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Geospace Technologies (GEOS)
NASDAQ:GEOS
US Market

Geospace Technologies (GEOS) AI Stock Analysis

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GEOS

Geospace Technologies

(NASDAQ:GEOS)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▼(-10.07% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance—TTM losses, margin compression, and negative operating/free cash flow—alongside bearish technical momentum with the stock trading below key moving averages. These are partially offset by a low-leverage balance sheet and earnings-call-identified forward catalysts (especially the ~$90M PRM contract expected to start contributing in Q3 FY2026), but near-term execution and liquidity/cash burn remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low financial leverage provides durable financial flexibility: minimal debt reduces refinancing and interest risk, enabling the company to fund working capital or absorb timing gaps from multi-quarter contracts without immediate external financing, supporting execution over the next several quarters.
Large multi-quarter PRM contract
A ~$90M PRM contract that recognizes revenue over multiple quarters materially increases near- to medium-term revenue visibility. Goods-heavy, percentage-completion recognition should drive multi-quarter cash and utilization improvements and help stabilize historically lumpy project revenue streams.
GeoVox subscription model
GeoVox adds a recurring-subscription product and an addressable market described as 'thousands', offering structural revenue diversification away from project-driven energy cycles. Early shipments and elevated customer interest point to a durable shift toward predictable, recurring revenue if adoption scales.
Negative Factors
Negative operating/free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow creates persistent liquidity pressure and forces reliance on working capital, asset sales, or external financing to support operations. This weak cash generation constrains reinvestment and makes multi-quarter execution riskier absent contract receipts.
Material revenue decline
A ~31% YoY drop in consolidated revenue signals weakened end-market demand and timing issues. Such sizable declines reduce operating leverage, depress utilization of equipment and manufacturing capacity, and can persist if energy and municipal spending remain muted over multiple quarters.
Margin pressure from cost increases
Rising input costs and tariffs that outpace price recovery structurally compress gross margins unless offset by product mix shifts or pricing power. For a company reliant on hardware and project sales, sustained margin pressure will erode profitability and slow the path back to consistent positive cash generation.

Geospace Technologies (GEOS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Geospace Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeospace Technologies Corporation designs and manufactures instruments and equipment used in the oil and gas industry to acquire seismic data in order to locate, characterize, and monitor hydrocarbon producing reservoirs. The company operates through three segments: Oil and Gas Markets, Adjacent Markets, and Emerging Markets. The Oil and Gas Markets segment offers wireless seismic data acquisition systems and reservoir characterization products and services, as well as traditional seismic exploration products, such as geophones, hydrophones, leader wires, connectors, cables, marine streamer retrieval and steering devices, and other seismic products. The Adjacent Markets segment provides industrial products, including imaging equipment, water meter products, remote shut-off valves and Internet of Things platform, and offshore cables, as well as seismic sensors for vibration monitoring and geotechnical applications, such as mine safety and earthquake detection applications; and electronic pre-press products that employ direct thermal imaging, direct-to-screen printing systems, and digital inkjet printing technologies targeted at the commercial and industrial graphics, textile, and flexographic printing industries. The Emerging Markets segment designs and sells products used for border and perimeter security surveillance, cross-border tunneling detection, and other products targeted at movement monitoring, intrusion detection, and situational awareness. This segment serves customers that include various agencies of the United States government, including the Department of Defense, Department of Energy, Department of Homeland Security, and other agencies. The company operates in Asia, Canada, Europe, the United States, and internationally. Geospace Technologies Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeospace Technologies generates revenue through the sale of its geophysical equipment, including seismic sensors and data acquisition systems, to customers in the oil and gas sector. Additionally, the company offers software solutions for seismic data processing, which further contributes to its revenue. A significant portion of its earnings is derived from service contracts that involve data acquisition and processing for clients conducting subsurface exploration. The company also engages in partnerships and collaborations with industry players, which can provide additional revenue opportunities and enhance its market presence. Key factors contributing to its earnings include the demand for energy resources, advancements in technology, and the company's ability to innovate and deliver high-quality products and services.

Geospace Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Geospace Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mix of significant near-term challenges and clear future opportunities. Near-term results were weak: consolidated revenue fell ~31% YoY to $25.6M and the company swung to a $9.8M net loss, driven by lower segment demand, seasonal timing, and macro cost pressures. Offsetting these negatives are material future catalysts and strategic actions: a large ~$90M PRM contract that should begin contributing in Q3, recent Pioneer equipment sales, the GeoVox acquisition with a subscription model and early customer traction, and a conservative capital posture (limited capex, owned real estate). Overall, the issues are material in the short term, but management highlighted multi-quarter contract revenue and pipeline opportunities that could improve performance going forward.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Large Permanent Reservoir Monitoring (PRM) Contract (~$90M)
Company announced a previously awarded PRM contract with a total value in the "$90-ish million" range. Majority of revenue is goods; revenue recognition expected to begin in Q3 FY2026 and continue through Q1 FY2027 under an over-time/percentage-completion model, providing a multi-quarter revenue catalyst.
Pioneer Land Node Sales Included in Q1 Revenue
Energy Solutions revenue included $10.6M of Pioneer and related equipment for an order to Dawson Geophysical (announced Aug 2025), demonstrating ongoing market interest in the Pioneer land node solution.
GeoVox Acquisition and New Recurring Revenue Model
Acquired GeoVox Security (heartbeat detection tech license). Company has launched a monthly subscription model, begun shipping units this quarter, expects a couple hundred units this year, reports customer interest exceeding historical levels, and sees a sizable addressable market ("thousands"), including potential for 1,000+ units at U.S. border crossings.
Maintained Conservative Financial Discipline and Asset Base
Management emphasized capital discipline: FY2026 capex budget of $5M, no planned additions to the rental fleet, ownership of unencumbered domestic and international real estate, and working capital of $52.2M (including $25.4M trade accounts & financing receivables).
Intelligent Industrial Segment Poised for Recurring Revenue Growth
Intelligent Industrial continues to produce steady predictable revenue from sensors, imaging and contract manufacturing. GeoVox subscription model and increased contract manufacturing demand position the segment for growth in 2026 and beyond.
Negative Updates
Significant YoY Revenue Decline
Total revenue for Q1 FY2026 was $25.6M compared with $37.2M a year ago, a decrease of approximately 31% YoY, driven by weaker demand and timing differences across segments.
Swing to Net Loss and EPS Decline
Reported a net loss of $9.8M (−$0.76 per diluted share) in Q1 FY2026 versus net income of $8.4M (+$0.65 per diluted share) in the year-ago quarter, representing a material profitability deterioration and cash/earnings pressure.
Energy Solutions Revenue Down 40%
Energy Solutions revenue declined to $14.6M from $24.3M a year ago (−40%). The prior year benefited from a $17M OBX marine wireless sale; current quarter included $10.6M Pioneer equipment, but lower OBX rental fleet utilization reduced revenue.
Smart Water Revenue Decline of 21%
Smart Water revenue was $5.8M versus $7.3M a year ago (−21%), attributed to lower demand for Hydroconn cable and connector products and typical seasonal/municipal budget timing.
Intelligent Industrial Down 8% (Sensor Demand Weakness)
Intelligent Industrial revenue fell to $5.1M from $5.6M (−8%), primarily due to reduced industrial sensor demand, only partially offset by increased contract manufacturing.
Cost and Margin Pressures from Macro Factors
Management cited inflation increasing material costs faster than pricing adjustments, tariffs impacting margins, and supply chain challenges forcing higher inventory carrying costs, all pressuring profitability.
Liquidity and Cash Level
Cash and cash equivalents were $10.0M at quarter-end, which—alongside a quarter of net loss—represents a near-term liquidity factor to monitor despite $52.2M working capital and owned unencumbered real estate.
Soft Rental Fleet Demand; No Fleet Additions Planned
Utilization of the OBX rental fleet remains low, contributing to Energy Solutions revenue decline. Management does not anticipate additions to the rental fleet given current market conditions.
Company Guidance
Management gave limited formal guidance—explicitly declining to provide specific revenue or earnings targets—but did give several quantified expectations: Q1 FY2026 revenue was $25.6M (vs. $37.2M a year ago) with a net loss of $9.8M (−$0.76 per diluted share) versus prior-year net income of $8.4M ($0.65/share); segment results were Smart Water $5.8M (−21% vs. $7.3M), Energy Solutions $14.6M (−40% vs. $24.3M) including $10.6M of Pioneer equipment (prior-period included a $17M OBX sale), and Intelligent Industrial $5.1M (−8% vs. $5.6M); balance sheet and operating metrics include $10M cash, $52.2M working capital with $25.4M of trade accounts and financing receivables, a FY2026 capex budget of ~$5M and no planned additions to the rental fleet; the Petrobras contract is ~ $90M with revenue recognition beginning in Q3 FY2026 and the goods portion expected completed in Q1 2027; GeoVox shipments start this quarter with a few hundred units expected this year (addressable market in the thousands; U.S. CBP opportunity could exceed 1,000 units across ~300 border crossings); contingent consideration was increased by ~$196K related to the heartbeat detector, and rental-fleet utilization remains low/flat.

Geospace Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating results and cash flow are the primary weakness: TTM revenue declined (-10.5%), profitability swung to a sizable loss (net margin ~-28%), and cash generation is negative (TTM operating cash flow -$26.2M; TTM free cash flow -$33.5M). The key offset is a very conservatively levered balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~1% TTM), which reduces financial risk but does not fully counter current earnings and cash burn.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Results have weakened materially in the most recent TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months): revenue declined (-10.5%) and profitability deteriorated to a sizable loss (net margin about -28%, with negative operating profitability as well). This contrasts with FY2023 profitability (positive net margin ~9.8%) and the better gross margin profile seen in FY2023–FY2024, pointing to elevated volatility and a challenging near-term earnings backdrop. Positives include historically solid gross margin capability (mid-to-high 30s/low 40s in FY2023–FY2024), but the current margin compression and swing back to losses drive a below-average score.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: debt is minimal (debt-to-equity roughly ~0.8% in FY2025 and ~1.1% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), indicating low financial leverage and flexibility. However, returns on equity are currently negative (about -22% TTM and -7.7% in FY2025) due to losses, which limits overall quality despite the conservative capital structure.
Cash Flow
29
Negative
Cash generation is weak and deteriorating: operating cash flow is negative in the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (-$26.2M) and FY2025 (-$22.2M), with free cash flow also deeply negative (TTM -$33.5M; FY2025 -$30.2M). The company did generate positive operating cash flow in FY2023, but the multi-year pattern is inconsistent and currently pressured, suggesting higher funding/consumption risk until profitability and working-capital trends improve.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue99.17M110.80M135.60M124.51M89.25M94.86M
Gross Profit15.44M32.90M52.57M51.69M18.04M16.29M
EBITDA-17.43M979.00K8.49M28.94M-3.06M7.30M
Net Income-27.86M-9.72M-6.58M12.21M-22.86M-14.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets144.62M153.04M152.19M153.04M135.06M163.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.58M26.34M37.12M33.72M17.00M23.56M
Total Debt873.00K974.00K512.00K769.00K1.01M1.23M
Total Liabilities28.74M27.53M17.57M20.33M13.41M21.47M
Stockholders Equity115.88M125.51M134.62M132.72M121.65M142.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.06M-30.20M-12.94M1.67M-16.00M-12.48M
Operating Cash Flow-25.79M-22.23M-9.08M15.56M-10.04M-7.17M
Investing Cash Flow36.02M42.69M3.82M-11.88M14.15M-3.32M
Financing Cash Flow-1.12M-1.01M-6.38M-525.00K-1.71M-8.23M

Geospace Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.12
Price Trends
50DMA
15.62
Negative
100DMA
18.27
Negative
200DMA
16.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.11
Negative
RSI
32.32
Neutral
STOCH
53.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEOS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.92, below the 50-day MA of 15.62, and below the 200-day MA of 16.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 32.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GEOS.

Geospace Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$480.89M25.867.15%0.63%9.53%15.48%
71
Outperform
$101.23M8.7811.89%16.61%-72.29%
68
Neutral
$660.26M-3.16%-1.29%-123.25%
66
Neutral
$782.07M-6.85-17.49%-11.02%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$225.96M159.690.56%18.98%
47
Neutral
$118.18M-4.22-21.55%-18.29%-43.05%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GEOS
Geospace Technologies
9.17
1.42
18.32%
FET
Forum Energy Tech
58.03
40.43
229.72%
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group
38.26
14.14
58.62%
OIS
Oil States International
13.09
8.00
157.17%
SND
Smart Sand
5.19
3.21
162.12%
NCSM
Ncs Multistage Holdings
39.84
13.87
53.41%

Geospace Technologies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Geospace Technologies Shareholders Back Board, Auditors, Compensation
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

At its annual meeting held on February 5, 2026, Geospace Technologies Corporation’s shareholders approved all management proposals, underscoring continued support for the company’s leadership and governance structure. Investors re-elected directors Thomas L. Davis, Richard F. Miles and Walter R. Wheeler to three-year terms expiring in 2029, ratified the appointment of RSM US LLP as independent auditors for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, and backed the advisory vote on executive compensation, signaling broad shareholder alignment with the board’s oversight and pay practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (GEOS) stock is a Hold with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geospace Technologies stock, see the GEOS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026