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Gulfport Energy (GPOR)
NYSE:GPOR

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) AI Stock Analysis

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GPOR

Gulfport Energy

(NYSE:GPOR)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$231.00
▲(13.61% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/10/26
The score is driven primarily by improved 2025 fundamentals (profitability, stronger balance sheet, and robust operating cash flow) and supportive 2026 guidance emphasizing disciplined spending and substantial buybacks. Valuation is also favorable at a low P/E. Offsetting these positives are mixed near-term technicals, the business’s historical earnings/cash-flow volatility, and added uncertainty from the CEO departure.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Sustained high operating cash flow and positive free cash flow in 2025 provide durable internal funding for reinvestment, debt reduction and shareholder returns. Strong cash conversion supports the company’s ability to execute multi-year drilling plans and buybacks even through commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
CEO departure / governance
An abrupt CEO exit and interim governance structure introduce execution and strategic risk during a critical multi-year program. Leadership transition can delay decisions on capital deployment, marketing strategy and major hires, creating persistent uncertainty until a permanent CEO is appointed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Sustained high operating cash flow and positive free cash flow in 2025 provide durable internal funding for reinvestment, debt reduction and shareholder returns. Strong cash conversion supports the company’s ability to execute multi-year drilling plans and buybacks even through commodity cycles.
Read all positive factors

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gulfport Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Gulfport Energy Corporation engages in the exploration, development, acquisition, production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States. Its principal properties include Utica Shale covering an area approximately...
How the Company Makes Money
Gulfport primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—natural gas, crude oil, and NGLs—into wholesale energy markets. Revenue is largely generated from: (1) natural gas sales, typically priced based on market indices and adjusted fo...

Gulfport Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Sales by Segment
Sales by Segment
Breakdown of revenue across business lines or regions (for example gas, liquids, midstream, asset sales). Reveals which parts of Gulfport drive revenue and profit, how diversified the business is, and where management is allocating capital. Large shifts between segments can signal changes in strategy, asset sales, or concentration risk.
Chart InsightsNatural gas remains the revenue driver but after the 2022 peak it swung lower then staged a clear recovery through 2025, while Oil & Condensate and NGL contributions materially increase in mid‑2025—shifting the mix toward higher‑value liquids. Management’s expanded inventory, production growth and realized price premium underpin stronger cash flow and aggressive buybacks/deleveraging, but recurring third‑party midstream outages and planned maintenance pose a near‑term risk to early‑2026 volumes and the durability of this improved revenue mix.
Data provided by:The Fly

Gulfport Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive outlook: strong Q4 cash generation and adjusted free cash flow, low leverage (0.9x), substantial liquidity ($806M), an aggressive share repurchase plan (> $140M in 2026), and a disciplined capital program focused on high-return Utica dry and wet gas ( >75% of 2026 turn-in-line weighting). Management tightened basis forecasts (25% improvement) and expects Q4 2026 production to be ~5% above 2025, supporting confidence in free cash flow growth. The primary negatives are temporary production downtime (including a quantified ~10 MMcf/d impact), a modest expected increase in per-unit operating costs due to higher NGL mix, and a 2025 dip in completion pumping hours (18 vs 21 hours/day prior year). Overall, the positive operational and financial metrics and clear capital allocation priorities outweigh the near-term execution and market risks.
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Financial Performance
Q4 net cash provided by operating activities before changes in working capital was ~$222,000,000 (more than double Q4 capital expenditures), adjusted EBITDA was $235,000,000, and adjusted free cash flow was $120,000,000, supporting repurchases and acreage activity.
Negative Updates
Near-Term Production Downtime and Weather Impacts
2026 production outlook incorporates temporary downtime from simultaneous operations of an offsetting operator, planned third-party midstream maintenance, and winter storm Fern impacts. Management quantified these planned/known impacts as approximately 10,000,000 cubic feet per day (Mmcf/d) in 2026 and built them into guidance.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Q4 Financial Performance
Q4 net cash provided by operating activities before changes in working capital was ~$222,000,000 (more than double Q4 capital expenditures), adjusted EBITDA was $235,000,000, and adjusted free cash flow was $120,000,000, supporting repurchases and acreage activity.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Gulfport's 2026 guidance calls for total capital spending of $400–$430 million (including $35–$40M of maintenance land and seismic — ~$5M of which is proprietary 3D — and approximately $15M for base-production workovers), with ~60% of D&C capital deployed in 2026, ~75%+ of turn‑in‑line activity weighted to Utica dry‑ and wet‑gas, and an incremental $10M in Marcellus North to drill two Jefferson County wells as DUCs; the company expects to complete the discretionary acreage program at the high end (~$100M total, $62.9M already deployed) at roughly $2M per net location, adding >2 years of core drilling inventory, >5.5 years of net locations (plus four years of delineated Marcellus) and expanding growth inventory >40%. Production is guided to 1.03–1.055 Bcfe/d in 2026 (flat to FY2025 average of 1.040 Bcfe/d) with Q4 2026 up ~5% vs 2025, per‑unit operating costs of $1.23–$1.34/Mcfe (versus Q4 2025 cash operating costs of $1.25/Mcfe), a tightened full‑year differential of $0.15–$0.30/Mcf below NYMEX (25% improvement vs 2025), a plan to deploy >$140M to share repurchases while maintaining leverage at or below ~1.0x (year‑end 2025 leverage 0.9x) and ending liquidity of $806M (cash $1.8M + $804.3M revolver availability), with management forecasting meaningful adjusted free cash flow upside versus 2025 under current strip pricing.

Gulfport Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
2025 reflects a strong recovery with solid profitability (net income ~$396M; ~28% net margin), improved leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.43) and strong cash generation (operating cash flow ~$803M; positive free cash flow ~$276M). The main constraint is cyclicality/volatility across years and a noted data-quality anomaly (reported gross profit of $0), which reduces confidence in margin consistency.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
Cash Flow
76
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.32B928.60M1.05B2.33B1.50B
Gross Profit935.12M532.77M663.02M2.00B809.35M
EBITDA896.49M64.03M1.32B819.32M401.29M
Net Income427.81M-261.39M1.47B494.70M138.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.03B2.87B3.27B2.53B2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments46.97M1.47M1.93M7.26M3.26M
Total Debt788.75M708.96M681.68M720.87M713.27M
Total Liabilities1.19B1.12B1.06B1.65B1.56B
Stockholders Equity1.83B1.75B2.21B881.13M607.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow275.62M195.94M185.82M278.30M155.70M
Operating Cash Flow803.19M650.03M723.18M739.08M465.14M
Investing Cash Flow-529.18M-455.99M-537.23M-458.30M-297.94M
Financing Cash Flow-273.67M-194.50M-191.28M-276.78M-253.81M

Gulfport Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price203.33
Price Trends
50DMA
203.92
Negative
100DMA
202.81
Positive
200DMA
191.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.01
Positive
RSI
46.72
Neutral
STOCH
28.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPOR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 203.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 206.06, below the 50-day MA of 203.92, and above the 200-day MA of 191.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPOR.

Gulfport Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.75B3.3214.00%4.38%34.93%-11.85%
71
Outperform
$3.77B8.8622.73%38.16%-115.65%
70
Outperform
$6.17B6.9137.31%50.79%32.97%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$5.40B42.922.03%4.15%-13.92%-68.34%
65
Neutral
$2.83B54.121.69%8.18%1.51%-78.38%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPOR
Gulfport Energy
203.33
42.61
26.51%
MUR
Murphy Oil
37.81
18.81
99.04%
NOG
Northern Oil And Gas
27.11
6.80
33.51%
SM
SM Energy
28.33
8.02
39.51%
VIST
Vista Energy SAB de CV
65.08
29.80
84.47%

Gulfport Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Gulfport Energy Announces CEO Departure, Implements Interim Leadership
Negative
Mar 9, 2026
On March 9, 2026, Gulfport Energy announced that President, Chief Executive Officer and Director John Reinhart had elected to leave the company and resign from the board with immediate effect. In response, the board created an Office of the Chairm...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Gulfport Energy Expands Share Repurchase With Discounted Buyback
Positive
Mar 4, 2026
On March 3, 2026, Gulfport Energy Corporation agreed to repurchase 84,416 shares of its common stock from accounts managed by Silver Point Capital at $204.22 per share, a 2.3% discount to the prior day’s NYSE closing price, for total conside...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Gulfport Energy Posts Strong 2025 Results, Guides 2026 Growth
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
On February 24, 2026, Gulfport Energy reported its financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, highlighting net production of 1.10 Bcfe per day in the quarter, up 4% year on year, and flat full-year production at 1.0...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026