Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $549.22M
• Dividend Yield: 6.16%
• Average Volume (3M): 129.47K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.12
• Revenue Growth: -2.43%
• EPS Growth: -28.19%
• Country: US
• Employees: 103
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.88
• Shares Outstanding: 21,968,906
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 128,901
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 129,470
• PEG Ratio: -0.31
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.29
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.61
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.68
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.69
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.33
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.69
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 4.67
• 1Y Price Target: $36.00
• Price Target Upside: 30.10% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: $28.00 ▲(1.19% Upside)

Riley Exploration Permian's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and an attractive valuation, supported by a positive earnings call. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score. The company's strategic initiatives and financial discipline are key strengths, but investors should be cautious of the current technical trends.

Riley Exploration Permian Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused primarily on the Permian Basin in West Texas and southeastern New Mexico. The company engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and natural gas properties, leveraging advanced technology and operational expertise to optimize production and enhance efficiency. REPX is dedicated to sustainable practices and aims to maximize shareholder value through strategic asset management and resource development.

How the Company Makes Money

Riley Exploration Permian generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of oil and natural gas. The company's revenue model is largely based on the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, which are sold to various customers, including refiners and marketers. Key revenue streams include direct sales from production, as well as potential revenue from joint ventures and partnerships that may involve shared resources or infrastructure. Factors contributing to the company's earnings include market prices for oil and gas, operational efficiency in extraction and production processes, and the strategic acquisition of high-potential properties within the Permian Basin. Additionally, REPX may benefit from hedging strategies to mitigate price volatility and optimize revenue stability.

Riley Exploration Permian Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Riley Exploration Permian demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and healthy profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable, though increasing debt levels warrant attention. Cash flow generation is robust, but the decline in free cash flow growth could be a concern.

Income Statement

Riley Exploration Permian shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 14.9%. The company maintains healthy profitability, evidenced by a gross profit margin of 53.8% and a net profit margin of 24.4%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 38.9% and 58.8%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, there is a slight decline in gross profit margin compared to the previous year.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50, suggesting manageable leverage. The return on equity is solid at 18.2%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 47.5%, showing a stable capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the past year could pose a risk if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong with a coverage ratio of 2.12, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow has decreased by 8.7% in the TTM period, which may impact future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 51.7%, showing a reasonable conversion of earnings to cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2020	Dec 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue	397.40M	410.18M	375.05M	321.74M	3.04M	4.91M
Gross Profit	251.00M	234.03M	220.87M	237.45M	-710.00K	797.00K
EBITDA	198.60M	223.50M	252.53M	182.81M	-3.00M	262.00K
Net Income	86.37M	88.90M	111.59M	118.01M	-3.65M	-436.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.19B	993.50M	945.71M	515.29M	5.37M	8.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	16.46M	13.12M	15.32M	13.30M	1.56M	3.06M
Total Debt	367.04M	277.17M	362.00M	60.61M	119.00K	143.00K
Total Liabilities	624.84M	482.89M	524.12M	181.85M	2.66M	2.57M
Stockholders Equity	566.50M	510.62M	421.60M	333.45M	2.71M	6.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	105.13M	116.35M	65.89M	42.03M	-1.66M	-213.00K
Operating Cash Flow	214.05M	246.27M	207.19M	170.29M	-1.55M	226.00K
Investing Cash Flow	-247.34M	-147.84M	-469.56M	-128.26M	-71.00K	-233.00K
Financing Cash Flow	36.43M	-100.63M	264.38M	-37.05M	126.00K	-53.00K

Riley Exploration Permian Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 27.67
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REPX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.31, above the 50-day MA of 26.94, and above the 200-day MA of 27.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for REPX.

Riley Exploration Permian Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
REPX	77 Outperform	$549.22M	6.13	16.09%	6.16%	-2.43%	-28.19%
EGY	72 Outperform	$408.69M	10.66	7.60%	6.38%	-2.71%	-54.82%
SD	72 Outperform	$463.72M	7.05	14.08%	3.68%	29.52%	41.02%
GRNT	68 Neutral	$675.93M	17.91	5.76%	8.54%	18.56%	-21.43%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
VTLE	56 Neutral	$646.12M	-0.48	-54.63%	―	1.85%	-333.76%

Riley Exploration Permian Corporate Events

Riley Permian’s Strong Q3 2025 Performance and Strategic Growth

Riley Exploration Permian Inc., a growth-oriented upstream company, operates in the oil and gas sector with additional midstream and power projects in Texas and New Mexico. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant production increases and strategic acquisitions. Key highlights include a 33% increase in total equivalent production, a $120 million acquisition of Silverback Exploration II, and a 5% dividend increase. Financially, Riley Permian generated $107 million in revenues and $64 million in operating cash flow, while maintaining a disciplined capital expenditure approach. Looking ahead, the company remains optimistic about its growth prospects, with plans to enhance its midstream infrastructure and power projects to support future operations.

Riley Exploration Permian Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges

Riley Exploration Permian Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment marked by solid operational performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company celebrated achievements such as the successful Silverback acquisition and record safety metrics, yet acknowledged challenges like production constraints due to infrastructure issues, decreased oil prices, and increased debt. Despite these hurdles, Riley demonstrated cost reduction achievements and highlighted its continued growth potential.

Riley Exploration Permian Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results

Riley Exploration Permian Inc. is a growth-oriented upstream company operating in the oil and gas sector, primarily focusing on exploration and production activities in Texas and New Mexico, with complementary midstream and power projects. In its second quarter of 2025, Riley Permian reported a total equivalent production of 24.4 MBoe/d, generating $34 million in operating cash flow and $30 million in net income. The company also completed the acquisition of Silverback Exploration II, LLC for $142 million, enhancing its regional footprint and potential for future growth. Key financial metrics included $85 million in revenues and $59 million in Adjusted EBITDAX, with a reported $19 million gain on derivatives. The company faced challenges due to lower oil prices and infrastructure constraints but managed to generate significant free cash flow and adjusted its capital budget accordingly. Looking ahead, Riley Permian plans to focus on expanding its midstream infrastructure and power projects, with a positive outlook on increasing production and operational efficiency in the coming quarters.