Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $638.78M
• Dividend Yield: 5.24%
• Average Volume (3M): 120.05K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.3
• Beta (1Y): 1.09
• Revenue Growth: -4.93%
• EPS Growth: -7.56%
• Country: US
• Employees: 103
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 67
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 1.02
• Shares Outstanding: 22,042,244
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 105,158
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 120,050
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.28
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.08
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.86
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.53
• 1Y Price Target: $39.75
• Price Target Upside: 39.82% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: $30.00 ▲(5.52% Upside)

Riley Exploration Permian's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supported by strategic acquisitions and operational efficiencies highlighted in the earnings call. However, challenges such as declining revenue growth and infrastructure-related production impacts temper the overall outlook.

Riley Exploration Permian Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused primarily on the Permian Basin in West Texas and southeastern New Mexico. The company engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and natural gas properties, leveraging advanced technology and operational expertise to optimize production and enhance efficiency. REPX is dedicated to sustainable practices and aims to maximize shareholder value through strategic asset management and resource development.

How the Company Makes Money

Riley Exploration Permian generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of oil and natural gas. The company's revenue model is largely based on the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, which are sold to various customers, including refiners and marketers. Key revenue streams include direct sales from production, as well as potential revenue from joint ventures and partnerships that may involve shared resources or infrastructure. Factors contributing to the company's earnings include market prices for oil and gas, operational efficiency in extraction and production processes, and the strategic acquisition of high-potential properties within the Permian Basin. Additionally, REPX may benefit from hedging strategies to mitigate price volatility and optimize revenue stability.

Riley Exploration Permian Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Riley Exploration Permian demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, with solid margins and a balanced leverage position. However, the decline in revenue and free cash flow growth in the TTM suggests potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum. The company remains financially stable with effective cash generation, but should focus on reversing the negative growth trends to sustain long-term success.

Income Statement

Riley Exploration Permian shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 50% and a solid net profit margin of 24.36% in the TTM. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 4.85% in the TTM, indicating a potential slowdown in sales. Despite this, the company maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting efficient operations.

Balance Sheet

The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is decent at 18.16%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the overall asset base is strong, supporting financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 9.03% in the TTM, which could be a concern for future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.12, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is over 50%, suggesting a reasonable conversion of income to cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	392.88M	410.18M	375.05M	321.74M	151.04M	4.91M
Gross Profit	211.30M	234.03M	220.87M	237.45M	93.93M	797.00K
EBITDA	231.00M	223.50M	252.53M	307.13M	89.62M	217.00K
Net Income	95.69M	88.90M	111.59M	118.01M	-46.87M	-436.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.03B	993.50M	945.71M	515.29M	388.23M	8.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	14.03M	13.12M	15.32M	13.30M	17.07M	3.06M
Total Debt	279.45M	277.17M	356.94M	56.00M	60.00M	143.00K
Total Liabilities	476.69M	482.89M	524.12M	181.85M	166.54M	2.57M
Stockholders Equity	556.88M	510.62M	421.60M	333.45M	221.69M	6.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	115.09M	116.35M	65.89M	42.03M	25.59M	-213.00K
Operating Cash Flow	222.53M	246.27M	207.19M	170.29M	86.08M	226.00K
Investing Cash Flow	-130.64M	-147.84M	-469.56M	-128.26M	-55.74M	-233.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-88.77M	-100.63M	264.38M	-37.05M	-14.94M	-53.00K

Riley Exploration Permian Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 28.43
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REPX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.76, above the 50-day MA of 26.99, and below the 200-day MA of 28.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REPX.

Riley Exploration Permian Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SD	74 Outperform	$434.04M	5.70	16.72%	3.85%	13.75%	87.48%
REPX	72 Outperform	$638.78M	6.29	18.30%	5.24%	-4.93%	-7.56%
EGY	72 Outperform	$410.78M	10.36	7.60%	6.53%	-2.71%	-54.82%
GRNT	70 Neutral	$711.36M	21.57	4.90%	8.26%	9.54%	-42.85%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.28B	7.48	3.19%	5.33%	4.10%	-60.58%
VTLE	58 Neutral	$672.93M	2.02	-30.17%	―	5.26%	-309.56%
TXO	―	$757.12M	44.61	1.92%	16.58%	―	―

Riley Exploration Permian Corporate Events

Riley Exploration Permian Completes $142M Acquisition

On July 1, 2025, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. completed its acquisition of Silverback Exploration II, LLC, which holds oil and gas assets in Eddy County, New Mexico. The acquisition, valued at approximately $142 million, was funded through the company’s credit facility and cash on hand, potentially impacting the company’s operations and market positioning in the Permian Basin.