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Nine Energy Service (NINE)
:NINE

Nine Energy Service (NINE) AI Stock Analysis

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NINE

Nine Energy Service

(NINE)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$0.01
▼(-97.11% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial health (losses, negative free cash flow, and a highly stressed balance sheet with negative equity). Technical indicators also point to severe weakness (oversold and far below moving averages). Recent updates add risk: the earnings outlook is cautious and the Chapter 11 restructuring implies current equity holders may be wiped out.
Positive Factors
Diversified completion services & regional footprint
Nine’s multi-service model (fracturing, wireline, coiled tubing) and presence across major U.S. basins provides durable demand exposure to onshore E&P activity. Fee-for-service contracts and partnerships with equipment and tech providers support stable revenue streams and operational scale over the medium term.
International revenue expansion
A near-term 19% international revenue increase demonstrates structural diversification away from U.S. rig cycles. Growth in UAE, Argentina and Australia builds non‑domestic footprints, spreads geographic risk, and can provide access to higher utilization and pricing over a multi‑quarter horizon.
Technical capability in cementing
The cementing breakthrough signals durable technical differentiation and R&D capability. Proprietary formulations that reduce pumping pressures and improve reliability can deepen customer relationships, enable premium service offerings, and support margin recovery over several quarters.
Negative Factors
Prepackaged Chapter 11 restructuring
A confirmed prepackaged Chapter 11 materially alters capital structure: existing equity is to be canceled, control passes to noteholders and a DIP/exit ABL is planned. This is a structural reset that erases shareholder value and replaces prior capital incentives, increasing execution and financing risk.
Highly leveraged balance sheet; negative equity
Negative equity and high leverage constrain financial flexibility, amplify refinancing and covenant risk, and can distort performance metrics. Over months this raises the probability of restructurings, limits access to incremental capital, and pressures long‑term operational planning.
Declining revenue and negative free cash flow
Persistent revenue declines and negative free cash flow mean the business cannot self‑fund operations or reduce leverage, leaving it vulnerable to prolonged rig count weakness and pricing pressure. Structural cash deficits necessitate external financing or asset/workforce reductions.

Nine Energy Service (NINE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nine Energy Service Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
How the Company Makes MoneyNine Energy Service generates revenue primarily through its service offerings, which include hydraulic fracturing, wireline services, and coiled tubing. The company typically charges clients on a fee-for-service basis, with pricing determined by the complexity and scale of the projects undertaken. Key revenue streams come from long-term contracts with major oil and gas companies, which provide a stable income source. Additionally, Nine Energy Service benefits from partnerships with equipment manufacturers and technology providers, enhancing its service capabilities and operational efficiency. Market demand for oil and natural gas, as well as fluctuations in commodity prices, significantly influence the company's earnings, as higher prices generally lead to increased exploration and production activities by its clients.

Nine Energy Service Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflected a challenging quarter with significant revenue and market share declines due to rig count reductions, pricing pressure, and operational delays in the Northeast. Despite these challenges, there were notable international revenue growth and technical achievements in the cementing division. The outlook remains cautious with expectations of continued challenges in Q4.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
International Revenue Growth
International revenue grew by approximately 19% for the first 9 months of 2025, driven by increased sales in the UAE, Argentina, and Australia.
Technical Achievement in Cementing Division
The cementing team completed a landmark job in the Haynesville basin, formulating a latex-based cement slurry that maintained stability and reduced pumping pressures in challenging conditions.
Positive Natural Gas Outlook
Natural gas prices remained mostly supportive during Q3, averaging approximately $3.03, which is slightly down from $3.19 in Q2, helping drive efficient operations.
Negative Updates
Revenue Below Guidance
Revenue for Q3 2025 was $132 million, below the original guidance range of $135 million to $145 million due to rig declines and pricing pressure.
Decline in U.S. Rig Count
The U.S. rig count declined by 43 rigs, or approximately 7%, from Q1 to Q3, impacting activity and pricing.
Domestic Market Share Losses
The completion tool division experienced market share losses due to customer consolidation and changes in completion designs.
Decreased Revenue Across Divisions
Sequential revenue declines were reported in all service lines, with specific decreases in cementing (6%), wireline (15%), and completion tools (16%).
Liquidity and Borrowing Base Reduction
The borrowing base under the 2025 ABL credit facility is expected to be reduced by approximately $2.2 million monthly from October 31, 2025, to January 31, 2026.
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities
Net cash used in operating activities was $9.9 million for Q3.
Temporary Headwinds in Northeast Operations
Droughts in the Northeast caused completion delays and inefficiencies, impacting operations in the region.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call for Nine Energy Service, the company reported revenue of $132 million, falling short of the initial guidance range of $135 million to $145 million. The adjusted EBITDA was $9.6 million, with significant market challenges noted, such as a 7% decline in the U.S. rig count from Q1 to Q3 and a 15% decrease in the Permian rig count. The company also faced pricing pressures and market share losses, particularly in the completion tool division, which saw a 27% decrease in stages completed. Despite these challenges, the international tools business experienced a 19% growth in revenue year-to-date, driven by sales in the UAE, Argentina, and Australia. The company's liquidity position was $40.3 million, with cash and cash equivalents of $14.4 million and $25.9 million available under the revolving credit facility. Looking ahead, Nine Energy anticipates Q4 revenue between $122 million and $132 million, with continued pricing pressures and typical seasonal slowdowns.

Nine Energy Service Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak: revenue is declining (TTM growth -1.06%), profitability remains negative, and free cash flow is still negative. The balance sheet is a major concern with negative equity and high leverage, despite some mixed improvement in certain cash flow and margin metrics.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a challenging financial position for Nine Energy Service. The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -1.06% in the TTM period. Gross profit margins have decreased, and net profit margins are negative, indicating ongoing losses. Despite some improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins, the overall profitability remains weak.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity. This indicates potential financial instability. The return on equity is positive, but this is primarily due to negative equity, which distorts the metric. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting a concerning capital structure.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive trends, with an improvement in free cash flow growth rate and operating cash flow to net income ratio. However, free cash flow remains negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, indicating challenges in generating sufficient cash flow to cover net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue571.17M554.10M609.53M593.38M349.42M310.85M
Gross Profit65.70M60.60M78.12M96.04M-3.59M-40.20M
EBITDA61.81M60.47M72.67M96.34M20.97M-286.85M
Net Income-40.94M-41.08M-32.21M14.39M-64.58M-378.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets340.70M360.08M401.98M426.83M381.61M442.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.39M27.88M30.84M17.45M21.51M68.86M
Total Debt375.91M358.79M366.32M377.80M372.07M384.25M
Total Liabilities436.57M426.14M437.61M450.34M420.88M422.19M
Stockholders Equity-95.87M-66.06M-35.63M-23.51M-39.27M20.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.70M-1.57M20.91M-11.88M-55.83M-14.32M
Operating Cash Flow9.86M13.20M45.51M16.67M-40.42M-4.90M
Investing Cash Flow-16.16M-14.18M-23.16M-25.42M-11.92M-1.78M
Financing Cash Flow6.99M-1.68M-8.89M4.85M5.05M-17.39M

Nine Energy Service Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.45
Price Trends
50DMA
0.41
Negative
100DMA
0.50
Negative
200DMA
0.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
29.17
Positive
STOCH
3.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NINE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.44, above the 50-day MA of 0.41, and below the 200-day MA of 0.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.17 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NINE.

Nine Energy Service Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$95.64M8.3911.89%16.61%-72.29%
69
Neutral
$202.91M47.551.61%18.98%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
52
Neutral
$132.70M-20.30-5.18%7.46%-165.76%
50
Neutral
$41.03M-0.50-12.57%-45.75%
45
Neutral
$70.79M-20.02-19.81%-22.31%39.11%
40
Underperform
$1.81M-0.032.59%16.02%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NINE
Nine Energy Service
0.03
-1.08
-97.39%
DWSN
Dawson Geophysical Company
2.14
0.75
53.63%
SND
Smart Sand
4.65
2.49
115.28%
NCSM
Ncs Multistage Holdings
38.08
9.02
31.04%
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings
2.16
-2.51
-53.75%
DTI
Drilling Tools International
3.63
0.65
21.81%

Nine Energy Service Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Nine Energy Service Begins Prepackaged Chapter 11 Restructuring
Negative
Feb 2, 2026

On February 1, 2026, Nine Energy Service and certain subsidiaries filed voluntary Chapter 11 petitions in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas to implement a prepackaged reorganization plan aimed at restructuring their existing indebtedness. The company entered into a restructuring support agreement with an ad hoc group of holders of its 13.000% senior secured notes due 2028 and its asset‑based lenders, under which the noteholders will receive 100% of the equity in the reorganized company, the senior secured notes and existing common stock will be canceled, and a management equity incentive plan will be put in place. The plan is backed by more than 70% of the senior secured noteholders and all prepetition ABL lenders, and is designed to move quickly: Nine has sought approval for a $125 million debtor‑in‑possession ABL facility from its existing ABL lenders, expects that facility to roll into a $135 million exit ABL facility upon emergence, and is targeting emergence from Chapter 11 within 45 days of the filing. The filing triggered defaults and acceleration under Nine’s existing debt instruments, but enforcement is stayed by the bankruptcy process, and the company warns that trading in its securities is highly speculative, with current equity holders expected to suffer a complete loss as their shares are canceled for no consideration.

The most recent analyst rating on (NINE) stock is a Hold with a $0.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nine Energy Service stock, see the NINE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Nine Energy Service Board Restructures After Resignation
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 9, 2025, Richard A. Burnett resigned from the board of directors of Nine Energy Service, Inc., with no disagreements regarding the company’s operations or policies. Following his resignation, the board was reduced from six to five members, and Scott E. Schwinger was appointed as the Chair of the Board’s Audit Committee, effective November 10, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (NINE) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nine Energy Service stock, see the NINE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026