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Crescent Energy Company Class A (CRGY)
NYSE:CRGY
US Market

Crescent Energy Company Class A (CRGY) AI Stock Analysis

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CRGY

Crescent Energy Company Class A

(NYSE:CRGY)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(7.47% Upside)
Crescent Energy's overall stock score reflects a strong financial position and positive strategic developments, particularly the transformative acquisition of Vital Energy. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation concerns persist with a negative P/E ratio. The company's attractive dividend yield and robust earnings call performance contribute positively to the score.
Positive Factors
Scale from Vital acquisition
Becoming a top-10 U.S. independent via the Vital deal materially increases scale and geographic diversification (Permian, Eagle Ford, Uinta). Greater scale supports long-term cost synergies, stronger commercial offtake, and resilience to basin-specific shocks, improving durable cash generation.
Strong free cash flow & portfolio pruning
Sustained levered free cash flow and robust adjusted EBITDA, plus >$700M of noncore divestitures (>$800M YTD) used to pay down debt, show durable cash conversion and disciplined portfolio management. This strengthens financial flexibility for capex, dividends, and strategic investments over multiple quarters.
Expanded liquidity and credit capacity
A larger $3.9B borrowing base with extended tenor and improved pricing materially improves liquidity and financing optionality during integration and development. Extended covenants and better pricing reduce refinancing risk and support multi-year execution of production and capital plans.
Negative Factors
Integration execution risk
Merging operations, systems, and personnel from Vital creates medium-term execution risk. If synergies, operational protocols, or capital plans are delayed or mis-executed, production, unit costs, and realized cash flows could suffer, undermining the expected durable accretion from the deal.
Near-term production hit from divestitures
Selling noncore assets trimmed production by ~16k boe/d and triggers $30–40M in cash taxes. Reduced base production can lower long-term organic volume growth unless replaced by drilling or acquisitions, pressuring per-share cash generation and making growth reliant on successful redeployment of proceeds.
Higher-cost note issuance & covenant reshaping
Replacing Vital notes with new high-coupon unsecured notes raises fixed interest costs and alters covenant dynamics. Elevated interest burden and complex guarantee structures increase cash interest sensitivity and constrain free cash flow availability, reducing long-term financial flexibility if commodity revenues soften.

Crescent Energy Company Class A (CRGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crescent Energy Company Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrescent Energy Company, an energy company, explores for, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) reserves. The company holds a portfolio of oil and natural gas assets in key proven basins, including the Eagle Ford, Rockies, Barnett, Permian, Mid-Con, and other basins in the United States. As of December 31, 2021, it had 1,528 gross undrilled locations, including 567 gross operated drilling locations; and 531.6 net million barrels of oil equivalent of proved reserves. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrescent Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids produced from its wells. The company’s revenue model is largely driven by the volume of production and prevailing market prices for these commodities. Key revenue streams include direct sales to energy companies, refiners, and marketers, as well as contracts for pipeline transportation and processing of hydrocarbons. Additionally, Crescent Energy may engage in hedging activities to mitigate price volatility and secure more predictable cash flows. Strategic partnerships with other energy firms and service providers also contribute to operational efficiency and cost management, enhancing overall profitability.

Crescent Energy Company Class A Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Crescent Energy Company Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook, with Crescent Energy achieving significant financial and operational milestones, including a transformative acquisition, successful divestitures, and strong cash flow generation. While there are some concerns regarding production impacts from divestitures and integration risks with the Vital acquisition, these are outweighed by the company's strategic achievements and improved financial position.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial and Operating Performance
Generated approximately $204 million of levered free cash flow and $487 million of adjusted EBITDA. Results exceeded expectations on all key metrics, enhancing the full-year outlook for the second consecutive quarter.
Transformative Acquisition of Vital Energy
Announced acquisition of Vital Energy, marking entry into the Permian Basin and establishing Crescent as a top 10 U.S. independent oil and gas producer. Expected to generate accretion across all key metrics and deliver cash-on-cash investment returns exceeding 2x multiple of invested capital.
Successful Noncore Divestiture Program
Over $700 million of noncore divestitures signed this quarter, bringing year-to-date divestiture total to more than $800 million. Streamlined portfolio while achieving 5.5x EBITDA sale value, representing a significant premium to year-end proved PV-10.
Increased Borrowing Base
Increased borrowing base by 50% to $3.9 billion, extended tenor to 5 years and improved pricing grid, capturing approximately $12 million in synergy value ahead of closing the Vital acquisition.
Operational Efficiency and Capital Savings
Achieved 15% savings per foot on capital in Eagle Ford and improved well productivity by over 20%. Enhanced outlook for the year with increased free cash flow and flat production from less capital.
Dividend and Debt Reduction
Announced a dividend of $0.12 per share for the quarter, equating to a 6% annualized yield, and repaid more than $150 million of debt during the quarter.
Negative Updates
Impact of Divestitures on Production
Divestitures expected to reduce fourth-quarter production by approximately 16,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, impacting overall output.
Cash Tax Payment Due to Divestitures
Expected to pay approximately $30 million to $40 million in cash taxes related to the divestitures closing in the fourth quarter.
Integration Risks with Vital Acquisition
While the acquisition is seen as positive, integrating Vital's assets and operations poses potential execution risks that need careful management.
Company Guidance
During Crescent Energy's Q3 2025 Conference Call, the company reported robust financial and operational performance exceeding expectations across key metrics. Highlights included generating approximately $204 million of levered free cash flow and achieving 253,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in production, including 103,000 barrels of oil per day. The company announced a transformative acquisition of Vital Energy, positioning Crescent as a top 10 U.S. independent oil and gas producer and expected to deliver attractive cash-on-cash investment returns exceeding a 2x multiple of invested capital. Crescent also completed over $700 million in noncore divestitures this quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to over $800 million, which will be used to reduce debt significantly. The company maintained a consistent capital allocation approach, announcing a $0.12 per share dividend and repaying over $150 million in debt. With a bolstered borrowing base of $3.9 billion and extended credit facility terms, Crescent is well-positioned for sustained growth and operational excellence in the Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta regions.

Crescent Energy Company Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crescent Energy Company Class A exhibits a solid financial position with strengths in cash flow generation and a balanced leverage approach. While profitability margins are moderate, the company shows potential for growth and stability in the oil and gas sector.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Crescent Energy Company Class A shows a moderate financial performance with a Gross Profit Margin of 62.83% and a Net Profit Margin of 1.03% for TTM, indicating profitability but with room for improvement. Revenue growth is positive at 3.51%, suggesting a stable upward trend. However, the EBIT Margin of 2.14% and EBITDA Margin of 33.03% reflect moderate operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.72, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on Equity is low at 0.96%, suggesting limited profitability from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not directly provided, but the balance sheet shows a stable financial structure with a focus on maintaining equity levels.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Crescent Energy demonstrates strong cash flow management with a significant Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 266.75% and an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.96. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.77 indicates efficient conversion of net income into free cash flow, supporting financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.59B2.93B2.38B3.06B1.48B754.22M
Gross Profit2.96B2.40B1.30B2.62B1.23B552.04M
EBITDA1.47B996.99M1.17B1.15B-69.01M194.30M
Net Income23.52M-114.61M67.61M96.67M-19.38M0.00
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.69B9.16B6.80B6.02B5.16B3.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.53M132.82M2.97M0.00128.58M36.86M
Total Debt3.23B3.13B1.76B1.32B1.09B774.79M
Total Liabilities5.22B4.79B3.17B2.72B2.14B1.01B
Stockholders Equity4.47B3.13B1.70B848.11M682.21M2.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-271.13M-21.20M-494.83M-206.96M-37.54M284.86M
Operating Cash Flow1.69B1.22B935.77M1.01B233.15M411.03M
Investing Cash Flow-1.88B-1.20B-1.40B-1.12B-244.59M-124.94M
Financing Cash Flow34.76M207.39M456.46M-7.84M105.14M-272.09M

Crescent Energy Company Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.77
Price Trends
50DMA
8.81
Positive
100DMA
8.75
Positive
200DMA
8.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
70.50
Negative
STOCH
88.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.57, above the 50-day MA of 8.81, and above the 200-day MA of 8.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.50 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CRGY.

Crescent Energy Company Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.97B12.186.68%17.48%9.33%
76
Outperform
$3.13B12.8623.90%9.94%-0.75%-29.40%
72
Outperform
$2.44B14.107.95%8.18%1.51%-78.38%
66
Neutral
$3.21B-66.460.64%5.78%32.31%-122.30%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$2.88B57.452.62%31.67%
61
Neutral
$2.03B-5.92-13.71%-0.02%-473.61%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRGY
Crescent Energy Company Class A
9.77
-4.71
-32.53%
NOG
Northern Oil And Gas
25.00
-8.52
-25.41%
BSM
Black Stone Minerals
14.77
1.49
11.22%
TALO
Talos Energy
11.92
2.58
27.62%
MNR
Mach Natural Resources LP
11.69
-3.59
-23.49%
BKV
BKV Corporation
29.75
5.26
21.48%

Crescent Energy Company Class A Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Crescent Energy refinances notes and reshapes capital structure
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

On the Settlement Date, a Crescent Energy subsidiary issued $294.8 million of senior unsecured notes maturing July 31, 2029, with a 7.75% coupon, and $237.2 million of senior unsecured notes maturing October 15, 2030, with a 9.75% coupon, both fully and unconditionally guaranteed on a senior unsecured basis by existing subsidiary guarantors under the group’s revolving credit facility but not by the listed parent company or OpCo. The new Crescent 2029 and 2030 notes, which were issued in exchange for existing Vital notes in unregistered exchange offers, include standard high‑yield features such as optional redemption schedules, change‑of‑control repurchase rights, leverage‑ and payout‑restricting covenants, and acceleration upon events of default, while concurrent supplemental indentures for the Vital notes, effective as of December 12, 2025, removed certain restrictive covenants, collectively reshaping the group’s capital structure and covenant package for noteholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRGY) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crescent Energy Company Class A stock, see the CRGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Crescent Energy Completes Acquisition of Vital Energy
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Crescent Energy Company announced the completion of its acquisition of Vital Energy, Inc., positioning itself as a leading independent exploration and production company. This all-stock transaction enhances Crescent’s free cash flow profile and operational scale, with the company focusing on integrating new assets and personnel to realize synergies and long-term value creation for shareholders. The governance update includes the appointment of former Vital Energy directors to Crescent’s board, strengthening its expertise.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRGY) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crescent Energy Company Class A stock, see the CRGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Crescent Energy Launches Exchange Offers for Senior Notes
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Crescent Energy Finance LLC, a subsidiary of Crescent Energy Company, announced the commencement of exchange offers for senior notes due in 2029 and 2030, originally issued by Vital Energy, Inc. The exchange offers aim to replace existing notes with new ones issued by Crescent Energy Finance, while also soliciting consents to amend indentures governing the existing notes. These amendments would remove restrictive covenants and certain default provisions. The initiative is part of a strategic move to streamline financial operations and potentially improve liquidity, with implications for stakeholders including potential cash payments for noteholders if certain conditions are met.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRGY) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crescent Energy Company Class A stock, see the CRGY Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Crescent Energy Releases Pro Forma Financial Information
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Crescent Energy Company has released unaudited pro forma condensed combined financial information following its acquisitions of Ridgemar and SilverBow, as well as the Vital Transaction. These acquisitions, completed in 2024 and 2025, are expected to significantly impact Crescent’s financial operations by integrating major assets from Ridgemar and SilverBow. The pro forma statements provide a detailed view of the company’s financial positioning post-acquisitions, although they are illustrative and do not predict future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRGY) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crescent Energy Company Class A stock, see the CRGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Crescent Energy Acquires Vital Energy for $3.1 Billion
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

In the third quarter of 2025, Crescent Energy reported strong financial performance, with $473 million in operating cash flow and $204 million in levered free cash flow. The company enhanced its 2025 guidance for the second consecutive quarter, reflecting operational efficiencies and increased well productivity in the Eagle Ford region. Crescent announced a $3.1 billion acquisition of Vital Energy, positioning itself as a top 10 independent U.S. oil and gas producer, and executed over $700 million in non-core divestitures to improve margins and accelerate debt repayment. The company also strengthened its balance sheet with $150 million in debt repayment and expanded its borrowing base by 50% to $3.9 billion.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRGY) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crescent Energy Company Class A stock, see the CRGY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025