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Nine Energy Service Inc (NINE)
NYSE:NINE
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Nine Energy Service (NINE) AI Stock Analysis

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NINE

Nine Energy Service

(NYSE:NINE)

Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-21.88% Downside)
Nine Energy Service's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and concerning valuation metrics. Technical indicators also suggest bearish momentum. While the earnings call provided some positive insights, the overall sentiment remains cautious due to significant operational and market challenges.

Nine Energy Service (NINE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nine Energy Service Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNine Energy Service, Inc. operates as an onshore completion services provider that targets unconventional oil and gas resource development across North American basins and internationally. It offers cementing services, which consist of blending high-grade cement and water with various solid and liquid additives to create a cement slurry that is pumped between the casing and the wellbore of the well. The company also provides a portfolio of completion tools, such as liner hangers and accessories, fracture isolation packers, frac sleeves, stage one prep tools, frac plugs, casing flotation tools, specialty open hole float equipment, disk subs, composite cement retainers, and centralizers that provide pinpoint frac sleeve system technologies. In addition, it offers wireline services consisting of plug-and-perf completions, which is a multistage well completion technique for cased-hole wells that consists of deploying perforating guns and isolation tools to a specified depth; and coiled tubing services, which perform wellbore intervention operations utilizing a continuous steel pipe that is transported to the wellsite wound on a large spool in lengths of up to 30,000 feet. The company was formerly known as NSC-Tripoint, Inc. and changed its name to Nine Energy Service, Inc. in October 2011. Nine Energy Service, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyNine Energy Service generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income comes from its hydraulic fracturing services, which are billed based on the volume of services rendered and the complexity of the operations. Additional revenue is derived from its wireline services, which include logging and completion operations essential for assessing and developing oil and gas wells. The company also engages in long-term contracts with major exploration and production companies, providing a stable revenue base. Significant partnerships with energy producers and strategic alliances enhance its market position and contribute to sustained earnings. Market dynamics, such as oil and gas prices, directly impact the demand for Nine's services, influencing overall revenue performance.

Nine Energy Service Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -9.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted some positive developments such as revenue meeting the upper range of guidance and growth in international tools and wireline segments. However, significant challenges such as rig declines, pricing pressure, and anticipated declines in Q3 revenue and EBITDA were also discussed. The sentiment is therefore balanced.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue within Upper Range of Guidance
Revenue for Q2 2025 was $147.3 million, which was within the upper range of the original guidance of $138 million to $148 million.
Increase in International Tools Revenue
International Tools revenue increased by approximately 20% in the first half of 2025 compared to the first half of 2024, driven by sales in the Middle East and increased plug sales.
Growth in Completion Tool and Wireline Revenue
Completion Tool revenue grew by approximately 9% and Wireline revenue increased by approximately 11% in Q2 2025.
Negative Updates
Significant Rig Declines and Pricing Pressure
53 rigs came out of the U.S. market between March 28 and July 3, a decline of almost 10%, causing pricing pressure across all service lines, particularly in the Permian.
Decline in Oil Prices and CapEx Reductions
Oil prices declined from an average of $72 in Q1 to $65 in Q2, leading to reduced U.S. activity and CapEx plans.
Decrease in Cementing and Coiled Tubing Revenue
Cementing revenue decreased by approximately 9% and Coiled Tubing revenue decreased by approximately 16% in Q2 2025.
Anticipated Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Declines in Q3
The company anticipates both revenue and adjusted EBITDA will be down in Q3 compared to Q2, with projected revenue between $135 million and $145 million.
Company Guidance
During the Nine Energy Service second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a revenue of $147.3 million, which was within the upper range of their guidance of $138 million to $148 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $14.1 million despite challenges like a 10% reduction in rig count between March 28 and July 3. The Permian Basin, which traditionally generates around 40% of Nine's total revenue, experienced significant pricing pressure. Natural gas prices decreased from approximately $4.14 in Q1 to $3.19 in Q2, yet there was a positive sentiment around natural gas-levered basins. Completion Tool revenue increased by approximately 9%, driven by the Northeastern Haynesville and international sales. Wireline revenue grew by 11% with 8,585 stages completed, whereas Cementing and Coiled Tubing saw revenue declines. As of June 30, 2025, Nine held $14.2 million in cash, with $51.3 million available under the revolving credit facility. The company forecasted Q3 revenue between $135 million and $145 million, anticipating further activity declines but remains focused on international growth and cost management.

Nine Energy Service Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nine Energy Service is facing challenges with profitability and financial stability. Despite some improvements in cost management, the company remains under pressure due to high leverage and negative equity. Cash flow generation is a relative bright spot, but overall financial health requires significant improvement.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Nine Energy Service has shown a volatile revenue trend with a recent decline, and consistent net losses impacting net profit margins negatively. However, the gross profit margin has been improving, indicating better cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show some recovery, but remain weak overall.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company is heavily leveraged with a negative stockholders' equity, indicating financial instability and risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, and the equity ratio is negative as well. These factors highlight significant financial vulnerability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has been positive recently, showing some operational efficiency. However, free cash flow remains low, which limits reinvestment potential. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates some alignment between cash flows and reported earnings, but overall cash flow stability is concerning.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue577.30M554.10M609.53M593.38M349.42M310.85M
Gross Profit69.64M60.60M78.12M96.04M-3.59M-40.20M
EBITDA65.31M60.47M72.67M96.34M20.97M-286.85M
Net Income-36.44M-41.08M-32.21M14.39M-64.58M-378.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets361.17M360.08M401.98M426.83M381.61M442.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.75M27.88M30.84M17.45M21.51M68.86M
Total Debt362.88M358.79M366.32M377.80M372.07M384.25M
Total Liabilities442.90M426.14M437.61M450.34M420.88M422.19M
Stockholders Equity-81.74M-66.06M-35.63M-23.51M-39.27M20.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.54M-1.57M20.91M-11.88M-55.83M-14.32M
Operating Cash Flow13.95M13.20M45.51M16.67M-40.42M-4.90M
Investing Cash Flow-15.83M-14.18M-23.16M-25.42M-11.92M-1.78M
Financing Cash Flow-6.43M-1.68M-8.89M4.85M5.05M-17.39M

Nine Energy Service Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.64
Price Trends
50DMA
0.76
Negative
100DMA
0.77
Negative
200DMA
0.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
39.74
Neutral
STOCH
30.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NINE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.71, below the 50-day MA of 0.76, and below the 200-day MA of 0.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NINE.

Nine Energy Service Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$81.18M6.7012.76%19.15%-71.62%
65
Neutral
$14.84B8.622.77%5.45%4.51%-62.52%
56
Neutral
$74.74M26.47-4.23%9.74%-132.61%
49
Neutral
$81.46M104.400.33%3.43%-36.73%
41
Neutral
$32.65M-375.26%-13.29%-106.14%
41
Neutral
$40.36M-38.69%-38.69%-30.53%
39
Underperform
$26.68M73.91%3.23%31.76%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NINE
Nine Energy Service
0.64
-0.64
-50.00%
DWSN
Dawson Geophysical Company
1.29
-0.22
-14.57%
SND
Smart Sand
1.90
0.04
2.15%
NCSM
Ncs Multistage Holdings
34.84
14.95
75.16%
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings
1.83
-5.35
-74.51%
DTI
Drilling Tools International
2.00
-2.12
-51.46%

Nine Energy Service Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Nine Energy Service Board Changes Amidst Financial Challenges
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Mark E. Baldwin resigned from Nine Energy Service‘s Board of Directors, and Jerome (Joey) D. Hall joined the board the following day. Despite a challenging second quarter in 2025, marked by significant rig declines and pricing pressures due to falling commodity prices, Nine Energy Service reported revenues at the upper end of its guidance range, with a net loss of $10.4 million. The company saw a 9% increase in Completion Tool revenue and an 11% rise in Wireline revenue quarter over quarter, driven by international sales and efficient operations. Nine Energy Service is focused on expanding its market share and international business while managing costs, anticipating a decline in Q3 revenue and earnings.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025