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Sm Energy Company (SM)
NYSE:SM
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SM Energy (SM) AI Stock Analysis

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SM

SM Energy

(NYSE:SM)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
SM Energy's stock score is supported by strong profitability and operational plans for growth. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to bearish trends. Valuation suggests potential undervaluation, and strategic initiatives reflect a positive outlook, though cash flow constraints and high leverage remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Health
SM Energy Company reduced its debt by approximately $140 million, improving its financial position significantly.
Operational Performance
SM Energy Company's quarterly production reached record levels, driven by outstanding oil volumes, leading to financial outperformance.
Negative Factors
Capital Expenditure Concerns
Equity was a significant underperformer as investors digest heavy capital expenditure that fuels fears of capex creep this year.
Production Expectations
SM's Uinta oil production only increased 6.7% QoQ, which may dampen some of the excitement after investor expectations were higher.

SM Energy (SM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SM Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSM Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the state of Texas. As of February 24, 2022, it had 492.0 million barrels of oil equivalent of estimated proved reserves. It also has working interests in 825 gross productive oil wells and 483 gross productive gas wells in the Midland Basin and South Texas. The company was formerly known as St. Mary Land & Exploration Company and changed its name to SM Energy Company in May 2010. SM Energy Company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneySM Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) extracted from its wells in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale. The company's revenue streams are largely dependent on the production volume and market prices of these commodities. SM Energy employs a strategy of optimizing its drilling and production techniques to enhance efficiency and increase output, thereby boosting revenue. The company may also enter into joint ventures, partnerships, or hedging arrangements to manage risks associated with commodity price volatility and enhance financial stability. Additionally, SM Energy occasionally monetizes non-core assets through sales or trades to focus on its core operations and improve its financial performance.

SM Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with record production and financial beats, successful integration of Uinta Basin assets, and notable technological advancements. However, there are challenges relating to commodity price volatility and higher transportation costs.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production Volumes
Record production volumes totaled 209,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, exceeding the midpoint of guidance by 5%.
Financial Performance Beat
Achieved beats versus consensus for adjusted net income, adjusted EBITDAX, and adjusted free cash flow.
Uinta Basin Success
Successful integration and optimization of Uinta Basin assets, leading to enhanced production and logistics.
Debt Reduction
Paid off credit facility and built a cash balance of over $100 million, progressing towards a target leverage of 1x.
Technological Advancements
Developed machine learning models to optimize well designs, resulting in 30% better performance than peers.
Successful Drilling and Cost Efficiency
Reduced average D&C cost per foot by 15% since 2022 and drilled the fastest wells in company history.
Negative Updates
Commodity Price Volatility
Faced challenges due to potential impacts of OPEC+ decisions, geopolitical tensions, and commodity price volatility.
Increased Capital Expenditures
Second quarter CapEx slightly higher than guidance due to accelerated drilling and completions.
Higher Transportation Costs
Transportation expense per BOE increased by 5% sequentially due to the Uinta Basin production mix.
Company Guidance
During SM Energy's second quarter 2025 webcast, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. They reported record production volumes totaling 209,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, surpassing the guidance midpoint by 5% due to strong asset performance, particularly in the Uinta Basin. The company achieved a cash balance of over $100 million and aims to reach a leverage target of 1x by year-end. The financial results included beats on adjusted net income, adjusted EBITDAX, and adjusted free cash flow. SM Energy anticipates full-year production of 200,000 to 215,000 BOE per day, with oil comprising 53% to 54% of production. Capital expenditures for 2025 are updated to approximately $1.375 billion, with expectations to drill 115 net wells. The company also reduced expected cash taxes to approximately $10 million for 2025 following the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. For the third quarter, production is expected to be between 209,000 and 215,000 BOE per day, with capital expenditures ranging from $300 million to $320 million. The company plans to discuss 2026 strategies early next year, focusing on operational excellence and capital efficiency.

SM Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SM Energy shows strong profitability with healthy margins and effective use of shareholder funds. However, high capital expenditures and leverage pose potential risks, which could affect future liquidity and financial stability in the cyclical oil and gas industry.
Income Statement
78
Positive
SM Energy shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin and improving net profit margin over recent periods. Revenue growth has been volatile, reflecting the cyclical nature of the oil and gas industry, but recent figures show resilience. Margins for EBIT and EBITDA are healthy, indicating efficient operations, despite challenging industry conditions.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a balanced debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is robust, showing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a solid equity base compared to total assets. However, the high debt level is a potential risk factor in volatile market conditions.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, indicating good cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow has been negative due to high capital expenditures, which could impact future liquidity if not managed carefully. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates the need for better alignment between cash flows and reported profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.11B2.67B2.37B3.35B2.60B1.13B
Gross Profit1.53B1.23B1.12B2.12B1.32B-49.62M
EBITDA2.23B1.92B1.70B2.19B1.02B48.57M
Net Income812.74M770.29M817.88M1.11B36.23M-764.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.99B8.58B6.38B5.72B5.23B4.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments101.88M0.00616.16M445.00M332.72M10.00K
Total Debt2.71B2.78B1.58B1.57B2.08B2.21B
Total Liabilities4.40B4.34B2.76B2.63B3.17B2.96B
Stockholders Equity4.59B4.24B3.62B3.09B2.06B2.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.09B-1.63B475.05M806.47M481.61M235.29M
Operating Cash Flow2.08B1.78B1.57B1.69B1.16B790.94M
Investing Cash Flow-3.18B-3.41B-1.10B-880.26M-667.24M-555.57M
Financing Cash Flow1.08B1.01B-304.54M-693.86M-159.83M-235.38M

SM Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.92
Price Trends
50DMA
26.90
Positive
100DMA
25.44
Positive
200DMA
30.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
47.75
Neutral
STOCH
52.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.13, above the 50-day MA of 26.90, and below the 200-day MA of 30.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SM.

SM Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.29B4.4911.31%8.78%0.24%-9.19%
72
Outperform
$3.24B3.9919.27%2.97%28.20%1.63%
71
Outperform
$2.54B4.2327.17%7.00%2.98%7.94%
71
Outperform
$2.35B23.270.70%5.48%32.84%-755.17%
70
Outperform
$2.58B10.5624.31%11.73%-8.06%-22.61%
65
Neutral
$15.28B7.483.19%5.33%4.10%-60.58%
58
Neutral
$3.08B16.69-6.25%25.89%-117.80%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SM
SM Energy
26.92
-11.62
-30.15%
CIVI
Civitas Resources
34.39
-15.68
-31.32%
NOG
Northern Oil And Gas
24.84
-7.80
-23.90%
BSM
Black Stone Minerals
11.95
-0.74
-5.83%
GPOR
Gulfport Energy
175.14
37.07
26.85%
CRGY
Crescent Energy Company Class A
8.76
-1.14
-11.52%

SM Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SM Energy Announces Board Member Retirement
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

On March 24, 2025, Dr. Stephen R. Brand announced his retirement from the Board of Directors of SM Energy Company, effective after the company’s annual stockholders meeting on May 22, 2025. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company, and SM Energy expressed gratitude for his contributions since 2011.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SM Energy Unveils 2025 Plan and Leadership Changes
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

SM Energy reported record operational and financial results for 2024, with a 23% increase in oil production and a 12% rise in net proved reserves. The company outlined a transformative 2025 plan, highlighting substantial production growth through the integration of Uinta Basin assets and a focus on capital efficiency. SM Energy also announced leadership changes, including the retirement of Jennifer Martin Samuels and the appointment of new senior executives, effective March 2025, aimed at supporting its strategic goals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 04, 2025