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Gulfport Energy (GPOR)
NYSE:GPOR
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Gulfport Energy (GPOR) AI Stock Analysis

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GPOR

Gulfport Energy

(NYSE:GPOR)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$196.00
▲(1.30% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is supported by strong underlying financial performance and a very low earnings multiple, reinforced by a positive earnings call with reaffirmed guidance, strong free cash flow, low leverage, and active buybacks. These strengths are partially offset by weak technical signals (price below major moving averages and negative MACD), which indicate near-term downside momentum despite oversold readings.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow and EBITDA strength
Robust adjusted EBITDA and positive adjusted free cash flow indicate the business is generating operating cash that can fund reinvestment and returns. Over the next 2–6 months, persistent FCF supports buybacks and discretionary capital while providing a cushion against commodity swings.
Negative Factors
Earnings and FCF volatility
Material swings in profitability and free cash flow across years reflect commodity price exposure and cyclicality. Over the next several months, earnings durability remains uncertain since weaker commodity realizations could quickly erode cash generation and pressure capital returns and leverage.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow and EBITDA strength
Robust adjusted EBITDA and positive adjusted free cash flow indicate the business is generating operating cash that can fund reinvestment and returns. Over the next 2–6 months, persistent FCF supports buybacks and discretionary capital while providing a cushion against commodity swings.
Read all positive factors

Gulfport Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Sales by Segment
Sales by Segment
Breakdown of revenue across business lines or regions (for example gas, liquids, midstream, asset sales). Reveals which parts of Gulfport drive revenue and profit, how diversified the business is, and where management is allocating capital. Large shifts between segments can signal changes in strategy, asset sales, or concentration risk.
Chart InsightsNatural gas is the dominant and recovering revenue driver for Gulfport, with 2025 strength aligned to the company’s shift into high‑return Utica dry/wet‑gas. NGLs are gaining share late‑cycle, signaling a wetter production mix that boosts headline sales but, as management warned, will modestly raise per‑unit operating costs—so topline growth may not translate proportionally into free cash flow. Oil & condensate remains a minor, volatile contributor. Management’s acreage buys, tighter basis guidance and buybacks reflect confidence in sustained gas realizations but leave execution and basis risk as key sensitivities.
Data provided by:The Fly

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gulfport Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Gulfport Energy Corporation engages in the exploration, development, acquisition, production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States. Its principal properties include Utica Shale covering an area approximately...
How the Company Makes Money
Gulfport primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—natural gas, crude oil, and NGLs—into wholesale energy markets. Revenue is largely generated from: (1) natural gas sales, typically priced based on market indices and adjusted fo...

Gulfport Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive tone driven by strong Q1 financial results (adjusted EBITDA $264M, adjusted FCF $119M), record share repurchases, disciplined, accretive acreage additions, robust liquidity ($872M) and low net leverage (~0.9x), alongside meaningful drilling and completion efficiency gains and an excellent safety record. The primary negatives were a Q1 per-unit operating cost ($1.38/Mcfe) slightly above full-year guidance range, diesel-related service cost pressures, the inherently capital-intensive nature of the SCOOP requiring consistent repeatability before scaling, and a move to a more dynamic (less prescriptive) share-repurchase communication cadence. On balance, the positive operational and financial developments materially outweigh the modest and manageable headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Results
Generated $264 million of adjusted EBITDA and $119 million of adjusted free cash flow in Q1 2026; Q1 performance described as an "especially strong kickoff" driven by strong commodity pricing and development of high-quality assets.
Negative Updates
Higher Q1 Per-Unit Operating Cost Versus Full-Year Guidance
Q1 cash operating costs were $1.38 per Mcfe, which management noted is likely a quarterly high point and is above the company's full-year per-unit operating cost guidance range of $1.23 to $1.34 per Mcfe.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Financial Results
Generated $264 million of adjusted EBITDA and $119 million of adjusted free cash flow in Q1 2026; Q1 performance described as an "especially strong kickoff" driven by strong commodity pricing and development of high-quality assets.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Gulfport reaffirmed 2026 guidance while highlighting strong Q1 metrics: adjusted EBITDA of $264M and adjusted free cash flow of $119M on average production of 997 MMcfe/d (vs. full‑year guidance of 1.03–1.055 Bcfe/d), with Q1 cash operating costs of $1.38/Mcfe and full‑year per‑unit operating cost guidance of $1.23–$1.34/Mcfe (LOE, midstream, taxes other than income). Q1 capital spend was ~$118M of drilling & completions plus ~$4M of maintenance/land/seismic, discretionary acreage spend totaled ~$102M over the last four quarters (adding >2 years of inventory at ~>$2M per net location and >4.5 years since 2022), and rigs moved from three to two with a plan to transition to one rig after Q2. Balance sheet and capital return targets remain central: borrowing base reaffirmed at $1.1B with a 10% increase in elected commitments, liquidity pro forma of $872M ($2.9M cash + $869.3M revolver), trailing‑12‑month net leverage ~0.9x (target ≤1.0x), Q1 repurchases of 866k shares for ~$172.8M (≈8.2M shares repurchased since program inception at an average ~$133/share, ~ $1.1B returned; >$300M repurchased in the last two quarters, retiring nearly 10% of shares), a plan to maintain active buybacks funded by adjusted FCF and revolver capacity, a back‑half liquids skew moving from Q1’s ~9% toward the low‑teens, and a deliberate hedging posture (roughly 30–40% coverage contemplated for 2027).

Gulfport Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statement scores indicate a strong TTM rebound in profitability and operating cash generation with manageable leverage (Income: 76, Balance Sheet: 74, Cash Flow: 71). The main risk is durability: results and free cash flow have been volatile year-to-year, consistent with a cyclical commodity-exposed profile.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.55B1.32B928.60M1.05B2.33B1.50B
Gross Profit1.04B935.12M532.77M663.02M2.00B809.35M
EBITDA1.25B896.49M64.03M1.32B819.32M401.29M
Net Income594.10M427.81M-261.39M1.47B494.70M138.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.08B3.03B2.87B3.27B2.53B2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.92M46.97M1.47M1.93M7.26M3.26M
Total Debt824.08M788.75M708.96M681.68M720.87M713.27M
Total Liabilities1.27B1.19B1.12B1.06B1.65B1.56B
Stockholders Equity1.81B1.83B1.75B2.21B881.13M607.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow361.66M275.62M195.94M185.82M278.30M155.70M
Operating Cash Flow918.83M803.19M650.03M723.18M739.08M465.14M
Investing Cash Flow-558.82M-529.18M-455.99M-537.23M-458.30M-297.94M
Financing Cash Flow-362.43M-273.67M-194.50M-191.28M-276.78M-253.81M

Gulfport Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price193.48
Price Trends
50DMA
194.75
Negative
100DMA
195.97
Negative
200DMA
192.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.75
Negative
RSI
37.26
Neutral
STOCH
36.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPOR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 193.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 184.99, below the 50-day MA of 194.75, and above the 200-day MA of 192.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPOR.

Gulfport Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$7.22B18.3230.86%66.68%44.46%
70
Outperform
$3.22B5.9232.67%49.58%
67
Neutral
$7.97B-2.682.49%4.38%27.35%-66.88%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$5.41B27.851.64%4.15%-5.06%-77.54%
54
Neutral
$2.50B-1.38-29.09%8.18%-6.81%-197.47%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPOR
Gulfport Energy
178.22
-16.46
-8.45%
MUR
Murphy Oil
38.00
18.01
90.11%
NOG
Northern Oil And Gas
23.75
-1.44
-5.70%
SM
SM Energy
33.77
11.42
51.08%
VIST
Vista Energy SAB de CV
75.41
25.63
51.49%

Gulfport Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Gulfport Energy Posts Strong Q1 Results, Names New CEO
Positive
May 5, 2026
Gulfport Energy Corporation is a U.S. exploration and production company focused on natural gas, natural gas liquids and oil, with core operations in the Utica and Marcellus shales and the SCOOP play. The company targets high-quality, low-breakeve...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Gulfport Energy Announces CEO Departure, Implements Interim Leadership
Negative
Mar 9, 2026
On March 9, 2026, Gulfport Energy announced that President, Chief Executive Officer and Director John Reinhart had elected to leave the company and resign from the board with immediate effect. In response, the board created an Office of the Chairm...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Gulfport Energy Expands Share Repurchase With Discounted Buyback
Positive
Mar 4, 2026
On March 3, 2026, Gulfport Energy Corporation agreed to repurchase 84,416 shares of its common stock from accounts managed by Silver Point Capital at $204.22 per share, a 2.3% discount to the prior day’s NYSE closing price, for total conside...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Gulfport Energy Posts Strong 2025 Results, Guides 2026 Growth
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
On February 24, 2026, Gulfport Energy reported its financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, highlighting net production of 1.10 Bcfe per day in the quarter, up 4% year on year, and flat full-year production at 1.0...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026