Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $578.88M
• Dividend Yield: 5.96%
• Average Volume (3M): 137.53K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.13
• Revenue Growth: -2.43%
• EPS Growth: -28.19%
• Country: US
• Employees: 103
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.88
• Shares Outstanding: 21,968,906
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 128,058
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 137,530
• PEG Ratio: -0.31
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.29
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.61
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.68
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.60
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.33
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.09
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 4.07
• 1Y Price Target: $36.00
• Price Target Upside: 30.10% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): 4.54
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $474.94M

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: $30.00 ▲(8.42% Upside)

The score is driven primarily by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield) and solid underlying financial performance (strong margins and growth), supported by positive earnings-call guidance and shareholder-return initiatives. This is tempered by weaker technical momentum and financial risks from declining free cash flow and rising debt.

Positive Factors

Successful Acquisition

The successful integration of Silverback enhances production capacity and operational efficiency, strengthening market position and long-term growth.

Midstream Asset Divestiture

Divesting midstream assets allows REPX to streamline operations, reduce debt, and concentrate resources on core upstream activities, enhancing strategic focus.

Share Buyback Program

The buyback program reflects confidence in financial health and operational performance, enhancing shareholder value and capital return strategy.

Negative Factors

Increasing Debt Levels

Rising debt levels could strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term stability if not managed carefully.

Weak Free Cash Flow

Declining free cash flow may limit future investment opportunities and affect the company's ability to fund growth initiatives sustainably.

Increased Operating Expenses

Higher operating expenses from acquired assets could pressure margins and reduce profitability, challenging cost management efforts over the long term.

Riley Exploration Permian Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in Texas and New Mexico. The company's activities are primarily focused on the San Andres Formation, a shelf margin deposit on the Central Basin Platform and Northwest Shelf. Its acreage is primarily located on contiguous blocks in Yoakum County, Texas; and Lea and Roosevelt Counties, New Mexico. As of September 30, 2021, the company had approximately 31,352 net acres and a total of 77 net producing wells. Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

How the Company Makes Money

Riley Exploration Permian generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company operates its own wells and typically sells its produced hydrocarbons to various third-party purchasers, including refineries and marketers. Key revenue streams include the sale of produced oil and gas volumes at prevailing market prices, which can fluctuate based on global supply and demand dynamics. Additionally, REPX may benefit from hedging activities that protect against price volatility. Significant partnerships with midstream companies also help in transporting and processing its production, ensuring access to markets and optimizing earnings. The company’s focus on efficient operations and cost management further enhances its profitability in a competitive environment.

Riley Exploration Permian Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Riley Exploration Permian demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and healthy profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable, though increasing debt levels warrant attention. Cash flow generation is robust, but the decline in free cash flow growth could be a concern.

Income Statement

Riley Exploration Permian shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 14.9%. The company maintains healthy profitability, evidenced by a gross profit margin of 53.8% and a net profit margin of 24.4%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 38.9% and 58.8%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, there is a slight decline in gross profit margin compared to the previous year.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50, suggesting manageable leverage. The return on equity is solid at 18.2%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 47.5%, showing a stable capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the past year could pose a risk if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong with a coverage ratio of 2.12, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow has decreased by 8.7% in the TTM period, which may impact future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 51.7%, showing a reasonable conversion of earnings to cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	397.40M	410.18M	375.05M	321.74M	151.04M	3.04M
Gross Profit	226.92M	234.03M	220.87M	237.45M	93.93M	-710.00K
EBITDA	227.85M	223.50M	252.53M	182.81M	-4.15M	-3.00M
Net Income	86.37M	88.90M	111.59M	118.01M	-65.67M	-3.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.19B	993.50M	945.71M	515.29M	396.17M	5.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	16.46M	13.12M	15.32M	13.30M	8.32M	1.56M
Total Debt	374.95M	277.17M	362.00M	60.61M	67.53M	119.00K
Total Liabilities	624.84M	482.89M	524.12M	181.85M	158.33M	2.66M
Stockholders Equity	566.50M	510.62M	421.60M	333.45M	237.84M	2.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	101.73M	116.35M	65.89M	42.03M	25.59M	-1.66M
Operating Cash Flow	214.05M	246.27M	207.19M	170.29M	86.08M	-1.55M
Investing Cash Flow	-247.34M	-147.84M	-469.56M	-128.26M	-55.74M	-71.00K
Financing Cash Flow	36.43M	-100.63M	264.38M	-37.05M	-14.94M	126.00K

Riley Exploration Permian Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 27.67
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REPX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.13, above the 50-day MA of 26.25, and above the 200-day MA of 26.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for REPX.

Riley Exploration Permian Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
REPX	76 Outperform	$578.88M	6.46	16.09%	5.96%	-2.43%	-28.19%
SD	72 Outperform	$503.80M	7.64	14.08%	3.19%	29.52%	41.02%
EGY	68 Neutral	$376.37M	13.32	5.65%	7.20%	-23.00%	-68.20%
GRNT	67 Neutral	$573.57M	15.10	5.74%	9.36%	18.56%	-21.43%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%

Riley Exploration Permian Corporate Events

Riley Exploration Permian Completes Major Midstream Asset Divestiture

On December 3, 2025, Riley Exploration Permian, through its wholly owned subsidiary Riley Exploration – Permian, LLC, completed the sale of all membership interests in its midstream subsidiary Dovetail Midstream, LLC and related midstream infrastructure in Eddy County, New Mexico, to Targa Northern Delaware LLC for approximately $111 million in cash, subject to customary adjustments, with a second closing on December 24, 2025 for additional compressor station assets for about $10 million plus $1.4 million in reimbursed capital improvements. The company has provided unaudited pro forma condensed consolidated financial statements showing the impact of the transaction, including derecognition of the divested midstream assets, recognition of the resulting gain under applicable accounting guidance, and application of sale proceeds to pay down its revolving credit facility, illustrating a shift toward a more streamlined balance sheet and a more focused upstream portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (REPX) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Riley Exploration Permian stock, see the REPX Stock Forecast page.

Riley Permian Announces $100M Share Buyback Program

On December 15, 2025, Riley Permian’s Board authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million over 24 months, allowing the company to buy back shares through various transactions. This initiative is part of Riley Permian’s strategy to return capital to shareholders and reflects confidence in its operational performance and financial strength, following the closure of a midstream sale.

The most recent analyst rating on (REPX) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Riley Exploration Permian stock, see the REPX Stock Forecast page.

Riley Exploration Permian Sells Subsidiary for $111 Million

On December 3, 2025, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. announced the sale of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Dovetail Midstream, LLC, to Targa Northern Delaware LLC for approximately $111 million. The transaction aims to reduce the company’s borrowings and allow it to focus on upstream asset development, including a recent acquisition, while potentially earning an additional $60 million based on performance thresholds.

The most recent analyst rating on (REPX) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Riley Exploration Permian stock, see the REPX Stock Forecast page.