tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Crescent Energy Company Class A (CRGY)
:CRGY
US Market

Crescent Energy Company Class A (CRGY) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
354 Followers

Top Page

CR

Crescent Energy Company Class A

(NYSE:CRGY)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▼(-1.32%Downside)
Crescent Energy's overall score is driven by a strong earnings call performance and beneficial corporate events, despite mixed financial stability and valuation. The company's strategic focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet and capital management supports the stock's potential, but profitability and cash flow challenges remain critical areas for improvement.
Positive Factors
M&A and Consolidation
Crescent Energy is seen as a differentiated, oil-weighted Eagle Ford consolidator with a demonstrated ability to execute accretive M&A, expanding its scale and high-return inventory in one of the few remaining fragmented U.S. oil plays.
Operational Flexibility and Hedging
CRGY's strategic move to allocate more capital to its dry gas Eagle Ford assets aligns with a bullish view on natural gas prices, potentially benefiting the company.
Valuation and Financial Metrics
CRGY is attractively positioned versus peers, offering superior FCF/EV yield while trading at a peer-average EV/EBITDA multiple, presenting a compelling relative value opportunity.
Negative Factors
Production and Guidance
The guidance for oil volumes in 2025 is below consensus, which could raise questions about future production levels.
Quarterly Results
The company reported mixed 1Q25 results with oil production, DCFPS, and EBITDA falling short of expectations, which could weigh on near-term sentiment.
Strategic Shift
The shift in focus towards gassier assets is expected to result in declining oil volumes into 2026, which could be a concern for some stakeholders.

Crescent Energy Company Class A (CRGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crescent Energy Company Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrescent Energy Company, an energy company, explores for, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) reserves. The company holds a portfolio of oil and natural gas assets in key proven basins, including the Eagle Ford, Rockies, Barnett, Permian, Mid-Con, and other basins in the United States. As of December 31, 2021, it had 1,528 gross undrilled locations, including 567 gross operated drilling locations; and 531.6 net million barrels of oil equivalent of proved reserves. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrescent Energy makes money by exploring, developing, and producing oil and natural gas, which it then sells to various markets. The company's revenue primarily comes from the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Crescent Energy's key revenue streams include upstream activities like drilling and production, where they extract hydrocarbons from their reserves, and selling these resources in the open market. The company may also engage in hedging activities to manage commodity price risks, thereby ensuring more predictable cash flows. Significant partnerships with other energy firms or technology providers can enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs, contributing to Crescent Energy's profitability.

Crescent Energy Company Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Crescent Energy's Q1 2025 earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, record production, and effective capital management. The company successfully executed asset sales and acquisitions and achieved significant cost savings. However, it also acknowledged challenges posed by market volatility and potential tariff impacts. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights, reflecting a strong and well-positioned business strategy.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production and Cash Flow
Crescent Energy reported record production of 258,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and approximately $242 million of free cash flow, exceeding Wall Street expectations.
Strong Financial Performance
The company achieved approximately $530 million of adjusted EBITDA and maintained a net leverage of 1.5 times, with $1.4 billion of liquidity and no near-term maturities.
Successful Asset Sales and Acquisitions
Crescent closed $90 million of accretive asset sales and successfully integrated the Ridgemar acquisition, which added high-margin production and significant low-risk inventory.
Cost Savings and Capital Efficiency
The company achieved savings of 10% on drilling, completions, and facilities costs across its Eagle Ford development relative to 2024.
Strategic Hedge Program
Crescent has approximately 60% of its 2025 oil and natural gas production hedged at a significant premium to current market pricing, supporting cash flow stability.
Dividend and Share Repurchase
Crescent announced a dividend of $0.12 per share and repurchased approximately $30 million worth of stock, equating to a 10% annualized yield.
Simplification of Corporate Structure
The company transitioned to a single class of common shares, eliminating [indiscernible] structure and reducing reporting complexity.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility Challenges
Crescent acknowledged increased market volatility and the potential impact on capital allocation and development plans.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
The 25% tariff on OCTG could translate to a $10 million to $15 million impact on the capital program, affecting cost efficiency.
Company Guidance
In the Crescent Energy Q1 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic priorities. Crescent reported a record production of 258,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and generated approximately $242 million of free cash flow, surpassing Wall Street expectations. The company's free cash flow yield for the quarter was approximately 45%. Crescent emphasized its focus on flexible capital allocation and maintaining a strong balance sheet, with a net leverage of 1.5 times and $1.4 billion in liquidity. The company also announced a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share and has repurchased $30 million worth of shares, resulting in a 10% annualized yield. Additionally, Crescent has about 60% of its 2025 oil and natural gas production hedged at a premium to current market prices. The company remains committed to disciplined capital allocation, targeting returns in excess of a 2x multiple of invested capital, and has completed $90 million in asset sales to streamline its portfolio.

Crescent Energy Company Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crescent Energy's financial performance shows a mixed picture. The balance sheet is strong with a high equity ratio and no current debt, but the income statement and cash flow metrics are concerning. Inconsistent profitability and negative recent cash flow indicate challenges in maintaining financial stability.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Crescent Energy's income statement shows volatility in profitability. The gross profit margin is strong, indicating cost efficiency, but net profit margins have been inconsistent, with a recent negative net income. Revenue growth has seen ups and downs, with a decline in the most recent year. This reflects challenges in maintaining consistent revenue streams and profitability.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
The company exhibits a strong equity base with a high equity ratio, suggesting stability. No current debt is a positive sign of financial health, and the return on equity has shown improvement. However, past leverage was significant, indicating a risk of financial strain if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in maintaining positive free cash flow, with recent periods showing negative figures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio reflects inefficiencies in cash generation relative to net income. While there were instances of high operating cash flow, the inconsistency poses a risk to liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.22B2.93B2.38B3.06B1.48B754.22M
Gross Profit1.98B2.40B1.30B2.62B1.23B552.04M
EBITDA1.02B996.99M1.17B1.15B-69.01M194.30M
Net Income-79.30M-114.61M67.61M480.60M-432.23M-216.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.009.33B6.80B6.02B5.16B3.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00132.82M2.97M-10.75M128.58M36.86M
Total Debt3.61B3.13B1.76B1.26B1.09B774.79M
Total Liabilities5.44B4.79B3.17B2.72B2.14B1.01B
Stockholders Equity3.27B3.14B1.70B848.11M682.21M2.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow677.46M-21.20M-494.83M-206.96M-37.54M284.86M
Operating Cash Flow1.38B1.22B935.77M1.01B233.15M411.03M
Investing Cash Flow-2.10B-1.20B-1.40B-1.12B-244.59M-124.94M
Financing Cash Flow733.91M207.39M456.46M-7.84M105.14M-272.09M

Crescent Energy Company Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.12
Price Trends
50DMA
8.80
Positive
100DMA
9.96
Negative
200DMA
11.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
52.09
Neutral
STOCH
32.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRGY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.12, above the 50-day MA of 8.80, and below the 200-day MA of 11.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CRGY.

Crescent Energy Company Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$2.74B3.3912.73%6.76%22.14%5.69%
NONOG
74
Outperform
$2.96B4.6629.41%6.01%24.27%5.01%
MNMNR
73
Outperform
$1.75B9.2512.64%21.42%
SMSM
72
Outperform
$3.00B3.6720.28%3.06%26.04%11.96%
KRKRP
68
Neutral
$1.73B45.092.88%13.30%3.20%-91.39%
59
Neutral
$2.90B23.27-3.54%5.26%31.58%-114.70%
52
Neutral
C$2.91B-0.93-3.26%6.13%2.20%-43.43%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRGY
Crescent Energy Company Class A
9.13
-2.51
-21.56%
CIVI
Civitas Resources
29.72
-33.30
-52.84%
NOG
Northern Oil And Gas
29.80
-6.26
-17.36%
SM
SM Energy
25.93
-16.73
-39.22%
KRP
Kimbell Royalty Partners
14.15
-0.80
-5.35%
MNR
Mach Natural Resources LP
14.75
-1.89
-11.36%

Crescent Energy Company Class A Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Crescent Energy Announces Pricing of $600M Senior Notes
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 23, 2025, Crescent Energy Finance LLC, an indirect subsidiary of Crescent Energy Company, announced the pricing of $600 million in 8.375% Senior Notes due 2034. The proceeds from this offering, along with additional borrowings and cash on hand, are intended to fund a tender offer for a portion of the company’s outstanding 9.250% Senior Notes due 2028 and other corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance Crescent Energy’s capital structure and provide flexibility in managing its debt obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRGY) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crescent Energy Company Class A stock, see the CRGY Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Crescent Energy Announces $500M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

On June 23, 2025, Crescent Energy Finance LLC announced its intention to offer $500 million in Senior Notes due 2034 through a private placement, subject to market conditions. The proceeds from this offering are intended to fund a cash tender offer to purchase up to $500 million of its outstanding 9.250% Senior Notes due 2028. This financial maneuver aims to optimize the company’s debt structure and potentially improve its financial flexibility, impacting its stakeholders by possibly enhancing its market positioning and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRGY) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crescent Energy Company Class A stock, see the CRGY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Crescent Energy Appoints Joey Hall as COO
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Crescent Energy Company announced the appointment of Joey Hall as Chief Operating Officer, effective June 2, 2025. Hall, previously with Pioneer Natural Resources Company, brings extensive experience in operational leadership, particularly in the Eagle Ford and Permian Basin regions. His appointment is expected to enhance Crescent’s operational capabilities and support its growth strategy, focusing on innovation, environmental responsibility, and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRGY) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crescent Energy Company Class A stock, see the CRGY Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Crescent Energy Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 5, 2025

Crescent Energy Company reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with key metrics meeting or exceeding expectations. The company generated $337 million in operating cash flow and $242 million in levered free cash flow, reflecting a 45% annualized yield. Crescent improved its South Texas drilling costs by 10% and executed $90 million in non-core asset divestitures. The acquisition of Ridgemar Energy was completed on January 31, 2025, enhancing Crescent’s Eagle Ford position. The company simplified its corporate structure by transitioning to a single class of common stock and repurchased $30 million of shares. Crescent’s outlook for 2025 includes a flexible rig program and an 11-month contribution from the Ridgemar assets, with a focus on maximizing returns and free cash flow.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025