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Nine Energy Service (NINE)
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Nine Energy Service (NINE) AI Stock Analysis

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NINE

Nine Energy Service

(NYSE:NINE)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-13.79% Downside)
Nine Energy Service's overall stock score is low due to significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and high leverage. Technical indicators are bearish, and the valuation is unattractive with a negative P/E ratio. Despite some international growth, the company's financial health and market position remain concerning.

Nine Energy Service (NINE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nine Energy Service Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNine Energy Service (NINE) is a leading provider of completions and production services in the North American oil and natural gas industry. The company specializes in offering a range of services including hydraulic fracturing, wireline, and other production-focused solutions that enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of oil and gas extraction. With a commitment to operational excellence, Nine Energy Service serves a diverse clientele, primarily focusing on onshore unconventional resource basins.
How the Company Makes MoneyNine Energy Service generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income comes from its hydraulic fracturing services, which are billed based on the volume of services rendered and the complexity of the operations. Additional revenue is derived from its wireline services, which include logging and completion operations essential for assessing and developing oil and gas wells. The company also engages in long-term contracts with major exploration and production companies, providing a stable revenue base. Significant partnerships with energy producers and strategic alliances enhance its market position and contribute to sustained earnings. Market dynamics, such as oil and gas prices, directly impact the demand for Nine's services, influencing overall revenue performance.

Nine Energy Service Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflected a challenging quarter with significant revenue and market share declines due to rig count reductions, pricing pressure, and operational delays in the Northeast. Despite these challenges, there were notable international revenue growth and technical achievements in the cementing division. The outlook remains cautious with expectations of continued challenges in Q4.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
International Revenue Growth
International revenue grew by approximately 19% for the first 9 months of 2025, driven by increased sales in the UAE, Argentina, and Australia.
Technical Achievement in Cementing Division
The cementing team completed a landmark job in the Haynesville basin, formulating a latex-based cement slurry that maintained stability and reduced pumping pressures in challenging conditions.
Positive Natural Gas Outlook
Natural gas prices remained mostly supportive during Q3, averaging approximately $3.03, which is slightly down from $3.19 in Q2, helping drive efficient operations.
Negative Updates
Revenue Below Guidance
Revenue for Q3 2025 was $132 million, below the original guidance range of $135 million to $145 million due to rig declines and pricing pressure.
Decline in U.S. Rig Count
The U.S. rig count declined by 43 rigs, or approximately 7%, from Q1 to Q3, impacting activity and pricing.
Domestic Market Share Losses
The completion tool division experienced market share losses due to customer consolidation and changes in completion designs.
Decreased Revenue Across Divisions
Sequential revenue declines were reported in all service lines, with specific decreases in cementing (6%), wireline (15%), and completion tools (16%).
Liquidity and Borrowing Base Reduction
The borrowing base under the 2025 ABL credit facility is expected to be reduced by approximately $2.2 million monthly from October 31, 2025, to January 31, 2026.
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities
Net cash used in operating activities was $9.9 million for Q3.
Temporary Headwinds in Northeast Operations
Droughts in the Northeast caused completion delays and inefficiencies, impacting operations in the region.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call for Nine Energy Service, the company reported revenue of $132 million, falling short of the initial guidance range of $135 million to $145 million. The adjusted EBITDA was $9.6 million, with significant market challenges noted, such as a 7% decline in the U.S. rig count from Q1 to Q3 and a 15% decrease in the Permian rig count. The company also faced pricing pressures and market share losses, particularly in the completion tool division, which saw a 27% decrease in stages completed. Despite these challenges, the international tools business experienced a 19% growth in revenue year-to-date, driven by sales in the UAE, Argentina, and Australia. The company's liquidity position was $40.3 million, with cash and cash equivalents of $14.4 million and $25.9 million available under the revolving credit facility. Looking ahead, Nine Energy anticipates Q4 revenue between $122 million and $132 million, with continued pricing pressures and typical seasonal slowdowns.

Nine Energy Service Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nine Energy Service faces financial challenges with negative profitability and high leverage. Despite some revenue growth, the company struggles with operational efficiency and cash flow generation. The balance sheet's negative equity and high debt levels pose significant financial risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Nine Energy Service shows modest revenue growth in the TTM period, with a 2.64% increase. However, profitability remains a concern with negative net profit margins and declining gross profit margins over time. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, indicating challenges in operational efficiency and cost management.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's balance sheet is under pressure with negative stockholders' equity, leading to a high and negative debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates significant leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is volatile, reflecting inconsistent profitability and potential challenges in generating shareholder value.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow growth rate, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive but low, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue439.14M554.10M609.53M593.38M349.42M310.85M
Gross Profit53.96M60.60M78.12M96.04M-3.59M-40.20M
EBITDA49.00M60.47M72.67M96.34M20.97M-286.85M
Net Income-40.94M-41.08M-32.21M14.39M-64.58M-378.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets340.70M360.08M401.98M426.83M381.61M442.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.39M27.88M30.84M17.45M21.51M68.86M
Total Debt375.91M358.79M366.32M377.80M372.07M384.25M
Total Liabilities436.57M426.14M437.61M450.34M420.88M422.19M
Stockholders Equity-95.87M-66.06M-35.63M-23.51M-39.27M20.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.70M-1.57M20.91M-11.88M-55.83M-14.32M
Operating Cash Flow9.86M13.20M45.51M16.67M-40.42M-4.90M
Investing Cash Flow-16.16M-14.18M-23.16M-25.42M-11.92M-1.78M
Financing Cash Flow6.99M-1.68M-8.89M4.85M5.05M-17.39M

Nine Energy Service Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.58
Price Trends
50DMA
0.63
Negative
100DMA
0.69
Negative
200DMA
0.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
40.00
Neutral
STOCH
11.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NINE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.60, below the 50-day MA of 0.63, and below the 200-day MA of 0.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NINE.

Nine Energy Service Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$94.01M8.1511.89%16.61%-72.29%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
51
Neutral
$60.54M-38.69%-38.69%-30.53%
51
Neutral
$93.22M117.580.33%3.43%-36.73%
46
Neutral
$72.04M-5.18%7.46%-165.76%
45
Neutral
$31.22M-0.43-12.57%-45.75%
41
Neutral
$21.69M2.59%16.02%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NINE
Nine Energy Service
0.50
-0.88
-63.77%
DWSN
Dawson Geophysical Company
2.11
0.42
24.85%
SND
Smart Sand
2.22
-0.23
-9.39%
NCSM
Ncs Multistage Holdings
37.04
14.02
60.90%
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings
1.78
-4.47
-71.52%
DTI
Drilling Tools International
2.18
-1.30
-37.36%

Nine Energy Service Corporate Events

Nine Energy Service Faces Challenges Amid Revenue Decline
Nov 4, 2025

Nine Energy Service’s recent earnings call painted a picture of a challenging quarter, marked by significant revenue and market share declines. The company faced headwinds from rig count reductions, pricing pressures, and operational delays in the Northeast. Despite these hurdles, there were bright spots, including international revenue growth and technical achievements in the cementing division. The outlook remains cautious, with expectations of continued challenges in the fourth quarter.

Nine Energy Service Reports Resilient Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

Nine Energy Service is a Houston-based oilfield services company that provides completion solutions to the oil and gas industry across North America and internationally, known for its commitment to superior service quality and cutting-edge technology.

Nine Energy Service Balances Growth and Challenges in Earnings Call
Aug 7, 2025

The recent earnings call for Nine Energy Service presented a balanced sentiment, reflecting both positive developments and significant challenges. While the company reported revenue within the upper range of guidance and growth in international tools and wireline segments, it also faced rig declines, pricing pressures, and anticipated declines in Q3 revenue and EBITDA.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025