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BKV Corporation (BKV)
NYSE:BKV
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BKV Corporation (BKV) AI Stock Analysis

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BKV

BKV Corporation

(NYSE:BKV)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(6.10% Upside)
BKV's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call insights, reflecting strategic growth and operational efficiency. However, financial performance is hindered by cash flow challenges, and valuation concerns arise from a high P/E ratio. The absence of corporate events in the analysis did not affect the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exceeding revenue expectations indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term growth potential.
Strategic Expansion
Increasing stake in Power JV enhances BKV's power generation capacity, aligning with strategic goals to expand in the energy sector.
Carbon Capture Progress
Advancements in carbon capture projects demonstrate BKV's commitment to sustainability, potentially improving regulatory standing and market appeal.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues suggest operational inefficiencies, which could hinder financial performance and investor confidence over time.
Cash Flow Issues
Declining free cash flow indicates potential cash management problems, which could impact BKV's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory hurdles in Louisiana could delay carbon capture projects, affecting BKV's strategic timelines and environmental commitments.

BKV Corporation (BKV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BKV Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBKV Corporation (BKV) is a leading energy company focused on the exploration, production, and development of natural gas and oil resources in the United States. The company operates primarily in the upstream sector of the oil and gas industry, with a significant emphasis on sustainable practices and innovative technologies to enhance resource extraction and minimize environmental impact. BKV's core services include drilling, well completion, and production operations, along with investment in infrastructure to support its energy production capabilities.
How the Company Makes MoneyBKV generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas and oil produced from its exploration and production activities. The company benefits from various key revenue streams, including the direct sale of hydrocarbons to energy markets, long-term contracts with utility companies, and spot market sales. Additionally, BKV engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational efficiency and expand its resource base. The company also focuses on optimizing production costs and leveraging advanced technologies to increase output, thereby contributing positively to its earnings. Market conditions, such as oil and gas prices, play a significant role in influencing BKV's revenue, along with regulatory factors and demand fluctuations in the energy sector.

BKV Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted BKV's strategic moves to expand its Power JV stake and successful integration of Bedrock assets, pointing to strong operational and financial performance. However, it also noted challenges with power pricing and regulatory hurdles in CCUS projects in Louisiana.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Stake in Power JV
BKV announced its acquisition of a majority control position in the Power JV, increasing its ownership to 75%, which is expected to close in Q1 2026. This increases BKV's power generation capacity to over 1.1 gigawatts in the ERCOT market.
Upstream Growth and Efficiency
The upstream business reported a 9% year-over-year volume increase, outperformed on production, cost, and capital efficiency, and maintained a strong performance despite an unchanged capital guidance.
Successful Bedrock Acquisition
BKV successfully closed its Bedrock acquisition, expanding its operational footprint in the Fort Worth Basin and integrating assets seamlessly.
Strong Financial Performance
BKV delivered a net income of $76.9 million for the third quarter and a 50% increase in adjusted EBITDAX from Q3 2024, driven by higher production volumes and improved pricing.
Carbon Capture Progress
Significant progress in the carbon capture business with two more projects to become operational by the first half of 2026. The company aims for an injection rate of 1 million tons per annum by year-end 2027.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Power Pricing
Power JV adjusted EBITDA was below guidance due to lower-than-expected prices, with market weakness attributed to milder weather and a 15% lower cooling degree days than the 5-year average.
Regulatory Challenges in Louisiana
A temporary moratorium in Louisiana on CCUS project permits brings uncertainty, although BKV's existing applications are advancing towards approval.
Bond Issuance and Increased Debt
BKV issued $500 million in senior notes to fund the Bedrock acquisition and pay off the RBL balance, reflecting an increase in leverage.
Company Guidance
During BKV's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for future operations. BKV announced an agreement to acquire 50% of Banpu Power’s interest in their Power JV, expected to close in Q1 2026, which will increase BKV's ownership to 75% and give them over 1.1 gigawatts of power generation capacity in the ERCOT market. For the fourth quarter, they anticipate their power JV adjusted EBITDA to range from $10 million to $30 million, reflecting seasonal patterns. In their upstream business, BKV's production guidance for Q4 is set at an average of 910 million cubic feet equivalent per day, including base business production slightly above previous guidance. The company also maintains its full-year corporate capital guidance at $290 million to $350 million. Additionally, BKV aims to reach a carbon capture injection rate of 1 million tons per annum by year-end 2027, with meaningful progress underway on various projects. These strategic moves and operational targets position BKV to leverage macro energy tailwinds and optimize long-term growth.

BKV Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BKV Corporation shows signs of recovery with improving revenue and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, but cash flow issues persist, particularly with negative free cash flow. Continued focus on operational efficiency and cash management is essential for sustained growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
BKV Corporation has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 11.44% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin is strong at 44.52%, though it has decreased from previous years. Net profit margin has improved to 6.18% in the TTM, reflecting better profitability. However, historical volatility in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggests operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.27 in the TTM, indicating a stable leverage position. Return on equity is modest at 2.82%, showing room for improvement. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, past fluctuations in debt levels highlight potential risks.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
BKV's free cash flow has significantly declined, with a negative growth rate of -415.30% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, indicating decent cash generation relative to earnings. However, negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue807.30M604.53M739.28M1.66B889.53M122.53M
Gross Profit532.33M387.00M515.91M1.54B797.25M35.19M
EBITDA259.41M82.18M446.59M640.00M-74.02M87.54M
Net Income44.76M-142.87M116.92M410.14M-138.21M-43.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.89B2.23B2.68B2.70B1.62B1.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments83.11M14.87M25.41M153.13M134.67M17.45M
Total Debt486.56M165.00M541.66M617.04M181.41M35.14M
Total Liabilities1.09B671.51M1.21B1.51B865.89M357.35M
Stockholders Equity1.79B1.56B1.42B1.13B705.10M942.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-55.03M17.62M-69.53M101.10M289.42M-521.71M
Operating Cash Flow217.08M118.54M123.08M349.19M358.13M-7.41M
Investing Cash Flow-479.61M36.07M-177.85M-865.57M-161.86M-513.99M
Financing Cash Flow314.32M-304.81M66.71M534.83M-79.05M442.72M

BKV Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.39
Price Trends
50DMA
23.53
Positive
100DMA
22.55
Positive
200DMA
21.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.89
Positive
RSI
58.98
Neutral
STOCH
32.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.71, above the 50-day MA of 23.53, and above the 200-day MA of 21.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BKV.

BKV Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.96B12.136.68%16.67%9.33%
71
Outperform
$2.36B0.64%5.19%32.31%-122.30%
66
Neutral
$1.65B4.73%13.15%-2.71%-113.80%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$2.37B50.972.62%31.67%
63
Neutral
$1.93B-13.71%-0.02%-473.61%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BKV
BKV Corporation
26.39
4.78
22.12%
KRP
Kimbell Royalty Partners
12.17
-2.63
-17.77%
NEXT
NextDecade
6.00
-0.98
-14.04%
TALO
Talos Energy
11.33
0.16
1.43%
CRGY
Crescent Energy Company Class A
9.25
-5.03
-35.22%
MNR
Mach Natural Resources LP
11.64
-1.76
-13.13%

BKV Corporation Corporate Events

BKV Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 11, 2025

BKV Corporation, a Denver-based energy company, is a prominent player in the natural gas sector, focusing on production, gathering, processing, transportation, power generation, and carbon capture. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, BKV Corporation announced a net income of $76.9 million, or $0.90 per diluted share, and highlighted strategic acquisitions and expansions in its power and carbon capture sectors. Key financial metrics included a net cash flow from operations of $74.5 million and a negative adjusted free cash flow of $10.6 million. The company also reported a successful $500 million Senior Notes offering and the acquisition of Bedrock Energy Partners’ Barnett Shale assets. Looking forward, BKV Corporation aims to enhance its power generation capacity and carbon capture initiatives, positioning itself to capitalize on growing energy demands and environmental trends.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
BKV Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, BKV Corporation reported its financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a net income of $76.9 million and significant strategic moves, including the acquisition of Bedrock Energy Partners’ Barnett Shale assets and an increased stake in the Power JV. These developments are expected to enhance BKV’s control over its growth platform and support its long-term strategy in the energy market. The company also provided guidance for the fourth quarter, anticipating a production increase and maintaining its capital expenditure plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
BKV Corporation Acquires Majority Stake in Joint Venture
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 27, 2025, BKV Corporation entered into a Fourth Amendment to its Credit Agreement with Citibank, updating financial covenants to accommodate its recent Bedrock Acquisition. This amendment reflects BKV’s strategic financial adjustments to support its growth initiatives. On October 29, 2025, BKV announced a Membership Interest Purchase Agreement with Banpu Power US Corporation to acquire a majority stake in the BKV-BPP Power Joint Venture, increasing its ownership to 75%. This acquisition is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026 and will allow BKV to consolidate the joint venture’s financial results, enhancing its strategic control and growth potential in the power sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
BKV Corporation Completes Major Barnett Shale Acquisition
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 29, 2025, BKV Corporation completed the acquisition of Bedrock Energy Partners’ Barnett Shale assets for approximately $370 million. This strategic acquisition adds 97,000 net acres and 108 million cubic feet equivalent per day of production to BKV’s portfolio, reinforcing its position as the largest natural gas producer in the Barnett Shale. The transaction is expected to enhance BKV’s operational footprint and production capacity, offering substantial future development opportunities with new drill and low-cost refrac locations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Hold with a $22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
BKV Corporation Amends Credit Agreement for Acquisition
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, BKV Corporation announced significant amendments to its credit agreement with Citibank, allowing for the Bedrock Acquisition and future acquisitions, increasing borrowing capacity, and adding Bedrock Production, LLC as a guarantor. Concurrently, BKV launched a private offering of senior notes to fund the Bedrock Acquisition and repay existing debts, enhancing its financial flexibility and operational capacity. These strategic moves are expected to bolster BKV’s market position and operational efficiency, with potential implications for stakeholders in terms of increased production capacity and financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Hold with a $22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
BKV Corporation Releases Investor Presentation
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 12, 2025, BKV Corporation released an investor presentation on its website, accessible under the ‘Investors’ section. This presentation is part of a Current Report on Form 8-K but is not considered filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or incorporated by reference in any filings unless specifically stated.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

BKV Corporation’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth
Sep 1, 2025

BKV Corporation’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust operational performance and strategic growth, despite some market challenges. The company’s strong results were underscored by successful acquisitions and advancements in its carbon capture and power businesses, though it also acknowledged hurdles such as widening differentials and a slow start in the power market.

BKV Corporation’s Q2 2025 Earnings and Strategic Moves
Aug 13, 2025

BKV Corporation is a Denver-based energy company specializing in natural gas production, power generation, and carbon capture and sequestration, with a significant presence in the Barnett Shale. In its second quarter of 2025, BKV Corporation reported a net income of $104.6 million, or $1.23 per diluted share, alongside a strategic acquisition in the Barnett Shale and a carbon sequestered gas deal with Gunvor. Key financial highlights include an adjusted net income of $32.8 million, adjusted EBITDAX of $88.2 million, and net cash provided by operating activities of $76.2 million. The company also announced a $370 million acquisition of Bedrock Energy Partners’ Barnett Shale assets, expected to enhance its production and reserves significantly. Looking ahead, BKV Corporation remains optimistic about its strategic growth initiatives, including the Bedrock acquisition and its carbon capture ventures, positioning itself to capitalize on the growing demand for natural gas and carbon-neutral energy solutions.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
BKV Corporation Acquires Bedrock Energy’s Barnett Shale Assets
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 7, 2025, BKV Corporation announced a definitive agreement to acquire Bedrock Energy Partners’ assets in the Barnett Shale for approximately $370 million. This acquisition, expected to close by early fourth quarter 2025, is set to enhance BKV’s production base and reserves, aligning with its strategic position in the Fort Worth Basin. Additionally, BKV signed a deal with Gunvor for Carbon Sequestered Gas, leveraging its CCUS business to offer a premium market product. These moves are anticipated to strengthen BKV’s market positioning and financial performance, with the Bedrock acquisition expected to be accretive to cash flow per share by 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025