tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Flowco Holdings Inc Class A (FLOC)
NYSE:FLOC
US Market

Flowco Holdings Inc Class A (FLOC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
58 Followers

Top Page

FLOC

Flowco Holdings Inc Class A

(NYSE:FLOC)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$22.50
▲(7.66% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong cash generation and generally solid profitability, supported by constructive technical momentum and a favorable earnings-call outlook (EBITDA strength and continued momentum in rentals). These positives are tempered by a high P/E valuation, modest dividend yield, and some fundamental softness/uncertainty (TTM revenue decline, margin compression, and a negative ROE datapoint).
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent, sizable operating cash flow and positive free cash flow provide durable internal funding for capex, rental fleet growth, dividend distributions and debt servicing. Strong cash conversion improves resilience through cycles and supports strategic reinvestment without heavy external financing.
High-margin rental portfolio
Growth in rental revenue reflects a shift toward recurring, higher-margin business that smooths cyclicality from product sales. A larger rental fleet yields predictable cash flows, better utilization leverage, and stronger customer stickiness, supporting margin durability and long-term revenue visibility.
EBITDA margin expansion
Meaningful quarter-over-quarter margin expansion indicates improving operational efficiency and pricing/premium product mix. Sustained EBITDA margin gains enhance free cash flow potential and provide buffer against top-line softness, enabling continued investment in rental assets and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Topline softness
A declining revenue trend reduces operating leverage and raises the bar for maintaining margin and cash generation. If product sales weakness persists, it could constrain long-term growth, limit fleet expansion, and force tougher trade-offs in capital allocation despite strong cash generation.
Negative return on equity
A negative ROE signals that equity holders' returns are being eroded, potentially from volatile earnings, one-time items, or equity-related accounting effects. This undermines confidence in sustainable profitability versus shareholders' capital and complicates long-term capital-allocation decisions.
Segment revenue volatility
Large, segment-level swings—especially a sharp decline in Natural Gas Technologies—highlight exposure to cyclical product demand and revenue concentration risk. Persistent segment volatility can undermine predictability of margins and cash flow, stressing planning and capital deployment over multiple quarters.

Flowco Holdings Inc Class A (FLOC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flowco Holdings Inc Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlowco Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, specializes in production optimization, artificial lift, and methane abatement solutions for the oil and natural gas industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlowco Holdings Inc makes money primarily through the acquisition and management of its subsidiary companies, which operate in various industries such as energy, technology, and infrastructure. The company generates revenue by leveraging the operational efficiencies and synergies of its diverse portfolio. Key revenue streams include dividends from subsidiary profits, capital gains from strategic sales, and earnings from operational improvements. Significant partnerships with industry leaders and financial institutions also contribute to Flowco's earnings by enhancing its investment capabilities and expanding its market reach.

Flowco Holdings Inc Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 01, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Flowco demonstrated strong operational performance and execution despite facing revenue declines in key segments. The successful integration of new assets and growth in the high-margin rental portfolio contributed positively, though challenges in product sales impacted overall revenue.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational and Financial Execution
Flowco delivered adjusted EBITDA of $76.8 million, exceeding expectations, with a 382 basis point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin quarter-over-quarter.
High-Margin Rental Portfolio Growth
Rental revenue increased to $107 million from $102 million last quarter, with a strategic shift towards high-margin rental portfolio, particularly high-pressure gas lift and vapor recovery systems.
Successful Asset Integration
Integration of 155 high-pressure gas lift and vapor recovery systems completed successfully, strengthening relationships with blue-chip customers and enhancing margin profile.
Reduction in Corporate Costs
Third quarter corporate expenses decreased to $3.8 million from $4.3 million in the second quarter, reflecting lower third-party professional service costs.
Positive Market Outlook
Flowco anticipates continued resilience and strong free cash flow generation across sales business units, with the rental fleet delivering consistent, predictable performance.
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue Decline
Total revenue declined 8% sequentially, driven by lower product sales activity in both Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies segments.
Decrease in Natural Gas Technologies Revenue
Segment revenue decreased 21% to $51 million, with adjusted EBITDA decreasing by 7.6% due to a decrease in natural gas systems and vapor recovery system sales.
Lower Product Sales in Production Solutions
Production Solutions segment saw a 2.1% decrease in revenue primarily due to lower downhole components product sales, despite an increase in rental revenue.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Flowco Holdings, Inc. reported strong operational and financial results with an adjusted EBITDA of $76.8 million, which exceeded expectations, and a 382 basis point increase in adjusted EBITDA margin quarter-over-quarter. The company generated approximately $43 million in free cash flow, excluding capital from a recent asset acquisition. Revenue for the quarter was $176.9 million, showing an 8% sequential decline, mainly due to lower product sales in both the Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies segments. Despite this, rental revenue increased to $107 million from $102 million in the previous quarter, highlighting the growth and high-margin nature of Flowco’s rental portfolio. Adjusted net income was reported at $37.3 million. In the Production Solutions segment, revenue decreased by 2.1% to $126 million, while adjusted segment EBITDA increased by 3.6% to $55 million, with a 240 basis point margin expansion. The Natural Gas Technologies segment saw a 21% revenue decline to $51 million, but adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 714 basis points due to a favorable revenue mix shift. The company ended the quarter with $205.2 million of borrowings on its credit facility and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.08 per share. Looking ahead, Flowco anticipates fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA to range between $76 million and $80 million, reflecting continued momentum in their rental fleets and an expected rebound in sales in the Natural Gas Technologies segment.

Flowco Holdings Inc Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash generation is a key strength (TTM operating cash flow ~$269M and positive free cash flow ~$138M with strong cash conversion), supporting overall quality. Offsets include modest TTM revenue decline (~-2.2%), signs of margin compression versus prior years, and an unusual negative ROE reading that adds uncertainty despite manageable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.11).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability remains solid, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) showing healthy operating profitability (EBITDA margin ~34% and EBIT margin ~10%) and positive net income (~$87M). However, the topline trajectory has softened with revenue down in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~-2.2% growth), and margins in TTM appear lower than the prior annual periods, indicating some deceleration and/or cost pressure versus 2023–2024.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Leverage appears manageable in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with debt meaningfully below equity (debt-to-equity ~0.11) and a sizeable asset base (~$1.69B). The main concern is profitability to equity in TTM: return on equity is negative, which conflicts with positive net income and suggests potential volatility or non-operating/equity-related impacts in the dataset; this reduces confidence in balance-sheet-driven returns despite improved leverage versus 2024.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is strong (~$269M) with positive free cash flow (~$138M) and improving free-cash-flow growth. Cash conversion is healthy overall, with operating cash flow running well above net income (coverage ~2.67), though free cash flow is only about half of net income in TTM, implying meaningful reinvestment/capex or working-capital needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue550.52M535.28M243.32M148.61M
Gross Profit191.81M179.99M94.72M56.93M
EBITDA265.01M208.95M121.75M78.72M
Net Income87.14M80.25M58.09M32.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.69B1.59B392.09M366.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.24M4.62M0.000.00
Total Debt264.69M676.69M243.08M223.17M
Total Liabilities364.94M749.84M258.34M238.13M
Stockholders Equity370.96M839.11M133.75M128.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow137.55M88.70M38.35M-40.40M
Operating Cash Flow269.37M179.38M81.86M66.56M
Investing Cash Flow-211.17M-94.43M-42.67M-106.93M
Financing Cash Flow-74.08M-80.33M-39.19M40.37M

Flowco Holdings Inc Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$2.82B17.368.10%3.18%-53.71%
70
Outperform
$1.87B39.931.32%
66
Neutral
$3.99B28.479.21%1.78%-12.05%-46.45%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
50
Neutral
$1.45B-120.31-1.20%10.12%20.68%-112.42%
47
Neutral
$942.34M-2.54-31.46%-11.92%-53.72%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLOC
Flowco Holdings Inc Class A
20.90
-6.71
-24.30%
DNOW
Now
15.19
0.31
2.08%
LBRT
Liberty Oilfield Services
24.65
6.78
37.94%
ACDC
ProFrac Holding
5.21
-2.06
-28.34%
AESI
Atlas Energy Solutions
11.67
-10.14
-46.49%

Flowco Holdings Inc Class A Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Flowco Holdings Declares Quarterly Dividend for Class A Shareholders
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Flowco Holdings Inc. announced that its board had declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share for its Class A common stock, payable on February 25, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 13, 2026, with its operating subsidiary, Flowco MergeCo LLC, making a matching $0.08 per unit distribution to holders of its common units. The move underscores Flowco’s effort to return capital to investors while signaling confidence in its cash generation, though the company emphasized that any future dividends will remain subject to board discretion and dependent on operating results, cash flows, financial position, capital needs, credit agreement constraints and legal requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLOC) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flowco Holdings Inc Class A stock, see the FLOC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Flowco Holdings Announces Quarterly Dividend for Class A
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Flowco Holdings Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share for its Class A common stock, payable on November 26, 2025, to shareholders of record as of November 14, 2025. The company’s operating subsidiary, Flowco MergeCo LLC, will also distribute $0.08 per unit to its common unit holders. This announcement reflects Flowco’s ongoing commitment to providing regular dividends, although future dividends will depend on various factors, including financial performance and capital requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLOC) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flowco Holdings Inc Class A stock, see the FLOC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026