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Ncs Multistage Holdings (NCSM)
NASDAQ:NCSM
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Ncs Multistage Holdings (NCSM) AI Stock Analysis

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NCSM

Ncs Multistage Holdings

(NASDAQ:NCSM)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(28.21% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/05/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial fundamentals (low leverage, improved profitability, and solid free cash flow). It is held back by weak technicals (trading below major moving averages with oversold momentum) and limited valuation support given a negative P/E and no dividend yield data. Earnings-call commentary is constructive but tempered by softer regions, modest margin pressure, and lower 2026 free cash flow guidance versus 2025.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and rising equity provide durable financial flexibility in a cyclical oilfield-services industry. Low debt reduces refinancing and interest risks through downturns, enabling continued investment in tools, M&A integration, and working-capital support without straining cash flow.
Negative Factors
Revenue momentum softness
Declining top-line momentum and region-specific softness (Canada) signal demand sensitivity to rig/completion counts. Persistent revenue weakness would erode operating leverage and limit the firm's ability to scale fixed costs, making margins and cash flow more vulnerable across cycles.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and rising equity provide durable financial flexibility in a cyclical oilfield-services industry. Low debt reduces refinancing and interest risks through downturns, enabling continued investment in tools, M&A integration, and working-capital support without straining cash flow.
Read all positive factors

Ncs Multistage Holdings (NCSM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ncs Multistage Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. provides engineered products and support services for oil and natural gas well completions and field development strategies in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It offers fracturing systems, which includ...
How the Company Makes Money
NCSM makes money by selling and/or renting completion tools and providing associated field services used in multistage well completions. Its revenue is primarily generated when exploration and production (E&P) customers execute completion programs...

Ncs Multistage Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call presents a positive operational and financial story: the company delivered double-digit revenue growth, a 20% increase in adjusted EBITDA, strong free cash flow conversion (>70% of adjusted EBITDA), successful integration progress of the ResMetrics acquisition, and continued product commercialization and geographic expansion. Offsetting these positives are region-specific headwinds in Canada, modest margin compression, seasonal/back-half weighted earnings, lower free cash flow guidance for 2026 versus 2025, and external macro/geo-political risks that are not included in guidance. On balance, the company beat guidance in 2025, strengthened its balance sheet, and provided reasonable 2026 guidance while calling out manageable near-term risks.
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Fiscal 2025 revenue of $183.6M, up 13% year-over-year (10% ex-ResMetrics contribution), exceeding the high end of guidance.
Negative Updates
Canada Softness and Near-Term Headwinds
Canada Q4 revenue declined 7% YoY; management expects Canadian revenue to be lower in 2026 due to lower rig counts and customer consolidation (Q1 Canada revenue guidance $26.5M–$28.5M).
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Fiscal 2025 revenue of $183.6M, up 13% year-over-year (10% ex-ResMetrics contribution), exceeding the high end of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided Q1 2026 revenue of $49–$53 million (≈+2% at the midpoint vs. 2025) with U.S. revenue $19.5–$20.5M, international $3–$4M, and Canada $26.5–$28.5M; adjusted gross margin 39–41%; adjusted EBITDA $6.5–$8.5M; and depreciation & amortization ≈$1.6M. For full-year 2026 management expects revenue of $184–$194M, adjusted EBITDA of $26–$29M, gross capital expenditures of $1.5–$2.0M, and free cash flow after JV distributions of $12–$16M (targeting >50% adjusted-EBITDA-to-FCF conversion). They noted seasonality with EBITDA and FCF weighted to H2, paid $1.5M contingent ResMetrics consideration in Jan 2026, and reiterated medium-term targets of 25–35% incremental adjusted-EBITDA margins and a 15% ROIC objective.

Ncs Multistage Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (very low leverage and growing equity) and solid cash generation (TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow improved, with FCF closely tracking earnings). Profitability has meaningfully improved versus prior loss years, but the latest TTM shows softening revenue and some margin compression versus 2025, which tempers the score.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue179.61M184.73M162.56M142.47M155.63M118.50M
Gross Profit65.98M70.64M62.15M50.99M56.09M43.97M
EBITDA18.95M17.68M13.98M1.86M4.73M1.72M
Net Income19.32M23.75M6.59M-3.15M-1.10M-4.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets174.58M181.20M152.81M152.03M138.60M142.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.46M36.73M25.88M16.72M16.23M22.17M
Total Debt7.21M12.95M14.63M13.51M12.88M13.15M
Total Liabilities30.78M38.10M36.70M42.64M29.34M31.66M
Stockholders Equity124.83M126.24M98.84M91.62M91.03M92.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.71M20.97M11.42M2.58M-2.55M10.75M
Operating Cash Flow25.10M22.18M12.72M4.77M-1.42M11.58M
Investing Cash Flow-6.40M-6.29M479.00K-1.68M-698.00K-444.00K
Financing Cash Flow-7.45M-5.30M-4.27M-2.44M-2.74M-4.26M

Ncs Multistage Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.44
Price Trends
50DMA
55.47
Positive
100DMA
47.48
Positive
200DMA
43.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.98
Negative
RSI
68.67
Neutral
STOCH
83.06
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NCSM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.47, below the 50-day MA of 55.47, and below the 200-day MA of 43.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.06 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NCSM.

Ncs Multistage Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$116.84M-109.5518.33%6.81%122.00%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$235.11M33.150.57%6.03%-52.81%
59
Neutral
$158.84M-3.84-10.34%-7.73%84.44%
52
Neutral
$112.41M21.26-11.82%1.98%52.93%
51
Neutral
$79.27M-0.60147.42%-10.26%-27.55%
49
Neutral
$120.69M17.71-3.08%3.35%-200.76%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NCSM
Ncs Multistage Holdings
44.52
14.81
49.85%
DWSN
Dawson Geophysical Company
3.62
2.31
176.34%
BOOM
DMC Global
7.76
1.00
14.79%
SND
Smart Sand
5.40
3.56
194.12%
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings
4.03
2.03
101.00%
DTI
Drilling Tools International
3.43
1.18
52.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 05, 2026