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Gulfport Energy (GPOR)
NYSE:GPOR

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) AI Stock Analysis

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GPOR

Gulfport Energy

(NYSE:GPOR)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$221.00
▲(7.66% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong cash generation and improved leverage) and a positive earnings outlook emphasizing inventory expansion and shareholder returns. These strengths are tempered by weak technicals (bearish trend signals) and unsupportive valuation metrics (negative P/E and no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
A 2.22 operating cash flow to net income ratio and positive free cash flow growth indicate durable ability to convert production into cash. This cash generation supports debt paydown, funding discretionary development, and sizable share repurchases without relying on external financing.
Improved capital structure
Redemption of preferred equity and a reduced debt-to-equity ratio (0.38 TTM) simplify the capital structure and lower leverage-related risk. This creates durable financial flexibility to sustain investment, opportunistic M&A or buybacks, and to absorb commodity cycles with less refinancing pressure.
Large undeveloped inventory
A ~40% increase to ~700 gross locations extends net economic inventory by ~3 years, providing multi-year organic growth optionality. The expanded inventory and selective acreage buys support sustained low-risk drilling, capital efficiency improvements and long-term production scalability.
Negative Factors
Thin net profitability
Despite solid revenue growth, a 1.68% net margin and negative ROE indicate weak translation of revenue into shareholder returns. Persistently thin profitability constrains retained earnings, limits reinvestment capacity, and makes returns sensitive to commodity price or cost shocks over the medium term.
Third-party midstream dependency
Reliance on third-party midstream services introduces sustained operational risk: outages and planned downtime can materially disrupt production timing. Mitigation costs and unpredictability (the company budgeted remediation spending) reduce visibility into medium-term cash flow and growth execution.
Earnings volatility
Severely negative EPS growth signals volatile or structurally challenged earnings generation, undermining predictability of future profits. Persistent EPS swings limit management's ability to fund capex from internal resources and complicate consistent capital-return policies over the 2–6 month horizon and beyond.

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gulfport Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGulfport Energy Corporation engages in the exploration, development, acquisition, production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States. Its principal properties include Utica Shale covering an area approximately 187,000 net reservoir acres primarily located in Eastern Ohio; and SCOOP covering an area approximately 74,000 net reservoir acres primarily located in Garvin, Grady, and Stephens. As of December 31, 2021, it had 3.9 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent to proved reserves; and proved undeveloped reserves comprising 8 MMbbl oil and 22 MMBbl NGL, and 1,550 Bcf natural gas. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyGulfport Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) produced from its wells. The company operates on a revenue model that relies on both spot market sales and long-term contracts with various customers, including utilities and industrial users. Key revenue streams include the sale of hydrocarbons extracted from its properties, which are influenced by market prices for oil and natural gas. Additionally, Gulfport may engage in hedging activities to mitigate the risks associated with commodity price fluctuations. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational capabilities and asset development, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Gulfport Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Sales by Segment
Sales by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Gulfport Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Gulfport Energy demonstrated strong performance with significant inventory expansion, financial achievements, and increased production. However, operational challenges and anticipated downtime pose risks moving forward.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Inventory Expansion
Gulfport Energy increased its gross undeveloped inventory by more than 40% since year-end 2022, now estimating approximately 700 gross locations, effectively extending its net economic inventory by approximately 3 years.
Financial Milestones Achieved
Completed the redemption of preferred equity, simplifying the capital structure and complementing the ongoing equity repurchase program, with $785 million returned to shareholders since March 2022.
Production Increase
Average daily production totaled 1.12 billion cubic feet equivalent per day, an 11% increase over the second quarter of 2025.
Strong Financial Results
Reported adjusted EBITDA of approximately $213 million and generated adjusted free cash flow of approximately $103 million during the third quarter.
Attractive Gas Pricing
All-in realized price for the third quarter was $3.37 per Mcfe, reflecting a premium of $0.30 above the NYMEX Henry Hub index price.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges and Downtime
Unplanned third-party midstream occurrences affected production, and planned third-party midstream maintenance is expected to impact first quarter 2026 production.
Company Guidance
During Gulfport Energy Corporation's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided substantial guidance on its strategic initiatives and financial outlook. Gulfport announced a 40% increase in gross undeveloped inventory since year-end 2022, estimating approximately 700 gross locations across its asset base, supported by strategic discretionary acreage acquisitions totaling over $100 million since mid-2023. The company highlighted a significant milestone by completing the redemption of its preferred equity, simplifying its capital structure, and facilitating an equity repurchase program, with plans to allocate an additional $125 million towards repurchases in the fourth quarter of 2025. Gulfport's average daily production reached 1.12 billion cubic feet equivalent per day, a growth of 11% over the previous quarter, with expectations to maintain a full-year production of approximately 1.04 billion cubic feet equivalent per day. The company remains committed to high-value capital allocation with plans to invest around $30 million in discretionary appraisal development and $35 million to mitigate forecasted production impacts in early 2026, all while maintaining a leverage ratio forecasted to be at or below 1x by year-end 2025.

Gulfport Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid cash-flow strength (operating cash flow to net income 2.22; positive free cash flow growth 7.56%) and improved leverage (debt-to-equity 0.38) support financial stability. Offsetting this, profitability remains thin (net margin 1.68%) and ROE is negative (-5.63%), limiting the score despite the revenue growth recovery (14.17% TTM).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Gulfport Energy has shown a significant improvement in its revenue growth rate at 14.17% TTM, recovering from previous declines. The gross profit margin is strong at 50.22% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at 1.68% TTM, suggesting challenges in translating revenue into profit. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved but still reflect moderate profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.38 TTM, indicating a more balanced capital structure. Despite a negative return on equity of -5.63% TTM, the equity ratio remains stable at 62.52%, showing a solid asset base. The reduction in leverage is a positive sign, but profitability on equity needs attention.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Gulfport Energy's operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.22 TTM, highlighting strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is positive at 7.56% TTM, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.40, indicating effective cash management. The company shows a solid cash flow position, supporting its operational needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.25B928.60M1.05B2.33B1.50B801.25M
Gross Profit854.92M532.77M663.02M2.00B809.35M507.27M
EBITDA403.04M64.03M1.32B819.32M401.29M-1.26B
Net Income22.15M-261.39M1.47B494.70M138.16M-1.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.93B2.87B3.27B2.53B2.17B2.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.37M1.47M1.93M7.26M3.26M89.86M
Total Debt692.43M708.96M681.68M720.87M713.27M2.26B
Total Liabilities1.10B1.12B1.06B1.65B1.56B2.84B
Stockholders Equity1.83B1.75B2.21B881.13M607.37M-300.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow306.52M195.94M185.82M278.30M155.70M-271.98M
Operating Cash Flow766.61M650.03M723.18M739.08M465.14M95.30M
Investing Cash Flow-461.17M-455.99M-537.23M-458.30M-297.94M-314.59M
Financing Cash Flow-305.30M-194.50M-191.28M-276.78M-253.81M303.08M

Gulfport Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price205.28
Price Trends
50DMA
200.60
Positive
100DMA
193.96
Positive
200DMA
188.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.38
Negative
RSI
59.04
Neutral
STOCH
63.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPOR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 205.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 189.61, above the 50-day MA of 200.60, and above the 200-day MA of 188.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPOR.

Gulfport Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.41B7.9937.10%50.79%32.97%
72
Outperform
$2.34B3.989.56%7.36%-6.52%-32.26%
72
Outperform
$2.47B13.827.95%8.18%1.51%-78.38%
72
Outperform
$4.77B3.0116.58%4.38%34.93%-11.85%
66
Neutral
$3.97B-107.610.08%38.16%-115.65%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$4.52B42.502.01%4.15%-13.92%-68.34%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPOR
Gulfport Energy
206.54
25.01
13.78%
CIVI
Civitas Resources
27.38
-17.75
-39.33%
MUR
Murphy Oil
31.70
6.44
25.49%
NOG
Northern Oil And Gas
25.31
-7.98
-23.98%
SM
SM Energy
20.04
-15.87
-44.19%
VIST
Vista Energy SAB de CV
54.14
0.60
1.12%

Gulfport Energy Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Gulfport Energy Announces $10 Million Share Buyback
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Gulfport Energy Corporation entered into a purchase agreement to buy 45,546 shares of its common stock from Silver Point Capital, L.P. at a 1.0% discount, totaling approximately $10 million. This repurchase is part of Gulfport’s $1.5 billion share repurchase program and is expected to close on December 8, 2025, reducing the remaining availability under the program.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPOR) stock is a Buy with a $260.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulfport Energy stock, see the GPOR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Gulfport Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Gulfport Energy reported its third-quarter 2025 financial and operating results, highlighting an 11% increase in total net production and a 15% rise in net liquids production compared to the previous quarter. The company expanded its undeveloped Marcellus inventory by 200% and successfully tested U-development wells in the Utica, unlocking new dry gas locations. Gulfport plans to invest up to $100 million in discretionary acreage acquisitions by early 2026 and allocate $125 million for stock repurchases in the fourth quarter of 2025. The company aims to mitigate production impacts from anticipated midstream maintenance downtime in early 2026 by investing $35 million in discretionary development activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPOR) stock is a Buy with a $250.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulfport Energy stock, see the GPOR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026