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Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS)
NYSE:VTS
US Market
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Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) AI Stock Analysis

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VTS

Vitesse Energy, Inc.

(NYSE:VTS)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(11.47% Upside)
Vitesse Energy, Inc. demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors driving the score. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation, which slightly dampen the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong Production Growth
The significant increase in production indicates operational efficiency and capacity expansion, which can drive revenue growth and market share in the long term.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt enhances financial flexibility and reduces interest expenses, supporting sustainable growth and investment in future opportunities.
Strong Cash Flow
Robust cash flow generation supports reinvestment in the business, dividend payments, and debt servicing, ensuring long-term financial stability.
Negative Factors
Potential Production Decline
A potential decline in production could impact revenue and profitability, challenging the company's ability to maintain its growth trajectory.
Increased Lease Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can pressure profit margins, reducing overall profitability and potentially impacting competitive positioning.
Unmet Acquisition Hurdles
Challenges in completing acquisitions may limit growth opportunities and strategic expansion, affecting the company's long-term competitive advantage.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVitesse Energy, Inc. focuses on acquisition, ownership, exploration, development, management, production, exploitation, and dispose of oil and gas properties. The company acquires non-operated working interest and royalty interest ownership primarily in the core of the Bakken Field in North Dakota and Montana. It also owns non-operated interests in oil and gas properties in Colorado and Wyoming. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Centennial, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyVitesse Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids produced from its developed and undeveloped properties. The company typically enters into various contracts for the sale of its hydrocarbons, which may include fixed-price agreements or indexed pricing based on market benchmarks. Additionally, VTS may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other firms to share resources and reduce operational costs, enhancing profitability. The company's revenue is also influenced by market conditions, commodity prices, and its ability to efficiently manage production levels and operational expenses.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong production and financial performance with significant achievements like a legal settlement and dividend declaration. However, potential production declines and increased expenses present challenges. The sentiment is mixed but leans towards positive due to the overall strong performance and strategic initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Production Increase
Production for the quarter averaged just under 19,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, marking a 27% increase from the first quarter.
Successful Legal Settlement
Resolved pending litigation with a key operator resulting in a onetime cash payment of $24 million and new long-term agreements for gas gathering and marketing.
Dividend Declaration
The Board declared a third quarter dividend at an annual rate of $2.25 per share.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $61.1 million, and adjusted net income was $18.4 million.
Debt Reduction
Reduced total debt to $106 million, resulting in a net debt to an adjusted annualized EBITDA ratio of 0.4x.
Robust Acquisition Pipeline
The company is actively evaluating a significant number of acquisition opportunities, signaling potential growth through strategic deals.
Negative Updates
Potential Production Decline
Guidance for the full year implies a potential decline in production in the second half of the year.
Increased LOE
Lease Operating Expenses (LOE) were up quarter-to-quarter on a Boe basis due to integration activities with the Lucero acquisition.
Unmet Acquisition Hurdles
Despite a robust acquisition pipeline, no deals have been completed due to strict return requirements not being met.
Company Guidance
During the Vitesse Energy Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several insights into their financial and operational standing. The production for the quarter averaged nearly 19,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, marking a 27% increase from the first quarter, and the year-to-date production averaged just under 17,000 barrels per day. The company successfully settled a multiyear lawsuit, resulting in a onetime cash payment of $24 million. Additionally, Vitesse has hedged approximately 71% of its remaining 2025 oil production at an average price of $69.83 per barrel and nearly half of its natural gas production with collars set at $3.73 to $5.85 per MMBtu. The company's adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $61.1 million, and its total debt was reduced to $106 million, resulting in a net debt to adjusted annualized EBITDA ratio of 0.4x. The annual production guidance remains unchanged at 15,000 to 17,000 Boe per day, with anticipated CapEx between $80 million and $110 million for the year.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vitesse Energy, Inc. demonstrates a solid financial position with improving profitability and strong cash flow generation. The company's low leverage and robust equity underpin its financial stability. Continued focus on operational efficiency could enhance profitability further.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Vitesse Energy, Inc. shows strong gross profit margins, indicating effective cost control. The revenue growth rate is positive, though modest. The net profit margin has improved significantly from a negative position, showcasing a turnaround in profitability. However, the EBIT margin remains moderate, suggesting potential room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with zero debt, reducing financial risk. The equity ratio is robust, indicating high asset financing through equity. Return on Equity is recovering, reflecting improved profitability. However, prior debt levels suggest the company should maintain its current leverage strategy.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, highlighting efficient cash generation. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, showing solid cash reserves for investment or debt reduction. However, past fluctuations in free cash flow indicate potential volatility in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue262.13M242.00M233.91M300.07M97.23M171.30M
Gross Profit70.30M72.59M91.02M162.93M46.33M112.85M
EBITDA171.85M139.02M129.22M186.79M54.13M105.43M
Net Income39.64M21.06M-21.58M118.90M-13.56M35.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets951.50M810.89M765.97M660.48M627.13M0.00
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.96M2.97M552.00K10.01M1.73M0.00
Total Debt106.00M121.22M84.26M48.00M98.50M0.00
Total Liabilities279.63M310.56M219.56M91.50M134.66M0.00
Stockholders Equity671.88M500.33M546.41M568.98M492.47M0.00
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow118.48M39.68M21.28M62.46M5.48M-3.23M
Operating Cash Flow163.93M155.00M141.94M147.04M76.31M101.19M
Investing Cash Flow-111.56M-115.32M-120.67M-84.58M-70.81M-104.37M
Financing Cash Flow-50.52M-37.27M-30.73M-57.81M-5.53M-41.00K

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.53
Price Trends
50DMA
23.76
Negative
100DMA
23.53
Negative
200DMA
22.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.56
Positive
RSI
36.96
Neutral
STOCH
30.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.38, below the 50-day MA of 23.76, and below the 200-day MA of 22.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VTS.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$834.44M20.696.49%10.28%3.96%29.26%
$685.47M
$1.03B14.38987.03%7.49%-16.05%-17.58%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$800.94M7.396.80%2.52%-20.30%-27.90%
$741.29M-14.81%-21.77%-160.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTS
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
21.61
-1.36
-5.92%
KOS
Kosmos Energy
1.55
-2.27
-59.42%
SBR
Sabine Royalty
70.34
14.20
25.29%
HPK
HighPeak Energy
6.21
-6.71
-51.93%
TXO
TXO Energy Partners LP
13.20
-3.50
-20.96%
INR
Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. Class A
11.42
-10.47
-47.83%

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Vitesse Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Strategic Advances
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Vitesse Energy, Inc. reported strong financial and operational results for the second quarter of 2025, with a net income of $24.7 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $61.1 million. The company successfully resolved a legal dispute, resulting in a $24 million cash payment and new agreements for gas production. Vitesse also integrated assets from Lucero Energy Corp., contributing to a 27% increase in production. The company continues to focus on strategic investments and debt reduction, supported by favorable oil prices and hedging strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTS) stock is a Buy with a $27.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vitesse Energy, Inc. stock, see the VTS Stock Forecast page.

Vitesse Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 6, 2025

Vitesse Energy, Inc. is a company that focuses on returning capital to stockholders by owning financial interests predominantly as a non-operator in oil and gas wells drilled by leading US operators. The company is based in Greenwood Village, Colorado, and trades on the NYSE under the ticker VTS.

Vitesse Energy’s Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment with Strategic Wins
Aug 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for Vitesse Energy, Inc. presented a mixed sentiment, with positive developments such as increased production, successful legal settlements, and effective debt and dividend management. However, there were concerns about potential production declines in the latter half of the year and increased operating expenses. Overall, the sentiment was balanced, with the highlights slightly outweighing the lowlights.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresLegal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
Vitesse Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

Vitesse Energy, Inc. reported its financial and operating results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a net income of $24.7 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $61.1 million. The company resolved a legal dispute with a key operator, resulting in a $24 million cash payment and renegotiated gas production arrangements. The acquisition of Lucero Energy Corp. contributed to a 27% increase in production, averaging 18,950 Boe per day. Vitesse also declared a quarterly cash dividend and maintained a strong liquidity position, positioning itself well for future opportunities in the oil and gas sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTS) stock is a Buy with a $27.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vitesse Energy, Inc. stock, see the VTS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 19, 2025