tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Kosmos Energy Ltd (KOS)
:KOS
Advertisement

Kosmos Energy (KOS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,349 Followers

Top Page

KOS

Kosmos Energy

(NYSE:KOS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-1.96% Downside)
Kosmos Energy's overall score is driven by financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability, which weigh heavily on the stock's outlook. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation concerns persist due to a negative P/E ratio. However, recent operational achievements and cost reductions provide some positive outlook, as highlighted in the earnings call.
Positive Factors
Operational Milestone
Achieving the COD for Gimi FLNG marks a significant operational milestone, enhancing Kosmos's production capacity and long-term revenue potential.
Cost Management
Significant CapEx reduction demonstrates effective cost management, improving financial resilience and allowing for reinvestment in growth initiatives.
Financial Strategy
Securing a term loan to address debt maturities enhances liquidity and financial flexibility, supporting long-term strategic goals.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue reflects challenges in maintaining market share and operational efficiency, potentially impacting long-term growth and profitability.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, limiting flexibility and potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth or weather downturns.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow indicates difficulties in generating surplus cash, which could hinder the company's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives.

Kosmos Energy (KOS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kosmos Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKosmos Energy Ltd., a deep-water independent oil and gas exploration and production company, focuses along the Atlantic Margins. The company's primary assets include production offshore Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, and the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, as well as a gas development offshore Mauritania and Senegal. It also maintains a proven basin exploration program. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyKosmos Energy generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company earns money by operating oil and gas fields, selling the extracted hydrocarbons to refiners and distributors at market rates. Key revenue streams include production from its operated fields, as well as royalties and production-sharing agreements with host governments in the countries where it operates. Additionally, Kosmos engages in joint ventures and partnerships with other energy companies, which can provide shared resources and reduce operational costs, further enhancing profitability. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuating commodity prices, operational efficiency, and successful exploration results that lead to new production opportunities.

Kosmos Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Kosmos Energy demonstrated significant progress in key operational areas, including achieving a major milestone with the Gimi FLNG and reducing CapEx substantially. Despite some production challenges in Jubilee and Equatorial Guinea, the company has maintained a focus on enhancing financial resilience and production growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Commercial Operations Date Achieved for Gimi FLNG
The Gimi floating LNG vessel achieved Commercial Operations Date, marking a key milestone for the GTA project, with a nameplate capacity of 2.7 million tonnes per annum and targeting that level in the fourth quarter.
Positive Progress in Ghana's Jubilee Field
Drilling has restarted in Jubilee, with the first producer well in the '25/'26 program online, producing around 10,000 barrels of oil per day. Plans to drill more wells in 2026 to further enhance production.
Significant Reduction in CapEx
CapEx for the first half of 2025 was around $170 million, down 65% from the first half of 2024. Full year CapEx forecast reduced from $400 million to $350 million.
Improved Liquidity with New Term Loan
Kosmos secured indicative terms for a $250 million term loan, which will be used to repay the 2026 bond maturity, enhancing financial resilience.
Negative Updates
Lower Than Expected Jubilee Production
Jubilee gross production was around 55,000 barrels per day, lower than expected due to planned shutdowns and performance issues in some wells.
Challenges in Equatorial Guinea
Net production in Equatorial Guinea was below expectations due to mechanical failures. The operator plans to install a replacement pump in the fourth quarter to boost production.
Company Guidance
During Kosmos Energy's second quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. Kosmos reported that the Gimi floating LNG vessel achieved Commercial Operations Date (COD) with a nameplate capacity target of around 2.7 million tonnes per annum by the fourth quarter. In Ghana, Jubilee's production was in line with expectations at 10,000 barrels of oil per day from a new well, with plans for further drilling to increase production by the end of the year. CapEx for the first half was $170 million, a 65% decrease from the previous year, with full-year guidance reduced from $400 million to $350 million. Additionally, Kosmos aims to deliver $25 million in overhead savings by the end of 2025. The company also highlighted financial strategies, including a $250 million term loan secured against Gulf of America assets to address debt maturities, and hedging 7 million barrels of oil for 2026 with a floor of $66 per barrel. Overall, Kosmos emphasized its focus on increasing production, reducing costs, and enhancing financial resilience.

Kosmos Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kosmos Energy faces financial challenges, including declining revenue, negative profitability, and high leverage. Operational efficiency and cash generation have been pressured, necessitating strategic management to enhance stability and growth potential.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Kosmos Energy's revenue has shown volatility, with a decline in 2024 and 2025 compared to earlier years. The TTM period reflects a negative net income, affecting net profit margins adversely. EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased over time, indicating pressure on operational efficiency. The revenue growth rate has been negative recently, highlighting challenges in maintaining top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Kosmos Energy exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting significant leverage, which poses financial risk. The equity ratio shows a low proportion of equity financing, while return on equity has been inconsistent, impacted by fluctuating net income figures. The balance sheet indicates a need for careful management of debt levels to ensure financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The company has experienced negative free cash flow in the recent TTM period, indicating challenges in generating surplus cash after capital expenditures. Operating cash flow relative to net income has weakened, reflecting inefficiencies in converting earnings into cash. These factors suggest limited financial flexibility and potential challenges in funding operations or growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.49B1.68B1.70B2.25B1.33B804.03M
Gross Profit256.56M573.01M866.58M1.34B518.79M-20.31M
EBITDA555.47M896.78M930.52M938.11M531.63M175.66M
Net Income-159.95M189.85M213.52M226.55M-77.84M-411.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.21B5.31B4.94B4.58B4.94B3.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.69M84.97M95.34M183.41M131.62M149.03M
Total Debt250.00M2.74B2.39B2.23B2.62B2.11B
Total Liabilities4.20B4.11B3.91B3.79B4.41B3.43B
Stockholders Equity1.02B1.20B1.03B787.85M529.24M440.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-289.77M-255.41M-167.43M321.10M-563.65M-183.45M
Operating Cash Flow181.14M678.25M765.17M1.13B374.34M196.15M
Investing Cash Flow-544.78M-966.06M-994.85M-703.86M-973.38M-345.59M
Financing Cash Flow239.62M274.32M141.62M-414.70M624.16M69.86M

Kosmos Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.53
Price Trends
50DMA
1.69
Negative
100DMA
1.84
Negative
200DMA
2.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
45.60
Neutral
STOCH
46.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KOS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.61, below the 50-day MA of 1.69, and below the 200-day MA of 2.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KOS.

Kosmos Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$834.44M20.696.49%10.28%3.96%29.26%
$685.47M
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$800.94M7.396.80%2.52%-20.30%-27.90%
$583.93M-30.17%5.26%-309.56%
$741.29M-14.81%-21.77%-160.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KOS
Kosmos Energy
1.55
-2.27
-59.42%
VTLE
Vital Energy
15.29
-12.07
-44.12%
HPK
HighPeak Energy
6.21
-6.71
-51.93%
VTS
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
21.61
-1.36
-5.92%
TXO
TXO Energy Partners LP
13.20
-3.50
-20.96%
INR
Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. Class A
11.42
-10.47
-47.83%

Kosmos Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kosmos Energy to Announce Q3 2025 Results and Host Webcast
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

Kosmos Energy announced it will release its third quarter 2025 results on November 3, 2025, before the UK market opens. The company will also host a conference call and webcast on the same day to discuss these results, providing stakeholders with insights into its operational performance and strategic direction. This announcement is significant as it provides an opportunity for investors and analysts to assess the company’s financial health and market positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Kosmos Energy Secures New Loan Agreement with Shell
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Kosmos Energy Ltd. announced that its subsidiary, Kosmos Energy Gulf of Mexico Operations, LLC, entered into a Senior Secured Term Loan Credit Agreement with Shell Trading (US) Company and Ankura Trust Company, LLC. The agreement includes a term loan facility structured in two tranches, with the first tranche of $150 million to be funded on October 1, 2025, and a second tranche of up to $100 million available until April 1, 2026. The proceeds will be used to repay the company’s outstanding senior notes due in 2026, and for working capital and general operating expenses. This agreement is expected to impact the company’s financial flexibility and operational funding in the Gulf of Mexico, with implications for its debt management and strategic positioning in the energy market.

The most recent analyst rating on (KOS) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kosmos Energy stock, see the KOS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Kosmos Energy Secures $250 Million Loan Facility with Shell
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

Kosmos Energy has entered into a senior secured term loan facility with Shell Trading (US) Company for up to $250 million, with funding expected on October 1, 2025. This facility will be used to repay outstanding unsecured notes, enhancing the company’s financial resilience amid volatile commodity prices. The loan is structured in two tranches, with the first $150 million tranche to be drawn at closing and a second $100 million tranche available until April 2026. This move aligns with Kosmos’ strategy to organically reduce net debt through free cash flow generation while strengthening its strategic relationship with Shell in the Gulf of America.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kosmos Energy Announces CCO Retirement and Leadership Change
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Kosmos Energy Ltd. announced that Christopher J. Ball, the Chief Commercial Officer, will retire effective September 30, 2025. His responsibilities will be taken over by Neal D. Shah, the current Chief Financial Officer. Following his retirement, Mr. Ball will continue to provide advisory services to the company under an Advisory Agreement, for which he will be compensated. This transition marks a significant change in the company’s leadership structure, potentially impacting its commercial operations and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (KOS) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kosmos Energy stock, see the KOS Stock Forecast page.

Kosmos Energy’s Mixed Earnings Call: Milestones and Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

Kosmos Energy’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture of the company’s current standing and future prospects. While the company celebrated significant achievements, such as reaching key production milestones and reducing costs, it also faced challenges, including lower-than-expected production outcomes in certain fields and ongoing debt management efforts. Despite positive strides, operational setbacks tempered the overall sentiment of the call.

Kosmos Energy Reports Q2 2025 Results Amid Operational Milestones
Aug 5, 2025

Kosmos Energy Ltd. is a deepwater exploration and production company operating in the oil and gas sector, with diversified assets offshore in regions such as Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, Mauritania, Senegal, and the Gulf of America.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Kosmos Energy Reports Q2 2025 Loss Amid Operational Milestones
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

Kosmos Energy reported a net loss of $88 million for the second quarter of 2025, with adjusted net loss standing at $93 million. Despite the financial setback, the company achieved significant operational milestones, including the successful commencement of commercial operations on the Gimi floating LNG vessel at the GTA project. The company is focused on increasing production, reducing costs, and enhancing balance sheet resilience, with production expected to rise as more wells are brought online. Kosmos has revised its capital expenditure guidance down to $350 million for the year, reflecting efforts to lower costs. The company is also actively managing its financial position through hedging strategies and a new term loan facility to support its operations and debt repayments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 11, 2025