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Vitesse Energy, Inc.
(NYSE:VTS)
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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
â–²(4.43% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/10/26
The score is driven primarily by strong cash generation with manageable leverage and a constructive earnings-call outlook (dividend commitment, hedging, and an accretive acquisition). Offsetting these positives are profitability volatility/TTM net loss and weak technicals with the stock trading below major moving averages.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Vitesse's robust operating cash flow and materially positive free cash flow provide durable internal funding for development, dividends, and opportunistic M&A. Reliable cash generation reduces dependence on external financing through commodity cycles and supports sustained capital returns and liquidity maintenance.
Negative Factors
Mark-to-market hedge volatility
Large unrealized hedge marks create significant GAAP earnings volatility despite underlying cash generation. While hedges protect cash flows, persistent mark-to-market swings complicate earnings comparability, can depress reported income, and may influence investor perceptions and credit metrics over reporting periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Vitesse's robust operating cash flow and materially positive free cash flow provide durable internal funding for development, dividends, and opportunistic M&A. Reliable cash generation reduces dependence on external financing through commodity cycles and supports sustained capital returns and liquidity maintenance.
Read all positive factors
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across the company’s business lines — e.g., production, midstream, services, and royalties — showing which parts of the business actually drive cash flow and growth. Reveals concentration risk if a single segment dominates, highlights sensitivity to commodity prices or contract terms, and indicates whether revenue is recurring or tied to one-time asset sales, all of which affect valuation, dividend capacity, and capital needs.
Breaks down sales across the company’s business lines — e.g., production, midstream, services, and royalties — showing which parts of the business actually drive cash flow and growth. Reveals concentration risk if a single segment dominates, highlights sensitivity to commodity prices or contract terms, and indicates whether revenue is recurring or tied to one-time asset sales, all of which affect valuation, dividend capacity, and capital needs.
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The Fly
The FlyVitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$644.46M
Dividend Yield13.11%
Average Volume (3M)537.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.68
Revenue Growth11.44%
EPS Growth-157.45%
CountryUS
Employees37
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.48
Shares Outstanding41,712,425
10 Day Avg. Volume415,274
30 Day Avg. Volume537,387
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-6.71
Price to Book (P/B)1.15
Price to Sales (P/S)2.65
P/FCF Ratio4.26
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$21.75Price Target Upside37.66% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.43
Revenue Forecast (FY)$291.83M
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vitesse Energy, Inc. is an energy company primarily engaged in all aspects of oil and gas property management, from initial acquisition and ownership through exploration, development, operation, production, and eventual divestiture of assets. The ...
How the Company Makes Money
Vitesse primarily makes money by receiving its share of revenue from the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids produced from wells in which it holds non-operated working interests. For each producing property, the operator market...
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a generally positive operational and financial picture: production growth, an accretive Powder River acquisition, solid adjusted EBITDA, positive free cash flow, low leverage (net debt/EBITDA 0.82x), expanded liquidity, and a clear commitment to the $1.75 annualized dividend supported by an extended hedging program. Key negatives include a large GAAP net loss driven by a $48.2 million unrealized hedge mark, a small adjusted net loss (near breakeven), and cautious near-term activity as operators remain disciplined—meaning some upside from higher activity or operated development may be more back-end loaded into 2027. On balance, the positives (growth, balance sheet strength, accretive M&A, hedging to protect the dividend) outweigh the lowlights.Positive Updates
Production Growth
Average production of ~15,962 BOE/d (~16,000 BOE/d) in Q1 2026, up 7% year-over-year; oil weighted (63% oil cut) and oil accounted for 89% of oil and natural gas revenue.
Negative Updates
Large GAAP Net Loss Driven by Unrealized Hedge Mark
GAAP net loss of $42.3 million in Q1 2026, primarily driven by a $48.2 million unrealized hedge loss as of March 31, 2026 — a noncash mark-to-market item that materially impacted GAAP results.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Production Growth
Average production of ~15,962 BOE/d (~16,000 BOE/d) in Q1 2026, up 7% year-over-year; oil weighted (63% oil cut) and oil accounted for 89% of oil and natural gas revenue.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said prior guidance remains unchanged and now incorporates the Powder River Basin acquisition (closed in April for 1.9 million shares and expected to add ~1,400 net BOE/d for the remainder of 2026); they reiterated the annualized Q2 dividend of $1.75/share, maintained full-year CapEx guidance of $50–80 million, and noted Q1 results of ~16,000 BOE/d (63% oil), adjusted EBITDA $33.4 million, adjusted net loss $0.3 million, GAAP net loss $42.3 million (driven by a $48.2 million unrealized hedge loss), free cash flow $12 million after $18.7 million of development CapEx (net), and a balance sheet with total debt $144.5 million (net debt/TTM adj. EBITDA 0.82x) and roughly $130 million liquidity after amending the revolver to a $275 million commitment; development inventory stood at 19.9 net wells (6.2 net drilling/completing, 13.7 net permitted), 72% of YTD AFEs were for 3–4 mile laterals and 67% of the 28 rigs in the Williston were on Vitesse acreage, and the hedge book now extends through 2028 with ~73% of 2026 oil hedged (weighted avg floor $64.68 / ceiling $67.20 per bbl) and ~50% of 2026 gas hedged (weighted avg floor $3.73 / ceiling $4.91 per MMBtu).Vitesse Energy, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Nov 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 275.23M | 273.99M | 242.00M | 233.91M | 281.89M | 185.18M |
| Gross Profit | 46.93M | 51.69M | 72.59M | 91.02M | 162.93M | 126.73M |
| EBITDA | 124.81M | 174.69M | 139.02M | 129.22M | 186.79M | 82.17M |
| Net Income | -19.67M | 25.28M | 21.06M | -21.58M | 118.90M | 18.11M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 882.59M | 893.35M | 810.89M | 765.97M | 660.48M | 611.53M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.18M | 1.33M | 2.97M | 552.00K | 10.01M | 5.36M |
| Total Debt | 150.25M | 129.30M | 121.22M | 84.26M | 50.74M | 68.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 312.14M | 264.03M | 310.56M | 219.56M | 91.50M | 125.66M |
| Stockholders Equity | 570.45M | 629.32M | 500.33M | 546.41M | 568.98M | 485.86M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 92.39M | 170.35M | 39.68M | 21.28M | 62.46M | 43.65M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 176.88M | 170.35M | 155.00M | 141.94M | 147.04M | 86.97M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -115.97M | -127.66M | -115.32M | -120.67M | -84.58M | -43.32M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -62.22M | -44.33M | -37.27M | -30.73M | -57.81M | -42.59M |
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Technical Analysis
Negative
15.80
Price Trends
16.26
Negative
17.18
Negative
18.40
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.15
Negative
46.82
Neutral
45.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.61, below the 50-day MA of 16.26, and below the 200-day MA of 18.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VTS.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | $503.20M | 6.35 | 15.09% | 3.43% | 25.58% | 18.12% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
65 Neutral | $644.46M | -31.14 | -3.12% | 12.66% | 11.44% | -157.45% | |
63 Neutral | $837.75M | -5.40 | -9.13% | 2.09% | -25.80% | -230.75% | |
55 Neutral | $547.36M | -3.69 | -31.67% | 4.50% | -36.31% | -346.60% | |
55 Neutral | $621.23M | -18.24 | -5.33% | 9.63% | 10.07% | -369.16% | |
53 Neutral | $525.19M | -3.35 | 81.53% | 1.09% | 1.41% | -32.56% |
* Energy Sector Average
VTS
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
15.25
-6.46
-29.77%
SD
SandRidge Energy
13.57
3.66
36.96%
EGY
Vaalco Energy
5.30
1.79
50.87%
WTI
W&T Offshore
3.46
1.72
98.85%
HPK
HighPeak Energy
6.63
-3.23
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GRNT
Granite Ridge Resources
4.66
-0.10
-2.20%
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vitesse Energy Shareholders Reelect Board, Ratify Deloitte Auditor
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
At its recent Annual Meeting, Vitesse Energy, Inc. stockholders voted to elect eight directors to serve on the company’s board for terms expiring at the 2027 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with each nominee receiving sufficient support desp...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Vitesse Energy Posts Q1 2026 Results, Maintains Dividend
Neutral
May 4, 2026
Vitesse Energy reported first quarter 2026 results on May 4, 2026, posting an adjusted net loss of $0.3 million and a GAAP net loss of $42.3 million driven largely by a $48.2 million non-cash unrealized loss on commodity derivatives, while generat...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.