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Gulfport Energy (GPOR)
NYSE:GPOR

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) AI Stock Analysis

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GPOR

Gulfport Energy

(NYSE:GPOR)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$203.00
▲(14.11% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong cash generation and improved leverage) and a positive earnings outlook emphasizing inventory expansion and shareholder returns. These strengths are tempered by weak technicals (bearish trend signals) and unsupportive valuation metrics (negative P/E and no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
Inventory / Development Runway
A ~40% increase in gross undeveloped inventory to ~700 locations materially extends Gulfport's development runway (about +3 years). This durable resource base provides optionality to stage capital, prioritize high-return wells, and sustain production growth without immediate acreage buys.
Strong Cash Generation
Robust operating cash flow (OCF/net income 2.22) and positive FCF growth indicate the business generates real cash beyond accounting profits. Durable cash conversion supports disciplined reinvestment, debt reduction, and buybacks even through commodity cycles, improving long-term financial flexibility.
Simplified Capital Structure & Share Returns
Redeeming preferred equity and a consistent repurchase program simplify the capital structure and signal capital allocation discipline. Returning ~$785M since 2022 and planned repurchases materially reduce fixed claims on cash and increase optionality for shareholders and future strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Weak Bottom-line Profitability
Despite solid gross margins, Gulfport's net margin is very low and ROE is negative, showing difficulty converting revenue into shareholder returns. Structural margin compression or elevated non‑operating costs could limit retained earnings and long-term capital reinvestment capacity.
Earnings Volatility
Severely negative EPS growth reflects high earnings volatility and suggests episodic impairments, nonrecurring items, or sensitivity to volume/timing. Persistent EPS swings undermine multi‑period planning, make funding and buyback targets less predictable, and raise execution risk.
Third-Party Midstream Dependence
Reliance on third‑party midstream infrastructure creates structural operational risk: external outages and planned maintenance can curtail production and force discretionary spend to mitigate impacts. This reduces production predictability and can raise unit operating costs over time.

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gulfport Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGulfport Energy Corporation engages in the exploration, development, acquisition, production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States. Its principal properties include Utica Shale covering an area approximately 187,000 net reservoir acres primarily located in Eastern Ohio; and SCOOP covering an area approximately 74,000 net reservoir acres primarily located in Garvin, Grady, and Stephens. As of December 31, 2021, it had 3.9 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent to proved reserves; and proved undeveloped reserves comprising 8 MMbbl oil and 22 MMBbl NGL, and 1,550 Bcf natural gas. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyGulfport Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) produced from its wells. The company operates on a revenue model that relies on both spot market sales and long-term contracts with various customers, including utilities and industrial users. Key revenue streams include the sale of hydrocarbons extracted from its properties, which are influenced by market prices for oil and natural gas. Additionally, Gulfport may engage in hedging activities to mitigate the risks associated with commodity price fluctuations. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational capabilities and asset development, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Gulfport Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Gulfport Energy demonstrated strong performance with significant inventory expansion, financial achievements, and increased production. However, operational challenges and anticipated downtime pose risks moving forward.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Inventory Expansion
Gulfport Energy increased its gross undeveloped inventory by more than 40% since year-end 2022, now estimating approximately 700 gross locations, effectively extending its net economic inventory by approximately 3 years.
Financial Milestones Achieved
Completed the redemption of preferred equity, simplifying the capital structure and complementing the ongoing equity repurchase program, with $785 million returned to shareholders since March 2022.
Production Increase
Average daily production totaled 1.12 billion cubic feet equivalent per day, an 11% increase over the second quarter of 2025.
Strong Financial Results
Reported adjusted EBITDA of approximately $213 million and generated adjusted free cash flow of approximately $103 million during the third quarter.
Attractive Gas Pricing
All-in realized price for the third quarter was $3.37 per Mcfe, reflecting a premium of $0.30 above the NYMEX Henry Hub index price.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges and Downtime
Unplanned third-party midstream occurrences affected production, and planned third-party midstream maintenance is expected to impact first quarter 2026 production.
Company Guidance
During Gulfport Energy Corporation's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided substantial guidance on its strategic initiatives and financial outlook. Gulfport announced a 40% increase in gross undeveloped inventory since year-end 2022, estimating approximately 700 gross locations across its asset base, supported by strategic discretionary acreage acquisitions totaling over $100 million since mid-2023. The company highlighted a significant milestone by completing the redemption of its preferred equity, simplifying its capital structure, and facilitating an equity repurchase program, with plans to allocate an additional $125 million towards repurchases in the fourth quarter of 2025. Gulfport's average daily production reached 1.12 billion cubic feet equivalent per day, a growth of 11% over the previous quarter, with expectations to maintain a full-year production of approximately 1.04 billion cubic feet equivalent per day. The company remains committed to high-value capital allocation with plans to invest around $30 million in discretionary appraisal development and $35 million to mitigate forecasted production impacts in early 2026, all while maintaining a leverage ratio forecasted to be at or below 1x by year-end 2025.

Gulfport Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gulfport Energy shows a recovery trajectory with improved revenue growth and strong cash flow metrics. While profitability margins are improving, they remain an area for further enhancement. The balance sheet shows reduced leverage, contributing to financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Gulfport Energy has shown a significant improvement in its revenue growth rate at 14.17% TTM, recovering from previous declines. The gross profit margin is strong at 50.22% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at 1.68% TTM, suggesting challenges in translating revenue into profit. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved but still reflect moderate profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.38 TTM, indicating a more balanced capital structure. Despite a negative return on equity of -5.63% TTM, the equity ratio remains stable at 62.52%, showing a solid asset base. The reduction in leverage is a positive sign, but profitability on equity needs attention.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Gulfport Energy's operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.22 TTM, highlighting strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is positive at 7.56% TTM, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.40, indicating effective cash management. The company shows a solid cash flow position, supporting its operational needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.25B928.60M1.05B2.33B1.50B801.25M
Gross Profit854.92M532.77M663.02M2.00B809.35M507.27M
EBITDA403.04M64.03M1.32B819.32M401.29M-1.26B
Net Income22.15M-261.39M1.47B494.70M138.16M-1.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.93B2.87B3.27B2.53B2.17B2.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.37M1.47M1.93M7.26M3.26M89.86M
Total Debt692.43M708.96M681.68M720.87M713.27M2.26B
Total Liabilities1.10B1.12B1.06B1.65B1.56B2.84B
Stockholders Equity1.83B1.75B2.21B881.13M607.37M-300.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow306.52M195.94M185.82M278.30M155.70M-271.98M
Operating Cash Flow766.61M650.03M723.18M739.08M465.14M95.30M
Investing Cash Flow-461.17M-455.99M-537.23M-458.30M-297.94M-314.59M
Financing Cash Flow-305.30M-194.50M-191.28M-276.78M-253.81M303.08M

Gulfport Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price177.90
Price Trends
50DMA
203.33
Negative
100DMA
191.01
Negative
200DMA
186.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.99
Positive
RSI
31.99
Neutral
STOCH
14.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPOR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 177.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 194.65, below the 50-day MA of 203.33, and below the 200-day MA of 186.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPOR.

Gulfport Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.13B2.9416.58%4.38%34.93%-11.85%
76
Outperform
$4.69B6.8637.10%50.79%32.97%
73
Outperform
$2.31B3.939.56%7.36%-6.52%-32.26%
72
Outperform
$2.24B12.937.95%8.18%1.51%-78.38%
67
Neutral
$4.89B34.952.76%4.15%-13.92%-68.34%
66
Neutral
$3.41B-93.250.08%38.16%-115.65%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPOR
Gulfport Energy
177.90
-17.52
-8.97%
CIVI
Civitas Resources
26.55
-23.66
-47.12%
MUR
Murphy Oil
33.68
2.72
8.79%
NOG
Northern Oil And Gas
22.56
-16.73
-42.59%
SM
SM Energy
18.34
-23.12
-55.76%
VIST
Vista Oil & Gas SAB de CV
48.85
-7.88
-13.89%

Gulfport Energy Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Gulfport Energy Announces $10 Million Share Buyback
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Gulfport Energy Corporation entered into a purchase agreement to buy 45,546 shares of its common stock from Silver Point Capital, L.P. at a 1.0% discount, totaling approximately $10 million. This repurchase is part of Gulfport’s $1.5 billion share repurchase program and is expected to close on December 8, 2025, reducing the remaining availability under the program.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPOR) stock is a Buy with a $260.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulfport Energy stock, see the GPOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Gulfport Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Gulfport Energy reported its third-quarter 2025 financial and operating results, highlighting an 11% increase in total net production and a 15% rise in net liquids production compared to the previous quarter. The company expanded its undeveloped Marcellus inventory by 200% and successfully tested U-development wells in the Utica, unlocking new dry gas locations. Gulfport plans to invest up to $100 million in discretionary acreage acquisitions by early 2026 and allocate $125 million for stock repurchases in the fourth quarter of 2025. The company aims to mitigate production impacts from anticipated midstream maintenance downtime in early 2026 by investing $35 million in discretionary development activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPOR) stock is a Buy with a $250.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulfport Energy stock, see the GPOR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026