Vital Energy (VTLE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: N/A
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): N/A
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): N/A
• Revenue Growth: 1.85%
• EPS Growth: -333.76%
• Country: US
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: N/A
• EPS (TTM): 1.52
• Shares Outstanding: N/A
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: N/A
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: N/A
• PEG Ratio: 0.06
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.42
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.58
• P/FCF Ratio: -1.54
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 10.00T>
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.56
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.53
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -13.87
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: $18.50 ▲(3.24% Upside)

Vital Energy's overall stock score is driven by its financial challenges and valuation concerns, which are partially offset by positive technical indicators and the potential benefits of the merger with Crescent Energy. The legal challenges related to the merger introduce additional risk, impacting the overall score.

Positive Factors

Merger Approval

The merger with Crescent Energy, approved by stockholders, is expected to enhance financial stability and growth prospects, creating a larger, financially robust operator with enhanced scale and capacity to generate substantial free cash flow.

Debt Management

A low debt-to-equity ratio reflects effective debt management, providing Vital Energy with financial flexibility and reducing risk, which is crucial for long-term stability and growth.

Operational Efficiency

Strong cash generation relative to net income suggests operational efficiency, which supports the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

A sharp decline in revenue indicates challenges in maintaining market position and sales, which could impact long-term financial health and growth potential.

Profitability Challenges

Negative profit and EBIT margins highlight operational inefficiencies and profitability challenges, which could hinder the company's ability to generate sustainable returns over time.

Legal Challenges

Legal challenges related to the merger introduce uncertainty and potential financial liabilities, which could impact the company's strategic plans and investor confidence.

Vital Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vital Energy (VTLE) is an independent energy company focused on the development and production of oil and natural gas resources. The company primarily operates in the Permian Basin and other key regions in the United States, leveraging advanced technologies and efficient operational practices to maximize resource extraction. Vital Energy is committed to sustainable practices and aims to deliver energy solutions that meet the growing demand while minimizing environmental impact.

How the Company Makes Money

Vital Energy generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of oil and natural gas. The company earns money by extracting hydrocarbons from its operational sites and selling these products in wholesale markets. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company may also benefit from price fluctuations in these commodities, with revenues impacted by global demand and supply dynamics. Additionally, Vital Energy may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance operational efficiencies and expand its resource base, further contributing to its earnings.

Vital Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vital Energy is facing financial difficulties with declining revenues and profitability, impacting its financial stability. The income statement shows negative margins, and the cash flow is under pressure from declining profitability. The balance sheet shows reduced leverage but negative return on equity, highlighting operational inefficiencies.

Income Statement

Vital Energy's income statement shows significant volatility. The TTM data reveals a sharp decline in revenue and negative margins, with a net profit margin of -69.28% and an EBIT margin of -35.83%. This is a stark contrast to previous years where the company had positive margins, indicating recent operational challenges. The revenue growth rate is negative, highlighting a downturn in sales. Despite past profitability, the current trajectory suggests financial instability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a mixed picture. The TTM debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.03, indicating manageable leverage, but this is due to a significant reduction in total debt. However, the return on equity is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, but the overall financial health is compromised by recent losses.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of -96.4%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.12, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.78, reflecting challenges in converting income into free cash flow. The cash flow situation is stable but under pressure from declining profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.90B	1.95B	1.55B	1.92B	1.39B	677.19M
Gross Profit	839.10M	613.25M	1.13B	1.20B	756.92M	146.40M
EBITDA	-213.73M	690.34M	1.13B	1.07B	472.94M	-546.65M
Net Income	-1.31B	-173.52M	695.08M	631.51M	145.01M	-874.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.72B	5.88B	5.15B	2.73B	2.55B	1.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	14.70M	40.18M	14.06M	44.44M	56.80M	48.76M
Total Debt	2.34B	2.55B	1.75B	1.14B	1.44B	1.20B
Total Liabilities	2.96B	3.18B	2.36B	1.62B	2.04B	1.46B
Stockholders Equity	1.76B	2.70B	2.79B	1.11B	513.78M	-21.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	656.42M	-738.36M	-667.97M	242.90M	-693.88M	-7.18M
Operating Cash Flow	1.15B	1.00B	812.96M	829.62M	496.67M	383.39M
Investing Cash Flow	-989.30M	-1.74B	-1.48B	-475.95M	-796.81M	-389.24M
Financing Cash Flow	-165.24M	763.38M	632.80M	-366.03M	308.18M	13.75M

Vital Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 17.92
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTLE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.92, above the 50-day MA of 16.82, and above the 200-day MA of 17.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTLE.

Vital Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
REPX	78 Outperform	$569.65M	6.36	16.09%	5.96%	-2.43%	-28.19%
GRNT	67 Neutral	$610.32M	16.21	5.74%	9.36%	18.56%	-21.43%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
VTS	59 Neutral	$744.08M	40.23	3.50%	11.72%	6.23%	-64.88%
VTLE	56 Neutral	―	―	-54.63%	―	1.85%	-333.76%
ANNA	45 Neutral	$185.30M	-11.09	-45.51%	―	―	-985.28%

Vital Energy Corporate Events

Vital Energy Stockholders Approve Merger with Crescent

On December 12, 2025, Vital Energy stockholders approved a merger with Crescent Energy Company at a special meeting. The merger, anticipated to close on December 15, 2025, aims to create a larger, financially robust operator with enhanced scale and capacity to generate substantial free cash flow, positioning the combined companies to deliver sustainable cash returns and long-term value.

Vital Energy Faces Legal Challenges Over Merger

Vital Energy, Inc. entered into a merger agreement with Crescent Energy Company on August 24, 2025, which will result in Vital ceasing to be a publicly traded company. Following the filing of a proxy statement, two stockholders filed complaints alleging nondisclosure of material information, seeking to enjoin the mergers and claiming damages. Vital plans to supplement the proxy statement to address these concerns, although it denies any wrongdoing.

Vital Energy Reports Q3 Loss Amid Impairment Challenges

On November 3, 2025, Vital Energy reported a net loss of $353.5 million for the third quarter of 2025, impacted by a non-cash pre-tax impairment loss on oil and gas properties. Despite this, the company achieved an adjusted net income of $57.6 million and cash flow from operating activities of $286.6 million. The company also reduced its total and net debt and exceeded its production guidance. Vital Energy is in the process of merging with Crescent Energy Company, with a special stockholder meeting scheduled for December 12, 2025, to vote on the transaction. This merger aims to create a premier mid-cap operator, potentially enhancing value for shareholders.