Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $836.12M
• Dividend Yield: 9.98%
• Average Volume (3M): 339.24K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 45.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.79
• Revenue Growth: 6.23%
• EPS Growth: -64.88%
• Country: US
• Employees: 33
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.10
• Shares Outstanding: 38,673,634
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 251,242
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 339,244
• PEG Ratio: -0.18
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.50
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.10
• P/FCF Ratio: 18.93
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.22
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.75
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 16.30
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.32
• 1Y Price Target: $20.00
• Price Target Upside: -9.30% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: $22.00 ▼(-0.23% Downside)

Vitesse Energy, Inc. has a moderate overall stock score driven by stable financial performance and strong cash flow generation. However, technical analysis and valuation indicate potential risks, with the stock appearing overvalued and lacking upward momentum. The earnings call provides mixed signals, with positive production guidance offset by a net income loss and expense concerns. The attractive dividend yield is a notable positive for income investors.

Positive Factors

Strong Cash Flow Generation

Strong cash flow generation allows Vitesse Energy to reinvest in growth opportunities, reduce debt, and enhance shareholder returns, supporting long-term financial health.

Increased Production Guidance

Increased production guidance reflects operational success and strategic growth, positioning Vitesse Energy to capitalize on market demand and improve revenue streams.

Low Leverage

Low leverage enhances financial flexibility, allowing Vitesse Energy to navigate market fluctuations and invest in strategic opportunities without significant financial strain.

Negative Factors

GAAP Net Income Loss

A net income loss indicates challenges in profitability, which could impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives if not addressed.

Higher Operating Expenses

Higher operating expenses can erode profit margins, reducing overall profitability and potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth.

Uncertain Development Plans

Uncertainty in development plans may hinder long-term strategic planning and growth, as reliance on external factors can affect project execution and financial performance.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, and production of energy resources primarily in the United States. Operating in the upstream sector, VTS emphasizes the exploration and production of hydrocarbons, utilizing advanced technologies to optimize recovery and enhance operational efficiency. The company is dedicated to sustainable practices and aims to contribute to the energy transition by leveraging its assets in a responsible manner.

How the Company Makes Money

Vitesse Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids produced from its developed and undeveloped properties. The company typically enters into various contracts for the sale of its hydrocarbons, which may include fixed-price agreements or indexed pricing based on market benchmarks. Additionally, VTS may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other firms to share resources and reduce operational costs, enhancing profitability. The company's revenue is also influenced by market conditions, commodity prices, and its ability to efficiently manage production levels and operational expenses.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vitesse Energy, Inc. demonstrates stable financial performance with strong cash flow generation and balance sheet stability. While profitability margins are moderate, the company shows potential for growth and operational efficiency. Continued focus on improving profit margins and leveraging cash flow for strategic investments could enhance future performance.

Income Statement

Vitesse Energy, Inc. shows a moderate performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a gross profit margin of 23% and a net profit margin of 7.7%, which are below industry averages, suggesting room for improvement in cost management. Revenue growth is positive at 3.5%, indicating a stable upward trajectory. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively strong at 12.3% and 57.3%, respectively, highlighting operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Vitesse Energy, Inc. reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, indicating prudent leverage management. The return on equity (ROE) is modest at 3.4%, suggesting limited profitability from equity investments. The equity ratio stands at 69.7%, showcasing a strong equity base relative to total assets, which enhances financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a robust free cash flow growth rate of 39.9% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.51, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.83, reflecting effective cash management and potential for reinvestment or debt reduction.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	271.30M	242.00M	233.91M	281.89M	185.18M	97.23M
Gross Profit	62.42M	72.59M	91.02M	162.93M	126.73M	-11.98M
EBITDA	161.00M	139.02M	129.22M	186.79M	82.17M	54.13M
Net Income	20.89M	21.06M	-21.58M	118.90M	18.11M	-8.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	932.92M	810.89M	765.97M	660.48M	611.53M	627.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	5.57M	2.97M	552.00K	10.01M	5.36M	1.73M
Total Debt	114.00M	121.22M	84.26M	50.74M	68.00M	100.83M
Total Liabilities	282.67M	310.56M	219.56M	91.50M	125.66M	134.66M
Stockholders Equity	650.25M	500.33M	546.41M	568.98M	485.86M	492.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	73.26M	39.68M	21.28M	62.46M	43.65M	5.48M
Operating Cash Flow	167.60M	155.00M	141.94M	147.04M	86.97M	76.31M
Investing Cash Flow	-126.13M	-115.32M	-120.67M	-84.58M	-43.32M	-70.81M
Financing Cash Flow	-38.33M	-37.27M	-30.73M	-57.81M	-42.59M	-5.53M

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 22.05
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.25, above the 50-day MA of 21.74, and below the 200-day MA of 22.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VTS.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
INR	68 Neutral	$910.73M	―	-2.91%	―	―	―
SBR	66 Neutral	$1.03B	12.95	986.82%	7.34%	-14.84%	-16.23%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
HPK	61 Neutral	$676.91M	15.06	2.83%	2.86%	-22.39%	-71.57%
VTS	59 Neutral	$836.12M	45.20	3.50%	9.98%	6.23%	-64.88%
KOS	47 Neutral	$521.38M	―	-31.42%	―	-22.11%	-248.33%

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Corporate Events

Vitesse Energy Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results

Vitesse Energy, Inc. reported its financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a net loss of $1.3 million and an adjusted net income of $3.8 million. The company announced an increase in its 2025 production and capital expenditures guidance, with a focus on enhancing asset value through technological improvements in the Bakken region. Vitesse also declared a quarterly cash dividend and completed two wells under budget, with production exceeding expectations.