Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS)
NYSE:VTS
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Vitesse Energy, Inc.
(NYSE:VTS)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(6.32% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/11/26
The score is primarily supported by strong and improving cash generation and a conservative balance sheet, reinforced by constructive earnings-call commentary on low leverage, hedging, and reserve growth. The main drag is weak technical setup with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative momentum indicators, while valuation is mixed (very high yield offset by a higher P/E).
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistently rising operating cash flow and a marked 2025 free-cash-flow step-up provide durable internal funding for maintenance capex, hedging, dividends and opportunistic M&A. Strong cash conversion increases resilience to commodity swings and supports reinvestment without heavy external financing.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility
Material cyclicality in net income and only modest returns on equity indicate recurring sensitivity to commodity prices and timing differences. This volatility complicates sustained dividend policy and long-term return consistency despite recent cash-flow improvements, limiting predictability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistently rising operating cash flow and a marked 2025 free-cash-flow step-up provide durable internal funding for maintenance capex, hedging, dividends and opportunistic M&A. Strong cash conversion increases resilience to commodity swings and supports reinvestment without heavy external financing.
Read all positive factors
Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$729.51M
Dividend Yield11.72%
Average Volume (3M)629.58K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.79
Revenue Growth6.23%
EPS Growth-64.88%
CountryUS
Employees33
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.03
Shares Outstanding39,776,726
10 Day Avg. Volume729,567
30 Day Avg. Volume629,576
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-6.69
Price to Book (P/B)1.15
Price to Sales (P/S)2.65
P/FCF Ratio4.26
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.19
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.17
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit16.82
Enterprise Value/Ebitda4.98
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$21.33Price Target Upside16.30% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)0.16
Revenue Forecast (FY)$252.43M
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vitesse Energy, Inc. focuses on acquisition, ownership, exploration, development, management, production, exploitation, and dispose of oil and gas properties. The company acquires non-operated working interest and royalty interest ownership primar...
How the Company Makes Money
Vitesse makes money primarily by earning its proportional share of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids production revenues from wells in which it owns non-operated working interests. Under this model, the well operator markets the produced h...
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 02, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveys a generally constructive operational and financial picture — production met guidance, proved reserves increased 19%, adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow were positive, an accretive Powder River acquisition was announced, and leverage remains low (net debt / adj. EBITDA 0.69x). Management emphasized capital discipline, conservative balance sheet management, and continued shareholder returns, but also communicated clear caution: the dividend was reset lower to preserve liquidity, 2026 production guidance is conservative given uncertainty in operator activity, reserve valuation was pressured by nearly $10/bbl lower SEC pricing, and near-term acquisition upside is constrained by a competitive market. Overall, positives (reserve growth, profitability, low leverage, accretive M&A, hedging) outweigh the negatives (dividend reduction, guidance uncertainty, timing-driven higher cash spend), supporting a constructive but cautious outlook.Positive Updates
Strong Production at Top of Guidance
Q4 production averaged 17,653 BOE/day and full-year 2025 production was 17,444 BOE/day (top end of guidance), with a 65% oil cut and a development pipeline of 22 net wells (6.1 net drilling/completing, 15.9 net permitted).
Negative Updates
Dividend Reset to Preserve Balance Sheet
Board reduced the dividend (declared Q1 at an annual $1.75/share) as a deliberate decision to preserve the balance sheet and liquidity amid commodity volatility, representing a lower cash return cadence than some prior distributions.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Production at Top of Guidance
Q4 production averaged 17,653 BOE/day and full-year 2025 production was 17,444 BOE/day (top end of guidance), with a 65% oil cut and a development pipeline of 22 net wells (6.1 net drilling/completing, 15.9 net permitted).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Vitesse guided 2026 production of 16,000–17,500 BOE/d with a 60–64% oil cut and cash CapEx of $50–80 million (down from ~ $127.7M cash spend in 2025), noting maintenance CapEx to hold Q4/25 volumes is roughly $85–90M; the guide includes the Powder River Basin deal (effective 1/1/2026) — a $35M all‑share acquisition of >6,000 net acres and 29 net undeveloped locations expected to average ~1,400 net BOE/d in 2026 and close early Q2 — but excludes any additional near‑term development M&A. The company has hedged about 64% of 2026 oil (weighted‑average swaps $64.95/bbl; collars floor $58.64 / ceiling $67.50) and just under half of 2026 gas (collars floor $3.73 / ceiling $4.91 per MMBtu), with hedges measured at the midpoint of guidance and room to hedge up to 85% of PDP. Management also set a Q1 dividend at an annual $1.75/share (majority of 2026 dividends expected to be treated as return of capital) while emphasizing a conservative balance sheet (year‑end total debt $124.5M, net debt/adjusted EBITDA 0.69x) and continued discipline on M&A.Vitesse Energy, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Nov 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 273.99M | 242.00M | 233.91M | 281.89M | 185.18M |
| Gross Profit | 34.79M | 72.59M | 91.02M | 162.93M | 126.73M |
| EBITDA | 174.69M | 139.02M | 129.22M | 186.79M | 82.17M |
| Net Income | 25.28M | 21.06M | -21.58M | 118.90M | 18.11M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 893.35M | 810.89M | 765.97M | 660.48M | 611.53M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.33M | 2.97M | 552.00K | 10.01M | 5.36M |
| Total Debt | 129.30M | 121.22M | 84.26M | 50.74M | 68.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 264.03M | 310.56M | 219.56M | 91.50M | 125.66M |
| Stockholders Equity | 629.32M | 500.33M | 546.41M | 568.98M | 485.86M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 170.35M | 39.68M | 21.28M | 62.46M | 43.65M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 170.35M | 155.00M | 141.94M | 147.04M | 86.97M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -127.66M | -115.32M | -120.67M | -84.58M | -43.32M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -44.33M | -37.27M | -30.73M | -57.81M | -42.59M |
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Technical Analysis
Negative
18.34
Price Trends
19.73
Negative
19.69
Negative
20.97
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.42
Positive
45.47
Neutral
43.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.72, below the 50-day MA of 19.73, and below the 200-day MA of 20.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VTS.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | $729.51M | -245.28 | 3.86% | 11.72% | 6.23% | -64.88% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
62 Neutral | $1.07B | ― | 0.09% | ― | ― | ― | |
57 Neutral | $801.11M | 31.31 | 1.17% | 3.71% | -22.39% | -71.57% | |
51 Neutral | $1.52B | -0.62 | -79.00% | ― | -22.11% | -248.33% | |
| ― | $1.10B | 13.61 | 944.35% | 7.51% | -14.84% | -16.23% |
* Energy Sector Average
VTS
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
18.34
0.14
0.75%
KOS
Kosmos Energy
2.57
0.92
55.76%
SBR
Sabine Royalty
75.78
15.55
25.82%
HPK
HighPeak Energy
6.34
-2.22
-25.92%
TXO
TXO Energy Partners LP
12.20
-2.31
-15.93%
INR
Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. Class A
16.80
1.57
10.31%
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Vitesse Energy Expands Assets Through Equity-Financed Acquisition
Positive
Apr 10, 2026
On April 8, 2026, Vitesse Energy, Inc. issued 1,935,698 shares of its common stock to a third-party seller in exchange for certain non-operated oil and gas assets, expanding its portfolio without using cash. The transaction was structured as a pri...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Vitesse Energy Announces CEO Transition and New Leadership
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
On March 26, 2026, Vitesse Energy announced a sweeping leadership transition, with founder Robert W. Gerrity resigning immediately as chief executive officer, chairman and director, and lead independent director Dan O’Leary becoming chairman...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Vitesse Energy Expands 2026 Hedging to Enhance Stability
Positive
Mar 13, 2026
On March 11, 2026, Vitesse Energy director M. Bruce Chernoff resigned from the company’s board effective March 13, 2026, with the company stating his departure did not stem from any disagreement over operations, policies, or practices. The b...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Vitesse Energy Expands Non-Operated Footprint with Wyoming Acquisition
Positive
Mar 2, 2026
Vitesse Energy, Inc. reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results on March 2, 2026, posting 2025 net income of $25.3 million, adjusted EBITDA of $179.3 million and average production of 17,444 Boe per day, driven in part by the March 202...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.