Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.42B
• Dividend Yield: 19.55%
• Average Volume (3M): 315.04K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.66
• Revenue Growth: 9.33%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 505
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): -0.28
• Shares Outstanding: 118,337,920
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 387,506
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 315,040
• PEG Ratio: 0.06
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.40
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.73
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.88
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 0.00
• 1Y Price Target: $20.75
• Price Target Upside: 78.73% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: $13.00 ▲(11.97% Upside)

Mach Natural Resources LP has a strong financial foundation with impressive revenue and cash flow growth, supported by strategic acquisitions and a high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and increased debt levels pose a risk. The overall score reflects a balanced view of these factors.

Positive Factors

Strategic Acquisitions

These acquisitions enhance MNR's scale and diversification, potentially increasing cash available for distribution by up to 28% in five years, strengthening its market position.

Cash Flow Generation

Strong cash flow growth indicates MNR's ability to generate cash efficiently, supporting reinvestment and distributions, which is crucial for long-term financial health.

Operational Efficiency

Improved capital efficiency allows MNR to maintain production levels while reducing costs, enhancing profitability and competitiveness in the market.

Negative Factors

Increased Debt Levels

Higher leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting MNR's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.

Gross Profit Margin Decline

A declining gross profit margin could indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which may impact long-term profitability if not addressed.

Natural Gas Pricing Concerns

Volatility in natural gas prices can affect revenue stability, posing a risk to MNR's financial performance given its significant exposure to this commodity.

Mach Natural Resources LP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) is a prominent player in the natural resources sector, specializing in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources. The company operates primarily in North America and is committed to utilizing innovative technologies and sustainable practices to enhance resource extraction efficiency. MNR's core offerings include upstream oil and gas production, as well as the development of renewable energy projects, positioning it as a versatile entity in the evolving energy landscape.

How the Company Makes Money

MNR generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids produced from its exploration and production activities. The company benefits from fluctuating market prices for these commodities, with its earnings closely tied to oil and gas price dynamics. Additionally, MNR may engage in joint ventures and partnerships with other energy companies, allowing it to share resources and reduce operational costs while expanding its market reach. The company might also explore revenue opportunities through the development of renewable energy projects, tapping into growing demand for sustainable energy solutions. Furthermore, MNR’s strategic investments in technology and infrastructure enhance its production capabilities, contributing to its overall profitability.

Mach Natural Resources LP Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mach Natural Resources LP demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive revenue and cash flow growth. The company maintains solid profitability margins, though there is a slight decline in return on equity. The balance sheet is stable, and cash flow management is efficient.

Income Statement

Mach Natural Resources LP shows a strong revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 162.7%. The gross profit margin is healthy at 43.4%, and the net profit margin is robust at 27.4%. However, the EBIT margin has decreased over time, indicating potential cost pressures. Overall, the income statement reflects solid profitability and growth.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49 in the TTM period, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The return on equity is reasonable at 17.8%, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio stands at 61.9%, suggesting a stable financial structure. The balance sheet is stable but shows a slight decline in return metrics.

Cash Flow

Cash flow performance is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 145.8% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.36, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.90, indicating efficient cash generation. The cash flow statement highlights strong liquidity and cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.02B	969.63M	762.31M	937.41M	392.50M
Gross Profit	517.39M	331.83M	386.80M	547.84M	216.33M
EBITDA	440.76M	560.74M	495.38M	610.28M	180.72M
Net Income	291.59M	185.18M	346.56M	516.84M	138.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.77B	2.34B	2.30B	887.44M	525.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	53.60M	105.78M	152.79M	29.42M	59.27M
Total Debt	1.15B	766.17M	824.49M	99.71M	85.80M
Total Liabilities	1.43B	1.14B	1.11B	294.21M	246.68M
Stockholders Equity	2.34B	1.20B	1.19B	593.23M	278.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	463.17M	284.98M	-577.91M	310.52M	157.45M
Operating Cash Flow	511.87M	505.29M	491.74M	553.54M	198.46M
Investing Cash Flow	-935.41M	-306.32M	-1.03B	-372.66M	-194.74M
Financing Cash Flow	292.61M	-245.99M	658.79M	-210.74M	-4.58M

Mach Natural Resources LP Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 11.61
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MNR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.09, below the 50-day MA of 12.89, and below the 200-day MA of 13.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MNR.

Mach Natural Resources LP Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
DMLP	77 Outperform	$1.11B	13.22	31.42%	12.04%	-12.51%	-59.55%
MNR	73 Outperform	$1.42B	6.20	16.84%	19.55%	9.33%	―
TALO	71 Outperform	$1.76B	―	-13.71%	―	-0.02%	-473.61%
BKV	67 Neutral	$2.15B	―	-1.36%	―	13.20%	55.44%
SBR	66 Neutral	$1.09B	14.77	987.03%	7.29%	-16.05%	-17.58%
KRP	66 Neutral	$1.64B	―	4.73%	12.65%	-2.71%	-113.80%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%

Mach Natural Resources LP Corporate Events

Mach Natural Resources LP Reports Q3 2025 Results

Mach Natural Resources LP is an independent upstream oil and gas company focused on the acquisition, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and NGL reserves, operating across the Anadarko, Permian, and San Juan Basins.

Mach Natural Resources LP Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results

Mach Natural Resources LP announced its financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a net loss of $36 million and an Adjusted EBITDA of $124 million. The company declared a quarterly cash distribution of $0.27 per common unit and highlighted its recent acquisitions in the Permian and San Juan Basins, which have expanded its operational scale. Mach also updated its 2026 outlook, reducing its drilling and completion capital program by 18% while maintaining production guidance, reflecting strong capital efficiency and well performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNR) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mach Natural Resources LP stock, see the MNR Stock Forecast page.

Mach Natural Resources Expands with Major Acquisitions

On September 16, 2025, Mach Natural Resources LP successfully closed acquisitions of oil and gas assets from Sabinal Energy, LLC and entities managed by IKAV Energy Inc, marking a significant step in expanding its portfolio in the Permian and San Juan Basins. The transactions, valued at approximately $1.3 billion, were funded through credit facilities and the issuance of common units, leading to a nearly doubled production capacity. Concurrently, Mach amended its credit facility, increasing its revolving credit facility to $1 billion and its borrowing base to $1.45 billion, which enhances its financial flexibility and strategic positioning in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (MNR) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mach Natural Resources LP stock, see the MNR Stock Forecast page.

Mach Natural Resources LP Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth

Mach Natural Resources LP’s recent earnings call painted a picture of strategic growth and financial prudence, tempered by some market challenges. The company showcased its strong cash returns and production growth, while also addressing hurdles like price realization and legal expenses, leading to a balanced outlook.

Mach Natural Resources LP Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results

Mach Natural Resources LP is an independent upstream oil and gas company focused on acquiring, developing, and producing oil, natural gas, and NGL reserves in the Anadarko Basin region of Western Oklahoma, Southern Kansas, and the Texas panhandle.