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Ncs Multistage Holdings Inc (NCSM)
NASDAQ:NCSM

Ncs Multistage Holdings (NCSM) AI Stock Analysis

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NCSM

Ncs Multistage Holdings

(NASDAQ:NCSM)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$79.00
▲(111.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial improvement (profitability, cash generation, and a low-leverage balance sheet) and a very low P/E valuation. This is moderated by overbought technical conditions and 2026 guidance risks, including lower free cash flow guidance, Canada headwinds, and modest margin pressure.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet & low leverage
Very low leverage and rising equity create durable financial flexibility. The reduced debt load and strong equity base support capital allocation, M&A, and cyclicality resilience, lowering bankruptcy risk and enabling reinvestment or returns even if activity softens over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Business cyclicality and short recovery track record
Historic earnings volatility and a relatively short recent turnaround mean profitability and cash flow gains may not be persistent. Prior negative cash flow years and swingy results reduce visibility into sustainable margins and raise downside risk if E&P activity weakens over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet & low leverage
Very low leverage and rising equity create durable financial flexibility. The reduced debt load and strong equity base support capital allocation, M&A, and cyclicality resilience, lowering bankruptcy risk and enabling reinvestment or returns even if activity softens over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Ncs Multistage Holdings (NCSM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ncs Multistage Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ncs Multistage Holdings (NCSM) is a diversified company operating primarily in the manufacturing and distribution sectors. The firm specializes in providing innovative solutions across various industries, including construction, engineering, and r...
How the Company Makes Money
NCSM makes money by selling and/or renting completion tools and providing associated field services used in multistage well completions. Its revenue is primarily generated when exploration and production (E&P) customers execute completion programs...

Ncs Multistage Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call presents a positive operational and financial story: the company delivered double-digit revenue growth, a 20% increase in adjusted EBITDA, strong free cash flow conversion (>70% of adjusted EBITDA), successful integration progress of the ResMetrics acquisition, and continued product commercialization and geographic expansion. Offsetting these positives are region-specific headwinds in Canada, modest margin compression, seasonal/back-half weighted earnings, lower free cash flow guidance for 2026 versus 2025, and external macro/geo-political risks that are not included in guidance. On balance, the company beat guidance in 2025, strengthened its balance sheet, and provided reasonable 2026 guidance while calling out manageable near-term risks.
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Fiscal 2025 revenue of $183.6M, up 13% year-over-year (10% ex-ResMetrics contribution), exceeding the high end of guidance.
Negative Updates
Canada Softness and Near-Term Headwinds
Canada Q4 revenue declined 7% YoY; management expects Canadian revenue to be lower in 2026 due to lower rig counts and customer consolidation (Q1 Canada revenue guidance $26.5M–$28.5M).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Fiscal 2025 revenue of $183.6M, up 13% year-over-year (10% ex-ResMetrics contribution), exceeding the high end of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided Q1 2026 revenue of $49–$53 million (≈+2% at the midpoint vs. 2025) with U.S. revenue $19.5–$20.5M, international $3–$4M, and Canada $26.5–$28.5M; adjusted gross margin 39–41%; adjusted EBITDA $6.5–$8.5M; and depreciation & amortization ≈$1.6M. For full-year 2026 management expects revenue of $184–$194M, adjusted EBITDA of $26–$29M, gross capital expenditures of $1.5–$2.0M, and free cash flow after JV distributions of $12–$16M (targeting >50% adjusted-EBITDA-to-FCF conversion). They noted seasonality with EBITDA and FCF weighted to H2, paid $1.5M contingent ResMetrics consideration in Jan 2026, and reiterated medium-term targets of 25–35% incremental adjusted-EBITDA margins and a 15% ROIC objective.

Ncs Multistage Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent inflection: revenue growth through 2025, margin expansion, and a swing to solid profitability (net margin 12.9% in 2025) supported by improving operating cash flow and free cash flow. Balance sheet is conservative with low leverage and rising equity, but historical cyclicality and the relatively short duration of the turnaround temper the score.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue184.73M162.56M142.47M155.63M118.50M
Gross Profit70.64M62.15M50.99M56.09M43.97M
EBITDA17.68M13.98M1.86M4.73M1.72M
Net Income23.75M6.59M-3.15M-1.10M-4.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets181.20M152.81M152.03M138.60M142.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.73M25.88M16.72M16.23M22.17M
Total Debt12.95M14.63M13.51M12.88M13.15M
Total Liabilities38.10M36.70M42.64M29.34M31.66M
Stockholders Equity126.24M98.84M91.62M91.03M92.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.97M11.42M2.58M-2.55M10.75M
Operating Cash Flow22.18M12.72M4.77M-1.42M11.58M
Investing Cash Flow-6.29M479.00K-1.68M-698.00K-444.00K
Financing Cash Flow-5.30M-4.27M-2.44M-2.74M-4.26M

Ncs Multistage Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.44
Price Trends
50DMA
45.41
Positive
100DMA
42.20
Positive
200DMA
39.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.90
Negative
RSI
75.53
Negative
STOCH
77.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NCSM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.62, below the 50-day MA of 45.41, and below the 200-day MA of 39.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.53 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NCSM.

Ncs Multistage Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$177.02M1.7121.91%16.61%-72.29%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
59
Neutral
$192.44M116.130.57%18.98%
49
Neutral
$99.56M-2.82-7.14%-6.90%94.14%
49
Neutral
$130.89M-23.15-3.08%7.46%-165.76%
45
Neutral
$68.62M-11.83-19.72%-22.31%39.11%
45
Neutral
$52.92M-0.46147.42%-12.57%-45.75%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NCSM
Ncs Multistage Holdings
72.47
38.15
111.16%
DWSN
Dawson Geophysical Company
2.50
1.14
83.82%
BOOM
DMC Global
4.89
-3.92
-44.49%
SND
Smart Sand
4.56
2.24
96.38%
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings
2.79
-0.81
-22.50%
DTI
Drilling Tools International
3.70
1.00
37.04%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026