Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $868.42M
• Dividend Yield: 9.84%
• Average Volume (3M): 334.67K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 28.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.74
• Revenue Growth: 4.15%
• EPS Growth: 3.91%
• Country: US
• Employees: 33
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 55
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.23
• Shares Outstanding: 38,613,647
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 422,840
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 334,667
• PEG Ratio: -1.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 13.49
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 122.90
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 8.88
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 7.74
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 64.98
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 12.70
• 1Y Price Target: $26.50
• Price Target Upside: 15.87% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: $26.00 ▲(13.69%Upside)

Vitesse Energy's overall stock score reflects its strong financial position and high dividend yield. The company's strategic hedging and recent legal resolution bolster its outlook, despite a high P/E ratio and market volatility affecting its guidance.

Positive Factors

Acquisition Benefits

The acquisition of Lucero Energy enabled the company to increase the base dividend by ~7%, de-lever the balance sheet, and add operated flexibility.

Dividend Strategy

The key appeal of the story remains an outsized dividend yield that looks to return more than 100% of excess cash to shareholders using current strip prices.

Negative Factors

Liquidity Concerns

Limited trading liquidity somewhat limits incremental flows and shares are already trading in line with quality E&Ps on EV/EBITDA despite timing risk inherent in the non-op business model.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vitesse Energy, Inc. focuses on acquisition, ownership, exploration, development, management, production, exploitation, and dispose of oil and gas properties. The company acquires non-operated working interest and royalty interest ownership primarily in the core of the Bakken Field in North Dakota and Montana. It also owns non-operated interests in oil and gas properties in Colorado and Wyoming. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Centennial, Colorado.

How the Company Makes Money

Vitesse Energy, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil and gas extracted from its exploration and production activities. The company invests in acquiring promising energy assets and utilizes advanced extraction techniques to optimize output. Revenue is derived from selling these natural resources to various markets, including domestic and international buyers. Additional income may be generated through joint ventures or partnerships with other energy firms, enabling Vitesse Energy to expand its operational capabilities and access new markets. The company's earnings are influenced by global commodity prices, production volumes, and operational efficiency.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vitesse Energy, Inc. demonstrates a solid financial position with improving profitability and strong cash flow generation. The company's low leverage and robust equity underpin its financial stability. Continued focus on operational efficiency could enhance profitability further. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the fossil fuels industry amidst a recovering financial trajectory.

Income Statement

Vitesse Energy, Inc. shows strong gross profit margins, indicating effective cost control. The revenue growth rate is positive, though modest. The net profit margin has improved significantly from a negative position, showcasing a turnaround in profitability. However, the EBIT margin remains moderate, suggesting potential room for operational efficiency improvements.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with zero debt, reducing financial risk. The equity ratio is robust, indicating high asset financing through equity. Return on Equity is recovering, reflecting improved profitability. However, prior debt levels suggest the company should maintain its current leverage strategy.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, highlighting efficient cash generation. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, showing solid cash reserves for investment or debt reduction. However, past fluctuations in free cash flow indicate potential volatility in cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2020	Dec 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue	246.97M	242.00M	233.91M	300.07M	97.23M	171.30M
Gross Profit	118.70M	72.59M	91.02M	162.93M	46.33M	112.85M
EBITDA	142.72M	139.02M	129.22M	186.79M	54.13M	105.43M
Net Income	25.91M	21.06M	-21.58M	118.90M	-13.56M	35.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	975.24M	810.89M	765.97M	660.48M	627.13M	0.00
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	4.50M	2.97M	552.00K	10.01M	1.73M	0.00
Total Debt	0.00	121.22M	84.26M	48.00M	98.50M	0.00
Total Liabilities	307.55M	310.56M	219.56M	91.50M	134.66M	0.00
Stockholders Equity	667.69M	500.33M	546.41M	568.98M	492.47M	0.00
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	49.96M	39.68M	21.28M	62.46M	5.48M	-3.23M
Operating Cash Flow	133.07M	155.00M	141.94M	147.04M	76.31M	101.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-113.48M	-115.32M	-120.67M	-84.58M	-70.81M	-104.37M
Financing Cash Flow	-16.47M	-37.27M	-30.73M	-57.81M	-5.53M	-41.00K

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 22.87
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.60, above the 50-day MA of 21.54, and below the 200-day MA of 23.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VTS.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
VTS	74 Outperform	$868.42M	28.88	4.24%	9.84%	4.15%	3.91%
LEU	73 Outperform	$3.09B	27.43	85.99%	―	58.72%	38.27%
MRC	71 Outperform	$1.27B	41.18	8.29%	―	-9.84%	-111.71%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$14.83B	9.70	6.36%	5.29%	4.12%	-71.24%
SBR	66 Neutral	$958.88M	12.31	798.58%	7.76%	-11.35%	-11.76%
VTLE	59 Neutral	$648.59M	2.02	-4.61%	―	16.77%	-113.49%
TXO		$833.82M	37.94	2.97%	15.97%	―	―

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Corporate Events

Vitesse Energy Resolves Legal Dispute with Hess

Vitesse Energy, Inc. has resolved a legal dispute with Hess regarding post-production deductions from revenues in North Dakota. As part of the resolution, Vitesse will receive a $24 million cash payment by June 25, 2025, and will take nearly all of its gas production from Hess-operated wells in-kind starting July 1, 2025, under new long-term agreements.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTS) stock is a Buy with a $27.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vitesse Energy, Inc. stock, see the VTS Stock Forecast page.

Vitesse Energy Elects Directors and Amends Incentive Plan

Vitesse Energy, Inc. held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on several key proposals. The meeting resulted in the election of nine directors to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and the approval of an amendment to the Long Term Incentive Plan. These decisions are pivotal for the company’s governance and strategic planning, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder confidence.

Vitesse Energy Revises 2025 Guidance Amid Market Uncertainty

Vitesse Energy, Inc. announced its first quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a net income of $2.7 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $39.9 million. The company closed an acquisition of Lucero Energy Corp. and declared a quarterly cash dividend. Vitesse revised its 2025 guidance, reducing planned capital expenditures by 32% due to market uncertainty, while projecting a 23% increase in production over 2024. The company aims to maintain financial flexibility and protect shareholder value amid volatile commodity prices.