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Talos Energy (TALO)
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Talos Energy (TALO) AI Stock Analysis

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TALO

Talos Energy

(NYSE:TALO)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▼(-2.91% Downside)
Talos Energy's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators. However, challenges in financial performance and valuation due to negative profitability metrics weigh on the score. The company's ability to generate cash and manage costs effectively are positive factors, but improvements in revenue growth and profitability are needed.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Strong cash generation allows Talos Energy to reinvest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Cost Reduction and Efficiency
Effective cost management improves profitability and competitiveness, positioning Talos Energy favorably against peers in the oil and gas sector.
Advantaged Cost Structure
A lower cost structure enhances Talos Energy's ability to maintain high margins, providing resilience against market fluctuations and supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Revenue decline reflects challenges in market demand or pricing, potentially impacting future growth and profitability if not addressed.
Negative Profit Margin
A negative profit margin indicates profitability challenges, which could hinder Talos Energy's ability to sustain operations and invest in growth.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
Declining free cash flow growth limits Talos Energy's capacity to fund new projects or return capital to shareholders, affecting long-term financial health.

Talos Energy (TALO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Talos Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTalos Energy Inc., an independent exploration and production company, focuses on the exploration and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States Gulf of Mexico and offshore Mexico. As of December 31, 2021, the company had proved reserves of 161.59 million barrels of oil equivalent, consisting of 107,764 thousand barrels of crude oil, 236,353 million cubic feet of natural gas, and 14,435 thousand barrels of crude oil. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyTalos Energy generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's revenue model is based on the extraction of hydrocarbons from its operated and non-operated properties, where it sells the produced oil and gas to various buyers, including refiners and marketers. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. Additionally, Talos may engage in joint ventures and partnerships, sharing resources and costs with other energy companies, which can further enhance profitability. Market dynamics, such as global oil prices and demand for natural gas, significantly impact the company’s earnings, as fluctuating commodity prices directly affect revenue levels.

Talos Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call detailed strong operational and financial performance, with notable achievements in production, free cash flow generation, and cost efficiency. Despite some challenges, such as a noncash impairment and market volatility, the positive aspects significantly outweighed the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Performance
Production exceeded guidance with over 95,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with approximately 70% comprised of oil. The absence of storm activity and high facility uptime contributed to this success.
Significant Free Cash Flow Generation
Generated $103 million in free cash flow during the quarter, surpassing consensus estimates, and $400 million year-to-date. This enabled the repurchase of approximately 5 million shares for $48 million.
Cost Reduction and Efficiency
Operating expenses lowered by almost 10% from $17 per barrel in 2024 to $15.27 per barrel in Q3 2025, with over 60 initiatives implemented to reduce costs and enhance efficiency.
Successful Exploration Discovery
Promising exploration discovery at Daenerys, with the well drilled ahead of schedule and under budget. An appraisal well is planned for Q2 2026.
Advantaged Cost Structure
Talos' operating costs are 40% lower than the peer group, leading to top decile EBITDA margins in the E&P sector for the year.
Innovative Surety Bond Agreement
Proactively developed a solution with surety providers to avoid collateral calls, ensuring stability in a tightening surety market.
Negative Updates
Noncash Impairment
Recorded a noncash impairment of $60 million related to the full cost ceiling test under SEC guidelines.
Volatile Commodity Price Environment
Ongoing challenges due to commodity price volatility, though mitigated by a focus on low breakeven projects.
Company Guidance
During the Talos Energy Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics and achievements. Talos reported production of over 95,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, surpassing the high end of their guidance range, with approximately 70% being oil. They generated $103 million in free cash flow during the quarter, exceeding consensus estimates, and returned $48 million to shareholders through share repurchases. Year-to-date, Talos has achieved approximately $400 million in free cash flow. The company also noted a reduction in operating expenses, bringing the cost down to $15.27 per barrel, nearly a 10% decrease from 2024. Looking ahead, Talos anticipates a 3% increase in full-year oil and oil equivalent production compared to previous guidance and expects the fourth-quarter production mix to average 72% oil. Additionally, they have successfully lowered their full-year operating expense and capital guidance by 2%. The company maintains a leverage ratio of 0.7x and holds $333 million in cash, with approximately $1 billion in total liquidity at the end of the quarter.

Talos Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Talos Energy faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with a negative net profit margin and declining revenue. However, the company maintains a stable balance sheet with manageable debt levels and strong cash generation, despite a decline in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Talos Energy's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a decline in revenue by 3.07% and a negative net profit margin of -8.91%, reflecting challenges in profitability. The gross profit margin has decreased to 14.29% from 19.39% in the previous year, indicating pressure on cost management. However, the EBITDA margin remains strong at 60.54%, suggesting operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects a need for improvement in revenue growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Talos Energy shows a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.49, indicating a manageable level of leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -6.36%, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 41.76%, suggesting a stable capital structure. While the company maintains a reasonable debt level, the negative ROE indicates a need for improved profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Talos Energy's cash flow statement presents a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.68, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -26.09%, reflecting a decline in cash available for reinvestment. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.22, suggesting that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its net income. Overall, while cash generation is strong, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.87B1.97B1.46B1.65B1.24B575.94M
Gross Profit276.24M382.59M402.28M925.77M561.58M-36.03M
EBITDA968.50M1.26B1.05B966.11M402.67M83.48M
Net Income-356.22M-76.39M187.33M381.92M-182.95M-465.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.70B6.19B4.82B3.06B2.77B2.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments332.69M108.17M33.64M44.15M69.85M34.23M
Total Debt1.36B1.24B1.20B602.14M980.77M1.01B
Total Liabilities3.32B3.43B2.66B1.89B2.01B1.91B
Stockholders Equity2.38B2.76B2.16B1.17B760.65M926.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow929.67M962.59M506.70M386.57M118.06M-61.02M
Operating Cash Flow1.08B962.59M519.07M709.74M411.39M301.92M
Investing Cash Flow-556.94M-1.32B-512.63M-311.98M-293.75M-678.90M
Financing Cash Flow-268.98M436.12M85.41M-423.47M-82.02M324.19M

Talos Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.33
Price Trends
50DMA
9.93
Positive
100DMA
9.40
Positive
200DMA
8.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Negative
RSI
67.44
Neutral
STOCH
90.40
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TALO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.44, above the 50-day MA of 9.93, and above the 200-day MA of 8.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TALO.

Talos Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.96B12.136.68%16.67%9.33%
66
Neutral
$1.65B4.73%13.15%-2.71%-113.80%
66
Neutral
$817.57M18.182.83%3.05%-22.39%-71.57%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$2.37B50.972.62%31.67%
63
Neutral
$1.93B-13.71%-0.02%-473.61%
47
Neutral
$511.81M-31.42%-22.11%-248.33%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TALO
Talos Energy
11.33
0.08
0.71%
KOS
Kosmos Energy
1.07
-2.87
-72.84%
KRP
Kimbell Royalty Partners
12.17
-2.61
-17.66%
HPK
HighPeak Energy
6.51
-8.33
-56.13%
MNR
Mach Natural Resources LP
11.64
-1.93
-14.22%
BKV
BKV Corporation
26.39
4.43
20.17%

Talos Energy Corporate Events

Talos Energy Shines in Q3 Earnings Call
Nov 8, 2025

Talos Energy’s recent earnings call conveyed a strong sense of optimism, driven by robust operational and financial performance. The company highlighted significant achievements in production, free cash flow generation, and cost efficiency. While acknowledging challenges such as a noncash impairment and market volatility, the overall sentiment was overwhelmingly positive, with the benefits far outweighing the negatives.

Talos Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Talos Energy Inc. is an independent energy company focused on exploration and production in the Gulf of Mexico and offshore Mexico, known for its technical expertise and innovative approach in the oil and gas industry.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Talos Energy Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Talos Energy announced its operational and financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a production rate of 95.2 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day and a net cash flow of $114.2 million. The company reported a net loss of $95.9 million, influenced by a $60.2 million non-cash impairment charge, but generated an adjusted free cash flow of $103.4 million, enabling significant share repurchases. Talos also announced a successful exploration discovery at the Daenerys prospect, with plans for further appraisal in 2026, and exceeded its Optimal Performance Plan target by realizing over $40 million in cash flow enhancements.

The most recent analyst rating on (TALO) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talos Energy stock, see the TALO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Talos Energy Announces Key Executive Appointments
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

Talos Energy announced key executive appointments to support its corporate strategy and enhance its offshore leadership. Zachary B. Dailey was appointed as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective August 18, 2025, bringing over 17 years of oil and gas experience. William R. Langin will join as Executive Vice President – Exploration and Development on September 29, 2025, with over 20 years of experience in the industry. Megan Dick was promoted to Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer, effective August 1, 2025. These appointments are expected to strengthen Talos Energy’s strategic leadership and contribute to its long-term success.

The most recent analyst rating on (TALO) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talos Energy stock, see the TALO Stock Forecast page.

Talos Energy Shines in Q2 Earnings Call
Aug 13, 2025

Talos Energy’s recent earnings call highlighted a strong financial and operational performance in the second quarter, despite facing some challenges. The company demonstrated significant progress on strategic initiatives and showcased a strengthened balance sheet. While a noncash impairment and a temporary operational setback at the Sunspear well posed challenges, Talos Energy’s achievements and strategic focus provide a positive outlook for the future.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025