 2–5 years.
PROPWR commercial traction and scale-up
Rapid equipment orders and multi‑year contracted capacity materially diversify revenue into distributed power services. Large committed pipeline and clear multi‑year targets create a structural growth avenue that can generate recurring, higher‑margin cash flows as deployments and contracted earnings scale.
Strengthened liquidity and financing options
A material equity infusion plus expanded Caterpillar and leasing facilities meaningfully improve funding optionality for capital‑intensive PROPWR and fleet upgrades. This balance sheet cushion lowers near‑term funding risk and allows disciplined capital allocation during industry cyclicality.
Negative Factors
High capital intensity to scale PROPWR
Large, front‑loaded capital requirements for PROPWR create execution and financing risk: meaningful outflows must precede full earnings contribution. If deployment timing or contract renewals slip, cash conversion and ROIC could be pressured, extending the horizon to positive returns.
Rising debt trend versus prior years
An upward debt trajectory reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing risk during industry downturns. Higher leverage can amplify profitability volatility, constrain future discretionary investments, and increase sensitivity to interest costs if commodity or completions activity weakens.
Completions market slowdown and revenue volatility
Structural declines in active completions fleets and persistent market headwinds drive volatile revenue and margins in the legacy business. Given the cyclical nature of E&P completions, prolonged weak activity can depress utilization, extend fleet idle time, and reduce predictable free cash generation.

Propetro Holding (PUMP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Propetro Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProPetro Holding Corp., an oilfield services company, provides hydraulic fracturing and other related services. The company operates through Pressure Pumping and All Other segments. It offers cementing, acidizing, and coiled tubing services. The company serves oil and gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of North American oil and natural gas resources. As of December 31, 2021, its fleet comprised 12 hydraulic fracturing units with 1,423,000 hydraulic horsepower. ProPetro Holding Corp. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyPropetro generates revenue primarily through its hydraulic fracturing services, which involve the high-pressure injection of fluid into subterranean rock formations to stimulate oil and gas production. Its key revenue streams include contracts for pressure pumping services, which are typically structured as fee-for-service agreements based on the volume of work performed. Additionally, Propetro provides integrated logistics and water management services, which also contribute to its earnings. The company's revenue is influenced by factors such as the demand for oil and gas, the pricing environment, and the number of active drilling rigs in the regions it serves. Strategic partnerships with major exploration and production companies further bolster its revenue potential, as these collaborations often lead to long-term contracts and increased service demand.

Propetro Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong operational cash generation, a notable quarter-over-quarter adjusted EBITDA improvement (+45%), and significant commercial and financial progress for the PROPWR growth initiative (240 MW committed, ~550 MW ordered/delivered and a $163M equity raise that materially improved liquidity). These positives were balanced against persistent industry headwinds: a meaningful slowdown in completions activity (Permian fleets down from ~90–100 to ~70), modest revenue decline (-1% QoQ), near-term weather-related impacts to Q1 profitability, and substantial capital required to scale PROPWR. On balance, the company demonstrated financial resilience, disciplined capital allocation, and a clear growth runway for PROPWR that outweigh near-term market challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Cash Generation and Free Cash Flow
Net cash provided by operating activities of $81 million in Q4 2025 and free cash flow from the completions business of $98 million. Working capital tailwinds contributed an additional $28 million in cash in the quarter.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA of $51 million in Q4 2025, representing 18% of revenue and a 45% increase compared to Q3 2025 (quarter-over-quarter). This result includes a $17 million lease expense related to the electric fleet.
PROPWR: Rapid Commercial Progress and Scale
PROPWR reached approximately 240 megawatts of committed capacity and has ~550 megawatts delivered or on order after a 190 MW equipment order. The portfolio mix is ~70% high-efficiency natural gas reciprocating generators and ~30% low-emission modular turbines, with expected delivery of ordered units by year-end 2027.
Long-Term PROPWR Growth Targets Reaffirmed
Company reaffirmed targets to deliver at least 750 megawatts by year-end 2028 and 1 gigawatt (1,000 MW) or more by year-end 2030; expects PROPWR to begin contributing meaningful earnings by 2H 2026.
Equity Raise Strengthened Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Completed equity offering in January 2026 providing approximately $163 million net proceeds. Cash increased from $91 million at Dec 31, 2025 to $236 million at Jan 31, 2026 (increase of ~$145 million, ~159%), and total liquidity grew from $205 million to $325 million (+$120 million, +58.5%).
Disciplined Capital Allocation and Flexible Financing
Full year 2026 CapEx guidance of $390 million to $435 million with planned completions CapEx of $140 million to $160 million and PROPWR-related CapEx of $250 million to $275 million. Access to newly expanded $157 million financing facility with Caterpillar and a $350 million lease financing facility with Stonebriar supports flexible funding options.
Operational Differentiators and Industrialization
Management emphasized a refreshed next-generation fleet, technology investments (fleet automation, FORCE electric equipment), and industrialized completions operations enabling sustained margins and readiness to capitalize on market tightening.
Negative Updates
Completions Market Slowdown and Industry Attrition
Significant slowdown in completions activity in the Permian with estimated ~70 full-time frac fleets operating vs. 90–100 a year ago. Management expects ongoing attrition among smaller competitors but acknowledges near-term market weakness and uncertainty.
Revenue Slight Decline and Modest Net Income
Total revenue of $290 million in Q4 2025, a 1% decrease versus Q3 2025. Net income was $1 million ($0.01 per diluted share), an improvement from a $2 million net loss in Q3 but still a modest absolute profit level.
Near-Term Headwinds and Weather Impact
Management expects headwinds to persist into 2026; winter weather in late January materially impacted activity and is expected to meaningfully affect first-quarter profitability. Near-term outlook remains uncertain.
Capital Intensity and Timing of PROPWR Cash Outflows
PROPWR capex outlook includes $250M–$275M of 2026 spending related to the 550 MW on order and potential additional orders; while financing structures may reduce near-term cash outflow, the business requires substantial capital investment and measured execution risk.
Service-Line Pressure: Cementing Weakness
Cementing business has been pressured by a lower rig count and remains depressed relative to other service lines, reducing contributions from that segment.
Idle/Older Fleet Mix and Refurbishment Needs
Only 2–3 Tier 2 fleets are active today; company plans targeted refurbishments of some Tier IV DGB fleets and measured investments in direct drive gas units, indicating ongoing reinvestment needs to maintain competitiveness.
Company Guidance
ProPetro guided to full‑year 2026 capital expenditures of $390–$435 million, split roughly $140–$160M for the completions business (including $40–$50M for buyouts of five FORCE electric fleet leases) and $250–$275M for PROPWR; PROPWR currently has ~240 MW committed and ~550 MW delivered or on order (≈70% high‑efficiency gas reciprocating engines / 30% low‑emission turbines) at an average all‑in cost of ≈$1.1M per MW with deliveries expected by year‑end 2027, a reaffirmed target of ≥750 MW by YE2028 and ≥1 GW by YE2030, and management expects PROPWR to begin contributing meaningful earnings in H2 2026. In Q4 2025 ProPetro reported revenue of $290M, net income of $1M ($0.01/diluted share), Adjusted EBITDA of $51M (18% of revenue, +45% vs. Q3) with $17M of electric fleet lease expense included, completions free cash flow of $98M, net cash provided by operations of $81M, net cash used in investing of $39M, capex paid of $64M and incurred of $71M (≈$12M completions maintenance, ≈$59M PROPWR), working capital tailwind of $28M, $14M from asset sales and $11M from a note receivable. Liquidity remains healthy with cash of $91M and $114M ABL availability (total liquidity $205M) at 12/31/25 and pro forma cash of $236M and total liquidity of $325M as of 1/31/26 after net equity proceeds of ≈$163M; operationally the company expects ~11 active frac fleets in Q1 (weather‑impacted), will begin FORCE lease buyouts late‑2026 through 2028, and plans targeted completions CapEx for Tier IV refurbishments, fleet automation and measured direct‑drive gas unit additions.

Propetro Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating cash flow has been consistently positive and improved free cash flow in 2024–2025 supports resilience (Cash Flow score 71). This is partially offset by cyclical and inconsistent profitability (Income Statement score 56) and a meaningful upward trend in debt that increases risk (Balance Sheet score 63).
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has been volatile, with strong growth in 2022–2023 followed by declines in 2024 and 2025. Profitability also swung materially: healthy earnings in 2023 turned into a sizable loss in 2024, then improved to near break-even in 2025 (annual). While the recovery from 2024 is a positive signal, margins and earnings consistency remain key weaknesses.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base (stockholders’ equity remains large relative to total assets), which supports balance sheet resilience. However, total debt has increased meaningfully versus earlier years (very low leverage in 2020–2022 to higher debt levels by 2024–2025), raising financial risk if industry conditions soften again. Overall leverage still appears manageable, but the debt trend is the main watch item.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Operating cash flow has been consistently positive and relatively strong across the period, including during the 2024 loss year, indicating good cash generation quality. Free cash flow has been more uneven (notably very low in 2023 and negative in 2022), but improved strongly in 2024 and remained positive in 2025 (annual). The primary weakness is variability in free cash flow likely tied to changing spending needs.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.27B1.44B1.63B1.28B874.51M
Gross Profit126.09M167.04M317.71M268.77M78.87M
EBITDA193.43M50.30M301.70M137.10M65.55M
Net Income824.00K-137.86M85.63M2.03M-54.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.29B1.22B1.48B1.34B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.33M58.29M41.10M99.14M111.92M
Total Debt248.87M175.42M148.58M33.16M466.00K
Total Liabilities461.05M407.37M481.92M381.75M234.93M
Stockholders Equity829.84M816.27M998.39M954.03M826.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.48M112.00M3.87M-19.25M11.19M
Operating Cash Flow228.80M252.29M374.74M300.43M154.71M
Investing Cash Flow-149.81M-155.10M-384.13M-349.75M-104.29M
Financing Cash Flow-38.10M-80.11M-46.12M26.26M-7.28M

Propetro Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.24
Price Trends
50DMA
10.47
Positive
100DMA
9.34
Positive
200DMA
7.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Positive
RSI
51.84
Neutral
STOCH
26.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PUMP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.34, above the 50-day MA of 10.47, and above the 200-day MA of 7.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PUMP.

Propetro Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.49B46.945.45%0.31%33.08%
74
Outperform
$471.59M25.367.15%0.63%9.53%15.48%
71
Outperform
$99.07M8.7811.89%16.61%-72.29%
66
Neutral
$563.40M26.673.31%-11.02%
66
Neutral
$4.39B30.337.29%1.78%-12.05%-46.45%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$1.34B1,716.42-2.05%-11.65%87.57%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PUMP
Propetro Holding
11.24
2.30
25.73%
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
37.83
12.19
47.52%
OIS
Oil States International
12.53
7.36
142.36%
NCSM
Ncs Multistage Holdings
39.85
12.00
43.09%
LBRT
Liberty Energy
26.85
9.34
53.34%
NESR
National Energy Services Reunited
24.40
15.49
173.85%

Propetro Holding Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ProPetro Expands Equipment Financing Capacity with Loan Amendment
Positive
Feb 10, 2026

On February 6, 2026, ProPetro Energy Solutions, LLC, a subsidiary of ProPetro Holding Corp., amended its Master Loan and Security Agreement with Caterpillar Financial Services to increase available funding by an additional $53.55 million to finance turbine generator sets and auxiliary equipment. The new equipment loans will move from floating-rate interim notes to fixed-rate term notes upon meeting milestones, will be secured by a first lien on the financed equipment and related proceeds, and will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed by ProPetro Holding Corp. and ProPetro Services, Inc., reinforcing the company’s capital access for fleet investment under customary covenant restrictions on the collateral.

The amendment to the company’s financing arrangements may strengthen ProPetro’s ability to upgrade or expand its equipment base, potentially enhancing operational efficiency and competitiveness in the oilfield services market. By structuring the loans in phased interim and term components and tying usage strictly to equipment purchases, the company aligns its capital structure more closely with asset-backed growth while maintaining standard protections for the lender and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PUMP) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propetro Holding stock, see the PUMP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ProPetro Holding Prices Upsized Public Equity Offering
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 27, 2026, ProPetro Holding Corp. priced an upsized underwritten public offering of 15,000,000 shares of common stock at $10.00 per share, an increase from the originally proposed 12,500,000 shares, under an effective shelf registration. The company expects to receive approximately $141.9 million in net proceeds from the base offering, with an additional approximately $21.4 million anticipated after underwriters exercised in full a 30-day option to purchase 2,250,000 extra shares on January 27, 2026, with closing expected around January 28, 2026. ProPetro plans to use the capital for general corporate purposes, notably to fund growth investments in additional power generation equipment, a move that should bolster its capacity to serve upstream oil and gas clients and potentially strengthen its competitive position in North American unconventional resource development, while existing shareholders face equity dilution and the company agrees to a 60-day lock-up on further share sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (PUMP) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propetro Holding stock, see the PUMP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ProPetro Launches Public Offering to Fuel Power Expansion
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, ProPetro announced an underwritten public offering of 12,500,000 shares of common stock, with a planned 30-day option for underwriters to buy up to an additional 1,875,000 shares, with proceeds earmarked for general corporate purposes, including funding growth capital for additional power generation equipment, in a move that could dilute existing shareholders but bolster the company’s balance sheet and expansion capacity. In operational updates provided the same day, ProPetro highlighted the rapid build-out of its PROPWR power business, launched in December 2024, including a December 11, 2025 power supply contract with Coterra Energy for distributed microgrids in the New Mexico Permian, a second power contract signed after December 12, 2025, and, as of January 26, 2026, approximately 230 MW of committed capacity under multi‑year contracts and about 550 MW of delivered or on‑order generation capacity—70% high‑efficiency reciprocating engine generators and 30% low‑emissions modular turbines—positioning the company as a growing integrated power provider to the basin’s expanding energy infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (PUMP) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propetro Holding stock, see the PUMP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ProPetro Establishes $350 Million Power Equipment Leasing Facility
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

Effective December 26, 2025, ProPetro Holding Corp. amended its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement to increase the permitted amount of capital leases, purchase money debt and similar financing facilities to $425 million, expanding its capacity to use lease and equipment financing in its capital structure. On December 29, 2025, its subsidiary ProPetro Energy Solutions, LLC entered into an Interim Funding Agreement and Master Lease Agreement with Stonebriar Commercial Finance LLC, giving it the right to finance up to $350 million in power generator equipment purchases through an 84‑month leasing structure, a move that enhances the company’s ability to fund critical power infrastructure while managing upfront cash outlays and retaining options to acquire full ownership of the equipment over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (PUMP) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propetro Holding stock, see the PUMP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
ProPetro’s PROPWR Secures New Power Supply Contract
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, ProPetro Holding Corp.’s subsidiary, PROPWR, announced a contract to supply power to a subsidiary of Coterra Energy Inc. in the New Mexico portion of the Permian Basin, with operations set to begin in early 2026. This agreement, along with new equipment orders totaling 190 megawatts, highlights PROPWR’s growth and strategic positioning in the power solutions market, aiming for significant expansion by 2030. The company’s capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to increase, reflecting its commitment to expanding its commercial pipeline and securing its position as a leading provider of innovative power solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (PUMP) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propetro Holding stock, see the PUMP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026