Gulfport Energy (GPOR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.78B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 286.23K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.80
• Revenue Growth: 38.16%
• EPS Growth: -115.65%
• Country: US
• Employees: 235
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 5.75
• Shares Outstanding: 18,558,414
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 366,201
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 286,225
• PEG Ratio: -0.04
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.07
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.86
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.75
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.25
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.57
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.05
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 5.27
• 1Y Price Target: $239.43
• Price Target Upside: 21.30% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9
• EPS Forecast (FY): 24.56
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $1.49B

• Rating: 71 Outperform
• Price Target: $218.00 ▲(10.45% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/10/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/10/26

The score is driven primarily by improved 2025 fundamentals (profitability, stronger balance sheet, and robust operating cash flow) and supportive 2026 guidance emphasizing disciplined spending and substantial buybacks. Valuation is also favorable at a low P/E. Offsetting these positives are mixed near-term technicals, the business’s historical earnings/cash-flow volatility, and added uncertainty from the CEO departure.

Positive Factors

Cash generation / FCF

Sustained strong operating cash flow and positive free cash flow in 2025 provide durable internal funding for reinvestment, debt paydown and capital returns. This cash generation reduces refinancing risk, supports the company’s buyback program, and underpins multi-year capital plans if commodity realizations remain supportive.

Improved balance sheet / leverage

Material de‑leveraging versus prior years yields greater financial flexibility and a lower interest burden, enabling disciplined capital allocation. A stronger equity base and sub-1x net leverage provide resilience through downturns and capacity to pursue accretive acreage buys or sustain buybacks without immediate liquidity stress.

Inventory expansion & focused development

Expanding inventory and allocating >75% of 2026 turn‑in‑line activity to high‑return Utica windows preserves multi-year drilling optionality. A deeper, low‑cost inventory supports repeatable returns, steadier development pacing and the ability to prioritize cash generation or growth depending on long‑term commodity economics.

Negative Factors

CEO departure / leadership risk

An abrupt CEO exit introduces governance and execution uncertainty during a critical multi‑year program and repurchase plan. Interim leadership may preserve continuity, but strategic choices, counterparty negotiations and stakeholder confidence can be affected, raising execution risk over the coming 2–6 months.

Historical earnings & cash volatility

Material swings in net income and margins across cycles reduce predictability of free cash flow and complicate capital allocation. Even with a strong 2025, legacy volatility suggests earnings are sensitive to commodity prices and operational disruptions, elevating downside risk for sustained returns.

Low cash on hand; reliance on revolver

Very low cash balances paired with heavy reliance on borrowing base availability make near‑term operations and opportunistic buys contingent on facility access and covenant headroom. If market stress or index movements tighten the revolver, operational flexibility and planned buybacks could be constrained.

Gulfport Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Gulfport Energy Corporation engages in the exploration, development, acquisition, production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States. Its principal properties include Utica Shale covering an area approximately 187,000 net reservoir acres primarily located in Eastern Ohio; and SCOOP covering an area approximately 74,000 net reservoir acres primarily located in Garvin, Grady, and Stephens. As of December 31, 2021, it had 3.9 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent to proved reserves; and proved undeveloped reserves comprising 8 MMbbl oil and 22 MMBbl NGL, and 1,550 Bcf natural gas. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

How the Company Makes Money

Gulfport Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) produced from its wells. The company operates on a revenue model that relies on both spot market sales and long-term contracts with various customers, including utilities and industrial users. Key revenue streams include the sale of hydrocarbons extracted from its properties, which are influenced by market prices for oil and natural gas. Additionally, Gulfport may engage in hedging activities to mitigate the risks associated with commodity price fluctuations. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational capabilities and asset development, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Gulfport Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

2025 reflects a strong recovery with solid profitability (net income ~$396M; ~28% net margin), improved leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.43) and strong cash generation (operating cash flow ~$803M; positive free cash flow ~$276M). The main constraint is cyclicality/volatility across years and a noted data-quality anomaly (reported gross profit of $0), which reduces confidence in margin consistency.

Income Statement

Profitability rebounded strongly in 2025 (annual) with net income of ~$396M and a healthy ~28% net margin, alongside ~14% revenue growth versus 2024. However, earnings and margins have been highly volatile across the cycle (large loss in 2024, unusually high profits in 2023, deep losses in 2020), and 2025 shows a reported gross profit of $0 (data anomaly/quality issue), which reduces confidence in margin consistency.

Balance Sheet

Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity improving materially over time (about 0.43 in 2025 vs. 1.17 in 2021), and equity has expanded to ~$1.83B in 2025. Returns on equity were solid in 2025 (~22%), but the capital structure has a history of stress (negative equity in 2020 and elevated leverage in earlier years), which is a key risk given the commodity-driven business.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is a clear strength: 2025 operating cash flow was ~$803M and comfortably covered net income (operating cash flow to net income ~2.2x), with positive free cash flow of ~$276M. The main weakness is variability—free cash flow declined about 10% in 2025 and was negative in 2020—so cash returns and reinvestment capacity can swing with the operating environment.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.32B	928.60M	1.05B	2.33B	1.50B
Gross Profit	935.12M	532.77M	663.02M	2.00B	809.35M
EBITDA	896.49M	64.03M	1.32B	819.32M	401.29M
Net Income	427.81M	-261.39M	1.47B	494.70M	138.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.03B	2.87B	3.27B	2.53B	2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	46.97M	1.47M	1.93M	7.26M	3.26M
Total Debt	788.75M	708.96M	681.68M	720.87M	713.27M
Total Liabilities	1.19B	1.12B	1.06B	1.65B	1.56B
Stockholders Equity	1.83B	1.75B	2.21B	881.13M	607.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	275.62M	195.94M	185.82M	278.30M	155.70M
Operating Cash Flow	803.19M	650.03M	723.18M	739.08M	465.14M
Investing Cash Flow	-529.18M	-455.99M	-537.23M	-458.30M	-297.94M
Financing Cash Flow	-273.67M	-194.50M	-191.28M	-276.78M	-253.81M

Gulfport Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 197.38
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPOR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 197.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 201.77, above the 50-day MA of 196.76, and above the 200-day MA of 190.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPOR.

Gulfport Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SM	74 Outperform	$6.61B	3.32	14.00%	4.38%	34.93%	-11.85%
GPOR	71 Outperform	$3.78B	8.86	22.73%	―	38.16%	-115.65%
VIST	71 Outperform	$6.84B	6.91	37.31%	―	50.79%	32.97%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
NOG	65 Neutral	$2.77B	54.12	1.69%	8.18%	1.51%	-78.38%
MUR	62 Neutral	$5.44B	42.92	2.03%	4.15%	-13.92%	-68.34%

Gulfport Energy Corporate Events

Gulfport Energy Announces CEO Departure, Implements Interim Leadership

On March 9, 2026, Gulfport Energy announced that President, Chief Executive Officer and Director John Reinhart had elected to leave the company and resign from the board with immediate effect. In response, the board created an Office of the Chairman to oversee the business while an executive search firm is engaged to identify a new chief executive, signaling a formal transition process at the top of the organization.

The interim leadership structure will be led by Chairman Timothy J. Cutt, a former Gulfport CEO, alongside senior executives overseeing finance, operations and legal and administrative functions. The company stated that its 2026 development plan, strategic outlook and capital‑return priorities remain unchanged, aiming to reassure investors and other stakeholders that operational continuity and its focus on efficient, free‑cash‑flow‑driven growth will be maintained despite the abrupt leadership change.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPOR) stock is a Buy with a $236.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulfport Energy stock, see the GPOR Stock Forecast page.

Gulfport Energy Expands Share Repurchase With Discounted Buyback

On March 3, 2026, Gulfport Energy Corporation agreed to repurchase 84,416 shares of its common stock from accounts managed by Silver Point Capital at $204.22 per share, a 2.3% discount to the prior day’s NYSE closing price, for total consideration of about $17.2 million. The transaction, expected to close on March 9, 2026, falls under Gulfport’s existing $1.5 billion share repurchase program and will reduce its remaining capacity, signaling continued deployment of capital toward buybacks and a tighter share count for existing investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPOR) stock is a Buy with a $228.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulfport Energy stock, see the GPOR Stock Forecast page.

Gulfport Energy Posts Strong 2025 Results, Guides 2026 Growth

On February 24, 2026, Gulfport Energy reported its financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, highlighting net production of 1.10 Bcfe per day in the quarter, up 4% year on year, and flat full-year production at 1.04 Bcfe per day alongside a 29% increase in liquids output. The company generated $427.8 million in net income and $878.5 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2025, returned more than 100% of adjusted free cash flow to shareholders via stock buybacks, and expanded its Marcellus and Utica inventory by over 40% since 2022, while maintaining leverage below 1.0x and liquidity of $806.1 million at year-end.

For 2026, Gulfport guided to adjusted free cash flow growth on capital spending of $400 million to $430 million, net daily equivalent production of 1.030 to 1.055 Bcfe including known downtime, and roughly 5% growth in both fourth-quarter production and net liquids volumes versus 2025. Management plans to continue discretionary acreage acquisitions expected to total about $100 million by the end of the first quarter of 2026, pursue new Marcellus North activity and Utica workovers to improve base production, and repurchase more than $140 million of common stock in the first quarter while keeping leverage around 1.0x, underscoring a strategy centered on inventory expansion and aggressive capital returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPOR) stock is a Buy with a $250.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulfport Energy stock, see the GPOR Stock Forecast page.