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BKV Corporation (BKV)
NYSE:BKV
US Market

BKV Corporation (BKV) AI Stock Analysis

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BKV

BKV Corporation

(NYSE:BKV)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(11.85% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—solid margins and a stable balance sheet are offset by weak profitability and negative/declining free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with strong trend and positive MACD, but momentum is near overbought. Valuation is a meaningful drag due to the high P/E and no dividend yield provided, while the earnings call and recent strategic actions modestly support the outlook despite power-pricing and regulatory risks.
Positive Factors
High gross margins & revenue growth
Sustained revenue growth alongside a 66.8% gross margin indicates durable upstream cost efficiency and pricing capacity. High gross margins provide a structural buffer to absorb commodity swings and support reinvestment into drilling, midstream integration, and long-term margin stability.
Conservative leverage / solid equity base
A low debt-to-equity ratio and a strong equity base give BKV financial flexibility to fund capital projects and acquisitions without overleveraging. This conservatism supports resilience to commodity cycles and underpins capacity to execute growth initiatives and manage regulatory or project delays.
Majority control of ERCOT power JV
Securing majority ownership and consolidation of >1.1 GW in ERCOT strengthens BKV’s integrated strategy, expands recurring power JV EBITDA, and improves operational control. This structural shift enhances capture of Texas power demand from data centers and creates a durable platform for merchant and contracted power revenue.
Negative Factors
Negative and declining free cash flow
Persistently negative and deteriorating free cash flow constrains organic funding for capex, CCUS projects, and debt service. Over time this forces reliance on capital markets or asset sales, raising execution risk for strategic projects and weakening long-term financial flexibility.
Weak profitability / negative EBIT margin
Low net margins and a negative EBIT margin point to structural operating or SG&A pressures beyond production costs. This reduces returns on invested capital, limits internal capital for growth, and means earnings are more sensitive to commodity and price fluctuations over the medium term.
Recent equity issuance and debt-funded deals
Raising material external capital via equity and large senior notes dilutes shareholders and increases fixed obligations. Structural reliance on market financing to fund acquisitions elevates refinancing and interest-rate risk, and may constrain future distributions or require tighter capital allocation discipline.

BKV Corporation (BKV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BKV Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBKV Corporation engages in the acquisition, operation, and development of natural gas and NGL properties. It is also involved in the gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Denver, Colorado with additional offices in Tunkhannock, Pennsylvania and Fort Worth, Texas. BKV Corporation, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Banpu North America Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyBKV Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas and natural gas liquids. The company operates a diversified portfolio of assets that includes both upstream operations, where it extracts gas from the ground, and midstream services, which involve the transportation and processing of these resources. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of extracted natural gas to utilities and industrial customers, as well as long-term contracts with energy companies. BKV may also benefit from partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, contributing to overall earnings.

BKV Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted BKV's strategic moves to expand its Power JV stake and successful integration of Bedrock assets, pointing to strong operational and financial performance. However, it also noted challenges with power pricing and regulatory hurdles in CCUS projects in Louisiana.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Stake in Power JV
BKV announced its acquisition of a majority control position in the Power JV, increasing its ownership to 75%, which is expected to close in Q1 2026. This increases BKV's power generation capacity to over 1.1 gigawatts in the ERCOT market.
Upstream Growth and Efficiency
The upstream business reported a 9% year-over-year volume increase, outperformed on production, cost, and capital efficiency, and maintained a strong performance despite an unchanged capital guidance.
Successful Bedrock Acquisition
BKV successfully closed its Bedrock acquisition, expanding its operational footprint in the Fort Worth Basin and integrating assets seamlessly.
Strong Financial Performance
BKV delivered a net income of $76.9 million for the third quarter and a 50% increase in adjusted EBITDAX from Q3 2024, driven by higher production volumes and improved pricing.
Carbon Capture Progress
Significant progress in the carbon capture business with two more projects to become operational by the first half of 2026. The company aims for an injection rate of 1 million tons per annum by year-end 2027.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Power Pricing
Power JV adjusted EBITDA was below guidance due to lower-than-expected prices, with market weakness attributed to milder weather and a 15% lower cooling degree days than the 5-year average.
Regulatory Challenges in Louisiana
A temporary moratorium in Louisiana on CCUS project permits brings uncertainty, although BKV's existing applications are advancing towards approval.
Bond Issuance and Increased Debt
BKV issued $500 million in senior notes to fund the Bedrock acquisition and pay off the RBL balance, reflecting an increase in leverage.
Company Guidance
During BKV's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for future operations. BKV announced an agreement to acquire 50% of Banpu Power’s interest in their Power JV, expected to close in Q1 2026, which will increase BKV's ownership to 75% and give them over 1.1 gigawatts of power generation capacity in the ERCOT market. For the fourth quarter, they anticipate their power JV adjusted EBITDA to range from $10 million to $30 million, reflecting seasonal patterns. In their upstream business, BKV's production guidance for Q4 is set at an average of 910 million cubic feet equivalent per day, including base business production slightly above previous guidance. The company also maintains its full-year corporate capital guidance at $290 million to $350 million. Additionally, BKV aims to reach a carbon capture injection rate of 1 million tons per annum by year-end 2027, with meaningful progress underway on various projects. These strategic moves and operational targets position BKV to leverage macro energy tailwinds and optimize long-term growth.

BKV Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are mixed: revenue growth is positive (8.78% TTM) and gross margin is strong (66.75%), and leverage appears conservative (debt-to-equity 0.27, equity ratio 62.01%). However, profitability is still weak (net margin 5.58% with negative EBIT margin) and cash generation is a key risk given negative and sharply declining free cash flow despite a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio (0.92).
Income Statement
65
Positive
BKV Corporation shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has achieved a positive revenue growth rate of 8.78% in the TTM period, indicating a recovery from previous declines. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low at 5.58%, and the EBIT margin is negative, reflecting operational challenges. The gross profit margin is strong at 66.75%, suggesting efficient cost management. Overall, while there are signs of improvement, profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of BKV Corporation is relatively stable. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.27, indicating a conservative leverage position. The return on equity is modest at 2.87%, reflecting limited profitability. The equity ratio stands at 62.01%, suggesting a solid equity base. Overall, the balance sheet shows financial stability with low leverage, but profitability could be enhanced.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
BKV Corporation's cash flow statement reveals challenges, particularly in free cash flow, which has significantly declined. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.92, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow and its substantial decline pose a risk to liquidity. The company needs to address its cash flow management to ensure sustainable operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue807.30M604.53M739.28M1.66B889.53M122.53M
Gross Profit532.33M387.00M515.91M1.54B797.25M35.19M
EBITDA259.41M82.18M446.59M640.00M-74.02M87.54M
Net Income44.76M-142.87M116.92M410.14M-138.21M-43.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.89B2.23B2.68B2.70B1.62B1.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments83.11M14.87M25.41M153.13M134.67M17.45M
Total Debt486.56M165.00M541.66M617.04M181.41M35.14M
Total Liabilities1.09B671.51M1.21B1.51B865.89M357.35M
Stockholders Equity1.79B1.56B1.42B1.13B705.10M942.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-55.03M17.62M-69.53M101.10M289.42M-521.71M
Operating Cash Flow217.08M118.54M123.08M349.19M358.13M-7.41M
Investing Cash Flow-479.61M36.07M-177.85M-865.57M-161.86M-513.99M
Financing Cash Flow314.32M-304.81M66.71M534.83M-79.05M442.72M

BKV Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.61
Price Trends
50DMA
27.40
Positive
100DMA
25.30
Positive
200DMA
23.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.64
Negative
RSI
59.05
Neutral
STOCH
31.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.54, above the 50-day MA of 27.40, and above the 200-day MA of 23.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BKV.

BKV Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$2.02B12.256.68%17.48%9.33%
66
Neutral
$3.32B-68.710.64%5.78%32.31%-122.30%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$1.68B-76.664.73%13.84%-2.71%-113.80%
62
Neutral
$2.84B56.532.62%31.67%
61
Neutral
$2.09B-6.12-13.71%-0.02%-473.61%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BKV
BKV Corporation
29.27
5.28
22.01%
KRP
Kimbell Royalty Partners
13.70
-0.34
-2.42%
NEXT
NextDecade
5.05
-2.85
-36.08%
TALO
Talos Energy
12.32
3.02
32.47%
CRGY
Crescent Energy Company Class A
10.10
-3.99
-28.32%
MNR
Mach Natural Resources LP
12.00
-1.78
-12.92%

BKV Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
BKV Corporation Gains Majority Stake in Texas Power Venture
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, BKV Corporation closed its acquisition of one-half of Banpu Power US Corporation’s interest in their BKV-BPP Power joint venture, raising BKV’s stake in the entity to 75% from 50% for consideration of approximately $115.1 million in cash and 5,315,390 newly issued BKV shares. The deal, funded with cash on hand and proceeds from a recent equity offering and structured partly via a private placement exempt from SEC registration, gives BKV majority control over the Temple I and II combined-cycle gas plants in ERCOT’s North Zone, allows it to consolidate the joint venture’s financials, and is intended to streamline governance, sharpen focus on BKV’s power operations and better position the company to capture rising power demand in Texas driven by data centers and other energy-intensive growth sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
BKV Corporation Gains Shareholder Approval for Power Venture
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On October 29, 2025, BKV Corporation entered into a Membership Interest Purchase Agreement with Banpu Power US Corporation, a subsidiary of Banpu Power Public Company Limited, to acquire one-half of the limited liability company interests in BKV-BPP Power, LLC, which are currently held by Banpu Power US Corporation. On January 29, 2026, Banpu Power convened an extraordinary general meeting of shareholders at which at least 75% of disinterested shareholders present approved the transaction under applicable Thai law, marking a key regulatory and shareholder milestone that advances BKV’s planned expansion of its stake in the U.S. power venture and clarifies deal certainty for both companies’ stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BKV Corporation Adopts Amended 2024 Equity Incentive Plan
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On December 17, 2025, BKV Corporation’s board of directors approved, subject to stockholder consent, an amended and restated version of its 2024 Equity and Incentive Compensation Plan, and on January 22, 2026, majority owner Banpu North America Corporation, which holds about 66% of BKV’s outstanding common stock, provided written consent to adopt the revised plan. The amended plan increases the pool of common shares available for equity awards by 2.5 million and continues to authorize a broad range of stock- and performance-based incentives for directors, officers and employees, reinforcing BKV’s use of equity compensation while underscoring the control exerted by its majority stockholder; the plan will become effective at least 20 days after the company distributes an SEC-filed information statement to stockholders of record as of January 20, 2026, formalizing approval under Delaware corporate law.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
BKV Corporation Authorizes $100 Million Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, BKV Corporation announced that its board had authorized a two-year share repurchase program of up to $100 million of its outstanding common stock, with purchases to be executed through a variety of methods including open market and privately negotiated transactions. The program, which may be funded with available cash or borrowings under BKV’s reserve-based lending facility, is discretionary in both timing and size, can be suspended or discontinued at any time, and underscores management’s confidence in the company’s closed-loop energy strategy and commitment to shareholder value, signalling a potentially more shareholder-friendly capital allocation stance for investors while leaving flexibility to respond to market and liquidity conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
BKV Corporation Completes Public Offering of Shares
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, BKV Corporation announced the closing of its public offering of 6,900,000 shares of common stock at $26.00 per share, raising approximately $170.3 million. The proceeds will be used for the acquisition of a controlling interest in BKV-BPP Power, LLC, although the offering and acquisition are not contingent on each other. This move is expected to enhance BKV’s strategic positioning in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
BKV Corporation’s Recent Underwriting Agreement for Stock Sale
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

On December 1, 2025, BKV Corporation entered into an Underwriting Agreement with Citigroup Global Markets Inc., Barclays Capital Inc., and Mizuho Securities USA LLC for the sale of 6,000,000 shares of common stock at $26.00 per share. The underwriters exercised an option to purchase an additional 900,000 shares, resulting in total proceeds of approximately $170.3 million. The proceeds are intended for the acquisition of a controlling interest in BKV-BPP Power, LLC and related expenses, or for general corporate purposes if the acquisition does not occur.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
BKV Corporation Launches Public Offering for Strategic Growth
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

On December 1, 2025, BKV Corporation announced the launch of an underwritten public offering of 6,000,000 shares of its common stock, priced at $26.00 per share. The offering includes a 30-day option for underwriters to purchase an additional 900,000 shares. The proceeds are intended for the acquisition of a controlling interest in BKV-BPP Power, LLC, and related expenses, with the completion of the offering not contingent on the joint venture transaction. This move is expected to support BKV’s strategic growth and enhance its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BKV Corporation Shifts Communication Strategy for Investors
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, BKV Corporation released unaudited consolidating financial information for its wholly-owned subsidiary, BKV Upstream Midstream, LLC. The company announced that it will utilize its website for future updates, potentially impacting how investors access financial data and signaling a shift in its communication strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
BKV Corporation Completes Acquisition of Bedrock Production
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On September 29, 2025, BKV Corporation completed the acquisition of Bedrock Production, LLC, a company owning oil and natural gas properties in the Barnett Shale. The acquisition, valued at $397.7 million, was funded through a combination of cash, stock issuance, and financing transactions, including the issuance of senior unsecured notes and borrowings under an existing lending agreement. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance BKV’s reserves and midstream opportunities, positioning the company for future growth in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
BKV Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, BKV Corporation reported its financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a net income of $76.9 million and significant strategic moves, including the acquisition of Bedrock Energy Partners’ Barnett Shale assets and an increased stake in the Power JV. These developments are expected to enhance BKV’s control over its growth platform and support its long-term strategy in the energy market. The company also provided guidance for the fourth quarter, anticipating a production increase and maintaining its capital expenditure plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKV) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BKV Corporation stock, see the BKV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026