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Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)
NASDAQ:DWSN

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) AI Stock Analysis

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DWSN

Dawson Geophysical Company

(NASDAQ:DWSN)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(17.65% Upside)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (sharp revenue contraction and negative margins) and a loss-making valuation profile (negative P/E, no dividend data). Technicals provide partial support, with the stock trading above major moving averages, though momentum is mixed with a slightly negative MACD.
Positive Factors
Integrated land and marine seismic services
Dawson's capability across land and marine seismic work and advanced geophysical tech provides durable revenue diversification and technical differentiation. This cross-domain service offering helps capture a broader set of exploration budgets and supports long-term contract wins with major E&P clients.
Project-based revenue model with major operator partnerships
A project-oriented contracting model plus relationships with major operators gives multi-period revenue visibility and higher-probability backlog renewal. Durable partnerships with large E&P firms reduce go-to-market friction, support repeat work, and help stabilize cash flow across industry cycles.
Cash generation roughly tracking earnings
Despite top-line weakness, FCF tracking net income and a positive operating cash flow-to-net-income ratio indicate reasonable cash conversion. This persistent cash generation capacity supports operational continuity and gives management optionality for deleveraging or reinvesting when demand recovers.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue contraction
A 72% TTM revenue decline materially reduces scale and undermines fixed-cost absorption in a capital-intensive business. Sustained lower volumes can erode market share, weaken bargaining leverage with customers and suppliers, and make restoring prior margins and utilization rates difficult over a multi-quarter horizon.
Negative gross and net margins
Persistent negative gross and net margins mean core operations are not covering direct costs or delivering profit. Without structural cost reductions or higher utilization/pricing, the company will struggle to fund capital needs, reinvest in technology, or competitively bid on profitable contracts over the medium term.
Elevated leverage and negative ROE
Higher leverage approaching 0.9x combined with negative ROE raises financial risk and limits strategic flexibility. Interest and principal obligations constrain capital allocation, increase refinancing risk in tougher markets, and reduce the ability to fund growth or withstand protracted sector downturns.

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dawson Geophysical Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDawson Geophysical Company provides onshore seismic data acquisition and processing services in the United States and Canada. The company acquires and processes 2-D, 3-D, and multi-component seismic data for its clients, including oil and gas companies, and independent oil and gas operators, as well as providers of multi-client data libraries. Its seismic crews supply seismic data primarily to companies engaged in the exploration and development of oil and natural gas on land and in land-to-water transition areas. The company also serves the potash mining industry. Dawson Geophysical Company was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas. Dawson Geophysical Company is a subsidiary of Wilks Brothers, LLC.
How the Company Makes MoneyDawson Geophysical generates revenue primarily through the provision of seismic data acquisition services, which includes both onshore and offshore seismic surveys. The company's revenue model is largely project-based, where it contracts with oil and gas companies to conduct surveys and process seismic data. Key revenue streams include fees for data acquisition, processing services, and specialized geophysical services. Additionally, significant partnerships with major oil and gas operators enhance their market presence and contribute to stable revenue flow. The cyclical nature of the energy market, along with demand for exploration and production services, also plays a critical role in the company's financial performance.

Dawson Geophysical Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: revenue down 72.07% TTM and negative profitability (negative gross and net margins). Balance sheet leverage is higher (debt-to-equity 0.89) with negative ROE, partly offset by moderate cash-flow resilience (free cash flow roughly tracking net income and positive operating cash flow to net income ratio).
Income Statement
35
Negative
Dawson Geophysical Company has experienced significant revenue decline, with a TTM revenue drop of 72.07%. The company has negative margins across the board, indicating struggles with profitability. The gross profit margin is negative, and the net profit margin is also negative, reflecting ongoing financial challenges. Despite a slight improvement in EBITDA margin to 14.86% TTM, the overall income statement performance is weak.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.89 TTM, indicating higher leverage compared to previous years. The return on equity remains negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively stable, showing some resilience in asset management. Overall, the balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability with increased leverage risk.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 19.88% TTM, but the company has managed to maintain a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.39. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, indicating that the company is generating cash flow in line with its net income, despite the challenges. The cash flow performance is moderate, with some positive aspects in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue64.31M74.15M96.85M51.63M24.70M86.10M
Gross Profit-24.32M5.40M1.70M-6.75M11.83M68.93M
EBITDA2.32M1.78M-3.65M-6.68M-16.23M4.08M
Net Income-3.31M-4.12M-12.15M-18.64M-29.09M-13.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.58M30.87M58.19M68.67M74.04M103.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.08M1.39M16.04M18.87M25.64M41.54M
Total Debt13.51M5.78M6.23M4.93M5.21M6.15M
Total Liabilities25.39M13.59M26.76M19.87M11.56M12.40M
Stockholders Equity15.19M17.28M31.43M48.80M62.48M90.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.00K-3.73M-2.91M-4.70M-16.55M16.79M
Operating Cash Flow6.47M-1.87M814.00K-3.27M-16.05M19.64M
Investing Cash Flow-5.55M-735.00K-4.50M-1.09M264.00K-512.00K
Financing Cash Flow-2.66M-11.56M-4.20M-2.15M95.00K-4.53M

Dawson Geophysical Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.70
Price Trends
50DMA
1.88
Positive
100DMA
1.89
Positive
200DMA
1.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
61.79
Neutral
STOCH
50.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DWSN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.04, below the 50-day MA of 1.88, and above the 200-day MA of 1.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DWSN.

Dawson Geophysical Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$205.53M50.201.61%18.98%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
52
Neutral
$135.87M-21.87-5.18%7.46%-165.76%
50
Neutral
$43.35M-0.51-12.57%-45.75%
46
Neutral
$15.14M-0.61-8.78%-3.41%-50.85%
45
Neutral
$67.99M-21.33-19.81%-22.31%39.11%
40
Underperform
$25.42M-0.012.59%16.02%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DWSN
Dawson Geophysical Company
2.28
0.92
67.65%
RCON
Recon Technology
1.29
-0.92
-41.63%
SND
Smart Sand
4.91
2.72
124.20%
NINE
Nine Energy Service
0.01
-1.19
-98.83%
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings
2.20
-2.81
-56.09%
DTI
Drilling Tools International
3.91
0.84
27.36%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026