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Gulfport Energy (GPOR)
NYSE:GPOR

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) AI Stock Analysis

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Gulfport Energy

(NYSE:GPOR)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$210.00
▲(6.01%Upside)
Gulfport Energy shows promising operational improvements and strategic initiatives to enhance shareholder value. However, profitability challenges and a high P/E ratio dampen the attractiveness. The technical analysis indicates strong momentum, but caution is warranted due to overbought signals. Overall, the stock demonstrates potential, but existing risks need careful monitoring.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Management reiterated guidance across the board, implying total production roughly flat despite a decrease in base capex, highlighting continued operational efficiency gains.
Stock Value
The price objective for the stock has been raised to $217, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock value.
Valuation
GPOR trades at a discounted valuation compared to its peers, highlighting its strong free cash flow generation.
Negative Factors
Appalachian Scale
GPOR is favored for its asset base, yield, and access to premium markets, despite a belief that greater Appalachian scale could benefit the company.
Inventory Depth Concerns
GPOR's underperformance to peers creates a positive risk-reward setup and the wide discount more than reflects inventory depth concerns.

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gulfport Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company based in the United States. The company primarily focuses on the exploration, development, and acquisition of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids reserves in North America, with core operations concentrated in the Utica Shale in Ohio and the SCOOP (South Central Oklahoma Oil Province) play in Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyGulfport Energy generates revenue through the sale of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids extracted from its reserves. The company earns money by identifying and acquiring properties with promising hydrocarbon potential, developing extraction strategies, and efficiently producing these energy resources. Revenue streams are primarily driven by the volume of hydrocarbons produced and the prevailing market prices for these commodities. Gulfport Energy may also engage in strategic partnerships to optimize production capabilities or share technological expertise, which can enhance operational efficiency and profitability. Additionally, the company might employ hedging strategies to manage commodity price volatility and ensure more stable cash flows.

Gulfport Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall, Gulfport Energy demonstrated strong operational and financial performance in the first quarter of 2025 with significant share repurchases and operational efficiencies. However, the company faced challenges with production declines and weather-related cost increases. The sentiment leans towards positive due to the outweighing highlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
Gulfport Energy started 2025 with results exceeding internal expectations, realizing a $0.45 per Mcfe premium to NYMEX Henry Hub on a natural gas price equivalent basis.
Significant Share Repurchase
The company repurchased $60 million of Gulfport common shares, reducing the share count by approximately 17% at a weighted average price 40% below the current share price.
Operational Improvements and Efficiencies
The company experienced a 28% improvement in footage drilled per day over full year 2024 and reduced spud to rig release days by over 30%.
Strong Financial Position
Net cash provided by operating activities totaled approximately $207 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $218 million and adjusted free cash flow of $36.6 million for the first quarter.
Positive Production Results
Brought online seven gross Utica wells in March with early production rates nearly double those of nearby wells.
Negative Updates
Production Decline in Early 2025
The company experienced a sequential decline in production during the first quarter, potentially missing out on higher demand and pricing.
Winter Weather Impact
First quarter operating costs were impacted by winter weather operations, leading to slightly higher per unit costs.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Gulfport Energy Corporation delivered results that exceeded expectations, with a $0.45 per Mcfe premium to NYMEX Henry Hub natural gas prices and an average daily production of 929 million cubic feet equivalent per day. The company maintained its full-year production guidance of 1.04 to 1.065 million cubic feet equivalent per day, driven by a forecasted 20% growth in natural gas volumes by Q4 2025. Gulfport reaffirmed its full-year operated drilling and completion capital guidance of $335 million to $355 million, with cash operating costs at $1.31 per Mcfe. The company generated adjusted EBITDA of $218 million and adjusted free cash flow of $36.6 million. Gulfport repurchased 341,000 shares for $60 million during the quarter, with $356 million still available under its $1 billion share repurchase program. The company strategically shifted capital allocation towards natural gas drilling for the second half of 2025, reflecting a positive outlook for natural gas in 2026.

Gulfport Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gulfport Energy shows resilience in cash flow generation despite revenue and profit challenges. The balance sheet remains stable with controlled leverage, but the income statement reflects ongoing profitability issues. The company needs to address revenue volatility and improve profit margins to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Gulfport Energy's revenue has shown volatility, with a recent decline from $1,051.38 million to $951.38 million (TTM), reflecting a challenging market environment. The company has faced profitability issues, evidenced by a negative EBIT and net income margins. The gross profit margin remains positive, suggesting operational efficiency, but the overall profitability is heavily impacted by high operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating some level of leverage but not excessively high. Stockholders' equity has increased, contributing to a higher equity ratio, which enhances financial stability. However, the company's assets have decreased over the years, reflecting potential asset sales or depreciation.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains strong and provides a good cushion against net income losses, as evidenced by a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio. Free cash flow shows modest growth, which is positive, but capital expenditures continue to consume a significant portion of cash flows, limiting flexibility.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
951.38M928.60M1.05B2.33B1.50B801.25M
Gross Profit
464.04M505.36M663.02M2.00B809.35M50.95M
EBIT
-380.61M-236.76M974.85M1.55B755.71M-77.89M
EBITDA
-17.49M68.24M1.33B822.24M401.29M-1.26B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-313.88M-261.39M1.47B494.70M138.16M-1.63B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.34M1.47M1.93M7.26M3.26M89.86M
Total Assets
2.95B2.87B3.27B2.53B2.17B2.54B
Total Debt
701.50M708.96M681.68M720.87M713.27M253.74M
Net Debt
696.16M707.48M679.75M713.61M710.01M163.88M
Total Liabilities
1.26B1.12B1.06B1.65B1.56B2.84B
Stockholders Equity
1.69B1.75B2.21B881.13M607.37M-300.50M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
195.11M195.94M185.82M278.30M155.70M-271.98M
Operating Cash Flow
639.29M650.03M723.18M739.08M465.14M95.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-445.82M-455.99M-537.23M-458.30M-297.94M-314.59M
Financing Cash Flow
-196.34M-194.50M-191.28M-276.78M-253.81M303.08M

Gulfport Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price198.10
Price Trends
50DMA
183.40
Positive
100DMA
181.60
Positive
200DMA
171.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.83
Positive
RSI
60.27
Neutral
STOCH
74.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPOR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 198.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 193.01, above the 50-day MA of 183.40, and above the 200-day MA of 171.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPOR.

Gulfport Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NONOG
80
Outperform
$3.11B4.9129.41%5.60%24.27%5.01%
CRCRC
75
Outperform
$4.20B8.5417.86%3.28%41.68%53.13%
MUMUR
74
Outperform
$3.63B9.767.54%5.11%-14.90%-27.53%
SMSM
72
Outperform
$3.18B3.8920.28%2.83%26.04%11.96%
BSBSM
70
Outperform
$2.85B14.7319.93%10.78%-12.71%-39.85%
63
Neutral
$3.52B16.69-16.01%10.44%-139.05%
58
Neutral
$7.55B3.49-4.45%10.15%0.79%-49.51%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPOR
Gulfport Energy
198.10
46.51
30.68%
MUR
Murphy Oil
25.02
-12.18
-32.74%
NOG
Northern Oil And Gas
31.52
-3.95
-11.14%
SM
SM Energy
27.76
-18.71
-40.26%
BSM
Black Stone Minerals
13.48
-0.64
-4.53%
CRC
California Resources Corp
47.10
-1.61
-3.31%

Gulfport Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Gulfport Energy Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Gulfport Energy Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The election of directors saw Timothy Cutt, David Wolf, Jason Martinez, Jeannie Powers, David Reganato, John Reinhart, and Mary Shafer-Malicki elected to serve until the 2026 meeting. Additionally, the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent auditors for 2025 was ratified, executive compensation was approved on a non-binding basis, and an amendment to the company’s certificate of incorporation to provide exculpation for certain officers was passed.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPOR) stock is a Buy with a $245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulfport Energy stock, see the GPOR Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Gulfport Energy Announces Stock Purchase Agreement
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Gulfport Energy Corporation announced a purchase agreement to buy 76,986 shares of its common stock from Silver Point Capital, L.P. at a 1.7% discount, totaling approximately $15 million. This transaction is part of Gulfport’s $1 billion share repurchase program, which has already seen the repurchase of about 6 million shares, and will leave $324.4 million available for future repurchases, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPOR) stock is a Buy with a $245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulfport Energy stock, see the GPOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Gulfport Energy Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Gulfport Energy reported its financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a total net production of 929.3 MMcfe per day and a 14% increase in net liquids production compared to the first quarter of 2024. The company incurred capital expenditures of $159.8 million and reported a net loss of $0.5 million, while generating $177.3 million in net cash from operating activities. Gulfport reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting a 20% increase in natural gas production by the fourth quarter, and plans to shift drilling activity towards dry gas Utica development to enhance 2026 economics. The company also achieved significant drilling and completion efficiencies, with a 28% improvement in average drilling footage per day and record completion efficiencies in April 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.