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BKV Corporation (BKV)
:BKV
US Market

BKV Corporation (BKV) AI Stock Analysis

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BKV

BKV Corporation

(NYSE:BKV)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(7.61% Upside)
BKV's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with strong strategic initiatives. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and technical indicators are offset by valuation concerns and cash flow challenges. The company's strategic expansions and operational improvements are promising, but financial metrics need enhancement for a higher score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Strategic Expansion
Increasing stake in Power JV enhances BKV's power generation capacity, positioning it for growth in the energy sector.
Carbon Capture Progress
Advancements in carbon capture projects align with sustainability goals, potentially reducing environmental impact and regulatory risks.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow issues can impact liquidity and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory hurdles in CCUS projects could delay strategic initiatives and affect long-term operational plans.
Increased Debt Levels
Rising debt levels increase financial leverage, potentially straining cash flow and limiting future financial flexibility.

BKV Corporation (BKV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BKV Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBKV Corporation engages in the acquisition, operation, and development of natural gas and NGL properties. It is also involved in the gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Denver, Colorado with additional offices in Tunkhannock, Pennsylvania and Fort Worth, Texas. BKV Corporation, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Banpu North America Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyBKV Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas and natural gas liquids. The company operates a diversified portfolio of assets that includes both upstream operations, where it extracts gas from the ground, and midstream services, which involve the transportation and processing of these resources. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of extracted natural gas to utilities and industrial customers, as well as long-term contracts with energy companies. BKV may also benefit from partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, contributing to overall earnings.

BKV Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted BKV's strategic moves to expand its Power JV stake and successful integration of Bedrock assets, pointing to strong operational and financial performance. However, it also noted challenges with power pricing and regulatory hurdles in CCUS projects in Louisiana.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Stake in Power JV
BKV announced its acquisition of a majority control position in the Power JV, increasing its ownership to 75%, which is expected to close in Q1 2026. This increases BKV's power generation capacity to over 1.1 gigawatts in the ERCOT market.
Upstream Growth and Efficiency
The upstream business reported a 9% year-over-year volume increase, outperformed on production, cost, and capital efficiency, and maintained a strong performance despite an unchanged capital guidance.
Successful Bedrock Acquisition
BKV successfully closed its Bedrock acquisition, expanding its operational footprint in the Fort Worth Basin and integrating assets seamlessly.
Strong Financial Performance
BKV delivered a net income of $76.9 million for the third quarter and a 50% increase in adjusted EBITDAX from Q3 2024, driven by higher production volumes and improved pricing.
Carbon Capture Progress
Significant progress in the carbon capture business with two more projects to become operational by the first half of 2026. The company aims for an injection rate of 1 million tons per annum by year-end 2027.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Power Pricing
Power JV adjusted EBITDA was below guidance due to lower-than-expected prices, with market weakness attributed to milder weather and a 15% lower cooling degree days than the 5-year average.
Regulatory Challenges in Louisiana
A temporary moratorium in Louisiana on CCUS project permits brings uncertainty, although BKV's existing applications are advancing towards approval.
Bond Issuance and Increased Debt
BKV issued $500 million in senior notes to fund the Bedrock acquisition and pay off the RBL balance, reflecting an increase in leverage.
Company Guidance
During BKV's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for future operations. BKV announced an agreement to acquire 50% of Banpu Power’s interest in their Power JV, expected to close in Q1 2026, which will increase BKV's ownership to 75% and give them over 1.1 gigawatts of power generation capacity in the ERCOT market. For the fourth quarter, they anticipate their power JV adjusted EBITDA to range from $10 million to $30 million, reflecting seasonal patterns. In their upstream business, BKV's production guidance for Q4 is set at an average of 910 million cubic feet equivalent per day, including base business production slightly above previous guidance. The company also maintains its full-year corporate capital guidance at $290 million to $350 million. Additionally, BKV aims to reach a carbon capture injection rate of 1 million tons per annum by year-end 2027, with meaningful progress underway on various projects. These strategic moves and operational targets position BKV to leverage macro energy tailwinds and optimize long-term growth.

BKV Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BKV Corporation shows signs of recovery with improving revenue and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, but cash flow issues persist, particularly with negative free cash flow. Continued focus on operational efficiency and cash management is essential for sustained growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
BKV Corporation has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 11.44% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin is strong at 44.52%, though it has decreased from previous years. Net profit margin has improved to 6.18% in the TTM, reflecting better profitability. However, historical volatility in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggests operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.27 in the TTM, indicating a stable leverage position. Return on equity is modest at 2.82%, showing room for improvement. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, past fluctuations in debt levels highlight potential risks.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
BKV's free cash flow has significantly declined, with a negative growth rate of -415.30% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, indicating decent cash generation relative to earnings. However, negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue807.30M604.53M739.28M1.66B889.53M122.53M
Gross Profit532.33M387.00M515.91M1.54B797.25M35.19M
EBITDA259.41M82.18M446.59M640.00M-74.02M87.54M
Net Income44.76M-142.87M116.92M410.14M-138.21M-43.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.89B2.23B2.68B2.70B1.62B1.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments83.11M14.87M25.41M153.13M134.67M17.45M
Total Debt486.56M165.00M541.66M617.04M181.41M35.14M
Total Liabilities1.09B671.51M1.21B1.51B865.89M357.35M
Stockholders Equity1.79B1.56B1.42B1.13B705.10M942.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-55.03M17.62M-69.53M101.10M289.42M-521.71M
Operating Cash Flow217.08M118.54M123.08M349.19M358.13M-7.41M
Investing Cash Flow-479.61M36.07M-177.85M-865.57M-161.86M-513.99M
Financing Cash Flow314.32M-304.81M66.71M534.83M-79.05M442.72M

BKV Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price26.02
Price Trends
50DMA
24.89
Positive
100DMA
23.50
Positive
200DMA
22.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Positive
RSI
46.14
Neutral
STOCH
9.95
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 26.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.26, above the 50-day MA of 24.89, and above the 200-day MA of 22.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.95 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BKV.

BKV Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.88B11.616.68%17.41%9.33%
66
Neutral
$2.64B-54.760.64%5.96%32.31%-122.30%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$1.39B-63.574.73%14.08%-2.71%-113.80%
63
Neutral
$1.86B-5.43-13.71%-0.02%-473.61%
62
Neutral
$2.51B50.252.62%31.67%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BKV
BKV Corporation
26.73
5.04
23.24%
KRP
Kimbell Royalty Partners
11.36
-2.72
-19.32%
NEXT
NextDecade
5.48
-1.47
-21.15%
TALO
Talos Energy
10.93
1.83
20.11%
CRGY
Crescent Energy Company Class A
8.05
-5.13
-38.92%
MNR
Mach Natural Resources LP
11.14
-2.51
-18.39%

BKV Corporation Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
BKV Corporation Authorizes $100 Million Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, BKV Corporation announced that its board had authorized a two-year share repurchase program of up to $100 million of its outstanding common stock, with purchases to be executed through a variety of methods including open market and privately negotiated transactions. The program, which may be funded with available cash or borrowings under BKV’s reserve-based lending facility, is discretionary in both timing and size, can be suspended or discontinued at any time, and underscores management’s confidence in the company’s closed-loop energy strategy and commitment to shareholder value, signalling a potentially more shareholder-friendly capital allocation stance for investors while leaving flexibility to respond to market and liquidity conditions.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
BKV Corporation Completes Public Offering of Shares
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, BKV Corporation announced the closing of its public offering of 6,900,000 shares of common stock at $26.00 per share, raising approximately $170.3 million. The proceeds will be used for the acquisition of a controlling interest in BKV-BPP Power, LLC, although the offering and acquisition are not contingent on each other. This move is expected to enhance BKV’s strategic positioning in the energy sector.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
BKV Corporation’s Recent Underwriting Agreement for Stock Sale
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

On December 1, 2025, BKV Corporation entered into an Underwriting Agreement with Citigroup Global Markets Inc., Barclays Capital Inc., and Mizuho Securities USA LLC for the sale of 6,000,000 shares of common stock at $26.00 per share. The underwriters exercised an option to purchase an additional 900,000 shares, resulting in total proceeds of approximately $170.3 million. The proceeds are intended for the acquisition of a controlling interest in BKV-BPP Power, LLC and related expenses, or for general corporate purposes if the acquisition does not occur.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
BKV Corporation Launches Public Offering for Strategic Growth
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

On December 1, 2025, BKV Corporation announced the launch of an underwritten public offering of 6,000,000 shares of its common stock, priced at $26.00 per share. The offering includes a 30-day option for underwriters to purchase an additional 900,000 shares. The proceeds are intended for the acquisition of a controlling interest in BKV-BPP Power, LLC, and related expenses, with the completion of the offering not contingent on the joint venture transaction. This move is expected to support BKV’s strategic growth and enhance its market positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BKV Corporation Shifts Communication Strategy for Investors
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, BKV Corporation released unaudited consolidating financial information for its wholly-owned subsidiary, BKV Upstream Midstream, LLC. The company announced that it will utilize its website for future updates, potentially impacting how investors access financial data and signaling a shift in its communication strategy.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
BKV Corporation Completes Acquisition of Bedrock Production
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On September 29, 2025, BKV Corporation completed the acquisition of Bedrock Production, LLC, a company owning oil and natural gas properties in the Barnett Shale. The acquisition, valued at $397.7 million, was funded through a combination of cash, stock issuance, and financing transactions, including the issuance of senior unsecured notes and borrowings under an existing lending agreement. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance BKV’s reserves and midstream opportunities, positioning the company for future growth in the energy sector.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BKV Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, BKV Corporation reported its financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a net income of $76.9 million and significant strategic moves, including the acquisition of Bedrock Energy Partners’ Barnett Shale assets and an increased stake in the Power JV. These developments are expected to enhance BKV’s control over its growth platform and support its long-term strategy in the energy market. The company also provided guidance for the fourth quarter, anticipating a production increase and maintaining its capital expenditure plans.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
BKV Corporation Acquires Majority Stake in Joint Venture
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 27, 2025, BKV Corporation entered into a Fourth Amendment to its Credit Agreement with Citibank, updating financial covenants to accommodate its recent Bedrock Acquisition. This amendment reflects BKV’s strategic financial adjustments to support its growth initiatives. On October 29, 2025, BKV announced a Membership Interest Purchase Agreement with Banpu Power US Corporation to acquire a majority stake in the BKV-BPP Power Joint Venture, increasing its ownership to 75%. This acquisition is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026 and will allow BKV to consolidate the joint venture’s financial results, enhancing its strategic control and growth potential in the power sector.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
BKV Corporation Completes Major Barnett Shale Acquisition
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 29, 2025, BKV Corporation completed the acquisition of Bedrock Energy Partners’ Barnett Shale assets for approximately $370 million. This strategic acquisition adds 97,000 net acres and 108 million cubic feet equivalent per day of production to BKV’s portfolio, reinforcing its position as the largest natural gas producer in the Barnett Shale. The transaction is expected to enhance BKV’s operational footprint and production capacity, offering substantial future development opportunities with new drill and low-cost refrac locations.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
BKV Corporation Amends Credit Agreement for Acquisition
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, BKV Corporation announced significant amendments to its credit agreement with Citibank, allowing for the Bedrock Acquisition and future acquisitions, increasing borrowing capacity, and adding Bedrock Production, LLC as a guarantor. Concurrently, BKV launched a private offering of senior notes to fund the Bedrock Acquisition and repay existing debts, enhancing its financial flexibility and operational capacity. These strategic moves are expected to bolster BKV’s market position and operational efficiency, with potential implications for stakeholders in terms of increased production capacity and financial stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025