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Nine Energy Service (NINE)
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Nine Energy Service (NINE) AI Stock Analysis

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NINE

Nine Energy Service

(NYSE:NINE)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-27.54% Downside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and high leverage, which are the most impactful factors. Technical analysis provides a mixed outlook, while valuation metrics are weak due to ongoing losses. The earnings call highlighted both achievements and challenges, but its impact is neutralized in the overall score.

Nine Energy Service (NINE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nine Energy Service Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNine Energy Service, Inc. operates as an onshore completion services provider that targets unconventional oil and gas resource development across North American basins and internationally. It offers cementing services, which consist of blending high-grade cement and water with various solid and liquid additives to create a cement slurry that is pumped between the casing and the wellbore of the well. The company also provides a portfolio of completion tools, such as liner hangers and accessories, fracture isolation packers, frac sleeves, stage one prep tools, frac plugs, casing flotation tools, specialty open hole float equipment, disk subs, composite cement retainers, and centralizers that provide pinpoint frac sleeve system technologies. In addition, it offers wireline services consisting of plug-and-perf completions, which is a multistage well completion technique for cased-hole wells that consists of deploying perforating guns and isolation tools to a specified depth; and coiled tubing services, which perform wellbore intervention operations utilizing a continuous steel pipe that is transported to the wellsite wound on a large spool in lengths of up to 30,000 feet. The company was formerly known as NSC-Tripoint, Inc. and changed its name to Nine Energy Service, Inc. in October 2011. Nine Energy Service, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyNine Energy Service generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income comes from its hydraulic fracturing services, which are billed based on the volume of services rendered and the complexity of the operations. Additional revenue is derived from its wireline services, which include logging and completion operations essential for assessing and developing oil and gas wells. The company also engages in long-term contracts with major exploration and production companies, providing a stable revenue base. Significant partnerships with energy producers and strategic alliances enhance its market position and contribute to sustained earnings. Market dynamics, such as oil and gas prices, directly impact the demand for Nine's services, influencing overall revenue performance.

Nine Energy Service Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were notable achievements in revenue and international market growth, challenges such as declining oil prices, rig reductions, and decreased revenues in key service lines were highlighted. The company anticipates further declines in revenue and EBITDA in Q3 due to continued market challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Achievement
Revenue for the quarter was $147.3 million, which was in the upper range of the original guidance of $138 million to $148 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $14.1 million.
Growth in International Tool Sales
International Tools revenue increased by approximately 20% compared to the first half of 2024, driven by increased sales of multi-cycle barrier valves in the Middle East and an overall increase in plug sales.
Wireline Revenue Increase
Wireline revenue increased by approximately 11% in Q2, driven by increased market share in the Northeast.
Completion Tool Revenue Growth
Completion Tool revenue grew by approximately 9%, supported by sales in the Northeastern Haynesville and increased International Tool sales.
Negative Updates
Oil Price Decline and Rig Reduction Impact
Oil prices declined from an average of $72 in Q1 to $65 in Q2, with a drop below $60. U.S. activity and CapEx plans were reduced, resulting in significant rate declines and a 10% reduction in rigs, particularly in the Permian Basin.
Cementing and Coiled Tubing Revenue Decline
Cementing revenue decreased by approximately 9%, and Coiled Tubing revenue decreased by approximately 16%, driven by activity and pricing declines in the Permian Basin.
Natural Gas Price Decline
Natural gas prices declined from an average of $4.14 in Q1 to $3.19 in Q2.
Anticipated Revenue and EBITDA Decline in Q3
Projected Q3 revenue is between $135 million and $145 million, with an expectation of reduced revenue and adjusted EBITDA compared to Q2.
Company Guidance
During the Nine Energy Service Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported revenue of $147.3 million, which was within their guidance range of $138 million to $148 million, despite a 10% decline in U.S. rig counts and reduced activity in oil-levered basins like the Permian. Adjusted EBITDA was $14.1 million, and the company highlighted the impact of lower oil prices, which dropped from an average of $72 in Q1 to $65 in Q2, with prices dipping below $60 for the first time in four years. The company saw growth in certain segments, with Completion Tool revenue increasing by 9% and Wireline revenue by 11% due to strong performance in natural gas-levered regions. Nine Energy Service's international sales rose by 20% in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year, driven by increased sales in Argentina and the Middle East. Despite challenges, the company remains optimistic about the natural gas market and international opportunities, projecting Q3 revenue to be between $135 million and $145 million.

Nine Energy Service Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nine Energy Service faces financial challenges with negative profitability and high leverage. While there is some revenue growth, the company struggles with operational efficiency and cash flow generation. The balance sheet's negative equity and high debt levels pose significant financial risks, requiring strategic improvements to stabilize and enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Nine Energy Service shows modest revenue growth in the TTM period, with a 2.64% increase. However, profitability remains a concern with negative net profit margins and declining gross profit margins over time. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, indicating challenges in operational efficiency and cost management.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's balance sheet is under pressure with negative stockholders' equity, leading to a high and negative debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates significant leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is volatile, reflecting inconsistent profitability and potential challenges in generating shareholder value.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow growth rate, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive but low, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue577.30M554.10M609.53M593.38M349.42M310.85M
Gross Profit69.64M60.60M78.12M96.04M-3.59M-40.20M
EBITDA65.31M60.47M72.67M96.34M20.97M-286.85M
Net Income-36.44M-41.08M-32.21M14.39M-64.58M-378.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets361.17M360.08M401.98M426.83M381.61M442.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.75M27.88M30.84M17.45M21.51M68.86M
Total Debt362.88M358.79M366.32M377.80M372.07M384.25M
Total Liabilities442.90M426.14M437.61M450.34M420.88M422.19M
Stockholders Equity-81.74M-66.06M-35.63M-23.51M-39.27M20.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.54M-1.57M20.91M-11.88M-55.83M-14.32M
Operating Cash Flow13.95M13.20M45.51M16.67M-40.42M-4.90M
Investing Cash Flow-15.83M-14.18M-23.16M-25.42M-11.92M-1.78M
Financing Cash Flow-6.43M-1.68M-8.89M4.85M5.05M-17.39M

Nine Energy Service Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.69
Price Trends
50DMA
0.68
Positive
100DMA
0.69
Negative
200DMA
0.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.28
Neutral
STOCH
64.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NINE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.68, above the 50-day MA of 0.68, and below the 200-day MA of 0.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NINE.

Nine Energy Service Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$134.87M11.1311.84%19.15%-71.62%
61
Neutral
$83.80M-18.43-3.72%9.74%-132.61%
49
Neutral
$93.22M117.580.33%3.43%-36.73%
47
Neutral
$56.82M-7.28-47.38%-38.69%-30.53%
46
Neutral
$36.13M-0.50149.58%-13.29%-106.14%
45
Neutral
$30.04M73.91%3.23%31.76%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NINE
Nine Energy Service
0.69
-0.44
-38.94%
DWSN
Dawson Geophysical Company
1.83
0.25
15.82%
SND
Smart Sand
2.14
0.35
19.55%
NCSM
Ncs Multistage Holdings
53.08
33.36
169.17%
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings
2.02
-3.45
-63.07%
DTI
Drilling Tools International
2.35
-1.38
-37.00%

Nine Energy Service Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Nine Energy Service Board Changes Amidst Financial Challenges
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Mark E. Baldwin resigned from Nine Energy Service‘s Board of Directors, and Jerome (Joey) D. Hall joined the board the following day. Despite a challenging second quarter in 2025, marked by significant rig declines and pricing pressures due to falling commodity prices, Nine Energy Service reported revenues at the upper end of its guidance range, with a net loss of $10.4 million. The company saw a 9% increase in Completion Tool revenue and an 11% rise in Wireline revenue quarter over quarter, driven by international sales and efficient operations. Nine Energy Service is focused on expanding its market share and international business while managing costs, anticipating a decline in Q3 revenue and earnings.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2025